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At least 19 records

Source scaling comparison and validation in Central Italy: data intensive direct S waves versus the sparse data coda envelope methodology

SUMMARY Robustness of source parameter estimates is a fundamental issue in understanding the relationships between small and large events; however, it is difficult to assess how much of the variability of the source parameters can be attributed to the physical source characteristics or to the uncertainties of the methods and data used to estimate the values. In this study, we apply the coda method by Mayeda et al. using the coda calibration tool (CCT), a freely available Java-based code (https://github.com/LLNL/coda-calibration-tool) to obtain a regional calibration for Central Italy for estimating stable source parameters. We demonstrate the power of the coda technique in this region and show that it provides the same robustness in source parameter estimation as a data-driven methodology [generalized inversion technique (GIT)], but with much fewer calibration events and stations. The Central Italy region is ideal for both GIT and coda approaches as it is characterized by high-quality data, including recent well-recorded seismic sequences such as L'Aquila (2009) and Amatrice–Norcia–Visso (2016–2017). This allows us to apply data-driven methods such as GIT and coda-based methods that require few, but high-quality data. The data set for GIT analysis includes ∼5000 earthquakes and more than 600 stations, while for coda analysis we used a small subset of 39 events spanning 3.5 < Mw < 6.33 and 14 well-distributed broad-band stations. For the common calibration events, as well as an additional 247 events (∼1.7 < Mw < ∼5.0) not used in either calibration, we find excellent agreement between GIT-derived and CCT-derived source spectra. This confirms the ability of the coda approach to obtain stable source parameters even with few calibration events and stations. Even reducing the coda calibration data set by 75 per cent, we found no appreciable degradation in performance. This validation of the coda calibration approach over a broad range of event size demonstrates that this procedure, once extended to other regions, represents a powerful tool for future routine applications to homogeneously evaluate robust source parameters on a national scale. Furthermore, the coda calibration procedure can homogenize the Mw estimates for small and large events without the necessity of introducing any conversion scale between narrow-band measures such as local magnitude (ML) and Mw, which has been shown to introduce significant bias.

Morasca, Paola (ORCID:0000000265254867)↗

Seismic codas on the earth and the moon - A comparison

The seismic codas, representing that part of the seismogram following the arrival of the surface waves or the direct S waves, characteristic of the earth and moon are compared with regard to the implications of coda characteristics for scattering and attenuation. Scattering models based on single S-S scatter theory, in which seismic energy in the coda is assumed to be S waves that have undergone only one scattering without conversion, and on diffusion theory, which assumed that energy in the coda has been scattered many times, are examined, and situations where the single-scattering and multiple-scattering theories are applicable are distinguished by the ratio of attenuation distance to the scattering mean free path. Values of the attenuation distance and the mean free path derived from coda studies for the earth and moon are compared, and it is found that for the frequency range 0.5-10 Hz, diffusion scattering is important in lunar codas, while at frequencies from 1 to 25 Hz single scattering is important in terrestrial codas. It is pointed out that attenuation acts to eliminate scattering paths much longer than the attenuation length. The observed differences between terrestrial and lunar codas are thus attributed to lesser attenuation and greater scattering on the moon.

Dainty, A. M.↗

Using a 1D Radially Symmetric Coda Envelope Model for Robust Moment Magnitude ( M w ) Estimation in Iraq’s Tectonically Diverse Zones

Robust estimation of moment magnitude (M w ) can be challenging for Iraq due to the strong lateral heterogeneity across diverse tectonic zones. We aim to improve moment magnitude estimation by investigating the reliability of using a 1D coda envelope model in diverse tectonic zones of different lateral effects and offer a way forward for reliable estimates of M w for small events that are difficult to waveform model. Iraq comprises two main tectonic zones: (1) the Outer platform, consisting of the northwestern Zagros fold-thrust belt and the Mesopotamian foredeep, and (2) the Inner Arabian platform which is overlain by the Iraqi desert. A simple 1D coda envelope model was used because coda waves have a low sensitivity to the source and path heterogeneity. Three separate coda calibrations were conducted to investigate the robustness of a single 1D calibration to fit the country: Whole-region calibration, Zagros calibration, and Mesopotamia calibration. In the whole-region calibration, we used stations from both the Zagros and Mesopotamia zones. In the two other calibration models, we used only stations that were in those particular zones. Ground-truth reference spectra derived from the coda spectral ratio method were used to constrain high-frequency site terms. There was no drastic difference when comparing the moment magnitudes calculated from the waveform modeling and the three calibration models. The results show that the 1D coda envelope model is a reliable method even for a region with diverse tectonic zones. Therefore, we recommend using the whole-region calibration model for moment magnitude estimation that provides more complete path coverage and avoids biases introduced by path correction failures. The proposed calibration is a fundamental step in updating the comprehensive earthquake catalog and probabilistic seismic hazard assessments for Iraq.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Exploring Uncertainty in Moment Estimation for Small Earthquakes in Southern Nevada Using the Coda Envelope Method

Compiling source parameter estimates for small earthquakes is important both for our understanding of earthquake physics and for accurately assessing earthquake hazard. Reliable source parameter estimates are difficult to achieve for small earthquakes, in part due to our inability to accurately model the relevant physical processes at high frequencies. The coda envelope methodology developed by Mayeda and Walter (1996) and Mayeda et al. (2003) can mitigate this concern and estimate the moment of small earthquakes by determining the parameters that control the shape of the S-wave coda envelope while eliminating path effects by minimizing the scatter between seismic stations. Here, we use an open-source implementation of this technique called the Coda Calibration Tool (CCT; Barno, 2017) to calculate CCT-based moment magnitude estimates of small earthquakes (M L 0–3) in the Rock Valley, Nevada, region within the Nevada National Security Site. The Rock Valley data set is of particular interest because it allows us to explore the changes in uncertainties of the coda calibration method with earthquake size and depth. We found that a consistent linear relationship exists between the local magnitude M L and our coda-derived M w estimates for earthquakes as small as M L 0–3, but that current CCT workflows do not accurately characterize very shallow events. We also demonstrate that the epistemic uncertainty in the apparent stress value assumed by the CCT algorithm can influence magnitude estimates of small earthquakes. In conclusion, these results provide valuable insight into the seismicity of this region, and inform future analysis and modeling efforts for nuclear monitoring and seismic hazard.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Nondestructive Damage Detection of Concrete With Alkali-Silica Reactions Using Coda Wave and Anomaly Detection

An anomaly detection model for early damage detection for concrete structures undergoing alkali-silica reaction (ASR) is presented. It is difficult to detect ASR initiation and early damage without a reference expansion measurement. Coda waves, or the multiply scattered portion of ultrasonic waves, have been found to be indicative of small changes in complex material such as concrete. The relationship between concrete damage and relative velocity change and decorrelation of coda waves has been studied, but a generalized model which detects when damage occurs in a concrete structure is still lacking. The presented method uses features extracted from coda waves to detect early damage in concrete structures. The model uses unsupervised learning and only requires data from undamaged structures for training. During the training process, the reconstruction error of the training data is minimized. When the data collected from damaged concrete structures is used as an input of the model, it returns high reconstruction errors that indicate the occurrence of damage in the structures. The performance of the model is validated using experimental studies and has been shown to generalize across two different ASR specimens.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Source Characterization of the Declared North Korean Nuclear Tests From Regional Distance Coda Wave Spectral Ratios

Abstract Seismic observations of underground nuclear explosions provide crucial data on source yield and depth that cannot easily be estimated from other geophysical methods. However, it is difficult to obtain reliable yield estimates for test sites for which we do not have direct seismic calibration experiments. To obtain source information from uncalibrated sites and paths, local and regional seismic records of six, proximal, declared underground nuclear explosions in North Korea are used to compute spectral ratios of narrow‐band waveform envelopes of body‐wave coda that remove path and site effects to reveal precise, relative source moment. The yields of these explosions are obtained from the observed source ratios by simultaneously fitting the classical source model of Mueller and Murphy (1971), https://doi.org/10.1785/bssa0610061675 to all event pairs. The source model provides an impressive fit to the observations considering that the P phase coda derived source spectral ratios did not require a prior knowledge of the source or regionally calibrated corrections to be applied to the data. However, the observed corner frequencies from S wave coda spectral ratios are lower than the source model predictions, but are well fit by models calculated using the corner frequency consistent with the Fisk conjecture. The results presented here provide novel constraints on the spectral distributions of the energy radiated by the sources of the DPRK test series, and allows for an independent evaluation of existing estimated source model parameters.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Source Separation and Medium Change of Contained Chemical Explosions from Coda Wave Interferometry

Differences in the seismic coda of neighboring events can be used to investigate source location offsets and medium change with coda wave interferometry (CWI). We employ CWI to infer the known relative location between two chemical explosions in Phase I of the Source Physics Experiment (SPE). The inferred displacement between the first, SPE-1, and second, SPE-2, chemical explosion is between 6 and 18 m, with an expectation of 9.2 m, where the known separation is close to 9.4 m. We also employ CWI to find any velocity perturbation due to damage from SPE-2, by comparing its coda with the collocated third SPE chemical explosion, SPE-3. We find that damage due to SPE-2 must be confined to a spherical region with radius less than 10 m and velocity perturbation less than 25%.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

CODA: Coordinated Observations of Dynamics in Aurora

The grant funds were provided to carry out chemical tracer wind and turbulence measurements in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere as part of the Coordinated Observations of Dynamics in Aurora (CODA) experiment for which Dr. Andy Christensen of the Aerospace Corp. was the Principal Investigator. Clemson University was a co-investigator institution on the project and was tasked with designing, building, and testing a total of four chemical tracer release payloads which were used to release trimethyl aluminum (TMA) to measure the winds and turbulent diffusion. All four payloads were flown from the rocket range at Poker Flat, Alaska, in support of instrumented payloads flown from the same location. The CODA experiment was designed to investigate the changes in the chemical composition in the lower thermosphere during an auroral substorm event. In particular, the objective was to determine the relative importance of two competing mechanisms. The first mechanism is associated with the advection of air from the polar cap into the auroral oval. A flow in that direction is typical in the postmidnight sector of the oval. As the air moves from the region of negligible forcing in the polar cap to the region of strong forcing and heating in the oval, changes in the composition are expected to occur. Alternatively, enhanced local mixing will also cause such changes. Since the auroral forcing accelerates the neutral winds in the lower E region, but not at lower altitudes, the forcing results in large shears that can be large enough to be unstable in the Richardson number sense. The unstable shears are expected to generate turbulence and therefore enhanced mixing. Such mixing will also create composition changes similar to what is observed. In the CODA experiment an instrumented payload designed and built by the Aerospace Corporation was used to measure the composition and plasma parameters needed to define the auroral forcing. In addition, three chemical tracer payloads were to be flown along three trajectories widely separated in azimuth to map out the winds and wind gradients. The measurements would thus provide information about the local composition changes above the launch site as well as detailed information about the advection and location of stable or unstable shears both locally and over a broader area in the vicinity of the launch site.

Larsen, M. F.↗

A local earthquake coda magnitude and its relation to duration, moment M sub O, and local Richter magnitude M sub L

A relationship was found between the seismic moment, M sub O, of shallow local earthquakes and the total duration of the signal, t, in seconds, measured from the earthquakes origin time, assuming that the end of the coda is composed of backscattering surface waves due to lateral heterogenity in the shallow crust following Aki. Using the linear relationship between the logarithm of M sub O and the local Richter magnitude M sub L, a relationship between M sub L and t, was found. This relationship was used to calculate a coda magnitude M sub C which was compared to M sub L for Southern California earthquakes which occurred during the period from 1972 to 1975.

Suteau, A. M.↗

Seismic source characterization of the Arabian Peninsula and Zagros Mountains from regional moment tensor and coda envelopes

Reliable estimates of moment magnitude and source mechanism for seismic events in the Middle East can be challenging due to a small number of openly available stations, the complex tectonic setting, and regions of high attenuation. Access to high-quality waveform data from well-calibrated regional seismic stations is fundamental in producing robust and stable estimates of earthquake source parameters, particularly when measurements of absolute ground motion amplitudes are required. Earthquake source mechanism and moment magnitude are invaluable information in the assessment of seismic hazard, plate motions, and the characterization of faults and regional stress field. The expansion of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s national seismic network in the past several decades provides an opportunity to develop the capabilities of routine focal mechanism and moment magnitude estimations. In this study, we use time-domain full waveform moment tensor inversion and coda envelope–derived amplitude measurements to solve for earthquake source mechanism, moment magnitudes, and their source type. Furthermore, we compared the moment magnitudes calculated from the two methods and publicly available earthquake catalogs and discuss the implications of the obtained source parameters.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

CODAS Data from Oliktok Point, Beaufort Sea, Alaska

Cryosphere/Ocean Distributed Acoustic Sensing (CODAS) data collected from the Beaufort Sea, Alaska, using ~37.4 km of dark telecommunications fiber located at Oliktok Point, Alaska. Data were collected with a Silixa iDAS, using 10 m gauge length, 2 m spatial resolution, and 1000 Hz sample rate. Provided here are the DAS-recorded time series for the rapid refreeze event described in Baker & Abbott (2022) (see link below). This covers a date range of 2021-11-10 15:00 UTC to 2021-11-11 17:00 UTC. Data have been decimated to 100 Hz and 20 m (i.e., every 10th channel for 1831 channels, total), as used in Baker & Abbott (2022). Data have been extracted from raw format into 1-hour long .sac* files and organized into directories by channel number, spanning channels 100 to 18400. Time series units are nano-strainrate (nm/m/s). For distribution, data have been compressed into .zip files containing all time series files for 100 channels. *For information on the Seismic Analysis Code (SAC) file format: https://seiscode.iris.washington.edu/projects/sac

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Hayward Fault Creep From Coda Wave Interferometry

Understanding creep is essential for assessing seismic hazards along the creeping Hayward Fault, which threatens the San Francisco area. Current 1-D monitoring methods, like creepmeters and theodolites, provide limited measurements with low spatial resolution. InSAR offers higher 2-D spatial sampling but lower temporal resolution. We introduce a novel method using coda wave interferometry (CWI) to monitor creep in 2-D with high resolution. By calculating changes in ambient seismic noise travel times, we relate these measurements to creep offsets, bridging the gap between existing methods. Applied to seismic data from 2021 around the Hayward Fault, our CWI-derived offsets aligned with creepmeter measurements, revealing continuous and episodic creep. A 2-D regionalization identified a spatial boundary between these regimes, corroborating previous findings. This approach could enhance seismic monitoring and improve understanding of fault mechanics and earthquake risks.

Luckie, Thomas William [Sandia National Laboratori↗

Coda Envelope Ratio Tool

The Coda Envelope Ratio Tool (CERT) allows for calculating seismic envelopes from waveforms and measuring the amplitude ratios for multiple events against each other to invert for seismic source information. The methodology is based on Walter, W. R., Yoo, S.-H., Mayeda, K., and Gök, R. (2017), Earthquake stress via event ratio levels: Application to the 2011 and 2016 Oklahoma seismic sequences, Geophys. Res. Lett., 3147- 3155, 44, doi:10.1002/2016GL072348.

Barno, JustinG↗

Discrimination of Small Earthquakes and Buried Single-Fired Chemical Explosions at Local Distances (<150 km) in the Western United States from Comparison of Local Magnitude ( M L ) and Coda Duration Magnitude ( M C )

Seismologists distinguish underground nuclear explosions from more commonly occurring earthquakes using moment tensor inversion, high-frequency P/S amplitude ratios, m b :M s comparisons, and P–pP differential travel times. These methods are generally successful for large seismic events (M >3-4) well recorded at regional-to-teleseismic distances (>150 km); however, it is unclear whether they can be modified to work for small events (M <3) well recorded only at local distances (<150 km). Here, we evaluate a recently proposed, local-distance seismic source discriminant—the difference between local magnitude (M L ) and coda duration magnitude (M C )—using seismograms of earthquakes and buried, single-fired chemical explosions recorded in three regions of the western United States. The quantity M L –M C was previously found to be sensitive to source depth, effectively discriminating mine blasts, induced earthquakes, and very shallow tectonic earthquakes from deeper crustal earthquakes. In this study, we report the first evaluation of M L –M C as a depth discriminant using data from buried, single-fired explosions that, unlike the seismic sources studied earlier, are good analogs for underground nuclear explosions. We find that even when using generic, uncalibrated methods of assigning magnitudes, M L –M C separates single-fired explosions and earthquakes. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve is 0.92 for 19 explosions and 14 earthquakes in Washington, 0.90 for 22 explosions and 90 earthquakes in Wyoming, and 0.99 for three explosions and 149 earthquakes in Nevada. Finally, M L :M C comparisons have the potential to enhance discrimination based on high-frequency P/S amplitudes ratios—which perform less well at local than regional distances—because the two metrics have complementary sensitivities.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Big Problem for Small Earthquakes: Benchmarking Routine Magnitudes and Conversion Relationships with Coda Envelope-Derived Mw in Southern Kansas and Northern Oklahoma

Earthquake magnitudes are widely relied upon measures of earthquake size. Although moment magnitude (M w ) has become the established standard for moderate and large earthquakes, difficulty in reliably measuring seismic moments for small (generally M w <4) earthquakes has meant that magnitudes for these events remain plagued by a patchwork of inconsistent measurement scales. Because of this, magnitudes of small earthquakes and statistics derived from them can be biased. Furthermore, because small earthquakes are much more numerous than large ones, many applications, such as seismic hazard modeling, depend critically on analysis of events characterized by magnitudes other than M w . Therefore, to assess this problem, we apply coda envelope analysis to reliably determine moment magnitudes for a case study of small earthquakes from northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Not surprisingly, we find significant differences among M L , m bLg , and M w for M ~2–4 earthquakes examined here. More troublingly, we find that relations designed to convert other magnitudes to M w , which are relied upon for important applications such as seismic hazard analysis, often increase rather than decrease this bias for our dataset. In our case study, we find that converted magnitudes can result in a systematic bias sometimes exceeding 0.5 magnitude units, a difference that typically corresponds to a factor of ~3 in seismicity rate. Moreover, we find a correspondingly large bias in Gutenberg–Richter b-values, controlled primarily by inaccurate magnitude scaling in the conversion relationships. Although this study focuses on a relatively small geographic area, we can expect that similar issues exist with varying severity in other regions. Therefore, magnitudes of small earthquakes and their associated statistics, including seismicity rates and b-values, should be treated with caution.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Diffuse energy transport and coda-wave interferometry for resonant transmission between reverberant structures

Approximate analytic and numerical theories are developed with which to model, and compare with laboratory measurements, the diffuse ultrasonic field transmitted from one elastic body to another through a resonant coupling. Particular focus is on the sensitivity of the transmitted field to perturbations in the natural frequency of the coupling, and on the manifestation of such perturbations as time delays in the second body. Immediate application is to measurements of slow dynamic elastic nonlinearity. It is found that the developed approximate theories do a good job of predicting the time dependence of mean square transmitted signal and signal spectra. They also predict the time delays, both their erratic character and their means. Analytic dependence of these time shifts on the fractional frequency perturbation df/f is derived.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Remembering the Work of Phillip L. Geissler: A Coda to His Scientific Trajectory

Phillip L. Geissler made important contributions to the statistical mechanics of biological polymers, heterogeneous materials, and chemical dynamics in aqueous environments. He devised analytical and computational methods that revealed the underlying organization of complex systems at the frontiers of biology, chemistry, and materials science. In this retrospective we celebrate his work at these frontiers.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗