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Results for “Analytic hierarchy process”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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15 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

A Framework Using Applied Process Analysis Methods to Assess Water Security in the Vu Gia–Thu Bon River Basin, Vietnam

The Vu Gia–Thu Bon (VG–TB) river basin is facing numerous challenges to water security, particularly in light of the increasing impacts of climate change. These challenges, including salinity intrusion, shifts in rainfall patterns, and reduced water supply in downstream areas, are of great concern. This study comprehensively assessed the current state of water security in the basin using robust statistical analysis methods such as the Process Analysis Method (PAM), SMART principle, and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). This resulted in the development of a comprehensive assessment framework for water security in the VG–TB river basin. This framework identified five key dimensions, with basin development activities (0.32), the ability to meet water needs (0.24), and natural disaster resilience (0.19) being the most crucial and water resource potential being the least crucial (0.11) according to the AHP methodology. The latter also highlighted 15 indicators, four of which are particularly influential, including waste resources (0.54), flood (0.53), water storage capacity (0.45), and basin governance (0.42). Furthermore, 28 variables with high weight factors were identified. This framework aligns with the UN-Water water security definition and addresses the global water sustainability criteria outlined in Sustainable Development Goal 6 (SDG6). It enables the computation of a comprehensive Water Security Index (WSI) for specific regions, providing a strong foundation for decision-making and policy formulation. It aims to enhance water security in the context of climate change and support sustainable basin development, thereby guiding future research and policy decisions in water resource management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Comparative evaluation and selection of heat exchangers using multicriteria decision-making

Here, this study presents a well-structured method for comparing and selecting Heat Exchanger (HE) technologies for Integrated Energy Systems (IES). The decision to select a HE for a particular IES configuration can vary greatly depending not only on engineering requirements but also on customer’s specific demand. In other words, the HE selection for IES requires a multicriteria decision-making approach, taking into account diverse technical, economic, and safety aspects, as well as the relative priorities considered by energy users. This study employs a HE evaluation approach combining multicriteria decision-making techniques widely used in various industries: quality function deployment (QFD) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) techniques. Of particular interest is the use of the proposed method to select a high-temperature HEs that couples advanced nuclear reactors and industrial processes. To build a practical basis for comparing HEs within the proposed framework, efforts were made to identify the various HEs requirements for IES purposes. In addition, leveraging the insights obtained from the literature review and the market survey of commercial HE suppliers, a knowledge base was built to facilitate the comparison of each requirement across various HE designs. Also, evaluation metrics were identified for HE requirements with robust rational to enhance the quality of decisions made throughout the proposed evaluation process. The evaluation procedure and knowledge base described in this study can provide a useful basis for those interested in screening the appropriate HE designs for various IES scenarios.

Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)↗
DOE OSTI2023

DEEPEN 3D PFA Weights for Exploration Datasets in Magmatic Environments

DEEPEN stands for DE-risking Exploration of geothermal Plays in magmatic ENvironments. As part of the development of the DEEPEN 3D play fairway analysis (PFA) methodology for magmatic plays (conventional hydrothermal, superhot EGS, and supercritical), weights needed to be developed for use in the weighted sum of the different favorability index models produced from geoscientific exploration datasets. This GDR submission includes those weights. The weighting was done using two different approaches: one based on expert opinions, and one based on statistical learning. The weights are intended to describe how useful a particular exploration method is for imaging each component of each play type. They may be adjusted based on the characteristics of the resource under investigation, knowledge of the quality of the dataset, or simply to reduce the impact a single dataset has on the resulting outputs. Within the DEEPEN PFA, separate sets of weights are produced for each component of each play type, since exploration methods hold different levels of importance for detecting each play component, within each play type. The weights for conventional hydrothermal systems were based on the average of the normalized weights used in the DOE-funded PFA projects that were focused on magmatic plays. This decision was made because conventional hydrothermal plays are already well-studied and understood, and therefore it is logical to use existing weights where possible. In contrast, a true PFA has never been applied to superhot EGS or supercritical plays, meaning that exploration methods have never been weighted in terms of their utility in imaging the components of these plays. To produce weights for superhot EGS and supercritical plays, two different approaches were used: one based on expert opinion and the analytical hierarchy process (AHP), and another using a statistical approach based on principal component analysis (PCA). The weights are intended to provide standardized sets of weights for each play type in all magmatic geothermal systems. Two different approaches were used to investigate whether a more data-centric approach might allow new insights into the datasets, and also to analyze how different weighting approaches impact the outcomes. The expert/AHP approach involved using an online tool (https://bpmsg.com/ahp/) with built-in forms to make pairwise comparisons which are used to rank exploration methods against one-another. The inputs are then combined in a quantitative way, ultimately producing a set of consensus-based weights. To minimize the burden on each individual participant, the forms were completed in group discussions. While the group setting means that there is potential for some opinions to outweigh others, it also provides a venue for conversation to take place, in theory leading the group to a more robust consensus then what can be achieved on an individual basis. This exercise was done with two separate groups: one consisting of U.S.-based experts, and one consisting of Iceland-based experts in magmatic geothermal systems. The two sets of weights were then averaged to produce what we will from here on refer to as the "expert opinion-based weights," or "expert weights" for short. While expert opinions allow us to include more nuanced information in the weights, expert opinions are subject to human bias. Data-centric or statistical approaches help to overcome these potential human biases by focusing on and drawing conclusions from the data alone. More information on this approach along with the dataset used to produce the statistical weights may be found in the linked dataset below.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantitative Universal Option Prioritizer (QUOP) v1.0.0

Quantitative Universal Option Prioritizer (QUOP) is a three-layer analytical hierarchy process (AHP) based multi-criteria decision-making option evaluation and prioritization tool. Decision-making often entails evaluation of options. Such competing options can either be mutual substitutes or cumulative means to achieve an objective. The options themselves can be methods, tools, technologies, processes, etc. Stakeholders involved in achieving the objective may view each option characteristic differently, depending on their needs and preferences. The QUOP tool enables a streamlined quantitative collaborative process of weighing the opinion of each stakeholder in evaluating the options. The evaluation may also be performed under different scenarios, for instance, various option potential estimates, prices, or end-user demand projections. The QUOP tool can find application in both public and private sectors, as well as on an individual level. The major advantage of using the QUOP decision-making tool is in documenting the quantified stakeholder opinion, therefore the background to each decision made, while simultaneously maintaining high transparency and stakeholder involvement. The tool is particularly suitable for decisions involving a high number of options and option characteristics, that is, aspects of each option that matter to the stakeholders

Grahovac, Milica↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Comparative Evaluation and Selection of High-Temperature Heat Exchangers for Application to Integrated Energy Systems

The following report aims to create a refined and well-structured method for comparatively evaluating heat exchanger technologies for integrated energy systems that caters customers’ specific needs while meeting engineering requirements. For the evaluation, this study elevates previous evaluation metrics, enhances the knowledge base via literature and market surveys, and identifies the figures of merit with robust rationales to enhance the quality of decisions made throughout the proposed heat exchanger evaluation process. The heat exchanger designs evaluated as part of the case study are shell and tube heat exchangers, printed circuit heat exchangers, plate heat exchangers, spiral heat exchangers, and heat pipe heat exchangers. The information presented in this report is meant for industries interested in making a preliminary screening process to identify the most suitable heat exchanger design for their application of interest.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Comparative Evaluation and Selection of High-Temperature Heat Exchangers for Application to Integrated Energy Systems

The following report aims to create a refined and well-structured method for comparatively evaluating heat exchanger technologies for integrated energy systems that caters customers’ specific needs while meeting engineering requirements. For the evaluation, this study elevates previous evaluation metrics, enhances the knowledge base via literature and market surveys, and identifies the figures of merit with robust rationales to enhance the quality of decisions made throughout the proposed heat exchanger evaluation process. The heat exchanger designs evaluated as part of the case study are shell and tube heat exchangers, printed circuit heat exchangers, plate heat exchangers, spiral heat exchangers, and heat pipe heat exchangers. The information presented in this report is meant for industries interested in making a preliminary screening process to identify the most suitable heat exchanger design for their application of interest.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Description of FY25 Theory and Simulation Performance Target: Development of an integrated modeling framework for fusion reactor design and assessment

The urgency to deliver fusion power is growing now more than ever, with increasing pressure for both public programs and private companies to meet milestones timelines and overcome significant remaining technical challenges to ensure growth of a nascent fusion industry in time to meet rapidly growing clean energy demands. With incredible advancements in computation and years of investment in fusion model development and validation, integrated modeling is poised to fill a key role in accelerating the timeline to a fusion pilot plant (FPP). Future fusion pilot plants will operate in regimes far beyond current experience, and device design will rely on physics-based prediction and extrapolation. Many concepts will also rely on simulation to assess safety (shielding, tritium management, materials activation and lifetimes), economics and scalability before the decision to build. Importantly, integrated simulation can be used to reveal and solve the complexities of system integration that may otherwise not be apparent in physical components or models developed in isolation. New experimental test facilities that produce relevant conditions to validate and resolve key technical challenges for various subsystems (materials, blankets, fuel cycle, etc.) have been repeatedly called for by the fusion community but are not yet realized. Integrated modeling has an important role in identifying realistic load conditions (thermal, electromagnetic, plasma, neutron and photon loads, etc.) and defining the components and experiments for these test facilities in order to ensure meaningful validation that sufficiently reduces modeling uncertainties and technical risk for the full integrated reactor. The Fusion REactor Design and Assessment (FREDA) SciDAC project is building a component-based integrated modeling framework & data structure to enable self-consistent, multi-fidelity, iterative optimization workflows for the fusion reactor design process. FREDA aims to shorten the time to viable designs by providing a set of flexible workflows to support the various stages of the design process using an integrated model hierarchy, ranging from the simple analytic descriptions to the highest fidelity, theory-based plasma and engineering modeling developed by the fusion and fission communities. These tools are expected to be needed for timely support of FPP design in the milestone program and in the FIRE collaboratives. The plasma simulation backbone of FREDA is IPS-FASTRAN with newly developed coupled Core-Edge Pedestal-SOL (CESOL) workflows, which is being extended to the far-SOL region up to the plasma facing components. FREDA incorporates the FERMI engineering modeling suite and will enable self-consistent evaluation of the thermal shields, limiters, blanket, magnets, and other surrounding structures with predictions of temperatures, erosion, dpa, activation, tritium generation and transport, creep, corrosion, material degradation, etc. Parametric generation of 3D CAD enables rapid iteration of component geometry in response to plasma and loading specifications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enhancing Early Systems R&D Capabilities with Systems —Theoretic Process Analysis

Systems engineering today faces a wide array of challenges, ranging from new operational environments to disruptive technological — necessitating approaches to improve research and development (R&D) efforts. Yet, emphasizing the Aristotelian argument that the “whole is greater than the sum of its parts” seems to offer a conceptual foundation creating new R&D solutions. Invoking systems theoretic concepts of emergence and hierarchy and analytic characteristics of traceability, rigor, and comprehensiveness is potentially beneficial for guiding R&D strategy and development to bridge the gap between theoretical problem spaces and engineering-based solutions. In response, this article describes systems–theoretic process analysis (STPA) as an example of one such approach to aid in early-systems R&D discussions. STPA—a ‘top-down’ process that abstracts real complex system operations into hierarchical control structures, functional control loops, and control actions—uses control loop logic to analyze how control actions (designed for desired system behaviors) may become violated and drive the complex system toward states of higher risk. By analyzing how needed controls are not provided (or out of sequence or stopped too soon) and unneeded controls are provided (or engaged too long), STPA can help early-system R&D discussions by exploring how requirements and desired actions interact to either mitigate or potentially increase states of risk that can lead to unacceptable losses. This article will demonstrate STPA's benefit for early-system R&D strategy and development discussion by describing such diverse use cases as cyber security, nuclear fuel transportation, and US electric grid performance. Together, the traceability, rigor, and comprehensiveness of STPA serve as useful tools for improving R&D strategy and development discussions. In conclusion, leveraging STPA as well as related systems engineering techniques can be helpful in early R&D planning and strategy development to better triangulate deeper theoretical meaning or evaluate empirical results to better inform systems engineering solutions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unbalanced Nested Random Effects Estimation of Variance Components

To investigate the contributing factors of variance in the measurement of an iodine 127 (127I) sample, we implement a nested random effects analysis of variance (ANOVA). Historically, the reported uncertainty on a measurement of 127I has been obtained by methods of forward uncertainty propagation because there is typically only one replicate of a given sample for which to estimate the uncertainty. When samples are processed there are several types of quality control (QC) standards analyzed along-side the unknown samples with two to five replicates for each. Assuming the variance observed in these replicate QC standards is representative of that of the unknown samples, we use these data in a nested random effects ANOVA to estimate the total uncertainty of a measurement. We demonstrate this approach with two sets of measurements from Idaho National Laboratory and compare the results with the forward uncertainty propagation approach. Variance component estimates for the coarsest level of the nesting structure were most imprecise because replicates were most limited at these levels. We find that the results largely agree between forward propagation and ANOVA, and the greatest contributors of variance are due to instrument variation and chemical processing, with human processing being among the smallest contributors. This analysis provides reassurance that the reported uncertainties using forward propagation are reasonable and the process is well controlled. We propose a future designed experiment to increase replicates at the coarsest level of the hierarchy to improve estimates of these variance components.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Evaluating ecosystem water use efficiency under drought stress: a case study of the Helan Mountain region, northwest China

Context Water use efficiency (WUE) is a fundamental ecological indicator links carbon assimilation and water loss in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding its responses to drought stress is essential for adaptive ecosystem management, particularly in climate-sensitive mountain landscapes. Objectives This study aimed to investigate drought-driven variations in WUE across major vegetation types in the Helan Mountain region of Northwest China. Specifically, we sought to identify dominant ecological drivers of WUE variability and to disentangle their relative importance and causal pathways. Methods We quantified WUE using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products and the Drought Severity Index (DSI) data from 2001 to 2020. To examine WUE – drought relationships across contrasting vegetation types, we employed a spatially explicit analytical framework integrating Random Forest (RF) modeling, partial correlation analysis, and structural equation modeling (SEM). Results Regional WUE exhibited relatively stable interannual dynamics, yet pronounced spatial heterogeneity that was strongly modulated by drought conditions. Vegetation properties, particularly Leaf Area Index (LAI) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), emerged as the dominant determinants of WUE, with NDVI alone explaining over 20% of its spatial variance in forest and grassland during non-drought periods. SEM analyses revealed that climate forcing influenced WUE mainly through indirect pathways mediated by soil moisture availability and vegetation structural dynamics, rather than through direct climatic controls. Among all regulating factors, LAI acted as the central control node governing ecosystem carbon–water coupling. In contrast, short-term climatic stress, especially atmospheric demand and drought duration, exerted weak or negative direct effects on WUE. Ecosystem-specific responses were observed, with croplands mainly regulated by soil water availability, whereas forests and grasslands showed more sensitive to atmospheric drought stress. Together, these results reveal a hierarchical control framework where soil–vegetation interactions mediate climate impacts on WUE, driving strong spatial heterogeneity in drought responses across mountain landscapes. Conclusions Our findings highlight the pivotal role of indirect drought effects mediated by vegetation and soil processes in shaping ecosystem WUE. The identified soil–vegetation–climate regulatory hierarchy provides mechanistic insight into landscape–scale drought sensitivity and supports integrated modeling approaches for evaluating ecosystem resilience and sustainable management in arid mountain regions.

China↗
DOE OSTI2026

Model Parameter Development for Complex Materials: Species-Specific Diffusion Barriers in 316 Stainless Steel from Systematic DFT Calculations

Vacancy-mediated diffusion barriers in 316 stainless steel have been systematically calculated using density functional theory to provide essential parameters for mesoscale microstructure evolution models. A statistical sampling approach employing 210 nudged elastic band calculations across multiple special quasi-random structures captures the effects of local chemical environments in this concentrated alloy. The computational methodology addresses challenges specific to chemically disordered systems, including proper magnetic treatment throughout multi-step calculations and validation against experimental structural properties. The calculated activation barriers reveal clear species-dependent diffusion behavior with the hierarchy Ni >> Fe ˜ Cr >> Mo. Nickel exhibits the highest barriers (0.74–1.31 eV, mean 1.045 eV), confirming its role as the slowest-diffusing major component. Iron and chromium show similar moderate barriers averaging 0.587 eV and 0.522 eV, respectively. Remarkably, molybdenum demonstrates exceptionally low barriers (0.12–0.28 eV, mean 0.194 eV), suggesting much higher mobility than previously recognized and potentially significant implications for precipitation kinetics and microstructure evolution. The barrier ranges remain consistent across different 316 SS compositions, supporting parameter transferability for modeling applications. The overall mean barrier of 0.64 eV provides a practical approximation for phase field simulations, while species-specific values enable detailed treatments of diffusion-controlled processes. This systematic approach establishes a validated framework for generating diffusion parameters in other concentrated alloys where experimental data are limited, while providing the first systematic set of species-specific barriers for predictive modeling of 316 stainless steel microstructure evolution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Concept Lens: Visual Comparison and Evaluation of Generative Model Manipulations

Generative models are becoming a transformative technology for the creation and editing of images. However, it remains challenging to harness these models for precise image manipulation. These challenges often manifest as inconsistency in the editing process, where both the type and amount of semantic change, depend on the image being manipulated. Moreover, there exist many methods for computing image manipulations, whose development is hindered by the matter of inconsistency. This paper aims to address these challenges by improving how we evaluate, compare, and explore the space of manipulations offered by a generative model. We present Concept Lens, a visual interface that is designed to aid users in understanding semantic concepts carried in image manipulations, and how these manipulations vary over generated images. Given the large space of possible images produced by a generative model, Concept Lens is designed to support the exploration of both generated images, and their manipulations, at multiple levels of detail. To this end, the layout of Concept Lens is informed by two hierarchies: a hierarchical organization of (1) original images, grouped by their similarities, and (2) image manipulations, where manipulations that induce similar changes are grouped together. This layout allows one to discover the types of images that consistently respond to a group of manipulations, and vice versa, manipulations that consistently respond to a group of codes. We show the benefits of this design across multiple use cases, specifically, studying the quality of manipulations for a single method, and offering a means of comparing different methods.

clustering↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tuning 3-D Nanomaterial Architectures Using Atomic Layer Deposition to Direct Solution Synthesis

The ability to synthesize nanoarchitected materials with tunable geometries provides a means to control their functional properties, with applications in biological, environmental, and energy fields. To this end, various bottom-up and top-down synthesis processes have been developed. However, many of these processes require prepatterning or etching steps, making them challenging to scale-up to complex, nonplanar substrates. Furthermore, the ability to integrate nanomaterials into hierarchical arrays with precise control of feature spacing and orientation remains a challenge. One approach to overcome these patterning challenges is the use of surface modification layers to guide the resulting geometry of nanomaterial architectures grown from the substrate. A powerful strategy to accomplish this is what we will refer to as “surface-directed assembly,” where the resulting geometric parameters (feature size, shape, orientation) are predetermined by the initial surface layer. In particular, the use of Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) to form a surface layer, followed by solution-based growth processes, has the ability to synthesize architected structures with tunable geometries on complex, nonplanar surfaces. Over the past decade, we have reported a series of studies where surface-directed assembly is used to synthesize ZnO nanowires (NWs) on top of a variety of substrates. In this case, a thin film of ZnO is deposited onto the substrate using ALD, which can guide the NW diameter, spacing, and angular orientation with respect to the substrate by controlling epitaxial relationships. Furthermore, we have shown that by depositing a submonolayer overcoat of a secondary material (e.g., amorphous TiO 2 ), nucleation sites are partially blocked, which can further tune the spacing between nanowires while minimizing changes to their other geometric properties. This approach can be used to generate multilevel hierarchical structures, such as hyperbranched NW arrays with tunable control of each level of hierarchy using ALD. Finally, we have demonstrated that the tunable control of geometric parameters can be scaled-up to curved, nonplanar substrates. This highlights the power of ALD to conformally and uniformly deposit the seed layers on complex substrates with subnanometer precision. To complement these seeded hydrothermal approaches, we expanded this strategy to include conversion chemistry of the initial ALD seed layers. For example, by replacing ZnO with Al 2 O 3 as the seed layer without changing the hydrothermal growth conditions, Al–Zn layered-double hydroxide nanosheets can be formed instead of nanowires. In another example of conversion chemistry, a solution anion-exchange process was used to incorporate sulfur into ALD metal oxide films. In both of these conversion processes, the properties of the initial ALD film enabled tuning of the resulting nanostructure geometry. In this Account, we describe the use of ALD to guide the growth of diverse nanomaterial systems, with tunable control over their geometry and composition. We further show how these approaches can be used to tune functional properties for a range of applications, including superomniphobic surfaces, antibiofouling coatings, and photocatalysis. In conclusion, we conclude with an outlook on how the combination of ALD and solution synthesis can enable future directions in scalable nanomanufacturing to overcome the limitations of traditional top-down and bottom-up approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Random heteropolymers as enzyme mimics

Despite successes in replicating the primary–secondary–tertiary structure hierarchy of protein, it remains elusive to synthetically materialize protein functions that are deeply rooted in their chemical, structural and dynamic heterogeneities. We propose that for polymers with backbone chemistries different from that of proteins, programming spatial and temporal projections of sidechains at the segmental level can be effective in replicating protein behaviours; and leveraging the rotational freedom of polymer can mitigate deficiencies in monomeric sequence specificity and achieve behaviour uniformity at the ensemble level. Here, guided by the active site analysis of about 1,300 metalloproteins, we design random heteropolymers (RHPs) as enzyme mimics based on one-pot synthesis. We introduce key monomers as the equivalents of the functional residues of protein and statistically modulate the chemical characteristics of key monomer-containing segments, such as segmental hydrophobicity. The resultant RHPs form pseudo-active sites that provide key monomers with protein-like microenvironments, co-localize substrates with catalytic or cofactor-binding sidechains and catalyse reactions such as oxidation and cyclization of citronellal with isopulegol/menthoglycol selectivity. This RHP design led to enzyme-like materials that can retain catalytic activity under non-biological conditions, are compatible with scalable processing and have expanded substrate scope, including environmentally long-lasting antibiotic tetracycline.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗