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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Comparing Automated Posterior Estimation Techniques for Modeling Strong Lenses In Ground-based Survey Data

Current and future ground-based cosmological surveys, such as the Dark Energy Survey (DES), and the Vera Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), are predicted to discover thousands to tens of thousands of strong gravitational lenses. The large number of strong lenses discoverable in future surveys will make strong lensing a highly competitive and complementary cosmic probe. However, conventional lens modeling techniques are unable to scale up to the sheer number of lenses that will be discovered through upcoming surveys. Therefore, the use of automated lens analysis techniques is necessary. We demonstrate that machine learning methods can be used to automate the inference of informative model posteriors of strong lensing systems in ground-based surveys with credible uncertainty estimation. We present two Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) approaches for lens parameter estimation of galaxy-galaxy lenses. We demonstrate applications of Neural Posteriors Estima tors (NPEs) and Bayesian Neural Network (BNNs) to automate the inference of a 12-parameter lensing system for DES-like ground-based imaging data. We apply a suite of diagnostics (e.g., posterior coverage and SBC) to validate the performance of our methods. We find that NPEs outperform the BNN, producing posterior distributions that are for the most part both more accurate and more precise; in particular, several source-light model parameters are systematically biased in the BNN implementation.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2013

The δN formula is the dynamical renormalization group

We derive the 'separate universe' method for the inflationary bispectrum, beginning directly from a field-theory calculation. We work to tree-level in quantum effects but to all orders in the slow-roll expansion, with masses accommodated perturbatively. Our method provides a systematic basis to account for novel sources of time-dependence in inflationary correlation functions, and has immediate applications. First, we use our result to obtain the correct matching prescription between the 'quantum' and 'classical' parts of the separate universe computation. Second, we elaborate on the application of this method in situations where its validity is not clear. As a by-product of our calculation we give the leading slow-roll corrections to the three-point function of field fluctuations on spatially flat hypersurfaces in a canonical, multiple-field model.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2020

Glycolate Analysis in Tank 22: Developing and Testing Analytical Methods for the Savannah River Site Liquid Waste System

Researchers developed and tested a range of techniques to support a low mg/L Limit of Quantitation (LOQ) of glycolate in radioactive Tank 22 waste solution by Ion Chromatography (IC) and by proton NMR. For the IC method, Dionex OnGuard II cartridges were tested as a means of removing alkali earth and transition metals that can interfere during ion chromatography applications especially when analyzing for low-concentration, chelating analytes. Additionally, concentrations of nitrate in the raw Tank 22 sample (5,000 to 10,000 mg/L) were managed by using reasonable levels of sample dilution. The resulting IC performance quality was enhanced by improving the baseline, increasing sensitivity [Limit of Quantitation (LOQ) of 12 mg/L and Limit of Detection (LOD) of 4.0 mg/L], and resolving analytes into well-defined Gaussian peaks when using the Dionex OnGuard II H⁺ cartridges to remove matrix interferences. High concentrations of nitrate limited the performance of the IC method. To achieve an acceptable baseline, samples with high nitrate content require more dilution, resulting in higher detection limits. Tests on samples with higher concentrations of nitrate (Tank 30 and 32 supernate with approximately 150000 mg/L nitrate) suggested that IC detection limits for glycolate in these samples would be > 500 mg/L. Thus, an LOQ of 12 mg/L is not feasible by this IC method on evaporator feed samples. An alternative method of glycolate analysis, using proton nuclear magnetic resonance (H NMR), was developed by the research team. In initial tests, the H NMR technique provided reasonable quantitation of glycolate in Tank 22 conditions by direct observation of the liquid. The H NMR method may provide improved detection limits for solutions with higher nitrate concentrations. We recommend further development of this analysis for high nitrate LWS samples such as evaporator feed and evaporator drop tank content. A method for pretreatment of samples using crystalline silicotitanate (CST) was developed and tested. The objective of the pretreatment was to facilitate analysis of samples with higher levels of radioactivity. The pretreatment did not influence the glycolate concentration in solution, and the pretreatment is projected to reduce Cs 137 activity in a sample by a factor of 16,200. The double strike CST pretreatment was demonstrated and would allow milliliters of higher activity samples to be transferred from the Shielded Cells and handled in a containment unit for glycolate analysis. The various studies validated IC and H NMR methods for glycolate analysis, defined the range of applicability, and demonstrated key supporting analytical protocols. Based on the results, high quality glycolate analysis of Tank 22 is feasible down to approximately 12 mg/L, with the potential for broader applicability of the methods to other conditions in the Savannah River Site Liquid Waste System (LWS).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2018

Identifying Sociomarkers of Pediatric Asthma Patients at Risk of Hospital Revisiting

ObjectiveAsthma is one of the most common chronic childhood diseases in the United States [2, 3]. In addition to its pervasiveness, pediatric asthma shows high sensitivity to the environment. Combining medical-social dataset with machine learning methods we demonstrate how socio-markers play an important role in identifying patients at risk of hospital revisits due to pediatric asthma within a year.IntroductionA socio-marker is a measurable indicator of social conditions where a patient is embedded in and exposed to, being analogous with a biomarker indicating the severity or presence of some disease state. Social factors are one of the most clinical health determinants [1], which play a critical role in explaining health outcomes. Socio-markers can help medical practitioners and researchers to reliably identify high-risk individuals in a timely manner.MethodsWe collected data from three different sources: pediatric asthma encounter records from Jan 1st, 2016 to Dec 31st, 2016 at a children’s hospital, the 2010 U.S census data and neighborhood quality survey data by Memphis Property Hub. After merging these datasets we examine the effect of social features in identifying the patients who visited the hospital more than once during the observation period. We only use the first time visit (3,678 cases) to avoid over-counting of the same patients. In addition to demographic features (age, gender, insurance type, and race (African American and White)), we incorporate the social features such as the proportion of individuals living below the federal poverty level, blight prevalence, neighborhood quality, neighborhood quality inequality, trash dumping presence, the broken window pervasiveness within the zip code area of patients’ residence are included.We then implemented a Support Vector Machine (SVM) based classification model using abovementioned 11 social features. The classification outcome is either patient visits the hospital only one-time (class 0) or revisits the hospital within a year (class 1). Among 3,678 unique patients in the dataset, only 823 pediatric patients revisited hospital with asthma. So, to overcome the class imbalance issue, we have used 823 patients’ data (randomly selected in 1,000 iterations) from each class. Further, to avoid overfitting and ensure generalizability, we divided the dataset as training, test, and validation with a proportion of 60%, 20%, and 20%, respectively. The reported test (5-folds cross-validation using training and testing data) and validation accuracy of the SVM method are averaged over 1,000 iterations to avoid sampling error and bias.ResultsThe proposed socio-marker model resulted in an average classification accuracy of 63.70% for the test set and 63.67 % for the validation set. Further, the average specificity (the total true negative cases divided by the sum of true negative and false positive) and sensitivity (the total number of true positive cases divided by the sum of positive predicted cases) is found to be 62.79% and 64.77%, respectively for the test set and 62.79% and 64.83%, respectively for the validation set. Results of this study suggest that socio-marker features that are not directly related to a patient’s medical conditions can still predict whether the patient will come back to the hospital within a year or not with approximately 64% accuracy.ConclusionsBringing the socio-marker features in the surveillance system may ease the burden of detecting the patients at risk of revisiting the hospital. The results should be interpreted with caution because we only used 12-month period of observation and the visit beyond the observation window is not considered. Also the patients may have visited different hospitals which are not captured in the data.References1. Booske BC, Athens JK, Kindig DA, Park H, Remington PL: Different perspectives for assigning weights to determinants of health. University of Wisconsin: Population Health Institute 2010.2. Subbarao P, Mandhane PJ, Sears MR: Asthma: epidemiology, etiology and risk factors. Canadian Medical Association Journal 2009, 181(9):E181-E190.3. Gold DR, Wright R: Population disparities in asthma. Annu Rev Public Health 2005, 26:89-113.

Shin, Eun Kyong↗
DOE OSTI2020

Deep Reinforcement Learning Based Volt-VAR Optimization in Smart Distribution Systems

This paper develops a model-free volt-VAR optimization (VVO) algorithm via multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in unbalanced distribution systems. This method is novel since we cast the VVO problem in distribution networks to an intelligent deep Q-network (DQN) framework, which avoids solving a specific optimization model directly when facing time-varying operating conditions in the systems. We consider statuses/ratios of switchable capacitors, voltage regulators, and smart inverters installed at distributed generators as the action variables of the agents. A delicately designed reward function guides these agents to interact with the distribution system, in the direction of reinforcing voltage regulation and power loss reduction simultaneously. The forward-backward sweep method for radial three-phase distribution systems provides accurate power flow results within a few iterations to the DRL environment. The proposed method realizes the dual goals for VVO. We test this algorithm on the unbalanced IEEE 13-bus and 123-bus systems. Numerical simulations validate the excellent performance of this method in voltage regulation and power loss reduction.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗
DOE OSTI2014

TH-A-18C-07: Noise Suppression in Material Decomposition for Dual-Energy CT

Purpose: A general problem of dual-energy CT (DECT) is that the decomposition is sensitive to noise in the two sets of dual-energy projection data, resulting in severely degraded qualities of decomposed images. We have previously proposed an iterative denoising method for DECT. Using a linear decomposition function, the method does not gain the full benefits of DECT on beam-hardening correction. In this work, we expand the framework of our iterative method to include non-linear decomposition models for noise suppression in DECT. Methods: We first obtain decomposed projections, which are free of beam-hardening artifacts, using a lookup table pre-measured on a calibration phantom. First-pass material images with high noise are reconstructed from the decomposed projections using standard filter-backprojection reconstruction. Noise on the decomposed images is then suppressed by an iterative method, which is formulated in the form of least-square estimation with smoothness regularization. Based on the design principles of a best linear unbiased estimator, we include the inverse of the estimated variance-covariance matrix of the decomposed images as the penalty weight in the least-square term. Analytical formulae are derived to compute the variance-covariance matrix from the measured decomposition lookup table. Results: We have evaluated the proposed method via phantom studies. Using non-linear decomposition, our method effectively suppresses the streaking artifacts of beam-hardening and obtains more uniform images than our previous approach based on a linear model. The proposed method reduces the average noise standard deviation of two basis materials by one order of magnitude without sacrificing the spatial resolution. Conclusion: We propose a general framework of iterative denoising for material decomposition of DECT. Preliminary phantom studies have shown the proposed method improves the image uniformity and reduces noise level without resolution loss. In the future, we will perform more phantom studies to further validate the performance of the purposed method. This work is supported by a Varian MRA grant.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

An Uncertainty Management Framework for Integrated Gas-Electric Energy Systems

In many parts of the world, electric power systems have seen a significant shift toward generation from renewable energy and natural gas. Because of their ability to flexibly adjust power generation in real time, gas-fired power plants are frequently seen as the perfect partner for variable renewable generation. However, this reliance on gas generation increases interdependence and propagates uncertainty between power grids and gas pipelines and brings coordination and uncertainty management challenges. To address these issues, we propose an uncertainty management framework for uncertain, but bounded gas consumption by gas-fired power plants. The admissible ranges are computed based on a joint optimization problem for the combined gas and electricity networks, which involves chance-constrained scheduling for the electric grid and a novel robust optimization formulation for the natural-gas network. This formulation ensures feasibility of the integrated system with a high probability, while providing a tractable numerical formulation. A key advance with respect to existing methods is that our method is based on a physically accurate, validated model for transient gas pipeline flows. Our case study benchmarks our proposed formulation against methods that ignore how reserve activation impacts the fuel use of gas power plants and only consider predetermined gas consumption. Here, the results demonstrate the importance of considering uncertainty to avoid operating constraint violations and curtailment of gas to the generators.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2016

Sci-Fri AM: MRI and Diagnostic Imaging - 05: Comparison of Input Function Measurements from DCE and MOLLI

Dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE)-MRI is a technique for obtaining tissue hemodynamic information (e.g. tumours). Despite widespread clinical application of DCE-MRI, the technique suffers from a lack of standardization and accuracy, especially with respect to the concentration-versus-time of gadolinium (Gd) in feeding arteries (the input function, IF). MR phase has a linear quantitative relationship with Gd concentration ([Gd]), making it ideal for measuring the first-pass of the IF, but is not considered accurate in the steady-state washout. Modified Look-Locker Inversion Recovery (MOLLI) is a fast and accurate method to measure T1 and has been validated to quantify typical [Gd] ranges experienced in the washout of the IF. Two different methods to measure the IF for DCE-MRI were compared: 1) conventional phase-versus-time (“Phase-only”) and 2) phase-versus-time combined with pre- and post-DCE MOLLI T1 measurements (“Phase+MOLLI”). The IF obtained from Phase+MOLLI was calculated from MOLLI T1 values and known relaxivity, then added to the Phase-only acquisition with the washout IF subtracted. A significant difference was observed between IF values for [Gd] between the Phase-only and Phase+MOLLI acquisitions (P = 0.03). To ensure the IFs from MOLLI T1s were accurate, it was compared to [Gd] obtained from “gold-standard” inversion recovery (IR). MOLLI showed excellent agreement with IR when imaged in static phantoms (r{sup 2} = 0.997, P = 0.001). The Phase+MOLLI IF was more accurate than the Phase-only IF in measuring the washout. The Phase+MOLLI acquisition may therefore provide a DCE-MRI reference standard that could lead to better clinical diagnoses.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

De novo design of D-peptide ligands: Application to influenza virus hemagglutinin

D-peptides hold great promise as therapeutics by alleviating the challenges of metabolic stability and immunogenicity in L-peptides. However, current D-peptide discovery methods are severely limited by specific size, structure, and the chemical synthesizability of their protein targets. Here, we describe a computational method for de novo design of D-peptides that bind to an epitope of interest on the target protein using Rosetta’s hotspot-centric approach. The approach comprises identifying hotspot sidechains in a functional protein–protein interaction and grafting these side chains onto much smaller structured peptide scaffolds of opposite chirality. The approach enables more facile design of D-peptides and its applicability is demonstrated by design of D-peptidic binders of influenza A virus hemagglutinin, resulting in identification of multiple D-peptide lead series. The X-ray structure of one of the leads at 2.38 Å resolution verifies the validity of the approach. This method should be generally applicable to targets with detailed structural information, independent of molecular size, and accelerate development of stable, peptide-based therapeutics.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reversible Interfacial Hydride Transfer as a Complementary Tool To Measure Molecular Hydricity

Hydride transfer is an essential elementary reaction across the chemical value chain, but there are limited methods available for quantifying thermodynamic hydricity (ΔG H- ), particularly among main group reagents. Herein, we exploit facile H 2 activation and reversible hydride transfer from a metal surface to a molecular reagent, the net hydrogen reduction reaction (HRR), to develop a potentiometric method for quantifying ΔG H- of main group reagents recalcitrant to conventional methods. HRR potentiometry is first validated with a benzimidazole-based hydride donor and then applied to uncover the impact of the reaction environment on hydricity. For a benzimidazole-based hydride donor, HRR equilibrium potentials are roughly invariant across solvents, indicating that the solvent dependence of its hydricity largely reflects the differential solvation of H - across media. For formate, HRR potentials and corresponding hydricities depend strongly on water content. Additionally, for borohydrides, HRR potentiometry reveals that effective hydricity values are strongly influenced by Lewis acid-base adduct formation with the hydride acceptor but are minimally influenced by the countercation. Together with these studies, the advantages, limitations, and practical considerations of the HRR potentiometry method are discussed, highlighting the power of this methodology as a complementary tool to measure molecular hydricity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Small-scale validation tests for MFIX-Exa CFD-DEM

This report describes several bench-scale fluidization experiments that can be used to validate the CFD-DEM method as encapsulated in the MFIX-Exa code. The five cases considered are the cold-flow fluidized beds of Müller et al., Link et al. (spout-fluid), and Goldschmidt et al. (bi-disperse), the hot fluidized bed of Patil et al., and the adsorbing fluidized bed of Li et al. and Janssen. In most cases, MFIX-Exa with “standard” or “typical” CFD-DEM settings, the Gidaspow drag model, and the Gunn heat transfer provide a relatively good prediction of the quantities considered: mean void fraction profiles, mean velocity profiles, fluctuating velocity profiles, mean particle temperature and segregation index. These results, with other verification and validation tests reported elsewhere, contribute to a body of work providing confidence and credibility in CFD predictions from the MFIX-Exa code.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

JARVIS-Leaderboard: a large scale benchmark of materials design methods

Abstract Lack of rigorous reproducibility and validation are significant hurdles for scientific development across many fields. Materials science, in particular, encompasses a variety of experimental and theoretical approaches that require careful benchmarking. Leaderboard efforts have been developed previously to mitigate these issues. However, a comprehensive comparison and benchmarking on an integrated platform with multiple data modalities with perfect and defect materials data is still lacking. This work introduces JARVIS-Leaderboard, an open-source and community-driven platform that facilitates benchmarking and enhances reproducibility. The platform allows users to set up benchmarks with custom tasks and enables contributions in the form of dataset, code, and meta-data submissions. We cover the following materials design categories: Artificial Intelligence (AI), Electronic Structure (ES), Force-fields (FF), Quantum Computation (QC), and Experiments (EXP). For AI, we cover several types of input data, including atomic structures, atomistic images, spectra, and text. For ES, we consider multiple ES approaches, software packages, pseudopotentials, materials, and properties, comparing results to experiment. For FF, we compare multiple approaches for material property predictions. For QC, we benchmark Hamiltonian simulations using various quantum algorithms and circuits. Finally, for experiments, we use the inter-laboratory approach to establish benchmarks. There are 1281 contributions to 274 benchmarks using 152 methods with more than 8 million data points, and the leaderboard is continuously expanding. The JARVIS-Leaderboard is available at the website: https://pages.nist.gov/jarvis_leaderboard/

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2015

Toward accurate tooth segmentation from computed tomography images using a hybrid level set model

Purpose: A three-dimensional (3D) model of the teeth provides important information for orthodontic diagnosis and treatment planning. Tooth segmentation is an essential step in generating the 3D digital model from computed tomography (CT) images. The aim of this study is to develop an accurate and efficient tooth segmentation method from CT images. Methods: The 3D dental CT volumetric images are segmented slice by slice in a two-dimensional (2D) transverse plane. The 2D segmentation is composed of a manual initialization step and an automatic slice by slice segmentation step. In the manual initialization step, the user manually picks a starting slice and selects a seed point for each tooth in this slice. In the automatic slice segmentation step, a developed hybrid level set model is applied to segment tooth contours from each slice. Tooth contour propagation strategy is employed to initialize the level set function automatically. Cone beam CT (CBCT) images of two subjects were used to tune the parameters. Images of 16 additional subjects were used to validate the performance of the method. Volume overlap metrics and surface distance metrics were adopted to assess the segmentation accuracy quantitatively. The volume overlap metrics were volume difference (VD, mm{sup 3}) and Dice similarity coefficient (DSC, %). The surface distance metrics were average symmetric surface distance (ASSD, mm), RMS (root mean square) symmetric surface distance (RMSSSD, mm), and maximum symmetric surface distance (MSSD, mm). Computation time was recorded to assess the efficiency. The performance of the proposed method has been compared with two state-of-the-art methods. Results: For the tested CBCT images, the VD, DSC, ASSD, RMSSSD, and MSSD for the incisor were 38.16 ± 12.94 mm{sup 3}, 88.82 ± 2.14%, 0.29 ± 0.03 mm, 0.32 ± 0.08 mm, and 1.25 ± 0.58 mm, respectively; the VD, DSC, ASSD, RMSSSD, and MSSD for the canine were 49.12 ± 9.33 mm{sup 3}, 91.57 ± 0.82%, 0.27 ± 0.02 mm, 0.28 ± 0.03 mm, and 1.06 ± 0.40 mm, respectively; the VD, DSC, ASSD, RMSSSD, and MSSD for the premolar were 37.95 ± 10.13 mm{sup 3}, 92.45 ± 2.29%, 0.29 ± 0.06 mm, 0.33 ± 0.10 mm, and 1.28 ± 0.72 mm, respectively; the VD, DSC, ASSD, RMSSSD, and MSSD for the molar were 52.38 ± 17.27 mm{sup 3}, 94.12 ± 1.38%, 0.30 ± 0.08 mm, 0.35 ± 0.17 mm, and 1.52 ± 0.75 mm, respectively. The computation time of the proposed method for segmenting CBCT images of one subject was 7.25 ± 0.73 min. Compared with two other methods, the proposed method achieves significant improvement in terms of accuracy. Conclusions: The presented tooth segmentation method can be used to segment tooth contours from CT images accurately and efficiently.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Point Adversarial Self-Mining: A Simple Method for Facial Expression Recognition

In this article, we propose a simple yet effective approach, called point adversarial self mining (PASM), to improve the recognition accuracy in facial expression recognition (FER). Unlike previous works focusing on designing specific architectures or loss functions to solve this problem, PASM boosts the network capability by simulating human learning processes: providing updated learning materials and guidance from more capable teachers. Specifically, to generate new learning materials, PASM leverages a point adversarial attack method and a trained teacher network to locate the most informative position related to the target task, generating harder learning samples to refine the network. The searched position is highly adaptive since it considers both the statistical information of each sample and the teacher network capability. Other than being provided new learning materials, the student network also receives guidance from the teacher network. After the student network finishes training, the student network changes its role and acts as a teacher, generating new learning materials and providing stronger guidance to train a better student network. Here, the adaptive learning materials generation and teacher/student update can be conducted more than one time, improving the network capability iteratively. Extensive experimental results validate the efficacy of our method over the existing state of the arts for FER.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unlocking hidden information in sparse small-angle neutron scattering measurements

Hypothesis Small-Angle Neutron Scattering (SANS) is a powerful technique for studying soft matter systems such as colloids, polymers, and lyotropic phases, providing nanoscale structural insights. However, its effectiveness is limited by low neutron flux, leading to long acquisition times and noisy data. Here, we hypothesize that Bayesian statistical inference using Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) can reconstruct high-fidelity scattering data from sparse measurements by leveraging intensity smoothness and continuity. Experiments and Simulations The method was benchmarked computationally and validated through SANS experiments on various soft matter systems, including wormlike micelles, colloidal suspensions, polymeric structures, and lyotropic phases. GPR-based inference was applied to both experimental and synthetic data to evaluate its effectiveness in noise reduction and intensity reconstruction. Findings GPR significantly enhances SANS data quality and therefore reducing measurement times by up to two orders of magnitude. This cost-effective approach maximizes experimental efficiency, enabling high-throughput studies and real-time monitoring of dynamic systems. It is particularly beneficial for weakly scattering and time-sensitive studies. Beyond SANS, this framework applies to other low-SNR techniques, including laboratory-based small-angle X-ray scattering and various dynamical scattering methods. Furthermore, it offers transformative potential for compact neutron sources, enhancing their viability for structural analysis in resource-limited settings.

Small angle neutron scattering↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analytics-at-scale of Sensor Data for Digital Monitoring in Nuclear Plants (3 rd Annual Report)

Nuclear power plants collect and store large volumes of heterogeneous data from various components and systems. With recent advances in machine learning (ML) techniques, these data can be leveraged to develop diagnostic and short-term forecasting models to better predict future equipment condition. Maintenance operations can then be planned in advance whenever degraded performance is predicted, thus resulting in fewer unplanned outages and the optimization of maintenance activities. This enables lower maintenance costs and improves the overall economics of nuclear power. This report primarily focuses on developing a short-term forecasting process that leverages a feature selection process to distill large volumes of heterogeneous data and predict specific equipment parameters. A variety of feature selection methods, including Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and variance inflation factor (VIF), were used to select the optimal features as inputs for three ML methods: long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF). Each combination of model and input features was used to predict a pump bearing temperature both 1 and 24 hours in advance, based on actual plant system data. The optimal inputs for the LSTM and SVR were selected using the SHAP values, while the optimal input for the RF consisted solely of the response variable itself. Each model produced similar 1-hour-ahead predictions, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) of roughly 0.006. For the 24-hour-ahead predictions, differences could be seen between LSTM, SVR, and RF, as reflected by model performances of 0.036 ± 0.014, 0.0026 ± 0, and 0.063 ± 0.004 RMSE, respectively. As big data and continuous online monitoring become more widely available, the proposed feature selection process can be used for many applications beyond the prediction of process parameters within nuclear infrastructure. This report summarizes the Fiscal Year 2021 research progress encompassing the (1) data cleaning and feature selection necessary for ML applications; (2) development of short-term forecasting models to predict future plant process parameters for both single and multiple time steps ahead; and (3) validation of the feature selection methods and short-term forecasting models given new data from different systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

A method for characterization of multiple dynamic constitutive parameters of FRCs

We propose a method to measure multiple dynamic material constitutive parameters of unidirectional fiber reinforced composites (FRCs) in a single experiment. Dynamic short-beam shear (DSBS) experiments were performed on a modified Kolsky compression bar, with integration of high-speed imaging and digital image correlation (DIC). The unidirectional FRCs investigated were S-2 glass fiber reinforced matrix of TGDDM-Jeffamine® D230 with monoamine functionalized partially reacted substructures (mPRS) and commercially available SC-15. Analytical solutions of normal and shear strains of a composite beam were derived based on Timoshenko beam theory, assuming material to be transversely isotropic and have different moduli in tension and compression in each principle material orientation. Tensile and compressive moduli were inversely computed through monitoring normal strain slope when specimen was constantly loaded at a speed of ~7.3 m/s within a small deflection. Non-linear shear stress-strain behavior of the composite was described via Ramberg–Osgood equation. Finite element (FE) analysis was conducted in ABAQUS, simultaneously defining via user subroutine UMAT the transverse isotropy of material, bi-modulus constitutive model, and non-linear shear stress-strain relation. The method proposed in this work was validated by comparing strain distributions computed by FE model and DIC measurements. Comparing with traditional dynamic tensile, compressive, and shear experiments on FRCs, this method significantly simplifies the specimen preparation and design of complicated gripping fixtures for multiple experiments. Here, systematic errors resulting from variations of specimen geometry and dimension, loading direction, and instrumentation are reduced, thereby providing compatible data for numerical studies on impact behavior of composites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

A novel method for thermal noise reduction, enabling measurements of broadband, low-amplitude electron temperature fluctuations using individual radiometer channels

A new analysis method has been developed for measurements of broadband, low-amplitude turbulent electron temperature fluctuations in fusion plasmas using individual radiometer channels of a correlation electron cyclotron emission diagnostic. This method takes advantage of differences in the correlation time of thermal noise compared to the correlation time of plasma fluctuations in fusion reactors. The validation of this single-channel method is demonstrated using comparisons with the standard dual-channel radiometer spectral decorrelation method for measurements of turbulent electron temperature fluctuations in the core and edge of low confinement (L), improved confinement (I), and high confinement (H)-mode plasmas at the ASDEX Upgrade tokamak.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗