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Uncertainty Modeling for Mars Ascent Vehicle’s Aerodatabase Development

The design of the Mars Ascent Vehicle - Mars Sample Return (MAV-MSR) trajectories requires an accurate assessment of flight performance. Typically, these trajectories are developed by flight mechanics analysis to meet complex mission requirements and then flight performance assessed through Monte Carlo simulations. Consequently, it is crucial to develop an aerodynamic aerodatabase as an input model for flight mechanics analysis to provide static and dynamic force and moment coefficients under specific flight conditions. The force and moment coefficients in the MAV aerodatabase are determined using the FUN3D computational fluid dynamics solver. Firstly, an overview of the aerodatabase is presented to demonstrate its applicability to trajectory-defined simulations. This effort is followed by an initial attempt to quantify uncertainties in the force and moment coefficients necessary for updating the current aerodatabase. The uncertainty model identifies uncertainty adders and multipliers for coefficient-based forces and moments through a direct comparison between FUN3D and wind tunnel test data from NASA Marshall Space Center's 14x14 inch Trisonic Wind Tunnel. These uncertainties aim to encompass various changes in Mach number, angle of attack, and aerodynamic roll angle.

Uncertainty analysis

Uncertainty Modeling for Mars Ascent Vehicle’s Aerodynamic Database Development

The design of the Mars Ascent Vehicle - Mars Sample Return (MAV-MSR) trajectories requires an accurate assessment of flight performance. Typically, these trajectories are developed by flight mechanics analysis to meet complex mission requirements and then flight performance assessed through Monte Carlo simulations. Consequently, it is crucial to develop an aerodynamic aerodatabase as an input model for flight mechanics analysis to provide static and dynamic force and moment coefficients under specific flight conditions. The force and moment coefficients in the MAV aerodatabase are determined using the FUN3D computational fluid dynamics solver. Firstly, an overview of the aerodatabase is presented to demonstrate its applicability to trajectory-defined simulations. This effort is followed by an initial attempt to quantify uncertainties in the force and moment coefficients necessary for updating the current aerodatabase. The uncertainty model identifies uncertainty adders and multipliers for coefficient-based forces and moments through a direct comparison between FUN3D and wind tunnel test data from NASA Marshall Space Center's 14x14 inch Trisonic Wind Tunnel. These uncertainties aim to encompass various changes in Mach number, angle of attack, and aerodynamic roll angle.

Uncertainty analysis

Exit Presentation - Jared Ruzicka

The exit presentation provides an in depth examination of Spring 2020 NIFS intern, Jared Ruzicka’s, work on POST2 including creation of a module containing heritage aerodatabases and manual automation. The aerodatabase module incorporates a variety of legacy fortran and .dat aerodatabases into a POST2 module with example inputdecks verified by MATLAB mex files for 3 and 6 DOF simulations in nominal and dispersed conditions. The manual automation project discusses the transfer of the POST2 User’s Manual from word documents to text-based markdown files and the process through which a python script converts the manual to a PDF with improved formatting and compliance potential in a fraction of current manual generation time.

Jared Ruzicka

Aerodynamic Implications of Aerocapture Systems for Uranus Orbiters

Exploration of the Ice Giants, Uranus in particular, has been indicated as the highest priority new flagship-class mission by the 2022 Planetary Science Decadal Survey. However, due to it’s location in the solar system, extensive travel time and resources are required for a mission to reach Uranus. Aerocapture offers shorter interplanetary transit times and reduced propellant requirements for such a mission when compared to a traditional propulsive-capture orbiter. Considerations for the aerodynamics of an aerocapture system enabling flagship-class science mission to Uranus are presented. The applicability of a low lift-to-drag entry vehicle aeroshell with flight heritage to a new planet and atmosphere is evaluated. A preliminary aerodatabase is formulated from low-fidelity methods and heritage flight mission data to provide initial estimates of trajectory space to be considered for inserting a spacecraft into orbit at Uranus using aerocapture. Computational fluid dynamics calculations in the free molecular, transitional, and continuum regimes using Direct Simulation Monte Carlo and Navier-Stokes solutions are used to assess the validity of this preliminary aerodatabase. The considered entry vehicle is found to varying levels of agreement with work done by previous flight missions when evaluated for flight in Uranus’ atmosphere. Implications for the aerodynamics of this vehicle as applied in an aerocapture system in flight at Uranus as found by the current work are discussed.

Eli R. Shellabarger

Aerodynamic Implications of Aerocapture Systems for Uranus Orbiters

Exploration of the Ice Giants, Uranus in particular, has been indicated as the highest priority new flagship-class mission by the 2022 Planetary Science Decadal Survey. However, due to it's location in the solar system, extensive travel time and resources are required for a mission to reach Uranus. Aerocapture offers shorter interplanetary transit times and reduced propellant requirements for such a mission when compared to a traditional propulsive-capture orbiter. Considerations for the aerodynamics of an aerocapture system enabling flagship-class science mission to Uranus are presented. The applicability of a low lift-to-drag entry vehicle aeroshell with flight heritage to a new planet and atmosphere is evaluated. A preliminary aerodatabase is formulated from low-fidelity methods and heritage flight mission data to provide initial estimates of trajectory space to be considered for inserting a spacecraft into orbit at Uranus using aerocapture. Computational fluid dynamics calculations in the free molecular, transitional, and continuum regimes using Direct Simulation Monte Carlo and Navier-Stokes solutions are used to assess the validity of this preliminary aerodatabase. The considered entry vehicle is found to varying levels of agreement with work done by previous flight missions when evaluated for flight in Uranus' atmosphere. Implications for the aerodynamics of this vehicle as applied in an aerocapture system in flight at Uranus as found by the current work are discussed.

Uranus

Aerodynamics of a Uranus Aerocapture System Using a Mars-Heritage Entry Vehicle

Aerodynamic characteristics of an aerocapture system intended to deliver a flagship-class orbiter and probe planetary science mission to Uranus are presented. The aeroshell of the Mars Science Laboratory and Mars 2020 entry vehicles is proposed as a baseline for this system to reduce the amount of necessary technology development. Direct Simulation Monte Carlo and Navier-Stokes computational fluid dynamics solutions are used to characterize the aerodynamic performance of the Mars-heritage vehicle for aerocapture flight at Uranus. These results are incorporated into an aerodatabase for use in six degree-of-freedom trajectory studies and mission design. Updates are made to the Mars-heritage aerodynamic uncertainty model based on observations in the Uranus-specific computational data to ensure the model is conservatively bounding for the proposed flight space. Necessary modifications to the aeroshell for system packaging are found to have minimal effect on aerodynamic performance. The resulting aerodatabase and uncertainty model are used to show the existing Mars-heritage entry vehicles have sufficient aerodynamic performance to achieve required control margin for Uranus aerocapture.

Eli R Shellabarger

Aerodynamics of a Uranus Aerocapture System Using a Mars-Heritage Entry Vehicle

Aerodynamic characteristics of an aerocapture system intended to deliver a flagship-class orbiter and probe planetary science mission to Uranus are presented. The aeroshell of the Mars Science Laboratory and Mars 2020 entry vehicles is proposed as a baseline for this system to reduce the amount of necessary technology development. Direct Simulation Monte Carlo and Navier-Stokes computational fluid dynamics solutions are used to characterize the aerodynamic performance of the Mars-heritage vehicle for aerocapture flight at Uranus. These results are incorporated into an aerodatabase for use in six degree-of-freedom trajectory studies and mission design. Updates are made to the Mars-heritage aerodynamic uncertainty model based on observations in the Uranus-specific computational data to ensure the model is conservatively bounding for the proposed flight space. Necessary modifications to the aeroshell for system packaging are found to have minimal effect on aerodynamic performance. The resulting aerodatabase and uncertainty model are used to show the existing Mars-heritage entry vehicles have sufficient aerodynamic performance to achieve required control margin for Uranus aerocapture.

Eli Shellabarger

Learning Lessons from the X-37 Project

The X-37 was planned as an automated vehicle capable of flight-testing new aerospace technologies in combined environments that are beyond the capability of existing ground or flight platforms. Flight demonstration with the X-37 architecture and configuration in relevant environments was planned to reduce the risk of developing launch vehicle technologies for sustainable, affordable exploration and other aerospace applications. Current plans are for the X-37 Approach and Landing Test Vehicle (ALTV) to be atmospheric tested in 2005 from Scaled Composite's White Knight carrier aircraft at up to 40,000 feet over California's Mojave Spaceport, with and turnaround maintenance performed. The fight Operations Control Center will conduct the mission, using a streamlined operations concept. Taxi-tow and captive-carry tests will be conducted prior to the atmospheric-test series. Sponsored by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) with NASA participation, technical objectives are to: (1) mature Computed Air Data System/Remote Pressure Sensor technology, (2) manage energy during Terminal Area Energy Management/Heading Alignment Cone maneuvers, and (3) validate the aerodatabase. The X-37 Project began in 1999 under a cooperative agreement as an element of NASA's Future X Program and transitioned to a NASA Research Announcement under the Space Launch Initiative. In mid-2004, NASA transferred ownership to DARPA, with its heritage of performing high-risk, high-payoff research and development. NASA contributes technical expertise, including risk analysis and system integration. The Boeing Company is the prime contractor, with nationwide suppliers. This recent partnership exemplifies the synergy attainable when NASA Centers, other Government agencies, and industry work together toward a common goal - contributing to the knowledge base for U.S. exploration and other aerospace endeavors. The X-37 team represents a range of space transportation disciplines - from engineering to management. Some members have been with the project since its inception. All have gained priceless experience during the design, manufacturing, and testing of the ALTV, as well as through developing advanced orbital flight technologies, such as state-of-the-art Thermal Protection Systems and hot structures. Throughout this process, the X-37 Project team captures lessons that are directly applicable to other such efforts. The upcoming ALTV flights offer another dimension of data and first-hand experience that will prove invaluable to those designing new generations of reusable spacecraft. And ongoing technology developments will expand the aerospace knowledge base. Delivering prototype hardware is always a risky proposition. During the course of the X-37 effort, the team has experienced many challenging opportunities, delivering significant accomplishments and learning numerous lessons in the process. The ability to manage the risk landscape is key to overcoming obstacles, especially technical hurdles that are encountered in progressing hardware from design to flight. The approach to managing risk under this partnership is evolving but, in general, the team allocates resources to reduce the likelihood of severe-consequence risks, thus maximizing mission success and ensuring that the X-37 Project delivers value to its stakeholders. As the team sharpens its focus on operations, it continues to contribute knowledge to those who would undertake high-risk, high-payoff research and development and provides valuable experience to implement the exploration vision.

Turner, Susan

Learning Lessons from the X-37 Project

The X-37 was planned as an automated vehicle capable of flight-testing new aerospace technologies in combined environments that are beyond the capability of existing ground or flight platforms. Flight demonstration with the X-37 architecture and configuration in relevant environments was planned to reduce the risk of developing launch vehicle technologies for sustainable, affordable exploration and other aerospace applications. Current plans are for the X-37 Approach and Landing Test Vehicle (ALTV) to be atmospheric tested in 2005 from Scaled Composite s White Knight carrier aircraft at up to 40,000 feet over California's Mojave Spaceport, with landing and turnaround maintenance performed. The Flight Operations Control Center will conduct the mission, using a streamlined operations concept. Taxi-tow and captive-carry tests will be conducted prior to the atmospheric-test series. Sponsored by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) with NASA participation, technical objectives are to: (1) mature Computed Air Data System/Remote Pressure Sensor technology, (2) manage energy during Terminal Area Energy Management/Heading Alignment Cone maneuvers, and (3) validate the aerodatabase. The X-37 Project began in 1999 under a cooperative agreement as an element of NASA's Future X Program and transitioned to a NASA Research Announcement under the Space Launch Initiative. In mid-2004, NASA transferred ownership to DARPA, with its heritage of performing high-risk, high-payoff research and development (R&D). NASA contributes technical expertise, including risk analysis and system integration. The Boeing Company is the prime contractor, with nationwide suppliers. This partnership exemplifies the synergy attainable when NASA Centers, other Government agencies, and industry work together toward a common goal - contributing to the knowledge base for U.S. exploration and other aerospace endeavors. The X-37 team represents a range of space transportation disciplines - from engineering to management. Some members have been with the project since its inception. All have gained priceless experience during the design, manufacturing, and testing of the ALTV, as well as through developing advanced orbital flight technologies, such as state-of-the-art Thermal Protection Systems and hot structures. Throughout this process, the X-37 Project team captures lessons that are directly applicable to other such efforts. The upcoming ALTV flights offer another dimension of data and first-hand experience that will prove invaluable to those designing new generations of reusable spacecraft. And ongoing technology developments will expand the aerospace knowledge base. Delivering prototype hardware is always a risky proposition. During the course of this effort, the X-37 team has experienced many challenging opportunities, delivering significant accomplishments and learning numerous lessons in the process. The ability to manage the risk landscape is key to overcoming obstacles, especially technical hurdles that are encountered in progressing hardware from design to flight. The approach to managing risk under this partnership is evolving but, in general, the team allocates resources to reduce the likelihood of severe-consequence risks, thus maximizing mission success and ensuring that the X-37 Project delivers value to its stakeholders. As the team sharpens its focus on operations, it continues to contribute knowledge to those who would undertake high-risk, high-payoff R&D and provides valuable experience to implement the Vision for Space Exploration.

Turner, Susan

Co-op Student Work Report

Projects: (1) Boeing Launch Abort Analysis My first project for the summer was analyzing the Boeing CCDev Vehicle's abort aerodynamics using an inviscid solver (CART3D). The goal of the project was to develop the grid and CFD inputs necessary to use CART3D as a quick tool for investigating loading trends at various points along abort trajectories. As a supplementary task, I analyzed a few cases and compared them to the aerodatabase from the last generation geometry. (2) My second project for the summer dealt with investigating how heating changes as the height of a protuberance on top of a flat plate changes. The goal of this investigation is to better understand how to properly model heating on and around a protuberance. This is one of the biggest challenges when designing a re ]entry vehicle because very small changes in the shape and conditions leading up to a protuberance, not to mention the protuberance geometry, will greatly impact the local heating.

Powell, Jessica M.

Static Wind Tunnel Testing of a Legged Venus Lander

A static wind tunnel test was conducted to determine the static aerodynamic coe cients of the surface lander design proposed by the Venus In-Situ Atmospheric and Geochemical Explorer (VISAGE). The baseline design of the lander consists of a spherical pressure vessel with a top-mounted circular drag plate for aerodynamic deceleration, and three xed landing legs. A modular subscale lander model, which allowed testing of several drag plate and landing leg con gurations, was fabricated using rapid-prototyping techniques. The model was tested with four di erent drag plates and three di erent leg con gurations, at a dynamic pressure of 1610 Pa and Mach number of 0.15. Testing was conducted using legs of varying diameter in order to determine the appropriate scaling of the results to Reynolds numbers representative of terminal descent at Venus. The static aerodynamic force (axial, normal, and side), and moment (rolling, pitching, yawing) coe cients for each lander con guration were determined as a function of model orientation. All model con gurations were found to be statically stable in the range of total angles of attack considered (0 to 30 deg). However, the drag performance and degree of static stability of the model were dependent on the dihedral angle of the circular drag plate. The results will enable the creation of a preliminary aerodatabase for the VISAGE lander concept, and allow the e ect of design changes on aerodynamic performance to be evaluated.

Rabinovitch, Jason

Comparison of Pre- and Post-Flight Estimations of Pitch Damping Coefficients for Unguided Entry Vehicles

Introduction: Pre-flight predictions of pitch damping coefficient (𝐶!!+𝐶!"̇)curves are used in entry simulations to determine flight readiness and if any dynamic remediation strategies are required. Accurate characterization of these pitch damping coefficient curves is crucial for mission success. Historically, pre-flight estimations of these curves are derived experimentally either via ballistic range testing or with 1-degree-of-freedom (DOF) free-or forced-oscillation wind tunnel testing. Methodology:With post-flight best-estimated trajectories, a fitting procedure as described in Karlgaard, et. al. [1] is used to compare pre-and post-flight pitch damping coefficients. This technique relies on an assumed analytical form of the trajectory, a limited 3-DOF representation described in Schoenenbergerand Queen [2], which results in anEuler-Cauchy solution form.This solution assumes constant density,thus limited amplitude multi-peak windows of the trajectory are considered to populate the pitch damping-amplitudes pace. Fig. 1 shows preliminary estimations of the pitch damping coefficients estimated using the post-flight best estimated trajectoryfor MER B, using a3-amplitude-peak window. Important to note is that the Euler-Cauchy solution also assumes planar motion, thus coning or 𝛽contribution is not included. Further,the estimated post-flight pitch damping approximations and the pre-flight predictions shown are effective representations of pitch damping, or the integrated effect of the pitch damping coefficient over one pitch cycle at the corresponding cycle’s peak amplitude. Effective pitch damping coefficient curves provide more intuitive insights about where the vehicle is stable and permits readily processed comparisons between data-sets. It is important to note that most pitch damping curves, such as those reported in aerodatabases and utilized in flight mechanics trajectory simulations, are represented in instantaneous angle-of-attack space distinct from what is presented in Fig 1. The extracted post-flight pitch damping coefficient points show a wide range of values across a narrow band of amplitudes (Fig.1a), albeit centered on the published pre-flight approximation. This also applies to the prediction as a function of Mach in Fig1b, where the post-flight scatter points are centered around the pre-flight predictions, but the pre-flight predictions notably lack data aboveMach 5.Further tuning of the technique, such as changing the number of peaks considered in each stencil, resolving density in higher resolution, and employing more accurate fitting procedures (beyond scipy.curve_fit()), will be performed. PosterFocus:This study will apply this reconstruction method to the as-flown trajectories for the following unguided entry vehicles: MER A, MER B, IRVE3, Phoenix, Insight, Pathfinder, and SIAD. The pitch damping coefficient will be derived from these trajectories and compared with the pre-flight predictions. Comparing across different missions, entry environments, and vehicle geometries can inform where our pre-flight testing methodologies accurately capture the flight dynamics. Results will provide valuable insight into the accuracy of pre-flight predicted pitch damping curves. Beyond that, this method can shed light on how accurate these curves need to be, which can inform uncertainty ranges applied to pre-flight curves for other missions.

pitch damping coefficient

Aerocapture Trajectory Design for Uranus Orbiter

Introduction: The recently released National Academies Planetary Science and Astrobiology Decadal Survey 2023-2032 [1] identified the Ice Giants as the top priority science destination. While the survey acknowledged the potential for either a Uranus Orbiter and Probe (UOP) mission or a Neptune-Triton Odyssey mission, it ultimately identified the former as the highest priority new flagship mission. UOP missions calls for a launch window of opportunity between 2031-2038 with 12-15 year interplanetary cruise time along with a fully-propulsive Uranus Orbit Insertion burn on the order of a few km/s. However, a mission to Uranus with the same science payload could utilize aerocapture for orbit insertion to achieve both a significant reduction in the interplanetary cruise time and reduction in propulsive burn costs. Why Aerocapture: Aerocapture is a promising propellant and time-saving orbital insertion technique for planetary destinations with an atmosphere. Although not flight-proven, previous aerocapture systems studies in the literature have demonstrated both the validity and robustness of the technique at various planetary destinations. With respect to the Ice Giant planets, Neptune has seen more of the analysis in the literature. For science missions at Neptune, aerocapture can enable 1.4 times more delivered mass to orbit than an all-propulsive mission for the same launch vehicle while reducing interplanetary cruise times by more than 3 years [2] Additionally with modern guidance and control, Neptune aerocapture with blunt-body aeroshells is realizable [3][4]. There are limited papers in the literature investigating Uranus aerocapture with those available providing a preliminary feasibility assessment [5]. Consequently, the two-year funded NASA Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD)-funded project, titled Aerocapture System as an Enabling Technology for Ice Giants Missions, aims to mature the analysis and technology state of Uranus aerocapture. Trajectory Design: This paper presents the current state of the trajectory design in support of the new aerocapture project. The project design philosophy is inspired from recent Neptune aerocapture studies, which employed modern guidance and control, in the sense that blunt-body aeroshells are analyzed. An assessment of the theoretical flight path angle corridor width is conducted for a range of ballistic coefficients and lift-to-drag ratios for both Space Launch System and Falcon Heavy Launch Vehicle interplanetary trajectory solutions. The results from the corridor width assessment provide an assessment of the aerocapture design-space and qualitative metrics on trajectory design considerations. The Program to Optimize Simulated Trajectories II (POST2) is utilized to run Monte Carlo simulations of Uranus aerocapture three-degree-of-freedom bank angle modulated trajectories using a closed-loop numerical-predictor corrector guidance algorithm. UranusGRAM 2021 is utilized as the atmospheric model [6]. A Uranus-developed aerodatabase, originally derived from Mars Science Laboratory (MSL), is utilized to provide vehicle aerodynamics over a wide range of hypersonic flow regimes. A MSL-derived 70 deg 4.5m diameter sphere-cone aeroshell that houses the UOP payload mass is assumed. Robustness testing and performance analysis is conducted, including the assessment of entry state errors, atmosphere density variations, and aerodynamic dispersions. Post-aerocapture Delta-V and aerothermal statistics are formulated into propellant mass and TPS requirements. The results presented in the paper will demonstrate the trajectory viability of Uranus aerocapture. Preliminary Results: Preliminary trajectory design results indicates successful Uranus aerocapture with a blunt-body aeroshell housing the same payload mass as the UOP mission from an Earth-to-Uranus interplanetary trajectory arriving in less than 7 years. From this interplanetary trajectory, aerocapture provides an orbit insertion Delta-V capability of 6.9 km/s requiring less than 300 m/s for post-aerocapture correction burns (15% of wet mass allocated to propellant). To put this into perspective, the UOP study utilized an Earth-to-Uranus trajectory that arrives in 13 years and requires more than 1000 m/s for fully-propulsive orbit insertion (40% of wet mass allocated to propellant). Achieving the same 6.9 km/s Delta-V capability fully-propulsively is mass prohibitive (97% of wet mass allocated to propellant). Nevertheless, aerocapture has the potential to reduce interplanetary transit times to Uranus by half while delivering the same payload mass to orbit in a reduced propellant mass footprint.

Rohan Deshmukh

Multihierarchy Gaussian Process Models for Probabilistic Aerodynamic Databases using Uncertain Nominal and Off-Nominal Configuration Data

Probabilistic aerodynamic databases are a crucial component of the development lifecycle for aerospace vehicles. A key challenge when building aerodynamic databases is that most data used to construct them represent various simplifications of the real flight vehicle. For example, wind tunnel models often simplify the vehicle geometry and surface roughness characteristics, while CFD computations often make simplifications to the physics being modeled, such as fully laminar or turbulent calculations. Multifidelity data fusion models rely on a user being able to define a hierarchy of fidelity levels anchored to some "truth" data. This approach is unsatisfactory when no data can be considered to accurately reflect real flight conditions. In this work, we provide an alternative approach by presenting a consistent mathematical framework for building probabilistic aerodynamic databases in the form of a conditional probability distribution described by an ensemble of multifidelity Gaussian Processes. Instead of relying on a single hierarchy of data fidelity levels, the presented framework identifies a "nominal" configuration and potential corrections to the nominal which represent specific physical phenomena not represented in the nominal data. The nominal and correction functions themselves are constructed as multifidelity Gaussian Processes and linearly combined to form an ensemble model which fuses the uncertainties associated nominal and correction models. Results obtained using the proposed framework on a simplified Orion Crew Module wind tunnel dataset demonstrate the predictive capability of the multihierarchy framework. We further demonstrate the benefits of such a probabilistic aerodynamic database approach through function sampling and computing the conditional distributions of derived quantities, such as the trim angle of attack and aerodynamic coefficients at trim.

Gaussian Processes