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Switching between simple cognitive tasks: the interaction of top-down and bottom-up factors

How do top-down factors (e.g., task expectancy) and bottom-up factors (e.g., task recency) interact to produce an overall level of task readiness? This question was addressed by factorially manipulating task expectancy and task repetition in a task-switching paradigm. The effects of expectancy and repetition on response time tended to interact underadditively, but only because the traditional binary task-repetition variable lumps together all switch trials, ignoring variation in task lag. When the task-recency variable was scaled continuously, all 4 experiments instead showed additivity between expectancy and recency. The results indicated that expectancy and recency influence different stages of mental processing. One specific possibility (the configuration-execution model) is that task expectancy affects the time required to configure upcoming central operations, whereas task recency affects the time required to actually execute those central operations.

Cognition

End-user Assessment of the NASA SPoRT GLM Stoplight Product

National Weather Service (NWS) offices monitor and forecast the threat for lightning within their County Warning Areas for various impact-based decision support services (IDSS). These forecasts are provided routinely for aviation operations, but irregularly for large-scale, outdoor events, which typically have varying safety requirements with regards to lightning. Lightning monitoring and forecasting can require synthesizing a plethora of data, so products that make this process more efficient and effective are sought by the operational community. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has begun to develop several products to address these operational challenges during the lifecycle of lightning activity, and conduct evaluations in concentrated (Research-to-Operations/Operations-to-Research) efforts. The product evaluated for this study is the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Stoplight product, which addresses lightning safety specifically with regards to lightning recency and cessation. The GLM Stoplight product displays the spatial extent of lightning and uses color-coded pixels to show the recency of lightning in 10-minute increments. This presentation highlights results from an assessment of the GLM Stoplight product by select NWS offices, as well as emergency managers, that took place over a 5-week period from May 1st to June 2nd. Feedback was collected on the GLM Stoplight product and on a new and interactive lightning viewer, which allowed participants to tailor visualization of the product based on their location and desired application. Results will help NASA SPoRT gain a better understanding of how forecasters and emergency managers use lightning data for safety applications. In addition, the assessment will inform research on any necessary modifications to this and future lightning products to assist end users.

Kelley Murphy

Light element geochemistry of the Apollo 12 site

Analytical techniques of improved sensitivity have revealed details of the concentrations and isotopic compositions of light elements for a comprehensive suite of samples from the Apollo 12 regolith. These samples show a wide spread in maturity, although maximum contents observed for solar wind elements are less than observed at other sites, possibly reflecting relative recency of craters at the Apollo 12 site. Isotopic composition of nitrogen is consistent with the idea that N-15/N-14 in the solar wind has increased with time, at least a major part of this increase having occurred in the past 3.1 Gyr. Sulfur isotope systematics support a model in which sulfur is both added to the regolith, by meteoritic influx, and lost, by an isotopically selective process. Most soils from this site are heavily contaminated with terrestrial carbon.

Kerridge, J. F.

Mixed-initiative control of intelligent systems

Mixed-initiative user interfaces provide a means by which a human operator and an intelligent system may collectively share the task of deciding what to do next. Such interfaces are important to the effective utilization of real-time expert systems as assistants in the execution of critical tasks. Presented here is the Incremental Inference algorithm, a symbolic reasoning mechanism based on propositional logic and suited to the construction of mixed-initiative interfaces. The algorithm is similar in some respects to the Truth Maintenance System, but replaces the notion of 'justifications' with a notion of recency, allowing newer values to override older values yet permitting various interested parties to refresh these values as they become older and thus more vulnerable to change. A simple example is given of the use of the Incremental Inference algorithm plus an overview of the integration of this mechanism within the SPECTRUM expert system for geological interpretation of imaging spectrometer data.

Borchardt, G. C.

Assessing the Cost of Task Switching with a Three-Task Paradigm

To study task switching when subjects need not inhibit inappropriate responses, we examine tasks with non-overlapping stimulus sets (e.g. color patches and uncolored letters). A new three-task paradigm permits the dissociation of several otherwise confounded variables. We find that performance declines monotonically with increasing time since last performance of a task. Adjusting for the effects of this factor permits a fresh assessment of the relationship between task expectancy and recency (Ruthruff, Remington & Johnston, 1996).

Remington, Roger W.

Memory monitoring by animals and humans

The authors asked whether animals and humans would use similarly an uncertain response to escape indeterminate memories. Monkeys and humans performed serial probe recognition tasks that produced differential memory difficulty across serial positions (e.g., primacy and recency effects). Participants were given an escape option that let them avoid any trials they wished and receive a hint to the trial's answer. Across species, across tasks, and even across conspecifics with sharper or duller memories, monkeys and humans used the escape option selectively when more indeterminate memory traces were probed. Their pattern of escaping always mirrored the pattern of their primary memory performance across serial positions. Signal-detection analyses confirm the similarity of the animals' and humans' performances. Optimality analyses assess their efficiency. Several aspects of monkeys' performance suggest the cognitive sophistication of their decisions to escape.

NASA Discipline Space Human Factors

Workspaces in the Semantic Web

Due to the recency and relatively limited adoption of Semantic Web technologies. practical issues related to technology scaling have received less attention than foundational issues. Nonetheless, these issues must be addressed if the Semantic Web is to realize its full potential. In particular, we concentrate on the lack of scoping methods that reduce the size of semantic information spaces so they are more efficient to work with and more relevant to an agent's needs. We provide some intuition to motivate the need for such reduced information spaces, called workspaces, give a formal definition, and suggest possible methods of deriving them.

Wolfe, Shawn R.

User-Centric Multi-Criteria Information Retrieval

Information retrieval models usually represent content only, and not other considerations, such as authority, cost, and recency. How could multiple criteria be utilized in information retrieval, and how would it affect the results? In our experiments, using multiple user-centric criteria always produced better results than a single criteria.

Shawn R Wolfe

End-User Assessment of the NASA SPoRT Lightning AI Product

The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has begun to develop products to address operational challenges and enhance safety during the lifecycle of lightning activity, and conduct evaluations in concentrated R2O/O2R efforts. The product evaluated for this study is Lightning Artificial Intelligence (A.I.), which predicts the probability of lightning out to 15 minutes in advance and spatially maps it using filled color contours. Lightning A.I. uses reflectivity, differential reflectivity, and correlation coefficient data from a subset of radars within the NEXRAD network to generate lightning probabilities at approximately 2 km resolution. The domains, spanning 145 x 145 km are centered over NASA-affiliated centers across the CONUS and use radar data which are closest in proximity. Lightning A.I. was developed with intended use by emergency managers at NASA centers. However, National Weather Service (NWS) offices are also often tasked with monitoring and forecasting the threat for lightning within their County Warning Areas for various impact-based decision support services. These forecasts are typically provided for aviation operations and large-scale, outdoor events, which may have varying safety requirements for decision-making based on lightning proximity and recency. The NASA SPoRT center conducted an assessment of the operational uses of Lightning A.I by various collaborative NWS Offices from late July into early September. This assessment included feedback from participants on both the product itself as well as its accessibility within the new, interactive NASA SPoRT Lightning Viewer. This presentation will include background information about Lightning A.I. and highlight results from this assessment. The feedback from the assessment will be used to inform research on any necessary modifications to this and future lightning products to assist end users.

Kelley Murphy

Use of the SPoRT Stoplight Product to Support NWS Decision Support Services

The National Weather Service Forecast Offices (NWSFOs) use many weather tools and observational datasets to provide support for critical decision-making by core partners such as public safety officials, emergency managers, and first responders. These core partners who need weather decision support services (DSS) for outdoor events require up-to-the-minute weather information to ensure the safety and protection of attendees and workers. Storms and lightning, potentially deadly, pose a significant threat during outdoor events and are among the weather phenomena frequently cited as a DSS requirement. According to the National Lightning Safety Council, from 2014 up to August 2024, lightning resulted in 222 fatalities in the U.S. For outdoor events with hundreds to thousands of attendees, having the right tools to detect and monitor lightning activity is of utmost importance to protect lives. Common guidelines for lightning safety include moving inside a substantial structure at the first sight of threatening skies or the first sound of thunder, and waiting 30 minutes after the last lightning flash or thunder before returning outside. Using this guidance as a framework, scientists at the NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) center have developed the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Stoplight tool. This experimental tool uses the GLM Flash Extent Density imagery to display the location and recency of lightning flashes. To simplify interpretation, these lightning pixels are color-coded in 10-minute bins, ranging from red (lightning detected 0 to 10 minutes ago) to yellow (10 to 20 minutes ago) to green (20 to 30 minutes ago). The Stoplight tool also allows users to place markers at the location of outdoor events with range rings around the location to help in assessing the location and relative age of lightning flashes near and upstream of the event. The goal is to help NWS forecasters provide core partners with the necessary information to make the best decisions possible. While the Stoplight tool is experimental, forecasters at NWSFO Raleigh, NC, have periodically used the Stoplight guidance to evaluate its utility within NWS DSS. This presentation will discuss how the Stoplight tool was successfully used for DSS for four outdoor events in central NC in 2023 and 2024. Future improvements to this tool, including the addition of AI applications and the merging of ground-based lightning data with GLM data, will be reviewed.

Gail Hartfield