Evaluating Generalizability and Mitigating Concept Drift in Text Analytics
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Here, municipal solid waste (MSW)'s 40–60 % carbon content makes it a feedstock for biofuel production via pyrolysis. One challenge in the conversion process is MSW fouling due to thermal decomposition. The accumulated deposit on the injection screw often leads to plugging and constriction. This study examined the morphology and composition of the MSW fouling deposit and conducted a thermal simulation to understand the temperature gradience of the injection screw. Surface modifications including smoothening and anti-adhesion coating were proposed for the injection screw to address the deposit problem. For evaluating the candidate mitigations, a bench-scale fouling test was developed with the gas environment, temperature, and sliding speed relevant to the contact interface between the MSW particles and the screw. Results suggested that a smoother screw surface could reduce the grip and a non-metallic coating with a lower surface energy could decrease adhesion, consequently leading to less fouling. Specifically, reducing the roughness from 2 to 0.6 and then to 0.2 μm proportionally decreased the amount of deposit, and the diamond-like-carbon, CrN, and NiCr–CrC composite coatings effectively hindered the fouling process. This study provides fundamental insights into the MSW fouling and proof-of-concept of potential mitigations through the screw surface modification.
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In the pursuit of sustainable and land-use-efficient solutions to mitigate climate change, the concept of agrivoltaic systems, which integrate renewable solar energy into conventional agriculture, has emerged. By deploying solar arrays above the crop field, these systems are designed to maximize the land use efficiency or, in other words, the value of generated electricity and crop yield per unit area. While power generation has been extensively studied and modeled, research gaps persist in simulating crop performance [1], [2]. Early studies utilized generalized relationships between photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) and crop production. However, significant variations in crop performance due to other factors, such as weather and soil, can compromise the reliability of the results [2]. Current studies focus on comprehensive process-based crop models, such as DSSAT [3] and STICS [4]. Nevertheless, the validation status varies greatly across different species, and the validation process requires well-designed experiments to adjust specific processes. For less common shade-tolerant crops with limited validation, such as cabbage, physiological behaviors can be difficult to predict [5]. This study investigates an adaptive dynamic agrivoltaic production tool (ADAPT) with few data requirements and minimal on-site calibration that can be easily applied in real applications.
In the original article, we inadvertently omitted a reference which previously introduced the concept of tungsten injection for 'Disruption Mitigation in Tokamak Reactor via Reducing the Seed Electrons of Avalanche.' In that reference, the authors have proposed injection of a tungsten cylinder of 80 mm by 8 mm dimensions, by rail guns, to absorb the runaway seed population. This can be contrasted with another interesting idea of using small tungsten pellets coated with a low Z material for depleting the runaway seeds as an option for upgrade of the ITER Disruption Mitigation System. Interested readers are referred to those two papers on the tungsten injection for runaway seed removal/reduction, and the related issue of not shortening the current quench excessively. The application focus of was not on reducing the runaway seeds in the initial Ohmic-to-runaway current conversion phase, but on safe termination of a fully formed and likely decaying runaway beam that is about to scrape off against the first wall, which can be accelerated by vertical displacement events. This scheme thus serves as a last line of defense against potential wall damage. The choice here is locally released tungsten particulates, similar to the previous idea of using tungsten particulates as a dust shield for the divertor. The most significant finding of is that strong pitch angle scattering, in addition to energy attenuation and absorption, of high-energy runaways by tungsten particulates, provides a transport mechanism by which runaways damage of the first wall can be mitigated by reducing and spreading the runaway wall load. We regret the omission in the original article, and thank the authors of the cited article for bringing this matter to our attention. We also find the possibility of using the injected tungsten rod from to terminate the runaways, as opposed to the cloud of tungsten particulates in intriguing. In that context, it is of interest to mention another possibility of a retractable tungsten metal arm that can be swung out for deployment in runaway termination, which would remove the need for post-mitigation recovery of tungsten debris in injection schemes.
Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) is an emerging method to integrate cybersecurity considerations into the conception, design, development, and operation of any physical system, energy or otherwise, to mitigate or even eliminate avenues for cyber-enabled attacks.?CIE concepts use design decisions and engineering controls to prioritize defense against the worst possible consequences of cyberattacks facing critical infrastructure systems and asset owners. These slides offer a deep dive into Cyber-Informed Engineering for engineering educators.
We investigate various short-warning mitigation scenarios via fragmentation for a hypothetical impact of asteroid 2023 NT1, a near-Earth object (NEO) that was discovered on 2023 July 15, two days after its closest approach to Earth on July 13. The asteroid passed by Earth within ∼0.25 lunar distances, with a closest approach of ∼1 × 10 5 km and a velocity of 11.27 km s −1 . Its size remains largely uncertain, with an estimated diameter range of 26–58 m and a most probable estimate of 34 m (JPL Sentry, 2023 September 15; weighted by the NEO size frequency distribution). If 2023 NT1 had collided with Earth, it could have caused significant local damage. Assuming a spherical asteroid with a diameter of 34 m, uniform density of 2.6 g cm −3 , and impact velocity of 15.59 km s −1 , a collision would have yielded an estimated impact energy of ∼1.5 Mt, approximately 3 times the energy of the Chelyabinsk airburst in 2013. We analyze the effectiveness of mitigation via intentional robust disruption for objects similar to 2023 NT1. We utilize Pulverize It (PI), a NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts study of planetary defense via fragmentation, to model potential mitigation scenarios through simulations of hypervelocity asteroid disruption and atmospheric ground effects in the case of a terminal defense mode. Simulations suggest that PI is an effective multimodal approach for planetary defense that can operate in extremely short interdiction modes, in addition to long interdiction timescales with extended warning. Our simulations support the proposition that threats like 2023 NT1 can be effectively mitigated with intercepts of 1 day (or less) prior to impact, yielding minimal to no ground damage.
Defined as nuclear reactors with a power output up to 300 megawatts electrical (MWe) by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and targeted for multipurpose applications, small modular reactors (SMRs) have been recognized as a very promising, clean, affordable, and sustainable energy source by many countries. At present, more than 80 SMRs are under design, development, demonstration, deployment, and beyond (4D+) phases worldwide. This study focuses on the current world status of SMRs and focuses on the necessary developments to accelerate the process of adopting SMRs as a major energy source globally. SMRs are not a new concept, but they do represent a new vision for older concepts if the challenges inherent within them are mitigated with strategic and realistic solution approaches. The major challenges for SMRs 4D+ like any new reactors are: (a) qualifying the advanced fuel-to-reactor design; (b) supporting rapid scaled/prototypic experimentations; (c) maintaining local and global codes, standards, and licensing; (d) supply chain issues;(e) effective cradle-to-grave nuclear fuel cycle and fuel material transportation, and (f) mitigating financial and environmental risks. These upfront challenges can be mitigated with a synergistic solution approach among the various stakeholders: industry, academia, research, government, and international entities.
Defined as nuclear reactors with a power output up to 300 megawatts electrical (MWe) by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and targeted for multipurpose applications, small modular reactors (SMRs) have been recognized as a very promising, clean, affordable, and sustainable energy source by many countries. At present, more than 80 SMRs are under design, development, demonstration, deployment, and beyond (4D+) phases worldwide. This paper focuses on the current world status of SMRs and focuses on the necessary developments to accelerate the process of adopting SMRs as a major energy source globally. SMRs are not a new concept, but they do represent a new vision for older concepts if the challenges inherent within them are mitigated with strategic and realistic solution approaches. The major challenges for SMRs 4D+ like any new reactors are: (a) qualifying the advanced fuel-to-reactor design; (b) supporting rapid scaled/prototypic experimentations; (c) maintaining local and global codes, standards, and licensing; (d) supply chain issues; (e) effective cradle-to-grave nuclear fuel cycle and fuel material transportation, and (f) mitigating financial and environmental risks. These upfront challenges can be mitigated with a synergistic solution approach among the various stakeholders: industry, academia, research, government, and international entities.
Defined as nuclear reactors with a power output up to 300 megawatts electrical (MWe) by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and targeted for multipurpose applications, small modular reactors (SMRs) have been recognized as a very promising, clean, affordable, and sustainable energy source by many countries. At present, more than 80 SMRs are under design, development, demonstration, deployment, and beyond (4D+) phases worldwide. This study focuses on the current world status of SMRs and focuses on the necessary developments to accelerate the process of adopting SMRs as a major energy source globally. SMRs are not a new concept, but they do represent a new vision for older concepts if the challenges inherent within them are mitigated with strategic and realistic solution approaches. The major challenges for SMRs 4D+ like any new reactors are: (a) qualifying the advanced fuel-to-reactor design; (b) supporting rapid scaled/prototypic experimentations; (c) maintaining local and global codes, standards, and licensing; (d) supply chain issues;(e) effective cradle-to-grave nuclear fuel cycle and fuel material transportation, and (f) mitigating financial and environmental risks. These upfront challenges can be mitigated with a synergistic solution approach among the various stakeholders: industry, academia, research, government, and international entities.
An optimization-based design framework is proposed to tune the response of soft metamaterials involving both geometric instabilities and nonlinear viscoelastic material behavior. Designing the response of soft metamaterials to harness instabilities and undergo large, tailored configuration changes will enable advancements in soft robotics, shock and vibration mitigation, and flexible electronics. In line with the metamaterial concept, the response of these materials is governed to a large extent by the geometric and topological makeup of their small-scale features. However, the link between structure and response is less intuitive for soft metamaterials due to their reliance upon highly nonlinear responses triggered by geometric instabilities. This is further complicated by the effects of viscoelastic relaxation, which recent studies have shown to alter the emergence of instabilities in non-intuitive ways. Here, these effects are accounted for in our framework to achieve various design objectives, including tailored force–displacement response and maximized energy absorption from both geometric and material effects. To fully automate this process, it is essential to have a completely robust equation solver for forward problems involving instabilities and viscoelastic relaxation. We achieve this by casting the search for stable mechanical equilibrium — i.e. the forward problem — as a minimization problem and utilize a trust region algorithm to robustly handle instabilities and follow energetically-favorable equilibrium paths through critical points.
Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation, long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment that will utilize an intense neutrino beam from Fermilab to measure neutrino oscillation parameters with unprecedented precision. The DUNE-PRISM near detector concept employs an off-axis measurement strategy to mitigate neutrino-nucleus interaction uncertainties; however, this approach relies critically on the accurate characterization of the neutrino flux. As statistical uncertainties are suppressed in the high-intensity Long Baseline Neutrino Facility (LBNF) beam, beamline focusing uncertainties, specifically those arising from focusing horn geometry, become an important systematic uncertainty source. This work presents Geant4 LBNF beam simulations quantifying one of the most important systematic uncertainties for off-axis fluxes: the impact of manufacturing tolerances in the LBNF horns. The focusing horns consist of coaxial inner and outer conductors. Ideally, the region inside the inner conductor is field-free, while the region between the inner and outer conductors serves as the focusing region, where the magnetic field follows a nominal $1/r$ dependence. However, inner conductor deformations such as eccentricity and ellipticity introduce asymmetry, inducing unintended magnetic fields inside the field-free region. Crucially, while the on-axis neutrino flux remains largely unaffected by these induced fields, the resulting flux fractional shifts become pronounced over a particular range of off-axis positions where the DUNE-PRISM program will perform measurements. Consequently, these inner conductor deformations can impact the precision of flux predictions, which could potentially degrade the sensitivity to oscillation parameters. Possible mitigation strategies for these effects will also be presented.
The transition toward a carbon-neutral society based on renewable energies goes hand in hand with the availability of energy-efficient technologies. Here, magnetocaloric cooling is a very promising refrigeration technology to fulfill this role regarding cryogenic gas liquefaction. However, the current reliance on highly resource critical, heavy rare-earth-based compounds as magnetocaloric material makes global usage unsustainable. Here, we aim to mitigate this limitation through the utilization of a multicaloric cooling concept, which uses the external stimuli of isotropic pressure and magnetic field to tailor and induce magnetostructural phase transitions associated with large caloric effects. In this study, La 0.7 Ce 0.3 Fe 11.6 Si 1.4 is used as a nontoxic, low-cost, low-criticality multiferroic material to explore the potential, challenges, and peculiarities of multicaloric cryocooling, achieving maximum isothermal entropy changes up to −28 J (kg K) −1 in the temperature range from 190 K down to 30 K. Thus, the multicaloric cooling approach offers an additional degree of freedom to tailor the phase transition properties and may lead to energy-efficient and environmentally friendly gas liquefaction based on designed-for-purpose, noncritical multiferroic materials.
In an era of increasingly sophisticated and pervasive cyber threats, robust cyber resilience strategies are more critical than ever. This paper introduces the concept of Cyber Conservative Operations, a proactive approach designed to assist critical infrastructure owners and operators in managing risk and maintaining resilience in the face of imminent, yet not occurring, cyber events. By leveraging the principles of Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) and the energy sector’s practice of conservative operations, Cyber Conservative Operations offer a framework for planning and executing coordinated active defense and resilience-oriented actions ahead of cyber events. This approach aims to minimize the consequences of digitally-enabled hazards and ensure swift recovery from anticipated cyber threats. Cyber Conservative Operations enhance the ability of owners and operators to execute pre-planned defense and resilience actions, thereby reducing the impact of digitally-enabled hazards. These operations are crucial for addressing impacts that cannot be precisely quantified or forecasted and for preparing organizations for rapid recovery from imminent digital threats. The paper begins with a discussion of conservative operations as applied to the bulk power system (BPS), a current mechanism allowing BPS entities to enact defensive operating plans to mitigate impending grid unreliability. Building on this model, we present a concept for implementing cyber conservative operations at asset owner facilities. The paper concludes with two case studies of cyber conservative operations drawn from high-profile cyber events, illustrating the practical application and benefits of this proactive approach.
Despite significant potential for cyanobacteria as sustainable bioproduction chases, there are limited examples of scaled cyanobacterial bioproduction. In part, this is because most cyanobacterial species are poorly adapted to bioreactor cultivation conditions and lack features that facilitate biomass growth and harvesting at scale. We explored quorum sensing (QS) pathways derived from heterotrophic microbes as a method for autoinduction of gene expression circuits coordinated to population density in cyanobacteria. Here, we integrated genetic modules designed to produce and detect the diffusible QS signal, acyl-homoserine lactones (AHLs), in the cyanobacterial model, Synechococcus elongatus PCC 7942 (S. elongatus). We demonstrate that S. elongatus heterologously produces sufficient AHL signals to activate gene expression in a dose-dependent and population density-responsive manner. A hybrid combination of AHL synthesis enzyme from Vibrio fischeri (Lux system) with the transcription factor receiver from Pseudomonas aeruginosa (Las system) provides an ideal activation ratio and mitigates toxicity observed with some AHL systems. As a proof of concept, we coupled the QS pathway to the expression of a cell division inhibitory gene, cdv3, facilitating late-phase cell elongation, cell sedimentation, and improved biomass recovery. Our findings provide a foundation for the development of auto-induction systems leverageable to improve cyanobacterial biotechnology applications.
A computational modeling capability is created and available to the fusion community to understand and design lower-cost and innovative fusion concepts. The approach uses high- fidelity kinetic, moment-kinetic, and moment models and includes sophisticated plasma- boundary interactions. A majority of fusion-relevant simulations are performed with magnetohydrodynamic models and hybrid particle-in-cell codes, with limited-fidelity electron and kinetic physics. However, in fusion configurations like Z-pinches, field-reversed- configurations, plasma jet magneto-inertial fusion, spinning mirrors, and others, kinetic effects (both electron and ions) are critical to understand the physics and design scaling into the highly kinetic regime of a burning fusion plasma. Furthermore, as present fusion machines move towards a burning plasma regime, liquid-metal blankets are needed to handle first-wall heat- flux, reduce erosion, and eventually for energy conversion and fuel breeding. The work performed under this ARPA-E BETHE Capability Team advances the state-of-the-art in modeling and understanding plasma dynamics in fusion devices and its coupling with liquid-metal dynamics. These are critical areas of research for fusion energy to become realizable. To address these complex problems, we have leveraged and extended computational capabilities through the code, Gkeyll (developed jointly with Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory and academic partners), for kinetic and moment modeling of fusion plasmas. The Concept Teams supported by this Capability Team include the Wisconsin High-field Axisymmetric Mirror (WHAM), Centrifugal Mirror Experiment (CFME), Plasma-Jet Magneto- Inertial Fusion (PJMIF), and solid and liquid wall plasma-material interaction studies relevant to a number of fusion concepts including Zap Energy’s Z-pinch. This software is open-source and available to the fusion community as a high-fidelity tool for the design of lower-cost fusion experiments. 3D gyrokinetic simulations of WHAM are now possible for long enough time scales to understand the evolution of interchange instabilities. 3D multi-fluid simulations of CMFE at higher Mach numbers are now possible for detailed design iterations with the goal of stability. The state-of-the-art in understanding shock formation and shock mitigation regimes in merging liners for PJMIF have been furthered by our kinetic simulations. Our novel models and frameworks studying plasma-material interaction by incorporating wall emission for various solid wall materials of relevance to pulsed and steady fusion concepts have advanced the state-of-the-art in our understanding of particle fluxes, heat fluxes, and other quantities at cathodes and anodes. The results from this work may explain discrepancies between experimental and theoretical predictions of achieved current densities in pulsed concepts such as Z-pinches. Another significant contribution of this Capability Team is the development and deployment of a novel experimental platform, LEX (Liquid Electrode eXperiment), at Virginia Tech to understand liquid metal free-surface response to electromagnetic pulses. The novel experiments along with model validation quantified the effect of different materials and sizes of liquid metal droplets on the radiative power balance of fusion plasmas for pulsed concepts. Furthermore, these experiments provided mitigation strategies for violent liquid metal response for high current pulses as would be expected in fusion regimes.
Fermilab s High Power Targetry Research and Development (HPT R&D) group have been developing and studying an electrospun nanofiber target concept to support the need for robust targets in future fixed target facilities. These nanofiber mats have demonstrated resistance to radiation damage, and the free motion of the individual fibers is expected to mitigate the cyclic stresses induced by a pulsed, high-power beam. To evaluate the efficacy of this concept, nanofiber mat samples have been sent by the HPT R&D group to the HiRadMat facility at CERN for prototypic thermal shock testing; the outcomes of these experiments show that the survivability of a nanofiber target depends on its construction parameters, in particular the packing density of the fibers. Samples with higher packing densities have consistently been destroyed by exposure to the HiRadMat beam, with a hole at the beam center visible, and layers of nanofibers peeled away from the center hole, whereas samples with lower densities have survived with limited damage. The exact reason for the failure of the higher density targets was unclear at the time of the original experiments, but the results of our recent multiphysics simulations which recreate the experiments support the hypothesis that the expansion and pressurization of the air inside the target after being heated by the pulsed beam is the cause; in a high density nanofiber mat, the motion of air through the pores of the mat is much more restricted, and induces a larger pressure on the fibers, blowing the mat apart. In this talk, we ll share the results of these simulations and discuss how they support this hypothesis.
A recent article in Reviews of Geophysics explores land subsidence drivers, rates, and impacts across the globe. It also discusses the need for improved process representations and the inclusion of the interplay among land subsidence and climatic extremes, including their effects in models and risk assessments. Here, we asked the lead author to explain the concept of land subsidence, its impacts, and future directions needed for improved mitigation.