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At least 19 records

Advancing process-based flood frequency analysis for assessing flood hazard and population flood exposure

Recent studies have showcased the use of process-based hydrological models with Stochastic Storm Transposition (SST) techniques to conduct Flood Frequency Analysis (FFA). This framework, referred hereby FFA-SST, has proved to be a robust strategy to estimate peak flows of specific annual exceedance probability (e.g., 100-year peak flow) that can reflect natural and anthropogenic disturbances, including changes in land use and meteorological patterns. With the objective of advancing the FFA-SST framework, this study presents for the first time the use of an Integrated Surface-Subsurface Hydrological Model (ISSHM) to conduct FFA-SST by extending the analysis from peak flow responses to flood extent, enabling a unique view and analysis of flood hazard and population flood exposure at the basin scale. As a proof-of-concept, we used the ISSHM, Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (Amanzi-ATS) model, and the SST model, RainyDay, to conduct FFA-SST by simulating the flood response to 5,000 annual synthetic storm events in a 2,227 $km^2$ Southeast Texas watershed. We demonstrate that ATS, without site-specific calibration, provides a robust process-based representation of peak flows, flood extent, streamflow, evapotranspiration, soil moisture content, and water storage changes. Our results and analyses, covering frequency curves up to a 500-year return period for peak flows, basin inundation fractions, and the number of people exposed to flooding, offer a unique perspective to analyze flood impacts across spatial scales. Overall, this study provides critical insights for flood risk management by extending the FFA-SST framework to include both flood hazard and population flood exposure analyses at the basin scale. Such an approach will empower stakeholders and disaster emergency agencies with a more comprehensive understanding of flood impacts across the entire basin domain, facilitating informed decision-making for flood risk assessment and management.

58 GEOSCIENCES

Time and Frequency Analysis of Load Profile Data

Technology advancements and integration of modern advanced metering systems can monitor, forecast, inform, control, and operate the building's mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) systems. They offer a higher level of information, which can contribute to making smart buildings more energy efficient and to making them closer to becoming grid-interactive energy efficient buildings (GEB). This paper builds on the ongoing research on variability analysis of a case study building with a 1-minute load profile and examines the Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) process in the frequency domain to quantify the signal's energy in each bandwidth, with respect to each end-use category. Moreover, the amount of variability in the total variability is not similar among the end-use categories. This information is needed to understand the behavior of the variability in the frequency domain for future applications, such as generating synthetic load profiles with a similar frequency spectrum as the measured signal.

decomposition

Anomalous Spin Precession Frequency Analysis in the Muon $g-2$ Experiment at Fermilab

The Muon $g-2$ experiment at Fermilab aims to measure the muon anomalous magnetic moment with an unprecedented precision of 140 parts per billion (ppb). Data collection concluded in June 2023, and analysis of the largest dataset (2021-2023) is underway. Previous publications based on data from 2018-2020 established the experimental foundation. This document provides an overview of the measurement of the muon anomalous spin precession frequency ($\omega_a$) and the associated systematic corrections. The precision of these results directly tests the Standard Model's completeness, making the experiment a cornerstone in the field of particle physics.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Multibody for Everybody (M4E) - A Linearization Approach to Enable Frequency Domain Analysis, Time Integration and Control Co-Design

1.1 Background/Objectives: Marine energy represents a promising yet underexploited source of power. To increase the harvested power, significant efforts have been made to improve wave energy converter (WEC) modeling capabilities and optimize power take-off (PTO) performance; however, these efforts have often treated WEC dynamics, PTO design, and controller development sequentially. In contrast, control co-design (CCD) is emerging as a promising strategy to address these issues directly, creating a growing need for fast analysis tools suitable for repeated simulation and parametric studies [1]. To support this need, this work presents the Multibody for Everybody (M4E) [2] linearization module, which employs a symbolic toolbox to provide deeper insight of WEC design parameters. The objective is to demonstrate that a minimal-coordinate linearization of articulated WEC dynamics can provide accurate wave response predictions and substantial computational savings relative to nonlinear time-domain simulation, while preserving compatibility with broader wave-energy analysis workflows, enabling CCD. 1.2 Approach/Activities: The proposed approach linearizes the equations of motion, generated by M4E, in minimal coordinates about a selected operating point and combines the resulting system with frequencydomain hydrodynamic terms to incorporate the reduced mass, damping, stiffness, and forcing operators. The linearized model is used for both impedance-based response amplitude operator (RAO) prediction and rapid regular-wave time integration. The methodology is demonstrated on a single-flap device and a FOSWEC configuration, with linearized M4E responses compared against the corresponding nonlinear M4E simulations and WEC-Sim results. Regular-wave time histories, RAO trends, and runtime differences are assessed. The framework is also compatible with broader wave-energy workflows, including coupling to WecOptTool, although that capability is not the focus of this work [3]. 1.3 Results/Lessons: The linearized M4E model reproduces key regularwave response characteristics such as integration and Response Amplitude over multiple frequencies. This module matches nonlinear M4E and WEC-Sim results while substantially reducing integration cost. Thus, the proposed framework can serve as a rapid analysis layer for articulated WEC design, parameter studies, and controls-oriented workflows. The analysis is most appropriate in the near-equilibrium regime, about the linearization point.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER

Expanded Accident Scenarios and Frequency Characteristics for a Fast Spectrum Molten Salt Reactor in an Integrated Energy System

Integration of advanced nuclear reactors to industrial processes in an integrated energy system (IES) has many potential advantages. The coupling of nuclear power to varied industrial processes introduces additional accident scenarios unique to the specific systems included in the IES. Similarly, noise in one system of the IES could potentially create negative effects in the other systems. Because of the limited amount of comparable nuclear IES operating experience, there is added value in scoping the inherent behavior of these systems in response to these transients. Here, this paper investigates the safety-related behavior of an open-source IES dynamic model of a fast spectrum molten salt reactor (MSR) powering a regenerative Rankine cycle for electricity production and a hybrid sulfur (HyS) cycle for hydrogen production. The simulations include a loss of cooling water to the Rankine cycle, a loss of sulfur in the HyS cycle, and the frequency characteristics of the entire IES across six orders of magnitude of frequency. The results show safe behavior in response to the two accident scenarios, wherein a disruption in heat transfer leads to increased salt temperatures and a decrease in reactor power. The frequency analysis shows that at higher frequencies, temperature changes propagating through an IES are increasingly damped to the point of negligibility.

Dunkle, Nicholas [Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, T

Welch Method and Bootstrapping Applied to Subcritical Gamma Noise

We measured the prompt neutron decay constant 𝛼 of the CROCUS zero-power reactor at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne using cross-power spectral density (CPSD) analysis of gamma-gamma correlations from two trans-stilbene organic scintillators positioned near the reactor core. We measured critical and subcritical states, with water levels ranging from 960 mm (critical) to 800 mm (𝜌=−1.4 $ subcritical). Our analysis used the Welch method, dividing signal segments for fast Fourier transform (FFT) frequency analysis and applying bootstrapping uncertainty quantification that uses Welch-defined segments. Results demonstrated a clear increase in the measured 𝛼 as reactor reactivity decreased, distinguishing critical from subcritical conditions. At the 960-mm critical level, 𝛼 was estimated at 155.9 ± 0.7 s −1 , and for the 800-mm subcritical level, 𝛼 increased significantly to 367.3 ± 6.9 s –1 . A linear regression of subcritical states yielded a critical estimate of 154.0 ± 3.1 s –1 , aligning with the static 𝛼 estimate at critical. The bootstrapping method produced normally distributed 𝛼 estimates, confirming data consistency. The gamma CPSD 𝛼 estimates clearly distinguish reactor states and improve monitoring of zero-power reactors. The future deployment of modular and microreactors as potential candidates for noise analysis is demonstrated in CROCUS, particularly zero-power mock-ups of new designs. The improvement of noise analysis in the subcritical domain from this work will support experimental data for reactor deployment and procedure.

CROCUS

Automated vehicle microscopic energy consumption study (AV-Micro): Data collection and model development

While the Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) system in automated vehicles (AVs) is expected to impact transportation energy significantly, existing AV energy consumption models only directly adopt those developed with Human-driven Vehicle (HV) data without even slight adaptation or calibration to accommodate unique AV energy consumption features. This study will investigate how accurately HV data-based models can predict the energy consumption of AVs. Empirical trajectory data and corresponding instantaneous energy consumption rates from both AVs and HVs were collected. We adopted two classical HV data-based models to fit these data. The calibration results indicated that these models yield around 20 30% prediction errors for AVs. To further improve the prediction accuracy, this study designed an AV-Micro model by incorporating components of multiple classic energy consumption models that better capture ACC energy consumption features, including piecewise driving behavior. With this, the AV-Micro model achieves lower than 10% prediction errors. The AV-Micro model’s high consistency across different test runs was verified with statistical significance tests, demonstrating its adaptability in different driving profiles. To confirm the discrepancies between the energy consumption features of AVs and HVs, more statistical significance tests were conducted to show that the AV-Micro model cannot be directly applied to HV data. The findings by calibrated AV-Micro models revealed that AVs consume approximately 80.5–146.4 J more energy than HVs for each meter traveled. Furthermore, the frequency analysis of energy consumption indicates that there is still some room for AVs to improve energy efficiency, particularly given their larger amplitude high-frequency fluctuations.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS

First fluctuation measurements using an Imaging Neutral Particle Analyzer on DIII-D

A recent upgrade to the Imaging Neutral Particle Analyzer (INPA) on DIII-D has allowed for the first fluctuation measurements using an INPA to be taken during a neoclassical tearing mode (NTM). The INPA signal tracked the mode over 150 ms as the mode frequency dropped to zero, capturing both the NTM with poloidal and toroidal mode numbers $m/n=2/1$ and a $3/2$ mode at double the frequency. Analysis shows that the signals originate from charge exchange events near the edge of the plasma, and relative fluctuation amplitudes are greater than 25% for the duration of the NTM. Filtered signals show frequency beating patterns that are phase-space dependent. Simulated signal is dominated by prompt transport from the neutral beams to the INPA sightline, while the contribution from the slowing down distribution is significantly lower. Simulated measurements in the range of pitches that the diagnostic is sensitive to (0.5≤|v∥/v|≤ 0.75) show the signal is dominated by trapped orbits that pass through magnetic islands near the edge of the plasma. Calculations of expected fluctuation levels show that only direct interaction with the NTM can provide the strong relative fluctuation levels seen experimentally. The prompt nature of the orbits and thin radial layer found to contribute to synthetic signals suggest INPA passive data may be used to measure the perturbations of confined orbits on a single pass through a plasma instability.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Fault Slip and Fluid Flow: Seismic Source Analysis to Assess Role of Multiple Slip Patches in Fault Permeability

The relationship between fault reactivation, microearthquakes (MEQs), and permeability evolution during fluid injection plays a critical role in energy harvesting and waste disposal. Recent studies have demonstrated the possibility of predicting fault permeability using cumulative seismic moments of MEQs quantitatively. To understand the underlying physical processes, we conduct fault reactivation experiments using Utah FORGE granitoid and analyze acoustic emission (AE) signals generated during stepwise increases in fluid injection pressure. Frequency analysis of thousands of calibrated AE signals reveals that fault reactivation produces multiple AE source patches with millimeter-scale radii—smaller than the sample fault radius. The cumulative area of the reactivated patches covers the fault multiple times over (∼10x–50x area) for each pressure step. These findings provide mechanistic insight that measured permeability enhancement is not driven by a single large slip event, but by the sequential and interacting activation of multiple slip patches that create a continuous flow pathway.

Nurshal, M. E. M. [Pennsylvania State University,

Impacts of A‐Site Composition on the Cation Dissolution‐Mediated Surface Restructuring of Layered Nickelate Oxide Electrocatalysts During Alkaline Oxygen Evolution Reaction

The oxygen evolution reaction (OER) is a key anodic counter‐reaction for electrochemical production of fuels and chemicals. It is hindered by sluggish four‐electron transfer kinetics requiring highly oxidative operating potentials to achieve commercially relevant rates. NiFeO x H y electrocatalysts are among the most promising for OER in alkaline electrolytes. The Ni(OH) 2 /NiOOH redox couple has been reported as the active phase in Ni‐based electrocatalysts; however, its activity is often hindered by deactivation arising from the formation of OER‐inactive insulating species. Limited strategies exist for mitigating this deactivation. This study aims to address this by interrogating the evolution of OER active sites as a function of precatalyst composition and structural properties using a series of layered, crystalline Ni‐based Ruddlesden–Popper (RP) oxides (A 2 NiO 4+δ ). In situ evolution of the active NiO x H y surface is probed through Ni‐site OER turnover frequency analysis, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy coupled with scanning transmission electron microscopy. We show that the stability of layered nickelate oxide electrocatalysts is governed by the dynamic competition between cation dissolution and Ni‐site reversibility, which can be tuned through the A‐site composition of RP oxides. These findings yield insights toward engineering OER oxide precatalysts that optimize the stability of in situ‐generated OER active phases.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Development of a scintillator based fast-ion loss detector for the Wendelstein 7-X stellarator

A new scintillator based fast-ion loss detector (FILD) system has been designed for the Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) stellarator. The mechanical design of the system is presented here along with engineering analyses of the system. This includes an assessment of the structural loads which also considers electromagnetic forces calculated for possible disruption scenarios as well as a mode frequency analysis of the system. Furthermore, an analysis of the thermal characteristics of the actively cooled probe head under prescribed steady state and transient heat loads is presented. Finally, the optical relay system is described and its properties used to forward model synthetic camera signals using the FILDSIM code and based on theoretical fast-ion losses incident on the probe head calculated using the ASCOT5 code.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

A Cautionary Tale: Failure of the Valence CASSCF to Describe the Hallmark of Hydrogen Bonding

Valence CASSCF (vCAS) calculations for the hydrogen-bonded (H2O)2, (HF)2, and HF–H2O dimers fail to predict the lengthening of the hydrogen donor bond and the corresponding red shift in the donor bond vibrational stretching frequency. Analysis of the active orbitals in the vCAS calculation reveals that one of the weakly occupied orbitals in each dimer is used to correlate the electrons in the acceptor lone pairs rather than those in the donor bonding orbitals. This has significant implications for subsequent treatments of the dynamical correlation that are based on the vCAS wavefunction.

Nguyen, Long H.

The Reaction Rates of Amidogen and Ammonia with Nitrous Oxide: Implications for Combustion Mechanisms

Pulsed laser photolysis experiments with laser-induced fluorescence detection of NH 2 set an upper limit to the rate constant for reaction with N 2 O of k < 1 × 10 −15 cm 3 molecule −1 s −1 at 513 K. Computations were based on geometries and anharmonic frequency analysis (B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ) followed by coupled cluster calculations extrapolated to the infinite basis set limit, with corrections for core−valence electron correlation, scalar relativistic effects, and correlation up to CCSDT(Q). Species that showed multireference character were quantified with MRCI(7,7)+Q/cc-pVTZ theory. Rate constants were obtained for the dominant product channel H 2 NN + NO, along with HN 3 + OH, H 2 NO + N 2 , NNH + HNO, ON(NH) 2 and HNNH + NO. The last channel is slow even at 2500 K, contrary to an early empirical estimate and confirming recent suggestions. Modeling of literature experiments on oxidation of NH 3 by N 2 O shows that all channels are too slow to make a significant impact on the loss of N 2 O in ammonia flames. Similarly, the direct NH 3 + N 2 O reaction is found to be negligibly slow.

Ammonia

Discovery of an unconventional quantum echo by interference of Higgs coherence

Detecting photon echoes from superconducting Higgs modes is challenging due to the necessity of preserving and retrieving phase coherence encoded in multiple Higgs and quasiparticle (QP) excitations. Here, we demonstrate the emergence of a Higgs echo in niobium superconductors. This approach disentangles unique quantum pathways involving the Higgs mode and QP excitations. Using Higgs echo spectroscopy, we also uncover unconventional echo formation caused by inhomogeneous broadening and “soft” QP bands, which dynamically evolve under terahertz (THz) driving. Specifically, THz pulse pairs modulate the superconducting gap, imprinting coherence and forming a temporal “Higgs grating.” This grating produces echoes with distinctive characteristics: (i) echo rephasing spectral peaks at superconducting gap frequencies, (ii) asymmetric echo formation delays unlike those observed in atoms or semiconductors, and (iii) negative-time echo signals stemming from Higgs-QP anharmonic interactions. Combined with advanced time-frequency analysis, these findings distinguish Higgs from QP responses and clarify their intricate interactions in THz-driven superconductivity.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND