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At least 1,747 records · Page 97

Investigating the Nexus of Climate, Energy, Water, and Land at Decision-Relevant Scales: The Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA)

The Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA) is an innovative modeling system developed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to simulate interactions among natural and human systems at scales relevant to regional decision making. PRIMA brings together state-of-the-art models of regional climate, hydrology, agriculture, socioeconomics, and energy systems using a flexible coupling approach. The platform can be customized to inform a variety of complex questions and decisions, such as the integrated evaluation of mitigation and adaptation options across a range of sectors. Research into stakeholder decision support needs underpins the platform's application to regional issues, including uncertainty characterization. Ongoing numerical experiments are yielding new insights into the interactions among human and natural systems on regional scales with an initial focus on the energy-land-water nexus in the upper U.S. Midwest. This paper focuses on PRIMA’s functional capabilities and describes some lessons learned to date about integrated regional modeling.

integrated regional modeling↗

A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations: CESM/CAM EVALUATION BY DECISION TREES

An object-based evaluation method using a pattern recognition algorithm (i.e., classification trees) is applied to the simulated orographic precipitation for idealized experimental setups using the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) with the finite volume (FV) and the Eulerian spectral transform dynamical cores with varying resolutions. Daily simulations were analyzed and three different types of precipitation features were identified by the classification tree algorithm. The statistical characteristics of these features (i.e., maximum value, mean value, and variance) were calculated to quantify the difference between the dynamical cores and changing resolutions. Even with the simple and smooth topography in the idealized setups, complexity in the precipitation fields simulated by the models develops quickly. The classification tree algorithm using objective thresholding successfully detected different types of precipitation features even as the complexity of the precipitation field increased. The results show that the complexity and the bias introduced in small-scale phenomena due to the spectral transform method of CAM Eulerian spectral dynamical core is prominent, and is an important reason for its dissimilarity from the FV dynamical core. The resolvable scales, both in horizontal and vertical dimensions, have significant effect on the simulation of precipitation. The results of this study also suggest that an efficient and informative study about the biases produced by GCMs should involve daily (or even hourly) output (rather than monthly mean) analysis over local scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Graph-component approach to defect identification in large atomistic simulations

In this work, the graph-theoretical concept of connected components is employed to extract the evolution of defect configurations in a polycrystalline aluminum structure containing ~8.3 million atoms. This graph-component approach is applied to reveal details of defect formation, transport, and transformation in the polycrystalline Al under large shear deformation. Building upon standard nearest neighbor analysis, graph theory and associated tools are used to reduce the multi-million-atom system into discrete component subgraphs that represent distinct structural defects. This method allows the automated identification, characterization, and tracking of defective regions within large volumes of data representing atomic-scale processes. Such analysis elucidates relationships between external stimuli, such as strain, and defect distributions, which have a large influence on material properties. The Graph Analytics for Large Atomistic Simulations (GALAS) codebase that implements this analysis, together with user guidance, is openly available at https://github.com/pnnl/galas.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ResStock™ [SWR-19-15 and SWR-20-07]

The ResStock™ analysis tool is helping states, municipalities, utilities, and manufacturers identify which home improvements save the most energy and money.With support from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), researchers at NREL developed ResStock. It's a versatile tool that takes a new approach to large-scale residential energy analysis by combining: - Large public and private data sources - Statistical sampling - Detailed subhourly building simulations - High-performance computing. - This combination achieves unprecedented granularity and most importantly—accuracy—in modeling the diversity of the single-family housing stock.

Horowitz, Scott↗

Cs-137 Body-burdens in Wild Pigs on the Department of Energy's Savannah River Site: Determination of an Appropriate Framework for Spatiotemporal Analysis of Hunter Dose Tracking System Data

The Savannah River Site (SRS) is a U.S. Department of Energy facility with an area of 310 square miles. Since its opening in 1951, SRS has produced and processed nuclear materials for national defense and industrial purposes. These activities have resulted in the release of radiocesium (Cs-137) which has led to contamination of associated streams, floodplains, man-made reservoirs, soil and vegetation. Contamination is spread to wild pigs as they move about SRS, consume vegetation, drink water and wallow in soil. SRS provides annual deer hunts open to the public in which wild pigs may be taken as well. The Cs-137 concentration of each animal is determined before it is released to the hunter for consumption and a cumulative dose is retained for each individual hunter. These tasks are accomplished using the Hunter Dose Tracking System (HDTS). The data collected on SRS by the HDTS for White-Tailed deer has been extensively analyzed. A repeatable method for calculating the background radiocesium body burden for the SRS deer population was established by Gaines and Novak (2009,2016). This model was framed using Cs-137 contamination obtained via gamma over-flight data, the decay rate of radiocesium and the historical behavior observed in the SRS deer population. These parameters were used in a spatiotemporal analysis to estimate background Cs-137 body burdens (from global fallout, etc.), as well as the effect SRS activities may have. The purpose of this project is to modify the framework to represent the behavior of the wild pig population on SRS such that HDTS data collected may be analyzed similarly. The 2018 data were collected via the HDTS in the field to screen wild pigs dispatched by Forest Service - Savannah River. These data will provide insight for an analysis of seasonal variance in the body burdens of the SRS wild pig population. The HDTS quickly provided Cs-137 concentrations in the field, as well as automatically updated the electronic database. Space: Historically, the average home range of wild pigs on the Savannah River Site has been reported at approximately six square miles. This range was confirmed accurate as of July 2018, with the observed minimum and maximum at one and ten square miles respectively. This range was geoprocessed using ArcMap to project buffers based on 1991 gamma over-flight data. The buffers were constructed to originate at all Cs-137 contamination point coordinates and protrude outward in all directions for 1.5, 2.45 and 6 square miles. While the 2.45 mile buffer is theoretically representative of potential hog exposure based on the average home range, it does not consider the possibility of home ranges not uniform in shape. Therefore, the 1.5 and 6 mile buffers were also constructed as visual aids for determining the appropriate hunt compartments for background level considerations. The SRS is divided into numbered hunt compartments of varying size and shape. These compartment numbers are used during sponsored hunts to record the location in which a wild pig was dispatched. Time: The Gaines report determined deer analysis should be carried out at the half-decade level for the best representation of true body burdens. This is due to the impact natural factors, such as drought or flood, can have on the bioaccumulation of Cs-137. To determine the appropriate time scale for hog analysis, all available data was totaled and averaged at 1, 2, 3 and 7 year increments. The annual averages and running average are provided. The appropriate compartments for the determination of the SRS hog population background level should be: 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 14 and 15. Hogs dispatched within other compartments are most likely exposed to Cs-137 contamination and should not be included in the background level. The current dataset is small, but was still able to demonstrate the relationship between where hogs on SRS and the Cs-137 body burdens they incur. Geoprocessing the data using the average home range of wild pigs highlighted the importance of collecting additional samples from areas surrounding SRS if an accurate background is to be determined. When the average concentration of Cs-137 in pigs from background compartments is compared against that of pigs from contaminated compartments, a significant difference can be seen. A Table provides a summary of the analyzed data from the 15 years processed thus far.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Coupled Thermo-Electro-Magneto-Elastic Response of Smart Stiffened Panels

This report documents the procedures developed for incorporating smart laminate and panel analysis capabilities within the HyperSizer aerospace structural sizing software package. HyperSizer analyzes stiffened panels composed of arbitrary composite laminates through stiffener homogenization, or "smearing " techniques. The result is an effective constitutive equation for the stiffened panel that is suitable for use in a full vehicle-scale finite element analysis via MSC/NASTRAN. The existing thermo-elastic capabilities of HyperSizer have herein been extended to include coupled thermo-electro-magneto-elastic analysis capabilities. This represents a significant step toward realization of design tools capable of guiding the development of the next generation of smart aerospace structures. Verification results are presented that compare the developed smart HyperSizer capability with an ABAQUS piezoelectric finite element solution for a facesheet-flange combination. These results show good agreement between HyperSizer and ABAQUS, but highlight a limitation of the HyperSizer formulation in that constant electric field components are assumed.

Bednarcyk, Brett A.↗

Advection of passive magnetic field by the Gaussian velocity field with finite correlations in time and spatial parity violation

Using the field theoretic renormalization group technique the model of passively advected weak magnetic field by an incompressible isotropic helical turbulent flow is investigated up to the second order of the perturbation theory (two-loop approximation) in the framework of an extended Kazantsev-Kraichnan model of kinematic magnetohydrodynamics. Statistical fluctuations of the velocity field are taken in the form of a Gaussian distribution with zero mean and defined noise with finite correlations in time. The two-loop analysis of all possible scaling regimes is done and the influence of helicity on the stability of scaling regimes is discussed and shown in the plane of exponents ɛ − η, where ɛ characterizes the energy spectrum of the velocity field in the inertial range E ∞ k{sup 1−2ε}, and η is related to the correlation time at the wave number k which is scaled as k {sup −2+η}. It is shown that in non-helical case the scaling regimes of the present vector model are completely identical and have also the same properties as those obtained in the corresponding model of passively advected scalar field. Besides, it is also shown that when the turbulent environment under consideration is helical then the properties of the scaling regimes in models of passively advected scalar and vector (magnetic) fields are essentially different. The results demonstrate the importance of the presence of a symmetry breaking in a given turbulent environment for investigation of the influence of an internal tensor structure of the advected field on the inertial range scaling properties of the model under consideration and will be used in the analysis of the influence of helicity on the anomalous scaling of correlation functions of passively advected magnetic field.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Boundary layer control for airships

An investigation is summarized of the aerodynamic principle of boundary layer control for nonrigid LTA craft. The project included a wind tunnel test on a BLC body of revolution at zero angle of attack. Theoretical analysis is shown to be in excellent agreement with the test data. Methods are evolved for predicting the boundary layer development on a body of revolution and the suction pumping and propulsive power requirements. These methods are used to predict the performance characteristics of a full-scale airship. The analysis indicates that propulsive power reductions of 15 to 25 percent and endurance improvements of 20 to 40 percent may be realized in employing boundary-layer control to nonrigid airships.

Pake, F. A.↗

SCALE Activities in FY22 [Slides]

This lecture touches on SCALE activities in the fiscal year of 2022. Discussion includes updates to scale.ornl.gov and the scale 6.3 online manual. Additionally, practical tools for rapid analysis are highlighted.

Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP)↗

Near-Surface Flow Fields Deduced Using Correlation Tracking and Time-Distance Analysis

Near-photospheric flow fields on the Sun are deduced using two independent methods applied to the same time series of velocity images observed by SOI-MDI on SOHO. Differences in travel times between f modes entering and leaving each pixel measured using time-distance helioseismology are used to determine sites of supergranular outflows. Alternatively, correlation tracking analysis of mesogranular scales of motion applied to the same time series is used to deduce the near-surface flow field. These two approaches provide the means to assess the patterns and evolution of horizontal flows on supergranular scales even near disk center, which is not feasible with direct line-of-sight Doppler measurements. We find that the locations of the supergranular outflows seen in flow fields generated from correlation tracking coincide well with the locations of the outflows determined from the time-distance analysis, with a mean correlation coefficient after smoothing of bar-r(sub s) = 0.840. Near-surface velocity field measurements can used to study the evolution of the supergranular network, as merging and splitting events are observed to occur in these images. The data consist of one 2048-minute time series of high-resolution (0.6" pixels) line-of-sight velocity images taken by MDI on 1997 January 16-18 at a cadence of one minute.

DeRosa, Marc↗

Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program: Grizzly Year-End Progress Report

The Grizzly software application is being developed under the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program to address aging and material degradation issues that could potentially become an obstacle to life extension of nuclear power plants beyond 60 years of operation. Grizzly is based on INL’s MOOSE multiphysics simulation environment, and can simultaneously solve a variety of tightly coupled physics equations, and is thus a very powerful and flexible tool with a wide range of potential applications. Grizzly, the development of which was begun during fiscal year (FY) 2012, is intended to address degradation in a variety of critical structures. The reactor pressure vessel (RPV) was chosen for an initial application of this software. Because it fulfills the critical roles of housing the reactor core and providing a barrier to the release of coolant, the RPV is clearly one of the most safety-critical components of a nuclear power plant. In addition, because of its cost, size and location in the plant, replacement of this component would be prohibitively expensive, so failure of the RPV to meet acceptance criteria would likely result in the shutting down of a nuclear power plant. The current practice used to perform engineering evaluations of the susceptibility of RPVs to fracture is to use the ASME Master Fracture Toughness Curve (ASME Code Case N-631 Section III). This is used in conjunction with empirically based models that describe the evolution of this curve due to embrittlement in terms of a transition temperature shift. These models are based on an extensive database of surveillance coupons that have been irradiated in operating nuclear power plants, but this data is limited to the lifetime of the current reactor fleet. This is an important limitation when considering life extension beyond 60 years. The currently available data cannot be extrapolated with confidence further out in time because there is a potential for additional damage mechanisms (i.e. late blooming phases) to become active later in life beyond the current operational experience. To develop a tool that can eventually serve a role in decision-making, it is clear that research and development must be perfomed at multiple scales. At the engineering scale, a multiphysics analysis code that can capture the thermomechanical response of the RPV under accident conditions, including detailed fracture mechanics evaluations of flaws with arbitrary geometry and orientation, is needed to assess whether the fracture toughness, as defined by the master curve, including the effects of embrittlement, is exceeded. At the atomistic scale, the fundamental mechanisms of degradation need to be understood, including the effects of that degradation on the relevant material properties. In addition, there is a need to better understand the mechanisms leading to the transition from ductile to brittle fracture through improved continuum mechanics modeling at the fracture coupon scale. Work is currently being conducted at all of these levels with the goal of creating a usable engineering tool informed by lower length-scale modeling. This report summarizes progress made in these efforts during FY 2013.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Consistent lensing and clustering in a low- S 8 Universe with BOSS, DES Year 3, HSC Year 1, and KiDS-1000

ABSTRACT We evaluate the consistency between lensing and clustering based on measurements from Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey combined with galaxy–galaxy lensing from Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 3, Hyper Suprime-Cam Subaru Strategic Program (HSC) Year 1, and Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS)-1000. We find good agreement between these lensing data sets. We model the observations using the Dark Emulator and fit the data at two fixed cosmologies: Planck (S8 = 0.83), and a Lensing cosmology (S8 = 0.76). For a joint analysis limited to large scales, we find that both cosmologies provide an acceptable fit to the data. Full utilization of the higher signal-to-noise small-scale measurements is hindered by uncertainty in the impact of baryon feedback and assembly bias, which we account for with a reasoned theoretical error budget. We incorporate a systematic inconsistency parameter for each redshift bin, A, that decouples the lensing and clustering. With a wide range of scales, we find different results for the consistency between the two cosmologies. Limiting the analysis to the bins for which the impact of the lens sample selection is expected to be minimal, for the Lensing cosmology, the measurements are consistent with A = 1; A = 0.91 ± 0.04 (A = 0.97 ± 0.06) using DES+KiDS (HSC). For the Planck case, we find a discrepancy: A = 0.79 ± 0.03 (A = 0.84 ± 0.05) using DES+KiDS (HSC). We demonstrate that a kinematic Sunyaev–Zeldovich-based estimate for baryonic effects alleviates some of the discrepancy in the Planck cosmology. This analysis demonstrates the statistical power of small-scale measurements; however, caution is still warranted given modelling uncertainties and foreground sample selection effects.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

3-regular three-XORSAT planted solutions benchmark of classical and quantum heuristic optimizers

With current semiconductor technology reaching its physical limits, special-purpose hardware has emerged as an option to tackle specific computing-intensive challenges. Optimization in the form of solving quadratic unconstrained binary optimization problems, or equivalently Ising spin glasses, has been the focus of several new dedicated hardware platforms. These platforms come in many different flavors, from highly-efficient hardware implementations on digital-logic of established algorithms to proposals of analog hardware implementing new algorithms. In this work, we use a mapping of a specific class of linear equations whose solutions can be found efficiently, to a hard constraint satisfaction problem (three-regular three-XORSAT, or an Ising spin glass) with a 'golf-course' shaped energy landscape, to benchmark several of these different approaches. We perform a scaling and prefactor analysis of the performance of Fujitsu's digital annealer unit (DAU), the D-Wave advantage quantum annealer, a virtual MemComputing machine, Toshiba's simulated bifurcation machine (SBM), the SATonGPU algorithm from Bernaschi et al, and our implementation of parallel tempering. We identify the SATonGPU and DAU as currently having the smallest scaling exponent for this benchmark, with SATonGPU having a small scaling advantage and in addition having by far the smallest prefactor thanks to its use of massive parallelism. Furthermore, our work provides an objective assessment and a snapshot of the promise and limitations of dedicated optimization hardware relative to a particular class of optimization problems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Wavenumber selection for small-wavelength Goertler vortices in curved channel flows

The problem of wavenumber selection for fully nonlinear, small-wavelength Goertler vortices in a curved channel flow is considered. These types of Goertler vortices were first considered by Hall & Lakin (1988) for an external boundary layer flow. They proved particularly amenable to asymptotic description, it was possible to consider vortices large enough so that the mean flow correction driven by them is as large as the basic state, and this prompted the authors to consider them in a curved channel flow as an initial application of the phase-equation approach to Goertler vortices. This involves the assumption that the phase variable of these Goertler vortices varies on slow spanwise and time scales, then an analysis of both inside and outside the core region, to which vortex activity is restricted, leads to a system of partial differential equations which can be solved numerically for the wavenumber. The authors consider in particular the effect on the wavenumber of the outer channel wall varying on the same slow spanwise scale as the phase variable.

Dando, Andrew↗

Termination shock response to large-scale solar wind fluctuations

The analysis of data recorded by the Voyager 2 spacecraft indicates the presence of large-scale fluctuations in the solar wind ram pressure on the time scale of tens of days. The amplitude of the fluctuations is highly variable but often lies within a factor of 5 to 10 change from an average or mean value of the ram pressure. Since the spacecraft has presumably not encountered the termination shock yet, these fluctuations should eventually interact with the shock and thereby play a role in determining the shock location. Numerical solutions of the time-dependent gasdynamic equations are used to simulate the response of the termination shock to fluctuations in the solar wind ram pressure comparable to those observed. The primary result of this study is that the maximum shock excursion due to the fluctuations is of the order of 1 AU, which is much smaller than that predicted by other studies. Additional simulations show that the limited movement is due to the fact that the time scale for the termination shock response is substantially larger than the time scale of the fluctuations. It is also shown that the heliopause acts as a barrier for the fluctuations and confines them to the heliosphere.

Steinolfson, R. S.↗

Termination shock response to large-scale solar wind fluctuations

The analysis of data recorded by the Voyager 2 spacecraft indicates the presence of large-scale fluctuations in the solar wind ram pressure on the time scale of tens of days. The amplitude of the fluctuations is highly variable but often lies within a factor of 5 to 10 change from an average or mean value of the ram pressure. Since the spacecraft has presumably not encountered the termination shock yet, these fluctuations should eventually interact with the shock and thereby play a role in determining the shock location. Numerical solutions of the time-dependent gas dynamic equations are used to simulate the response of the termination shock to fluctuations in the solar wind ram pressure comparable to those observed. The primary result of this study is that the maximum shock excursion due to the fluctuations is of the order of 1 AU, which is much smaller than that predicted by other studies. Additional simulations show that the limited movement is due to the fact that the time scale for the termination shock response is substantially larger than the time scale of the fluctuations. It is also shown that the heliopause acts as a barrier for the fluctuations and confines them to the heliosphere.

Steinolfson, R. S.↗

Rifting Processes at a Continent‐Ocean Transition Rift Revealed by Fault Analysis: Example of Dabbahu‐Manda‐Hararo Rift (Ethiopia)

Abstract Analyses of fault attributes have contributed to unraveling fault growth processes in diverse tectonic settings. By integrating such analysis at the scale of a fault population, we propose to investigate the characteristics of a rift that has evolved up to a stage typical of a continent‐ocean transition. We address this problem by considering Dabbahu‐Manda‐Hararo (DMH) rift segment (Central Afar, Ethiopia), recognized for being in a late rifting stage. We quantify fault azimuth, length, and throw attributes for 668 normal faults. Along DMH rift, the mean fault density is 0.87 ± 0.7 km/km 2 and the median tectonic strain ranges from 1.8% to 3.1% assuming a fault dip of 60° and 45°, respectively. Maximum tectonic strain (>10%) is found where the rift azimuth changes. Along‐rift variations in fault azimuth, length, and scaling relationships suggest a different stage of rifting in the northern part of the rift. We show that this difference can be attributed to the influence of the Dabbahu volcano located at the northern tip of the rift, which captured the propagating Manda‐Hararo rift in the last ~100 kyr. The morpho‐tectonic analysis reveals numerous common features with slow‐spreading ridge segments, such as the Lucky Strike segment located along the Mid‐Atlantic ridge (segment length, spreading rate, associated magmatic system) but also with intermediate and fast ones (axial valley, fault throws, and diking). This study reveals that a rift at the continent‐ocean transition may be characterized by a transient and evolutionary behavior that shares features with oceanic ridges from slow‐ to fast‐spreading rates.

Dumont, S.↗

An integrated assessment of location-dependent scaling for microalgae biofuel production facilities

Successful development of a large-scale microalgae-based biofuels industry requires comprehensive analysis and understanding of the feedstock supply chain—from facility siting and design through processing and upgrading of the feedstock to a fuel product. The evolution from pilot-scale production facilities to energy-scale operations presents many multi-disciplinary challenges, including a sustainable supply of water and nutrients, operational and infrastructure logistics, and economic competitiveness with petroleum-based fuels. These challenges are partially addressed by applying the Integrated Assessment Framework (IAF) – an integrated multi-scale modeling, analysis, and data management suite – to address key issues in developing and operating an open-pond microalgae production facility. This is done by analyzing how variability and uncertainty over space and through time affect feedstock production rates, and determining the site-specific “optimum” facility scale to minimize capital and operational expenses. This approach explicitly and systematically assesses the interdependence of biofuel production potential, associated resource requirements, and production system design trade-offs. To provide a baseline analysis, the IAF was applied in this paper to a set of sites in the southeastern U.S. with the potential to cumulatively produce 5 billion gallons per year. Finally, the results indicate costs can be reduced by scaling downstream processing capabilities to fit site-specific growing conditions, available and economically viable resources, and specific microalgal strains.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗