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At least 1,711 records · Page 95

Geothermal Representation in Power System Models

Power system models generally fail to capture the range of characteristics geothermal resources provide and the value they potentially contribute to decarbonization and reliability of future electricity grids as firm, dispatchable, non-combustion power resources. This study reviews the results of power system modeling efforts to investigate geothermal deployment potential in the United States, including the U.S. DOE GeoVision analysis and ongoing modeling and analysis efforts to support planning and development of future grids with 100% renewable energy in California. Several themes are identified that could be implemented immediately to improve the accuracy of geothermal representation in power system models: consistency of model inputs, modeling of baseload and dispatchable geothermal resources, accurate valuation of grid services, improved representation of capacity factor, use of contemporary LCOE estimates, improved understanding of the evolution of geothermal value, and use of accurate resource potential constraints. Many of the models reviewed produced significantly different amounts of geothermal resource selection - even when modeling the same region and time period. This highlights the variability of inputs and assumptions among models, so creating a consistent set of geothermal inputs is a first step toward more accurate representation of geothermal in models. Research opportunities are identified that could help improve geothermal data inputs in modeling efforts, including analyses of historical data, sensitivity to model inputs, and comparative value of geothermal generators as baseload or dispatchable resources. Outcomes of such research can inform the geothermal community about how best to guide geothermal development toward wider deployment in support of future electricity grids through improved understanding of the evolution of geothermal value over time and the characteristics that contribute to that value.

capacity expansion models↗

Improving Surface Soil Moisture Estimates in West Africa Through GRACE Data Assimilation

Recent annual trends of precipitation and terrestrial water storage (TWS) in West Africa have been increasing over the past decade. Despite a significant impact of soil moisture on the TWS in West Africa, there is little research on the recent spatial and temporal behaviors of surface soil moisture (SSM) along with the hydrological trends and variability in West Africa. In this study, we assimilate TWS estimates from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission into the Catchment Land Surface Model (CLSM) and evaluate its impacts on SSM simulations for the years, 2002–2017. The evaluation is performed using reference datasets: the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) in situ soil moisture observations, three currently available microwave satellite SSM observations from the Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), the Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS), and the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellites and also the triple collocation analysis (TCA). Overall, modeled SSM shows good agreement with the reference datasets in terms of the anomaly SSM correlations. However, both modeled and ASCAT SSM are limited in their representation of the drying rates, as observed by ground observations, SMOS and SMAP estimates. Further, GRACE data assimilation results in improved SSM simulations in the humid regions with large annual TWS variability. This study demonstrates the utility of land data assimilation to inform hydrological conditions in West Africa, where soil moisture monitoring is necessary for water resource and livestock management.

West Africa↗

Track Seeding and Labelling with Embedded-space Graph Neural Networks

To address the unprecedented scale of HL-LHC data, the Exa.TrkX project is investigating a variety of machine learning approaches to particle track reconstruction. The most promising of these solutions, graph neural networks (GNN), process the event as a graph that connects track measurements (detector hits corresponding to nodes) with candidate line segments between the hits (corresponding to edges). Detector information can be associated with nodes and edges, enabling a GNN to propagate the embedded parameters around the graph and predict node-, edge- and graph-level observables. Previously, message-passing GNNs have shown success in predicting doublet likelihood, and we here report updates on the state-of-the-art architectures for this task. In addition, the Exa.TrkX project has investigated innovations in both graph construction, and embedded representations, in an effort to achieve fully learned end-to-end track finding. Hence, we present a suite of extensions to the original model, with encouraging results for hitgraph classification. In addition, we explore increased performance by constructing graphs from learned representations which contain non-linear metric structure, allowing for efficient clustering and neighborhood queries of data points. We demonstrate how this framework fits in with both traditional clustering pipelines, and GNN approaches. The embedded graphs feed into high-accuracy doublet and triplet classifiers, or can be used as an end-to-end track classifier by clustering in an embedded space. A set of post-processing methods improve performance with knowledge of the detector physics. Finally, we present numerical results on the TrackML particle tracking challenge dataset, where our framework shows favorable results in both seeding and track finding.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Knowledge representation in space flight operations

In space flight operations rapid understanding of the state of the space vehicle is essential. Representation of knowledge depicting space vehicle status in a dynamic environment presents a difficult challenge. The NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory has pursued areas of technology associated with the advancement of spacecraft operations environment. This has led to the development of several advanced mission systems which incorporate enhanced graphics capabilities. These systems include: (1) Spacecraft Health Automated Reasoning Prototype (SHARP); (2) Spacecraft Monitoring Environment (SME); (3) Electrical Power Data Monitor (EPDM); (4) Generic Payload Operations Control Center (GPOCC); and (5) Telemetry System Monitor Prototype (TSM). Knowledge representation in these systems provides a direct representation of the intrinsic images associated with the instrument and satellite telemetry and telecommunications systems. The man-machine interface includes easily interpreted contextual graphic displays. These interactive video displays contain multiple display screens with pop-up windows and intelligent, high resolution graphics linked through context and mouse-sensitive icons and text.

Busse, Carl↗

NGEE Arctic Integrated Modeling (IM2): Improved subgrid hillslope hydrologic connectivity

This data product represents the integration of new code capability for arctic tundra hillslope hydrologic processes into the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), through the E3SM Land Model (ELM) component. This code integration is the result of collaborative effort between the NGEE Arctic project and the E3SM project. The current ELM represents water movement primarily through vertical processes, such as precipitation, canopy interception, evaporation, infiltration, and soil water movement. Lateral water movement—such as surface runoff, subsurface flow, and river transport—plays a significant role in the hydrological cycle, especially in regions with varied topography. While E3SM includes a runoff routing component representing water transport in the river network, the lateral transport of water at the subgrid scale within the land model has previously not been taken into account. With the recent development of topographic units within the ELM subgrid data structure, there is an opportunity to simulate hillslope hydrologic connectivity by introducing water transport along topographic gradients. We expect that more realistic representation of hillslope hydrologic processes will lead to improved predictions of both soil water content and river network flows. Lateral transport of water at and near the surface is represented as a sub-grid process in this new code development. Water is tracked as it moves from higher to lower elevations within a gridcell. This capability uses the nested hierarchical sub-grid scheme within ELM to connect water fluxes from sub-grid elements with higher elevation to those with lower elevation. This data record consists of a single document (pdf format) that describes the theoretical basis for the hillslope hydrology processes added to ELM, and describes the modifications made to the ELM code. The Methods section of this metadata record includes a link to the public E3SM code repository where the exact code modifications as integrated in E3SM can be accessed. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

Thornton, Peter E [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000247595158)↗

Developing a Redox Network for Coastal Saltmarsh Systems in the PFLOTRAN Reaction Model

Coastal ecosystems have been largely ignored in Earth system models but are important zones for carbon and nutrient processing. Interactions between water, microbes, soil, sediments, and vegetation are important for mechanistic representation of coastal processes and ecosystem function. To investigate the role of these feedbacks, we used a reactive transport model (PFLOTRAN) that has the capability to be connected to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). PFLOTRAN was used to incorporate redox reactions and track chemical species important for coastal ecosystems as well as define simple representations of vegetation dynamics. Here our goal was to incorporate oxygen flux, salinity, pH, sulfur cycling, and methane production along with plant-mediated transport of gases and tidal flux. Using porewater profile and incubation data for model calibration and evaluation, we were able to create depth-resolved biogeochemical soil profiles for saltmarsh habitat and use this updated representation to simulate direct and indirect effects of elevated CO 2 and temperature on subsurface biogeochemical cycling. We found that simply changing the partial pressure of CO 2 or increasing temperature in the model did not fully reproduce observed changes in the porewater profile, but the inclusion of plant or microbial responses to CO 2 and temperature manipulations was more accurate in representing porewater concentrations. This indicates the importance of characterizing tightly coupled vegetation-subsurface processes for developing predictive understanding and the need for measurement of plant-soil interactions on the same time scale to understand how hotspots or moments are generated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Scale Mixtures of Frechet Distributions as Asymptotic Approximations of Extreme Precipitation

This paper is a further development of the results of [20] where, based on the negative binomial model for the duration of wet periods measured in days [16], an asymptotic approximation was proposed for the distribution of the maximum daily precipitation volume within a wet period. This approximation has the form of a scale mixture of the Fr´echet distribution with the gamma mixing distribution and coincides with the distribution of a positive power of a random variable having the Snedecor–Fisher distribution. Here we extend this result to the mth extremes, m ∈ ℕ, and sample quantiles. The proof of this result is based on the representation of the negative binomial distribution as a mixed geometric (and hence, mixed Poisson) distribution [17] and limit theorems for extreme order statistics in samples with random sizes having mixed Poisson distributions [10]. Some analytic properties of the obtained limit distribution are described. In particular, it is demonstrated that under certain conditions the limit distribution of the maximum precipitation is mixed exponential and hence, is infinitely divisible. It is shown that under the same conditions this limit distribution can be represented as a scale mixture of stable or Weibull or Pareto or folded normal laws. The corresponding product representations for the limit random variable can be used for its computer simulation. The results of fitting this distribution to real data are presented illustrating high adequacy of the proposed model. It is also shown that the limit distribution of sample quantiles is the well-known Student distribution. Several methods are proposed for the estimation of the parameters of the asymptotic distributions. The obtained mixture representations for the limit laws and the corresponding asymptotic approximations provide better insight into the nature of mixed probability (“Bayesian”) models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A technique for improved assessment of flow resistance characteristics of natural wetlands using Landsat data

In the past, one value of the roughness coefficient has frequently been used to represent the flow resistance characteristics of the entire natural wetland throughout the year. To improve the simulation of water flow through these natural vegetation communities, Landsat imagery and in situ flow measurements could be combined to produce a more detailed representation of flow resistance. The vegetation in a typical marshland drainage basin in south Florida was classified into five major categories using Landsat data. Flow measurements were then performed at characteristic sites in the basin. The measurements were taken at various depths during months of significant flow to examine the effect of seasonal growth. This information can be compared with the areal extent of the vegetation measured by satellite to more accurately simulate resistance to water flow in natural marshland drainage basins.

Gervin, J. C.↗

Predicting Energetics Materials’ Crystalline Density from Chemical Structure by Machine Learning

To expedite new molecular compound development, a long-sought goal within the chemistry community has been to predict molecules’ bulk properties of interest a priori to synthesis from a chemical structure alone. In this work, we demonstrate that machine learning methods can indeed be used to directly learn the relationship between chemical structures and bulk crystalline properties of molecules, even in the absence of any crystal structure information or quantum mechanical calculations. We focus specifically on a class of organic compounds categorized as energetic materials called high explosives (HE) and predicting their crystalline density. An ongoing challenge within the chemistry machine learning community is deciding how best to featurize molecules as inputs into machine learning models—whether expert handcrafted features or learned molecular representations via graph-based neural network models—yield better results and why. We evaluate both types of representations in combination with a number of machine learning models to predict the crystalline densities of HE-like molecules curated from the Cambridge Structural Database, and we report the performance and pros and cons of our methods. Our message passing neural network (MPNN) based models with learned molecular representations generally perform best, outperforming current state-of-the-art methods at predicting crystalline density and performing well even when testing on a data set not representative of the training data. However, these models are traditionally considered black boxes and less easily interpretable. Here, to address this common challenge, we also provide a comparison analysis between our MPNN-based model and models with fixed feature representations that provides insights as to what features are learned by the MPNN to accurately predict density.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Visual System for Browsing, Analysis, and Retrieval of Data (ViSBARD)

ViSBARD software provides a way of visualizing multiple vector and scalar quantities as measured by many spacecraft at once. The data are displayed three-dimensionally along the orbits that may be shown either as connected lines or as points. The data display allows the rapid determination of vector configurations, correlations among many measurements at multiple points, and global relationships. Things such as vector field rotations and dozens of simultaneous variables are very difficult to see in (complementary) panel plot representations. The current and next generations of space physics missions require a means to display from tens to hundreds of time series of data in such a way that the mind can comprehend them for the purposes of browsing data, retrieving them in directly useful form, and analyzing them in a global context. Sets of many spacecraft, each carrying many instruments yielding nearly continuous data at high time resolution, have become one of the most effective ways to make progress in understanding the extended, ionized (plasma) atmosphere of the Earth and the Sun. For large collections of data to be effective, they must be extremely readily accessible, with simple, comprehensible overviews of what is available. ViSBARD provides a means to answer these concerns. The ViSBARD package also acts as a remote repository browser; an interface to a Virtual Observatory. Therefore, data can be pulled directly into the application, as opposed to searching for it and downloading separately.

Roberts, Aaron↗

Bringing Molecular Dynamics Simulation Data into View

Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations monitor time-resolved motions of macromolecules. While visualization of MD trajectories allows an instant and intuitive understanding of dynamics and function, so far mainly static representations are provided in published literature. Recent advances in browser technology may allow for the sharing of trajectories through interactive visualization on the web. We believe that by providing intuitive and interactive visualization along with related protocols and analysis data promotes understanding, reliability, and re-usability of MD simulations. Existing barriers for sharing MD simulations are discussed and emerging solutions are highlighted. We predict that interactive visualization of MD trajectories will quickly be adopted by researchers, research consortiums, journals, and funding agencies to gather and distribute results from MD simulations via the web.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Concept of Operations of Next-Generation Traffic Control Utilizing Infrastructure-Based Cooperative Perception: Preprint

This paper puts forth a system architecture for an infrastructure-based cooperative perception (CP) fusion engine, to provide a complete state-space digital representation, with measurable accuracy, to support a wide-range of applications. The architecture includes the inputs, functional flow, data standardization recommendations, outputs and supported applications. The CP engine addresses critical needs with respect to accelerating the benefits of automation through intelligent roadway infrastructure (IRI), that complements and accelerates connected and automated vehicle (CAV) technology. that the CP acquires and fuses information from sensors (radar, LiDAR, and cameras), and CAVs to intelligently perceive roadway traffic states of all moving objects, create a complete three-dimensional digital representation of that state-space, and communicate it to downstream application such as intelligent signal control, safety and energy applications, and cooperate driving applications for CAVs as examples. The IRI approach, as opposed to a vehicle centric approach, is found to be more scalable in that it can deployed to the roughly 300,000 signalized intersections more readily than the over 300 million vehicles in the US, and accrues early-stage benefits equitable to all roadway users addressing safety, equity, fuel efficiency, and GHG reduction.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Reinforcement Learning Applied to Cognitive Space Communications

The future of space exploration depends on robust, reliable communication systems. As the number of such communication systems increase, automation is fast becoming a requirement to achieve this goal. A reinforcement learning solution can be employed as a possible automation method for such systems. The goal of this study is to build a reinforcement learning algorithm which optimizes data throughput of a single actor. A training environment was created to simulate a link within the NASA Space Communication and Navigation (SCaN) infrastructure, using state of the art simulation tools developed by the SCaN Center for Engineering, Networks, Integration, and Communications (SCENIC) laboratory at NASA Glenn Research Center to obtain the closest possible representation of the real operating environment. Reinforcement learning was then used to train an agent inside this environment to maximize data throughput. The simulation environment contained a single actor in low earth orbit capable of communicating with twenty-five ground stations that compose the Near-Earth Network (NEN). Initial experiments showed promising training results, so additional complexity was added by augmenting simulation data with link fading profiles obtained from real communication events with the International Space Station. A grid search was performed to find the optimal hyperparameters and model architecture for the agent. Using the results of the grid search, an agent was trained on the augmented training data. Testing shows that the agent performs well inside the training environment and can be used as a foundation for future studies with added complexity and eventually tested in the real space environment.

Schubert, Carson D.↗

Data Reduction Techniques for Simulation, Visualization and Data Analysis

Data reduction is increasingly being applied to scientific data for numerical simulations, scientific visualizations, and data analyses. It is most often used to lower I/O and storage costs, and sometimes to lower in-memory data size as well. With this work, we consider five categories of data reduction techniques based on their information loss: 1) truly lossless, 2) near lossless, 3) lossy, 4) mesh reduction, and 5) derived representations. We then survey available techniques in each of these categories, summarize their properties from a practical point of view, and discuss relative merits within a category. We believe, in total, this work will enable simulation scientists and visualization/data analysis scientists to decide which data reduction techniques will be most helpful for their needs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A new and updated resource for codon usage tables

Background: Due to the degeneracy of the genetic code, most amino acids can be encoded by multiple synonymous codons. Synonymous codons naturally occur with different frequencies in different organisms. The choice of codons may affect protein expression, structure, and function. Recombinant gene technologies commonly take advantage of the former effect by implementing a technique termed codon optimization, in which codons are replaced with synonymous ones in order to increase protein expression. This technique relies on the accurate knowledge of codon usage frequencies. Accurately quantifying codon usage bias for different organisms is useful not only for codon optimization, but also for evolutionary and translation studies: phylogenetic relations of organisms, and host-pathogen co-evolution relationships, may be explored through their codon usage similarities. Furthermore, codon usage has been shown to affect protein structure and function through interfering with translation kinetics, and cotranslational protein folding. Results: Despite the obvious need for accurate codon usage tables, currently available resources are either limited in scope, encompassing only organisms from specific domains of life, or greatly outdated. Taking advantage of the exponential growth of GenBank and the creation of NCBI’s RefSeq database, we have developed a new database, the High-performance Integrated Virtual Environment-Codon Usage Tables (HIVE-CUTs), to present and analyse codon usage tables for every organism with publicly available sequencing data. Compared to existing databases, this new database is more comprehensive, addresses concerns that limited the accuracy of earlier databases, and provides several new functionalities, such as the ability to view and compare codon usage between individual organisms and across taxonomical clades, through graphical representation or through commonly used indices. In addition, it is being routinely updated to keep up with the continuous flow of new data in GenBank and RefSeq. Conclusion: Given the impact of codon usage bias on recombinant gene technologies, this database will facilitate effective development and review of recombinant drug products and will be instrumental in a wide area of biological research. The database is available at hive.biochemistry.gwu.edu/review/codon.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Three-dimensional representation of a spacecraft's trajectory

A method and a computer system with a specialized graphic user interface for processing trajectory data of a spacecraft and planets. The preferred graphic user interface is capable of representing the orbital trajectory of the spacecraft traveling from one planet to another in 3D and providing user interactions to display the orbit information at any time and position.

Quan, Alan↗

Automating Genetic Algorithm Mutations for Molecules Using a Masked Language Model

Inspired by the evolution of biological systems, genetic algorithms have been applied to generate solutions for optimization problems in a variety of scientific and engineering disciplines. For a given problem, a suitable genome representation must be defined along with a mutation operator to generate subsequent generations. Unlike natural systems which display a variety of complex rearrangements (e.g. mobile genetic elements), mutation for genetic algorithms commonly utilizes only random point-wise changes. Furthermore, generalizing beyond point-wise mutations poses a key difficulty as useful genome rearrangements depend on the representation and problem domain. To move beyond the limitations of manually defined point-wise changes, here we propose the use of techniques from masked language models to automatically generate mutations. As a first step, common subsequences within a given population are used to generate a vocabulary. The vocabulary is then used to tokenize each genome. A masked language model is trained on the tokenized data in order to generate possible rearrangements (i.e. mutations). In order to illustrate the proposed strategy, we use string representations of molecules and use a genetic algorithm to optimize for drug-likeness and synthesizability. Finally, our results show that moving beyond random point-wise mutations accelerates genetic algorithm optimization.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

MaROS: Information Management Service

This software is provided by the Mars Relay Operations Service (MaROS) task to a variety of Mars projects for the purpose of coordinating communications sessions between landed spacecraft assets and orbiting spacecraft assets at Mars. The Information Management Service centralizes a set of functions previously distributed across multiple spacecraft operations teams, and as such, greatly improves visibility into the end-to-end strategic coordination process. Most of the process revolves around the scheduling of communications sessions between the spacecraft during periods of time when a landed asset on Mars is geometrically visible by an orbiting spacecraft. These relay sessions are used to transfer data both to and from the landed asset via the orbiting asset on behalf of Earth-based spacecraft operators. This software component is an application process running as a Java virtual machine. The component provides all service interfaces via a Representational State Transfer (REST) protocol over https to external clients. There are two general interaction modes with the service: upload and download of data. For data upload, the service must execute logic specific to the upload data type and trigger any applicable calculations including pass delivery latencies and overflight conflicts. For data download, the software must retrieve and correlate requested information and deliver to the requesting client. The provision of this service enables several key advancements over legacy processes and systems. For one, this service represents the first time that end-to-end relay information is correlated into a single shared repository. The software also provides the first multimission latency calculator; previous latency calculations had been performed on a mission-by-mission basis.

Allard, Daniel A.↗