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DOE OSTI2025

Web-based wide-area monitoring platform for ringdown and clustering analytics in power systems

This paper introduces an open-source research platform for monitoring the Mexican interconnected power grid, allowing real-time processing and information extraction of the grid’s dynamic condition. Moreover, the platform is a Python-based development that embeds different ringdown and clustering analytics tools. In the case of ringdown analysis, the modal information can be extracted using some of the most known algorithms, i.e., Prony analysis, eigensystem realization algorithm (ERA), and matrix pencil (MP). For clustering analysis, the coherent behaviour of generator and non-generator buses is provided by applying recent state-of-the-art techniques such as affinity propagation, K-means, hierarchical agglomerative clustering, and typicality data analysis. The results of up to 93 PMUs show that this open-source platform suits researchers’ and engineers’ power system dynamic analysis requirements.

Clustering↗

DOE OSTI2025

Noise limits for dc SQUID readout of high- Q resonators below 300 MHz

We present the limits on noise for the readout of cryogenic high-Q resonators using dc Superconducting Quantum Interference Devices (SQUIDs) below 300 MHz. This analysis uses realized first-stage SQUIDs (previously published), whose performance is well described by Tesche–Clarke (TC) theory, coupled directly to the resonators. We also present data from a prototype second-stage dc SQUID array designed to couple to this first-stage SQUID as a follow-on amplifier with high system bandwidth. This analysis is the first full consideration of dc SQUID noise performance referred to a high-Q resonator over this frequency range and is presented relative to the standard quantum limit. We include imprecision, backaction, and backaction–imprecision noise correlations from TC theory, the noise contributed by the second-stage SQUIDs, wiring, and preamplifiers, and optimizations for both on-resonance measurements and off-resonance scan sensitivity. This architecture has modern relevance due to the increased interest in axion searches and the requirements of the DMRadio-m 3 axion search, which uses dc SQUIDs in this frequency range.

Bosons↗

DOE OSTI2025

SynopFrame: Multiscale time-dependent visual abstraction framework for analyzing DNA nanotechnology simulations

We present an open-source framework, SynopFrame, that allows DNA nanotechnology (DNA-nano) experts to analyze and understand molecular dynamics simulation trajectories of their designs. We use a multiscale multi-dimensional abstraction space, connect the representations to a projected conformational space plot of the structure’s temporal sequence, and thus enable experts to analyze the dynamics of their structural designs and, specifically, failure cases of the assembly. In addition, our time-dependent abstraction representation allows the biologists, for the first time in a smooth and structurally clear way, to identify and observe temporal transitions of a DNA-nano design from one configuration to another, and to highlight important periods of the simulation for further analysis. We realize SynopFrame as a dashboard of the different synchronized 3D spatial and 2D schematic visual representations, with a color overlay to show essential properties such as the status of hydrogen bonds. The linking of the spatial, schematic, and abstract views ensures that users can effectively analyze the high-frequency motion. We also categorize the status of the hydrogen bonds into a new format to allow us to color-encode it and overlay it on the representations. To demonstrate the utility of SynopFrame, we describe example usage scenarios and report user feedback.

Abstraction space↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design and full core fuel performance assessment of high burnup cores for 4-loop PWRs

Increasing the fuel discharge burnup of current light water reactors (LWRs) promises reductions in fuel cycle and/or operations costs. By assuming a constant core power density, the economic gain is enabled by better fuel utilization and/or an increased capacity factor. In this effort to investigate greater than 62 MWd/kgU maximum rod average burnup for 110+ kW/l core power density, two core designs have been developed for a standard 17x17, 193 fuel assemblies pressurized water reactor (PWR). The levelized unit cost methodology is employed to evaluate fuel cycle, operation and maintenance, and capital cost impacts and to examine the economic viability of both core design pathways. Core design and optimization are performed using the commercial STUDSVIK code package. Fuel performance analysis is realized in full core configuration via auditing FRAPCON4.1, FAST1.2, and the high-fidelity code BISON. To provide a realistic assessment, the core design process takes into consideration best practices in current PWR core design. It features acceptable performance in terms of various core design constraints on maximum allowable peaking and boron concentration. Gadolinia (Gd2O3) is used as a burnable poison with a maximum of 9 wt% concentration while feeding 89 or 77 fuel assemblies in a 3-batch refueling scheme. Full core fuel performance simulation, which allows for characterization of relevant fuel temperatures, plenum pressures, stresses, and strains, is performed with respect to two bounding burnup levels. Such performance is potentially licensable for the 18-month high burnup core (<68 MWd/kgU peak pin), while it is more challenging for the 24-month high burnup core design pathway (<75 MWd/kgU peak pin). Maximum rod plenum pressure is identified as the most limiting fuel performance parameter. Here, while the scope of the present study focuses on the steady-state plus overpower conditions, the acceptability of the new discharge burnup has to be further assessed by considering uncertainties and impacts under accident scenarios in the future.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Decadal Spiciness Variability in the Subtropical-Tropical Pacific in the CESM2 Large Ensemble

Tropical Pacific decadal variations impact weather and climate around the world and are also connected to variations in the global warming trend. The mechanisms driving these long-term modulations, particularly the role of subsurface ocean dynamics, are still debated. Here, we investigate the dynamics of spiciness (density-compensated temperature and salinity) anomalies in the tropical and subtropical Pacific, which are hypothesized as a possible driving mechanism of decadal climate variability. Based on the analysis of 100 realizations from the Community Earth System Model Version 2 Large Ensemble (CESM2-LE), we demonstrate a coupling between the subtropics and the equatorial Pacific by propagating spiciness anomalies at decadal time scales. The CESM2-LE simulates spiciness variability along a subduction path from the subtropics to the equator with frequency spectra that show the highest power at low frequencies and a power decay proportional to a −4 slope for frequencies greater than 0.01 cycles per months, corresponding to periods smaller than ∼8.5 years. Signals that originate in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) dominate and arrive with a larger magnitude at the equator compared to spiciness anomalies from the Northern Hemisphere (NH). Spiciness anomalies from the SH have shorter propagation times and are strengthened along their pathway as stochastic wind stress curl forcing generates anomalous baroclinic ocean pressure gradients. These pressure gradients generate spiciness anomalies via anomalous advection across climatological spiciness gradients in the SH. We conclude that the observed spiciness variance at decadal time scales is consistent with a forcing by stochastic wind variations that are low-pass filtered by ocean dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges

Global climate goals require a transition to a deeply decarbonized energy system. Meeting the objectives of the Paris Agreement through countries' nationally determined contributions and long-term strategies represents a complex problem with consequences across multiple systems shrouded by deep uncertainty. Robust, large-ensemble methods and analyses mapping a wide range of possible future states of the world are needed to help policymakers design effective strategies to meet emissions reduction goals. This study contributes a scenario discovery analysis applied to a large ensemble of 5,760 model realizations generated using the Global Change Analysis Model. Eleven energy-related uncertainties are systematically varied, representing national mitigation pledges, institutional factors, and techno-economic parameters, among others. The resulting ensemble maps how uncertainties impact common energy system metrics used to characterize national and global pathways toward deep decarbonization. Results show globally consistent but regionally variable energy transitions as measured by multiple metrics, including electricity costs and stranded assets. Larger economies and developing regions experience more severe economic outcomes across a broad sampling of uncertainty. The scale of CO 2 removal globally determines how much the energy system can continue to emit, but the relative role of different CO 2 removal options in meeting decarbonization goals varies across regions. Previous studies characterizing uncertainty have typically focused on a few scenarios, and other large-ensemble work has not (to our knowledge) combined this framework with national emissions pledges or institutional factors. Our results underscore the value of large-ensemble scenario discovery for decision support as countries begin to design strategies to meet their goals.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Symmetry structure of a Riccati equation appearing in penetration mechanics

In the design of projectile penetration experiments a matter of considerable interest is scaling: that is, the potential relevance of small-scale experiments to their full-scale counterparts, in a manner analogous to that most often encountered in the context of fluid mechanics. From the theoretical standpoint, phenomena associated with scaling and scalability can be assessed using the well-established tools of dimensional analysis and the Buckingham-Pi Theorem. However, the familiar precepts of dimensional analysis are themselves a specific manifestation of the broader group invariance properties or symmetries of a mathematical model. Here, this work explores these notions – that is, dimensional analysis, the conditions for realizing complete similarity, and any additional symmetry structures – in the context of a Riccati differential equation appearing in the context of penetration mechanics. The aim of the investigation is twofold: 1) to complement existing empirical considerations with a concrete theoretical basis, and 2) to provide a deeper theoretical understanding of the projectile penetration model and its many implications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Stochastic Thermo-Hydro Modeling and Neural Network Surrogate Development for Thermal Resource Assessment of the Galleries-to-Calories Geobattery

The Galleries-to-Calories Geobattery concept explores the use of abandoned coal mine workings for large-scale thermal energy transport and storage. The system involves injecting waste heat from a supercomputing facility into flooded mine galleries, where groundwater flow can store and transport thermal energy for potential recovery in downgradient district heating and cooling applications. To evaluate the feasibility and performance of the Geobattery under geological and operational uncertainty, we developed a suite of stochastic thermo-hydrological (TH) simulations using Monte Carlo sampling of key uncertain parameters (e.g., permeability, porosity, thermal conductivity, specific heat capacity) and operating conditions (e.g., injection rate, injection temperature). Results identified injection rate and temperature as the most influential parameters governing thermal front propagation, while the geometry of the room-and-pillar structure played a critical role in directing the extent and orientation of thermal advancement. Optimal combinations of material properties for maximizing heat recovery were also determined. To address the high computational cost of coupled-process stochastic modeling, we trained a neural network surrogate model on 24,000 physics-based realizations, achieving an R² > 0.99 and MAE < 0.1 for temperature predictions at monitoring locations. This surrogate enabled an additional 100,000 realizations for global sensitivity analysis and probabilistic thermal resource assessment. The integrated stochastic physics–surrogate modeling framework offers a computationally efficient tool for quantifying uncertainty, identifying key drivers, and informing early-stage design decisions for Geobattery systems.

15 - GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

PYSIMFRAC: A Python library for synthetic fracture generation and analysis

In this paper, we introduce PYSIMFRAC, an open-source python library for generating 3-D synthetic fracture realizations, integrating with fluid simulators, and performing analysis. PYSIMFRAC allows the user to specify one of three fracture generation techniques (Box, Gaussian, or Spectral) and perform statistical analysis including the autocorrelation, moments, and probability density functions of the fracture surfaces and aperture. This analysis and accessibility of a python library allows the user to create realistic fracture realizations and vary properties of interest. In addition, PYSIMFRAC includes integration examples to two different pore-scale simulators and the discrete fracture network simulator, dfnWorks. The capabilities developed in this work provides opportunity for quick and smooth adoption and implementation by the wider scientific community for accurate characterization of fluid transport in geologic media. We present PYSIMFRAC along with integration examples and discuss the ability to extend PYSIMFRAC from a single complex fracture to complex fracture networks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Validation of the DESI DR2 Ly$α$ forest full-shape analysis

We present the validation of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Data Release 2 (DR2) Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) forest full-shape analysis. This analysis combines three-dimensional Ly$α$ forest auto-correlations and cross-correlations with quasars to extract information from both the baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) feature and the broadband clustering signal, with primary emphasis on the Alcock-Paczynski (AP) measurement. Compared to the DESI DR1 analysis, the DR2 validation uses substantially larger and more realistic mock datasets, including CoLoRe 2LPT and AbacusSummit Ly$α$ forest simulations. The modeling framework is also improved through analytic marginalization over small scales ($<10$$h^{-1}$Mpc) and the impact of ultraviolet background fluctuations. The validation program was completed prior to unblinding and defines quantitative requirements for the cosmological parameters of interest, which are evaluated using hundreds of mock realizations. We further test the analysis through independent fits to the auto- and cross-correlations, multiple catalog splits, and a broad suite of analysis and modeling variations applied to both mocks and blinded observational data. We find that the BAO and AP parameters satisfy all validation requirements and remain stable across all tests. In contrast, mock studies reveal a significant bias in the inferred growth-rate parameter $fσ_8$, leading us to exclude this measurement from the final analysis. The consistency across mocks, data splits, and robustness tests demonstrates that the DR2 Ly$α$ full-shape analysis provides a reliable and substantially improved broadband AP measurement over previous Ly$α$ forest studies.

Herbold, M. [Chicago U., KICP; Ohio State U.] (ORC↗

DOE OSTI2025

On the Speed-up of Wave-like Dark Matter Searches with Entangled Qubits

Qubit-based sensing platforms offer promising new directions for wave-like dark matter searches. Recent proposals demonstrate that entangled qubits can achieve quadratic scaling of the signal in the number of qubits. In this work we expand on these proposals to analyze the bandwidth and scan rate performance of entangled qubit protocols across different error regimes. We find that the phase-based readout of entangled protocols preserves the search bandwidth independent of qubit number, in contrast to power-based detection schemes, thereby achieving a genuine scan-rate advantage. We derive coherence time and error rate requirements for qubit systems to realize this advantage. Applying our analysis to dark photon searches, we find that entangled states of approximately 100 qubits can become competitive with benchmark photon-counting cavity experiments for masses $\gtrsim 30{-}40~μ{\rm eV}$, provided sufficiently low error rates are achieved. The advantage increases at higher masses where cavity volume scaling becomes less favorable.

Bodas, Arushi [Fermilab; Chicago U.] (ORCID:000000↗

DOE OSTI2024

Petahertz electronics

Petahertz, or lightwave, electronics uses tailored optical waveforms to control charge carriers in an electronic circuit at petahertz frequencies. This may enable faster processing than conventional pulsed electronics, which cannot be scaled beyond gigahertz frequencies. In recent years, petahertz-scale currents driven by optical fields have been measured in solid-state systems and nanoscale structures, with several proof-of-principle demonstrations of sub-optical-cycle current generation and optical-field-resolved waveform detection at the sub-femtosecond to few-femtosecond scale. Recent work has taken the first steps towards digital and quantum operation by exploring optical-field-driven logic and memory functionality. Here, in this Review, we discuss the progress towards sub-cycle field-driven current injection, highlighting key theoretical concepts, experimental milestones, and questions remaining as we push towards realizing petahertz electronics for ultrafast optical waveform analysis, digital logic, communications, and quantum computation.

Heide, Christian↗

DOE OSTI2024

FORCE Update 2024

The Framework for Optimization of Resources and Economics (FORCE) tool suite is the U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Integrated Energy Systems (IES) Program flagship tool suite for technoeconomic IES analysis of IES. This tool suite is useful for analysis designed to evaluate and improve the technoeconomics of energy production systems, particularly for systems including nuclear technology. In this report, we document the development activity for the FORCE tool suite to extend its capabilities as performed during fiscal year 2024. In addition to reliability and accessibility, capability is one of the three standards guiding the development of the FORCE tool suite and the software codes that are its constituent parts. Extending the capabilities of the FORCE tool suite allows analysis both within the IES program as well as industry, university, and laboratory partners to perform analysis with more accuracy, insight, and impactful narrative. Four areas of capability development were the focus of activity this year: economic parameter uncertainty quantification, multiresolution analysis, components-to-optimization workflow automation, and statespace construction workflows for real-time optimal control. In economic parameter uncertainty quantification, the ability of HERON to capture risk due to scenarios (weather and energy demand uncertainty) was expanded to also include uncertainties in financial parameters such as capital cost or operation and maintenance costs. By including these sources of uncertainty, which are sometimes very large compared with scenario uncertainty, HERON is better able to capture the risk posed by investment in various IES technology. Because of this, analysts can also consider the reduction in risks that can be realized by choice of some technologies. In multiresolution analysis, development activity extended on work completed previously. In fiscal year 2023, methods for decomposing time series signals, such as demand, solar and wind availability, and price profiles, were analyzed and down-selected to those most effective at splitting signals into different resolutions. These resolutions allow considering the influence of different energy demand and supply behaviors across different time scales. For example, energy demand might be divided into seasonal, weekly, and hourly profiles. In fiscal year 2024, this preliminary work was extended and implemented within the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) risk and uncertainty analysis platform, which is used throughout the FORCE framework. This development of the “multi-resolution time series analysis” (MR-TSA) module in RAVEN allows training synthetic history generators on complex time series. These synthetic history generators can then be used in HERON for generating scenarios that represent possible market and weather scenarios that can be analyzed on different time scales. We envision completing this work in the future, implementing multiresolution dispatch optimization strategies that can make the most beneficial use of these stratified time histories. In components-to-optimization workflow development, workflows for translating user inputs of components into algorithms for algebraic optimization were selected and implemented. Similar algorithms within the Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) were separated from the main code base of HERON and gathered with the components-to-optimization workflows in the new Dispatch Optimization Variable Engine (DOVE) software library. This modularization allows FORCE users to analyze dispatch optimization and energy system duty cycles independently of HERON, which previously was a burdensome task. Additionally, these dispatch optimization algorithms, set up in an independent library, can now be used across all software applications within FORCE, especially including the real-time optimal control software Optimization of Real-time Capacity Allocation (ORCA). Allowing FORCE software to share dispatch optimization algorithms within a single library allows for improved software maintenance and reliability. In statespace characterization workflow development, alternative workflows for optimizing dispatch with additional technical accuracy was the focus, particularly to improve the real-time optimization decision making in ORCA. Using algorithms and workflows initially developed for the Feasible Actuator Range Modifier (FARM), workflows for determining the statespace representation of IES were identified and demonstrated. The resulting dispatch optimization required a more robust optimization algorithm than that originally used in HERON (and moved to DOVE), which required adding an alternate workflow to DOVE that can more accurately match the behavior of physical systems using a partial differential equation representation. In conclusion, capability developments in the FORCE tool suite in fiscal year 2024 have improved the ability of the FORCE tool suite to perform

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Lens Model Accuracy in the Expected LSST Lensed AGN Sample

Strong gravitational lensing of active galactic nuclei (AGN) enables measurements of cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography (TDC). With data from the upcoming LSST survey, we anticipate using a sample of O(1000) lensed AGN for TDC. To prepare for this dataset and enable this measurement, we construct and analyze a realistic mock sample of 1300 systems drawn from the OM10 (Oguri & Marshall 2010) catalog of simulated lenses with AGN sources at $z<3.1$ in order to test a key aspect of the analysis pipeline, that of the lens modeling. We realize the lenses as power law elliptical mass distributions and simulate 5-year LSST i-band coadd images. From every image, we infer the lens mass model parameters using neural posterior estimation (NPE). Focusing on the key model parameters, $θ_E$ (the Einstein Radius) and $γ_{lens}$ (the projected mass density profile slope), with consistent mass-light ellipticity correlations in test and training data, we recover $θ_E$ with less than 1% bias per lens, 6.5% precision per lens and $γ_{lens}$ with less than 3% bias per lens, 8% precision per lens. We find that lens light subtraction prior to modeling is only useful when applied to data sampled from the training prior. If emulated deconvolution is applied to the data prior to modeling, precision improves across all parameters by a factor of 2. Finally, we combine the inferred lens mass models using Bayesian Hierarchical Inference to recover the global properties of the lens sample with less than 1% bias.

Venkatraman, Padmavathi [Illinois U., Urbana; KIPA↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development of a High-Rate Lithium-Air Battery Using a Gaseous CO 2 Reactant

Li-air batteries are considered a potential alternative to Li-ion batteries for transportation applications due to their high theoretical specific energy. Most works in this area focus on use of O 2 as the reactant. However, newer concepts for using gaseous reactants (such as CO 2 , which has a theoretical specific energy density of 1,876 Wh/kg) provide opportunities for further exploration. The main objective of this project was the development of a novel strategy that enables operation of Li-CO 2 batteries at high-capacity and high-rate, with a long-cycle-life. The team was able to: (1) Synthesize two novel transition metal chalcogenide (TMC) catalysts that work in synergy with ionic liquid-based electrolytes to enhance the efficiency of reactions during discharge and charge processes; (2) Fabricate high-porosity cathode electrodes with 3D printing to increase electrode surface area and gas permeability; (3) Develop a multiscale modeling framework that integrates Density Functional Theory (DFT), Ab-Initio Molecular Dynamics (AIMD), classical Molecular Dynamics (MD), and Finite Element Analysis (FEA) to investigate atomic and cell-level properties of Li-CO 2 batteries; (4) Assemble a stackable Li-CO 2 pouch-cell able to deliver a capacity of >200 mAh. These achievements were realized through an integrated approach based on materials synthesis, testing, characterization, analysis, and computation. This project produced a thorough understanding of key chemical, electronic, and kinetic parameters that govern the operation of Li- CO 2 batteries in realistic conditions. The methodologies employed, and the insight generated, will be valuable beyond advancing the field of Li-CO 2 batteries

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2026

SpaceNet 9—Cross-Sensor Alignment of Optical and SAR Imagery

Precise registration of high-resolution synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and optical imagery is necessary for realizing the full potential and benefits of multimodal image analysis. However, two significant challenges presently exist. First, there is a lack of annotated datasets and benchmarks available for high-resolution SAR–optical image registration. Second, an assessment of efficient and reliable image registration methods that can precisely align these modalities is lacking. Here, we present a holistic description of the SpaceNet 9 Challenge and its results. We present a description of the dataset and baseline algorithm along with the results of the challenge, including a description of the winning algorithms. We release the SpaceNet 9 dataset along with open-sourcing the winning algorithms and baseline. The objective of SpaceNet 9 was to compute a dense displacement map that indicates the shift needed to align pixels in an optical image to the pixels in a SAR image. The challenge launched in April 2025 and was active for approximately two months. The top five solutions reduced image alignment error from approximately 34 m to under 13 m for public and private test data, with the best results obtaining a registration error of only 8.5 and 6.7 m on the public testing and private testing dataset, respectively. Usage of pretrained image matching models, robust outlier rejection with RANSAC, and estimating local displacement were common among the top solutions. The results of this challenge provide insight into high-resolution SAR–optical image registration and offer opportunities for future benchmarking in this domain. The baseline algorithm, winning solutions, and datasets are available at https://spacenet.ai/sn9-challenge/.

benchmark datasets↗

DOE OSTI2025

The HalfDome multi-survey cosmological simulations: N-body simulations

Upcoming cosmological surveys have the potential to reach groundbreaking discoveries on multiple fronts, including the neutrino mass, dark energy, and inflation. Most of the key science goals require the joint analysis of datasets from multiple surveys to break parameter degeneracies and calibrate systematics. To realize such analyses, a large set of mock simulations that realistically model correlated observables is required. In this paper we present the N-body component of the HalfDome cosmological simulations, designed for the joint analysis of Stage-IV cosmological surveys, such as Rubin LSST, Euclid, SPHEREx, Roman, DESI, PFS, Simons Observatory, CMB-S4, and LiteBIRD. Our 300TB initial data release includes full-sky lightcones and halo catalogs between z = 0–4 for 11 fixed cosmology realizations, as well as an additional run with local primordial non-Gaussianity (f NL = 20). The simulations evolve 61443 particles in a 3.75 h -1 Gpc box, reaching a minimum halo mass of ∼6 × 1012 h -1 M ⊙ and maximum scale of k ∼ h Mpc-1. Our data is publicly available: instructions to access the data and plans for future data releases can be found at https://halfdomesims.github.io.

Bayer, Adrian E↗

DOE OSTI2025

Incorporating geological structure into sensitivity analysis of subsurface contaminant transport

Simulating subsurface contaminant transport at the kilometer-scale often entails modeling reactive flow and transport within and through complex geologic structures. These structures are typically meshed by hand and as a result geologic structure is usually represented by one or a few deterministically generated geological models for uncertainty studies of flow and transport in the subsurface. Uncertainty in geologic structure can have a significant impact on contaminant transport. In this study, the impact of geologic structure on contaminant tracer transport in a shale formation is investigated for a simplified generic deep geologic repository for permanent disposal of spent nuclear fuel. An open-source modeling framework is used to perform a sensitivity analysis study on transport of two tracers from a generic spent nuclear fuel repository with uncertain location of the interfaces between the stratum of the geologic structure. The automated workflow uses sampled realizations of the geological structural model in addition to uncertain flow parameters in a nested sensitivity analysis. Concentration of the tracers at observation points within, in line with, and downstream of the repository are used as the quantities of interest for determining model sensitivity to input parameters and geological realization. Finally, the results of the study indicate that the location of strata interfaces in the geological structure has a first-order impact on tracer transport in the example shale formation, and that this impact may be greater than that of the uncertain flow parameters.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗