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At least 19 records

NASA analysis of space mission options for the 2025 planetary defense conference hypothetical asteroid impact threat scenario

The 2025 Planetary Defense Conference (PDC) hypothetical asteroid impact threat exercise is being conducted in coordination with the United Nations-endorsed Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG), exercising SMPAG's processes for assessing space mission options and communicating to decision makers. Here, in this paper, we describe the work performed by our NASA-led team and present the results we contributed to the SMPAG effort for the exercise. Our NASA-led team assessed mission options for asteroid reconnaissance (flyby and rendezvous), deflection, and robust disruption using several viable techniques: kinetic impactors, ion beam deflection, and nuclear explosive devices. Our simulations and analyses considered how much change-in-velocity an asteroid can tolerate before fragmentation onset, and we worked towards establishing requirements for robustly disrupting an asteroid. Heuristics informed by the simulation results are incorporated into optimization of deflection and disruption mission campaign options. Finally, we make some observations about useful generalizations from these results with potential applicability to any planetary defense scenario.

Asteroid deflection↗

Tornadoes in Southeast South America: Mesoscale to Planetary-Scale Environments

Abstract A multiscale analysis of the environment supporting tornadoes in southeast South America (SESA) was conducted based on a self-constructed database of 74 reports. Composites of environmental and convective parameters from ERA5 were generated relative to tornado events. The distribution of the reported tornadoes maximizes over the Argentine plains, while events are rare close to the Andes and south of Sierras de Córdoba. Events are relatively common in all seasons except in winter. Proximity environment evolution shows enhanced instability, deep-layer vertical wind shear, storm-relative helicity, reduced convective inhibition, and a lowered lifting condensation level before or during the development of tornadic storms in SESA. No consistent signal in low-level wind shear is seen during tornado occurrence. However, a curved hodograph with counterclockwise rotation is present. The Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) is also maximized prior to tornadogenesis, most strongly associated with enhanced CAPE. Differences in the convective environment between tornadoes in SESA and the U.S. Great Plains are discussed. On the synoptic scale, tornado events are associated with a strong anomalous trough crossing the southern Andes that triggers lee cyclogenesis, subsequently enhancing the South American low-level jet (SALLJ) that increases moisture advection to support deep convection. This synoptic trough also enhances vertical shear that, along with enhanced instability, sustains organized convection capable of producing tornadic storms. At planetary scales, the tornadic environment is modulated by Rossby wave trains that appear to be forced by convection near northern Australia. Madden–Julian oscillation phase 3 preferentially occurs 1–2 weeks ahead of tornado occurrence. Significance Statement The main goal of this study is to describe what atmospheric conditions (from local to global scales) are present prior to and during tornadic storms impacting southeast South America (SESA). Increasing potential for deep convection, wind shear, and potential for rotating updrafts, as well as reducing convective inhibition and cloud-base height, are predominant a few hours before and during the events in connection to low-level northerly winds enhancing moisture transport to the region. Remote convective activity near northern Australia appears to influence large-scale atmospheric circulation that subsequently triggers convective storms supporting tornadogenesis 1–2 weeks later in SESA. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for atmospheric processes occurring at different scales to understand and predict tornado occurrences.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Primary Velocity and Orbital Phase Effects on Planetary Detectability from Small Epoch Number Data Sets

Cross-correlation analyses of high-resolution spectroscopic data have recently shown great success in directly detecting planetary signals and enabling the characterization of their atmospheres. One such technique aims to observe a system at multiple epochs and combine the measured planetary radial velocities from each epoch into a measurement of the planetary Keplerian orbital velocity K {sub p}, constituting a direct detection of the planetary signal. Recent work has shown that in few-epoch (∼5) data sets, unintended structure can arise at a high level, obscuring the planetary detection. In this work, we look to simulations to examine whether there are ways to reduce this structured noise in few-epoch data sets by careful planning of observations. The choice of observation date allows observers to select the primary (stellar) velocity through a set systemic velocity and chosen barycentric velocity and the planetary orbital phase so we focus on the effects of these two parameters. We find that epochs taken when the primary velocity is near zero and the stellar lines remain relatively fixed to the telluric rest-frame greatly reduce the level of structured noise and allow for much stronger planetary detections, on average more than twice the significance of detections made with epochs using randomly selected primary velocities. Following these results, we recommend that observers looking to build up high-resolution multi-epoch data sets target nights when their system has a near-zero primary velocity.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A Lattice Boltzmann Scheme for Polarized Radiative Transfer in Planetary Atmospheres

Quantitative calculation of reflected polarized light from planets is of great significance to interpret the polarimetric observations of planetary atmospheres. In this work, we propose a lattice Boltzmann (LB) scheme for polarized radiative transfer in planetary atmospheres. The LB scheme obtains the Stokes vector through the vector LB equation performing simple collision and streaming processes. The vector radiative transfer equation is rigorously derived from the vector LB equation via the Maxwell iteration technique. Polarized radiative transfer of a single point on the planetary surface with Rayleigh and Mie scattering atmospheres are first accurately solved by our LB scheme. Afterward, we systematically investigate the disk-integrated polarization of finite and semi-infinite, conservative and nonconservative Rayleigh scattering planetary atmospheres. The disk-integrated phase curves of the Stokes parameters and degree of polarization and spherical and geometric albedos are produced, which are in good agreement with the benchmark results for different cases. The numerical results indicate that our LB scheme is efficient and accurate for polarized radiative transfer in planetary atmospheres. Our LB scheme is expected to provide a competitive numerical tool to interpret the polarimetric observations of planetary atmospheres.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Non-traditional stable isotope measurements using laser desorption Orbitrap mass spectrometry: Implications for planetary missions.

Isotopic fractionation recorded in planetary materials provides insights into physical, chemical, and/or potential biological processes occurring on Solar System bodies. As we enter into the next decades of planetary exploration, the crucial information revealed by isotopic compositions of rocky and icy samples mandates that next generation spaceflight instrumentation possess the capability to measure isotope ratios in situ with sufficient precision/accuracy to distinguish between such processes. Here, in addition to identifying and fingerprinting complex organic materials with high accuracy and ultrahigh mass resolutions, laser desorption Orbitrap™ mass spectrometry (LD-O-MS) has the capability to determine the elemental and isotopic composition of solid planetary materials such as rock, regolith, organics, ice, etc. Here, we use a space-qualified LD-O-MS instrument comprising a 266 nm ultraviolet (UV) laser and Orbitrap mass analyzer ruggedized for planetary applications to investigate the stable isotopic composition of Ti and Zn metal plates. Based on the isotopic analyses, we constrain the performance of the CORALS instrument to sub per mille (‰) level accuracy and precision for Ti and at the per mille (‰) level for Zn. An LD-O-MS instrument is a versatile instrument capable of measuring isotopic composition of a variety of planetary samples and would constitute a critical instrument in the exploration of various planetary bodies including but not limited to Moon, Mars, Enceladus and other ocean or icy worlds, Ceres and other asteroids, and comets, thereby answering several high-priority questions pertaining to the formation and evolution of our Solar System.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The effect of core composition on iron isotope fractionation between planetary cores and mantles

We have conducted high-pressure, high-temperature isotope exchange experiments between molten silicate and molten Fe–Si–C-alloys to constrain the effect of Si on equilibrium Fe isotope fractionation during planetary core formation. The values of Δ 57 Fe Metal-Silicate at 1850 °C and 1 GPa determined by high-resolution MC-ICP-MS in this study range from -0.013 ± 0.054‰ (2SE) to 0.072 ± 0.085‰ with 1.34–8.14 atom % Si in the alloy, respectively. These results, although not definitive on their own, are consistent with previous experimental results from our group and a model in which elements that substitute for Fe atoms in the alloy structure (i.e., Ni, S, and Si) induce a fractionation of Fe isotopes between molten silicate and molten Fe-alloys during planetary differentiation. Using in situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction data for molten Fe-rich alloys from the literature, we propose a model to explain this fractionation behavior in which impurity elements in Fe-alloys cause the nearest neighbor atomic distances to shorten, thereby stiffening metallic bonds and increasing the preference of the alloy for heavy Fe isotopes relative to the silicate melt. This fractionation results in the bulk silicate mantles of the smaller terrestrial planets and asteroids becoming isotopically light relative to chondrites, with an enrichment of heavy Fe isotopes in their cores, consistent with magmatic iron meteorite compositions. Our model predicts a bulk silicate mantle $δ^{57}$Fe ranging from -0.01‰ to -0.12‰ for the Moon, -0.06‰ to -0.33‰ for Mars, and -0.08‰ to -0.33‰ for Vesta. Independent estimates of the $δ^{57}$Fe of primitive mantle source regions that account for Fe isotope fractionation during partial melting agree well with these ranges for all three planetary bodies and suggest that Mars and Vesta have cores with impurity (i.e., Ni, S, Si) abundances near the low end of published ranges. Therefore, we favor a model in which core formation results in isotopically light bulk silicate mantles for the Moon, Mars, and Vesta. The processes of magma ocean crystallization, mantle partial melting, and fractional crystallization of mantle-derived melts are all likely to result in heavy Fe isotope enrichment in the melt phase, which can explain why basaltic samples from these planetary bodies have variable Fe values consistently heavier than our bulk mantle estimates. Additionally, we find no clear evidence that Fe isotopes were fractionated to a detectable level by volatile depletion processes during or after planetary accretion, although it cannot be ruled out.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Cloud Atlas: High-contrast Time-resolved Observations of Planetary-mass Companions

Directly imaged planetary-mass companions offer unique opportunities in atmospheric studies of exoplanets. They share characteristics of both brown dwarfs and transiting exoplanets, and therefore are critical for connecting atmospheric characterizations for these objects. Rotational phase mapping is a powerful technique to constrain the condensate cloud properties in ultra-cool atmospheres. Applying this technique to directly imaged planetary-mass companions will be extremely valuable for constraining cloud models in low mass and surface-gravity atmospheres and for determining the rotation rate and angular momentum of substellar companions. Here, we present Hubble Space Telescope Wide Field Camera 3 near-infrared time-resolved photometry for three planetary-mass companions, AB Pic B, 2M0122B, and 2M1207b. Using two-roll differential imaging and hybrid point-spread function modeling, we achieve sub-percent photometric precision for all three observations. We find tentative modulations (<2σ) for AB Pic B and 2M0122B, but cannot reach conclusive results on 2M1207b due to strong systematics. The relatively low significance of the modulation measurements cannot rule out the hypothesis that these planetary-mass companions have the same vertical cloud structures as brown dwarfs. Our rotation rate measurements, combined with archival period measurements of planetary-mass companions and brown dwarfs, do not support a universal mass-rotation relation. The high precision of our observations and the high occurrence rates of variable low-surface-gravity objects encourage high-contrast time-resolved observations with the James Webb Space Telescope.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

OGLE-2018-BLG-0567Lb and OGLE-2018-BLG-0962Lb: Two Microlensing Planets through the Planetary-caustic Channel

We present the analyses of two microlensing events, OGLE-2018-BLG-0567 and OGLE-2018-BLG-0962. In both events, the short-lasting anomalies were densely and continuously covered by two high-cadence surveys. The light-curve modeling indicates that the anomalies are generated by source crossings over the planetary caustics induced by planetary companions to the hosts. The estimated planet/host separation (scaled to the angular Einstein radius θ {sub E}) and mass ratio are (s, q × 10{sup 3}) = (1.81 ± 0.02, 1.24 ± 0.07) and (s, q × 10{sup 3}) = (1.25 ± 0.03, 2.38 ± 0.08), respectively. From Bayesian analyses, we estimate the host and planet masses as (M{sub h},M{sub p})=(0.25{sub −0.13}{sup +0.27} M{sub ⊙},0.32{sub −0.17}{sup +0.34} M{sub J}) and (M{sub h},M{sub p})=(0.54{sub −0.28}{sup +0.33} M{sub ⊙},1.34{sub −0.70}{sup +0.82} M{sub J}), respectively. These planetary systems are located at a distance of 7.06{sub −1.15}{sup +0.93} kpc for OGLE-2018-BLG-0567 and 6.50{sub −1.75}{sup +1.06} kpc for OGLE-2018-BLG-0962, suggesting that they are likely to be near the Galactic bulge. The two events prove the capability of current high-cadence surveys for finding planets through the planetary-caustic channel. We find that most published planetary-caustic planets are found in Hollywood events in which the source size strongly contributes to the anomaly cross-section relative to the size of the caustic.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Planetary Spin and Obliquity from Mergers

In planetary systems with sufficiently small inter-planet spacing, close encounters can lead to planetary collisions/mergers or ejections. Here, we study the spin property of the merger products of two giant planets in a statistical manner using numerical simulations and analytical modeling. Planetary collisions lead to rapidly rotating objects and a broad range of obliquities. We find that, under typical conditions for two-planet scatterings, the distributions of spin magnitude S and obliquity ${\theta }_{\mathrm{SL}}$ of the merger products have simple analytical forms: f S ∝ S and ${f}_{\cos {\theta }_{\mathrm{SL}}}\propto {(1-{\cos }^{2}{\theta }_{\mathrm{SL}})}^{-1/2}$. Through parameter studies, we determine the regime of validity for the analytical distributions of spin and obliquity. Since planetary mergers are a major outcome of planet–planet scatterings, observational search for the spin/obliquity signatures of exoplanets would provide important constraints on the dynamical history of planetary systems.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Eighth Annual Conference of inVIVO Planetary Health: From Challenges to Opportunities

inVIVO Planetary Health (inVIVO) is a progressive scientific movement providing evidence, advocacy, and inspiration to align the interests and vitality of people, place, and planet. Our goal is to transform personal and planetary health through awareness, attitudes, and actions, and a deeper understanding of how all systems are interconnected and interdependent. Here, we present the abstracts and proceedings of our 8th annual conference, held in Detroit, Michigan in May 2019, themed “From Challenges, to Opportunities”. Our far-ranging discussions addressed the complex interdependent ecological challenges of advancing global urbanization, including the biopsychosocial interactions in our living environment on physical, mental, and spiritual wellbeing, together with the wider community and societal factors that govern these. We had a strong solutions focus, with diverse strategies spanning from urban-greening and renewal, nature-relatedness, nutritional ecology, planetary diets, and microbiome rewilding, through to initiatives for promoting resilience, positive emotional assets, traditional cultural narratives, creativity, art projects for personal and community health, and exploring ways of positively shifting mindsets and value systems. Our cross-sectoral agenda underscored the importance and global impact of local initiatives everywhere by contributing to new normative values as part of a global interconnected grass-roots movement for planetary health.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Achievement of the Planetary Defense Investigations of the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) Mission

NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission was the first to demonstrate asteroid deflection, and the mission's Level 1 requirements guided its planetary defense investigations. Here, we summarize DART's achievement of those requirements. On 2022 September 26, the DART spacecraft impacted Dimorphos, the secondary member of the Didymos near-Earth asteroid binary system, demonstrating an autonomously navigated kinetic impact into an asteroid with limited prior knowledge for planetary defense. Months of subsequent Earth-based observations showed that the binary orbital period was changed by –33.24 minutes, with two independent analysis methods each reporting a 1 σ uncertainty of 1.4 s. Dynamical models determined that the momentum enhancement factor, β , resulting from DART's kinetic impact test is between 2.4 and 4.9, depending on the mass of Dimorphos, which remains the largest source of uncertainty. Over five dozen telescopes across the globe and in space, along with the Light Italian CubeSat for Imaging of Asteroids, have contributed to DART's investigations. These combined investigations have addressed topics related to the ejecta, dynamics, impact event, and properties of both asteroids in the binary system. A year following DART's successful impact into Dimorphos, the mission has achieved its planetary defense requirements, although work to further understand DART's kinetic impact test and the Didymos system will continue. In particular, ESA's Hera mission is planned to perform extensive measurements in 2027 during its rendezvous with the Didymos–Dimorphos system, building on DART to advance our knowledge and continue the ongoing international collaboration for planetary defense.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Los Alamos Scientists Support Planetary Defense Efforts Worldwide

Every two years the International Academy of Astronautics brings scientists, engineers, spacecraft developers, disaster specialists, and government officials together to share research and ideas, and to consider how to find, and ultimately deflect or destroy, an asteroid that might be threatening Earth. Attending these Planetary Defense Conferences are scientists from Los Alamos National Laboratory who contribute considerable expertise in the areas of computer modeling and asteroid mitigation technologies. Los Alamos scientists work with NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office to assist in the location and tracking near-Earth objects, characterization of those objects to determine their orbit trajectory, size, shape, mass, composition, rotational dynamics and other parameters, and planning and implementation of measures to deflect or disrupt an object on an impact course, along with measures that can be taken on Earth to protect lives and property include evacuation of the impact area and movement of critical infrastructure. At the Planetary Defense Conferences scientists share research findings, collaborate on planetary defense strategies, and work on hypothetical scenarios that consider the many timelines and options that might occur during an asteroid threat. To be sure, that threat is rare, but these emergency exercises provide officials with valuable information that may one day protect us all during the real thing.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

SiO 2 –SiC Mixtures at High Pressures and Temperatures: Implications for Planetary Bodies Containing SiC

We present results from high–pressure and high–temperature experiments on mixtures of SiC and SiO 2 to explore the stability of SiC in the presence of oxygen–rich silicates at planetary mantle conditions. We observe no evidence of the ambient pressure predicted oxidation products, CO or SiO, resulting from oxidation reactions between SiC and SiO 2 at pressures up to ~40 GPa and temperatures up to ~2500 K. We observe the decomposition of SiC through releasing C, resulting in vacancies in the SiC lattice and consequently the contracted SiC ambient volume V0 observed in the heated regions of sample. The decomposition is further supported by the observations of diamond formation and the expanded SiO 2 V0 in the heated regions of samples indicating the incorporation of C into SiO2 stishovite. We provide a new interpretation of SiC decomposition on laboratory timescales, in which kinetics prevent the reaction from reaching equilibrium. We consider how the equilibrium decomposition reaction of SiC will influence the differentiation of a SiC–containing body on planetary timescales and find that the decomposition products may become isolated during early planetary differentiation. Here, the resulting presence of elemental Si and C within a planetary body may have important consequences for the compositions of the mantles and atmospheres of such planets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Asteroseismic Determination of the Stellar Rotation Period of the Kepler Transiting Planetary Systems and its Implications for the Spin–Orbit Architecture

We measure the rotation periods of 19 stars in the Kepler transiting planetary systems, P {sub rot,astero} from asteroseismology and P {sub rot,phot} from the photometric variation of their light curves. Two stars exhibit two clear peaks in the Lomb–Scargle periodogram, neither of which agrees with the seismic rotation period. Other four systems do not show any clear peak, whose stellar rotation period is impossible to estimate reliably from the photometric variation; their stellar equators may be significantly inclined with respect to the planetary orbital plane. For the remaining 13 systems, P {sub rot,astero} and P{sub rot,phot} agree within 30%. Interestingly, 3 out of the 13 systems are in the spin–orbit resonant state in which P{sub orb,b}/P{sub rot,astero}≈1 with P {sub orb,b} being the orbital period of the innermost planet of each system. The corresponding chance probability is (0.2–4.7)% based on the photometric rotation period data for 464 Kepler transiting planetary systems. While further analysis of stars with reliable rotation periods is required to examine the statistical significance, the spin–orbit resonance between the star and planets, if confirmed, has important implications for the star–planet tidal interaction, in addition to the origin of the spin–orbit (mis-)alignment of transiting planetary systems.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Dark Planets of the WASP-47 Planetary System

Exoplanet discoveries have demonstrated a vast range of planetary system architectures. The demographic of compact planetary systems are especially interesting from the perspective of planetary formation and the evolution of orbital dynamics. Another interesting demographic is that of giant planets in eccentric orbits, since these planets have likely had a dynamical history involving planet–planet scattering events. The WASP-47 system is particularly fascinating since it combines these two demographics, having both compact planetary orbits and a giant planet on an eccentric orbit within the system the habitable zone. Here we provide an analysis of the WASP-47 system from the perspective of atmospheric detection and characterization. We discuss the system architecture and the potential for additional long-period planets. We simulate expected phase variations as a function of planet orbital phase for the system due to the combined effect of the planets. We present an analysis of precision photometry of WASP-47 from the K2 mission, phased on each of the planets. The analysis rules out the detection of phase signatures for the two inner-most planets, enabling constraints upon their albedos and atmospheric properties. Our study concludes that WASP-47b is an example of a “dark” planet with a tentative geometric albedo of 0.016 and a 1σ upper limit of 0.17. The WASP-47e data are consistent with a broad range of albedos, but also show early evidence of having a relatively low albedo. The growing number of dark, short-period giant planets provide the framework of an ideal sample for studying low albedo dependence on atmospheric composition.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Systematic KMTNet Planetary Anomaly Search. I. OGLE-2019-BLG-1053Lb, a Buried Terrestrial Planet

In order to exhume the buried signatures of “missing planetary caustics” in Korea Microlensing Telescope Network (KMTNet) data, we conducted a systematic anomaly search of the residuals from point-source point-lens fits, based on a modified version of the KMTNet EventFinder algorithm. This search revealed the lowest-mass-ratio planetary caustic to date in the microlensing event OGLE-2019-BLG-1053, for which the planetary signal had not been noticed before. The planetary system has a planet–host mass ratio of q = (1.25 ± 0.13) × 10{sup -5}. A Bayesian analysis yielded estimates of the mass of the host star, M{sub host}=0.61{sub -0.24}{sup +0.29} M{sub ⊙}, the mass of its planet, M{sub planet}=2.48{sub -0.98}{sup +1.19} M{sub ⊕}, the projected planet–host separation, a{sub ⊥}=3.4{sub -0.5}{sup +0.5} au, and the lens distance, D{sub L}=6.8{sub -0.9}{sup +0.6} kpc. The discovery of this very-low-mass-ratio planet illustrates the utility of our method and opens a new window for a large and homogeneous sample to study the microlensing planet–host mass ratio function down to q ~ 10{sup -5}.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗