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At least 19 records

Particle Swarm Optimization of Dynamic Load Model Parameters in Large Systems

This paper considers two dynamic load models that are widely used in industry to account for induction motor behavior: CMLD and CLOD. These models must be parametrized for the specific utility system in a general way so that they can be used in planning studies and provide a conservative but realistic representation of load behavior. This study considers a measurement-based approach to tuning both models. The load modeling study compares the response of the tuned models to generic candidate models using historical events. This study considers one area-based subsystem to simplify the modeling approach and reduce the number of models required for simulations. Additionally, because dynamic load models often produce similar results for different sets of parameters, a sensitivity study was conducted to assess the parameter impacts on the voltage response. The sensitivity study covers the parameters that are tuned using event measurements. The process to estimate the parameters uses the particle-swarm optimization algorithm. Overall, the performance of the tuned model more accurately captures recovery voltage, delayed recovery, and settling voltage than its predecessor models while not being overly tuned so that it remains general for peak summer conditions.

dynamic load modeling↗

Monte Carlo-based Transmission and Subtransmission Recovery Simulation of Hurricanes

High-impact low-probability (HILP) events can wreak havoc on electric power systems without appropriate preparedness. In this paper, the recent development of a tool, named Recovery Simulator and Analysis (RSA), is described and demonstrated. While there are many issues to consider when recovering electric power systems, the focus of RSA is on the coordination of transmission and subtransmission recovery with generation dispatch to minimize unserved energy. RSA focuses on recovery simulation to evaluate resilience as part of a planning process. RSA is demonstrated on an approximately 1400-bus Puerto Rican power system for 100 simulated instances of Hurricane Maria. Analysis of the recovery determines how many lines are critical to the recovery and which loads may experience delayed recovery. The results demonstrate the potential uses of RSA for identifying recovery decisions with low unserved energy and for identifying assets critical to recovery which can then be hardened prior to a HILP event.

Maloney, Patrick R.↗

Living-off-the-land Techniques Unlikely to Supplant Energy Sector-Focused OT-Specific Malware

Despite increased reports of energy sector-focused threat actors using living-off-the-land (LOTL) techniques, it is unlikely LOTL techniques will wholly supplant malware in energy sector operational technology (OT)-focused cyber operations. Threat actors leverage LOTL techniques to access energy sector networks, abstracting process information and maintaining persistence. Although threat actors using LOTL techniques have successfully interrupted energy sector industrial control environments, designed features of OT-specific malware likely increase the cyber-physical impact of an attack and delay recovery of critical functions and services. Malicious actors will very likely continue to use LOTL techniques for stealth, while designing malware to bolster final impacts on cyber-physical systems in energy sector OT environments.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Correlating Power Outage Spread with Infrastructure Interdependencies During Hurricanes

Power outages caused by extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can significantly disrupt essential services and delay recovery efforts, underscoring the importance of enhancing our infrastructure's resilience. This study investigates the spread of power outages during hurricanes by analyzing the correlation between the network of critical infrastructure and outage propagation. We leveraged datasets from Hurricanemapping.com, the North American Energy Resilience Model Interdependency Analysis (NAERM-IA), and historical power outage data from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)'s EAGLE-I system. Our analysis reveals a consistent positive correlation between the extent of critical infrastructure components accessible within a certain number of steps (k-hop distance) from initial impact areas and the occurrence of power outages in broader regions. This insight suggests that understanding the interconnectedness among critical infrastructure elements is key to identifying areas indirectly affected by extreme weather events.

Bose, Avishek↗

Investigating the Role of Accident Tolerant Cladding on Source Term Reduction for High-Burnup PWRs Using MELCOR

The use of accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding can increase coping times during and beyond design basis accidents. While such gains may be incremental, they provide a margin that can potentially be recovered to enable high-burnup (HBU) operation. Realizing such a margin requires demonstrating that the combination of HBU and ATF has not led to an overall increase in source term. This study investigates the influence of cladding technology (Zr-based, Cr-coated Zr, and FeCrAl) and fuel cycle length (18 and 24 months) on radiological dose at the boundary of the exclusion zone for a four-loop pressurized water reactor to investigate whether ATF claddings can provide such benefits. We analyze a recovered large break loss-of-coolant accident scenario to investigate the impact of transient timescale on the benefits of such coping time increases. The simulations have been performed using the MELCOR and MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System codes. For the cases analyzed, increased fuel cycle length did not necessarily increase radionuclide release and hydrogen generation, as these were found to be sensitive to the core power distribution. Similarly, off-site dose consequence is dominated by short-lived radionuclides that tend to saturate earlier in the burnup, so higher burnup operation did not necessarily increase the source term for the phenomena and transients analyzed here. Delays in recovery of the lowpressure safety injection system increase hydrogen production and radionuclide release, especially between 780 s and 1620 s, due to the nonlinear oxidation and core degradation behavior. Results show that Cr-coated Zr enhances safety by delaying heatup and gap release. Here, when uncertainty propagation on oxidation properties is considered, FeCrAl exhibits the lowest overall radionuclide release and off-site dose throughout the spectrum. However, while the considered “base model” performance is superior under delayed injection scenarios, upper-bound cases display hydrogen generation risk comparable to the Zr-based cladding.

Accident Tolerant Fuel↗

Decoupling of peeling and ballooning thresholds for pedestal stability and reduction in ELM frequency via enhanced turbulence with edge electron cyclotron heating in DIII-D

Abstract The edge localized mode (ELM) frequency ( f ELM ) decreased by 63% when electron cyclotron heating (ECH) deposition location is shifted from ρ = 0.4 to ρ = 0.8 in DIII-D discharges where the power ratio between neutral beam injection (NBI) and ECH ( P NBI / P ECH ) is kept at ∼1. The performance of the pedestal in the ECH heated case is compared with a pure NBI reference discharge while keeping the total input power constant. All these discharges are performed at balanced input torque conditions. Furthermore, in the pure NBI discharge a strong decoupling of the peeling–ballooning (PB) thresholds is observed. The PB decoupling is preserved when the ECH is deposited at ρ = 0.8 and P NBI / P ECH ∼ 1, while the thresholds manifest a closed stability boundary when the ECH is deposited at ρ = 0.4. The inter-ELM pedestal recovery time is considerably larger for the ECH at ρ = 0.8 case. Increased pedestal turbulence is observed in beam emission spectroscopy (BES), Doppler backscattering and magnetic diagnostics for the ECH at the ρ = 0.8 case. Strong growth of a TEM-like mode is observed in BES and the mode growth is correlated with the decrease in f ELM . In view of these observations, the increased pedestal turbulence seems to be the plausible reason behind the delayed pedestal recovery following an ELM event in the ECH at ρ = 0.8 case, and the preservation of PB decoupling through temperature pedestal profile widening. TRANSP interpretative simulations show that the ECH at the ρ = 0.8 case is more susceptible to ITG/TEM turbulence.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Thermal and electric multidomain dynamic model for integration of power grid distribution with behind-the-meter devices

As renewable energy sources like solar and wind power become more integrated into the grid, coordinated control of behind-the-meter devices is crucial for enhancing grid flexibility and reliability and for meeting cost targets, with standardized models being developed to support this transition. The increasing flexibility and uncertainty of integrated renewable energy grids, along with interactions between various subsystems, make traditional steady-state modeling insufficient to capture transient and dynamic behaviors. Current models (e.g., composite load and battery equivalent models) focus on thermodynamic or electrical characteristics but overlook critical electromechanical interactions. This limits the ability to share performance information for grid services and hampers fast dynamic simulations. In addition, motor stalling is usually triggered by a fault event and attributed to the characteristics of the mechanical torque of the motor, resulting in absorption of a large amount of reactive power during the stalling period. Further, this significant withdrawal of reactive power will deteriorate the dynamic voltage stability of power grids and cause delayed voltage recovery. Therefore, an in-depth modeling of the thermodynamics or mechanical torque is essential to study the impacts of the realistic torque characteristics of those behind-the-meter devices on power system voltage stability. This study developed a dynamic multidomain model for building HVAC systems, such as air-source heat pumps, to simulate their thermal and electrical responses to grid transients. The model can accurately predict power metrics with a mean absolute percentage error of 10%, by validating against with power system computer-aided design performance data. Case studies demonstrate the model capability of capturing the transient response to sudden voltage changes, rapid load fluctuations, and system shutdowns respectively. During a sudden voltage drop (30% for 0.1s), a fully loaded heat pump’s motor speed dropped, continued declining, and shut down after 3.6s, with severe power oscillations and a torque spike. A partially loaded unit experienced temporary oscillations but stabilized. Under higher building loads, compressor speed increased from 64% to 100%, with power and torque rising before stabilizing. In safety-triggered shutdowns, power decreased after minor fluctuations, and torque briefly spiked before dropping to zero.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

T&D LIBRA: Simulation Framework for Transmission and Distribution Load and IBR Assessment

This paper introduces T&D LIBRA, a HELICS-based dynamic co-simulation framework designed for transmission and distribution (T&D) load and inverter-based resource assessment. This framework is designed to model interactions between single-phase induction motors (i.e., Motor-D), distributed energy resources (DERs) and the transmission network, emphasizing system stability during fault conditions. The primary objective of this research is to study the fault-induced delayed voltage recovery (FIDVR) behavior of the T&D networks using the co-simulation framework and to compare the results with conventional PSS/E only simulations. Simulations are validated using T&D co-simulations with a single distribution node and the IEEE 123-bus distribution test case. The co-simulation results demonstrate the value of using T&D co-simulations to capture motor stalling, DER tripping and other sources of voltage diversity on distribution networks.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Precision Time Protocol Synchronization Under Network Impairments

This bulletin examines how network anomalies disrupt Precision Time Protocol synchronization on long terrestrial links used for grid timing. Using a CAST testbed with emulated impairments, we measured delay, offset, and time interval error while monitoring packet rates. Symmetric delays did not perturb synchronization, whereas asymmetric delays produced false offsets; jitters were largely filtered out, but they delayed synchronization recovery; moderate packet loss was tolerated, while severe loss forced holdover and loss of synchronization.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Exploring the impacts of unprecedented climate extremes on forest ecosystems: hypotheses to guide modeling and experimental studies

Abstract. Climatic extreme events are expected to occur more frequently in the future, increasing the likelihood of unprecedented climate extremes (UCEs) or record-breaking events. UCEs, such as extreme heatwaves and droughts, substantially affect ecosystem stability and carbon cycling by increasing plant mortality and delaying ecosystem recovery. Quantitative knowledge of such effects is limited due to the paucity of experiments focusing on extreme climatic events beyond the range of historical experience. Here, we present a road map of how dynamic vegetation demographic models (VDMs) can be used to investigate hypotheses surrounding ecosystem responses to one type of UCE: unprecedented droughts. As a result of nonlinear ecosystem responses to UCEs that are qualitatively different from responses to milder extremes, we consider both biomass loss and recovery rates over time by reporting a time-integrated carbon loss as a result of UCE, relative to the absence of drought. Additionally, we explore how unprecedented droughts in combination with increasing atmospheric CO2 and/or temperature may affect ecosystem stability and carbon cycling. We explored these questions using simulations of pre-drought and post-drought conditions at well-studied forest sites using well-tested models (ED2 and LPJ-GUESS). The severity and patterns of biomass losses differed substantially between models. For example, biomass loss could be sensitive to either drought duration or drought intensity depending on the model approach. This is due to the models having different, but also plausible, representations of processes and interactions, highlighting the complicated variability of UCE impacts that still need to be narrowed down in models. Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations (eCO2) alone did not completely buffer the ecosystems from carbon losses during UCEs in the majority of our simulations. Our findings highlight the consequences of differences in process formulations and uncertainties in models, most notably related to availability in plant carbohydrate storage and the diversity of plant hydraulic schemes, in projecting potential ecosystem responses to UCEs. We provide a summary of the current state and role of many model processes that give way to different underlying hypotheses of plant responses to UCEs, reflecting knowledge gaps which in future studies could be tested with targeted field experiments and an iterative modeling–experimental conceptual framework.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

FIDVR Capability of Hybrid Grid-Forming PV Power Plants During Feeder Restoration

Grid-forming inverters must optimally transfer power from dc-coupled photovoltaic arrays and batteries into an ac grid. Further, they must be able to restore single-phase induction motors (SPIMs) and withstand fault-induced delayed voltage-recovery (FIDVR) events. These resilience and reliability challenges are addressed here by: (i) engineering a controller to optimally operate dc-coupled hybrid resources; (ii) modeling residential air-conditioning compressors for restoration/FIDVR studies; and (iii) analyzing SPIM thermal-relay performance under limited inverter currents and designing an electronic protection for stalled SPIMs. Furthermore, these contributions are demonstrated via electromagnetic-transient simulations and can be helpful to understand recommendations by the North American Electric Reliability Corporation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Widespread spring phenology effects on drought recovery of Northern Hemisphere ecosystems

The time required for an ecosystem to recover from severe drought is a key component of ecological resilience. The phenology effects on drought recovery are, however, poorly understood. These effects centre on how phenology variations impact biophysical feedbacks, vegetation growth and, ultimately, recovery itself. Using multiple remotely sensed datasets, we found that more than half of ecosystems in mid- and high-latitudinal Northern Hemisphere failed to recover from extreme droughts within a single growing season. Earlier spring phenology in the drought year slowed drought recovery when extreme droughts occurred in mid-growing season. Delayed spring phenology in the subsequent year slowed drought recovery for all vegetation types (with importance of spring phenology ranging from 46% to 58%). The phenology effects on drought recovery were comparable to or larger than other well-known postdrought climatic factors. These results strongly suggest that the interactions between vegetation phenology and drought must be incorporated into Earth system models to accurately quantify ecosystem resilience.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of Open Communication Networks on Load Frequency Control with Plug-in Electric Vehicles by Cyber-Physical Dynamic Co-Simulation: Preprint

With the increasing electrification of the transportation sector, vehicle to grid (V2G) control technologies are promising to improving system frequency stability. However, these control technologies might require non-traditional communication supports. This paper investigates the impacts of electric vehicles (EVs) V2G on power system frequency regulation considering communication variations through transmission-distribution-communication (TDC) dynamic simulation. The simulation model is built based on our previously developed open-source transmission-and-distribution (T&D) dynamic co-simulation framework. Here, we add the communication variation functions (i.e. delay and packet loss) to complete the TDC simulation framework. In the case studies, practical communication variation scenarios are considered when the system experiencing an N-1 generation trip contingency. The considered scenarios include communication delay and packet loss using both homogeneous and heterogeneous assumptions. The delay and packet loss rate are the same in all communication channels in the homogeneous case but varies in the heterogeneous case. The results show the communication delay has an obvious impact on the frequency recovery compared to the communication packet drop. The impacts of the standard deviations of communication delay time and packet drop rate are not significant. The outcomes of this work can help improve the EV frequency regulation services and provide robust and effect supports to the grid.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗

Pedestal formation via different trajectories in the stability space in response to the timing scan of neutral beam heating in DIII-D

The frequency of type-I ELMs decreases as the initiation of the neutral beam injection (NBI) heating is delayed with respect to the time when plasma current (I p ) reaches flat-top in the ITER Baseline Scenario discharges in DIII-D. Henceforth, the time gap between the NBI initiation and I p flat-top will be referred to as “heating delay.” As the heating delay is modified, pedestal formation follows different trajectories in the edge current density–pedestal pressure gradient (j edge -∇p e ped ) space from the L-H transition toward the first ELM event. During the stationary phase after the first ELM, the ELM frequency (f ELM ) decreases by a factor of ~2 as the heating delay is increased. A longer pedestal recovery time in the inter-ELM period is observed for the low f ELM discharges as compared to the high f ELM discharges. Both low and high f ELM discharges show nearly identical profiles of electron density and temperature and have a similar MHD stability just before an ELM crash. However, a marked difference is observed in the magnetic spectrogram of the high and low f ELM discharges in response to the variation in the heating delay. The main difference is in the 200–400 kHz range of the magnetic spectra. A quasi-coherent mode (QCM) at 220 kHz and weaker broadband fluctuations are observed in the high f ELM discharges, while only strong broadband fluctuations are prevalent in the low f ELM discharges. ELM-synchronized analysis shows that the time evolution of these modes is different for the high and low f ELM discharges. The localization of both these modes is confirmed at the maximum gradient region of the pedestal. We hypothesize that these modes cause important pedestal transport and that the difference in the pedestal recovery of the high and low f ELM discharges is a result of the difference in transport driven by these modes, as they change with changes in the heating delay. It is demonstrated experimentally for the first time that discharges with similar pedestal parameters can carry the history of the heating delay into the stationary phase and that changes in turbulent-driven transport are a likely cause of changes in f ELM observed with variations of heating delay.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Energy density driven ultrafast electronic excitations in a cuprate superconductor

Controlling nonequilibrium dynamics in quantum materials requires ultrafast probes with spectral selectivity. We report femtosecond reflectivity measurements on the cuprate superconductor Bi 2⁢ Sr 2⁢ CaCu 2 ⁢O 8+𝛿 using free-electron laser extreme-ultraviolet (23.5–177 eV) and near-infrared (1.5 eV) pump pulses. EUV pulses access deep electronic states, while NIR light excites valence-band transitions. Despite these distinct channels, both schemes produce nearly identical dynamics: above 𝑇 𝑐 , excitations relax through fast (100–300 fs) and slower (1–5 ps) channels; below 𝑇 𝑐 , a delayed component signals quasiparticle recombination and condensate recovery. We find that when electronic excitations are involved, the ultrafast response is governed mainly by absorbed energy rather than by the microscopic nature of the excitation. In contrast, bosonic driving in the THz or midinfrared produces qualitatively different dynamics. By demonstrating that EUV excitation of a correlated superconductor yields macroscopic dynamics converging with those from optical pumping, this work defines a new experimental paradigm: FEL pulses at core-level energies provide a powerful means to probe and control nonequilibrium electronic states in quantum materials on their intrinsic femtosecond timescales. This establishes FEL-based EUV pumping as a new capability for ultrafast materials science, opening routes toward soft x-ray and attosecond studies of correlated dynamics.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Standardized perioperative management in acute abdominal surgery: Swedish SMASH controlled study

Abstract Background Acute high-risk abdominal surgery is common, as are the attendant risks of organ failure, need for intensive care, mortality, or long hospital stay. This study assessed the implementation of standardized management. Methods A prospective study of all adults undergoing emergency laparotomy over an interval of 42 months (2018–2021) was undertaken; outcomes were compared with those of a retrospective control group. A new standardized clinical protocol was activated for all patients including: prompt bedside physical assessment by the surgeon and anaesthetist, interprofessional communication regarding location of resuscitation, elimination of unnecessary factors that might delay surgery, improved operating theatre competence, regular epidural, enhanced recovery care, and frequent early warning scores. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality. Secondary endpoints were duration of hospital stay, need for intensive care, and surgical complications. Results A total of 1344 patients were included, 663 in the control group and 681 in the intervention group. The use of antibiotics increased (81.4 versus 94.7 per cent), and the time from the decision to operate to the start of surgery was reduced (3.80 versus 3.22 h) with use of the new protocol. Fewer anastomoses were performed (22.5 versus 16.8 per cent). The 30-day mortality rate was 14.5 per cent in the historical control group and 10.7 per cent in the intervention group (P = 0.045). The mean duration of hospital (11.9 versus 10.2 days; P = 0.007) and ICU (5.40 versus 3.12 days; P = 0.007) stays was also reduced. The rate of serious surgical complications (grade IIIb–V) was lower (37.6 versus 27.3 per cent; P = <0.001). Conclusion Standardized management protocols improved outcomes after emergency laparotomy.

Timan, Terje J.↗

Colliding Pulse Mode Locking and Nonequilibrium Carrier Dynamics within Vertical External-Cavity Surface-Emitting Lasers

The complex nonlinear dynamics of colliding counterpropagating ultrashort laser pulses circulating in a vertical external-cavity surface-emitting ring laser cavity are captured by a first-principles quantum-mechanical microscopic model coupled to an intracavity beam propagator. Furthermore, our numerical simulations establish that overall mode locking stability is sensitive to relative phases and delays of the pulses impinging on the semiconductor saturable absorber mirror. Delay offsets of the counterpropagating pulses lead to asymmetric carrier recovery and instability, often leading in turn to single unidirectional circulating pulses. Although computationally challenging, we also include transverse effects and show that the influence of interference patterns from spatial gratings written by the counterpropagating pulses is significant in stabilizing the modelocked pulses.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Feedforward-feedback ammonia control at a water resource recovery facility based on a digital twin with hybrid model

Ammonia-based aeration control (ABAC) at full-scale Water Resource Recovery Facilities (WRRFs) can be challenged by diurnal loading and transport delays. This work addressed these challenges using a hybrid feedforward–feedback controller built on Activated Sludge Model 1 (ASM1), marking the first full-scale deployment to pair a mechanistic feedforward core with data-driven corrections. The objectives were to improve ammonia setpoint tracking, assess performance of the mechanistic model when enhanced with data-driven corrections, and document full-scale operation. The hybrid model incorporates two data-driven components: (1) a Mechanistic Error Forecasting Engine (MEFE), consisting of a multivariate linear regressor and a long short-term memory (LSTM) ensemble. Defying expectations, low-parameter models outperformed more complex alternatives, reducing the mechanistic error by 71%. (2) A Residual Oscillation Forecasting Engine (ROFE), based on Fast Fourier Transform, reduced the remaining error by another 35%. Two proportional–integral (PI) feedback loops further (i) trim the feedforward output and (ii) eliminate residual controller error in the final aerobic zone. In full-scale operation, the controller reduced mean-squared error (MSE) by 94% over the baseline and produced more stable dissolved oxygen (DO) setpoints. Overall, it was proven that layering multi-timescale data-driven models on a mechanistic core can yield reliable ABAC performance at WRRFs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗