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Preliminary NoMAD Results of the MUSIC Experiment

The Measurement of Uranium Subcritical and Critical (MUSiC) experiment was carried out from December 2020 through April 2021 at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC). This measurement campaign featured bare configurations of the Rocky Flats highly-enriched uranium (HEU) shells, with each configuration having different numbers of these shells. The goal of the experiment was to test multiple neutron multiplicity detectors and measurement methods for a large range of neutron multiplication values, to see when the combination of detectors and methods break down as the configurations reach the delayed supercritical window. Adding subcritical integral benchmarks gives additional validation to nuclear data. These benchmarks provide additional parameters against which to validate the data. While critical benchmarks have just a single value, $K_{eff}$ , subcritical benchmarks can be used to infer multiple parameters. As an example, recent subcritical benchmarks utilizing the Hage-Cifarelli formalism have three quantities of interest ($R_{1}$, $R_{2}$, and $M_{L}$). This gives nuclear data evaluators additional data to use when performing their evaluations, and allows for these benchmarks to be useful for additional types of nuclear data.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Analysis of the MUSIC 3 He Multiplicity Data

A measurement campaign called the Measurement of Uranium Subcritical and Critical (MUSiC) was performed on a range of configurations of highly-enriched uranium (HEU) from December 2020 through April of 2021. While part of the focus was to measure reactor kinetics parameters on delayed supercritical systems, an additional focus was performing neutron noise measurements on subcritical configurations from deeply subcritical to nearly delayed critical. Multiple detector systems were used to perform these measurements, such as a 3 He multiplicity detector called the Neutron Multiplicity Array Detector (NoMAD) and a liquid scintillator system called the Rossi-α Measurement Rapid Organic Discriminating Detector (RAM-RODD). Also included were a scintillator system from the University of Michigan and a set of small 3He tubes that have previously been used to measure Rossi-α values on near-critical systems. The focus of this paper will be a comparison of prospective analysis methods for the NoMAD measurements. Previous subcritical measurements at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) submitted to the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) used the Hage-Cifarelli formalism of the Feynman Variance-to-Mean method. This relies on the time correlations of neutron detections to infer the spontaneous fission rate and neutron multiplication of a system through binning the time tagged detections and analyzing resulting histograms of the numbers of counts. However, there are other neutron noise methods that rely on similar processes, such as the Hansen-Dowdy formalism which uses a slightly different methodology to extract multiplication from the neutron multiplicity counting moments. Comparisons can be made between these experimental results and those obtained through simulations to validate or identify deficiencies in analysis, detection methods, or the underlying nuclear data. Different time gating strategies and their effects on count rate uncertainties are also investigated.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Application-Specific Implementations: Self-Consistent Analysis, Uncertainty Estimation, Instrumentation Effects

When UF 6 is located on the bottom of a cylindrical container lying flat, the Hage-Cifarelli formalism can be used to reconstruct the multiplication of the UF 6 and the strength of the 234 U (a,n) source, from which the 235 U can be inferred. However, when the UF 6 sticks to the ends or to the sides of the container, the reconstruction is no longer predictive in terms of source strength. The same conclusions were reached, whether one uses 3 He tubes or scintillators to detect the neutrons. Feynman’s point theory underlying the reconstruction would need to be improved to address the differences in source strenghts observed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Real-time neutron multiplicity and source localization for criticality safety during fuel debris removal

Advancing neutron detection and analysis techniques for complex radiation environments is an ongoing focus in nuclear instrumentation and monitoring. This proposal presents research and development of a generalized real-time neutron monitoring and analysis system, applicable to any detector capable of producing time-tagged neutron count data. While the work is demonstrated using the Neutron Multiplication Analysis Detector (NoMAD), a modular 15-tube helium-3 (He-3) array, due to its availability, spatial resolution, and flexible deployment, the methods developed are extensible to other systems, including organic scintillators and fast digital detectors. This research investigates two complementary analytical techniques for real-time characterization of neutron emitting sources: neutron multiplicity estimation based on the Hage-Cifarelli formalism and spatial localization using supervised machine learning applied to spatial count rate patterns. These methods are designed to operate under dynamic, evolving conditions such as fuel debris retrieval or reactor startup, where neutron-emitting material geometries may be partially unknown or changing over time. By integrating statistical neutron emission data with spatial localization, this research aims to develop and evaluate methods for real time neutron monitoring, source characterization, and material verification. Key contributions include implementation of a low-latency data pipeline for continuous neutron multiplicity analysis, development and validation of machine learning models for spatial inference, and experimental evaluation of system performance under variable measurement conditions. The outcomes are intended to support applications in nuclear safeguards, verification, emergency response, and reactor startup.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗