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EVENT PLANNING USING FUNCTION ANALYSIS

Event planning is expensive and resource intensive. Function analysis provides a solid foundation for comprehensive event planning (e.g., workshops, conferences, symposiums, or meetings). It has been used at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to successfully plan events and capture lessons learned, and played a significant role in the development and implementation of the “INL Guide for Hosting an Event.” Using a guide and a functional approach to planning utilizes resources more efficiently and reduces errors that could be distracting or detrimental to an event. This integrated approach to logistics and program planning – with the primary focus on the participant – gives us the edge.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

SOLAr Critical Infrastructure Energization (SOLACE): Leveraging Distributed Energy Resources to Provide Local Power

This document is a technical report based on a large-scale DOE-funded project conducted between 2019 and 2022. The project, called SOLAr Critical infrastructure Energization (SOLACE), is aimed at leveraging distributed energy resources (DERs) to provide local power to communities, feeders, or other regions. The project included a particular focus on high-value critical loads such as municipal water supply, telecommunication hubs, and disaster shelters. The key developments of the project were: (1) A comprehensive pre-event power system analysis methodology that identifies and characterizes the viable local power options. (2) A DMS-based example control system for activating and operating the local power solution during a time of crisis. (3) Grid-forming inverter technology to enable isolated local power operation and black-starting. (4) Cyber-security considerations for isolated systems when wider-area communication may be offline. This report describes the overall process that identifies and assesses the viable DER-based local power solutions for a given facility, region, or community. The report documents the process, including the key analysis steps, tools required, data requirements, and recommended pass/fail criteria for each step. It also provides a sample implementation of this process through a test case. Finally, it provides details of how a viable pre-event plan can be selected and activated at go-time when an event has occurred.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

THE GALACTIC CENTER WEATHER FORECAST

In accretion-based models for Sgr A*, the X-ray, infrared, and millimeter emission arise in a hot, geometrically thick accretion flow close to the black hole. The spectrum and size of the source depend on the black hole mass accretion rate M-dot . Since Gillessen et al. have recently discovered a cloud moving toward Sgr A* that will arrive in summer 2013, M-dot may increase from its present value M-dot{sub 0}. We therefore reconsider the 'best-bet' accretion model of Moscibrodzka et al., which is based on a general relativistic MHD flow model and fully relativistic radiative transfer, for a range of M-dot . We find that for modest increases in M-dot the characteristic ring of emission due to the photon orbit becomes brighter, more extended, and easier to detect by the planned Event Horizon Telescope submillimeter Very Long Baseline Interferometry experiment. If M-dot {approx}>8 M-dot{sub 0}, this 'silhouette' of the black hole will be hidden beneath the synchrotron photosphere at 230 GHz, and for M-dot {approx}>16 M-dot{sub 0} the silhouette is hidden at 345 GHz. We also find that for M-dot > 2 M-dot{sub 0} the near-horizon accretion flow becomes a persistent X-ray and mid-infrared source, and in the near-infrared Sgr A* will acquire a persistent component that is brighter than currently observed flares.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Data for Training and Testing Radiation Detection Algorithms in an Urban Environment

The US government routinely performs radiological response deployments to search for the presence of illicit nuclear materials (e.g., highly enriched uranium and weapons-grade plutonium) in a specified area. The deployments can be intelligence driven, in support of law enforcement, and for planned events such as WrestleMania, presidential inaugurations, or political conventions. In a typical deployment, radiation detection systems carried by human operators or mounted on vehicles move in a clearing pattern through the search area. Search teams rely on radiation detection algorithms running on these systems in real time to alert them to the presence of an illicit threat source. The detection and identification of sources is complicated by large variation of natural radiation background throughout a search area and the potential presence of localized non-threat sources such as patients undergoing treatment with medical isotopes. As a result, detection algorithms must be carefully balanced between missing real sources (false negatives) and reporting too many false alarms (false positives).The purpose of this data set is to spur innovations in detecting, identifying, and localizing nuclear materials inurban search missions.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

HTTR 3 D Cross Section Generation with Serpent and MAMMOTH

The High Temperature Test Reactor (HTTR) is a graphite moderated thermal reactor with a nominal power output of 30 MWth. The purpose of this work is to prepare a set of neutron cross sections for use in the transient analyses of three Loss of Forced Cooling (LOFC) events planned for this reactor. The cross sections are generated with the Serpent 2 3 D Monte Carlo code to include the axial heterogeneity and the strong axial coupling of this core. The approach yields good agreement of results when compared to previously used 2 D lattice models, which require a fine spatial discretization and, surprisingly, comes at a higher computational cost. In addition, the temperature distribution must be considered to obtain reasonable cross sections and the axial leakage component dominates the spectral effects in the core. Consequently, a temperature model as a function of the fuel and moderator temperatures is adopted, and the core is depleted to 390 effective full-power days (EFPDs). A full tabulation of cross sections is prepared at this burnup point for a variety of fuel and moderator temperatures. Next, the multiphysics reactor application MAMMOTH is used to evaluate the quality of these cross sections using a diffusion solver. As expected, the homogenization error in the cross sections is significant and the Super Homogenization (SPH) correction from MAMMOTH is necessary to preserve key reaction rates. The SPH corrected MAMMOTH results are in excellent agreement with the Serpent results and reproduce both the reference power profile and temperature coefficients at each tabulation point. This fact confirms the accuracy of the SPH corrected cross sections and demonstrates the maturity of using Serpent 2 and MAMMOTH for 3 D cross section generation, even for reactors as complex as the HTTR. Finally, the authors recommend that the cross sections should be parametrized with the local burnup and that a full core burnup calculation with coupled thermal fluids would provide a better estimate of the initial condition for any subsequent transient analysis. Unfortunately, this was not within the scope of this work, and direct analysis with these tabulations should be considered as a first order approximation, at best.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DEVELOPMENT OF THE HS99 AIR TRANSPORT TYPE A FISSILE PACKAGE

An air-transport Type A Fissile radioactive shipping package for the transport of special form uranium sources has been developed by the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) for the Department of Homeland Security. The Package model number is HS99 for Homeland Security Model 99. This paper presents the major design features of the HS99 and highlights engineered materials necessary for meeting the design requirements for this light-weight Type AF packaging. A discussion is provided demonstrating how the HS99 complies with the regulatory safety requirements of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The paper summarizes the results of structural testing to specified in 10 CFR 71 for Normal Conditions of Transport and Hypothetical Accident Conditions events. Planned and proposed future missions for this packaging are also addressed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Key Recovery Planning Factors for a Biological Terrorism Event Draft: April 11, 2012 Key Planning Factors for Recovery from Biological Terrorism Event

If a biological terrorism incident were to occur in a major U.S. city, current response and recovery planning would not support a rapid regional recovery. Identifying issues that should be examined and planned ahead of time will save time, resources, and lives. We have identified Key Planning Factors that will lead to knowledge or planning efforts with the potential to substantially influence the recovery process. Their influence extends to increasing the rate of recovery, reducing recovery costs, improving public health and safety, or addressing major resource limitations or critical decisions that may impact overall recovery success. This document does not provide solutions but lists areas local planners in conjunction with local federal experts (such as EPA On-Scene Coordinators (OSCs)) should consider in advance. Key Planning Factors describe some, but not all, areas where prior planning will significantly aid emergency operations in the event of an incident.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

INECP Country Engagement Plans and Transformational Events [Slides]

The International Nonproliferation Export Control Program (INECP) harnesses the expertise of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) national laboratories to assist partners internationally in implementing and adopting strategic trade control measures that can effectively counter WMD procurement efforts. This presentation includes discussion of work with LANL INECP technical leads to update the engagement plan for Turkey, which involved researching Turkey’s WMD related legal framework, relevant export control agencies, and WMD-relevant industries (e.g. advanced manufacturing and aerospace).

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Combinatorial Evaluation of Physical Feature Engineering, Classical Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Models for Synchrophasor Data at Scale

A major objective of the project was to train and evaluate the effectiveness of multiple event and anomaly detection, identification and classification deep temporal learning models for processing of real-time phasor measurement unit (PMU) data streams. A vast dataset, consisting of two years of phasor measurements from all three U.S. Interconnections, was curated and released by the Department of Energy (DOE) through Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). The dataset also included an event log that provided event times and types (e.g. generator trips, line trips, planned service events, transformer operations, etc.). Our analysis of this dataset addressed six (6) of the eleven (11) research priorities identified in Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA) DE-FOA-0001861 “Big Data Analysis of Synchrophasor Data” (FOA 1861). Rather than being limited to pre-determined specific algorithms, this project relied on the uniquely structured, highly performant underlying time series database capabilities of the PredictiveGrid platform to assess the vast dataset utilizing a wide variety of algorithms.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Extreme Weather Events and Interconnected Infrastructures: Toward More Comprehensive Climate Change Planning [Meeting challenges in understanding impacts of extreme weather events on connected infrastructures]

The President s Climate Change Action Plan calls for the development of better science, data, and tools for climate preparedness. Many of the current questions about preparedness for extreme weather events in coming decades are, however, difficult to answer with assets that have been developed by climate science to answer longer-term questions about climate change. Capacities for projecting exposures to climate-related extreme events, along with their implications for interconnected infrastructures, are now emerging.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nuclear Forensics National Frameworks [Slides]

Nuclear forensics is the examination of nuclear or other radioactive material, or of evidence contaminated with radionuclides, in the context of legal proceedings under international or national law related to nuclear security. The goal of forensic science is to discover linkages among people, places, materials, and events. Nuclear forensics is an essential component of national response plans to events involving nuclear or other radioactive materials out of regulatory control and informs prevention, detection, and response.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Investigation Support Scenario-based Policy Discussion Development [Slides]

Nuclear forensics is the examination of nuclear or other radioactive material, or of evidence contaminated with radionuclides, in the context of legal proceedings under international or national law related to nuclear security. The goal of forensic science is to discover linkages among people, places, materials and events. Nuclear forensics is an essential component of national response plans to events involving nuclear or other radioactive materials out of regulatory control and informs prevention, detection and response.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

ASPIRES: Airport Shuttle Planning and Improved Routing Event-driven Simulation

Most of the existing traffic simulation packages require significant calibration work to be able to reflect reality. To evaluate special operations including emerging technologies, a microscopic simulation that tracks detailed interactions of all the elements of the traffic systems is usually needed. This type of simulation is usually computationally demanding. This work developed an Airport Shuttle Planning and Improved Routing Event-driven Simulation (ASPIRES) package to simulate and evaluate current, potential, and future airport shuttle operations. Here, the simulation was driven by data and thus did not require much calibration effort. The discrete-event simulation nature of ASPIRES makes the simulation computationally efficient. Simulating 1 day of shuttle operations takes less than 2s. The study site of this work is the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport in the U.S. The shuttle service that connects the five terminals of the airport and the rental car center was studied. Travel times, dwell times, and passenger arrivals were simulated using empirical distributions derived mainly from real data to capture the stochastic nature of the rental car center shuttle bus operations. Data on bus miles traveled, bus energy consumption, passenger wait times, and passengers left behind at stops were collected to study the trade-off between energy use and passenger experience. Electric bus and on-demand bus operations were also included. The simulation outputs can show passengers statistics at terminals, shuttles statistics, and charging station statistics. ASPIRES cannot be used to model a generic traffic system but is well-suited for fleet systems.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

FY 2021 High Performance Computing Overall Systems Availability

INL HPC capabilities were utilized by individuals at universities, industry, and government laboratories for a wide range of research and engineering activities between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021. The HPC systems themselves experienced minimal downtime over the course of the fiscal year. Most downtime was planned to apply critical security patches to system software. The most serious of the unplanned downtime events occurred due to maintenance on the Kohler backup generator in July. Users were kept notified of all events, both planned and unplanned, via 36 total email notifications in FY-21. The INL HPC systems continue to provide high availability for collaboration and innovation in nuclear energy systems research.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Monitoring Potential Transport of Radioactive Contaminants in Shallow Ephemeral Channels: FY2018

Desert Research Institute (DRI) is conducting a field assessment of the potential for contaminated soil to be transported from the Smoky Site Contamination Area (CA) as a result of storm runoff. This activity supports U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Environmental Management Nevada Program (EM NV) efforts to establish post-closure monitoring plans for the Smoky Site Soils Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 550. The work is intended to confirm the likely mechanism of transport and determine the meteorological conditions that might cause the movement of contaminated soils, as well as determine the particle size fraction that is most closely associated with transported radionuclide-contaminated soils. These data will facilitate the design of the appropriate post-closure monitoring program. In 2011, DRI installed a meteorological monitoring station on the west side of the Smoky Site CA and a hydrologic (runoff) monitoring station within the CA, near the east side. The meteorological station collects air temperature, wind speed, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation, solar radiation, barometric pressure, soil temperature, and soil water content data. The maximum, minimum, and average or total values (as appropriate) for each of these parameters are recorded for each 10-minute interval. The maximum, minimum, and average water depth in the flume installed at the hydrologic station are also recorded for each 10-minute interval. This report presents the data collected from these stations during fiscal year (FY) 2018. During the FY2018 reporting period, the warmest months were June, July, and August and the coldest were December through March. Solar radiation showed the same seasonal trend. Monthly mean wind speeds were highest in the spring (March through May) and early summer (June). Winds were generally from the west during the summer and from the north throughout the fall and winter. The monthly average relative humidity ranged from the mid-teens to approximately 50 percent. Humidity was lowest in the fall and highest in the winter. Monthly total precipitation ranged from 0 in October, December, and June to approximately 1.38 inches (in) (35.05 millimeters [mm]) in July. Total precipitation for FY2018 was 3.86 in (98.04 mm). During the reporting period, two runoff events were recorded at the flume. One occurred on July 14, 2018, in response to precipitation earlier the same day. This event produced a peak water depth of 11.26 in (28.60 centimeters [cm]) in the flume, which is equivalent to a discharge of 1.86 cubic feet per second (cfs) (0.05 cubic meters per second [cm/s]) and a velocity of 3.97 feet per second (fps) (1.21 meters per second [m/s]) through the flume. Applying the flume hydraulic measurements to the channel geometry at the nearest surveyed cross-section it was determined that the velocity through the channel was 1.29 fps (0.39 m/s), which is sufficient to transport silts and fine sands. The second flow event occurred in response to earlier precipitation on September 4, 2018. This event produced a peak water depth of 0.78 in (1.98 cm) in the flume, which is equivalent to a discharge of 0.03 cfs (0.001 cm/s) and a velocity of 1.17 fps (0.36 m/s) through the flume. Applying the flume hydraulic measurements to the channel geometry at the nearest surveyed cross-section it was determined that the velocity through the channel was 0.03 fps (0.01 m/s). Although neither runoff event produced sufficient flow velocities through the natural channel to cause local erosion and transport of coarser bedload materials, the velocity of the first runoff event was sufficient to transport silts and fine sands, which have been shown to be preferentially associated with radionuclide contaminants. Therefore, a sampling event was planned after the first flow event in conjunction with a periodic maintenance inspection. As no suspended load sampling is available at this location, bedload samples were collected from the vicinity of the flume on August 7, 2018. The collected sediment was separated into three particle size fractions and each fraction was analyzed for americium-241 (Am-241), plutonium-238 (Pu-238), and plutonium-239/240 (Pu-239/240) by alpha spectrometry. The two smaller particle size fractions had higher concentrations of all three radionuclides than the largest particle size fraction. Additionally, Pu-239/240 had the highest concentration and Pu-238 had the lowest concentration in all samples. The same relationship between the concentrations of Pu-238 and Pu-239/240 was seen in samples reported in FY2013 and FY2014. Observation of meteorological and environmental conditions that lead to storm runoff will help identify parameters and threshold conditions that should be incorporated into postclosure monitoring plans for this and similar sites as well as aid in determining appropriate closure strategies for other Soils CAUs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Approach to Documenting Readiness for a Potential Criticality Incident

There have been 60 highly publicized criticality accidents1 over the last 60 years and the nature of the hazard is unique. Recent studies2 discuss the benefits of knowing what to expect during and immediately following these events. Emergency planning and response standards2 provide an effective tool for establishing an adequate level of readiness to a criticality accident. While these planning requirements cover a broad spectrum of activities to establish readiness, a concise and routinely reviewed criticality accident scenario may be the most valuable tool in developing a cohesive understanding and response to these challenging events. Using a guideline3 for criticality safety evaluations the analytical work and emergency planning to mitigate a criticality accident at the Radiochemical Processing Laboratory at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, was developed. Using a single document the analysis that established the accident characteristics, response scenario based on emergency staffing and planning, and anticipated dose consequences were integrated. This single document approach provides a useful platform to integrate the initial planning and guide the review of proposed changes to emergency response plans.

Nuclear Criticality Safety↗