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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Machine learning method for enforcing variable independence in background estimation with LHC data: ABCDisCoTEC

A novel solution is presented for the problem of estimating the backgrounds of a signal search using observed data while simultaneously maximizing the sensitivity of the search to the signal. The 'ABCD method' provides a reliable framework for background estimation by partitioning events into one signal-enhanced region (A) and three background-enhanced control regions (B, C, and D) via two smoothly varying, statistically independent variables. In practice, even slight correlations between the two variables can significantly undermine the method's performance. Thus, choosing appropriate variables by hand can present a formidable challenge, especially when background and signal differ only subtly. To address this issue, the ABCD with distance correlation (ABCDisCo) method was developed to construct two learned variables via a neural network trained to provide strong signal-background discrimination with small values of the distance correlation (DisCo) measure between the two learned variables. However, relying solely on minimizing the DisCo can result in learned variables that may not have distributions of background events that are smoothly varying and localized at extreme values, as necessary for the validity of the background estimation. The ABCDisCo training enhanced with closure (ABCDisCoTEC) method is introduced to solve this issue by directly minimizing the nonclosure, expressed as a dedicated differentiable loss term. This extended method is applied to a data set of proton-proton collisions at a center-of-mass energy of 13 TeV recorded by the CMS detector at the CERN Large Hadron Collider. Additionally, given the complexity of the minimization problem with constraints on multiple loss terms, the modified differential method of multipliers is applied and shown to greatly improve the stability and robustness of the ABCDisCoTEC method, compared to grid search hyperparameter optimization procedures.

Hayrapetyan, Aram [Yerevan Phys. Inst.]↗

Continuous Dependence on Translations of the Independent Variable for Solutions of Boundary-Value Problems for Differential-Difference Equations

We consider boundary-value problems for differential-difference operators with perturbations in translations of the independent variable. We prove that the family of differential-difference operators is positive definite uniformly with respect to translations of the independent variable. Solutions of such problems depend continuously on these translations. We consider the coercivity problem for differential-difference operators with incommensurable translations of the independent variable and study the approximation of such operators by rational operators.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Sweeping Over An Independent Variable Other Than Frequency

This application note describes how to use the EQN block in Touchstone to obtain network measurements in function of an independent variable other than frequency. illustrated Some limitations of this technique are indicated. by the design of an analog linear UHF phaseshifter.

Vancraeynest, J.↗

A family of independent Variable Eddington Factor methods with efficient preconditioned iterative solvers

We present a family of discretizations for the Variable Eddington Factor (VEF) equations that have high-order accuracy on curved meshes and efficient preconditioned iterative solvers. The VEF discretizations are combined with the Discontinuous Galerkin transport discretization from to form effective high-order, linear transport methods. The VEF discretizations are derived by extending the unified analysis of Discontinuous Galerkin methods for elliptic problems presented by Arnold et al. to the VEF equations. This framework is used to define analogs of the interior penalty, second method of Bassi and Rebay, minimal dissipation local Discontinuous Galerkin, and continuous finite element methods. The analysis of subspace correction preconditioners, which use a continuous operator to iteratively precondition the discontinuous discretization, is extended to the case of the non-symmetric VEF system. Numerical results demonstrate that the VEF discretizations have arbitrary-order accuracy on curved meshes, preserve the thick diffusion limit, and are effective on a proxy problem from thermal radiative transfer in both outer transport iterations and inner preconditioned linear solver iterations. We demonstrate that the VEF solution converges to the S N transport solution as the mesh is refined on both problems with smooth and non-smooth behavior in angle. Parallel performance studies show that the interior penalty VEF discretization's linear solve weak scales out to 1024 processors and strong scales well on a single node. Particular attention is paid to the parallel performance of the VEF algorithm when used in combination with a parallel block Jacobi transport sweep.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Characteristic Functions and Compactness of Distributions of Sums of Independent Random Variables

The sequences of distributions of centered sums of independent random variables are considered within the framework of the series scheme, without assuming the classical conditions for uniform asymptotic smallness and uniform limit constancy. Necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained for relative and stochastic compactness of such sequences in terms of the characteristic functions of summable random variables and with using their τ-centers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Statistics for Testing Under Adverse Conditions

Here we develop a statistical basis for limited adverse testing. This type of testing simultaneously evaluates system performances against minimum requirements and minimizes costs, particularly for large scale engineering projects. Because testing is often expensive and narrow in scope, the data obtained is relatively limited—precisely the opposite of the recent “large data” movement but no less compelling. Although a remarkably common approach for industrial and large-scale government projects, a statistical basis for adverse testing remains poorly explored. Here we prove mathematically, under specific conditions, that setting each independent variable to an adverse condition leads to a similar level of adversity in the dependent variable. For example, setting all normally distributed independent variables to at least their 95th percentile values leads to a result at the 95th percentile. The analysis considers sample size estimates to clarify the value of replicates in this type of testing, determines how many of the independent variables must be set to adverse condition values, and highlights the essential assumptions, so that engineers, statisticians, and subject matter experts know when this statistical framework may be applied successfully.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modelling and Analysis of the Corrosion Characteristics of Ferritic-Martensitic Steels in Supercritical Water

The dependencies of weight gain of 9-12 Cr ferritic-martensitic steels in supercritical water on each of seven principal independent variables (temperature, oxygen concentration, flow rate, exposure time, and key chemical composition and surface condition of steels) have been predicted using a supervised artificial neural network (ANN). The relative significance of each independent variable was uncovered by fuzzy curve analysis, which ranks temperature and exposure time as the most important. The optimized ANN, not only satisfactorily represents the experimentally-known non-linear relationships between the corrosion characteristics of F-M steels and the key independent variables (demonstrating the effectiveness of this technique), but also predicts and reveals that the effects of oxygen concentration on the weight gains, to a certain degree, is influenced by the flow rate and temperature. Finally, according to the ANN predicted-results, departure of oxidation kinetics from the parabolic law, and basic cause of chromium content in steel substrate influencing the corrosion rate, and the synergetic effects of dissolved oxygen concentration, flow rate, and temperature, are discussed and analyzed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sigma: Uncertainty Propagation for C++

Sigma is a header-only C++-17 library for uncertainty propagation, inspired by uncertainties for Python and Measurements.jl for Julia. The library tracks the functional correlation between dependent and independent variables, ensuring that the uncertainty of the independent variables is properly considered in the calculation of the dependent variables’ uncertainties. It is intended as a near drop-in replacement for the standard floating point types (aside from uncertainty specification), and aims to be easily interoperable with the existing standard types.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Extension of structure-reactivity correlations for the hydrogen abstraction reaction to methyl radical and comparison to chlorine atom, bromine atom, and hydroxyl radical

In this study, we presented structure-reactivity correlations for the gas-phase rate constants for hydrogen abstraction from sp3-hybridized carbon by three electrophilic radicals (X • + HCR 3 → XH + • CR 3 ; X = Cl • , HO • , and Br); the reaction enthalpy effect was represented by the independent variable Δ r H and the polar effect by the independent variables F and R, the Hammett-Taft constants for field/inductive and resonance effects. Here we present a parallel treatment for the less electronegative CH 3 • . In spite of a limited and scattered data base, the resulting least-squares fit [log k 437 (CH 3 • ) = 0.0251(Δ r H) + 0.96(ΣF) 0.56(ΣR) – 19.15] was modestly successful and useful for initial predictions. As expected, the polar effect appears to be minor and its directionality, i.e., the philicity of CH 3 , may depend on the nature of the substituents.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparison of two pressure–temperature equilibration methods

We compare and contrast the traditionally used method of solving the pressure–temperature equilibration problem in hydrodynamics, where specific internal energy and density are considered independent variables, with a different method where pressure and temperature are independent variables. With the goal of examining the robustness of the two methods as the number of components increases, we examine 2-, 4-, 6-, and 8-component systems. After equilibrating more than 10 4 initial conditions for each system using both methods, we demonstrate that the latter method constrains the search space by lowering its dimensionality and forces a better initial guess, resulting in a higher probability of convergence to solution with fewer, cheaper iterations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Using Regression Analysis Method to Develop a Material Outgassing Model

Regression analysis is a powerful statistical method that allows us to examine the relationship among multiple variables of interest. There are many types of regression analysis, practically speaking, they all identify the influence of one or more independent variables on a dependent variable. Dependent variable is a main factor of interest that we are trying to assess, and independent variables are input factors which we believe to have an impact on dependable variable.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multivariate Regression of Pyrotechnic Igniter Output

Multivariate multiple regression models are applied to simplified pyrotechnic igniters for the first time to understand how changes in manufactured parameters can affect the output gas dynamic response and the timing of ignition events. The statistical modeling technique is applied to demonstrate quantification of the effects of a set of independent variables measured in the as-fabricated igniters on a set of responses experimentally measured from the functioned igniters. Two independent process variables were intentionally varied following a full factorial experimental design while several other independent variables varied within their normal manufacturing variability range. The four igniter performance responses consisted of the timing of sequential events during igniter function and visual gas dynamic output in the form of shock wave strength observed with high-speed schlieren imaging. Linear regression models built using the measurements throughout the manufacturing processes and the output variance provide insight into the critical device parameters that dominate performance

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Utilizing waste heat in wastewater treatment plants for water desalination: Modeling and Multi-Objective optimization of a Multi-Effect desalination system using Decision Tree Regression and Pelican optimization algorithm

This paper examines the feasibility of using waste heat from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) for water desalination. A model was developed to utilize waste heat from the gensets at As Samra WWTP in Jordan, using real data and TRNSYS® software to calculate available waste heat. The desalination process was then modeled with ASPEN PLUS® software, focusing on multi-effect desalination (MED). Both series and parallel configurations for the MED system were compared. The study investigated the effects of system feeding flow rate, feeding pressure, and heat input on productivity, performance ratio, and recovery ratio. The study also introduces a novel optimization technique combining machine learning and modern optimization algorithms to maximize system productivity and performance. Initially, a decision tree regression (DTR) model is developed to establish relationships between key independent variables (flow rate, feed pressure, and heat input) and dependent variables (productivity, performance ratio, and recovery ratio). The Pelican Optimization Algorithm (POA) is then used to identify the optimal values of the independent variables for maximum productivity and performance. The results show that using a series configuration yields a system productivity of 3984.2 kg/hr, a performance ratio of 3.78, and a recovery ratio of 0.991 at a feed flow rate of 4000 kg/hr, feed pressure of 3 bars, and heat input of 719 kW. Optimal productivity (4421 kg/hr), performance ratio (3.81), and recovery ratio (0.851) are achieved at a feed flow rate of 5166 kg/hr, feed pressure of 3.2 bars, and heat input of 794 kW. In conclusion, the techno-economic assessment indicates a levelized cost of water of 1.63 USD/m 3 for parallel configurations and 1.65 USD/m 3 for series configurations, with a payback period of less than two years.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Lorentz transformations of the thermodynamic quantities

In modern physics there exist several formulations of relativistic thermodynamics of a moving body. The Planck and Ott formalisms are the main ones. However, it is not clear which one is correct. In the present paper, we have solved this problem. We have required the equivalence of the dynamical Hamiltonian of a system to the fundamental thermodynamic potential in addition to the principle of entropy invariance and derived the first law of thermodynamics from this fundamental potential. We have found that in the case of momentum being an independent variable in the Hamiltonian, the Lorentz transformations of the thermodynamic quantities belong to the Planck formalism. However, if we suppose that the velocity is an independent variable in the Hamiltonian (though it is not correct from the point of view of the relativistic dynamics), the Lorentz transformations of the thermodynamic quantities belong to the Ott formalism. It demonstrates that the Ott formalism cannot be appropriate. Moreover, we have proved that in the Planck description the first law of thermodynamics is covariant and the Legendre transform of the Lagrangian is preserved. However, in the Ott description the first law of thermodynamics is not covariant and the Legendre transform is violated. Thus we have demonstrated that only the Planck formulation of relativistic thermodynamics of a moving body is properly defined and the Ott formalism should be discarded.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

An Analysis of the Spatial Variations in the Relationship Between Built Environment and Severe Crashes

Traffic crashes significantly contribute to global fatalities, particularly in urban areas, highlighting the need to evaluate the relationship between urban environments and traffic safety. This study extends former spatial modeling frameworks by drawing paths between global models, including spatial lag (SLM), and spatial error (SEM), and local models, including geographically weighted regression (GWR), multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), and multi-scale geographically weighted regression with spatially lagged dependent variable (MGWRL). Utilizing the proposed framework, this study analyzes severe traffic crashes in relation to urban built environments using various spatial regression models within Leon County, Florida. According to the results, SLM outperforms OLS, SEM, and GWR models. Local models with lagged dependent variables outperform both the global and generic versions of the local models in all performance measures, whereas MGWR and MGWRL outperform GWR and GWRL. Local models performed better than global models, showing spatial non-stationarity; so, the relationship between the dependent and independent variables varies over space. The better performance of models with lagged dependent variables signifies that the spatial distribution of severe crashes is correlated. Finally, the better performance of multi-scale local models than classical local models indicates varying influences of independent variables with different bandwidths. According to the MGWRL model, census block groups close to the urban area with higher population, higher education level, and lower car ownership rates have lower crash rates. On the contrary, motor vehicle percentage for commuting is found to have a negative association with severe crash rate, which suggests the locality of the mentioned associations.

Alisan, Onur (ORCID:0000000193113984)↗

Analysis of Electric Vehicle Charging Behavior Patterns with Function Principal Component Analysis Approach

This manuscript focused on analyzing electric vehicles’ (EV) charging behavior patterns with a functional data analysis (FDA) approach, with the goal of providing theoretical support to the EV infrastructure planning and regulation, as well as the power grid load management. 5-year real-world charging log data from a total of 455 charging stations in Kansas City, Missouri, was used. The focuses were placed on analyzing the daily usage occupancy variability, daily energy consumption variability, and station-level usage variability. Compared with the traditional discrete-based analysis models, the proposed FDA modeling approach had unique advantages in preserving the smooth function behavior of the data, bringing more flexibility in the modeling process with little required assumptions or background knowledge on independent variables, as well as the capability of handling time series data with different lengths or sizes. In addition to the patterns revealed in the EV charging station’s occupancy and energy consumption, the differences between EV driver’s charging time and parking time were analyzed and called for the needs for parking regulation and enforcement. The different usage patterns observed at charging stations located on different land-use types were also analyzed.

Engineering↗

Long-Term Variability of Soil Moisture in the Southern Sierra: Measurement and Prediction

Using 6 yr (Water Year [WY] 2009–WY 2014) of hourly in situ measurements from a spatially distributed water-balance cluster, we quantified the long-term accuracy of an algorithm used to predict spatial patterns of depth-integrated soil-water storage within the rain–snow transition zone of the southern Sierra Nevada. The algorithm—the multivariate, non-parametric regression-tree estimator Random Forest—was used to predict soil-water storage based on a combination of attributes at each instrument cluster (soil texture, topographic wetness index, elevation, northness, and canopy cover). Out-of-bag R 2 (similar to cross-validation for Random Forest) was used to quantify the accuracy of the estimator for unobserved data. Accuracy was consistently high during the wet-up, snow-cover, and early recession periods of average and wet years. The accuracy declined at the end of a 3-yr dry period, and the relative rank of the independent variables in the model shifted. Soil texture was the highest-ranked independent variable across all years, followed by elevation and northness. Topographic wetness increased in importance during dry periods. Northness exhibited high importance during the wet-up and early recession periods of most water years. As a result, during dry years, the importance of elevation declined. In dry years, notable differences in soil-water storage at each depth include lower-than-average storage in the deeper regolith at the beginning of the water year and lower storage in near-surface layers during the winter resulting from transient snow cover.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗