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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2023

An Open‐Source, Physics‐Based, Tropical Cyclone Downscaling Model With Intensity‐Dependent Steering

Abstract An open‐source, physics‐based tropical cyclone (TC) downscaling model is developed, in order to generate a large climatology of TCs. The model is composed of three primary components: (a) a random seeding process that determines genesis, (b) an intensity‐dependent beta‐advection model that determines the track, and (c) a non‐linear differential equation set that determines the intensification rate. The model is entirely forced by the large‐scale environment. Downscaling ERA5 reanalysis data shows that the model is generally able to reproduce observed TC climatology, such as the global seasonal cycle, genesis locations, track density, and lifetime maximum intensity distributions. Inter‐annual variability in TC count and power‐dissipation is also well captured, on both basin‐wide and global scales. Regional TC hazard estimated by this model is also analyzed using return period maps and curves. In particular, the model is able to reasonably capture the observed return period curves of landfall intensity in various sub‐basins around the globe. The incorporation of an intensity‐dependent steering flow is shown to lead to regionally dependent changes in power dissipation and return periods. Advantages and disadvantages of this model, compared to other downscaling models, are also discussed.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

DOE OSTI2021

Five-day track forecast skills of WRF model for the western North Pacific tropical cyclones

In this study, the characteristics of simulated tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific by a regional model (the WRF Model) are verified. We utilize 12-km horizontal grid spacing, and simulations are integrated for 5 days from model initialization. A total of 125 forecasts are divided into five clusters through the k-means clustering method. The TCs in the cluster 1 and 2 (group 1), which includes many TCs moving northward in the subtropical region, generally have larger track errors than for TCs in cluster 3 and 4 (group 2). The optimal steering vector is used to examine the difference in the track forecast skill between these two groups. The bias in the steering vector between the model and analysis data is found to be more substantial for group 1 TCs than group 2 TCs. The larger steering vector difference for group 1 TCs indicates that environmental fields tend to be poorly simulated in group 1 TC cases. Furthermore, the residual terms, including the storm-scale process, asymmetric convection distribution, or beta-related effect, are also larger for group 1 TCs than group 2 TCs. Therefore, it is probable that the large track forecast error for group 1 TCs is a result of unreasonable simulations of environmental wind fields and residual processes in the midlatitudes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Effect of Strength of Soluble and Solid Acid Catalysts on Selectivity in Aldol Reactions

Aldol reactions can follow the classical condensation path and produce an α,β-unsaturated carbonyl compound and water, however in some cases, aldol chemistry may be steered towards a fission that gives an olefin and a carboxylic acid. This investigation examines how the strength of Brønsted acid sites—both in homogeneous and heterogeneous catalysis—controls these two pathways and their kinetics. The cross-aldol reaction between benzaldehyde and 3-pentanone served as test case. Batch reactions, conducted in toluene as solvent at a temperature of 140 °C under autogenous pressure, were analyzed by GC and in situ ATR-FTIR spectroscopy to determine product distributions and rate constants for condensation and fission pathways. A series of soluble acids including a family of sulfonic acids mostly favored the condensation pathway, with formic acid as the weakest in the series by its pKa being inactive for aldol chemistry. Significant amounts of fission products were rare except for the known selectivity of phosphoric acid, and the circumstances were difficult to delineate. For the sulfonic acid family, the logarithm of the first-order condensation rate constants scaled only roughly with pKa (water) values, whereas a good correlation was obtained with calculated deprotonation Gibbs energies in toluene. A series of H-forms of isomorphously substituted beta zeolites, HESiBEA with E = Al, Ga, Fe, or B, favored the fission pathway. Site density and site strength were characterized by calorimetric measurements of the heats of adsorption of isopropylamine, which decreased in the order Al > Ga, Fe > B. The logarithm of the site-normalized first-order fission rate constants scaled roughly with the heats of adsorption and correlated excellently with reported deprotonation energies. In conclusion, acid strength mainly affects activity and can be seen as a pre-requisite for either aldol condensation or fission chemistry, whereas additional, yet to be full clarified catalyst properties and reaction conditions are required to steer aldol chemistry towards fission selectivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗