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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

A reduced model for the ITER divertor based on SOLPS solutions for ITER Q = 10 baseline conditions: B. A reduced model based on reversed-direction two point modeling

Edge codes such as SOLPS coupled to neutral codes such as EIRENE have become so comprehensive and sophisticated that they now constitute, in effect, 'code-experiments' that, as for actual experiments, can benefit from interpretation using simple models and conceptual frameworks, i.e. reduced models. The first task is the identification of options for the reduced model control parameters that are best suited for control of the action of the divertor, i.e. for control of target power loading and sputter–erosion, primarily. A strong correlation between the electron temperature at the divertor target, T e,t , and the neutral deuterium D 2 density at the target, n D2,t , flux-tube resolved, has recently been reported for a number of code studies including SOLPS-4.3 modeling of a set of ~50 ITER baseline cases: Q DT = 10, q 95 = 3, P SOL = 100 MW, metallic walls, and Ne seeding (Pitts et al 2019). Part A of the present study reports new results for largely the same ITER cases, confirming the strong correlation reported earlier between local values of T e,t , and (i) n D2,t , and (ii) normalized volumetric losses of power and pressure in the divertor. Strong correlations have now also been found, and are reported here for the first time, between T e,t and all of the divertor target quantities of practical interest. A physical explanation for this surprising result has not as yet been fully identified; nevertheless it has encouraging implications for reduced modeling of the ITER divertor. For such ITER conditions, (i) the global Ne injection rate, Inj Ne (Ne s –1 ), and (ii) the electron temperature at the location on the target where the peak power deposition occurs, T e,t @q ⊥,pk (eV), are found to be promising reduced model control parameters. In this part B, a reduced model for the ITER divertor is developed and described in detail, based on reversed-direction two point modeling, Rev2PM. The input to the reduced model is a value of the variable pair (T e,t @q ⊥,pk , Inj Ne )for a chosen case and the output are values of the various target as well as divertor-entrance quantities of practical interest, e.g. q ⊥,pk , the electron density at the X-point, n e,Xpt , etc. The reduced model was quantitatively characterized using one half of the code cases; it was then used to successfully predict (replicate) the code values of e.g. n e,Xpt for the other half.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

A reduced model for the ITER divertor based on SOLPS solutions for ITER Q = 10 baseline conditions: A. identifying options for the control parameters*

Edge codes such as SOLPS coupled to neutral codes such as EIRENE have become so comprehensive and sophisticated that they now constitute, in effect, 'code-experiments' that, as for actual experiments, can benefit from interpretation using simple models and conceptual frameworks, i.e. reduced models. The first task is the identification of options for the reduced model control parameters that are best suited for control of the action of the divertor, i.e. for control of target power loading and sputter-erosion, primarily. A strong correlation between the electron temperature at the divertor target, T e,t , and the neutral deuterium D 2 density at the target, n D2,t , flux-tube resolved, has recently been reported for a number of code studies including SOLPS-4.3 modeling of a set of ~50 ITER baseline cases: Q DT = 10, q 95 = 3, P SOL = 100 MW, metallic walls, and Ne seeding. This part A of the present study reports new results for largely the same ITER cases, confirming the strong correlations reported earlier between local values of T e,t , and (i) n D2,t , and (ii) normalized volumetric losses of power and pressure in the divertor. Strong correlations have now also been found, and are reported here for the first time, between T e,t and all of the divertor target quantities of practical interest. A physical explanation for this surprising result has not been fully identified; nevertheless it has encouraging implications for reduced modeling of the ITER divertor. For such ITER conditions, (i) the global Ne injection rate, Inj Ne [Ne/s], and (ii) the electron temperature at the location on the target where the peak power deposition occurs, T e,t @q ⊥,pk (eV), are found to be promising reduced model control parameters. In the companion report, part B, a reduced model for the ITER divertor is developed and described in detail, based on reversed-direction 2 point modelling, Rev2PM. The input to the reduced model is a value of the variable pair (T et @q ⟂,pk ,Inj Ne ) and the output are values of the various target as well as divertor-entrance quantities of practical interest, e.g. q ⊥,pk , n e,Xpt (the electron density at the poloidal location of the X-point), etc. In part B the reduced model is quantitatively characterized using one half of the code cases; it is then used to successfully predict (replicate) the code values of e.g. n e,Xpt for the other half of the cases.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sampling Low-Dimensional Markovian Dynamics for Preasymptotically Recovering Reduced Models from Data with Operator Inference

This work introduces a method for learning low-dimensional models from data of high-dimensional black-box dynamical systems. The novelty is that the learned models are exactly the reduced models that are traditionally constructed with classical projection-based model reduction techniques. Thus, the proposed approach learns models that are guaranteed to have the well-studied properties of reduced models known from model reduction, without requiring full knowledge of the governing equations and without requiring the operators of the high-dimensional systems. The key ingredient is a new data sampling scheme to obtain re-projected trajectories of high-dimensional systems that correspond to Markovian dynamics in low-dimensional subspaces. The exact recovery of reduced models from these re-projected trajectories is guaranteed pre-asymptotically under certain conditions for finite amounts of data and for a large class of systems with polynomial nonlinear terms. Numerical results demonstrate that the low-dimensional models learned with the proposed approach match reduced models from traditional model reduction up to numerical errors in practice. In conclusion, the numerical results further indicate that low-dimensional models fitted to re-projected trajectories are predictive even in situations where models fitted to trajectories without re-projection are inaccurate and unstable.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

A survey of pedestal magnetic fluctuations using gyrokinetics and a global reduced model for microtearing stability

This article presents a global reduced model for slab-like microtearing modes (MTMs) in the H-mode pedestal, which reproduces distinctive features of experimentally observed magnetic fluctuations, such as chirping and discrete frequency bands at noncontiguous mode numbers. Our model, importantly, includes the global variation of the diamagnetic frequencies, which is necessary to reproduce the experimental observations. The key insight underlying this model is that MTM instability is enabled by the alignment of a rational surface with the peak in the profile of the diamagnetic frequency. Conversely, MTMs are strongly stabilized for toroidal mode numbers for which these quantities are misaligned. This property explains the discrete fluctuation bands in several DIII-D and JET discharges, which we survey using our reduced model in conjunction with global gyrokinetic simulations. A fast yet accurate reduced model for MTMs enables rapid interpretation of magnetic fluctuation data from a wide range of experimental conditions to help assess the role of MTM in the pedestal.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Learning Nonlinear Reduced Models from Data with Operator Inference

This review discusses Operator Inference, a nonintrusive reduced modeling approach that incorporates physical governing equations by defining a structured polynomial form for the reduced model, and then learns the corresponding reduced operators from simulated training data. The polynomial model form of Operator Inference is sufficiently expressive to cover a wide range of nonlinear dynamics found in fluid mechanics and other fields of science and engineering, while still providing efficient reduced model computations. The learning steps of Operator Inference are rooted in classical projection-based model reduction; thus, some of the rich theory of model reduction can be applied to models learned with Operator Inference. This connection to projection-based model reduction theory offers a pathway toward deriving error estimates and gaining insights to improve predictions. Furthermore, through formulations of Operator Inference that preserve Hamiltonian and other structures, important physical properties such as energy conservation can be guaranteed in the predictions of the reduced model beyond the training horizon. This review illustrates key computational steps of Operator Inference through a large-scale combustion example.

Mechanics↗
DOE OSTI2026

Modeling Temperature Profiles in the Pedestal of NSTX with Reduced Models

This paper describes new modeling capabilities for predicting H-mode pedestal profiles in spherical tokamaks. Temperature profiles for NSTX discharges 132543 and 132588 are modeled by coupling the \textsc{astra} transport solver with neoclassical transport and gyrokinetic-based reduced models for electron temperature gradient (ETG) and kinetic ballooning mode (KBM) instabilities. A quasi-linear surrogate model for ion-scale transport is developed using linear \textsc{gene} simulations, requiring only a single free parameter calibrated to one discharge. Time-evolving the temperatures with fixed density yields good agreement with experiments for both discharges. Systematic analysis of the transport mechanisms reveals that neoclassical transport is huge across the entire pedestal region for the ion channel. ETG turbulence is large in the plasma edge and low density gradient region, contributing substantially to the electron channel. However, KBM/MHD-like modes also drive significant transport in both the ion and electron thermal channels, making them essential for accurate pedestal modeling. Further refinements, including explicit E×B shear suppression and scaled ETG transport, produce quantitative but not qualitative improvements. This work lays the foundation for predictive modeling of future devices. This paper is on arxiv and has been submitted to Nuclear Fusion.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Probabilistic error estimation for non-intrusive reduced models learned from data of systems governed by linear parabolic partial differential equations

This work derives a residual-based a posteriori error estimator for reduced models learned with non-intrusive model reduction from data of high-dimensional systems governed by linear parabolic partial differential equations with control inputs. It is shown that quantities that are necessary for the error estimator can be either obtained exactly as the solutions of least-squares problems in a non-intrusive way from data such as initial conditions, control inputs, and high-dimensional solution trajectories or bounded in a probabilistic sense. Here, the computational procedure follows an offline/online decomposition. In the offline (training) phase, the high-dimensional system is judiciously solved in a black-box fashion to generate data and to set up the error estimator. In the online phase, the estimator is used to bound the error of the reduced-model predictions for new initial conditions and new control inputs without recourse to the high-dimensional system. Numerical results demonstrate the workflow of the proposed approach from data to reduced models to certified predictions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reduced models for ETG transport in the tokamak pedestal

This paper reports on the development of reduced models for electron temperature gradient (ETG) driven transport in the pedestal. Model development is enabled by a set of 61 nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations with input parameters taken from pedestals in a broad range of experimental scenarios. The simulation data have been consolidated in a new database for gyrokinetic simulation data, the multiscale gyrokinetic database (MGKDB), facilitating the analysis. The modeling approach may be considered a generalization of the standard quasilinear mixing length procedure. The parameter η, the ratio of the density to temperature gradient scale length, emerges as the key parameter for formulating an effective saturation rule. With a single order-unity fitting coefficient, the model achieves an error of 15%. A similar model for ETG particle flux is also described. We also present simple algebraic expressions for the transport informed by an algorithm for symbolic regression.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Adaptive Generation of Training Data for ML Reduced Model Creation

Machine learning proxy models are often used to speed up or completely replace complex computational models. The greatly reduced and deterministic computational costs enable new use cases such as digital twin control systems and global optimization. The challenge of building these proxy models is generating the training data. A naive uniform sampling of the input space can result in a non-uniform sampling of the output space of a model. This can cause gaps in the training data coverage that can miss finer scale details resulting in poor accuracy. While larger and larger data sets could eventually fill in these gaps, the computational burden of full-scale simulation codes can make this prohibitive. In this paper, we present an adaptive data generation method that utilizes uncertainty estimation to identify regions where training data should be augmented. By targeting data generation to areas of need, representative data sets can be generated efficiently. The effectiveness of this method will be demonstrated on a simple one-dimensional function and a complex multidimensional physics model.

Cianciosa, Mark↗
DOE OSTI2021

A fast reduced model for a shell-and-tube based latent heat thermal energy storage heat exchanger and its application for cost optimal design by nonlinear programming

Numerical simulation of latent heat thermal energy storage (LHTES) systems plays a fundamental role in studying the physical process and guiding the engineering design. Discretization of the PDEs describing the nonlinear solidification/melting process of phase change materials (PCMs) leads to a large-scale complex dynamics system, where the system behavior depends on a set of parameters. In a design setting, repeated model evaluations are required over the set of parameters results in significant computational burden. In this paper, an explicit analytic solution was built for the propagation of the solidification front in a cylindrical coordinate. The analytic solution approach is further employed to develop a low computational reduced model (RM) as a module for a shell-and-tube based LHTES heat exchanger. The levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is used as a design metric and the RM model is used to apply system-level constraints in the nonlinear programming formulation that facilitates efficient global optimal design of the PCM properties, flow conditions and tube geometries. The use of LCOE as the design metric prevents over design of the heat transfer rate and also establishes a fair ground for evaluation of different thermal storage technologies and their integrated applications with other systems. Optimal results showed that a higher effectiveness results in a higher LCOE; the velocity of the HTF and the length of the channel are highly correlated with each other; both larger PCM latent energy and conductivity result in lower LCOE.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Assessing physics of ion temperature gradient turbulence via hierarchical reduced-model representations

In this work, the saturation physics of ion temperature gradient (ITG) turbulence is probed by studying how amplitudes and scalings with key parameters vary across a hierarchy of reduced models. The models derive from nonlinear fluid equations for toroidal ITG turbulence under approximations to the mode coupling interactions in wavenumber space and the representation of turbulent decorrelation. Mode coupling approximations include local-in-wavenumber treatments like the spectral density of flux in quasilinear theory, a truncation to three nonlinearly interacting waves, and the interactions in a cascade to high radial wavenumber mediated by a single zonal flow. Turbulent decorrelation treatments are based on the triplet correlation time with and without eddy damping. Model fidelity is assessed by the scalings and magnitudes of the squared amplitudes of unstable mode, stable mode, and zonal flow with respect to the flow-damping rate and temperature gradient. It is shown that all models reproduce fundamental scalings, provided they incorporate the coupling of unstable mode, stable mode, and zonal flow. Accurate amplitude prediction requires eddy damping in the triplet correlation time and proper representation of the zonal-flow drive by interactions associated with the radial wavenumber cascade.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reduced Model of Ionization Lag in Intense Laser-Produced Plasmas

A physics-based empirical formula is derived to predict the ionization lag in underdense plasmas generated by an intense laser. Time-dependent nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium calculations demonstrate significantly delayed ionization, due to rapid changes in plasma conditions, which critically impacts plasma properties such as opacity, emissivity, and heat transport. The reduced model, based on these calculations, enables the estimation of ionization lag without requiring in-depth knowledge of nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium modeling. Furthermore, modeling reveals that the two-step ionization process—collisional excitation followed by photoionization—plays a crucial role in this ionization delay, with collisional excitation setting the timescale for ionization. Simulations across a range of elements, from beryllium to germanium, demonstrate that ionization lag is a widespread phenomenon, underscoring the importance of incorporating such processes into ionization modeling in radiation hydrodynamic simulations for various laser-plasma experiments.

direct drive↗
DOE OSTI2025

Microtearing stability and turbulence in the pedestal: Linear gyrokinetics, reduced models, and nonlinear turbulent transport

Microtearing modes can play a crucial role in electron heat transport in tokamak plasmas, affecting both energy confinement and overall performance. This study investigates microtearing modes (MTM) stability and turbulence in a JET pedestal through gyrokinetic simulations using the Gene code, complemented by a reduced eigenvalue model. The focus is on how MTM properties depend on key plasma parameters, including collisionality and plasma beta β—the ratio of plasma pressure to magnetic pressure—the normalized toroidal wavenumber k y ρ s ⁠, where ρ s denotes the ion sound gyroradius (typically a few millimeters in edge plasmas) and isotope mass. Collisionality enhances MT growth rates, while increasing β leads to a shift from MTMs to kinetic-ballooning modes, typically for k y ρ s ⁠, where ρ s ≲ 0.2⁠. A purely collisionless branch of MTMs persists at low k y ρ s ⁠, where ρ s with distinctive properties including non-negligible particle flux and ion thermal transport. Isotope mass scans reveal modest reduction of MTM growth rates as ion mass decreases. Nonlinear simulations produce experimentally relevant transport levels. Numerical experiments turning off zonal flows and fields identify the critical role of zonal flows and zonal fields in regulating MTM turbulence. Their removal leads to a significant increase in electron heat flux. These findings provide new insight into MTM-driven transport and its impact on tokamak confinement and lay a foundation for reduced modeling and predictive capabilities.

Electrostatics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development of a reduced model for energetic particle transport by sawteeth in tokamaks

We report that the sawtooth instability is known for inducing transport and loss of energetic particles (EPs), and for generating seed magnetic islands that can trigger tearing modes. Both effects degrade the overall plasma performance. Several theories and numerical models have been previously developed to quantify the expected EP transport caused by sawteeth, with various degrees of sophistication to differentiate the response of EPs at different energies and on different orbits (e.g. passing vs. trapped), although the analysis is frequently limited to a single time slice during a tokamak discharge. This work describes the development and initial benchmark of a framework that enables a reduced model for EP transport by sawteeth retaining the full EP phase-space information. The model, implemented in the ORBIT hamiltonian particle-following code, can be used either as a standalone post-processor taking input data from codes such as TRANSP, or as a pre-processor to compute transport coefficients that can be fed back to TRANSP for time-dependent simulations including the effects of sawteeth on EPs. The advantage of the latter approach is that the evolution of the EP distribution can be simulated quantitatively for sawtoothing discharges, thus enabling a more accurate modeling of sources, sinks and overall transport properties of EP and thermal plasma species for comprehensive physics studies that require detailed information of the fast-ion distribution function and its evolution over time.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

On reduced modelling of the modulational dynamics in magnetohydrodynamics

This paper explores structure formation in two-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence as a modulational instability (MI) of turbulent fluctuations. We focus on the early stages of structure formation and consider simple backgrounds that allow for a tractable model of the MI while retaining the full chain of modulational harmonics. This approach allows us to systematically examine the validity of popular closures such as the quasilinear approximation and other low-order truncations. We find that, although such simple closures can provide quantitatively accurate approximations of the MI growth rates in some regimes, they can fail to capture the modulational dynamics in adjacent regimes even qualitatively, falsely predicting MI when the system is actually stable. We find that this discrepancy is due to the excitation of propagating spectral waves (PSWs) which can ballistically transport energy along the modulational spectrum, unimpeded until dissipative scales, thereby breaking the feedback loops that would otherwise sustain MIs. The PSWs can be self-maintained as global modes with real frequencies and drain energy from the primary structure at a constant rate until the primary structure is depleted. To describe these waves within a reduced model, we propose an approximate spectral closure that captures them and MIs on the same footing. We also find that introducing corrections to ideal MHD, conservative or dissipative, can suppress PSWs and reinstate the accuracy of the quasilinear approximation. In this sense, ideal MHD is a ‘singular’ system that is particularly sensitive to the accuracy of the closure within mean-field models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Reducing Model Uncertainty of Climate Change Impacts on High Latitude Carbon Assimilation

The Arctic Boreal Region (ABR) has a large impact on global vegetation-atmosphere interactions and is experiencing markedly greater warming than the rest of the planet, a trend that is projected to continue with anticipated future emissions of CO 2 . The ABR is a significant source of uncertainty in estimates of carbon uptake in terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) such that reducing this uncertainty is critical for more accurately estimating global carbon cycling and understanding the response of the region to global change. Process representation and parameterization associated with gross primary productivity (GPP) drives a large amount of this model uncertainty, particularly within the next 50 years, where the response of existing vegetation to climate change will dominate estimates of GPP for the region. Furthermore, we review our current understanding and model representation of GPP in northern latitudes, focusing on vegetation composition, phenology and physiology, and consider how climate change alters these three components. We highlight challenges in the ABR for predicting GPP, but also focus on the unique opportunities for advancing knowledge and model representation, particularly through the combination of remote sensing and traditional boots-on-the-ground science.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling turbulent impurity transport in the SOL of DIII-D with a reduced model

A novel impurity transport model that approximates SOL turbulence as a fluctuating poloidal electric field is shown to be an acceptable replacement for the traditional approach of assigning an arbitrary radial diffusion coefficient to the impurity ions. The model is implemented in the DIVIMP impurity transport code and applied to an L-Mode tungsten divertor experiment on DIII-D. The poloidal electric field is represented as fluctuating between ±1000 V m –1 based on previous measurements. The resulting intermittent v r = E θ × B T transport causes ions to transport both into the core as well as into the far-SOL. Simultaneous agreement with estimates of the W density just inside the separatrix as well as in the far-SOL is obtained (n W ~ 10 14 m –3 and n W ~ 10 12 m –3 , respectively). Prompt re-deposition of the W ions was necessary to obtain agreement (f redep ~ 99%). Here, we conclude that simulating impurity transport using a physics-based approximation for turbulence in the SOL, versus arbitrarily assigning diffusion coefficients, may enable better reactor scale predictions of core impurity contamination.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reducing model error using optimized galaxy selection: weak lensing cluster mass estimation

Galaxy clusters are one of the most powerful probes to study extensions of General Relativity and the Standard Cosmological Model. Upcoming surveys like the Vera Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time are expected to revolutionise the field, by enabling the analysis of cluster samples of unprecedented size and quality. To reach this era of high-precision cluster cosmology, the mitigation of sources of systematic error is crucial. A particularly important challenge is bias in cluster mass measurements induced by the mismodelling of photometric redshift estimates of source galaxies. This work proposes a method to optimise the source sample selection in cluster weak lensing analyses drawn from wide-field survey lensing catalogs to reduce the bias on reconstructed cluster masses. We use a combinatorial optimisation scheme and methods from variational inference to select galaxies in latent space to produce a probabilistic galaxy source sample catalog for highly accurate cluster mass estimation. We show that our method reduces the critical surface mass density Σ crit relative modelling bias on the 60-70% level, while maintaining up to 90% of galaxies. We highlight that our methodology has applications beyond cluster mass estimation as an approach to jointly combine galaxy selection and model inference under sources of systematics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗