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Chapter 9: Reliability

This chapter describes the accumulated knowledge on CPV reliability with its fundamentals and qualification. It explains the reliability of solar cells, modules (including optics) and plants. The chapter discusses the statistical distributions, namely exponential, normal and Weibull. The reliability of solar cells includes: namely the issues in accelerated aging tests in CPV solar cells, types of failure and failures in real time operation. The chapter explores the accelerated life tests, namely qualitative life tests (mainly HALT) and quantitative accelerated life tests (QALT). It examines other well proven and experienced PV cells and/or semiconductor devices, which share similar semiconductor materials, manufacturing techniques or operating conditions, namely, III-V space solar cells and light emitting diodes (LEDs). It addresses each of the identified reliability issues and presents the current state of the art knowledge for their testing and evaluation. Finally, the chapter summarizes the CPV qualification and reliability standards.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Coupled Thermo-Mechanical and Photo-Chemical Degradation Mechanisms that determine the Reliability and Operational Lifetimes for CPV Technologies

This project sought to identify and characterize the coupled intrinsic photo-chemo-mechanical degradation mechanisms that determine the reliability and operational lifetimes for CPV technologies. Over a three year period, we have completed a highly successful program which has developed quantitative metrologies and detailed physics-based degradation models, providing new insight into the fundamental reliability physics necessary for improving materials, creating accelerated testing protocols, and producing more accurate lifetime predictions. The tasks for the program were separated into two focus areas shown in the figure below. Focus Area 1, led by Reinhold Dauskardt and Warren Cai with a primary collaboration with David Miller of NREL, studied the degradation mechanisms present in encapsulant materials. Focus Area 2, led by Reinhold Dauskardt and Ryan Brock with a primary collaboration with James Ermer and Peter Hebert of Spectrolab, studied stress development and degradation within internal CPV device interfaces. Each focus area was productive, leading to several publications, including findings on the degradation of silicone encapsulant under terrestrial UV, a model for photodegradation of silicone encapsulant adhesion, quantification and process tuning of antireflective layers on CPV, and discovery of a thermal cycling degradation mechanism present in metal gridline structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Commercialization of New Lattice-Matched Multi-Junction Solar Cells Based on Dilute Nitrides: July 8, 2010 - March 7, 2012

All the milestones for this program were achieved and in most cases, particularly those related to cell performance, more samples were supplied than was required, and the deliverables substantially exceed the performance milestones. Moreover, the cell deliverables sent to NREL for evaluation were cells 4 mm or 5.5 mm, nearly 5 to 10 times larger in area than the 2 mm cells called for in the subcontract, and one of the most common sizes in the CPV industry. For the entire program there were 12 separate cell performance milestones, the most important of which was the 3J cell efficiency. Phase 1 had 2 3J efficiency milestones and Phase 2 had three. For the Phase 1 milestone calling for 38% efficiency, NREL measured a peak efficiency of 41.1%, about 2% higher than the data sheet values of commercial cells at that time. The efficiencies measured in Phase 1 exceed the Phase 2 cell performance milestones in the subcontract’s original Statement of Work. Cells submitted to NREL as part of this subcontract, although not as deliverables, were measured to have a new World Record cell efficiency of 43.5%, breaking the previous World Record by 1.2% absolute. In addition to improved cell performance, during Phase 1 a modeling capability for designing ARCs was developed and verified by comparing the measured current from a cell using a specific ARC with the current predicted by the model. This model was then used to design a new ARC giving lower reflectivity and a corresponding higher cell current. Again the prediction of the model was verified by measured cell properties. In Phase 2, the modeling capability was used to design a glass matched ARC, the type most in use in the CPV industry, which was tuned to the band structure of a 3J cell with a dilute nitride bottom cell. Finally, tools and test methodologies were developed that enable HALT to be applied to cells to determine the operating and destruct limits and to determine or set bounds on the lifetime of the cells in typical CPV operating conditions. As part of this effort a novel HALT system was built that enabled cells to be subjected to light at concentrations up to 80 W/cm 2 , (800 suns) while the cell temperature could be held or cycled between -100C and +180C. As part of the Phase 2 effort the system was modified to enable the light to the cell to be interrupted at a maximum rate of 10 times/second. Tests using interrupted light at >500 suns on cells held at 180C showed no evidence of failure after a total of >22 sun-years of operation at 100C. Another key outcome of the reliability efforts of the program was from high temperature storage tests done independently of the HALT test. There were two key outcomes of this activity: 1) single junction GaInNAs cells showed no evidence of failure under the equivalent of at least 100 years of on-sun time operating at 100C and 2) we can conclude with 95% confidence that the probability of device failure after 30 sun-years of operation at 100C is less than 1.5%, and mostly less than 0.5%. Based on these results there is no reason to believe that dilute nitrides in and of themselves pose a reliability problem for CPV applications and that 3J cells using dilute nitrides have very low probability of failure during the expected 20-30 year life of a CPV power plant.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Degradation of Silicone Encapsulants in CPV Optics

High efficiency multijunction solar cells in terrestrial concentrator photovoltaic (CPV) modules are becoming an increasingly cost effective and viable option in utility scale power generation. As with other utility scale photovoltaics, CPV modules need to guarantee operational lifetimes of at least 25 years. The reliability of optical elements in CPV modules poses a unique materials challenge due to the increased UV irradiance and enhanced temperature cycling associated with concentrated solar flux. The polymeric and thin film materials used in the optical elements are especially susceptible to UV damage, diurnal temperature cycling and active chemical species from the environment. We used fracture mechanics approaches to study the degradation modes including: the adhesion between the encapsulant and the cell or secondary optical element; and the cohesion of the encapsulant itself. Understanding the underlying mechanisms of materials degradation under elevated stress conditions is critical for commercialization of CPV technology and can offer unique insights into degradation modes in similar encapsulants used in other photovoltaic modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Degradation of Silicone Encapsulants in CPV Optics: Preprint

High efficiency multijunction solar cells in terrestrial concentrator photovoltaic (CPV) modules are becoming an increasingly cost effective and viable option in utility scale power generation. As with other utility scale photovoltaics, CPV modules need to guarantee operational lifetimes of at least 25 years. The reliability of optical elements in CPV modules poses a unique materials challenge due to the increased UV irradiance and enhanced temperature cycling associated with concentrated solar flux. The polymeric and thin film materials used in the optical elements are especially susceptible to UV damage, diurnal temperature cycling and active chemical species from the environment. We used fracture mechanics approaches to study the degradation modes including: the adhesion between the encapsulant and the cell or secondary optical element; and the cohesion of the encapsulant itself. Understanding the underlying mechanisms of materials degradation under elevated stress conditions is critical for commercialization of CPV technology and can offer unique insights into degradation modes in similar encapsulants used in other photovoltaic modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Task Group 9 Update (Presentation)

This presentation is a brief update of IEC TC82 QA Task Force, Group 9. Presented is an outline of the recently submitted New Work Item Proposal (NWIP) for a Comparative Thermal Cycling Test for CPV Modules to Differentiate Thermal Fatigue Durability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An end of service life assessment of PMMA lenses from veteran concentrator photovoltaic systems

The optical performance of poly(methyl methacrylate) lenses from veteran concentrator photovoltaic modules was examined after the end of their service life. Lenses from the Martin-Marietta and Intersol module designs were examined from the 'Solar Village' site near Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, as well as the Phoenix Sky Harbor airport, followed by the Arizona Public Service Solar Test and Research (APS-STaR) center in Tempe, Arizona. The various lens specimens were deployed for 20, 27, and 22 years, respectively. Optical characterizations included lens efficiency (Solar Simulator instrument), material transmittance and haze (of coupons cut from veteran lenses, then measured again after their faceted back surface was polished, and then measured again after the incident front surface was polished), and direct transmittance (as a function of detector's acceptance angle, using the Very Low Angular Beam Spread ('VLABS') instrument). Lens efficiency measurements compared the central region to the entire lens, also using hot and cold mirror measurements to diagnose differences in performance. A series of subsequent characterizations was performed because a decrease in performance of greater than 10% was observed for some of the veteran lenses. The optimal focal distance of the lenses was quantified using the Solar Simulator, and then correlated to lens curvature using a recently developed measurement technique. Surface roughness was examined using atomic force microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. Facet geometry (tip and valley radius) was quantified on cross-sectioned specimens. As a result, molecular weight was compared between the incident and faceted surfaces of the lenses.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Transmissive spectrum splitting multi-junction solar module for hybrid CPV/CSP system

Here, a new scalable, modular hybrid solar power system is designed to generate electricity through two pathways, CPV and CSP, in order to better meet grid energy demands for reliable renewable energy. The key element, a transmissive, spectrum-splitting multi-junction solar module, is modeled and simulated to analyze its electrical, optical, and thermal properties. Optimized designs are proposed to deliver high efficiency visible light-to-electricity conversion while transmitting infrared light to a thermal receiver. Prospective challenges in the upcoming development and fabrication are discussed.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Comparison of Accelerated Testing with Modeling to Predict Lifetime of CPV Solder Layers (Presentation)

Concentrating photovoltaic (CPV) cell assemblies can fail due to thermomechanical fatigue in the die-attach layer. In this presentation, we show the latest results from our computational model of thermomechanical fatigue. The model is used to estimate the relative lifetime of cell assemblies exposed to various temperature histories consistent with service and with accelerated testing. We alsopresent early results from thermal cycling experiments designed to help validate the computational model.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Reliability Evaluation of Concentrator Photovoltaic Modules per IEC Qualification Specifications

This project is related to the qualification testing of new generation CPV (concentrator photovoltaics) modules at lower testing costs and lower turnaround time. In this project, the first testing program was completed for two CPV manufacturers, the second testing program was completed for two manufacturers at 65% of the actual testing cost and at less than 3 months of testing turnaround time and the third testing program was completed for two manufacturers at 65% of the actual testing cost and at less than 3 months of testing turnaround time. Due to their financial situation and restructuring, Amonix (one of the CPV manufacturers) intermittently terminated the test programs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Project Accomplishments Summary - SC12/01790.00. Concentrating Photovoltaics Component and System Research

Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) and Cool Earth Solar, Inc. (CES) collaborated to evaluate and validate a new Concentrating Photovoltaic (CPV) technology for the utility-scale power market. Project goals included demonstration of CES's tracking and energy production mechanism and operation in a realworld configuration to validate and evaluate mechanical reliability, uptime, operations and maintenance, and energy production models. The test facility was located at Sandia California’s Livermore Valley Open Campus (LVOC). The collaboration allowed CES to quickly move from design concept to system prototype deployment in an operational environment, with approximately 17kW of engineering samples deployed. However, economic pressure from inexpensive flat panel photovoltaic modules caused a major contraction in the broader CPV market. CES was ultimately unable to overcome this economic pressure and discontinued efforts to develop their novel CPV product.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An Advanced Cooling Device for Concentrated Photovoltaic Systems

Concentrated photovoltaics (CPV) have the potential to significantly enhance the energy conversion utilization of solar panels and reduce solar generation costs, making them a crucial area of advancement in solar power generation technology. However, the concentration of sunlight can lead to overheating of solar panels, resulting in a notable reduction in both the efficiency of solar power generation and the lifespan of the panels. This challenge remains the predominant technical hurdle that hinders the application of concentrated photovoltaic power generation technology. In this study, we propose a new cooling method for concentrated photovoltaic power generation systems via an integrated approach of incorporating Phase-Change Thermal Storage (PCTS) and Thermoelectric Generator (TEG) technology. This new method not only enhances the overall system's electricity generation efficiency but also effectively resolves the technical challenge of concentrated photovoltaic panel overheating issues, ensuring the continuity of concentrated photovoltaic power generation and extending the lifespan of solar panels and their components. In order to make full use of the wasted heat generated by photovoltaic power generation and effectively improve the power generation efficiency of the system, this work developed a phase change heat storage device based on a phase change material. This device uses the temperature difference between day and night to recover wasted heat from photovoltaic power generation. Through integration with the thermoelectric power generation system, thermal energy can be converted into electrical energy. In addition, the Peltier effect of thermoelectric materials is used to construct a photovoltaic panel overheating protection system, which significantly improves the reliability and service life of the system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Enhancing ultra-high CPV passive cooling using least-material finned heat sinks

Ultra-high concentrating photovoltaic (CPV) systems aim to increase the cost-competiveness of CPV by increasing the concentrations over 2000 suns. In this work, the design of a heat sink for ultra-high concentrating photovoltaic (CPV) applications is presented. For the first time, the least-material approach, widely used in electronics to maximize the thermal dissipation while minimizing the weight of the heat sink, has been applied in CPV. This method has the potential to further decrease the cost of this technology and to keep the multijunction cell within the operative temperature range. The designing procedure is described in the paper and the results of a thermal simulation are shown to prove the reliability of the solution. A prediction of the costs is also reported: a cost of 0.151$/W{sub p} is expected for a passive least-material heat sink developed for 4000x applications.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A 200kW central receiver CPV system

Raygen Resources has recently completed a Central Receiver CPV (CSPV) pilot plant in Central Victoria, Australia. The system is under final commissioning and initial operation is expected in late April 2015. The pilot demonstrates a full scale CSPV repeatable unit in a form that is representative of a commercial product and provides a test bed to prove out performance and reliability of the CSPV technology. Extensive testing of the system key components: dense array module, wireless solar powered heliostat and control system has been performed in the laboratory and on sun. Results from this key component testing are presented herein.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

On the Effect of Ramp Rate in Damage Accumulation of the CPV Die-Attach: Preprint

It is commonly understood that thermal cycling at high temperature ramp rates may activate unrepresentative failure mechanisms. Increasing the temperature ramp rate of thermal cycling, however, could dramatically reduce the test time required to achieve an equivalent amount of thermal fatigue damage, thereby reducing overall test time. Therefore, the effect of temperature ramp rate on physicaldamage in the CPV die-attach is investigated. Finite Element Model (FEM) simulations of thermal fatigue and thermal cycling experiments are made to determine if the amount of damage calculated results in a corresponding amount of physical damage measured to the die-attach for a variety of fast temperature ramp rates. Preliminary experimental results are in good agreement with simulations andreinforce the potential of increasing temperature ramp rates. Characterization of the microstructure and resulting fatigue crack in the die-attach suggest a similar failure mechanism across all ramp rates tested.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗