The Solar Forecast Arbiter: An Open Source Evaluation Framework for Solar Forecasting.
Abstract not provided.
Hansen, Clifford↗
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Fibroblasts: The arbiters of extracellular matrix remodeling
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DeLeon-Pennell, Kristine Y. (ORCID:000000029647611↗
The Polar Stratosphere as an Arbiter of the Projected Tropical Versus Polar Tug of War
This study explores the “tug of war” between the effects of Arctic amplification (“AA”) and upper-troposphere tropical warming (“UTW”) on the response of the future North Atlantic atmospheric circulation. The late 21st century AA and UTW temperature anomalies are imposed in a high-top atmospheric model by nudging the temperature. Two sets of experiments are performed, with and without feedback of the polar stratosphere to highlight its role in the response to UTW, AA, and both combined. With interactive polar stratosphere, UTW forces an equatorward shift of the eddy-driven jet that reinforces the response to AA. However, when the polar stratosphere feedback is suppressed, the response to UTW is opposite and reflects the previously identified tug of war between the effects of UTW and AA in midlatitudes. This study highlights that the polar stratosphere is a key component for future changes in the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation and that it must be accurately represented in climate change scenarios.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Arbiter with random tie breaking
Candidates for selection in a weighted arbitration system are assigned priority weights and random weights. The winning candidate is determined using a tree of selectors such as a comparators. At each stage of the tree, the candidate having the greatest priority weight is selected to pass to the next stage. If multiple candidates are tied for the greatest priority weight, the candidate having the greatest random weight is selected to pass to the next stage.
Lesartre, Gregg B.↗
Open Source Evaluation Framework for Solar Forecasting
The Solar Forecast Arbiter is an open-source evaluation framework for solar forecasting. The framework enables evaluations of solar irradiance, solar power, and net-load forecasts that are impartial, repeatable and auditable. The Solar Forecast Arbiter addresses stakeholder-informed use cases including evaluation of forecast skill, comparisons to reference data sets, private forecast trials, and evaluation of probabilistic forecast skill. The framework includes a data validation toolkit, reference data sources, data privacy protocols, and benchmark forecast capabilities for intra-hour and day ahead forecast horizons. Reports and metrics communicate the relative merits of the test and benchmark forecasts. The reports are created from standardized templates and include graphics for qualitatively evaluating deterministic and probabilistic forecasts and standard metrics for quantitatively evaluating forecasts. The Solar Forecast Arbiter is designed to support all solar forecasting stakeholders, including Solar Forecasting 2 Topic Area 2 and Topic Area 3 teams.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Penetration of filamentary structures into the divertor region of spherical tokamaks
Understanding the penetration from the midplane region towards the divertor plate of filamentary structures in the main scrape-off layer of spherical tokamaks is of interest for divertor design and plasma material interaction. Insight into this problem is gained by studying the closely related problem of the parallel structure of resistive ballooning modes, localized to a particular flux surface by a perturbed blob-like density profile. The resulting linearized equations are solved using the Arbitrary Topology Equation Reader (ArbiTER) code. A metric applied to the spatial structure of the dominant eigenmode quantifies mode penetration. Trends in this quantity are then measured by performing parameter scans over temperature and density. Furthermore, the results of this study are consistent with the dominant role of collisionality in limiting mode interaction with the divertor plate.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Comparison of private flux region instability in conventional and super-X divertor configurations
Understanding turbulence in the divertor leg of tokamaks is essential to predicting the heat deposition profile on the divertor plate. This in turn is important for evaluating advanced divertor configurations, such as the super-X divertor. Within the divertor region, the private flux region is of interest because it is relatively unaffected by turbulence extending from the outboard midplane, so instabilities in this region could have a particularly pronounced effect on transport. These instabilities are modeled using the Arbitrary Topology Equation Reader (ArbiTER) eigenvalue code. Eigenmodes are examined further by comparing physics models to determine the fundamental mechanisms behind their formation, and quantifying the effect of individual terms. This analysis is conducted on both conventional and super-X divertors to compare these effects. Here, the resulting analysis reveals the presence of a geodesic curvature driven instability that is significantly more pronounced in the super-X configuration.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Divertor leg filaments in NSTX-U
This study presents the first observation of divertor localized turbulence in the NSTX-Upgrade spherical tokamak. Previous work in NSTX discharges described fluctuations on the divertor target due to blobs generated on the low field side midplane. In the region that shows disconnection from upstream turbulence (private flux region and proximity of the strike point), divertor-localized fluctuations are observed via imaging of C III and D-α emission in diverted L-mode discharges and are characterized in this paper. Field-aligned filaments connected to the divertor target plate are radially localized at the separatrix on the outer divertor leg and in the private flux region on the inner divertor leg. These are limited to the region below the X-point with fluctuation levels up to 10%–20%. The filaments have comparable poloidal and radial correlation lengths (10–100 ion gyroradii ρ i ) and parallel correlation lengths of several meters. Toroidal mode numbers are in the range of 10–30 and 2–10 for outer and inner leg filaments. The poloidal motion of outer leg filaments has the same direction and comparable magnitude to advection due to E x B drift calculated by the multi-fluid edge transport code UEDGE with inclusion of cross field drifts. Disconnection between inner and outer leg filaments as well as the absence of correlation with upstream turbulence support the hypothesis of X-point disconnection for divertor leg filaments. Simulations with the ArbiTER linear eigenvalue solver and a resistive-balooning model were performed with a simulation grid limited to the divertor legs. Instabilities localized to the bad curvature side of the divertor legs were observed, in qualitative agreement with the experiment.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Event driven readout architecture with non-priority arbitration for radiation detectors
A novel event driven readout architecture, EDWARD (Event Driven with Access and 8 Reset Decoder) architecture, for highly granular pixel detectors is presented. It incorporates, inter alia, an asynchronous arbitration tree based on Seitz' arbiters, removing the need for an imposed prioritization scheme. It also provides protection against glitches during readout. The system allows not only reading pixel activities, but also retrieving additional data, both analog and digital, from the pixels. A novel in-channel logic allows the entire readout process to be split into consecutive phases for additional flexibility. All operations are controlled by only one edge of the clock signal, seen as an acknowledge token, so there is no dead time between readouts.
47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
Advanced Solar and Load Forecasting Incorporating HD Sky Imaging (Phase III)
Due to rapidly changing sky conditions, the available solar irradiance for energy generation is subject to wide swings in amplitude. As the market penetration of solar energy continues to increase rapidly, these variations in solar power generation are beginning to have an impact on grid stability and increased wear on power switches. Solar power forecasting plays a critical role in operations for Independent System Operators (ISOs) and utilities. Accurate forecasts help maintain grid reliability, optimize generation from renewables, and reduce operating costs. Of particular interest to the ISOs and utilities are sudden changes in solar irradiance, termed “ramp events,” due to the movement of clouds. One significant impact of ramp events on the grid is additional ancillary service requirements necessary to manage such variability. Ramp events can also cause voltage fluctuations in the distribution grids and trigger actions of automated line equipment (e.g., tap changers), leading to additional maintenance costs. In high penetration solar regions, forecasts must be made for both transmission-connected and distribution-connected resources – either behind the meter or in front of it. Particularly for distributed solar energy resources, forecasting can be a challenge due to the lack of visibility of the energy resource. Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) has been working towards nowcasting Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) using low-cost technologies for several years now. The Solar NowCasting technology being developed by BNL is a 0 – 30 min solar “nowcasting” technology applicable to a scale covering both large generating facilities and residential, distributed solar installations that relies on a network of ground-based high-definition (HD) cameras and surface pyranometers. GHI forecasts are being produced for both regions using 8 ground-based HD cameras and at least 2 surface pyranometers. When stitched together, the camera images can be used to forecast the impact of clouds on available solar irradiance over a domain of ~50 km 2 . Phase I of the project was the engineering scale up conceptual design stage. Phase II was the initial field test and demonstration, in which the technology was scaled up by a factor of 20 times and successfully demonstrated in eastern Long Island. In Phase III, an additional forecasting network was added in upstate NY and both networks are currently being operated until at least a full year of data is gathered by the Albany network to allow for the collection of sufficient data to evaluate performance against the persistence and smart persistence models using the Solar Arbiter.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
System and method for protecting GPU memory instructions against faults
A system and method for protecting memory instructions against faults are described. The system and method include converting the slave instructions to dummy operations, modifying memory arbiter to issue up to N master and N slave global/shared memory instructions per cycle, sending master memory requests to memory system, using slave requests for error checking, entering master requests to the GM/LM FIFO, storing slave requests in a register, and comparing the entered master requests with the stored slave requests.
Kalamatianos, John↗
System and method for protecting GPU memory instructions against faults
A system and method for protecting memory instructions against faults are described. The system and method include converting the slave instructions to dummy operations, modifying memory arbiter to issue up to N master and N slave global/shared memory instructions per cycle, sending master memory requests to memory system, using slave requests for error checking, entering master requests to the GM/LM FIFO, storing slave requests in a register, and comparing the entered master requests with the stored slave requests.
Kalamatianos, John↗
PVAnalytics: A Python Package for Automated Processing of Solar Time Series Data
Multiple publicly available software packages exist that analyze solar time series data, including RdTools and Solar Data Tools, among others. Several of these packages contain their own unique quality assurance (QA) and feature recognition algorithms. The python PVAnalytics package was developed to offer an internally consistent source for these analysis tools, making it easier for the end user to deploy these routines on his or her solar data. The PVAnalytics package currently contains routines for outlier detection, inverter clipping detection, irradiance and temperature checks, orientation checks, and data shift detection, among other functions. These functions have been aggregated from various sources including Solar Forecast Arbiter, RdTools, and the QA process developed by NREL's PV Fleets Initiative. We are continuously adding new functionality to the package, including documentation, examples and algorithms. By bundling QA functionality into a single software package, we hope to make PVAnalytics a comprehensive software library to support analysis of solar metadata and time series data.
data cleaning↗
System and method for protecting GPU memory instructions against faults
A system and method for protecting memory instructions against faults are described. The system and method include converting the slave instructions to dummy operations, modifying memory arbiter to issue up to N master and N slave global/shared memory instructions per cycle, sending master memory requests to memory system, using slave requests for error checking, entering master requests to the GM/LM FIFO, storing slave requests in a register, and comparing the entered master requests with the stored slave requests.
Kalamatianos, John↗
Open-Source Contributions to Arbiter2
Login nodes at High-Performance Computing (HPC) sites are shared resources used by a multitude of users to compile, test and submit jobs to the batch system. Because these nodes are shared by multiple users at any time, if a minority of users are using a significant proportion of the resources of the node (CPU, memory, etc.), other users' tasks may be negatively impacted. Arbiter2 is an open-source project developed by the University of Utah that aims to prevent these occurrences by dynamically limiting the resources of users depending on whether they are excessively using resources. INL has sought to adapt and develop Arbiter2 for a potential deployment at INL and plans on upstreaming the changes and improvements so that other HPC sites running Arbiter2 can benefit from their work.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
High Performance Computing User Group Meeting
INL HPC team provided updates related to the INL HPC program and HPC systems for HPC User Group Quarterly Review - September 11, 2024
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗