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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Topic Modeling Tool for PeTaL (Periodic Table of Life)

A topic modeling tool is constructed for the purpose of providing insights from biology to the engineer within the framework of PeTaL (Periodic Table of Life). The machine learning text mining tools–latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) and nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) with Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence—are used to provide topic clusters to the user. Topic clusters are the underlying themes of a paper. For the text modeling problem, NMF-KL is the equivalent of probabilistic latent semantic analysis. Both LDA and NMF-KL are top-performing modeling tools. These tools are used to identify biological specimens relevant to the user. Various organisms solve a particular survival problem in nature differently. The topic clusters allow people without domain expertise to find these cross-topic themes in the body of documents and then branch out and examine papers whose target organisms solve the engineer’s problem. Abstracts from the Journal of Experimental Biology were used as input for the clustering tool in addition to a curated set of articles for validation. The tool is able to accept alternate input sources.

Machine learning↗

Topic Modeling of NASA Space System Problem Reports: Research in Practice

Problem reports at NASA are similar to bug reports: they capture defects found during test, post-launch operational anomalies, and document the investigation and corrective action of the issue. These artifacts are a rich source of lessons learned for NASA, but are expensive to analyze since problem reports are comprised primarily of natural language text. We apply topic modeling to a corpus of NASA problem reports to extract trends in testing and operational failures. We collected 16,669 problem reports from six NASA space flight missions and applied Latent Dirichlet Allocation topic modeling to the document corpus. We analyze the most popular topics within and across missions, and how popular topics changed over the lifetime of a mission. We find that hardware material and flight software issues are common during the integration and testing phase, while ground station software and equipment issues are more common during the operations phase. We identify a number of challenges in topic modeling for trend analysis: 1) that the process of selecting the topic modeling parameters lacks definitive guidance, 2) defining semantically-meaningful topic labels requires nontrivial effort and domain expertise, 3) topic models derived from the combined corpus of the six missions were biased toward the larger missions, and 4) topics must be semantically distinct as well as cohesive to be useful. Nonetheless,topic modeling can identify problem themes within missions and across mission lifetimes, providing useful feedback to engineers and project managers.

Data Mining↗

Transforming Science Prioritization Processes Using Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) have potential to augment significantly the current labor-intensive processes of science prioritization, specifically by the National Academies’ Decadal Survey on behalf of NASA and NSF. Here we summarize what we believe to be the first exploratory demonstration-of-concept results from an application of AI/ML to Survey science prioritization. Specifically, we applied Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) to reveal trends in published astrophysics research that may indicate science priorities and which could be applied to strategic planning. For the purpose of the work that we summarize here, AI/ML is able to analyze – that is, to “understand,” in a manner of speaking – a vast amount of text to reveal complex relationships among research topics, including the growth or decline of science community activities in those topics over time. We trained ourselves and AI/ML algorithms by using ~400,000 abstracts in the period 1998 to 2010 to “forecast” the Academies’ Astro2010 recommendations and compare with the solicited white papers. Comparing our results with actual Astro2010 recommendations allowed us to identify candidate metrics that better predicted the actual results of the Survey. We found, for example, that Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of papers published in a topic area is a good proxy measure for importance of this topic area of research. With this training complete, we identified candidate astrophysics astrophysics science priorities for the 2021+ period using the research during 2007 - 2019 . We conclude that appropriate application of AI can potentially significantly reduce the current workload of the Decadal Survey processes and reveal otherwise unrecognized characteristics in the body of astronomical research. We emphasize throughout the exploratory nature of our work, encouraging colleagues to pursue promising results further. Our most critical governing assumption was that increased (or decreased) research activity can be used to identify scientific or technology topic areas worthy of increased (or decreased) future emphasis. We discuss advantages, limitations, and recognize the “black box” nature of our technique. We note ethics issues associated, for example, with using AI/ML to reveal “hidden” meanings and biases in published work. Furthermore, inevitable improvements in AI may soon enable widespread and welcome identification of and advocacy for science and technology priorities by disparate and diverse groups and organizations. Consequently, we continue to urge a near-term, in-depth evaluation of appropriate applications of AI, including implications and consequences, as well as support for multiple follow-on assessments, of which ours is only a beginning.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Exploring the Landscape of Earth and Space Science Informatics using Latent Topic Modeling

AGU Earth and Space Science Informatics (ESSI) is at the forefront of data management, analysis, large scale experimentation, and infrastructure development pertaining to Earth and Space Science interests. The key topics of interest within ESSI are also evolving and diversifying over time. We aim to observe and quantify the various topics covered in ESSI, analyze their trends over time, and identify the contributors’ affiliations to gain an understanding of the landscape of ESSI and the direction of the research and management. The data for this work are abstracts submitted to AGU’s ESSI Fall meeting; They serve as a proxy for key research and development areas within ESSI. We use an unsupervised topic modeling technique called Latent Dirichlet Allocation to observe the underlying topics covered in ESSI and their trends over time. With this presentation, we showcase our results from the analysis and insights gained.

Muthukumaran Ramasubramanian↗

Determining Research Priorities for Astronomy Using Machine Learning

We summarize the first exploratory investigation into whether Machine Learning (ML) techniques can augment science strategic planning. We find that an approach based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) using abstracts drawn from high-impact astronomy journals may provide a leading indicator of future interest in a research topic. We show two topic metrics that correlate well with the high-priority research areas identified by the 2010 National Academies’ Astronomy and Astrophysics Decadal Survey. One metric is based on a sum of the fractional contribution to each topic by all scientific papers (“counts”) while the other is the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of counts. These same metrics also show the same degree of correlation with the whitepapers submitted to the same Decadal Survey. Our results suggest that the Decadal Survey may under-emphasize fast growing research. A preliminary version of our work was presented by Thronson et al. (2021).

Astronomy↗