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At least 19 records

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DOE OSTI2026

Re-evaluating probable maximum precipitation estimates: sensitivity to transposition domains and storm rotation using modern datasets

This study examines the sensitivity of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) estimates to key methodological decisions embedded in the legacy approach adopted in the U.S. National Weather Service Hydrometeorological Reports No. 51 and No. 52. Although widely used for infrastructure design and risk regulation, fundamental aspects of PMP estimation—such as storm sample size, transposition domain, maximization procedures, and storm rotation—remain poorly constrained and lack formal guidance. Using the Red Rock watershed in Iowa as a case study, and leveraging the 2002–2023 NOAA Analysis of Record for Calibration (AORC) precipitation dataset, we systematically evaluate how each methodological choice, individually and in combination, influences PMP estimates. Our findings demonstrate that PMP is not a fixed physical upper bound but rather a modeling construct shaped heavily by user-defined assumptions. Notably, PMP values derived from modern gridded rainfall datasets can be substantially higher than the legacy estimate used in the original spillway design for Red Rock Dam. Decisions regarding storm sample size, domain extent, climatological window, and particularly storm rotation all contributed to higher PMP estimates. Storm rotation alone—a loosely constrained element in the current PMP practice—can amplify PMP by more than 25%. These results reveal the lack of standardized bounds in current PMP workflows and the need for systematic sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. As PMP estimation shifts toward probabilistic approaches, incorporating physically meaningful storm attributes will be key to developing more transparent, defensible methods for dam safety and climate-resilient infrastructure.

Probable maximum precipitation↗

DOE OSTI2025

Re-evaluating the prompt fission neutron spectrum of spontaneously fissioning 252 Cf

The prompt fission neutron spectrum (PFNS) of spontaneously fissioning 252 Cf is a Neutron Data Standards observable. Nearly all fission spectra of actinides were measured relative to it, using efficiencies derived from it, or analyzed with simulations validated by it. The current Standards evaluation was published by W. Mannhart in 1987. It could not be updated because the evaluation input, experimental mean values and covariances, were lost. First, we attempt to reproduce it. However, Mannhart’s evaluation can only be reproduced within its one-σ uncertainties as some of its aspects (e.g., experimental covariances, rejected data points) remain unknown. Therefore, a new evaluation is presented: We revisit all existing experimental 252 Cf(sf) PFNS data, including those published after the release of the current Standards evaluation, and re-estimate associated covariances. The newly evaluated 252 Cf(sf) PFNS differs distinctly from Mannhart’s below 300 keV and extends it to lower and higher outgoing neutron energies (500 eV–25 MeV). The new evaluated uncertainties are larger from 3–9 MeV and smaller otherwise. Spectrum averaged cross sections of importance to the International Reactor Dosimetry and Fusion File community calculated with the new spectrum are close to those calculated with Mannhart’s evaluation and agree with experimental values well within their uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Re-Evaluating Virtual Reality Manipulation Techniques for Precise Alignment of Complex 3D Objects

Prior research has developed a number of manipulation techniques that can achieve precise object placement in virtual reality, but studies of these techniques typically use simple objects. We conducted a study comparing two existing techniques, (AMP-IT and WISDOM), during alignment of objects with complex geometry to evaluate the potential influence of geometric complexity on performance, usability, workload and preference. Our findings indicate that participants had faster completion times and higher trial completion rates with AMP-IT on high-precision alignment tasks, contrary to earlier findings that used simple objects. Yet WISDOM is still preferred and considered more usable, despite increased workload and poorer performance, exposing participants' willingness to trade objective performance for comfort during use.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Wetland Re-Evaluation and Delineation Report for the Los Alamos National Laboratories Wetlands Project, Los Alamos County, New Mexico

In March of 2005, the Department of Energy (DOE), National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), Los Alamos Site office (LASO) requested the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Albuquerque District (USACE) to identify and delineate wetlands at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The results of this study were intended to support the preparation of the Supplemental Site-Wide Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) and various mitigative measures that would become part of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) compliance process for LANL. The term “wetland” will be used throughout the report to refer to the potential wetlands listed in Table 1. Many of these potential "wetlands” were not determined to be wetlands based on 2025 data.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Constraining the impact of chlorine as a neutron absorber in next-gen fast reactor designs

The role of chlorine as a neutron poison and as a seed for producing radioactive waste in nuclear systems has driven a renewed interest to improve its nuclear data uncertainties. Additionally, basic and applied science programs that use CLYC (Cs 2 LiYCl 6 :Ce) detectors for neutron spectroscopy and monitoring are also very sensitive to any change in chlorine nuclear data for simulations of the detector response. In this work, sensitivities relevant for these different applications are addressed through simulations of the efficiency of CLYC detectors in a fast fission spectrum when applying new chlorine nuclear data as input. These simulations are validated by an experimental measurement using CLYC detectors coupled to an ionization chamber loaded with a 252 Cf spontaneous fission source. The results are then used to obtain the first reliable direct measurement of the 35 Cl(n,p 0 ) and summed Cl(n,p+n,α) fission spectrum average cross sections, found to be 54.7(32) and 105.0(98) mb, respectively. The results are within uncertainty of calculated fission spectrum averaged cross sections based on recently re-evaluated chlorine nuclear data, which confirm recent impact studies performed for the Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment. Meanwhile, there currently exists only one published criticality benchmark experiment that is sufficiently sensitive to chlorine nuclear data. Discrepancies are found with this set of criticality safety benchmarks, which are more sensitive to thermal and epithermal neutron energies than the energies, above 100 keV, tested in this current work. Hence, there is still a need to re-evaluate the chlorine nuclear data at lower energies to assess these discrepancies. Interpretation of the data from future “faster” criticality benchmarks, which are needed for next-gen fast reactor designs, benefit from the improved constraints on the chlorine nuclear data validated in this work.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Graph-based Reversible Evaluation and Tangents Library

GRETL is a C++ library for evaluation, re-evaluation and algorithmic differentiation of functional operations on an arbitrary computational graph with limited memory usage. Similar to popular machine learning frameworks in Python, like PyTorch and JAX, it tracks and stores both operations and output data as functions are evaluated. Once this composition of functions is built up, the entire chain of operations can be back propagated to compute sensitivities of the final result with respect to any number of inputs. In contrast to most machine learning applications, memory usage becomes the bottleneck for back propagation in many physics applications, especially for time-dependent PDEs. Dynamic check pointing becomes essential. An important distinguishing feature of GRETL is its ability to limit the maximum memory usage by automatically dynamic checkpointing the data output for each graph operation (see Wang, Moin, Iaccarino, 2009). During backpropagation, parts of the graph that are no longer in memory are automatically re-evaluated from upstream checkpointed states as needed for derivative sensitivity calculations (or more precisely, for vector-Jacobian products). GRETL is particularly beneficial for applications, such as coupled multi-physics, where deriving adjoint-based sensitivities and managing checkpoint memory across modules becomes onerous. Cases which can be readily handled by the GRETL library include: different time-integration algorithms per physics (e.g., coupled predictor-corrector algorithms, IMEX, etc.), sub-cycling, asynchronous integrators, state dependent timestep sizes, iterative solvers and coupling algorithms, controller algorithms, and more.

Tupek, MichaelR [Lawrence Livermore National Labor↗

DOE OSTI2026

L$_{μ}$ − L$_{τ}$ gauge bosons in beam dumps and supernovae

We study the phenomenology of a sub-GeV L$_{μ}$ − L$_{τ}$ gauge boson. We find discrepancies with existing literature in sensitivity projections for the upcoming SHiP experiment and in the treatment of supernovae cooling constraints. We present a quantitative analysis of different production modes in beam dumps and compare our results to previous work. In the context of supernovae, we re-evaluate the standard supernova cooling bounds from SN1987A and analyze additional supernova-based probes: diffusive cooling, constraints from the existence of low-energy supernovae, and the absence of a high-energy neutrino signal from SN1987A.

Blinov, Nikita [York U., Canada] (ORCID:0000000228↗

DOE OSTI2025

Atom-at-a-Time Radioactive Molecule Identification: Looking toward Studies of Superheavy Elements

The chemical behavior of superheavy elements (SHEs, Z > 103) remains poorly understood. Their chemical properties are expected to deviate from established trends, challenging the predictive power of the periodic table. To investigate these elements experimentally, they must first be synthesized through nuclear reactions and then quickly subjected to chemical studies before they decay. Given the low production rates of these reactions and the need for measurements on an atom-at-a-time basis, innovative techniques are needed. Here, to address these challenges, a novel gas-phase chemistry method has been developed at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, utilizing the Berkeley Gas-filled Separator and FIONA. This technique enables the production, identification, and study of molecular species formed by SHEs. As a proof of concept, we present measurements on the formation and identification of 151,152 HoO + molecules, demonstrating the capability to study the production of radioactive molecules under controlled conditions and directly identify them via their mass-to-charge ratio. These measurements validate the effectiveness of this technique for low-statistics SHE studies, highlighting the potential of this approach to ignite the next generation of experimental SHE chemistry research, offering a path to re-evaluate SHE placement on the periodic table.

Chemistry↗

DOE OSTI2025

Imaging solvated oxygen atoms with a femtosecond laser

As a powerful oxidant, atomic oxygen (O) holds considerable promise for a variety of biomedical and industrial applications. However, the inability to quantify solvated oxygen atoms has prevented the determination of the fundamental parameters governing its behaviour in relevant aqueous environments. Here, we directly image ground-state oxygen atoms in water using femtosecond two-photon absorption laser-induced fluorescence. Measurements show that oxygen atoms persist for tens of microseconds in water, penetrating hundreds of micrometres into the liquid. This observed longevity has significant implications, suggesting a need to re-evaluate existing models of solvated atomic oxygen reactivity and transport. Beyond atomic oxygen, this technique is broadly applicable to other solvated atomic species of interest, including nitrogen (N) and hydrogen (H). This work establishes that radical atomic species can be quantified in liquid with ultrafast laser spectroscopy, providing the basis for the determination of key properties including reaction rates, chemical lifetimes, and Henry’s law constants.

Fluorescence spectroscopy↗

DOE OSTI2025

Impact of T - and ρ -dependent decay rates and new (n, γ ) cross-sections on the s process in low-mass asymptotic giant branch stars

Aims. We study the impact of nuclear input related to weak-decay rates and neutron-capture reactions on predictions for the slow neutron-capture process (s process) in asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars. We provide the first database of surface abundances and stellar yields of the isotopes heavier than iron from the Monash models. Methods. We ran nucleosynthesis calculations with the Monash post-processing code for seven stellar structure evolution models of low-mass AGB stars with three different sets of nuclear inputs. The reference set has constant decay rates and represents the set used in the previous Monash publications. The second set contains the temperature and density dependence of β decays and electron captures based on the default rates of nuclear NETwork GENerator (NETGEN). In the third set, we further update 92 neutron-capture rates based on re-evaluated experimental cross sections from the ASTrophysical Rate and rAw data Library. We compare and discuss the predictions of the sets relative to each other in terms of isotopic surface abundances and total stellar yields. We also compare the results to isotopic ratios measured in presolar stardust silicon carbide (SiC) grains from AGB stars. Results. The new sets of models result in a ∼66% solar s-process contribution to the p-nucleus 152 Gd, confirming that this isotope is predominantly made by the s process. The nuclear input updates result in predictions for the 80 Kr/ 82 Kr ratio in the He intershell and surface 64 Ni/ 58 Ni, 94 Mo/ 96 Mo, and 137 Ba/ 136 Ba ratios that are more consistent with the corresponding ratios measured in stardust; however, the new predicted 138 Ba/ 136 Ba ratios are higher than the typical values of the SiC grains. The W isotopic anomalies are in agreement with data from the analyses of other meteoritic inclusions. We confirm that the production of 176 Lu and 205 Pb is affected by too large uncertainties in their decay rates from NETGEN.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

How transparent is graphene? A surface science perspective on remote epitaxy

Remote epitaxy is the synthesis of a single crystalline film on a graphene-covered substrate, where the film adopts epitaxial registry to the substrate as if the graphene is transparent. Despite many exciting applications for flexible electronics, strain engineering, and heterogeneous integration, an understanding of the fundamental synthesis mechanisms remains elusive. Here we offer a perspective on the synthesis mechanisms, focusing on the foundational assumption of graphene transparency. We identify challenges for quantifying the strength of the remote substrate potential that permeates through graphene, and propose Fourier and beating analysis as a bias-free method for decomposing the lattice potential contributions from the substrate, from graphene, and from surface reconstructions, each at different frequencies. We highlight the importance of graphene-induced reconstructions on epitaxial templating, drawing comparison to moiré epitaxy. We highlight the role of the remote potential in tuning surface diffusion and adatom kinetics on graphene, which are crucial for navigating the competition between remote epitaxy and defect-seeded mechanisms like pinhole epitaxy. In light of this weak remote potential, we re-evaluate the current state-of-the-art experimental evidence, highlighting why it remains challenging to experimentally validate a ‘remote’ epitaxy mechanism that cannot be explained by alternatives, such as pinhole-seeded epitaxy or serial van der Waals epitaxy. We end with one experimental example that, to out knowledge, cannot be explained by competing mechanisms: a different long-range epitaxial relationship for GdPtSb films grown on graphene/sapphire, compared to direct epitaxy on sapphire. We suggest for future experiments that directly measure the remote potential and impact of tuneable growth kinetics.

epitaxy↗

DOE OSTI2025

ReVise: A Human-AI Interface for Incremental Algorithmic Recourse

The recent adoption of artificial intelligence in socio-technical systems raises concerns about the black-box nature of the resulting decisions in fields such as hiring, finance, admissions, etc. If data subjects—such as job applicants, loan applicants, and students—receive an unfavorable outcome, they may be interested in algorithmic recourse, which involves updating certain features to yield a more favorable result when re-evaluated by algorithmic decision-making. Unfortunately, when individuals do not fully understand the incremental steps needed to change their circumstances, they risk following misguided paths that can lead to significant, long-term adverse consequences. Existing recourse approaches focus exclusively on the final recourse goal but neglect the possible incremental steps to reach the goal with real-life constraints, user preferences, and model artifacts. To address this gap, we formulate a visual analytic workflow for incremental recourse planning in collaboration with AI/ML experts and contribute an interactive visualization interface that helps data subjects efficiently navigate the recourse alternatives and make an informed decision. We also present one of the many usage scenarios, developed during exploratory feedback sessions with twelve graduate students using a real-world dataset, which demonstrates that our approach can be instrumental for data subjects in choosing a suitable recourse path.

algorithmic recourse↗

DOE OSTI2026

From Bricks to Clicks: Mapping the White Space in Building Innovation

It is a critical national imperative to transform the buildings sector, yet innovation is impeded by deployment failures that leave promising technologies stranded. Conventional market reports and techno-economic analysis provide an insufficient understanding of markets and resource allocation for emerging building technologies. They omit crucial commercialization factors such as ecosystem maturity and adoption friction, where the coordinated participation of a network of suppliers, contractors, financiers, regulators, and integrators is required to scale solutions. This study addresses these gaps by introducing an evaluation framework grounded in front-line data from six years of the DOE's IMPEL incubator, comprising experience from 300 building-sector innovators and the adjacent, complex ecosystem. Our methodology synthesizes top-down market analysis with bottom-up, practitioner-level data across five megatrends: (M1) Affordable materials and industrialized construction; (M2) Healthy and efficient mechanical systems; (M3) Intelligent building operations; (M4) Buildings as grid assets; and (M5) High-density power and cooling for data centers and therein identify twelve "white space" technology opportunities. Next, we develop a multi-criteria scoring rubric to rank these opportunities based on parameters, i.e., Affordability, Quality of Life, Reliability, and Security, yielding composite ‘Demand’ and ‘Maturity’ indices. Our results indicate that the most significant white spaces may not be incremental products but a new class of ‘Ecosystem Enablers’, such as logistics platforms, orchestration layers, and automated compliance software that solve structural deployment gaps. This paper summarizes this transparent, evidence-based, practitioner-informed evaluation framework for policymakers and investors to re-evaluate policy and resource allocation and unlock scalable market transformation.

Singh, Reshma↗

DOE OSTI2025

Advancing Manufacturing Water Resilience: Addressing Risks through New Approaches and Technologies

Water is indispensable in manufacturing operations, and many manufacturers operate on the assumption that water of sufficient quality and quantity will be available whenever and wherever needed. As such, the importance of water to this sector has been overlooked, despite its critical importance for operations and meeting production demands, due to perceived sufficient availability and low cost of water to manufacturers. However, the situation is changing as water-related risks are markedly increasing due to aging infrastructure, changing climate, and resource extraction, which alter global and regional water cycles and characteristics. These changes are occurring against a backdrop of intensifying competition from other sectors for scarce and/or unevenly distributed water resources and changing trends in water needs. Section 1 of this report explores those risks in the U.S. context, while the remaining sections detail the work needed to advance the resilience of manufacturing water supplies to these changing risks by filling critical data gaps, re-evaluating the value of water to manufacturers, and advancing opportunities for novel technologies and analyses. The intended audience for this report is broad, including manufacturers, decision makers, researchers, and policymakers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

High-Temperature Active Magnetic Bearing Development for Supercritical CO 2 Machinery Applications

Hermetic machinery utilizing gas bearings for MW-scale supercritical CO 2 (sCO 2 ) machinery applications can have significantly lower power loss and enable improved cycle efficiency compared to conventional machinery with oil-lubricated bearings. Active magnetic bearings (AMBs) are another option anticipated to have similar power loss and load capacity to gas bearings as well as offering larger mechanical tolerances, the ability to tune properties, and high reliability due to lack of mechanical wear. AMBs also have proven commercial experience at MW-scale, though environments for high-temperature sCO 2 power cycle machinery conditions are novel. Besides the potential impact of AMBs for sCO 2 turbomachinery, the technology also offers promising benefits for steam and gas turbines for power generation, compressors and expanders for industrial heat and power, and in other oil and gas and space applications. The goals of this project were to conceptual design an AMB and perform material testing. Conceptual designs for radial and thrust AMBs were produced based on a hermetically-sealed sCO 2 machinery waste-heat recovery (WHR) application for sizing and loads, and choosing a target design temperature of 540°C useful for high-temperature sCO 2 turbines for concentrating solar power (CSP) applications. Conceptual designs were initially developed for multiple radial and thrust AMBs with spreadsheet-based calculations before selecting one of each to develop further using higher-fidelity design methods for magnetic and structural performance. It was found that the radial AMB at 540°C was feasible, but the thrust AMB needed to be limited to 315°C for high-speed operation. The decision for a reduced-temperature thrust AMB was the result of several significant conclusions: 1) Hiperco 50A, originally chosen for good magnetic performance at high temperature, had insufficient strength for high-speed operation, so it was replaced with 17-4 PH. 2) The reduced magnetic performance from 17-4 PH yielded a larger bearing size, reducing the strength margin. 3) This ultimately led to a creative design implementing a more-compact E-core topology, compared to the original (conventional) C-core, and an integral shaft-disk with Hirth joint connection. These conceptual designs are unique for the size and temperature in CO 2 , relevant for MW-scale CSP applications. Long term, high temperature test data was generated for several materials, filling a void in the current body of literature. Corrosion and magnetic performance measurements were produced for PM materials (Alnico 5-7C, Alnico 9C, and SmCo) with and without nickel-coating for environments of high-temperature CO 2 up to 550°C at atmospheric pressure and 450°C at 103 bar for up to 6,000 hours. Corrosion measurements were also produced for Hiperco 50, a SM material relevant for AMB laminations, with and without C5 coating. Comparisons were also made for 450°C and 550°C, atmospheric pressure air exposures up to 5,000 hours. Results generally show that coatings can be effective at improving oxidation resistance of the bare materials, and Alnicos generally outperformed SmCo after high-temperature exposure. In addition to technical feasibility demonstrated by the design, economic feasibility was demonstrated by updating the TEA from the reference machine, re-evaluating it with CAPEX and OPEX to reflect estimated changes from process-lubricated bearings to AMBs. AMBs were shown to be comparable in performance to process-lubricated bearings, still showing a notable improvement over conventional machinery architecture with oil-lubricated bearings.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Advancing Manufacturing Water Resilience: Addressing Risks through New Approaches and Technologies

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Improbability of Post-Closure Criticality in Compacted Criticality Control Overpacks after Room Closure at Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

As part of its periodic re-certification of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), an operating repository in bedded salt for the disposal of transuranic (TRU) waste from atomic energy defense activities, the United States Environmental Protection Agency expects a re-evaluation of features, events, and processes, such as post-closure nuclear criticality. Although salt creep beneficially encapsulates the TRU waste in the closed WIPP repository, the spacing between an array of waste packages is disrupted as the salt creep closes disposal rooms and containers lose structural integrity. For most TRU waste, the possibility of post-closure criticality is exceedingly small either because the salt neutronically isolates TRU waste canisters or because closure of a disposal room from salt creep does not sufficiently compact the low mass of fissile material. The criticality evaluation was updated, however, because of the introduction of criticality control overpack (CCO) containers, which may dispose up to 380 fissile gram equivalent plutonium-239 in each container. The criticality potential is evaluated through high-fidelity geomechanical modeling of a disposal room filled with CCO containers during two representative conditions: (1) large salt block fall, and (2) gradual disposal room closure from salt creep. Geomechanical models of roof fall demonstrate three tiers of CCO containers are not greatly disrupted. Geomechanical models of gradual room closure from salt creep (without brine seepage and subsequent gas generation to permit maximum room closure) were used to predict irregular arrays of closely packed CCOs after 1000 years, when room closure has asymptotically approached maximum compaction. Models of spheres or cylinders with 380 fissile gram equivalent of plutonium (as oxide) at the predicted irregular compacted spacing demonstrate that an array of CCO containers is not critical when surrounded by salt and magnesium oxide, provided the mass of hydrogenous material shipped in CCO containers (usually plastics) is controlled or boron carbide (a neutron poison) is mixed with the fissile contents.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2026

Demonstration of Algorithm for Sensor Placement Optimization using Simulation Data

This deliverable reports FY26 progress in advancing a neural-network-based Green’s-function framework for reconstructing neutron-flux distributions from ex-core measurements and for translating reconstruction requirements into a practical detector-layout strategy. Building on the FY25 formulation, the present work had two main objectives: (1) refine and re-evaluate the reconstruction methodology on an updated Purdue University Reactor Number One (PUR-1) model, and (2) develop a systematic, Green’s-function-guided procedure for boundary detector placement.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗