Results for “PCMI”

DOE OSTI2022

Rethinking PCMI Failures Under Transient Conditions

Under PCMI conditions, the cladding strain is driven by either pellet swelling during normal operation or pellet thermal expansion in transients. The loading in PCMI is displacement controlled because friction between the pellet and the cladding results in a strain compatibility at the pellet/cladding interface. Failure is known to occur under PCMI loading conditions during operation when normal power changes result in release of iodine (and other fission products) causing stress corrosion cracking where the crack-propagation rate is dependent upon the cladding stress but slow relative to strictly mechanical failures. Failures after normal power changes are often referred to as failure by pellet-cladding interaction or PCI to distinguish it from PCMI. Such failures are considered displacement-controlled failures, as noted above, and occur with limited plastic strain. This is different to what is typically thought of as PCMI failure under transient conditions, either Anticipated Operational Occurrences (AOOs) or Reactivity Insertion Accidents (RIAs), which is generally assumed to occur once the cladding reaches a mechanical strain limit. But there are two features in the typical PCMI failure in an RIA that are not consistent with the PCMI assumptions. The first is the ductile shear failure feature in cross section and the second is a large crack opening post failure (e.g., see OI-11 failure in NSRR program). The ductile feature is indicative of a plastic instability that requires very large local strains, and the large crack opening must be the result of a release of energy, both of which are not expected if stress in the cladding was only driven by thermal expansion in the pellet. It is concluded that there must be a mechanism (likely related to rod internal pressure) that eliminates strain compatibility between the pellet and cladding – allowing strain localization to occur in what are known as PCMI transient failures. In some sense, these PCMI failures may actually be early burst failures that occur when thermal expansion causes uniform strains greater than a defined limit and fission gas pressure eliminate the strain compatibility

Cantonwine, Paul↗

DOE OSTI2016

Using Falcon to develop an RIA PCMI failure criteria

This paper documents the development of failure criteria for both pressurized water reactor (PWR) and boiling water reactor (BWR) fuel rod failure due to pellet cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) during a reactivity insertion accident (RIA). This study was initiated to use cladding mechanical properties using data from separate effects tests to provide a basis to translate nuclear safety research reactor (NSRR) test data to commercial light water reactor conditions. The approach employed for the revised licensing criteria combined elements of experimental results and analytical evaluations to develop a fundamental understanding of fuel behavior during RIA events. The transient behavior of intermediate and high burnup fuel rods using well characterized RIA simulation tests was established. Cladding mechanical properties using data from separate effects tests was also developed. The Zircaloy cladding mechanical properties database of separate effects tests was used to develop the cladding integrity models. The cladding integrity models were then used in combination with the application of the Falcon fuel behavior code to translate NSRR test data to commercial light water reactor conditions. Because of the complex manner in which burnup influences fuel rod failure, it was not possible to develop a fuel rod failure threshold directly from the experimental data. An alternative approach was required that combined analytical modeling and experimental data to develop the PCMI-related contribution to the failure threshold. The analytical approach computed the radial average peak fuel enthalpy required to cause cladding failure by PCMI as a function of hydrogen content. This was accomplished by applying a critical strain energy density (CSED)-based cladding integrity model using data from total and uniform elongation tests of irradiated low-tin Zircaloy-4, ZIRLO, and Zircaloy-2 cladding materials. The CSED was developed as a function of cladding hydrogen content because hydrogen induced embrittlement is a primary effect of burnup. It was found that the failure threshold decreased with hydrogen content due to the increase in PCMI loading as a result of gap closure effects and by the decrease in cladding ductility with hydrogen accumulation. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Determination of Experimental Fuel Rod Parameters using 3D Modelling of PCMI with MPS Defect

An in-reactor experiment is being designed in order to validate the pellet-cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) behavior of the BISON fuel performance code. The experimental parameters for the test rod being placed in the Halden Research Reactor are being determined using BISON simulations. The 3D model includes a missing pellet surface (MPS) defect to generate large local cladding deformations, which should be measureable after typical burnup times. The BISON fuel performance code is being developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and is built on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework. BISON supports both 2D and 3D finite elements and solves the fully coupled equations for solid mechanics, heat conduction and species diffusion. A number of fuel performance effects are included using models for swelling, densification, creep, relocation and fission gas production & release. In addition, the mechanical and thermal contact between the fuel and cladding is explicitly modelled using a master-slave based contact algorithm. In order to accurately predict PCMI effects, the BISON code includes the relevant physics involved and provides a scalable and robust solution procedure. The depth of the proposed MPS defect is being varied in the BISON model to establish an optimum value for the experiment. The experiment will be interrupted approximately every 6 months to measure cladding radial deformation and provide data to validate BISON. The complete rodlet (~20 discrete pellets) is being simulated using a 180° half symmetry 3D model with MPS defects at two axial locations. In addition, annular pellets will be used at the top and bottom of the pellet stack to allow thermocouples within the rod to measure the fuel centerline temperature. Simulation results will be presented to illustrate the expected PCMI behavior and support the chosen experimental design parameters.

BISON↗

DOE OSTI2016

Analysis of Experimental Fuel Rod Parameters using 3D Modelling of PCMI with MPS Defect

An in-reactor experiment is being designed in order to validate the pellet-cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) behavior of the BISON fuel performance code. The experimental parameters for the test rod being placed in the Halden Research Reactor are being determined using BISON simulations. The 3D model includes a missing pellet surface (MPS) defect to generate large local cladding deformations, which should be measureable after typical burnup times. The BISON fuel performance code is being developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and is built on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework. BISON supports both 2D and 3D finite elements and solves the fully coupled equations for solid mechanics, heat conduction and species diffusion. A number of fuel performance effects are included using models for swelling, densification, creep, relocation and fission gas production & release. In addition, the mechanical and thermal contact between the fuel and cladding is explicitly modelled using a master-slave based contact algorithm. In order to accurately predict PCMI effects, the BISON code includes the relevant physics involved and provides a scalable and robust solution procedure. The depth of the proposed MPS defect is being varied in the BISON model to establish an optimum value for the experiment. The experiment will be interrupted approximately every 6 months to measure cladding radial deformation and provide data to validate BISON. The complete rodlet (~20 discrete pellets) is being simulated using a 180° half symmetry 3D model with MPS defects at two axial locations. In addition, annular pellets will be used at the top and bottom of the pellet stack to allow thermocouples within the rod to measure the fuel centerline temperature. Simulation results will be presented to illustrate the expected PCMI behavior and support the chosen experimental design parameters.

BISON↗

DOE OSTI2017

BISON Validation for LOCA and PCMI Behaviour Using Measurements From the Halden Reactor Project

BISON is a finite element-based nuclear fuel performance code that has been under development at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) since 2009. The code is applicable to both steady and transient fuel behavior and has been used to analyze a variety of fuel forms in 1D spherical, 1.5D and 2D axisymmetric, or 3D geometries. Efforts are underway to validate BISON for application to Light Water Reactor fuels using, to a large extent, experimental data from the Halden Reactor Project. Recent validation activities have included both Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA) and Pellet Clad Mechanical Interaction (PCMI) experiments. Two such validation cases, the IFA-650.10 LOCA test and the IFA-629.4 power ramp test (PCMI), are summarized in this paper.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Transient Mechanical Test Development for Accident Tolerant Cladding Candidates to Simulate PCMI-like Conditions

This study investigates the transient mechanical response of accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding candidates to provide information on potential PCMI-induced deformation and failure of candidate cladding materials. The mechanical testing is applied t to Gen-I FeCrAl and triaxially-braided SiC fiber SiC matrix composite materials under loading conditions like the PCMI during a postulated design basis reactivity insertion accident. To achieve the specific loading conditions, a modified burst test instrument with accurate mechanical pulse control has been designed and constructed. The mechanical response of FeCrAl, SiC-SiC composite tubes were compared with the pre-hydrided zirconium alloy cladding. The specimens subjected to mechanical pulses were investigated in a strain-controlled manner deformation.

Cinbiz, Nedim↗

DOE OSTI2016

Verification and Validation of the BISON Fuel Performance Code for PCMI Applications

BISON is a modern finite element-based nuclear fuel performance code that has been under development at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) since 2009. The code is applicable to both steady and transient fuel behavior and has been used to analyze a variety of fuel forms in 1D spherical, 2D axisymmetric, or 3D geometries. A brief overview of BISON’s computational framework, governing equations, and general material and behavioral models is provided. BISON code and solution verification procedures are described. Validation for application to light water reactor (LWR) PCMI problems is assessed by comparing predicted and measured rod diameter following base irradiation and power ramps. Results indicate a tendency to overpredict clad diameter reduction early in life, when clad creepdown dominates, and more significantly overpredict the diameter increase late in life, when fuel expansion controls the mechanical response. Initial rod diameter comparisons have led to consideration of additional separate effects experiments to better understand and predict clad and fuel mechanical behavior. Results from this study are being used to define priorities for ongoing code development and validation activities.

BISON↗

DOE OSTI2017

Modeling 3D PCMI using the Extended Finite Element Method with higher order elements

This report documents the recent development to enable XFEM to work with higher order elements. It also demonstrates the application of higher order (quadratic) elements to both 2D and 3D models of PCMI problems, where discrete fractures in the fuel are represented using XFEM. The modeling results demonstrate the ability of the higher order XFEM to accurately capture the effects of a crack on the response in the vicinity of the intersecting surfaces of cracked fuel and cladding, as well as represent smooth responses in the regions away from the crack.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2012

Assessment of PCMI Simulation Using the Multidimensional Multiphysics BISON Fuel Performance Code

Since 2008, the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has been developing a next-generation nuclear fuel performance code called BISON. BISON is built using INL’s Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment, or MOOSE. MOOSE is a massively parallel, finite element-based framework to solve systems of coupled non-linear partial differential equations using the Jacobian-FreeNewton Krylov (JFNK) method. MOOSE supports the use of complex two- and three-dimensional meshes and uses implicit time integration, which is important for the widely varied time scales in nuclear fuel simulation. MOOSE’s object-oriented architecture minimizes the programming required to add new physics models. BISON has been applied to various nuclear fuel problems to assess the accuracy of its 2D and 3D capabilities. The benchmark results used in this assessment range from simulation results from other fuel performance codes to measurements from well-known and documented reactor experiments. An example of a well-documented experiment used in this assessment is the Third Risø Fission Gas Project, referred to as “Bump Test GE7”, which was performed on rod ZX115. This experiment was chosen because it allows for an evaluation of several aspects of the code, including fully coupled thermo-mechanics, contact, and several nonlinear material models. Bump Test GE7 consists of a base-irradiation period of a full-length rod in the Quad-Cities-1 BWR for nearly 7 years to a burnup of 4.17% FIMA. The base irradiation test is followed by a “bump test” of a sub-section of the original rod. The bump test takes place in the test reactor DR3 at Risø in a water-cooled HP1 rig under BWR conditions where the power level is increased by about 50% over base irradiation levels in the span of several hours. During base irradiation, the axial power profile is flat. During the bump test, the axial power profile changes so that the bottom half of the rod is at approximately 50% higher power than at the base irradiation level, while the power at the top of the rod is at about 20% of the base irradiation power level. 2D BISON simulations of the Bump Test GE7 were run using both discrete and smeared pellet geometry. Comparisons between these calculations and experimental measurements are presented for clad diameter and elongation after the base irradiation and clad profile along the length of the test section after the bump test. Preliminary comparisons between calculations and measurements are favorable, supporting the use of BISON as an accurate multiphysics fuel simulation tool.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2015

Improving the Accuracy of PCMI Simulations with More Realistic Geometry and Material Models

Assessment of fuel performance codes is an endeavour that requires re-evaluation as new simulation capabilities become available. BISON, the finite element-based fuel performance code in development at Idaho National Laboratory, has been used to simulate a variety of experiments. Calculations from these simulations are compared to experimental measurements for the purpose of evaluating the progress of code development. One such experiment, from the Risø 3 Fission Gas Project, provides measurements of fission gas release and clad diameter. A subset of the Risø3 Fission Gas Project, which is referred to here, consisted of a base-irradiation period of a full-length fuel rod in the Quad-Cities-1 BWR. The base irradiation test was followed by a “bump test”, in which a sub-section of the original rod was subjected to a strongly non-uniform axial power profile. The bump test took place in Risø test reactor DR3 in a water-cooled HP1 rig under BWR conditions. This experiment was chosen because it allows for an evaluation of several aspects of BISON, including fully coupled thermo-mechanics, contact, and several nonlinear material models. A summary of simulation results and comparison to the experiment data has been published previously, however, this paper shows new results with recently added features to BISON. These new features include representing the pellets as discrete entities rather than a smeared column, including primary creep in the clad creep model, and the coupling of fuel gaseous swelling to fission gas release. Comparing to previous results, the addition of theses features has narrowed the gap between BISON calculations and experimental measurements for final clad diameter and fission gas release.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2024

International fuel performance study of fresh fuel experiments for PCMI effects during RIA experiments

This paper presents the results of High-burnup Experiments for Reactivity-initiated Accident (HERA) Modeling & Simulation (M&S) exercise. The HERA project under the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) Second Framework for Irradiation Experiments (FIDES-II) program is focused on studying Light Water Reactor (LWR) fuel behavior during Reactivity-Initiated Accident (RIA) conditions. The Part I M&S cases are based on a series of tests in the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility in the United States and the Nuclear Safety Research Reactor (NSRR) in Japan. The purpose of this work is to evaluate the test design to accomplish its goals in establishing clearer understanding of the effects of power pulse width during RIA conditions. Further, the blind predictions using various computational tools have been performed and compared amongst to interpret the behaviors of high burnup fuels during RIA. While many international participants evaluate the thermal–mechanical behavior of fuel rod under different conditions, a considerable scatter of outputs comes out for the cases due to the disparity between codes in predicting mechanical behaviors. In general, however, the results of thermal–mechanical analysis elaborate that nominal design conditions the shorter pulse width tests in NSRR should cause cladding failures while the TREAT tests appear to have more split prediction of failure or not. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis varying key testing parameters reveals the considerable effect of power pulse width and total energy deposition on prediction of fuel rod failure.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Pellet cladding mechanical interaction as a potential failure mechanism during a control rod drop accident in a boiling water reactor

Boiling water reactors (BWRs) represent approximately one-third of the operating fleet in the United States, contributing significantly towards the global effort in reducing carbon emissions. Even though most of the operating fleet has been in operation for quite some time, continued advancements in new nuclear fuel (such as accident tolerant fuel) or operating regimes (such as power up-rates and higher burnup operation) necessitates similar advancements in modeling and simulation capabilities. Bison, a component of the Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA), is a high-fidelity fuel performance code able to explore the fuel performance of a wide variety of fuel types in one-, two-, and three-dimensions. Until recently, the code had not been used for analyses of BWRs. Modeling capabilities have been added for Gd-bearing UO{sub 2} and pure zirconium liners. New models have been added based upon the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) guide-lines for hydrogen pickup in Zircaloy-2 claddings and pellet-clad mechanical interaction (PCMI) failure during a reactivity insertion accident (RIA), known as a rod drop accident (CRDA) in BWRs. Implementing and/or improving Bison modeling capabilities extended its analytical reach to areas beyond its original intended purpose. This paper demonstrates one of these capabilities as a proof of concept. Recently developed models enable Bison to provide an alternate approach for cladding integrity determination in CRDA evaluations, which currently use bounding conservative estimates. As part of this demonstration, NRC guidance on hydrogen-pickup and PCMI failure models were utilized in this research. Even though more research is needed in establishing right inputs and process in this area, this paper demonstrates Bison's ability to determine cladding integrity in a CRDA evaluation. This first of a kind demonstration is a proof of concept in this area, which could potentially be extended to a number of other areas where a more accurate cladding integrity determination would be needed. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

The impact of chromium coatings on Zircaloy cladding deformation behavior under reactivity-initiated accident-like mechanical loading conditions

A reactivity-initiated accident (RIA) occurs when a control rod ejection or control blade drop causes an increase in the fission rate. The injection of energy results in an increase in fuel temperature which in turn causes rapid thermal expansion of the fuel pellet. This thermal expansion may result in pellet-cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) in which the fuel imparts a mechanical strain to the cladding. PCMI may cause the cladding to fail, and thus, the mechanical response of cladding due to PCMI must be investigated when characterizing new cladding materials. Chromium-coated Zircaloy-4 is a near-term accident-tolerant fuel cladding that exhibits improved high-temperature oxidation resistance. Modified burst testing was utilized to experimentally simulate the effects of PCMI on both uncoated and chromium-coated Zircaloy cladding samples at hot zero power conditions. Samples were coated using either cold spraying or physical vapor deposition to understand the differences in behavior that the coating application method may cause. Digital image correlation was used to analyze images of the deforming specimens to extract the in-situ strain behavior of the cladding. The uncoated specimens burst at hoop strains ranging from 8.8 % to 17.2 %. The cold-spray chromium-coated Zircaloy specimens burst at hoop strains of 7.0 % to 11.0 %. The physical vapor deposition coated tubes burst at hoop strains of 9.1 % to 11.5 %. These results indicate that the chromium coating causes a loss in the ductility of the cladding. Furthermore, the higher burst hoop strains of the physical vapor deposition-coated samples relative to the cold-spray samples indicate that the cold-spraying technique causes more of a loss in ductility than physical vapor deposition. All samples burst at higher hoop strains than those expected to occur in an RIA for fresh cladding.

Accident-tolerant fuel↗

DOE OSTI2020

High-burnup Experiments in Reactivity Initiated Accidents (HERA)

HERA is a joint experimental program (JEEP) operating within the Nuclear Energy Agency’s (NEA’s) framework for irradiation experiments (FIDES). HERA is dedicated to the understanding of light water reactor (LWR) fuel performance at high burnup under reactivity-initiated accidents (RIA). During RIAs the fuel cladding can be breached by one of two mechanisms; pellet-cladding mechanical interaction or high temperature balloon and rupture. Pellet-cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) failure occurs in the early phase of an RIA transient where the fuel pellet expands rapidly into the cladding prior to any meaningful heat transfer from the pellet to the cladding. This results in high stresses in the cladding resulting in crack propagation through the base Zircaloy metal and axially along the cladding tube. Failure by PCMI is a brittle failure mode and occurs at low cladding strains, approximately 2% hoop strain. If the cladding survives the PCMI phase of the transient, it may still fail due to ballooning and rupture induced by extended exposure to high temperature. Thermal transport from the fuel pin to the coolant is significantly reduced if a transition to film boiling on the cladding surface occurs. This result in both a rapid increase in fuel temperature, which drives fission gas release, and a spike in cladding temperature, which results in loss of mechanical strength. If the internal pressure of the fuel rod is greater than the system pressure the cladding can inelastically deform and eventually rupture. Failure by swelling and rupture occurs at larger strains, generally greater than 5% hoop strain. While PCMI failures are generally seen as more limiting, the dominance of one failure mode over the other can be affected by both the cladding material conditions, and the transient evolution.

(HERA)↗

DOE OSTI2016

Pellet cladding mechanical interaction modeling using the extended finite element method

Fracturing of light water reactor (LWR) UO{sub 2} pellet has multiple important effects on fuel performance. One particularly important concern is that cracks in the fuel cause elevated stresses in the cladding when pellet cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) occurs. The extended finite element method (XFEM) is a powerful method to represent arbitrary propagating discrete cracks in finite element models. The use of XFEM has been previously demonstrated for modeling propagating discrete cracks in the BISON fuel performance code. This paper demonstrates an initial application of XFEM to model stress concentrations induced by fuel fractures at the fuel/cladding interface during PCMI. This is demonstrated on a study of a pre-defined stationary crack in a 2D cross-section model of a LWR fuel rod. The results from a model with a discrete crack defined with XFEM compare favorably with the results from a model with the same crack geometry defined in the finite element mesh. This study focuses on benchmarking the use of XFEM for PCMI modeling with a stationary crack, but this technique will be readily extended in the future to consider PCMI in conjunction with arbitrary, physics-driven crack propagation. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-burnup Experiments in Reactivity Initiated Accidents (HERA)

HERA is a joint experimental program (JEEP) operating within the Nuclear Energy Agency’s (NEA’s) framework for irradiation experiments (FIDES). HERA is dedicated to the understanding of light water reactor (LWR) fuel performance at high burnup under reactivity-initiated accidents (RIA). During RIAs the fuel cladding can be breached by one of two mechanisms; pellet-cladding mechanical interaction or high temperature balloon and rupture. Pellet-cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) failure occurs in the early phase of an RIA transient where the fuel pellet expands rapidly into the cladding prior to any meaningful heat transfer from the pellet to the cladding. This results in high stresses in the cladding resulting in crack propagation through the base Zircaloy metal and axially along the cladding tube. Failure by PCMI is a brittle failure mode and occurs at low cladding strains, approximately 2% hoop strain. If the cladding survives the PCMI phase of the transient, it may still fail due to ballooning and rupture induced by extended exposure to high temperature. Thermal transport from the fuel pin to the coolant is significantly reduced if a transition to film boiling on the cladding surface occurs. This result in both a rapid increase in fuel temperature, which drives fission gas release, and a spike in cladding temperature, which results in loss of mechanical strength. If the internal pressure of the fuel rod is greater than the system pressure the cladding can inelastically deform and eventually rupture. Failure by swelling and rupture occurs at larger strains, generally greater than 5% hoop strain. While PCMI failures are generally seen as more limiting, the dominance of one failure mode over the other can be affected by both the cladding material conditions, and the transient evolution.

(HERA)↗

DOE OSTI2017

Pellet-clad mechanical interaction screening using VERA applied to Watts Bar Unit 1, Cycles 1–3

The Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) aims to provide high-fidelity multiphysics simulations of light water nuclear reactors. To accomplish this, CASL is developing the Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA), which is a suite of code packages for thermal hydraulics, neutron transport, fuel performance, and coolant chemistry. As VERA continues to grow and expand, there has been an increased focus on incorporating fuel performance analysis methods. One of the primary goals of CASL is to estimate local cladding failure probability through pellet-clad interaction, which consists of both pellet-clad mechanical interaction (PCMI) and stress corrosion cracking. Estimating clad failure is important to preventing release of fission products to the primary system and accurate estimates could prove useful in establishing less conservative power ramp rates or when considering load-follow operations.While this capability is being pursued through several different approaches, the procedure presented in this article focuses on running independent fuel performance calculations with BISON using a file-based one-way coupling based on multicycle output data from high fidelity, pin-resolved coupled neutron transport–thermal hydraulics simulations. This type of approach is consistent with traditional fuel performance analysis methods, which are typically separate from core simulation analyses. A more tightly coupled approach is currently being developed, which is the ultimate target application in CASL.Recent work simulating 12 cycles of Watts Bar Unit 1 with VERA core simulator are capitalized upon, and quarter-core BISON results for parameters of interest to PCMI (maximum centerline fuel temperature, maximum clad hoop stress, and minimum gap size) are presented for Cycles 1–3. In conclusion, based on these results, this capability demonstrates its value and how it could be used as a screening tool for gathering insight into PCMI, singling out limiting rods for further, more detailed analysis.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Fuel performance uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in the presence of epistemic and aleatoric sources of uncertainties

Fuel performance modeling and simulation includes many uncertain parameters from models to boundary conditions, manufacturing parameters and material properties. These parameters exhibit large uncertainties and can have an epistemic or aleatoric nature, something that renders fuel performance code-to-code and code-to-measurements comparisons for complex phenomena such as the pellet cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) very challenging. Additionally, PCMI and other complex phenomena found in fuel performance modeling and simulation induce strong discontinuities and non-linearities that can render difficult to extract meaningful conclusions form uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) studies. In this work, we develop and apply a consistent treatment of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties for both UQ and SA in fuel performance calculations and use historical benchmark-quality measurement data to demonstrate it. More specifically, the developed methodology is applied to the OECD/NEA Multi-physics Pellet Cladding Mechanical Interaction Validation benchmark. A cold ramp test leading to PCMI is modeled. Two measured quantities of interest are considered: the cladding axial elongation during the irradiations and the cladding outer diameter after the cold ramp. The fuel performance code used to perform the simulation is FAST. The developed methodology involves various steps including a Morris screening to decrease the number of uncertain inputs, a nested loop approach for propagating the epistemic and aleatoric sources of uncertainties, and a global SA using Sobol indices. The obtained results indicate that the fuel and cladding thermal conductivities as well as the cladding outer diameter uncertainties are the three inputs having the largest impact on the measured quantities. More importantly, it was found that the epistemic uncertainties can have a significant impact on the measured quantities and can affect the outcome of the global sensitivity analysis.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗