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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Deep Reinforcement Learning Based Smart Water Heater Control for Reducing Electricity Consumption and Carbon Emission

Water heating is the third largest electricity consumer in U.S. households, after space heating and cooling. Thus, water heaters represent a significant potential for reducing electricity consumption and associated CO2 emissions of residential buildings. To this end, this study proposes a model-free deep reinforcement learning (RL) approach that aims to minimize the electricity consumption and the CO2 emissions of a heat pump water heater without affecting user comfort. In this approach, a set of RL agents focusing on either electricity saving or emission reduction, with different look ahead periods, were trained using the deep Q-networks (DQN) algorithm and their performance was tested on different hot water usage and Marginal Operating Emissions Rate (MOER) profiles. The testing results showed that the RL agents that focus on electricity saving can save electricity in the range of 12–22% by operating the water heater with maximum heat pump efficiency and minimum electric element utilization. On the other hand, the RL agents that focus on emission reduction reduced emissions in the range of 18–37% by making use of the variable MOER values. These RL agents used the heat pump and/or an element when the MOER values are low due to the availability of renewable energy sources (e.g., solar and wind) and mostly avoided the periods of carbon-intensive periods. Overall, these results showed that the proposed RL approach can help minimize the electricity consumption and the CO2 emissions of a heat pump water heater without having any prior knowledge about the device.

Amasyali, Kadir↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Robust Segmented Mixed Effect Regression Model for Baseline Electricity Consumption Forecasting

Renewable energy production has been surging around the world in recent years. To mitigate the increasing uncertainty and intermittency of the renewable generation, proactive demand response algorithms and programs are proposed and developed to further improve the utilization of load flexibility and increase the efficiency of power system operation. One of the biggest challenges to efficient control and operation of demand response resources is how to forecast the baseline electricity consumption and estimate the load impact from demand response resources accurately. In this paper, we propose a mixed effect segmented regression model and a new robust estimate for forecasting the baseline electricity consumption in Southern California, USA, by combining the ideas of random effect regression model, segmented regression model, and the least trimmed squares estimate. Since the log-likelihood of the considered model is not differentiable at breakpoints, we propose a new backfitting algorithm to estimate the unknown parameters. The estimation performance of the new estimation procedure has been demonstrated with both simulation studies and the real data application for the electric load baseline forecasting in Southern California.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Electricity consumption variation versus economic structure during COVID-19 on metropolitan statistical areas in the US

The outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has resulted in changes in productivity and daily life patterns, and as a result electricity consumption (EC) has also shifted. In this paper, we construct estimates of EC changes at the metropolitan level across the continental U.S., including total EC and residential EC during the initial two months of the pandemic. The total and residential data on the state level were broken down into the county level, and then metropolitan level EC estimates were aggregated from the counties included in each metropolitan statistical area (MSA). This work shows that the reduction in total EC is related to the shares of certain industries in an MSA, whereas regardless of the incidence level or economic structure, the residential sector shows a trend of increasing EC across the continental U.S. Since the MSAs account for 86% of the total population and 87% of the total EC of the continental U.S., the analytical result in this paper can provide important guidelines for future social-economic crises.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Forecasting Commercial Building Electricity Consumption, Zone Airflow and Zone Temperature: Update - Development of a Generalized Machine Learning Approach

The U.S. power grid is being transformed to make it smarter, more efficient, and cleaner. This transformation is leading to the addition of a significant of energy generated by distributed, variable, and renewable resources. Because of the variable nature of renewable generation, the short- and long-term supply and demand imbalances are less predictable, and conventional approaches to mitigating the imbalances will be less efficient or cost effective. To address this challenge and to support the mission and the vision of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Building Technologies Office has developed a Grid-Interactive Efficient Building Strategy. The strategy focuses on simultaneously improving building energy efficiency and supporting reliability and resilience of the electric grid more efficiently and at a lower cost. In addition, EERE and DOE’s Office of Electricity created an initiative led by DOE and supported by the national laboratories under the Grid Modernization Lab Consortium structure to enhance grid modernization. The work reported in this document is part of the first set of projects funded under the initiative to design, develop, and validate scalable transactive control technologies for the commercial buildings sector. Transactive controls requires the ability of individual end-use loads to express flexibility as a function of a transactive signal (e.g., price). Empirical grey- and black-box models have been widely used to express flexibility. Although this approach is generally easy to construct and simple to use, it does not capture non-linear behavior that some end-use loads represent. Therefore, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) with support from Western Washington University conducted this research to explore the use of deep machine learning (ML) techniques. The work reported in this document is limited to forecasting whole building electricity consumption, the zone airflow and the zone temperature predictions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Transfer-Learnt Energy Models for Predicting Electricity Consumption in Buildings with Limited and Sparse Field Data

Modeling energy consumption is critical for energy-efficient utilization of the electric appliances in a building, smart grid programs (like demand-response), and many other smart home applications. State-of-the-art energy modeling techniques either rely on theoretical models, or extensive instrumentation of the building envelope to gather ``big" data to train a deep neural network. While theoretical models are often limited by their estimation accuracy, it is not always feasible to gather a significant amount of field data. In this paper, we explore transfer learning-based strategies to train much more accurate model for energy estimation when using a sparse field data. We transferred knowledge, in the form of data and parameters, from the simulation framework to the field data. We evaluated the efficacy of our approach on field data collected from six commercial buildings and our results indicate that transfer learning-based models trained over one month data can perform comparative (and in some cases better) than the state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning solutions.

Jain, Milan↗
DOE OSTI2021

Long-Run Marginal CO 2 e Emission Rates for End-Use Electricity Consumption in the State of Washington [Slides]

This analysis contains an estimate of the long-run marginal emission rate for the electric sector in the state of Washington. The long-run marginal emission rate is an estimate of the rate of emissions that would be either induced or avoided by a long-term (i.e., more than several years) change in electrical demand. The metric explicitly takes into account both the underlying evolution of the electric grid, as well as the potential for an incremental change in electrical demand to influence the structural evolution of the grid (i.e., the building and retiring of capital assets, such as generators and transmission lines). It is therefore distinct from the more-commonly-known short-run marginal, which also identifies a marginal emission rate but treats the grid assets as fixed.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
NASA NTRS1995

Computer model to simulate testing at the National Transonic Facility

A computer model has been developed to simulate the processes involved in the operation of the National Transonic Facility (NTF), a large cryogenic wind tunnel at the Langley Research Center. The simulation was verified by comparing the simulated results with previously acquired data from three experimental wind tunnel test programs in the NTF. The comparisons suggest that the computer model simulates reasonably well the processes that determine the liquid nitrogen (LN2) consumption, electrical consumption, fan-on time, and the test time required to complete a test plan at the NTF. From these limited comparisons, it appears that the results from the simulation model are generally within about 10 percent of the actual NTF test results. The use of actual data acquisition times in the simulation produced better estimates of the LN2 usage, as expected. Additional comparisons are needed to refine the model constants. The model will typically produce optimistic results since the times and rates included in the model are typically the optimum values. Any deviation from the optimum values will lead to longer times or increased LN2 and electrical consumption for the proposed test plan. Computer code operating instructions and listings of sample input and output files have been included.

Mineck, Raymond E.↗
DOE OSTI2021

ComStock/COVID-19: U.S. Commercial Building Stock Analysis of COVID-19 Mitigation Strategies

ComStock is a DOE platform, with NREL as the lead developer, that models the U.S. commercial building stock using OpenStudio/EnergyPlus to perform physics-based building energy modeling simulations. The ASHRAE Epidemic Taskforce (ASHRAE-ETF) has released several COVID-19 mitigation strategies for commercial buildings. ComStock was used to analyze the impact of four strategies on the existing commercial building stock. These strategies are upgrading to MERV-13 filters, disabling demand control ventilation (DCV), increasing minimum outdoor air to 100%, and HVAC flushing mode operation. Results show the impact of each measure on energy consumption, electric consumption, gas consumption and peak electric.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Experimental study on a novel three-phase absorption thermal battery with high energy density applied to buildings

Buildings contribute to 75% of total electricity consumption and 80% of peak electricity demand in the United States. A significant portion of building electricity consumption goes to space conditioning. Therefore, using thermal energy storage (TES) to decouple the building electricity consumption and the fluctuating space-conditioning load has significant potential to shift peak electricity demand and improve the stability of the grid. To provide effective TES within the spatial constraints in buildings, a three-phase absorption thermal battery (TATB) system with very high energy storage density was designed and studied. The TATB stores low-temperature heat in hydrate crystals of salts and supports space conditioning through absorption systems. In this study, a benchtop TATB using lithium chloride (LiCl) hydrate crystals as the storage material was tested under practical operating conditions for its energy storage density and discharge rate. We report the TATB successfully generated LiCl hydrate crystals during charging mode and then dissolved the crystals during discharging mode. A material-based energy storage density of 300 kWh/m 3 (specific energy of 903 kJ/kg) was achieved with a discharge rate of up to 1.3 kW thermal energy. The test results verified the high performance of the TATB and encouraged further development of this technology.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Impact of Intersection Control on Battery Electric Vehicle Energy Consumption

Battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales have significantly increased in recent years. They have different energy consumption patterns compared to the fuel consumption patterns of internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). This study quantified the impact of intersection control approaches—roundabout, traffic signal, and two-way stop controls—on BEVs’ energy consumption. The paper systematically investigates BEVs’ energy consumption patterns compared to the fuel consumption of ICEVs. The results indicate that BEVs’ energy consumption patterns are significantly different than ICEVs’ patterns. For example, for BEVs approaching a high-speed intersection, the roundabout was found to be the most energy-efficient intersection control, while the two-way stop sign was the least efficient. In contrast, for ICEVs, the two-way stop sign was the most fuel-efficient control, while the roundabout was the least efficient. Findings also indicate that the energy saving of traffic signal coordination was less significant for BEVs compared to the fuel consumption of ICEVs since more regenerative energy is produced when partial or poorly coordinated signal plans are implemented. The study confirms that BEV regenerative energy is a major factor in energy efficiency, and that BEVs recover different amounts of energy in different urban driving environments. The study suggests that new transportation facilities and control strategies should be designed to enhance BEVs’ energy efficiency, particularly in zero emission zones.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

International Actions to Reduce Miscellaneous Electrical Loads Energy Consumption

Miscellaneous electric loads (MELs) research dates back over thirty years, with the earliest publications on MELs originating in the late 1980s. As the number and types of MELs grew over the subsequent decades, so did the body of minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) and regulations put in place to control what is now an ever-growing source of energy consumption in the residential and commercial sectors. In particular, these MEPS are designed to control off-mode, standby, and connected standby power consumption to prevent energy waste. Research on MELs focuses a great deal on analyzing the characteristics of MELs, approaches for measuring their consumption, and at a higher level what constitutes a MEL. Despite these advances, there has yet to be a comparison of different approaches across regulatory bodies of MELs – both between and within countries – to identify similarities, gaps, and opportunities for crafting common language and testing procedures. This study provides an international analysis of MELs-related voluntary and mandatory MEPS across 12 economies to address this gap. The analysis demonstrates that even while economies may participate in shared commitments to regulated MELs energy consumption, there remains no common language for framing MELs, nor is there a shared understanding of updating aging test procedures used globally for verifying MELs-related MEPS.

Miscellaneous Electric Loads, MELs, Appliance and ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Data-driven estimation of energy consumption for electric bus under real-world driving conditions

Reliable and accurate estimation of an electric bus’s instantaneous energy consumption is critical in evaluating energy impacts of planning and control of electric bus operations. In this study, we developed machine learning-based long short-term memory (LSTM) and artificial neural network (ANN) models to estimate 1 Hz energy consumption of electric buses based on continuous monitoring data of electric buses in Chattanooga, Tennessee, in 2019 and 2020. We propose a data-partitioning algorithm to separate energy charging and discharging modes before applying data-driven estimation models. Here, a K-fold cross-validation-based model selection process was conducted to identify the optimal model structure and input variables in terms of prediction accuracy. The estimation results show the predicted mean absolute percentage error rates of LSTM and ANN models were 3% and 5%, respectively. We compared the proposed models with existing models in the literature based on the same testing data to demonstrate the predictability of our models.

Artificial neural network↗