Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Bayes”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 19 records

Hilo Bay Water Resources: Monitoring Water Quality in Hilo Bay, Hawaii to Support Future Community Planning

Designated as an impaired body of water by both state and federal water quality standards, Hilo Bay, Hawaiʻi is highly susceptible to brown water, a condition where the water becomes murky and is associated with excess levels of bacteria, contaminants, and nutrients. A breakwater in Hilo Bay, which was established to protect Hilo town from tsunamis, interferes with water circulation and prolongs the presence of brown water in the bay. The State of Hawaiʻi issues brown water advisories (BWAs) following flash flood warnings, sewage spills, and other events to indicate a public health concern for those who use Hilo Bay for recreation, cultural purposes, and fishing. Due to the elevated public health risk and ecosystem disturbance that brown water poses to Hilo Bay, we partnered with the Hawaiʻi County Office of Sustainability, Climate, Equity, and Resilience (OSCER) to examine the feasibility of using Earth observations (EO) to monitor water quality in the Hilo Bay region. We leveraged data from Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI), Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI), Landsat 9 OLI-2, and Aqua and Terra Moderate Resolution Imagine Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instruments to identify and assess spatial and temporal patterns of two main water quality parameters, turbidity and chlorophyll-a, during BWAs. We used the Optical Reef and Coastal Area Assessment (ORCAA) tool in Google Earth Engine to process EO data and generate water quality maps and time series. Our study found that increased turbidity levels can be identified by EO data during BWAs. In addition, our map products indicated the presence of several turbidity plumes along the coast, with the highest concentration of turbidity found within Hilo Bay. While chlorophyll-a levels were relatively flat within our study region during BWAs, we found that regional chlorophyll-a patterns could be derived from MODIS chlorophyll-a data in NASA Worldview. Our study’s multi-sensor approach provided valuable insights for how water quality in the Hilo Bay region can be monitored in the future.

remote sensing↗

Narragansett Bay Water Resources: Using Earth Observations to Identify Trends in Harmful Algal Blooms in Narragansett Bay

Narragansett Bay in Rhode Island is known for its quahog, or hard-shell clam, shellfisheries. However, increased levels in harmful algal blooms (HABs) and high phytoplankton biomass events pose threats to quahog populations, creating conditions that limit quahog growth and reproduction. Quahog shortages, along with public health concerns associated with contamination of shellfish from HAB-produced neurotoxins, have contributed to shellfishery closures. NASA DEVELOP partnered with the Environmental Protection Agency’s National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory and Rhode Island’s Department of Environmental Management to use Earth observations and the partners’ in-situ data to visualize phytoplankton bloom events within the bay. We used Sentinel-3 Ocean and Land Color Instrument (OLCI), Landsat 8 and 9 Operational Land Imager (OLI)data to track several proxies of phytoplankton biomass from June 2016 to October 2023. Multiple sensors and in situ datasets were used to assess the feasibility of monitoring phytoplankton biomass accurately in the relatively small sized Narragansett Bay. We determined that Phytoplankton fluorescence line height was the best parameter to monitor phytoplankton biomass in the bay. Although the relatively small size of the bay and the optical complexity of these nearshore waters can pose a challenge, this assessment showed that Earth observations can be a useful complement to the in-situ monitoring of phytoplankton biomass in Narragansett Bay.

Sentinel-3↗

Chesapeake Bay Water Resources: Examining Turbidity and Sediment Dynamics in the Chesapeake Bay

An increase in total suspended sediment (TSS) concentrations and turbidity have contributed to poor water quality in the Chesapeake Bay since the 1970s. Although turbidity and TSS have been moderately improving over the past few decades, poor water quality is detrimental to the Chesapeake Bay’s ecosystems and the surrounding watersheds. The Summer 2022 Chesapeake Bay Water Resources project observed sediment dynamics and turbidity in the York River watershed using remote sensing tools, models, and Earth observations including NASA and United States Geological Survey’s (USGS) Landsat satellite series, NASA DEVELOP’s Optical Reef Coastal Area Assessment Tool 2.0 (ORCAA), and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The collaborators on this project were the Chesapeake Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (CBNERR), Group on Earth Observations (GEO) AquaWatch, the Committee on Earth Observation Satellites Coastal Observations, Applications, Services and Tools (CEOS COAST), and the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality (VA DEQ). The team concluded that the upstream sections of the York River watershed increased in TSS from 2009–2019. However, the seasonal TSS patterns often correlated with higher precipitation levels, although not necessarily major storm events. This may be due to factors like wind and waves contributing to the sedimentation trends observed. Although projects have been conducted to improve water quality, additional efforts like planting riparian buffers along areas with high TSS are needed to reduce the intensity of runoff. The team’s results will allow the end user, the VA DEQ, to inform their policymaking regarding future Bay conservation efforts.

Katherine Hahn↗

Chesapeake Bay Water Resources: Characterization of Sediment Dynamics for Enhanced Water Quality Monitoring in the Chesapeake Bay

An increase in total suspended sediment (TSS) concentrations and turbidity have contributed to poor water quality in the Chesapeake Bay since the 1970s. Although turbidity and TSS have been moderately improving over the past few decades, poor water quality is detrimental to the Chesapeake Bay’s ecosystems and the surrounding watersheds. The Summer 2022 Chesapeake Bay Water Resources project observed sediment dynamics and turbidity in the York River watershed using remote sensing tools, models, and Earth observations including NASA and United States Geological Survey’s (USGS) Landsat satellite series, NASA DEVELOP’s Optical Reef Coastal Area Assessment Tool 2.0 (ORCAA), and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The collaborators on this project were the Chesapeake Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (CBNERR), Group on Earth Observations (GEO) AquaWatch, the Committee on Earth Observation Satellites Coastal Observations, Applications, Services and Tools (CEOS COAST), and the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality (VA DEQ). The team concluded that the upstream sections of the York River watershed increased in TSS from 2009–2019. However, the seasonal TSS patterns often correlated with higher precipitation levels, although not necessarily major storm events. This may be due to factors like wind and waves contributing to the sedimentation trends observed. Although projects have been conducted to improve water quality, additional efforts like planting riparian buffers along areas with high TSS are needed to reduce the intensity of runoff. The team’s results will allow the end user, the VA DEQ, to inform their policymaking regarding future Bay conservation efforts.

Katherine Hahn↗

Keweenaw Bay Water Resources: Turbidity Data Decision Support for Shoreline Assessment and Management in Lake Superior's Keweenaw Bay

Community Concerns: Keweenaw Bay is vulnerable to flooding and erosion, which threaten wetland restoration projects that provide a critical habitat for wildlife and fish. Erosion and flooding threaten the loss of public beaches and shoreline, coastal infrastructure, and impacts to coastal highways, which has driven shoreline armoring projects. Our goals were to first, produce a seasonal turbidity analysis to understand the sediment redistribution patterns in the bay during snow melt and rainy seasons to provide insight into coastal sediment dynamics. KBIC has completed an Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) - funded project titled "Long-Term Coastal Dynamic Collaborative for Tribal Resiliency" which has thus far produced detailed shoreline maps of the area. The NASA DEVELOP project is taking place in between phase 1 and 2 of the EPA-funded project.

Khaim Syed-Raza↗

Keweenaw Bay Water Resources: Turbidity Data Decision Support for Shoreline Assessment and Management in Lake Superior'S Keweenaw Bay

The Keweenaw Bay Indian Community (KBIC) has shoreline along the south of Lake Superior that is contaminated with copper stamp sands from legacy mining. The stamp sands have been capped with sandy-loam soils and restored native species, but erosion and flooding threaten to re-deposit these stamp sands onto wetlands and into the bay. Erosion and flooding also threaten loss of beaches and shoreline, infrastructure, wetland restoration projects, and coastal highways, which has driven shoreline armoring. However, while shoreline armoring can be effective in protecting the intended areas, it can also exacerbate erosion in nearby unarmored areas, so its net impact on the shoreline is yet to be quantified. The DEVELOP team partnered with KBIC and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to utilize imagery from Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI) in order to analyze turbidity proxies. The results from these analyses showed that seasonal variation in study area was greatest during the season dominated by rain, but spatial variability across our study period did not show a clear trend. These results will be used to better inform future shoreline management efforts and support resilience in the face of more coastal erosion.

remote sensing↗

Bay Breeze Influence on Surface Ozone at Edgewood, MD During July 2011

Surface ozone (O3) was analyzed to investigate the role of the bay breeze on air quality at two locations in Edgewood, Maryland (lat: 39.4deg, lon: −76.3deg) for the month of July 2011. Measurements were taken as part of the first year of NASA's "Deriving Information on Surface Conditions from Column and Vertically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality" (DISCOVER-AQ) Earth Venture campaign and as part of NASA's Geostationary for Coastal and Air Pollution Events Chesapeake Bay Oceanographic campaign with DISCOVER-AQ (Geo-CAPE CBODAQ). Geo-CAPE CBODAQ complements DISCOVER-AQ by providing ship-based observations over the Chesapeake Bay. A major goal of DISCOVER-AQ is determining the relative roles of sources, photochemistry and local meteorology during air quality events in the Mid-Atlantic region of the U.S. Surface characteristics, transport and vertical structures of O3 during bay breezes were identified using in-situ surface, balloon and aircraft data, along with remote sensing equipment. Localized late day peaks in O3 were observed during bay breeze days, maximizing an average of 3 h later compared to days without bay breezes. Of the 10 days of July 2011 that violated the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 8 h O3 standard of 75 parts per billion by volume (ppbv) at Edgewood, eight exhibited evidence of a bay breeze circulation. The results indicate that while bay breezes and the processes associated with them are not necessary to cause exceedances in this area, bay breezes exacerbate poor air quality that sustains into the late evening hours at Edgewood. The vertical and horizontal distributions of O3 from the coastal Edgewood area to the bay also show large gradients that are often determined by boundary layer stability. Thus, developing air quality models that can sufficiently resolve these dynamics and associated chemistry, along with more consistent monitoring of O3 and meteorology on and along the complex coastline of Chesapeake Bay must be a high priority.

bay breeze↗

Goddard DEVELOP Students: Using NASA Remote Sensing Technology to Study the Chesapeake Bay Watershed

The DEVELOP National Program is an Earth Science research internship, operating under NASA s Applied Sciences Program. Each spring, summer, and fall, DEVELOP interns form teams to investigate Earth Science related issues. Since the Fall of 2003, Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) has been home to one of 10 national DEVELOP teams. In past terms, students completed a variety of projects related to the Applied Sciences Applications of National Priority, such as Public Health, Natural Disasters, Water Resources, and Ecological Forecasting. These projects have focused on areas all over the world, including the United States, Africa, and Asia. Recently, Goddard DEVELOP students have turned their attention to a local environment, the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. The Chesapeake Bay Watershed is a complex and diverse ecosystem, spanning approximately 64,000 square miles. The watershed encompasses parts of six states: Delaware, Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia, as well as the District of Columbia. The Bay itself is the biggest estuary in the United States, with over 100,000 tributaries feeding into it. The ratio of fresh water to salt water varies throughout the Bay, allowing for a variety of habitats. The Bay s wetlands, marshes, forests, reefs, and rivers support more than 3,600 plant and animal species, including birds, mammals, reptiles, amphibians, fish, and crabs. The Bay is also commercially significant. It is ranked third in the nation in fishery catch, and supplies approximately 500 million pounds of seafood annually. In addition to its abundant flora and fauna, the Chesapeake Bay watershed is home to approximately 16.6 million people, who live and work throughout the watershed, and who use its diverse resources for recreational purposes. Over the past several decades, the population throughout the watershed has increased rapidly, resulting in land use changes, and ultimately decreasing the health of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Over the course of 2009-2010, student teams carried out two independent research projects focused on the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. The first investigated the threat of invasive species to forests in Maryland. The second investigated the detection of winter cover crops throughout the watershed from satellite data.

Moore, Rachel↗

The Dynamical Role of the Chesapeake Bay on the Local Ozone Pollution Using Mesoscale Modeling—A Case Study

This study investigated the dynamic influence of the Chesapeake Bay (CB) on local ozone (O3) concentration and distribution using a weather forecasting model. The Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF–Chem) was employed to simulate O3 production and transportation near the CB. Baseline (water) as well as sensitivity (nowater) model experiments of bay circulation were carried out with and without bay water by changing the water surface from water to land (loam). First, the model performance simulating O3 was evaluated using the baseline experiment results and AirNow surface wind and O3 observations. The results showed that the model overestimates surface O3 by up to 20–30%. Further, the comparisons of the baseline and sensitivity experiments revealed higher O3 mixing ratios, primarily due to the resulting bay breeze circulation. These increases, after considering model overestimation, represent a mean bay dynamics circulation-induced contribution of up to 10% at night and 5% during the day. Furthermore, the boundary layer over northern CB, where it is at its narrowest width, was higher (by 1.2 km on average) during daytime due to higher surface temperatures observed. The boundary layer depth difference between the northern, central, and southern regions of the bay leads to a differential in the role of bay circulation dynamics in the observed O3 increase. The relatively wider swath of water surface over southern CB resulted in a lower boundary layer depth and stronger breeze circulation and this circulation contributed to O3 concentrations. Moreover, since the case selected has a minimal bay breeze circulation, the associated surface ozone enhancements represent what is expected at least at a minimum.

Chesapeak Bay↗