Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Fracture prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Predicting Fracture Network Development in Crystalline Rocks

The geometric properties of fractures influence whether they propagate, arrest, or coalesce with other fractures. Thus, quantifying the relationship between fracture network characteristics may help predict fracture network development, and perhaps precursors to catastrophic failure. To constrain the relationship and predictability of fracture characteristics, we deform eight one centimeter tall rock cores under triaxial compression while acquiring in situ X-ray tomograms. The tomograms reveal precise measurements of the fracture network characteristics above the spatial resolution of 6.5 µm. We develop machine learning models to predict the value of each characteristic using the other characteristics, and excluding the macroscopic stress or strain imposed on the rock. The models predict fracture development more accurately in the experiments performed on granite and monzonite, than the experiments on marble. Fracture network development may be more predictable in these igneous rocks because their microstructure is more mechanically homogeneous than the marble, producing more systematic fracture development that is not strongly impeded by grain contacts and cleavage planes. The varying performance of the models suggest that fracture volume, length, and aperture are the most predictable of the characteristics, while fracture orientation is the least predictable. Orientation does not correlate with length, as suggested by the idea that the orientation evolves with increasing differential stress and thus fracture length. This difference between the observed and expected relationship between orientation and length highlights the influence of mechanical heterogeneities and local stress perturbations on fracture growth as fractures propagate, link, and coalesce.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Value-of-Information Analysis of a Fracture Prediction Method

A core-based fracture prediction method is used to illustrate a Value of Information (VOI) decision-analysis protocol to inform completion decisions in tight-gas sandstones. The ratio of late host-rock cement to available pore volume or degradation index uses petrographic observations of cement distributions in core (including sidewall cores) to predict whether nearby but unsampled fractures (widths > 0.5 to 1 mm) are sealed (non-conductive) or open (conductive). Measurements from four sandstone plays suggest that the index correctly predicts open vs. sealed fractures with an accuracy in excess of 80%. The value added is calculated using Bayesian inference in which accuracy of the index serves as the likelihood of the prior distribution of open fractures to assess the posterior probability that data represent a useful predictor of producibility. VOI of the prediction method is more than three times the cost to acquire the data. VOI is most sensitive to play-specific geologic and cost parameters including cost to drill, expected revenue from a successful well, cost of completion, cost of acquiring data for the index, and fracture probability distributions. The approach provides a way to value acquiring fracture data and points to a need for zone-specific production data in tight-gas sandstones.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predicting Fracture Porosity Evolution in Sandstone (Final Report)

To better understand porosity, strength, chemical reactivity, and patterns of fractures, we developed methods using mineral deposits to unravel how fracture growth and diagenesis interact to create and destroy fracture porosity. Quartz and dolomite cement textures and associated fluid inclusion assemblage sequences and thermal histories provided data to infer the duration and rates at which fractures open. We developed and tested a model that accounts for how fracture porosity and rock properties change as a function of thermal exposure and how fracture size and arrangement evolve. Effects of cement deposits on growth were investigated with new geomechanical models and new methods to quantify fracture spatial arrangement. We tested these concepts in a wide range of rock types using outcrop and core-based datasets. We documented opening histories of fractures and fracture arrays in contrasting tectonic and thermal regimes. Our methods set a new standard for fracture characterization and our diagenetic-geomechanical model accurately predicts fluid flow characteristics of fractured rocks based on coupled effects of diagenesis and deformation. Results represent a significant advance in fundamental understanding of fractures in the Earth and have application to improving subsurface engineering operations in a wide range of contexts including geothermal and sequestration applications. The breakthrough of successfully reconstructing the timing and opening rates of parts of single fractures and portions of fracture arrays to document the growth and linkage of fracture arrays was an accomplishment of this grant that is being followed up in our current BES grant DE-SC0022968, ‘Reconstructing and Predicting Fracture Pattern Evolution‘

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Predicting fracture behavior in single crystal nickel using a coupled crystal plasticity phase field damage approach

Understanding the fracture behavior of single crystal metals is critical for predicting material performance under mechanical loading. Here, in this study, we investigate the fracture characteristics of single crystal nickel tensile bars using a crystal plasticity coupled phase field damage (CP-PFD) model. Experimental tensile tests were conducted on 15 specimens spanning five crystallographic orientations and three thickness variants per orientation. The results revealed two distinct fracture modes: brittle fractures with 45-degree angled surfaces and ductile fractures characterized by significant necking. The CP-PFD model successfully replicated these fracture behaviors, demonstrating strong agreement with experimental observations. The model effectively predicted the strain at which necking and fracture occurred, as well as the orientation-dependent fracture mechanisms. By comparing experimental and simulated fracture surfaces, we establish the CP-PFD model as a robust tool for predicting single crystal behavior and damage evolution. This work provides insight into the microstructural dependence of fracture behavior and establishes a predictive framework for modeling orientation-dependent damage evolution in single-crystal nickel.

Crystal plasticity↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predicted Fracture Tendency of Naturally Occurring Aluminum Surface Coatings under Tensile Loading

Naturally occurring coatings on aluminum metal, such as its oxide or hydroxide, serve to protect the material from corrosion. Understanding the conditions under which these coatings mechanically fail is therefore expected to be an important aspect of predictive models for aluminum component lifetimes. To this end, we develop and apply a molecular dynamics (MD) modeling framework for conducting tension tests that is capable of isolating factors governing the mechanical strength as a function of coating chemistry, defect morphology, and variables associated with the loading path. We consider two representative materials, including γ-Al 2 O 3 and γ-Al(OH) 3 (i.e., oxide and hydroxide), both of which form readily as aluminum surface coatings. Our results indicate that defects have a significant bearing on the strength of aluminum oxide, with grain boundaries serving to reduce the strain at failure from ε zz = 0.300 to 0.219, relative to perfect single crystal. Our simulations also predict that porosity lowers the elastic stiffness and yield strength of the oxide. Relative to perfect crystal, we find porosity factors of 5%, 10% and 20% decrease the yield stress by 26%, 36% and 53%, respectively. MD predicts that perfect hydroxide and oxide single crystal have respective strains at failure of 0.08 and 0.31 under tensile uniaxial strain loading, and that the corresponding yield stresses are respectively 1.6 and 11.1 GPa. These data indicate that the hydroxide is substantially more susceptible to mechanical failure than the oxide. Our results, coupled with literature findings that indicate hot and humid conditions favor formation of hydroxide and defective oxide coatings, indicate the potential for a complicated dependence of aluminum corrosion susceptibility and stress corrosion cracking on aging history.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predicting Fracture Porosity Evolution in Sandstone

To better understand the porosity, strength, chemical reactivity, and patterns of fractures in the subsurface, we used evidence from mineral deposits in open fractures to unravel how fracture growth and diagenesis interact to create and destroy fracture porosity. Quartz cement textures and associated fluid inclusions and thermal histories provided data used to infer the duration and rates at which fractures open.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Complex Electrical Conductivity of a Single‐Fractured Rock: Fracture‐and‐Matrix Coupling Mechanism and Aperture Size Predictions

Fractured rocks play a crucial role in myriad natural and engineered systems, including Earth's critical zone, oil/gas/geothermal reservoirs, and geological CO 2 /H 2 /waste storage systems. While complex electrical conductivity is extensively used to estimate the pore and grain sizes of conventional porous rocks and soils, it is rarely used to predict the aperture size of fractured rocks and this remains poorly understood. Here, integrating theory, simulations, and experiments, we show that under external fields, fractured rocks follow the fracture-and-matrix coupling to make the bulk complex conductivity non-linear with respect to water conductivity. We find that the relaxation time and quadrature conductivity for porous media do not apply to fractured rocks, but, instead, reasonably accurate predictions of aperture size can be made based on the true formation factor. This study unravels the fundamental mechanism governing conduction and polarization of fractured rocks and paves the way for the non-invasive investigation of global fractured rocks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Simplified Green-Ampt Model, Imbibition-Based Estimates of Permeability, and Implications for Leak-off in Hydraulic Fracturing

Predicting water imbibition into porous materials is important in a wide variety of fields, and hydraulic fracturing of low permeability hydrocarbon reservoirs has emerged as an application that is imposing a large water footprint. Furthermore, reliable predictions of imbibition are needed to better manage water use, yet are challenging because of uncertainties in both the permeability and capillary pressure driving force. Here, this uncertainty is reduced through evaluating correlations between the permeability and the effective capillary pressure associated with the wetting front, P c,f . These correlations allow elimination of P c,f from the Green and Ampt equation and concentrate all uncertainties in fluxes on the effective permeability k . Over a wide range of k and porosities n , imbibition scales approximately with k 1/3 . Although Leverett k 1/4 scaling for predicting P c,f is shown to be inferior when tested with data spanning a wide range of n , it nevertheless predicted imbibition fairly well. From simple imbibition measurements, both the empirical and Leverett scaling approaches allow estimates of k that have root-mean-square deviations of about one order of magnitude relative to measurements that ranged over 10 orders of magnitude in k .

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Implementation and experimental validation of nonlocal damage in a large-strain elasto-viscoplastic FFT-based framework for predicting ductile fracture in 3D polycrystalline materials

Ductile materials, such as metal alloys, can undergo substantial deformation before failure. Additionally, these materials are usually of polycrystalline composition and exhibit strongly anisotropic behavior at small length scales. Previously developed fast Fourier transform (FFT)-based models can model ductile fracture of isotropic materials or the elastic–plastic behavior of anisotropic polycrystalline materials; however, there remains a need to couple both capabilities. This work extends a large-strain FFT-based crystal plasticity model to simulate ductile fracture of polycrystalline materials. In this work, a triaxiality-based continuum damage mechanics (CDM) formulation is incorporated into a large-strain elasto-viscoplastic FFT (LS-EVPFFT) framework. The CDM formulation is augmented with an integral-based nonlocal regularization approach that correctly handles gas-phase material necessary to model unconstrained surfaces. To validate the damage-enabled LS-EVPFFT framework, mesoscale copper tensile coupons were machined using microwire electrical discharge machining and experimentally characterized using electron backscatter diffraction. In-situ optical digital image correlation was performed during uniaxial testing to provide a side-by-side comparison of the experimental and computational strain fields and stress–strain responses. The damage-enabled LS-EVPFFT framework can simulate the complete macroscopic stress–strain response of ductile polycrystals to failure. The model reproduces necking behavior that qualitatively agrees with experimental observations. By leveraging the relatively low computational cost of the damage-enabled LS-EVPFFT framework, the framework presented here allows the ductile fracture response of 3D polycrystalline materials to be tractably predicted.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thermomechanical Microstructural Predictions of Fracture Nucleation of Zircaloy-4 Alloys With δ and ε Hydride Distributions

Abstract A crystalline dislocation-density formulation that was incorporated with a nonlinear finite-element (FE) method was utilized to understand and to predict the thermomechanical behavior of an hexagonal closest packed (h.c.p.) zircaloy system with hydrides with either face-centered cubic (f.c.c.) or body-centered cubic (b.c.c.) hydrides. This formulation was then used with a recently developed fracture methodology that is adapted for finite inelastic strains and multiphase crystalline systems to understand how different microstructurally based fracture modes nucleate and propagate. The interrelated microstructural characteristics of the different crystalline hydride and matrix phases with the necessary orientation relationships (ORs) have been represented, such that a detailed physical understanding of fracture nucleation and propagation can be predicted for the simultaneous thermomechanical failure modes of hydride populations and the matrix. The effects of volume fraction, morphology, crystalline structure, and orientation and distribution of the hydrides on simultaneous and multiple fracture modes were investigated for radial, circumferential, and mixed distributions. Another key aspect was accounting for temperatures changes due to the effects of thermal conduction and dissipated plastic work and their collective effects on fracture. For hydrided aggregates subjected to high temperatures, thermal softening resulted in higher ductility due to increased dislocation-density activity, which led to higher shear strain accumulation and inhibited crack nucleation and growth. The predictions provide validated insights into why circumferential hydrides are more fracture-resistant than radial hydrides for different volume fractions and thermomechanical loading conditions.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2021

The simulation of 3D hypervelocity spallation using a hydrocode PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM

n this work, a hydrocode PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM is presented and exercised to investigate the fracture in ductile material. The merit of PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM to solve the advection problem is first illustrated by a solid piston periodically moving in a sealed tube with air. Furthermore, the ability of PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM to capture the fracture in material is shown by a simple stretching fracture in ductile material. In both of two benchmark problems, the PAGOSA results and analytical solutions are also presented for comparison. Then PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM is used to model complex spall in ductile material, which is a challenging problem in engineering applications. The convergences of PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM—based on both the mesh size and the marker density—are investigated by monitoring free surface velocity. To further show the ability of PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM to predict fracture in ductile material, the numerical results are compared with the experimental results and other published numerical results. Moreover, the effect of the spall parameter in PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM on the numerical simulation is also analyzed by investigating the free surface velocity. Finally, the effects of the peak compressive stress, the tensile strain rate, and the loading rate on the spallation are further investigated. The numerical results show that PAGOSA with FLIP+MPM can improve PAGOSA's performance when applied to predicting fracture in ductile materials, and is robust enough to accurately predict spall fracture in ductile materials.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Geomechanical and Hydrogeological Evaluation of a Shallow Hydraulic Fracture at the Devine Fracture Pilot Site, Medina County, Texas

UT-Austin’s Devine Fracture Pilot Site, 50 miles southwest of San Antonio, Texas, has been targeted for a comprehensive, multidisciplinary development of fracture diagnostic techniques that are cross-validated by ground-truth data acquisition near a recently created, 175-ft-deep, horizontal hydraulic fracture (Ahmadian et al. 2018 Demonstration of proof of concept of electromagnetic geophysical methods for high resolution illumination of induced fracture networks. In Proceedings of the SPE Hydraulic Fracturing Technology Conference and Exhibition, The Woodlands, Texas, USA, 23–25 January 2018. SPE-189858-MS.). To evaluate the fracture diagnostic methods at this site, we conducted injection tests with a predefined volumetric flow-rate profile, resembling a diagnostic fracture injection test on September 2020. Subsequently, we developed hydrogeological and geomechanical models based on flow-rate and bottomhole-pressure measurements. History-matching efforts using a simplified layer-cake hydrogeological model resulted in the field-scale formation permeability of 9.87 × 10 –15 m 2 (10 mD) and Darcy-scale fracture permeability. The analysis of the bottomhole pressure and injection-rate history showed that (1) the newly created horizontal fracture was closed adjacent to the injection well pre-injection and (2) the initial pump-pressure increase at a nominal volumetric injection rate led to near-well fracture reopening, fluid conductivity increase, and abrupt injection-rate increase. To overcome hydrogeological-model limitations of predicting fracture reopening throughout injection, we extended the modeling to a finite-element, poroelastic analysis of horizontal-fracture growth using a cohesive-zone model. Using this fracture-reopening model, we improved the history match of the transient-pressure response during the experiment by adjusting the hydromechanical properties. Furthermore, post-injection pressure transient analyses helped reduce uncertainty in the overburden-stress gradient, and the initial hydraulic-fracturing simulation verified the plausibility of achieving the surveyed propped fracture area.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine Learning Prediction of Fracture Toughness in Hydrogen-charged Stainless Steels

Austenitic stainless steels are structural materials utilized in tritium gas pressure boundaries since they are resistant to hydrogen isotope embrittlement [1-3]. However, exposure to tritium over long periods of time leads to tritium uptake which decays to result in helium ingrowth. This helium ingrowth results in further embrittlement effects which are synergistic with that from the hydrogen isotope [4]. Therefore, it is important for tritium facilities to understand the material limitations of stainless steel in this environment. The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) has available a large experimental data set of austenitic stainless steels which have been exposed to tritium environments for various lengths of time. With the availability of this data set, machine learning (ML) algorithms provide an opportunity to model the embrittlement of stainless steel due to the algorithm’s ability to identify patterns in data sets that are difficult and costly to identify in other manners [5]. Ultimately, the amount and quality of the available data is one defining force in the ability of a ML model to accurately predict the desired outputs. The models developed herein will illustrate the ability for the various algorithms to predict the change in fracture toughness in stainless steels due to hydrogen-isotope embrittlement.

Hoar, Eric T.↗