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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Physics-based hybrid machine learning for critical heat flux prediction with uncertainty quantification

Critical heat flux (CHF) is a key quantity in nuclear system modeling due to its impact on heat transfer, safety margins, and reactor performance. This study develops and validates an uncertainty-aware hybrid modeling approach that combines machine learning with physics-based models to predict CHF in cases of dryout. The Biasi and Bowring empirical correlations were paired with three ML uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques: deep neural network (DNN) ensembles, Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), and deep Gaussian processes (DGPs). A pure ML model without a base model was evaluated for comparison. Model performance was assessed under plentiful (7,350 points) and limited (9 points) training data scenarios using parity, uncertainty distributions, and calibration curves. Results show that the Biasi hybrid DNN ensemble achieved the best overall performance, with a mean absolute relative error of 1.846%, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. The BNN-based hybrids showed slightly higher error (2.14%) but superior uncertainty calibration. DGP models underperformed, with over 6% error and poor uncertainty calibration. All hybrid models outperformed pure machine learning configurations, demonstrating resistance against data scarcity. These findings indicate that hybrid modeling significantly improves predictive accuracy, interpretability, and resilience to data scarcity. The integration of uncertainty awareness provides actionable confidence in CHF predictions, which is vital for safety-critical decisions in nuclear applications. This hybrid approach offers a viable pathway for deploying ML models in reactor analysis tools while preserving domain knowledge and physical consistency.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Aided Active Learning (AAL) for Enhanced Critical Heat Flux Prediction

Accurate prediction of critical heat flux (CHF) is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of nuclear reactors. Traditional CHF modeling methods often require extensive experimental data, which are hard to obtain. This study introduces the Aided Active Learning (AAL) framework, which strategically minimizes data requirements without sacrificing model accuracy. Unlike conventional Active Learning (AL), AAL introduces an additional step of randomly selecting a subset from the sample pool before applying the query strategy. To evaluate the performance of AAL, two query strategies—uncertainty-based sampling and error-reduction sampling—were evaluated across the following models: random forest (RF), feedforward neural network (FNN), and variational feedforward neural network (vFNN). The proposed framework demonstrated that AAL effectively reduces the number of training samples needed to achieve comparable predictive accuracy. For the RF model, AL required only 710 samples to achieve an R2 score of 0.98, as compared to the 4,785 samples needed by random sampling. Similarly, the FNN model achieved the same R2 score with just 355 samples when using AL, a significant improvement over the 825 samples required by random sampling. In case of uncertainty-based sampling strategy, vFNN attained an R2 of 0.98 with 3,420 samples, reducing the sample requirement by 47% relative to the 6,440 samples needed for random sampling. Its performance suggests that larger training data are required to fully leverage its uncertainty quantification capabilities.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Deployment of Traditional and Hybrid Machine Learning for Critical Heat Flux Prediction in the CTF Thermal-Hydraulics Code

Critical heat flux (CHF) marks the transition from nucleate to film boiling, where heat transfer to the working fluid can rapidly deteriorate. Accurate CHF prediction is essential for efficiency, safety, and preventing equipment damage, particularly in nuclear reactors. Although widely used, empirical correlations frequently exhibit discrepancies when compared to experimental data, limiting their reliability in diverse operational conditions. Traditional machine learning (ML) approaches have demonstrated potential for CHF prediction but often suffer from limited interpretability, data scarcity, and insufficient knowledge of physical principles. Hybrid model approaches, which combine data-driven ML with base models, mitigate these concerns by incorporating prior knowledge of the domain. This study integrates an externally trained purely data-driven ML model and two hybrid models (using the Biasi and Bowring CHF correlations) within the CTF subchannel code via a custom Fortran framework. Performance was evaluated using two validation cases: a subset of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) CHF database and the Bennett dryout experiments. In both cases, the hybrid models demonstrated significantly lower error metrics compared to conventional empirical correlations, with the best models often reducing relative error by about 5 percentage points. The pure ML model achieved comparable accuracy, outperforming the hybrid Biasi model in the NRC test case (3.3% versus 5.5% relative error) but exhibiting slightly higher error against the hybrid Bowring model in the Bennett test case (7.7% versus 6.1%). Trend analysis of error parity indicated that ML-based models reduced the tendency for CHF overprediction, improving overall accuracy. These results demonstrate that ML-based CHF models can be effectively integrated into subchannel codes and could potentially increase performance compared to conventional methods.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Critical heat flux on zircaloy and accident tolerant fuel cladding under prototypical conditions of pressurized and boiling water reactors

First of a kind high spatial and temporal resolution temperature measurements of Pressurized Water Reactor and Boiling Water Reactor simulated fuel pins (high heat flux cosine profile heaters) in annular rod type geometry during nucleate boiling, departure from nucleate boiling and re-wetting has been performed. Distributed fiber optic measurements of the cladding axial temperature with spatial resolutions down to 2.5 mm axially at up to three equally spaced azimuthal locations per rod have demonstrated the similarities and differences of the different accident tolerant fuel cladding materials. These experiments show the performance of accident tolerant cladding with a precise measurement of the location and evolution of dryout followed by the re-wetting phenomena (see supplementary time history of a critical heat flux event). Experimental parameters varied coolant mass fluxes from 1695 to 2712 kg/m 2 s, pressures from 10 to 20 MPa, and inlet subcooling from 10 to 55 °C. It was found that the coatings and different material have little effect on the value of the critical heat flux. Any discrepancies between the local critical heat flux verified among the cladding material are attributed to different departure from nucleate boiling phenomena captured during the experiment with the high-resolution optical fiber temperature data. Substantial differences in the performance of the different cladding material to survive a critical heat flux event were however observed by post-test X-ray and optical inspection. External evident damage and internal cracks to the simulated fuel pin having the bare zircaloy cladding were observed in regions associated with the occurrence of the critical heat flux for longer periods. Such damages were associated with zirconium oxidation, and not noticed on the Cr coated zircaloy or FeCrAl claddings. These results indicate that the use of FeCrAl or a Cr coated zircaloy as cladding in Pressurized Water Reactor and Boiling Water Reactor may increase the survivability of the cladding material for short transients.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Experimental study for critical heat flux in 2x2 rod bundles at high pressure conditions

Critical heat flux (CHF) phenomena has been a topic of study for over fifty years yet remains a serious concern across industries and especially in water-cooled nuclear reactor design. CHF data in the high-pressure range is limited, and the effects of bundle geometry and non-uniform heat flux profile are challenging to quantify. In this study, CHF experiments were performed in upward flowing water in a 2 × 2 rod bundle with a cosine profile heat flux. Data were collected between 16.5 and 18 MPa at two mass flux conditions with three inlet subcooling conditions. Under these conditions, average CHF was shown to decrease with increasing pressure. However, pressure had less of an effect than decreasing the inlet subcooling or the mass flux, both of which reduce the CHF value considerably. Of interest, correlations that have been developed for lower pressure continued to predict CHF occurrences with moderate accuracy outside their ranges of validity. Nearly all predicted values were within 20% of experimental values.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Development of physics-consistent conditional diffusion model to overcome data scarcity in critical heat flux

Deep generative modeling provides a powerful pathway to overcome data scarcity in energy-related applications where experimental data are often limited. By learning the underlying probability distribution of the training dataset, deep generative models, such as the diffusion model, can generate high-fidelity synthetic samples that statistically resemble the training data. Such synthetic data generation can significantly enrich the size and diversity of the available training data, and more importantly, improve the robustness of downstream machine learning models in predictive tasks. The objective of this paper is to investigate the effectiveness of diffusion models for overcoming data scarcity in nuclear energy applications. By leveraging a public dataset on critical heat flux which covers a wide range of commercial nuclear reactor operational conditions, we developed a diffusion model that can generate an arbitrary amount of synthetic samples. Since a vanilla diffusion model can only generate samples randomly, we also developed a conditional diffusion model capable of generating targeted critical heat flux data under user-specified thermal-hydraulic conditions. The performance of the diffusion model was evaluated based on its ability to capture empirical feature distributions and pair-wise correlations, as well as to maintain physical consistency. The results showed that both the diffusion model and conditional diffusion model can successfully generate realistic and physics-consistent critical heat flux data. Furthermore, uncertainty quantification results demonstrate that the conditional diffusion model is highly effective in augmenting critical heat flux data while maintaining acceptable levels of uncertainty.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Predicting critical heat flux using localized sensing at invisible vapor-liquid interfaces

Predicting critical heat flux (CHF) in two-phase electronics cooling systems remains a significant challenge due to the sudden onset of boiling crisis and the difficulty in directly visualizing vapor-liquid interfaces. Existing sensing methods rely on lagging temperature measurements, optically accessible systems, or spatially averaged signals that cannot pinpoint CHF initiation at localized high-heat-flux regions. Here, we report a planar capacitive sensing approach that enables real-time, localized detection of vapor-liquid interface dynamics for CHF prediction in boiling heat transfer. The capacitive sensor exploits the dielectric constant difference between liquid and vapor phases to capture bubble nucleation, growth, and departure dynamics with a temporal resolution down to 2 ms. The capacitive sensing reveals distinct signals across boiling regimes: from high-frequency fluctuations during strong nucleate boiling to low-frequency fluctuations with increased amplitudes when approaching CHF. The multi-sensor array experiments demonstrate real-time localized sensing, where each sensor responds exclusively to boiling in its immediate vicinity without crosstalk from neighboring regions. This non-intrusive sensing approach provides predictive rather than lagging sensing signals of CHF occurrence, offering predictive diagnosis of two-phase liquid cooling for the thermal management of high-power-density electronics.

CHF↗
DOE OSTI2023

Tree-Based Ensemble Learning Models for Wall Temperature Predictions in Post-Critical Heat Flux Flow Regimes at Subcooled and Low-Quality Conditions

Accurately predicting post-critical heat flux (CHF) heat transfer is an important but challenging task in water-cooled reactor design and safety analysis. Although numerous heat transfer correlations have been developed to predict post-CHF heat transfer, these correlations are only applicable to relatively narrow ranges of flow conditions due to the complex physical nature of the post-CHF heat transfer regimes. In this paper, a large quantity of experimental data is collected and summarized from the literature for steady-state subcooled and low-quality film boiling regimes with water as the working fluid in vertical tubular test sections. In addition, a low-quality water film boiling (LWFB) database is consolidated with a total of 22,813 experimental data points, which cover a wide flow range of the system pressure from 0.1 to 9.0 MPa, mass flux from 25 to 2750 kg/m 2 s, and inlet subcooling from 1 to 70 °C. Two machine learning (ML) models, based on random forest (RF) and gradient boosted decision tree (GBDT), are trained and validated to predict wall temperatures in post-CHF flow regimes. The trained ML models demonstrate significantly improved accuracies compared to conventional empirical correlations. To further evaluate the performance of these two ML models from a statistical perspective, three criteria are investigated and three metrics are calculated to quantitatively assess the accuracy of these two ML models. For the full LWFB database, the root-mean-square errors between the measured and predicted wall temperatures by the GBDT and RF models are 5.7% and 6.2%, respectively, confirming the accuracy of the two ML models.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Flow boiling transient critical heat flux tests with stainless steel and FeCrAl: Transient correlation implementation, model calibration, and sensitivity analysis

In this study, steady-state and transient internal-flow critical heat flux (CHF) experiments were carried out under two flow conditions, at atmospheric pressure, on 316 stainless steel (316-SS) and iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) tubes. Slow power transients at a low mass flow (300 kg/m 2 - s) with very low subcooling (X e =-0.0054) generated premature CHFs, which were prevented by faster power transients and high mass flow (1000 kg/m 2 - s). The measured transient CHFs increased linearly with increasing power transients, compared with the steady-state CHF. Yet, the wall superheat at the CHFs decreased with faster power transients. Transient CHF correlations highlighting heterogeneous spontaneous nucleation were calibrated to the measured CHFs and compared with other existing correlations. Transient CHF multipliers were acquired from pool and flow boiling empirical CHF correlations that were generated. The multipliers were applied to the RELAP5-3D nuclear system code to analyze the discrepancies between the measured data and the predicted CHF and post-CHF behavior, which improved peak cladding temperature predictions by 24.6%. A variance-based global sensitivity study perturbing the experimental uncertainties and cladding material thermal properties showed the diminishing influence of flow boiling heat transfer with increasing power transients, highlighting the significance of the volumetric heat capacity for the cladding integrity during transients. Transient CHF correlations were applied to the most limiting design basis accident: a hot-zero-power reactivity-initiated accident on a generic pressurized water reactor RELAP5-3D model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Sensitivity Analysis of Transient Critical Heat Flux by RIA Under High-Pressure Flow Boiling Conditions in TRTL

A reactivity-initiated accident (RIA) is a design-basis accident under which critical heat flux (CHF) is likely to be exceeded. The operational margin for RIAs is currently determined using steady-state CHF lookup tables, which provide conservative estimates relative to transient CHF phenomena. The Transient Reactor Test Loop (TRTL) facility at Oregon State University is capable of performing out-of-pile rapid heating experiments representative of a RIA at conditions representative of a pressurized water reactor (PWR). Here, to further our understanding of and ability to predict transient CHF under PWR conditions, we performed a sensitivity analysis on a RELAP5-3D model of the TRTL facility coupled to the RAVEN code framework to define a proposed experimental test matrix to be performed at the TRTL facility. We then implemented a flow boiling CHF correlation into RELAP5-3D and performed a secondary sensitivity analysis inspecting the impact of the built-in RELAP5-3D CHF and heat transfer multipliers on both the prediction of CHF and key safety parameters, such as peak cladding temperature and heat flux. The results show that the multiplier with the highest influence toward the prediction of CHF occurrence and the safety parameters is the transient CHF multiplier. Operational performance envelopes have been developed for each of the test matrix cases and will be used for validation once the experiments are performed. The TRTL facility is currently performing shakedown testing to verify system performance prior to proceeding with the experimental campaign. Restart testing results include pump curve restart testing, pressure tests, and heater rod thermocouple transients.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data Efficiency Assessment of Generative Adversarial Networks for Critical Heat Flux Synthetic Data Generation

This study investigates the application of generative artificial intelligence techniques, particularly conditional generative adversarial networks (cGAN), in real-world engineering contexts, with a specific focus on synthetic data generation for critical heat flux (CHF). Utilizing a dataset comprising more than 20,000 real experimental CHF measurements, we conduct a series of experiments to examine cGAN’s behavior. These experiments encompass varying sizes of the training dataset, training cGAN on data from diverse experimental sources to generate new data on unseen experimental setups, and assessing the impact of excluding various input features on cGAN’s data generation accuracy. Our findings underscore the pronounced data dependency of cGAN for reliable performance, with decreased efficacy observed with smaller training dataset sizes. Notably, cGAN exhibits varying performance when trained on data from different experiments, with superior predictive capabilities observed for certain experiment sources compared to others. For instance, when cGAN was trained on data from Smolin et al.’s experiments or Zenkevich et al., it exhibited relatively good performance in generating the data from Becker et al., Kirillov et al., and Alekseev et al. experiments. In contrast, when trained with Alekseev et al.’s data and tasked with generating other experimental setups, cGAN showed notably poor performance. In both scenarios, cGAN’s performance was inferior compared to training on samples from all experiments concurrently. A feature importance analysis highlights the significant influence of parameters such as mass flux and heated length on accurate CHF generation, while other parameters like diameter and pressure have less impact. Inlet temperature is identified as a moderating factor by cGAN.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Elucidating the Impact of Flow on Material-Sensitive Critical Heat Flux and Boiling Heat Transfer Coefficients: An Experimental Study with Various Materials

In this work, steady-state internal flow boiling critical heat flux (CHF) experiments were carried out at 10°C inlet subcooling and atmospheric pressure (84 kPa at an altitude of about 5300 feet) with mass flux ranging from 200 to 2,000 kg/m 2 -s on seven tube materials, including the accident-tolerant fuel cladding candidate FeCrAl (C26M) alloy. At a relatively low flow rate, the sensitivity of CHF to different materials was appreciable (the average difference among the tested materials was 19% at 200 kg/m 2 -s). As the absolute CHF differences stayed constant for higher flow rates, the increased flow rate led to reduced relative CHF differences among the tested materials (average relative difference of 15% at 1,000 kg/m 2 -s). FeCrAl alloy claddings that were oxidized under simulated Light Water Reactor (LWR) conditions yielded CHF comparable to as-received FeCrAl alloy cladding, with less than 1.8% difference. Experimental CHF results imply marginal material sensitivity impacts on the departure from nucleate boiling ratio in steady-state nuclear reactor cores. Yet, for accident progression analysis, material sensitivity may hold importance, as boiling behavior variation at low mass flux is appreciable. Macroscopic material parameters (surface wettability, surface roughness, and thermal properties) do not provide a suitable explanation for observed material-sensitive CHFs. Yet, surface roughness and thermal effusivity revealed power and linear relations, respectively, to the nucleate boiling heat transfer coefficients at low mass flux. At high mass flux, material sensitivity on nucleate boiling heat transfer significantly decreased due to the increased shear stress on boiling surface overwhelming material-related boiling implications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Pool boiling critical heat flux studies of accident tolerant fuel cladding materials

Pool boiling experiments have been performed at atmospheric pressure on potential accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding materials (Zirlo®, Cr coated Zirlo®, FeCrAl coated Zirlo®, and monolithic SiC) to evaluate the Critical Heat Flux (CHF) points. Corrosion resistant coatings of Cr and FeCrAl alloy were deposited on flat Zirlo® samples using cold spray technology. The as-prepared samples after uniform surface polishing were subjected to autoclave tests at 360 °C water and 18.6 MPa for 360 h to simulate prototypic corrosion of the ATF cladding materials in LWR normal operation. Surface characteristics potentially influencing CHF such as surface morphology, roughness, static contact angle, and surface chemistry were characterized using a suite of characterization methods including scanning electron microscopy, 3D optical profilometry, optical contact angle measurements, and x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). Thermo-physical properties of the samples such as density, thermal conductivity, and heat capacity were measured by differential scanning calorimetry and laser flash thermal diffusivity measurement. FeCrAl coatings showed CHF values comparable to bare Zirlo® samples, while slightly lower CHF values were observed for Cr coated samples and bulk SiC flats (produced by chemical vapor deposition, CVD). As-deposited Cr coatings showed 67% higher CHF than the as-polished Cr coatings due to its higher surface roughness level. The autoclave testing for the prepared samples generally increased the CHF except for the surface polished Cr coatings. Similar CHF values of bare Zirlo®, FeCrAl coating, and CVD SiC samples were observed after autoclave test but there were negligible change CHF of Cr coatings. XPS studies indicated that the formation or deposition of a few monolayers of hydrophobic carbonaceous species on surface can affect CHF values. The trends in CHF data are discussed in terms of evolution of the surface characteristics of the ATF materials.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Experimental investigations of Critical Heat Flux re-occurrence on post-CHF surfaces

Under the extreme environments of light water reactors, the cladding materials demonstrate evolutionary transformations in terms of material compositions, surface morphologies, and thermal-physical properties. This study investigates how the temperature overshooting of Critical Heat Flux (CHF) affects the re-occurrence of CHF on the post-CHF surfaces. Experimental results reveal that the CHF difference between as-received and post-CHF surfaces can be significant, which depends on materials. CHF is enhanced on post-CHF Stainless Steel (SS 316) specimens while it deteriorates on post-CHF Inconel-600 specimens. In comparison with the as-received surfaces, the post-CHF surface of SS 316 is more hydrophobic, while Inconel 600 is more hydrophilic. The scanning electron microscope micrographs of post-CHF surfaces show that surface morphologies that are structured by oxide crystals are formed on SS 316 samples but not on Inconel 600 samples. The physical rationale behind the CHF difference could be boiling heat transfer conjugated with thermal-physical proprieties of investigated surface materials and surface morphologies features. In conclusion, the results imply that it is indispensable to bookkeep the evolutionary changes of cladding surface materials, especially for cladding candidates of Accident Tolerant Fuel since operation histories can leave footprints on cladding surfaces, thus resulting in CHF re-occurrence differences.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Predicting critical heat flux with uncertainty quantification and domain generalization using conditional variational autoencoders and deep neural networks

Deep generative models (DGMs) can generate synthetic data samples that closely resemble the original dataset, addressing data scarcity. In this work, we developed a conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE) to augment critical heat flux (CHF) data used for the 2006 Groeneveld lookup table. To compare with traditional methods, a fine-tuned deep neural network (DNN) regression model was evaluated on the same dataset. Both models achieved small mean absolute relative errors, with the CVAE showing more favorable results. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) was performed using repeated CVAE sampling and DNN ensembling. The DNN ensemble improved performance over the baseline, while the CVAE maintained consistent results with less variability and higher confidence. Both models achieved small errors inside and outside the training domain, with slightly larger errors outside. Altogether, the CVAE performed better than the DNN in predicting CHF and exhibited better uncertainty behavior.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Unified descriptor for enhanced critical heat flux during pool boiling of hemi-wicking surfaces

Boiling heat transfer is dictated by interfacial phenomena at the three-phase contact line where vapor bubbles form on the surface. Structured surfaces have shown significant enhancement in critical heat flux (CHF) during pool boiling by tailoring interfacial phenomena. This CHF enhancement has been primarily explained by two structural effects: roughness, which extends the contact line length at the bubble base, and wickability, the ability to imbibe liquid through surface structures by capillary pumping. Here, in this work, we show that CHF enhancement on structured surfaces cannot be described by roughness or wickability alone. This result was confirmed using systematically designed micropillar surfaces with controlled roughness and wickability. Further, we performed a scaling analysis and derived a unified descriptor, which represents the combined effects of thin film density and volumetric wicking rate. This unified descriptor shows a reasonable correlation with CHF values with our experiments and literature data. This work provides important insights in understanding the role of surface structures on CHF enhancement, thereby providing guidelines for the systematic design of surface structures for enhanced pool boiling heat transfer.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Calculation of Critical Heat Flux Using an Inverse Heat Transfer Method to Support TREAT Experiment Analysis

Heat transfer between cladding and coolant during transient scenarios remains a critical area of uncertainty in understanding nuclear reactor safety. To advance the understanding of transient and accident scenarios involving critical heat flux (CHF), an in-pile experiment for the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility at Idaho National Laboratory was developed. The experiment named CHF-Static Environment Rodlet Transient Test Apparatus (CHF-SERTTA), consists of a hollow borated stainless steel heater rod submerged in a static water pool which is heated via the (n, a) reaction in boron-10. This paper presents a novel inverse heat transfer method to determine CHF by using the optimization and uncertainty software DAKOTA to calibrate a RELAP5-3D model of CHF-SERTTA to temperature measurements obtained from a thermocouple welded to the surface of the rod.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A model to assess Zircaloy’s mechanical property changes following a transient beyond critical heat flux

Maintaining the integrity of nuclear fuel rods is essential for ensuring public health and safety in nuclear power generation. During reactor operation, this integrity is confirmed by demonstrating compliance with established regulatory acceptance criteria. For moderate-frequency events, such as limiting transients and anticipated operational occurrences (AOOs), the current fuel integrity criterion is based on preventing boiling transition. This criterion assumes that prevention of boiling transition will prevent excessive cladding heating and, thus, fuel failure during normal operations. While conservative, this approach places significant constraints on core design, fuel cycle economics, and a plant’s ability to perform major power uprates, leading to suboptimal fuel utilization and inefficient carbon-free energy production. A more efficient approach could be achieved by revising the failure criterion to a material-specific limit rather than strictly preventing the boiling transition, since boiling transition per se is not a cause of fuel cladding failure. Here, as a result, a new licensing framework based on material properties, termed time-at-temperature (t@T), is needed. This approach would allow for brief periods of post–critical heat flux operation during an AOO without compromising safety. Implementing the t@T licensing strategy requires a robust technical foundation in material properties, which must be established through comprehensive data collection on both unirradiated and irradiated fuel and cladding materials. This foundation would enable the development of a safety basis that ensures safe operation while providing greater flexibility and efficiency for reactor operation. This paper documents a thorough review of the available data to establish a baseline knowledge that can inform the development of cladding mechanical models, as well as identify experimental data gaps that need to be addressed in future research. Machine learning and data informatics were utilized to extract the importance of parameters on the t@T parameter. Industry tools were used to perform baseline analyses to define the relevant transient conditions for data analysis. The subsequent review successfully identified applicable experimental data, as well as sufficient data to evaluate changes in cladding mechanical properties following an AOO transient. Rather than developing new models, this work coupled existing irradiation annealing and recrystallization models to calculate changes in hardness, yield stress, and ultimate tensile stress following an AOO event. The findings from this review were summarized to highlight the experimental data needs required to fill remaining gaps and support the development of future t@T licensing methodologies.

Cladding performance↗