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At least 1,747 records · Page 97

Revenue prediction for integrated renewable energy and energy storage system using machine learning techniques

Revenue estimation for integrated renewable energy and energy storage systems is important to support plant owners or operators’ decisions in battery sizing selection that leads to maximized financial performances. A common approach to optimizing revenues of a hybrid hydro and energy storage system is using mixed-integer linear programming (MILP). Although MILP models can provide accurate production cost estimations, they are typically very computationally expensive. To provide a fast yet accurate first-step information to hydropower plant owners or operators who consider integrating energy storage systems, we propose an innovative approach to predicting optimal revenues of an integrated energy generation and storage system. In this study, we examined the performance of two prediction techniques: Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) and machine learning (ML) models developed based on artificial neural networks (ANN). Predictive equations and models are generated based on optimized solutions from a market participation optimization model, the Conventional Hydropower Energy and Environmental Resource System (CHEERS) model. The two predicting techniques reduce the computational time to evaluate annual revenue for one set of battery configurations from 3 h to 1 to 4 min per run while also being implementable with significantly less data. The model validation prediction errors of developed GAMs and ML models are generally below 5%; for model testing predictions, the ML models consistently outperform the regression equations in terms of root mean square errors. This new approach allows plant owners, operators, or potential investors to quickly access multiple battery configurations under different energy generation and market scenarios. This new revenue prediction method will therefore help reduce the barriers, and thereby promoting the deployment of battery hybridization with existing renewable energy sources.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

In silico design of microporous polymers for chemical separations and storage

Polymers of intrinsic microporosity (PIMs) are a family of materials with potential to be effective and scalable solutions for challenging adsorbent and membrane applications. The broad range of repeat unit chemistry, microporous structural features, and polymer processing makes exploration of the expansive PIM design space inefficient via chemical and materials intuition alone. Computational techniques such as molecular simulations and machine learning can provide a leap in capabilities to address this polymer design challenge and will be central to the future development of PIMs. In this work, we highlight recent microporous material studies that arrived at key results by employing computational techniques and provide our perspective on the prospects for in silico design and development of PIMs.

adsorption↗

Molecular property prediction for very large databases with natural language processing: a case study in ionic liquid design

The prospect of using artificial intelligence (AI) to accurately screen very large databases of compounds for multiple properties has yet to be realized. Here, we explore this possibility using ionic liquids (ILs) which offer unique physicochemical properties and excellent tunability, making them highly versatile solvents for various research applications. Screening millions of potential ILs for the best perfomance for use in specific tasks with experimental methods alone however, is impractical. Further, traditional’ physics-based computational chemistry is hindered by high computational cost. To address this challenge, we leverage a natural language processing (NLP)-based molecular embedding technique with advanced machine learning (ML) models to predict seven key IL properties: viscosity, density, ionic conductivity, surface tension, melting temperature, toxicity, and water solubility. Comprehensive datasets for these properties are obtained, then NLP featurization with Mol2vec is compared with other featurization techniques such as 2D Morgan fingerprints, and 3D quantum chemistry-derived sigma profiles. NLP-based featurization exhibited the best predictive performance, achieving the highest R 2 and lowest RMSE values for all the studied IL properties. Further, we present case studies of how ILs might be screened using combined property criteria for practical cases – lignocellulosic biomass processing, CO 2 capture, and optimal electrolytes for batteries – screening a novel database of ∼10.6 million generated feasible ILs. The results introduce NLP as a powerful tool for engineering many designer solvents with desirable properties for task specific applications.

Mohan, Mood [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL),↗

On ultrafast x-ray scattering methods for magnetism

With the introduction of x-ray free electron laser sources around the world, new scientific approaches for visualizing matter at fundamental length and time-scales have become possible. As it relates to magnetism and ‘magnetic-type’ systems, advanced methods are being developed for studying ultrafast magnetic responses on the time-scales at which they occur. We describe three capabilities which have the potential to seed new directions in this area and present original results from each: pump-probe x-ray scattering with low energy excitation, x-ray photon fluctuation spectroscopy, and ultrafast diffuse x-ray scattering. By combining these experimental techniques with advanced modeling together with machine learning, we describe how the combination of these domains allows for a new understanding in the field of magnetism. Finally, we give an outlook for future areas of investigation and the newly developed instruments which will take us there.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Reinterpreting fundamental plane correlations with machine learning

ABSTRACT This work explores the relationships between galaxy sizes and related observable galaxy properties in a large volume cosmological hydrodynamical simulation. The objectives of this work are to develop a better understanding of both the correlations between galaxy properties and the influence of environment on galaxy physics in order to build an improved model for the galaxy sizes, building off of the fundamental plane. With an accurate intrinsic galaxy size predictor, the residuals in the observed galaxy sizes can potentially be used for multiple cosmological applications, including making measurements of galaxy velocities in spectroscopic samples, estimating the rate of cosmic expansion, and constraining the uncertainties in the photometric redshifts of galaxies. Using projection pursuit regression, the model accurately predicts intrinsic galaxy sizes and have residuals which have limited correlation with galaxy properties. The model decreases the spatial correlation of galaxy size residuals by a factor of ∼5 at small scales compared to the baseline correlation when the mean size is used as a predictor.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Bridging length scales in hard materials with ultra-small angle X-ray scattering – a critical review

Owing to their exceptional properties, hard materials such as advanced ceramics, metals and composites have enormous economic and societal value, with applications across numerous industries. Understanding their microstructural characteristics is crucial for enhancing their performance, materials development and unleashing their potential for future innovative applications. However, their microstructures are unambiguously hierarchical and typically span several length scales, from sub-ångstrom to micrometres, posing demanding challenges for their characterization, especially for in situ characterization which is critical to understanding the kinetic processes controlling microstructure formation. This review provides a comprehensive description of the rapidly developing technique of ultra-small angle X-ray scattering (USAXS), a nondestructive method for probing the nano-to-micrometre scale features of hard materials. USAXS and its complementary techniques, when developed for and applied to hard materials, offer valuable insights into their porosity, grain size, phase composition and inhomogeneities. We discuss the fundamental principles, instrumentation, advantages, challenges and global status of USAXS for hard materials. Using selected examples, we demonstrate the potential of this technique for unveiling the microstructural characteristics of hard materials and its relevance to advanced materials development and manufacturing process optimization. We also provide our perspective on the opportunities and challenges for the continued development of USAXS, including multimodal characterization, coherent scattering, time-resolved studies, machine learning and autonomous experiments. Our goal is to stimulate further implementation and exploration of USAXS techniques and inspire their broader adoption across various domains of hard materials science, thereby driving the field toward discoveries and further developments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Detecting Anomalies for Fire Prevention in Distribution Systems: Challenges and Analytical Techniques

Electric utilities in California have historically been linked to up to 10% of wildfires. To mitigate this risk, Southern California Edison has invested significantly in wildfire prevention strategies, including undergrounding cables and enhancing equipment inspections. This article explores a novel approach to fire prevention by detecting anomalies in the distribution system that may indicate potential fire hazards. The focus is on identifying arcing conditions through high-resolution point-on-wave (POW) measurements. Arcing, a precursor to fires, is challenging to detect due to its subtle transients and complex system topology. The article discusses the use of advanced signal processing and machine learning techniques, such as spectral correlation function and discrete wavelet transform, to extract features from POW data and accurately identify arcing events. The study demonstrates a high accuracy rate in detecting arcing, paving the way for improved fire prevention measures in electric distribution systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The critical importance of software for HEP

Particle physics has an ambitious and broad global experimental programme for the coming decades. Large investments in building new facilities are already underway or under consideration. Scaling the present processing power and data storage needs by the foreseen increase in data rates in the next decade for HL-LHC is not sustainable within the current budgets. As a result, a more efficient usage of computing resources is required in order to realise the physics potential of future experiments. Software and computing are an integral part of experimental design, trigger and data acquisition, simulation, reconstruction, and analysis, as well as related theoretical predictions. A significant investment in computing and software is therefore critical. Advances in software and computing, including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), will be key for solving these challenges. Making better use of new processing hardware such as graphical processing units (GPUs) or ARM chips is a growing trend. This forms part of a computing solution that makes efficient use of facilities and contributes to the reduction of the environmental footprint of HEP computing. The HEP community already provided a roadmap for software and computing for the last EPPSU, and this paper updates that, with a focus on the most resource critical parts of our data processing chain.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Computational Workflow of Elucidating Viral Impact on Mediating Microbial Response to In-situ Experimental Warming: Bridging microbial modeling to carbon and mineral modeling

Viruses are abundant in soils and shape microbial communities in ways that can potentially influence ecosystem processes, yet their contributions to carbon cycling and mineral transformations remain poorly understood. Here we present a multi-phase framework that links virus-host interactions to soil biogeochemistry by combining ecological simulations, genome- and community-scale metabolic modeling, and statistical and machine-learning analyses. We first calibrated microbial abundance profiles under explicit infection scenarios to capture how viral pressure alters community structure, then explored alternative interaction strategies, including kill-the-winner, piggyback-the-winner, and mixed lytic-lysogenic modes, through forward simulations. These ecological shifts were translated into metabolic consequences using exchange fluxes summarized into biologically meaningful categories, while integrated statistical and machine-learning screens elevated subtle but consistent signals. Application of this framework revealed that viral infections shift the balance between organic and inorganic fluxes, redirecting metabolism from diffuse organic transformations toward inorganic pools such as protons and CO 2 , directly linking viral regulation to respiration and soil carbon balance. The roll-up analysis also isolated perturbations in critical mineral ions, including magnesium, manganese, zinc, and copper, which serve as essential enzymatic cofactors. In piggyback-the-winner scenarios, uptake of these ions was strongly suppressed. Contrasting viral strategies produced distinct community structures and metabolic outcomes, from broad suppression under kill-the-winner dynamics to dramatic redistributions under high-lytic and high-gain lysogenic regimes that collapsed vulnerable microbial populations while promoting opportunists. Together, these results provide a tractable path to trace viral perturbations from host abundance shifts to metabolic flux adjustments and ecosystem-scale processes, offering a practical way to include viruses in earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Data-driven Phytotechnology Framework for Identification and Remediation of Leached-Metals-Contaminated Soil Near Coal Ash Impoundments

This project developed and evaluated advanced remote sensing and machine learning approaches to identify, monitor, and address environmental contamination associated with coal combustion residual (CCR) impoundments and landfills at coal-fired power plants. In Phase I, historical and multi-temporal Sentinel-2 satellite imagery, groundwater monitoring data, and environmental variables were integrated to detect vegetation stress potentially caused by toxic metal leaching from coal ash disposal sites. Multiple vegetation and biophysical indices were analyzed to determine their effectiveness in identifying abnormal vegetation growth patterns linked to contamination. Results from case studies conducted at coal ash–impacted power plant sites in North Carolina and Virginia demonstrated that satellite-based vegetation monitoring can serve as an effective early indicator of environmental stress associated with metals such as arsenic, cadmium, cobalt, lead, lithium, radium, and thallium.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Impacts of Travel Demand Information Diffusion on Reducing Empty Vehicle Miles Traveled by Ridesourcing Vehicles

Ride-hailing or ride-sourcing services provide alternative mobility options in several cities and have seen exponential growth in market share owing to the convenience they provide. Even though usage of such services may be associated with car-light and car-free lifestyles, there are growing concerns around their impact on urban transportation network operations due to empty miles driven without a passenger (deadheading). This study is motivated by the potential for reducing deadhead mileage by providing information on future trip demand to ride-sourcing drivers (at the destination end of their current trip). Future trip demand information enables the driver to wait in place for the next rider without cruising around and contributing to congestion. A machine learning model is applied using historical data to predict hourly and 10-minute future interval demand for ride-sourcing. Two heuristic algorithms have been developed to i) determine drivers that act on demand information received by waiting in place for the next rider, and ii) match drivers who wait to their next trip by minimizing deadheading distance. Data from ride-sourcing providers in Austin, Texas (RideAustin) and in Chengdu, China (DiDi) are leveraged to apply the methodology. Results show that the process results in 68%-82% and 53%-60% trip-level deadheading miles reduction for RideAustin and DiDi sample operations, respectively. As the maximum tolerable driver's waiting time increases, deadheading savings slightly increase. Even if the maximum percentage of drivers waiting is reduced, significant average deadheading savings by trip can be achieved for that portion.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Machine learning for ultrasonic nondestructive examination of welding defects: A systematic review

Recent years have seen a substantial increase in the application of machine learning (ML) for automated analysis of nondestructive examination (NDE) data. One of the applications of interest is the use of ML for the analysis of data from in-service inspection of welds in nuclear power and other industries. These types of inspections are performed in accordance with criteria described in the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code and require the use of reliable NDE techniques. The rapid growth in ML methods and the diversity of possible approaches indicate a need to assess the current capabilities of ML and automated data analysis for NDE and identify any gaps or shortcomings in current ML technologies as applied to the automated analysis of NDE data. In particular, there is a need to determine the impact of ML on the NDE reliability. This paper discusses the findings from a literature survey on the current state of ML for the automated analysis of data from ultrasonic NDE of weld flaws. It discusses an overview of ultrasonic NDE as used for weld inspections in nuclear power and other industries. Herein, data sets and ML models used in the literature are summarized, along with a generally applicable workflow for ML. Findings on the capabilities, limitations and potential gaps in feature selection, data selection, and ML model optimization are discussed. The paper identified several needs for quantifying and validating the performance of ML methods for ultrasonic NDE, including the need for common data sets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

AutonomieAI: An efficient and deployable vehicle energy consumption estimation toolkit

Here, this paper presents AutonomieAI, a novel toolkit designed for efficient energy estimation of vehicles across diverse trip scenarios, routes, and drive cycles, applicable to a broad range of vehicle powertrain technologies. It leverages state-of-the-art Machine Learning techniques to deliver real-time energy prediction of vehicles, enabling co-simulation with transportation level system tools and opening doors for large-scale optimization at city, network or national level. Benchmark results show that AutonomieAI achieves high accuracy, with an average percentage error below 2% for most powertrain types, and computational efficiency capable of processing over 10,000 trips per second. Applications of AutonomieAI have potential to offer the flexibility to assist in solving eco-routing problems, optimize for vehicle and powertrain selection, study charging decision behavior, and optimize for charging station placement. AutonomieAI is the result of large neural network based model architectures, trained on very large and unique high fidelity vehicle simulation data. It is lightweight, deployable, efficient and has accuracy comparable to specialized and complex physics based simulation softwares.

Autonomie↗

Machine learning force field model for kinetic Monte Carlo simulations of itinerant Ising magnets

Here, we present a scalable machine learning (ML) framework for large-scale kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulations of itinerant electron Ising systems. As the effective interactions between Ising spins in such itinerant magnets are mediated by conducting electrons, the calculation of energy change due to a local spin update requires solving an electronic structure problem. Such repeated electronic structure calculations could be overwhelmingly prohibitive for large systems. Assuming the locality principle, a convolutional neural network (CNN) model is developed to directly predict the effective local field and the corresponding energy change associated with a given spin update based on Ising configuration in a finite neighborhood. As the kernel size of the CNN is fixed at a constant, the model can be directly scalable to kMC simulations of large lattices. Our approach is reminiscent of the ML force field models widely used in first-principles molecular dynamics simulations. Applying our ML framework to a square-lattice double-exchange Ising model, we uncover unusual coarsening of ferromagnetic domains at low temperatures. Our work highlights the potential of ML methods for large-scale modeling of similar itinerant systems with discrete dynamical variables.

machine learning↗

Direct Prediction of Phonon Density of States With Euclidean Neural Networks

Abstract Machine learning has demonstrated great power in materials design, discovery, and property prediction. However, despite the success of machine learning in predicting discrete properties, challenges remain for continuous property prediction. The challenge is aggravated in crystalline solids due to crystallographic symmetry considerations and data scarcity. Here, the direct prediction of phonon density‐of‐states (DOS) is demonstrated using only atomic species and positions as input. Euclidean neural networks are applied, which by construction are equivariant to 3D rotations, translations, and inversion and thereby capture full crystal symmetry, and achieve high‐quality prediction using a small training set of examples with over 64 atom types. The predictive model reproduces key features of experimental data and even generalizes to materials with unseen elements, and is naturally suited to efficiently predict alloy systems without additional computational cost. The potential of the network is demonstrated by predicting a broad number of high phononic specific heat capacity materials. The work indicates an efficient approach to explore materials' phonon structure, and can further enable rapid screening for high‐performance thermal storage materials and phonon‐mediated superconductors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

High Dexterity Robotics for Safety and Emergency Response - 17104

Recently, significant advances in robotics have led to increased use in industrial and military applications. For example, the military has used explosive ordnance disposal (EOD) robots to enable responders to remotely investigate hazardous environments. While EOD robots have saved many lives, their utility is hampered by: 1) limited ability to manipulate complex objects and mechanisms (e.g. open a car door, operate power tools or turn valves), and 2) the requirement for significant operator training using joystick-type interfaces. Most robots today have simplistic manipulators and cannot easily operate in environments designed for humans as evidenced by the recent Amazon Picking Challenge and the DARPA Robotics Challenge. Simple tasks that humans perform easily, such as picking up objects or operating a cutting tool, require customized rigs that are expensive and time-consuming to use. The specialized nature of these robots limits their utility in highly unstructured environments, for example during emergency situations where a robot may need to be rapidly re-purposed for an unanticipated situation (i.e. the Fukushima nuclear disaster). Robots are needed that can perform complex human-like tasks and are easy to use for everyday and emergency tasks. In 2005 the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) initiated the Revolutionizing Prosthetics (RP) Program with the goal of creating prosthetics as capable as the human arm and a human-machine interface enabling highly intuitive operation. The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU/APL) created the Modular Prosthetic Limb (MPL), originally developed for amputees and paralyzed individuals as part of the RP Program, to replicate the capability of the human hand and arm to the extent technologically possible. With 26 joints and over 180 sensors, it is one of the most sophisticated and fully integrated robotic arms in the world. We have also demonstrated human-machine interface techniques that are highly intuitive requiring minimal training. While the MPL was originally designed as a prosthetic, it has also been incorporated into mobile robotic systems to project human capability. Using tele-operation, we have demonstrated the ability to perform dual-arm remote operations in complex environments. For nuclear facilities, high dexterity robots combined with tele-operation offer the potential to enhance worker safety, productivity and quality. Safety enhancements include enabling remote operation in hazardous environments, remote handling of heavy or dangerous materials, and elimination of injury due to repetitive motions. Because the MPL is designed to function like a human limb, the robot can work in environments designed for humans with limited need for specialized tools. When used for routine operations, it can also maintain a level of familiarity and confidence that effectively accomplishes reinforcement training for use in emergency situations, unlike a specialized robot that might sit unused for months or years at a time. In August 2016 we demonstrated the use of the MPL at the Portsmouth Gaseous Diffusion Plant in Piketon, Ohio. Two robotic platform technologies were demonstrated to familiarize the DOE Emergency Management's (EM) workforce on the potential benefits of this technology. Here we present the results of those efforts, highlight the lessons learned during 'EM Week,' and outline potential future developments that could further advance application of these technologies to enhance worker safety. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Autonomous anomaly detection of proliferation in the AGN-201 nuclear reactor digital twin

The expansion of global nuclear power necessitates advanced methods for analyzing proliferation indicators. This study introduces a novel application of the Isolation Forest Machine Learning (IFML) algorithm within a digital twin (DT) of the AGN-201 nuclear reactor to autonomously detect anomalies. Leveraging real-time operational data from the AGN-201 DT, the IFML algorithm identifies outliers without prior data labeling and operates as a lightweight, complementary approach to traditional physics-based anomaly detection methods for nuclear safeguards. In a simulated Red vs. Blue team exercise, the IFML algorithm successfully detected six significant unseen anomalies related to reactivity changes, achieving an accuracy of 99% for identifying operational deviationxs. These anomalies, caused by deliberate perturbations, were detected alongside known physics-based models, underscoring the potential of IFML to enhance real-time monitoring without displacing traditional methods. Further, this study highlights the applicability of IFML in nuclear environments by providing an additional, redundant layer of anomaly detection to improve safeguards and operational safety in complex systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗