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At least 19 records

Sensitivity of Regional WRF‐Chem Air Quality and Weather Simulations to Biomass‐Burning Emission Data Sets: A Case Study of the Impact of Canadian Wildfire on the US°

This study focuses on the period from June 26 to 29, 2023, when record‐breaking Canadian wildfires severely impacted air quality in the Midwest United States. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Chemistry (WRF‐Chem) and four biomass‐burning data sets (Fire Inventory from NCAR version 1, Fire Inventory from NCAR version 2.5, Quick Fire Emissions Data set [QFED], and Regional ABI‐VIIRS Emission), we analyzed aerosol transport from Canada to the US and assessed the model's accuracy in predicting PM 2.5 , O 3 , CO and aerosol weather feedback. Model simulations were compared with ground‐based and remote sensing observations as well as field measurements from the Community Research on Climate and Urban Science (CROCUS) project. Our findings show that the movement of a low‐pressure system from the Great Lakes to the Atlantic, combined with the high‐pressure system over the Atlantic, caused the transport of aerosols from Canadian wildfires to the US. Results show WRF‐Chem significantly underestimated key atmospheric components: aerosol optical depth (AOD) by over 50%, PM 2.5 by 65%–90% and peak O 3 concentrations by 50%–55% across four biomass burning data sets. Additionally, CO and NO 2 concentrations were underpredicted. The substantial underestimation of PM 2.5 led to an overestimation of temperature by up to 3.6 °C primarily due to excessive downward shortwave radiation, which resulted from the underestimation of direct aerosol effects and an increase in sensible heat flux. Among the biomass‐burning data sets, QFED produced the most accurate AOD and PM 2.5 predictions due to improved wildfire emission estimates, leading to a 1.0 to 1.5 °C reduction in temperature overestimation during the daytime. These findings underscore the need for improving wildfire emission estimates for trace gases and aerosols to enhance air quality and weather feedback predictions.

WRF-chem model↗

Global Simulations of Phase State and Equilibration Time Scales of Secondary Organic Aerosols with GEOS-Chem

The phase state of secondary organic aerosols (SOA) can range from liquid through amorphous semisolid to glassy solid, which is important to consider as it influences various multiphase processes including SOA formation and partitioning, multiphase chemistry, and cloud activation. In this study, we simulate the glass transition temperature and viscosity of SOA over the globe using the global chemical transport model, GEOS-Chem. The simulated spatial distributions show that SOA at the surface exist as liquid over equatorial regions and oceans, semisolid in the midlatitude continental regions, and glassy solid over lands with low relative humidity. The predicted SOA viscosities are mostly consistent with the available measurements. In the free troposphere, SOA particles are mostly predicted to be semisolid at 850 hPa and glassy solid at 500 hPa, except over tropical regions including Amazonia, where SOA are predicted to be low viscous. Phase state also exhibits seasonal variation with a higher frequency of semisolid and solid particles in winter compared to warmer seasons. We calculate equilibration time scales of SOA partitioning (τ eq ) and effective mass accommodation coefficient (α eff ), indicating that τ eq is shorter than the chemical time step of GEOS-Chem of 20 min and αeff is close to unity for most locations at the surface level, supporting the application of equilibrium SOA partitioning. However, τ eq is prolonged and α eff is lowered over drylands and most regions in the upper troposphere, suggesting that kinetically limited growth would need to be considered for these regions in future large-scale model studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparing the interactions between particulate matter and cloud properties over two populated cities in Texas using WRF-Chem fine-resolution modeling

Accurate modeling of aerosol-cloud interactions is essential for reliable weather and air quality simulations, given their significant impact on precipitation patterns, cloud dynamics, and aerosol distributions. This study employed the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to examine the impact of enhanced meteorological simulations, achieved through advanced microphysics parameterization supported by data assimilation techniques, on air quality across Texas on August 19 and 20, 2022. We tested four distinct configurations: (1) the Morrison two-moment bulk microphysics scheme, (2) Morrison's with observation nudging, (3) the Spectral Bin Microphysics (SBM), and (4) SBM with observation nudging. While the SBM scheme is known for its detailed representation of aerosol-cloud interactions, our focus was on how improvements in meteorological accuracy translate to more precise air quality simulations. Our findings demonstrated a progressive improvement in simulation accuracy, starting with the Morrison's scheme and further enhanced by adopting the SBM scheme, complemented by incorporating observation nudging. Specifically, the combination of the SBM scheme and the nudging substantially enhanced the model's ability to capture convective precipitation events, as shown by better alignment with NEXRAD radar reflectivity, with R increasing from –0.21 to 0.82, IOA from 0.10 to 0.87, and NMB decreasing from 99% to 34% in Houston. The enhanced meteorology translated into more accurate PM 2.5 concentration simulations, particularly through the more accurate representation of aerosol washout during precipitation events. In Houston, the SBM scheme with nudging improved the model's PM 2.5 simulations significantly, with NMB decreasing from –20% to 5% and IOA improving from 0.43 to 0.61. In San Antonio, improvements were also notable, with NMB improved from –27% to –22%, R increased from 0.48 to 0.82, and IOA increased from 0.66 to 0.86. Furthermore, our results underscore the crucial role of accurate meteorological simulations in refining our understanding of aerosol behaviors in relation to precipitation patterns, directly enhancing the reliability and effectiveness of air quality modeling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

WRF-Chem & Data Assimilation: Reconstructing a Historic Dispersion Event

CONCLUSIONS • For this particular case and use, 3D-VAR was the most useful data assimilation method applied for modeling this plume. • Slight downside was the plume was modeled to move too quickly. • Whether this result is generalizable may be debatable based on the circumstances. • The atmospheric state altered how effective the data assimilation algorithms performed. • Nudging and 3D-VAR are not mutually exclusive, but their errors for wind speed may compound

Thomas, Andrew M. [Savannah River National Laborat↗

Corrigendum to “The Emissions Model Intercomparison Project (Emissions-MIP): quantifying model sensitivity to emission characteristics” published in Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 14779–14799, 2023

Anthropogenic emissions of aerosols and precursor compounds are known to significantly affect the energy balance of the Earth–atmosphere system, alter the formation of clouds and precipitation, and have a substantial impact on human health and the environment. Global models are an essential tool for examining the impacts of these emissions. In this study, we examine the sensitivity of model results to the assumed height of SO 2 injection, seasonality of SO 2 and black carbon (BC) particulate emissions, and the assumed fraction of SO 2 emissions that is injected into the atmosphere as particulate phase sulfate (SO 4 ) in 11 climate and chemistry models, including both chemical transport models and the atmospheric component of Earth system models. We find large variation in atmospheric lifetime across models for SO 2 , SO 4 , and BC, with a particularly large relative variation for SO 2 , which indicates that fundamental aspects of atmospheric sulfur chemistry remain uncertain. Of the perturbations examined in this study, the assumed height of SO 2 injection had the largest overall impacts, particularly on global mean net radiative flux (maximum difference of -0.35?W?m-2), SO2 lifetime over Northern Hemisphere land (maximum difference of 0.8?d), surface SO 2 concentration (up to 59?% decrease), and surface sulfate concentration (up to 23?% increase). Emitting SO 2 at height consistently increased SO 2 and SO 4 column burdens and shortwave cooling, with varying magnitudes, but had inconsistent effects across models on the sign of the change in implied cloud forcing. The assumed SO 4 emission fraction also had a significant impact on net radiative flux and surface sulfate concentration. Because these properties are not standardized across models this is a source of inter-model diversity typically neglected in model intercomparisons. These results imply a need to ensure that anthropogenic emission injection height and SO 4 emission fraction are accurately and consistently represented in global models.

Ahsan, Hamza [Pacific Northwest National Laborator↗

Numerical case study of the aerosol–cloud interactions in warm boundary layer clouds over the eastern North Atlantic with an interactive chemistry module

The presence of warm boundary layer stratiform clouds over the eastern North Atlantic (ENA) region is commonly influenced by the Azores High, especially during the summer season. To investigate comprehensive aerosol–cloud interactions, this study employs the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with a chemistry component (WRF-Chem), incorporating aerosol chemical components that are relevant to the formation of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and accounting for aerosol spatiotemporal variation. This study focuses on aerosol indirect effects, particularly the long-range transport of aerosols, in the ENA region under three different weather regimes: a ridge with a surface high-pressure system, a post-trough with a surface high-pressure system, and a weak trough. The WRF-Chem simulations conducted at a near-large-eddy scale offer valuable insights into the model's performance, especially in terms of its ability to use high spatial resolution to capture mesoscale cloud features across various weather regimes. Our result shows that introducing 5 times more aerosols to either non-precipitating or precipitating clouds significantly increases ambient CCN numbers, resulting in, to varying degrees, higher liquid water path (LWP) values. The substantial aerosol–cloud interaction especially occurs in the precipitating clouds and demonstrates the susceptibility of the LWP to changes in CCN under different regimes. Conversely, thin, non-rain clouds at the edges of a cloud system are prone to evaporation, exhibiting an aerosol drying effect. The aerosols released during this process transition back to the accumulation mode, facilitating future activation. This dynamic behavior is not adequately represented in prescribed-aerosol simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impacts of Neodymium Complexation on Radiolysis of Tetramethyl Diglycolamide (TMDGA) in Aqueous Solutions

Hydrophilic diglycolamides (DGA) ligands have been explored for use as stripping agents in various lanthanide and actinide partitioning processes.1 The separation of lanthanide fission products and transplutonic actinides can serve multifaceted advantages, in that the separation of neutron poisoning rare earth element (REE) fission products from the minor actinides in used nuclear fuel (UNF) can be mutually beneficial to the fundamental research behind REE separations and UNF separations. Considerable efforts have been devoted to understanding the radiation chemistry of hydrophilic DGAs. However, recent studies with lipophilic DGAs have shown that metal ion complexation can promote significant changes in their radiolytic susceptibility.2,3 These effects have been attributed to various parameters, including delocalization of electron density, the presence of radiolytically more susceptible counter ions, and steric hindrance. As such, it is pivotal for these complexation effects to be more thoroughly probed to establish mechanistic knowledge for their effects on hydrophilic DGA molecules. Here we present a time-resolved electron pulse and accumulated gamma dose irradiation study on neodymium ion complexes of tetramethyl diglycolamide (TMDGA) under aqueous solution conditions. References (1) Rostaing, C.; Poinssot, C.; Warin, D.; Baron, P.; Lorrain, B. Development and Validation of the EXAm Separation Process for Single Am Recycling. Procedia Chem. 2012, 7, 367–373. https://doi.org/doi: 10.1016/j.proche.2012.10.057. (2) Horne, G. P.; Conrad, J. K.; McLachlan, J. R.; Rotermund, B. M.; Cook, A. R.; Celis-Barros, C.; Mezyk, S. P. Impact of Lanthanide Complexation and Temperature on the Chemical Reactivity of N,N,N’,N’-Tetraoctyl Diglycolamide (TODGA) with the Dodecane Radical Cation. Phys. Chem. Chem. Phys. 2023, Under Review. (3) Kimberlin, A.; Saint-Louis, G.; Guillaumont, D.; Camès, B.; Guilbaud, P.; Berthon, L. Effect of Metal Complexation on Diglycolamide Radiolysis: A Comparison between Ex Situ Gamma and in Situ Alpha Irradiation. Phys. Chem. Chem. Phys. PCCP 2022, 24 (16), 9213–9228. https://doi.org/10.1039/d1cp05731f.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Simulating Droplet-Resolved Haze and Cloud Chemistry Forming Secondary Organic Aerosols in Turbulent Conditions within Laboratory and Cloud Parcels

Most of our existing knowledge of cloud chemistry in regards to forming secondary organic aerosols (SOA) is based on measurements in bulk aqueous solutions. However, SOA reaction kinetics derived from bulk solution measurements might differ from the kinetics in actual cloud droplets, since turbulent mixing and ionic strengths, and ratio of surface area to volume in individual cloud droplets might vary substantially from bulk solutions in the real atmosphere. Three-dimensional models at various scales have been used to simulate aqueous chemistry. However, most of these models do not resolve turbulence down to the smallest length scales of 1 mm and do not simulate cloud chemistry in individual cloud droplets due to large computational costs. Here we incorporate the formation of isoprene epoxydiol SOA (IEPOX-SOA) in individual droplets within a one-dimensional explicit mixing parcel model (EMPM-Chem). We apply EMPM-Chem to simulate turbulence and droplet-resolved IEPOX-SOA formation using a configuration based on the Michigan Tech Pi chamber. We find that the dissolution of IEPOX gases is weighted more towards larger cloud droplets due to their large liquid water content (compared to smaller droplets), while the conversion of dissolved IEPOX to IEPOX-SOA is much greater within smaller deliquesced haze particles due to their higher acidity and ionic strengths compared to cloud droplets. We also find that as droplet residence times increase in the chamber, e.g., due to increasing ammonium bisulfate seed aerosol injection rates and/or increasing heights of the chamber, formation of IEPOX-SOA increases substantially. Thus, our EMPM-Chem model could be used to design future cloud chambers to maximize SOA production from cloud chemistry. We also apply the EMPM-Chem model to simulate how IEPOX-SOA formation evolves in individual cloud droplets within rising cloudy parcels in the atmosphere. We find that as subsaturated air is entrained into and turbulently mixed with the cloud parcel, evaporation causes a reduction in droplet sizes, which leads to corresponding increases in per droplet ionic strength and acidity. Increased droplet acidity in turn greatly accelerates the kinetics of IEPOX-SOA formation. In conclusion, our results provide key insights into single-cloud-droplet chemistry, suggesting that entrainment mixing may be an important process that increases SOA formation in the real atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

AP-XPS Study of the Reaction of O 2 and CO 2 with Zn–Au(111) Surface Alloys: Activation of O–O/C–O Bonds and the Formation of ZnO

Synchrotron-based ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS) was used to study the dissociation of O 2 and CO 2 on Zn-Au(111) alloys which contained 0.2-0.3 monolayers of zinc. Although Au(111) is inert, the alloys displayed a high activity for the cleavages of O-O and C-O bonds at room temperature with the formation of ZnO x species. Dissociative adsorption of O 2 at 300 K destroyed the alloys and the results of AP-XPS pointed to the co-existence of two types of oxygen species on the surface: ZnO x and chemisorbed O atoms (O chem ) on Au or the Au-ZnO interface. Annealing from room temperature to 600 K induced a O chem → ZnO x transformation that reflected the poor stability of O atoms on Au(111). The Zn-Au(111) systems exhibited a reactivity towards CO 2 that was much larger than that seen for Au(111), Cu(111) or surfaces of late transition metals like, Ni, Pd or Pt. At 300 K, CO 2 underwent partial dissociation depositing large amounts of O chem on the surface with minor formation of ZnO x . In addition, the deposited O chem reacted with CO 2 to form surface carbonate groups. Dosing of CO 2 at 500-600 K mainly led to the formation of ZnO x and the surface carbonate almost disappeared. In the presence of hydrogen, i.e. reaction feeds with a CO 2 to H 2 ratio of 1:3, the surface chemistry at 300 K was very similar to that seen for pure CO 2 with the formation of ZnO x and carbonate groups. In contrast, at 500-600 K, reaction with hydrogen induced the removal of ZnO x and CO 3 /HCOO species. Finally, our AP-XPS results are consistent with the idea that CO 2 hydrogenation on AuZn alloys involves a redox process where there is sequential oxidation by CO 2 and reduction by H 2 to yield methanol.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Anthropogenic extremely low volatility organics (ELVOCs) Govern the Growth of Molecular Clusters over the Southern Great Plains during the Springtime

New particle formation (NPF) and growth govern cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations in many regions. The mechanisms governing the nucleation of molecular clusters vary substantially in different regions of the atmosphere. Additionally, the growth of these clusters from ~2 to 20 nm sizes is often governed by the availability of extremely low volatility organic vapours (ELVOCs). While the pathways to ELVOC formation from the oxidation of biogenic monoterpenes with ozone is better understood, the chemical and mechanistic pathways for ELVOC formation from oxidation of anthropogenic organics are not well understood. We integrate measurements and three-dimensional regional model simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model coupled to chemistry (WRF-Chem) to understand the processes governing new particle formation and growth and secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation during the Holistic Interactions of Shallow Clouds, Aerosols and Land Ecosystems (HI-SCALE) field campaign at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) observatory in Oklahoma, and contrast it with a site within the Bankhead National Forest (BNF), Alabama in Southeast USA, where 5-year long measurements will begin in 2024. Simulations show that nucleation rates are at least an order of magnitude higher at SGP compared to BNF during the springtime days (April 28 and May 14, 2016), largely due to lower H2SO4 concentrations at BNF, which are needed for nucleation. In addition, the larger CS at BNF (compared to SGP) increase the loss of molecular clusters by coagulation to pre-existing particles. Among the 8 different nucleation mechanisms in WRF-Chem, we find that the amine+H2SO4 nucleation mechanism dominates at the SGP site, while the pure organic ion induced nucleation mechanism dominates over BNF. Through various WRF-Chem sensitivity simulations, we find that anthropogenic ELVOCs are critical for explaining the growth of newly formed particles and the resulting number size distribution observed near the surface at the SGP site during the daytime. In addition, we show that treating organic particles as semisolid, with strong diffusion-limited uptake of organic vapours, brings model predictions into closer agreement with the observed evolution of particle size distribution. Simulations also predict that anthropogenic SOA, formed by the oxidation of aromatic volatile organic compounds (VOCs), is the dominant organic aerosol component at SGP, while biogenic SOA dominates particle composition at the BNF site in Southeast USA on these days.

Shrivastava, ManishKumar B.↗

A Vertically Resolved Canopy Improves Chemical Transport Model Predictions of Ozone Deposition to North Temperate Forests

Abstract Dry deposition is the second largest tropospheric ozone (O 3 ) sink and occurs through stomatal and nonstomatal pathways. Current O 3 uptake predictions are limited by the simplistic big‐leaf schemes commonly used in chemical transport models (CTMs) to parameterize deposition. Such schemes fail to reproduce observed O 3 fluxes over terrestrial ecosystems, highlighting the need for more realistic treatment of surface‐atmosphere exchange in CTMs. We address this need by linking a resolved canopy model (1D Multi‐Layer Canopy CHemistry and Exchange Model, MLC‐CHEM) to the GEOS‐Chem CTM and use this new framework to simulate O 3 fluxes over three north temperate forests. We compare results with in situ measurements from four field studies and with standalone, observationally constrained MLC‐CHEM runs to test current knowledge of O 3 deposition and its drivers. We show that GEOS‐Chem overpredicts observed O 3 fluxes across all four studies by up to 2×, whereas the resolved‐canopy models capture observed diel profiles of O 3 deposition and in‐canopy concentrations to within 10%. Relative humidity and solar irradiance are strong O 3 flux drivers over these forests, and uncertainties in those fields provide the largest remaining source of model deposition biases. Flux partitioning analysis shows that: (a) nonstomatal loss accounts for 60% of O 3 deposition on average; (b) in‐canopy chemistry makes only a small contribution to total O 3 fluxes; and (c) the CTM big‐leaf treatment overestimates O 3 ‐driven stomatal loss and plant phytotoxicity in these temperate forests by up to 7×. Results motivate the application of fully online vertically explicit canopy schemes in CTMs for improved O 3 predictions.

Vermeuel, Michael P. [Department of Soil, Water, a↗

Interactive Gas Chemistry for Enhanced Science Capabilities of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 3

Atmospheric chemistry plays a crucial role in Earth system models (ESMs), controlling atmospheric composition and radiative balance; it is highly interactive with the physical climate, biogeochemical cycles, and human systems. However, it often imposes computational challenges in an ESM. Here we develop a full troposphere‐stratosphere interactive chemistry module for the US Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). We intentionally build a streamlined module based on E3SM version 2 that interacts with other components and maintains all of major chemical and chemistry‐climate feedbacks. The module incorporates a new, highly efficient tracer advection scheme; linearization of stratospheric chemistry; and abridged tropospheric chemical mechanism with 28 reactive tracers. This new model, E3SM‐chem, can readily perform century‐long climate simulations of ozone, methane, and nitrous oxide based on emission scenarios as well as provide hourly budgets for the gas‐phase radicals that drive aerosol chemistry. We evaluate E3SM‐chem with an atmosphere‐only simulation as in the recent climate model intercomparison project (CMIP6) finding results similar to the other CMIP6 models. For the present‐day, E3SM‐chem matches the standard measurement metrics for stratospheric and tropospheric ozone, surface air quality, other key reactive gases like carbon monoxide, and the methane lifetime. Overall, E3SM‐chem maintains the climate fidelity of the baseline model while adding at most 20% to the computational cost of the atmosphere model. Hence, interactive chemistry can be a default configuration for long climate simulations at resolutions of 1° or finer, which is crucial for producing self‐consistent chemistry‐climate feedbacks that alter the climate system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Tropospheric aerosols over the western North Atlantic Ocean during the winter and summer deployments of ACTIVATE 2020: life cycle, transport, and distribution

The Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment (ACTIVATE) is a NASA mission to characterize aerosol–cloud interactions over the western North Atlantic Ocean (WNAO). Such characterization requires understanding of life cycle, composition, transport pathways, and distribution of aerosols over the WNAO. This study uses the GEOS-Chem model to simulate aerosol distributions and properties that are evaluated against aircraft, ground-based, and satellite observations during the winter and summer field deployments in 2020 of ACTIVATE. Transport in the boundary layer (BL) behind cold fronts was a major mechanism for the North American continental outflow of pollution to the WNAO in winter. Turbulent mixing was the main driver for the upward transport of sea salt within and ventilation out of BL in winter. The BL aerosol composition was dominated by sea salt, which increased in the summer, followed by organics and sulfate. Aircraft in situ aerosol measurements provided useful constraints on wet scavenging in GEOS-Chem. The model generally captured observed features such as continental outflow, land–ocean gradient, and mixing of anthropogenic aerosols with sea salt. Model sensitivity experiments with elevated smoke injection heights to the mid-troposphere (versus within BL) better reproduced observations of smoke aerosols from the western US wildfires over the WNAO in the summer. Model analysis suggests strong hygroscopic growth of sea salt particles and their seeding of marine BL clouds over the WNAO (< 35° N). Future modeling efforts should focus on improving parameterizations for aerosol wet scavenging, implementing realistic smoke injection heights, and applying high-resolution models that better resolve vertical transport.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Active Thermochemical Tables: Should the enthalpy of formation of gas phase boron atom be revised?

The Active Thermochemical Tables approach produces the enthalpy of formation of gas phase boron atom: Δ f H° 298 (B (g) ) = 570.48±0.61 kJ/mol and Δ f H° 0 (B (g) ) = 565.38±0.61 kJ/mol. This is about 5 kJ/mol higher and nearly an order of magnitude more accurate than the CODATA value. Here, while the ATcT value is in excellent agreement with the revisions proposed by Bauschlicher, Martin, and Taylor [J. Phys. Chem. A 103 (1999) 7715] and by Karton and Martin [J. Phys. Chem. A 111 (2007) 5936], it invalidates several earlier theoretical revisions that are too high by up to 5 kJ/mol.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Formation of five-membered ring structures via reactions of o -benzyne

The formation of five-membered ring structures is important for the generation of curved and bowl-shaped polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) under combustion conditions. Here, we report the identification of the indenyl (C 9 H 7 ) radical – the simplest aromatic hydrocarbon radical carrying an adjacent five- and six-membered ring, as the major product of the o-benzyne (o-C 6 H 4 ) reaction with propargyl (C 3 H 3 ). Because real flames exhibit a complex chemistry, elucidation of a specific reaction is very challenging. Instead, we studied the o-C 6 H 4 + C 3 H 3 reaction in a resistively heated microtubular SiC reactor at controlled conditions of 1150 K and a pressure near 10–20 Torr. To this end, the reactants o-benzyne and propargyl were pyrolytically generated from benzoyl chloride and propargyl bromide. We identified the reactants and the indenyl radical isomer-selectively utilizing photoion mass-selected threshold photoelectron spectroscopy (ms-TPES). In conclusion, the experimentally observed predominant formation of indenyl radicals finally confirms the theoretical predictions of Matsugi and Miyoshi [Phys. Chem. Chem. Phys. 14 (2012), 9722–9728] and highlights a versatile route for the formation of five-membered rings and curved PAHs via reactions of o-benzyne that favor the formation of multiring species over aliphatically substituted aromatic species.

Molecular-weight growth↗

Applying Gaussian Process Machine Learning and Modern Probabilistic Programming to Satellite Data to Infer CO 2 Emissions

Satellite data provides essential insights into the spatiotemporal distribution of CO 2 concentrations. However, many atmospheric inverse models fail to adequately incorporate the spatial and temporal correlations inherent in satellite observations and often lack rigorous methods for estimating parameters like spatial length scales. We introduce an inference model that processes the spatiotemporal covariance in satellite data and estimates hyperparameters such as covariance length scales. Our approach uses the Gaussian process (GP) machine learning (ML) and modern probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) to perform atmospheric inversions of emissions from satellite data. We develop a GP ML inversion system based on modern PPLs and the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model, simulating atmospheric CO 2 concentrations corresponding to the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2/3 (OCO-2/3) data for July 2020. In our supervised learning framework, we treat the GEOS-Chem simulated data set as the target, with predictors derived by scaling the target with sector-specific factors hidden from the GP machine. Our results show that the GP model, combined with GPU-enabled PPLs, effectively retrieves true emission scaling factors and infers noise levels concealed within the data. This suggests that our method could be applied over larger areas with more complex covariance structures, enabling comprehensive analysis of the spatiotemporal patterns observed in OCO-2/3 and similar satellite data sets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗