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AGN-201 Digital Twin Concept of Operations

The AGN-201 is a nuclear reactor at Idaho State University (ISU) and is currently being used in the development of a digital twin (DT) with Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The goal is to create a DT (called the AGN-201 DT) which can monitor an operating nuclear reactor to determine when the reactor is being operated normally; normal operations are any operations that is declared by the ISU staff. To accomplish this, researchers at INL developed a DT ecosystem which can ingest data from the AGN-201 reactor. This data is fed into a series of machine learning (ML) and reactor physics models. The ML and reactor physics models assess the data and determine if the reactor is operating normally. Event(s) that are flagged as anomalies are investigated by the INL staff to determine if any undeclared experiments were conducted. The AGN-201 DT was verified in July/August 2023, when the ISU staff performed undeclared experiments and the INL staff were able to assess the anomalous events and determine what likely caused each event. This project was a steppingstone to promote the use of DTs for international safeguards and marks the first time a DT was able to monitor a nuclear reactor for this purpose. This document provides the concept of operations (CONOPS) for the AGN-201 digital twin (DT). The CONOPS describes how the AGN-201 and AGN-201 DT are expected to operate and details how each are established.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The AGN-201 Digital Twin: A test bed for remotely monitoring nuclear reactors

Research reactors have historically provided researchers and scientists with a means for testing and understanding the workings of nuclear phenomena. With the lack of new research reactors built in the past decades, it is important now more than ever to utilize and provide evidence for the usefulness of research reactors. Here, this work explores the use of the AGN-201 research reactor at Idaho State University as a test bed for developing a digital twin (named the AGN-201 DT) to realize remote monitoring for nuclear reactors. The goal of the AGN-201 DT is to monitor the AGN-201 reactor and detect when undeclared events take place to provide information for a monitoring agency. The AGN-201 DT was able to detect (without a priori knowledge) when multiple undeclared experiments were placed in the core using on-the-fly machine learning and reactor physics analysis. The AGN-201 reactor provided a test bed for developing, deploying, and testing a digital twin for monitoring nuclear reactors.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

Autonomous anomaly detection of proliferation in the AGN-201 nuclear reactor digital twin

The expansion of global nuclear power necessitates advanced methods for analyzing proliferation indicators. This study introduces a novel application of the Isolation Forest Machine Learning (IFML) algorithm within a digital twin (DT) of the AGN-201 nuclear reactor to autonomously detect anomalies. Leveraging real-time operational data from the AGN-201 DT, the IFML algorithm identifies outliers without prior data labeling and operates as a lightweight, complementary approach to traditional physics-based anomaly detection methods for nuclear safeguards. In a simulated Red vs. Blue team exercise, the IFML algorithm successfully detected six significant unseen anomalies related to reactivity changes, achieving an accuracy of 99% for identifying operational deviationxs. These anomalies, caused by deliberate perturbations, were detected alongside known physics-based models, underscoring the potential of IFML to enhance real-time monitoring without displacing traditional methods. Further, this study highlights the applicability of IFML in nuclear environments by providing an additional, redundant layer of anomaly detection to improve safeguards and operational safety in complex systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Agn-201 Digital Twin

This is the repository for all code related to the AGN-201 Nuclear Reactor Digital Twin at Idaho State University. The goal of this code repository is to consolidate all pieces required to run the AGN-201 Digital Twin in the [DeepLynx](https://github.com/idaholab/Deep-Lynx) ecosystem. This is the first successfully launched digital twin of a fissile nuclear reactor that we are aware of. While the code is not complex, the problems of networking, policy, and initial groundwork were significant to overcome.

Darrington, JohnW.↗

Physics-Informed Recurrent Neural Networks to Predict Reactor Operations of the AGN-201 Nuclear Reactor

4 page paper submitted to ANS Student conference. Summary of paper similar to the following abstract: The ability to predict how a reactor will operate, understand when anomalous conditions arise, and ensure a reactor is being operated as expected is crucial for deploying new nuclear facilities. Digital twins serve as a unique solution to recognizing reactor behavior; however, they require data to be useful. For next-generation reactors, this data may not currently be available. To explore how synthetic physics-informed reactor data can be used to predict reactor operations, a recurrent neural network was implemented for the Idaho State University AGN-201 digital twin. The goal of this work is to determine how synthetic data can be used to train a recurrent neural network model for predicting the reactor power of the AGN-201. The recurrent neural network was validated using both synthetic and real operational data. We envision this approach will help bridge the gap between the virtual and physical sides of a digital twin, where reactor physics models based on as-built data can be corrected for actual operating parameters to ensure the virtual model mirrors reality.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Physics Model For The Agn-201 Dt

The surrogate model is a Gaussian Process Regression model based on sci-kit learn. The model takes the coarse and fine control rod position, along with the temperature of the reactor, and produces a corresponding k-eff value. Given k-eff over time, deviations can be determine and flagged for review at a later date.

Stewart, RyanH. [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), ↗

Utilizing Physics-Informed Synthetic Data to Train a Digital Twin for Predicting Reactor Operations

Understanding techniques to strengthen the nuclear nonproliferation regime is crucial in reducing the creation of nuclear weaponry on the basis of advancements in the nuclear energy industry. Prior to construction of a nuclear power plant, it is necessary to understand the proliferation potential of the plant’s reactor. Digital twins serve as a unique solution to recognizing reactor behavior indicative of nuclear proliferation. The following research conducted serves as a validation to training a digital twin on synthetic data fabricated via means of reactor physics simulations based on parameters of Idaho State University’s AGN-201 reactor. The synthetic data is utilized to train a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network model. The accuracy of the predicted data is measured against real operational data to verify the reliability of the synthetic data creation methods and if these methods should be used in the future to inform inspectors of a reactor’s proliferation capabilities.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Developing a digital twin framework for remotely monitoring nuclear reactor facilities

A digital twin must seek to represent all applicable functional components of the system of interest. Different expertise is required for understanding the physical system being modeled than the skills needed for transforming those models into a functional digital twin through physics modeling, machine learning analysis, and visualization. The diversity of knowledge requires a multi-disciplinary team to ensure all system details are captured. Team members also need a method to verify that the data they generate within their domain can be effectively communicated to professionals in other fields. To address this challenge, this work provides an approach for developing a digital twin framework to remotely monitoring nuclear facilities. Through this, general knowledge of the framework is presented along with two examples to solidify the process. The AGN-201 digital twin and microreactor digital twins provide varying levels of complexity in a potential nuclear facility, where common threads are identified and lessons learned are provided. The goal of this research is to aid future researchers by providing a formula for a successful digital twin and in turn reducing the development time of nuclear system digital twins, specifically for remote monitoring.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Autonomous Anomaly Detection For Continuous Streams

The code implements the Isolation Forest (IFML) algorithm within the digital twin (DT) of the AGN-201 nuclear reactor. The DT captures real-time operational data including control rod positions, reactor power, and temperature. The IFML model isolates anomalies by detecting patterns that deviate from expected operational behavior. The algorithm recursively partitions the data and assigns anomaly scores based on the isolation of rare and different events. By tuning parameters specific to the reactor’s operational data, the IFML identifies deviations such as unauthorized material insertions or reactor reactivity shifts. The system streams data using LabView and integrates with the DeepLynx data warehouse for anomaly processing.

Trevino, Eduardo↗

Creation Synthetic Data to Train a Digital Twin to Predict Reactor Operations

Understanding techniques to strengthen the nuclear safeguards regime is crucial in preventing nuclear proliferation due to recent advancements in the nuclear energy industry such as Generation IV reactors and microreactors. Prior to the construction of a nuclear power plant, it is necessary to understand the proliferation potential of the plant's reactor. Digital twins serve as a unique solution to recognizing reactor behavior indicative of nuclear proliferation. A digital twin is defined as a virtual model that works in unison to represent a physical asset, with a transference of data between the virtual and physical assets [1]. This work serves as validation for training a digital twin on synthetic data fabricated via means of Serpent reactor physics and point kinetics equations simulations. In this case this work is based on parameters of Idaho State University's AGN-201 reactor. The synthetic data can then be utilized to train machine learning models in the future to further investigate the utility of these methods. The accuracy of the predicted data is measured against real operational data to verify the reliability of the synthetic data creation methods and decide whether these methods should be used in the future to inform inspectors of a reactor's proliferation potential.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Digital engineering implementation in nuclear demonstration and nonproliferation projects at Idaho National Laboratory

Digital engineering and digital twins are increasingly being used in nuclear energy projects with important impacts. At Idaho National Laboratory, these approaches have been applied in a variety of nuclear energy research, development, and demonstration projects, with key lessons and evolutions occurring for each. In this paper, we describe the use of digital engineering and digital twins in the Versatile Test Reactor design, National Reactor Innovation Center test beds, and nonproliferation analysis of the AGN-201 reactor design. We share key lessons learned for these projects related to tool selection, adoption and training, and working with existing assets versus beginning at the design phase. We also share highlights of future potential uses of digital twins and digital engineering, including using artificial intelligence to perform repetitive design tasks and digital twins to move towards semiautonomous nuclear power plant operations.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Dice Presentation for MeV

Presentation about DICE and framing of dice pillars in the context of the AGN-201 digital twin

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Selection of Sampling and Surrogate Modeling Methods for State-Point Evaluations of an AGN-201M Reactor

Nuclear reactor digital twins (DTs) have been proposed for use as a safeguards technology to efficiently monitor new and novel reactors as they come online. A safeguards DT needs to be capable of detecting misuse and diversion as they occur, requiring physics models to be accurate and efficient. Mathematical surrogate models are capable of achieving the necessary efficiency and can largely maintain the accuracy of higher-order models given a quality training sample. The Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) code framework is specifically equipped to generate training samples and create surrogate models using full-order reactor physics models. Utilizing an operational AGN-201M reactor’s specifications, two surrogate types were trained on samples of variable size, and using Cartesian products, Latin hypercube sampling, and quadrature sampling, each was compared and evaluated on accuracy when compared to a full-order Monte Carlo model. Both surrogate types were able to capture reactivity changes within 0.05 $ of the Monte Carlo model while reducing the computation costs by eight orders of magnitude.

MOOSE↗

An Autonomous Critical Data Extrapolator for the AGN-201m

Nuclear nonproliferation serves as a key goal, being undertaken by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). To recognize proliferation there are two pathways that states, who intend to use nuclear material for malicious purposes can take, diversion can misuse. Diversion is when fissile nuclear material is declared to the IAEA for non-weapon purposes, but then covertly removed. If the source of nuclear material, that is not declared and not fissionable, is placed inside the reactor core to create fissile material used to create weapons then the state is using the second pathway of proliferation, misuse. With the emerging development in areas of simulation and machine learning the creation of virtual models of reactor systems, digital twins, serve as a potential method to identify proliferation through detecting anomalous behavior in the reactor. A digital twin for a physical nuclear reactor has never been developed, as digital twins serve as an emerging technology. To investigate the process for development and use of a digital twin for a nuclear reactor Idaho State University’s AGN-201m serves as the nuclear reactor used for development of this digital twin. A data acquisition system has been installed to the reactor system allowing for the transfer of collected data from a reactor operation to Idaho National Laboratory’s Deeplynx data warehouse. When utilizing data to train reactor physics and machine learning models, a significant challenge encountered is the initial state of the data. Nuclear proliferation will have the capacity to be detected when the reactor immediately starts up, nor will it occur after the reactor shuts down. Generally, it will be detected when the reactor is operating at some desired power over a sufficient period for that specific reactor design. For the AGN-201m this will be when the reactor is critical (generally 1 mW or above) for a timespan that is within or less than the range of a regular business day. Datasets sent to Deeplynx have had to be manually cut to when the reactor is critical based on plots of power levels. This method is inefficient and laborious, especially when using multiple datasets at once to train a model. To provide a more streamlined approach an automated critical data extrapolator is developed, with capabilities of recognizing when the reactor operation first reaches criticality, and when the reactor undergoes a SCRAM and is shutdown.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗