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The Machine Learning Showroom: Presentation to OCIO Data Science Summit

Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML) has become an indispensable tool for descriptive, predictive and prescriptive analytics. Demand for AI/ML models at NASA is outpacing Data Scientist staff. The AI/ML Showroom is an effort to empower NASA professionals to evaluate AI/ML solutions for their problems in a scalable self-help manner, relying on coding examples, reference use cases, digital assistant guides, jam sessions, video training, and pre-configured cloud resources.

machine learning

Machine Learning-Based Predictive Analytics for Aircraft Engine Conceptual Design

Big data and artificial intelligence/machine learning are transforming the global business environment. Data is now the most valuable asset for enterprises in every industry. Companies are using data-driven insights for competitive advantage. With that, the adoption of machine learning-based data analytics is rapidly taking hold across various industries, producing autonomous systems that support human decision-making. This work explored the application of machine learning to aircraft engine conceptual design. Supervised machine-learning algorithms for regression and classification were employed to study patterns in an existing, open-source database of production and research turbofan engines, and resulting in predictive analytics for use in predicting performance of new turbofan designs. Specifically, the author developed machine learning-based analytics to predict cruise thrust specific fuel consumption (TSFC) and core sizes of high-efficiency turbofan engines, using engine design parameters as the input. The predictive analytics were trained and deployed in Keras, an open-source neural networks application program interface (API) written in Python, with Google’s TensorFlow (an open source library for numerical computation) serving as the backend engine. The promising results of the predictive analytics show that machine-learning techniques merit further exploration for application in aircraft engine conceptual design.

deep-learning

Imagery Analysis for Space Operations

The purpose of this project is to build a prototype camera system that utilizes artificial intelligence/machine learning and computer vision to track an object in 2D and recreate it in 3D.The goal is to improve image analysis and photogrammetry function for Pad 39B operations

Robotics

Autonomy Verification & Validation Roadmap and Vision 2045

Advanced capabilities planned for the next generation of autonomous and increasingly autonomous air vehicles will include non-traditional components based on artificial intelligence, machine learning, and complex optimization and planning algorithms. These complex components will be used to provide enhanced safety and high-level decision-making functions. However, there are serious barriers to the deployment of autonomous aircraft in the National Airspace System (NAS). Current civil aviation certification processes are based on the concept that the correct behavior of a system or a component must be completely specified and verified prior to operation. This report from the Autonomy Verification and Validation (V&V) Roadmap and Vision 2045 project presents the most recent effort to build a comprehensive list of verification challenges and needs for autonomous aircraft, a roadmap to meet those autonomy V&V needs, the services they can enable, and point to the certification gaps they fill. To accomplish these goals, we assembled a team of world-class researchers from the aerospace industry (Boeing, Collins Aerospace, and GeneralElectric) and academia (University of Michigan, University of Texas, and Massachusetts Institute of Technology) with deep expertise in autonomy, aerospace systems, and assurance of Artificial Intelligence/machine learning systems.

Software Assurance

TechEdSat-13: The First Flight of an AI/ML Neuromorphic Processor

Neuromorphic processors, inspired by the wiring of the brain, permit certain classes of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML) algorithms to run far more efficiently. Ultimately, such systems will make the small- and nano-satellite platforms even more useful in terms of greatly improved power, communication and internal data management. In addition, on-board processing of images and data will help to not only rapidly interpret the information, but also reduce the amount of data that needs to be transmitted to ground stations. This initial flight experiment uses the Intel/ Loihi processor combined with a custom interface board and three communication channels to run the AI/ML scripts. These will vary with increasing length and complexity during the course of the mission. The algorithms will use the (at first) limited sensor data to ‘learn’ - with comparisons to similar architecture in comparable ground experiments. Some of the applications for successor flights in the TES-n flight series include Cognitive Communications, whereby the overall communication system is optimized per overflight – by optimizing timing and data transmission functions. Lastly, the performance of the Loihi 14nm process technology will be monitored for performance in the LEO radiation environment, thus looking for induced hardware and software errors. This information will help guide future radiation protection techniques to extend the lifetime and overall utility. The TES-13 is a 3U nanosat successfully launched by the Virgin Orbit Launcher-1 on January 13, 2022, and will presage more flights and AI/ML applications to come.

TechEdSat

TechEdSat-13: The First Flight of a Neuromorphic Processor

Neuromorphic processors, inspired by the wiring of the brain, permit certain classes of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML) algorithms to run far more efficiently. Ultimately, such systems will make the small- and nano-satellite platforms even more useful in terms of greatly improved power, communication and internal data management. In addition, on-board processing of images and data will help to not only rapidly interpret the information, but also reduce the amount of data that needs to be transmitted to ground stations. This initial flight experiment uses the Intel/Loihi processor combined with a custom interface board and three communication channels to run the AI/ML scripts. These will vary with increasing length and complexity during the course of the mission. The algorithms will use the (at first) limited sensor data to ‘learn’ - with comparisons to similar architecture in comparable ground experiments. Some of the applications for successor flights in the TES-n flight series include Cognitive Communications, whereby the overall communication system is optimized per overflight – by optimizing timing and data transmission functions. Lastly, the performance of the Loihi 14nm process technology will be monitored for performance in the LEO radiation environment, thus looking for induced hardware and software errors. This information will help guide future radiation protection techniques to extend the lifetime and overall utility. The TES-13 is a 3U nanosat successfully launched by the Virgin Orbit Launcher-1 on January 13, 2022, and will presage more flights and AI/ML applications to come.

TechEdSat

Imagery Analysis for Space Operations

The purpose of this project is to build a prototype camera system that utilizes artificial intelligence/machine learning and computer vision to track an object in 2D and recreate it in 3D.The goal is to improve image analysis and photogrammetry function for Pad 39B operations.

Computer Programming

A Newly Developing Community-Oriented Data System from NASA GES DISC

Data services are essential to facilitate data access and to aid efficiency of conducting research and application activities. With emerging technologies such as cloud computing and AI/ML (Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning) leading the pace of the data world, the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), home to the permanent archive for multidisciplinary Earth Observation (EO) geospatial data to study atmospheric composition, weather and climate variability, and water and energy cycles is no exception.Interfacing directly with users as part of data center work, we understand the challenges for the required time and effort to discover, visualize, and analyze large varieties and quantities of Earth Observation information for research, monitoring, and decision-making, largely due to the existing data and information systems aim to support experienced users, but has been proved difficult for non-earth scientists and new users that are unfamiliar with the variety of formats and structures in which data, metadata, and information are stored, as well as the required methods to use them. To address these challenges, I will update our latest activities with regard to water-and energy-related products and community-oriented and user-friendly services at the GES DISC, including our plans for the emerging technologies.

Jennifer Wei

Quantifying the Importance of Selected Drought Indicators for the United States Drought Monitor

Using information theory, our study quantifies the importance of selected indicators for the U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) maps. We use the technique of mutual information (MI) to measure the importance of any indicator to the USDM, and because MI is derived solely from the data, our findings are independent of any model structure (conceptual, physically-based, or empirical). We also compare these MIs against the drought representation effectiveness ratings in the North America Drought Indices and Indicators Assessment (NADIIA) survey for Koeppen climate zones. This reveals: [1] agreement between some ratings and our MI values (high for example indicators like Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index or SPEI); [2] some divergences (for example, soil moisture has high ratings but near-zero MIs for ESA-CCI soil moisture in the Western U.S., indicating the need of another remotely sensed soil moisture source); and [3] new insights into the importance of variables such as Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) that are not included in sources like NADIIA. Further analysis of the MI results yields findings related to: [1] hydrological mechanisms (summertime SWE domination during individual drought events through snowmelt into the water-scarce soil); [2] hydroclimatic types (the top pair of inputs in the Western and non-Western regions are SPEIs and soil moistures respectively); and [3] predictability (high for the California 2012-2017 event, with longer-timescale indicators dominating). Finally, the high MIs between multiple indicators jointly and the USDM indicate potentially high drought forecasting accuracies achievable using only model-based inputs, and the potential for global drought monitoring using only remotely sensed inputs, especially for locations having insufficient in situ observations.

Drought