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DOE OSTI2025

Yes, No, Maybe So: Human Factors Considerations for Fostering Calibrated Trust in Foundation Models Under Uncertainty

High-stakes analytical environments require analysts to evaluate evidence and generate conclusions to inform critical decisions often under conditions of uncertainty. Probabilistic decision-making based on incomplete or inaccurate information can reduce productivity, compromise national interests, and endanger public safety. Researchers are developing expert systems built on foundation models (FMs) to support analysts’ decision-making processes by enabling human-artificial intelligence (AI) teaming, in part through the quantification and expression of uncertainty information. As FMs continue to mature, it is imperative to correspondingly consider analysts’ needs for appropriately interpreting and using uncertainty information. However, prior research indicates that it remains unclear how analysts engage with FM-generated uncertainty information and the extent to which these interactions influence trust in, and reliance on, expert systems. We plan to review the state of the science and conduct an exploratory, qualitative study to (a) understand how properly communicated uncertainty can foster calibrated trust and appropriate reliance and (b) identify approaches for effectively conveying FM-generated uncertainty information during analytical workflows. We will administer semi-structured interviews with analysts from a specific high-stakes analytical environment to collect their current experiences with job-related uncertainty and their impressions when viewing FM-generated uncertainty information. During the interview protocol, participants will be presented with several different FM outputs and invited to discuss their thoughts and beliefs about the uncertainty information displayed. Participants may provide insights into how trust and reliance may be influenced by uncertainty. The results of this study will help us to better understand how analysts currently interpret and use uncertainty information. Our findings may inform human factors recommendations for effectively conveying uncertainty information to foster calibrated trust in, and appropriate reliance on, expert systems. Interaction designers and FM developers can use this knowledge to enhance human-AI teaming and ensure the responsible deployment of FM-based expert systems in analytical workflows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Lander Lighting Solution to Reduce Pilot & Autonomous Approach Errors

The south pole lighting environment will have harsh low inclination sunlight, making overhead judgement of surface features difficult. Autonomous solutions are great, however, the need for visual monitoring and independent go/no-go decisions remain. Our project proposes that lunar landing systems will be better served by including a powerful landing light system that improves visibility of surfaces from overhead by illuminating the ground at critical distances for the crew to make last minute decisions regarding an approach. The project utilized computer-based optical modeling software to predict requirements for a potential landing light system. The analysis based the lamp prediction from commercially available LED chip sets and lamp optics. The goal was to illustrate a method to raise the surface contrast of a landing site within an acceptable contrast threshold for most camera systems and human observers to recognize hazards that would not be noticed with low inclination sunlight alone. The Apollo lunar landings benefitted from overhead sun or dark conditions. The surface lighting at the Lunar South Pole is a harsh environment where surfaces are lit from a low inclination angle by the sun (from the side). This change in lighting condition precipitates a need for updated lunar landing systems that facilitate improved recognition of landing sites, and thereby increase pilot awareness of landing hazards. The reliance on LIDAR and other autonomous mechanisms alone is risky given the known usage of visual monitoring for operator concurrence on current spacecraft programs and present-day autonomous land-based vehicles. Visual monitoring via cameras or windows requires the surface contrast to be within 3 orders of magnitude for reasonable recognition of objects. Artificial overhead illumination, when sufficiently sized, provides a means to even out contrast problems created by low inclination sunlight, potentially reducing piloting errors. Current vehicle requirements do not specify this type of guidance for the purpose of increasing mission success. An optical ray-trace simulation model was developed in Zemax Optics Studio to predict the best combination of LED power, LED optics, lamp quantity, and lamp location to raise the surface contrast to within 2 orders of magnitude from 3 orders required to further increased visibility and reduce risk. The project considered the following design constraints: potential base diameter of lander, approach distance(s) for a go-no-go decision point (200 meter), solar inclination angle (2-7), lunar surface reflectance (10%), LED chip sets, LED focusing optics, LED power, lamp quantity, lamp locations, and illumination diameter of lunar surface landing zone. The results can be used to establish minimum design constraints for vehicle landing light systems. With a solar inclination angle ranging from 2-7 degrees, the horizontal illumination of the lunar surface is attenuated by about 10% when compared to overhead illumination from the Sun. This modifies the sun's maximum of 130,000 lux to 13,000 lux horizontal illuminance. The artificial lighting system was designed to provide an 18-meter-wide illumination zone, to create viewing clearances around a 6-meter-wide lander. The system provides an average illuminance of 300 lux, meeting the 2 orders of magnitude criteria. The solution utilized modern Chip On Board LEDs, that each utilized 17 watts, with focusing Total Internal Reflection (TIR) lenses. A lighting system of 300 LEDs was arrayed along the "bottom" of a “lander”. With 17 watts per LED, the system is estimated to require 5100 watts. This is a large amount of power, but it would only be needed during critical phases during the landing. LED lighting systems can be dimmed, and it is assumed that as the lander arrives closer to the landing site, the lighting system power can be adjusted as needed to produce the necessary surface illuminance. The designed reduction of contrast improves reliability of safety assessments using real time visible light camera systems and out the window viewing by the crew.

T A Clark↗

NASA NTRS1995

Formal methods in the design of Ada 1995

Formal, mathematical methods are most useful when applied early in the design and implementation of a software system--that, at least, is the familiar refrain. I will report on a modest effort to apply formal methods at the earliest possible stage, namely, in the design of the Ada 95 programming language itself. This talk is an 'experience report' that provides brief case studies illustrating the kinds of problems we worked on, how we approached them, and the extent (if any) to which the results proved useful. It also derives some lessons and suggestions for those undertaking future projects of this kind. Ada 95 is the first revision of the standard for the Ada programming language. The revision began in 1988, when the Ada Joint Programming Office first asked the Ada Board to recommend a plan for revising the Ada standard. The first step in the revision was to solicit criticisms of Ada 83. A set of requirements for the new language standard, based on those criticisms, was published in 1990. A small design team, the Mapping Revision Team (MRT), became exclusively responsible for revising the language standard to satisfy those requirements. The MRT, from Intermetrics, is led by S. Tucker Taft. The work of the MRT was regularly subject to independent review and criticism by a committee of distinguished Reviewers and by several advisory teams--for example, the two User/Implementor teams, each consisting of an industrial user (attempting to make significant use of the new language on a realistic application) and a compiler vendor (undertaking, experimentally, to modify its current implementation in order to provide the necessary new features). One novel decision established the Language Precision Team (LPT), which investigated language proposals from a mathematical point of view. The LPT applied formal mathematical analysis to help improve the design of Ada 95 (e.g., by clarifying the language proposals) and to help promote its acceptance (e.g., by identifying a verifiable subset that would meet the needs of safety-critical applications). The first LPT project, which ran from the fall of 1990 unti the end of 1992, produced studies of several language issues: optimization, sharing and storage, tasking and protected records, overload resolution, the floating point model, distribution, program erros, and object-oriented programming. The second LPT project, in 1994, formally modeled the dynamic semantics of a large part of the (almost) final language definition, looking especially for interactions between language features.

Guaspari, David↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Human Capabilities Assessments for Autonomous Missions: A Multi-Team Research Effort to Reduce Risk in the Human-System Integration Architecture for Future Deep-Space Missions

In future exploration missions beyond low earth-orbit, crew will have to execute complex operations and respond to off-nominal events, without real-time support from Mission Control. It is anticipated that increased reliance on automated systems, including human-centric vehicle and information architecture, will need to be designed to support the crew; increased risk to performance, health, and safety may occur if these are not implemented appropriately. The Human Factors and Behavioral Performance Element (HFBP) in the NASA Human Research Program supports research to characterize and mitigate such human health and performance risks, including the Risk of Adverse Outcome Due to Inadequate Human Systems Integration Architecture (HSIA). The HSIA risk addresses the integration of onboard capability and the crew roles and responsibilities necessary to enable the crew to respond effectively and efficiently in the increasingly autonomous mission operations environment. In 2017, HFBP released the “Human Capabilities Assessments for Autonomous Missions” (HCAAM) research topic to address HSIA related questions. HCAAM is a major NASA research effort that has assembled a multidisciplinary team from seven institutions to work closely with design and engineering efforts on research towards developing and refining human performance standards, guidelines and automation tools. The scientific focus is on quantitative assessment of human capabilities relevant to future deep-space missions during which earth/spacecraft communication is so delayed and intermittent that the crew must be able to function autonomously. The integrated strategy of the HCAAM project characterizes human capabilities and limitations related to potential performance decrements during long duration exploration mission spaceflight as relevant to both routine and complex task performance; defines system characteristics that reduce the likelihood or impact of potential decrements in human performance capabilities; performs integrated assessment of intelligent system responses within the context of an operational environment with relevant NASA tools, systems, and data structures in order to determine positive or negative interactions and validate recommended approaches; and proposes specific updates to existing standards and guidelines for inclusion in NASA handbooks for the design of future spacecraft intelligent systems that provide crew performance assessment/feedback, and to also serve as decision-support aids for the onboard crew (i.e., NASA-STD-3001, and NASA/SP-Human Integration Design Handbook (HIDH)). The scientific research vectors being addressed by the seven HCAAM teams include: - crew task performance (accuracy, efficiency) (crew + automation) - crew performance (accuracy, efficiency) - crew Situation Awareness - procedure design and multi-modal enhancement - concurrent tasking (mixed manual + some level of autonomy) - task handover - crew self-planning and time-lining - task design - trust in automation, real-time calibration - human multi-sensory feedback and guidance - human trust in on-board software-based intelligent assistants - virtual assistants The presentation will highlight plans and progress made in each of these research areas as well as the methods by which surrogate astronaut crews in the NASA JSC HERA spaceflight analog facility will function as human test subjects for all of the HCAAM research projects.

HCAAM VNSCOR↗

DOE OSTI2016

Investigation of the Effects of Hydrogen Atoms Concentration on the Tungsten Sigma 5 (310) Symmetric Tilt Grain Boundary Strength

Recently, strict policies are being made by several government agencies, environmentalists, and some people against the usage of fossil fuels as the source of energy generation. Not only because its supply does not meet the booming human population all around the world but also it is not pollution-free; just to mention a few. These setbacks attached to fossil fuels make nuclear fusion energy an important means of energy generation; it is characterized with clean and easy means of energy generation compared to other methods of power production such as hydropower and solar power. The success of fusion power depends on the design of modern fusion materials and the selection of the plasma facing materials (PFMs). ITER and Demonstration Power plant (DEMO) considered Tungsten (W) as part of their PFMs. W is the most preferred plasma facing material (PFM) for the future nuclear fusion reactors such as in the proposed DEMO and ITER- which is at the moment the largest Tokamak nuclear fusion reactor under construction in the world. Tungsten has excellent thermal properties, low-sputtering yield, and high melting point. Hydrogen (H) atoms have an affinity for tungsten grain boundary, and are trapped there permanently. In addition, it makes W prone to failure. In a fusion environment, W is exposed to extremely high fluences of H isotopes and irradiation. The low-energy H isotopes will be retained in the tungsten material leading to the formation of blisters in W and cause degradation of the mechanical and thermal properties of W. For safety reason, the effect of hydrogen atoms concentration at the tungsten S5 (310) grain boundary (GB) needs to be investigated and it will aid in better designing of fusion wall materials. Σ5 (310) is considered in this work because it is one of the most important and dominant GBs in the atomic distribution of materials. GBs affect the strength of W as well. The GBs with superior properties can be increased in the atomic distribution of W relative to others in order to achieve high overall material properties. GBs play a role in determining the properties of materials such as the thermal and electrical conductivity of a material. The crystallography description of the Σ5 (310) grain boundary comprises of Σ, tilt type- symmetric, crystallographic direction [001] and the GB plane. The Σ is related to the coincidence site lattice (CSL) model, which denotes that in a certain orientation between two grains, there are numbers of points where the atoms coincide. For the case of Σ5 (310), the misorientation between the two crystals is 36.9 degree along [001] direction and the GB plane is (310). GB properties differ as result of different sigma values and Σ is the reciprocal of CSL. Thus, Σ5 GB has 1/5 of the atoms in coincident sites. For the case of a tilt boundary, the lattice vector is embedded in the GB plane. Also for a tilt-symmetric GB, the grains directions are mirrored against the GB plane. The classic molecular dynamics method (MD) is an accurate numerical approach that adopts Newton's equation of motion to get atoms trajectories.Studies have been carried out on atomistic simulation of tungsten.The effect of H on GB migration in W was studied by using molecular dynamics simulation and it was discovered that H prevents the GB migration at different H concentrations and temperatures. Others investigated the migration, dissolution and trapping of H in W using MD and first principles method. Atomistic simulations have been used to predict the GB energy in Fe and Mo using embedded atom method (EAM) and it was concluded that the GB energies in the metals are affected more by the orientation of the GB plane than by the misorientation of the lattice. Study was done on symmetric and asymmetric tilt grain boundaries in Cu and Al using MD method and the GB structures and energies were established; EAM was adopted as well. The formation of hydrogen blisters and cracking processes for various tungsten materials were investigated and it was observed that, dopants increase the number of blisters and exfoliations for both stress relieved and recrystallized W. Investigation was carried out on the surface morphology changes in W caused by plasmas heat and particle loadings and their effects on material degradation in ITER. In addition, the study of interactions between low energetic hydrogen and tungsten surface was carried out using molecular dynamics simulations with analytical bond order potential (ABOP) and the results addressed irradiation damage in tungsten. Mechanism of blister formation on W surface was studied using experimental approach and it was observed that the amount of blisters formed depends on the beam fluence. This work investigates the effect of hydrogen atom concentrations at the W Σ5 (310) tilt-symmetric GB on the grain boundary energy and the GB pulling force. (authors)

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2019

Network coding for improving throughput in WDM optical networks with dedicated protection

Network coding (NC) has been recently emerging as an excellent technique for leveraging network efficiency. In optical networks, NC and protection appear to be a good match and indeed, NC could be effectively exploited for greater protection efficiency thanks to the opportunity of combining signals rather than duplication in the traditional approach. Motivated by this observation, we investigate the application of a simple and practical NC technique based on XOR operation to improve the network throughput in survivable optical networks. To this end, we propose the NC-based protection whose speed recovery is on a par with the conventional 1+1 dedicated protection while the capacity usage could be more efficient, paving the way for improving throughput in constrained capacity conditions. A novel mixed integer linear programming model is developed for survivable optical networks design employing the proposed NC-based protection. The model attempts to optimally determine the demands to serve, the routing for served demands and NC assignment among demands aiming at maximizing the network throughput in the constraint of bandwidth limitation. Extensive numerical evaluations on realistic topologies are provided to highlight the advantages of our NC-based protection proposal compared with the conventional dedicated protection in improving the network throughput. Encouraging results are observed when the new protection proposal based on NC could accommodate up to 30% more traffic than the conventional case.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

NASA NTRS2016

Simulation of Mission Phases

This position with the Simulation and Graphics Branch (ER7) at Johnson Space Center (JSC) provided an introduction to vehicle hardware, mission planning, and simulation design. ER7 supports engineering analysis and flight crew training by providing high-fidelity, real-time graphical simulations in the Systems Engineering Simulator (SES) lab. The primary project assigned by NASA mentor and SES lab manager, Meghan Daley, was to develop a graphical simulation of the rendezvous, proximity operations, and docking (RPOD) phases of flight. The simulation is to include a generic crew/cargo transportation vehicle and a target object in low-Earth orbit (LEO). Various capsule, winged, and lifting body vehicles as well as historical RPOD methods were evaluated during the project analysis phase. JSC core mission to support the International Space Station (ISS), Commercial Crew Program (CCP), and Human Space Flight (HSF) influenced the project specifications. The simulation is characterized as a 30 meter +V Bar and/or -R Bar approach to the target object's docking station. The ISS was selected as the target object and the international Low Impact Docking System (iLIDS) was selected as the docking mechanism. The location of the target object's docking station corresponds with the RPOD methods identified. The simulation design focuses on Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GNC) system architecture models with station keeping and telemetry data processing capabilities. The optical and inertial sensors, reaction control system thrusters, and the docking mechanism selected were based on CCP vehicle manufacturer's current and proposed technologies. A significant amount of independent study and tutorial completion was required for this project. Multiple primary source materials were accessed using the NASA Technical Report Server (NTRS) and reference textbooks were borrowed from the JSC Main Library and International Space Station Library. The Trick Simulation Environment and User Training Materials version 2013.0 release was used to complete the Trick tutorial. Multiple network privilege and repository permission requests were required in order to access previous simulation models. The project was also an introduction to computer programming and the Linux operating system. Basic C++ and Python syntax was used during the completion of the Trick tutorial. Trick's engineering analysis and Monte Carlo simulation capabilities were observed and basic space mission planning procedures were applied in the conceptual design phase. Multiple professional development opportunities were completed in addition to project duties during this internship through the System for Administration, Training, and Education Resources for NASA (SATERN). Topics include: JSC Risk Management Workshop, CCP Risk Management, Basic Radiation Safety Training, X-Ray Radiation Safety, Basic Laser Safety, JSC Export Control, ISS RISE Ambassador, Basic SharePoint 2013, Space Nutrition and Biochemistry, and JSC Personal Protective Equipment. Additionally, this internship afforded the opportunity for formal project presentation and public speaking practice. This was my first experience at a NASA center. After completing this internship I have a much clearer understanding of certain aspects of the agency's processes and procedures, as well as a deeper appreciation from spaceflight simulation design and testing. I will continue to improve my technical skills so that I may have another opportunity to return to NASA and Johnson Space Center.

Carlstrom, Nicholas Mercury↗

DOE OSTI2022

Nuclear data uncertainty propagation applied to the versatile test reactor conceptual design

We report the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) currently under development is a 300 MWth sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) fueled with ternary metal alloy fuel, which aims to accelerate the testing of advanced nuclear fuels, materials, instrumentation, and sensors in high flux environments that are necessary to license the next generation of advanced reactor concepts. To support the VTR design process, uncertainties associated with the nuclear data has been propagated through the reactor core neutronics calculation to global parameters of interest, such as the core multiplication factor, kinetic parameters, and various reactivity feedback coefficients, following the sensitivity based uncertainty propagation approach. By folding the sensitivity coefficients, separately computed by the generalized perturbation theory code PERSENT and Monte Carlo code Serpent 2, with the variance-covariance matrices from COMMARA-2.0, we obtain the reaction-wise, isotope-wise, and overall uncertainties for each response of interest due to nuclear data uncertainty. With Serpent 2, the statistical error of the uncertainty is obtained by propagating the statistical error of the sensitivity coefficients through the same process using a newly developed uncertainty propagation method. From both codes, the overall top uncertainty contributors are found to be the cross section of Fe-56 elastic scattering, Na-23 elastic scattering, and U 238 inelastic scattering. The large contributions of the Fe-56 elastic scattering cross sections to global parameters are due to its relatively large relative uncertainty of 5–10% in nuclear data and the large volume of Fe-containing reflector assemblies in the fairly compact VTR core design. Both codes agreed well for the overall uncertainty estimates of all responses of interest, except the delayed neutron fraction, prompt neutron generation time, and the coolant density feedback coefficient, where Serpent 2 yielded a much larger value than PERSENT due to the large statistical error of sensitivity coefficients. The calculated uncertainties are also compared to those associated with other SFR cores. Another outcome of this study is a variance-covariance matrix of reactivity coefficients, which can be used in the subsequent uncertainty propagation to the system level to investigate the impact of identified uncertainties on system responses in the safety analysis.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Application of Manufacturing Quality Management Principles to PV System Installations

To help SETO/DOE achieve its goals, the IBTS team proposed a project addressing system reliability by improving installation standards and quality management. The proposed approach was designed to help achieve measurable reductions in installation defect density and improvements in the performance of PV systems by optimizing design and installation of residential and commercial PV systems. This approach addressed the soft costs associated with installations and quality management. The project demonstrated improved system reliability and reduced PV system installation costs. The software developed improved operations, decreased risk, and increased the overall value of PV systems across their lifecycle. The project used several data collection methods, including extensive industry surveys, face-to-face high-level interviews at industry conferences, stakeholder teleconferences, and in-depth interviews conducted by IBTS staff. Results from the research found the industry needs a uniform assessment method for national providers to be more efficient; the software should support both code officials and installers; most industry stakeholders would find value in a centralized software system that allows them to collect, report, and review information on in-process and completed solar installations; and mobile solutions that bridge existing knowledge gaps with inspectors and integrate with existing methodologies (such as permitting software) are of great value. The software solution developed is web-based, allowing for national access, and is built on a Google Firebase platform that can handle significant users and data. It can be used onsite or remotely, allowing for code compliance to continue despite ongoing pandemic related delays or shutdowns for local economies. The information provided by the software tool allows users to uniformly assess a system for compliance and use that aggregated data to identify training topics or create internal process designed to improving issues and reducing occurrence. This solution has multiple benefits in managing quality at time of use and promoting an increase in future safety and quality through education. Perhaps most importantly, this software increases public safety by ensuring compliance of installed systems and allows for local AHJs to remotely engage specialized and qualified solar specific expertise for oversite of the installation in their jurisdictions. Data analysis provides the quality feedback loop identifying the root cause of failure and drives installation practices to improve through training and education, resulting in systems with higher performance, greater reliability, and reduced operations and maintenance costs. With the successful completion of this project, the industry can expect reduced soft costs and increased performance and safety and will ultimately benefit from longer performing systems that cost less to operate.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Heliophysics Environmental & Radiation Measurement Experiment Suite (HERMES): A Small External Payload for the Lunar Gateway with Big Challenges

Currently scheduled for liftoff in 2024, Gateway will be an outpost orbiting the moon for astronauts headed to and from the lunar surface and serve as a staging point for deep space exploration. In January of 2020 NASA headquarters contacted Goddard Space Flight Center to request that they develop a Heliophysics instrumentation package for Gateway. This package would later become known as HERMES-Heliophysics Environmental & Radiation Measurement Experiment Suite. HERMES consists of a Miniaturized Electron pRoton Telescope (MERIT), an Electron Electrostatic Analyzer (EEA), Solar Probe Analyzers (SPAN)-A-ions, and Noise Eliminating Magnetometer Instrument in a Small Integrated System (NEMISIS), which consists of one fluxgate and two Magneto-Inductive Magnetometers. From the beginning the HERMES mission faced a number of Challenges. It was constrained to fit in a small, half meter, cube and it was required to weigh no more than 25kg. A new boom design for the magnetometer would be required and for safety reasons it must be able to retract autonomously with power removed. To complicate matters the location of the SORI-Small ORU- (Orbital Replacement Unit) Robotics Interface, the primary interface for the HERMES platform to the Gateway elements, was undetermined. Also, the mechanical, thermal and electrical interfaces are not fully defined. The Canadian Space Agency is still in process of designing the version of the SORI that will be flown on the Power and Propulsion Element (PPE) and Habitation and Logistics Outpost (HALO) elements, each of which are being developed by different contractors. At the time of initiating the HERMES project, neither of the Gateway module providers were under contract. Additionally, we would later learn the ISS heritage SORI modules were not originally designed for launching on the Gateway elements with a payload directly attached but rather were intended to be brought up on a separate carrier outfitted with launch locks and specialized launch structures from which the robotic arm on Gateway would then be used to detach the payload and install it on the SORI adapters while on orbit. Launching the integrated Payload/SORI on the PPE and HALO elements complicates the stiffness requirements and coupled loads analysis. Adding to this are serious constraints on Field-Of-View (FOV) for solar viewing and severe radiation exposure considerations brought on by slowly raising the orbit through the Van Allen Belts. Just to make things a little more challenging the budget for the entire project was intended to be a low-cost tailored Class-D mission approach. Plus, the effects of Corona VIrus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) were not factored in from the beginning. This paper will discuss what’s being done to overcome these challenges and put HERMES on track for a 2024 Launch Readiness Date (LRD).

Irving Joseph Burt↗

DOE OSTI2016

Initial Comparison of Direct and Legacy Modeling Approaches for Radial Core Expansion Analysis

Radial core expansion in sodium-cooled fast reactors provides an important reactivity feedback effect. As the reactor power increases due to normal start up conditions or accident scenarios, the core and surrounding materials heat up, causing both grid plate expansion and bowing of the assembly ducts. When the core restraint system is designed correctly, the resulting structural deformations introduce negative reactivity which decreases the reactor power. Historically, an indirect procedure has been used to estimate the reactivity feedback due to structural deformation which relies upon perturbation theory and coupling legacy physics codes with limited geometry capabilities. With advancements in modeling and simulation, radial core expansion phenomena can now be modeled directly, providing an assessment of the accuracy of the reactivity feedback coefficients generated by indirect legacy methods. Recently a new capability was added to the PROTEUS-SN unstructured geometry neutron transport solver to analyze deformed meshes quickly and directly. By supplying the deformed mesh in addition to the base configuration input files, PROTEUS-SN automatically processes material adjustments including calculation of region densities to conserve mass, calculation of isotopic densities according to material models (for example, sodium density as a function of temperature), and subsequent re-homogenization of materials. To verify the new capability of directly simulating deformed meshes, PROTEUS-SN was used to compute reactivity feedback for a series of contrived yet representative deformed configurations for the Advanced Burner Test Reactor design. The indirect legacy procedure was also performed to generate reactivity feedback coefficients for the same deformed configurations. Interestingly, the legacy procedure consistently overestimated reactivity feedbacks by 35% compared to direct simulations by PROTEUS-SN. This overestimation indicates that the legacy procedures are in fact not conservative and could be overestimating reactivity feedback effects that are closely tied to reactor safety. We conclude that there is indeed value in performing direct simulation of deformed meshes despite the increased computational expense. PROTEUS-SN is already part of the SHARP multi-physics toolkit where both thermal hydraulics and structural mechanical feedback modeling can be applied but this is the first comparison of direct simulation to legacy techniques for radial core expansion.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Studies for Advanced Reactor Using RAVEN

Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) is used extensively to evaluate the risks associated with complex engineering systems like Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Current PSA models are based on the Event-Tree/Fault-Tree (ET/FT) methodology. ET and FT models are static and are based on Boolean logic approaches. In the past, concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of the traditional static modelling approaches to adequately account for the impact of process, hardware, software, firmware and human interactions on the stochastic system behaviour. To overcome the limitations of the traditional approach to PSA, several dynamic PSA methodologies have been proposed. One of the dynamic PSA methodologies used for dynamic evaluations is Dynamic Event Tree (DET) framework which can be used to assess the impact of the parameter variability and scenario dynamics on the PSA model for the initiating event. The DET framework couples the stochastic model (number of component/trains that start on demand, operator action timing, etc.) with a Thermal-Hydraulic (TH) model of the plant. This paper explores the use of DET along with a case study on advanced reactor. The initiating event selected for the study was Class IV power supply failure event. The TH analysis considering uncertainty in various parameters was performed using RELAP5 and Reactor Analysis and Virtual control ENvironment (RAVEN) tool. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it is concluded that the peak clad temperatures (PCT) are within the limits in all the code runs implying a high-degree of safety margin. However, variation in time to reach the PCT was observed among the code runs and the mean time to reach the PCT was found to be around 8590sec (approximately 2.4 hours). Hence, sufficient time margin is available for human intervention and the operator might have a relatively stress-free state during such an accident scenario. Due to the static nature of the traditional PSA models, the safety margin available was lesser, whereas, with the help of dynamic PSA models, one can demonstrate that the actual available safety margin is more in the present case study and is valuable input from the design point of view.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Application of SIAL{sup R} Solidification Technology for Processing of Problematic Waste Streams - 18267

SIAL{sup R} is a proven, safe, cost-effective and licensed waste solidification technology that has been used successfully for 20 years in Slovakia and the Czech Republic for processing of various problematic radioactive waste streams. This abstract presents and summarises the most interesting performance records of the SIAL{sup R} geopolymer solidification technology, the applied mobile devices as well as the characteristics of final products. Radioactive waste solidification into matrix SIAL{sup R} is based on polycondensation of inorganic aluminosilicate components with chemical composition similar to average cement. The main components of matrix SIAL{sup R} are natural inorganic raw materials containing SiO{sub 2}, Al{sub 2}O{sub 3}, CaO, MgO, Na{sub 2}O, K{sub 2}O, Fe{sub 2}O{sub 3}, and TiO{sub 2}. The treatment/solidification process is modified for individual radioactive streams with different compositions. To determine the most appropriate composition, the SIAL{sup R} application technology is laboratory tested on real samples of each individual waste stream identified for solidification. Then an appropriate mixture of aluminosilicate composition and other inorganic compounds is defined for a given solidification application. When determining the most appropriate mixture, other requirements are taken into consideration: maximum dose rate on the drum with solidified product, mass, volume, alpha radionuclide content in the final product, need for a waste's dewatering before solidification, dry matter content in the solidification product as well as other specific waste acceptance criteria (i.e., compressive strength, leachability, diffusion coefficients, radiation stability, biodegradability of matrix, distribution and partition coefficients, influence of frost and water presence to the product stability including long term physical stability in water, dustiness, flammability, time dependence of compression strength and water reduction, product homogeneity and also radiolytic G-value for hydrogen release, GH{sub 2}). The Amec Foster Wheeler baseline approach to implementing the SIAL{sup R} waste treatment process is structured on three steps - waste characterization, waste retrieval and pre-treatment and at last the solidification of pre-treated waste itself. The equipment used for the solidification process is relatively small, lightweight and designed for the specific application on site, directly 'in situ' or local to the tanks storing the sludge's/resins/other waste streams. This mitigates the problems normally experienced by transferring sticky, tight waste through long pipes. The equipment is normally 'tailor-made' to take into account the real space conditions and other existing facility requirements. At Bohunice and Dukovany sites, the facilities for encapsulation were designed to occupy existing areas of the plants in close proximity to the tanks where the waste was being stored. This allowed for the removal of the waste using Remote Operated Vehicles and for the waste to be immediately treated on site without the need for transportation thus saving both, time and resource. To date, SIAL{sup R} has been used successfully to immobilize approximately 2 x 10{sup 6} kg of waste which includes sludge, resin, crystalline borates and contaminated organic waste from Bohunice and Mochovce, Slovakia and approximately 300 m{sup 3} of spent ion exchange resins and sludge from tanks on site at the Dukovany NPP (Nuclear Power Plant) in the Czech Republic. The technology now has a track record of over 20 years which includes on-going research and development. The International missions WANO (the World Association of Nuclear Operators) and OSART (the Operational Safety Review Team) evaluated the SIAL{sup R} matrix technology at Dukovany NPP as an example of good practice. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2017

Novel volumetric method for highly repeatable injection in microchip electrophoresis

A novel injector for microchip electrophoresis (MCE) has been designed and evaluated that achieves very high repeatability of injection volume suitable for quantitative analysis. It eliminates the injection biases in electrokinetic injection and the dependence on pressure and sample properties in hydrodynamic injection. The microfluidic injector, made of poly(dimethylsiloxane) (PDMS), operates similarly to an HPLC injection valve. It contains a channel segment (chamber) with a well-defined volume that serves as an “injection loop”. Using on-chip microvalves, the chamber can be connected to the sample source during the “loading” step, and to the CE separation channel during the “injection” step. Once the valves are opened in the second state, electrophoretic potential is applied to separate the sample. For evaluation and demonstration purposes, the microinjector was connected to a 75 μm ID capillary and UV absorbance detector. For single compounds, a relative standard deviation (RSD) of peak area as low as 1.04% (n = 11) was obtained, and for compound mixtures, RSD as low as 0.40% (n = 4) was observed. Using the same microchip, the performance of this new injection technique was compared to hydrodynamic injection and found to have improved repeatability and less dependence on sample viscosity. Furthermore, a non-radioactive version of the positron-emission tomography (PET) imaging probe, FLT, was successfully separated from its known 3 structurally-similar byproducts with baseline resolution, demonstrating the potential for rapid, quantitative analysis of impurities to ensure the safety of batches of short-lived radiotracers. Both the separation efficiency and injection repeatability were found to be substantially higher when using the novel volumetric injection approach compared to electrokinetic injection (performed in the same chip). This novel microinjector provides a straightforward way to improve the performance of hydrodynamic injection and enables extremely repeatable sample volume injection in MCE. It could be used in any MCE application where volume repeatability is needed, including the quantitation of impurities in pharmaceutical or radiopharmaceutical samples.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Application of Particle Accelerators to Mitigate Energy and Climate Change Problems Facing America

Reliable CO 2 -free baseload power is needed to address ever-increasing demands for electricity while minimizing adverse climate change. Diversified power supply provided by solar, wind, geothermal, and nuclear reactors can displace the use of fossil fuels. The United States (U.S.) is taking a new look at nuclear power as a source of electrical energy and the nuclear industry is proposing new approaches which may minimize capital costs. However, nuclear power comes with a variety of technical problems. Chief among those is managing the used fuel from nuclear reactors. No long-term, practicable solution to this problem is available. The lack of progress on a comprehensive waste management strategy restricts growth in the nuclear power industry and minimizes the role that nuclear energy may serve as part of a zero-carbon future (Bahr, 2021). According to the Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended, the U.S. Government has possession of the used reactor fuel and incurs large annual storage fees paid to utilities to store and safeguard the accumulated used fuel. In effect, short term on-site storage of nuclear waste is the current waste management plan. The amount of used reactor fuel in the U.S. is approximately 80,000 metric tons. While no geologic repository exists within the U.S., the potential site at Yucca Mountain, NV would accommodate 70,000 metric tons, which fails to meet current and future needs. Given the technical and political challenges associated with establishing a single geological storage site, it is necessary for the U.S. to implement technologies that improve the suitability of geological storage by reducing the volume and radiotoxicity of stored material. No extant technology meets this need. Accelerator driven waste burners have been proposed as a scalable method to process used nuclear fuel, however considerable technical challenges remain which impede commercialization. Innovations in design require investigation of novel materials, development of accurate models and simulations, and a comprehensive assessment of safety and performance. This proposal elaborates how LANL is uniquely positioned to make key contributions to this area of research.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

NASA NTRS2005

Design Methods and Practices for Fault Prevention and Management in Spacecraft

Integrated Systems Health Management (ISHM) is intended to become a critical capability for all space, lunar and planetary exploration vehicles and systems at NASA. Monitoring and managing the health state of diverse components, subsystems, and systems is a difficult task that will become more challenging when implemented for long-term, evolving deployments. A key technical challenge will be to ensure that the ISHM technologies are reliable, effective, and low cost, resulting in turn in safe, reliable, and affordable missions. To ensure safety and reliability, ISHM functionality, decisions and knowledge have to be incorporated into the product lifecycle as early as possible, and ISHM must be considered as an essential element of models developed and used in various stages during system design. During early stage design, many decisions and tasks are still open, including sensor and measurement point selection, modeling and model-checking, diagnosis, signature and data fusion schemes, presenting the best opportunity to catch and prevent potential failures and anomalies in a cost-effective way. Using appropriate formal methods during early design, the design teams can systematically explore risks without committing to design decisions too early. However, the nature of ISHM knowledge and data is detailed, relying on high-fidelity, detailed models, whereas the earlier stages of the product lifecycle utilize low-fidelity, high-level models of systems and their functionality. We currently lack the tools and processes necessary for integrating ISHM into the vehicle system/subsystem design. As a result, most existing ISHM-like technologies are retrofits that were done after the system design was completed. It is very expensive, and sometimes futile, to retrofit a system health management capability into existing systems. Last-minute retrofits result in unreliable systems, ineffective solutions, and excessive costs (e.g., Space Shuttle TPS monitoring which was considered only after 110 flights and the Columbia disaster). High false alarm or false negative rates due to substandard implementations hurt the credibility of the ISHM discipline. This paper presents an overview of the current state of ISHM design,and a review of formal design methods to make recommendations about possible approaches to enable the ISHM capabilities to be designed-in at the system-level, from the very beginning of the vehicle design process.

Tumer, Irem Y.↗

DOE OSTI2016

Field application of pathogen detection technologies

Over the last 10 years there has been a significant increase in commercial products designed for field-based detection of microbial pathogens. This is due, in part, to the anthrax attacks in the United States in 2001, and the need for first responders to quickly identify the composition of suspected white powders and other potential biothreats. Demand for rapid detection is also driven by the need to ensure safe food, water, and environmental systems. From a technology perspective, rapid identification methods have largely capitalized on PCR and other molecular recognition techniques that can be deployed as robust field instrumentation. Examples of the relevant needs include the ability to: 1) declare a water distribution system free of microbial pathogens after a pipe/main break repair; 2) assess risks of contamination such as when produce production and processing plants are located near concentrated animal feeing operations; 3) evaluate the safety of ready-to-eat products; 4) determine the extent of potential serious disease outbreaks in remote and/or disaster stricken areas where access to clinical laboratories is not an immediate option; and 5) quickly assess credible biological terrorism events. Many of the principles underlying rapid detection methods are derived from methods for environmental microbiology, but there is a dearth of literature describing and evaluating field-based detection systems. Thus, the aims of this chapter are to: 1) summarize the different kinds of commercially available sampling kits and field-based biological detectors; 2) highlight some of the continued challenges of sample preparation to stimulate new research towards minimizing the impact of inhibitors on PCR-based detection systems; 3) describe our general rationale and statistically-based approach for instrument evaluation; 4) provide statistical and spatial guidelines for developing valid sampling plans; and 5) summarize some current needs and emerging technologies. This information is presented both to highlight the state of the field, and to also highlight major questions that students may wish to consider investigating further. Where possible we will cite studies that have been conducted and published either in traditional peer-reviewed or other literature (e.g., AOAC International Methods).

Straub, Tim M.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Achieving Diesel Powertrain Ownership Parity in Battery Electric Heavy Duty Commercial Vehicles Using a Rapid Recurrent Recharging Architecture

Battery electric vehicles (BEV) in heavy duty (HD) commercial freight transport face challenging technoeconomic barriers to adoption. Specifically, beyond safety and compliance, fleet and operational logistics require both high up-time and parity with diesel system productivity/Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) to enable strong adoption of electrified powertrains. At present, relatively high energy storage prices coupled with the increased weight of BEV systems limit the practicality of HD commercial freight transport to shorter range applications, where smaller batteries will suffice for the mission energy requirements (single operational shift). This paper presents an approach to extend the feasibility of BEV HD trucking for a broad range of applications. The concept is based on the leveraging rapid and recurrent recharging of a BEV HD truck that may either already make frequent stops due to shipment drop-offs/reloading or be required to make frequent stops along with longer missions for recharging. While the challenges of the latter are well appreciated, the concept proposed explores making minimal impact to overall mission time by targeting high C-rate charging while optimizing the frequency (miles) through which these events must occur. The concept optimizes battery size and chemistry, such that the expected life (years and total energy throughput) is balanced with the depth of discharge between recharging events, thus making complete use of the energy available through the life of the battery system. The solution is constrained to minimize the impact on payload capacity. The paper analyzes critical levers in achieving diesel price parity (based on a simplified vehicle TCO), achieved through different purchase options (including lease versus buy) and operational models (half-life swap out). Finally, the paper identifies the application design domain where these solutions are viable with limited impact on fleet operations.

Sujan, Vivek↗