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Diversion Path Analysis: A Proposed Methodology to Develop an MC&A Approach for Liquid-Fueled Molten Salt Reactors

Nuclear material control and accounting (MC&A) is a critical element of both the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and US Department of Energy (DOE)’s domestic safeguards and security requirements. NRC licensees are required, under Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR) Part 74 to establish and maintain an MC&A program that captures and records the quantities and locations of special nuclear material (SNM) at the facility. Along with physical protection, MC&A is a key element of domestic nuclear material safeguards that enables the NRC to ensure that SNM is controlled and accounted for. SNM, per 10 CFR Part 74, refers to plutonium, 233 U, and uranium enriched in the isotope 233 U or 235 U, but does not include source material. Periodic physical inventories, coupled with material balance evaluations, are effective and demonstrated tools to account for and detect theft or diversion of SNM in facilities containing SNM in bulk material form (i.e., not in discrete, countable items). Historically in the United States, these types of facilities have included fuel fabrication, conversion, and enrichment facilities. In comparison, reactors have relied on item counting of assemblies and control of SNM while in containment (e.g., a sealed reactor pressure vessel) because, to date, reactor fuel has been in item form. In liquid-fueled molten salt reactors (MSRs), unlike traditional light water reactors (LWRs) or bulk facilities, bulk SNM quantities can change significantly during operation as a result of depletion and transmutation. This introduces challenges to the use of traditional periodic physical inventories and material balance evaluations to detect theft or diversion of SNM in reactors that use SNM in bulk material form. Liquid-fueled (i.e., salt-fueled) MSR facilities are MSRs that use SNM within a salt eutectic as the fuel. The SNM is in a bulk material form any time it is outside of fresh or spent fuel storage containers. Some examples of when SNM will be in bulk form in the facility are during addition of fuel to the reactor system, while fuel is circulating in operation, and while fuel is in a drain tank. Periodic physical inventories and material balance evaluations can likely be effectively applied to many portions of an MSR facility, including all areas where depletion and transmutation are not significantly changing the quantities of SNM within the control area. Within an MSR facility, this would include fresh fuel receipt and loading, waste streams that may contain SNM, irradiated fuel storage outside of the reactor core, and any irradiated fuel processing that may happen after SNM has been removed from the reactor. All of these process steps could rely on measurements of SNM quantities compared with documented inventories. Any discrepancies from predicted (i.e., book) inventories and measured inventories could be quantified as inventory differences, consistent with traditional MC&A guidance from the NRC (e.g., in NUREG-1065 Revision 2, NUREG-2159 Revision 1, and RG 5.29 Revision 2). Within the reactor system, additions and removals to the book inventory include depletion of the SNM (e.g., fission of 235 U), which complicates the use of physical inventories. SNM control, however, can also likely be effectively applied to detect theft of SNM throughout a liquid-fueled MSR facility. To complement these approaches, prior technical reports have identified that a diversion path analysis may be a useful, risk-informed, and performance-based tool to determine suitable elements of an MC&A approach for the reactor system within a liquid-fueled MSR facility.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS

Regulatory Considerations for Domestic Reprocessing Facility Physical Security

U.S. advanced non-light-water reactor vendors may pursue collocated on-site reprocessing activities. Therefore, these facilities are likely to possess formula quantities, or Category I quantities, of special nuclear material (SNM) during normal operations. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (U.S. NRC) has yet to formally establish a regulatory framework for commercial reprocessing. While Category I requirements would explicitly not apply in this circumstance under current regulatory requirements, regulatory certainty does not exist. A novel framework should be developed to ensure public health and safety while also risk-informing the physical security requirements. This report reviews the relevant background of related rulemaking activities and proposes risk-informed physical protection requirements to satisfy these objectives. Insights from NRC security-related rulemaking activities provide a substantial technical basis to approach potential establishment of physical security requirements for reprocessing facilities. If a licensee can provide justification that the material satisfies a sufficient self-protecting radiation dose threshold, the material may not be subject to theft or diversion requirements and only potential sabotage requirements would apply. Furthermore, if the material can be justified to be moderately dilute, a set of risk-informed requirements could provide adequate protection of public health and safety. A revised performance objective for prevention of theft of moderately dilute Category I SNM may be detection to allow prompt recovery by a local law enforcement agency. However, a significant caveat to the proposed categorization scheme is the unknown integration of radiological sabotage with requirements for the protection against theft. Future licensees should consult with the NRC regarding treatment of this regulatory topic. Additionally, the self-protecting radiation dose threshold (either the existing or a proposed future threshold) would need to be considered. An integrated approach may apply graded potential requirements for protection against the design basis threat of radiological sabotage currently applicable to commercial nuclear power plants and Category I SNM facilities defined within 10 CFR 73.1(a).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS

Special Nuclear Material Mass Estimates from Neutron Singles Count Rate [Poster]

The objective of this research was to create an algorithm to provide an estimate of special nuclear material (SNM) mass using only neutron count rate data from a Radioisotope Identification Device (RIID), rather than using time-correlated data from a neutron multiplicity counter. To meet this objective neutron count rate measurements of a 252 Cf source were taken at varying distances with an ORTEC Detective X, FLIR Identifinder 2, and an ORTEC RADEAGLET-R. An algorithm was created to estimate mass of SNM utilizing the singles rate equation and the measured absolute efficiency curves.

FLIR

In Situ Spectroscopic Monitoring of MSR Molten Salt and Off-Gas Systems

A significant challenge that must be overcome before commercialization of molten salt reactors is tracking special nuclear material (SNM) through the reactor and subsystems such as fuel chemical processing and off-gas systems. In recent years, several approaches have been explored to track SNM, fission products, and corrosion products in these different subsystems. One such approach is to employ laser and optical spectroscopy to measure the atomic and molecular signals of MSR salts. The advantages of these approaches are that they typically are non-intrusive and offer the capability of process monitoring while still providing low uncertainties. At the Idaho National Laboratory, spectroscopy approaches such as laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) and ultraviolet-visible (UV-Vis) spectroscopy have been utilized to investigate molten salts in an aerosol (LiCl, KCl, RbCl2, NdCl3, and PrCl3) and vapor phases (MgCl5, NdCl5, and ZrCl4) with success. Testing to date has yielded qualitative information on all the above species and quantitative data and analytical figures of merit for species in the vapor phases. These findings, including results from ongoing testing, as well as the experimental conditions and potential applications will be presented.

98 - NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL

Performance of a dynamic single bubbler in single and two-phase immiscible liquids

Ensuring nonproliferation and safeguards of special nuclear materials (SNM) is a critical aspect of advancing the nuclear fuel cycle. Traditional bubbler systems used to estimate liquid levels and densities in nuclear recycling processes have limitations, particularly in harsh environments where dip-tube corrosion and buildup necessitate frequent maintenance and recalibration. This study explores the Dynamic Single Bubbler (DSB) method, which utilizes a single dip-tube attached to a linear actuator to estimate liquid properties dynamically. This approach is extended to estimate liquid-liquid interfaces in immiscible liquids and employs a linear regression method to reduce uncertainties and improve accuracy. The DSB method achieved density estimate uncertainties of less than 0.5% and surface level estimate uncertainties typically under 0.5%, across various fluids including water, acetone, methanol, mineral oil, glycerol, and aqueous salt solutions. Results indicate that the DSB method provides accurate and robust estimates of liquid density and surface levels with minimal maintenance and without the need for calibration. Additionally, the method's applicability to immiscible liquids and various dip-tube geometries was demonstrated, showing promise for widespread use in nuclear and other industrial applications.

98 - NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL

Vertically Self-Oriented, Ultrafast 1D ZnO:Li Nanorods as Scintillators for Thermal Neutron Detection

Detection of special nuclear materials (SNMs) is of vital importance in the prevention of nuclear terrorism and to secure states’ national security. Neutron detection is a particularly useful tool to identify SNM, and neutron-sensitive scintillators have many promising properties, such as ease of use, good time resolution, and high detection efficiency. In this work, we develop highly stable, self-oriented, ultrafast 1D ZnO:Li (and codoped with Al, Ga, and In) nanorods (NRs) as thermal neutron-sensitive scintillators. Lithium-6 has high thermal neutron cross section for the (n, α) reaction in ZnO:Li scintillators which have a vertical nano array design greatly increasing the effective surface area and scintillation efficiency. Cost-effective low-temperature (95 °C) hydrothermal growth is used to obtain highly crystalline ZnO:Li nano scintillators by combining nuclear range data and electron transport mechanisms. Among the studies using low-temperature hydrothermal synthesis and a relatively low annealing temperature (≈350 °C) along with optimized NRs (length ≈ 5–8 μm, mean diameter ≈ 700 nm) for thermal neutron detection, this study reports the shortest scintillation decay time (≈ 470 ps) so far to the best of our knowledge. In conclusion, this nano array scintillator combines the advantages of a low-cost growth technique with environmentally friendly and widely available materials.

Ions

Bayesian inference of nuclear incompressibility from collective flow in mid-central Au+Au collisions at 400–1500 MeV/nucleon

The incompressibility K of symmetric nuclear matter (SNM) is determined through a Bayesian analysis of collective flow data from Au + Au collisions at beam energies $E = 400 -1500$ MeV/nucleon. This analysis utilizes a Gaussian process (GP) emulator applied to the isospin-dependent quantum molecular dynamics (IQMD) model for heavy-ion collisions, both with and without incorporating the momentum dependence of the single-nucleon potentials. Specifically, at the 68% confidence level, using rapidity and transverse velocity dependence of proton elliptic flow data with and without consideration of the momentum dependence, the inferred incompressibility values are $K=188.9^{+2.9}_{-4.5}$ MeV and $256.1^{+8.2}_{-8.7}$ MeV at $E = 400$ MeV/nucleon, respectively. When the transverse momentum dependence of proton-like directed flow data is included, the inferred incompressibility values become $K=222.3^{+9.0}_{-9.9}$ MeV and $K=285.5^{+6.7}_{-7.3}$ MeV, respectively. Furthermore, we found that the value of K derived from observables of proton elliptic flow increases with beam energy. Finally, this indicates that the equation of state (EoS) of nuclear matter hardens at higher densities and temperatures in reactions with higher beam energies.

Bayesian inference

Low Mutation Rate and Atypical Mutation Spectrum in Prasinoderma coloniale : Insights From an Early Diverging Green Lineage

Mutations are the ultimate source of genetic diversity on which natural selection and genetic drift act, playing a crucial role in evolution and long-term adaptation. At the molecular level, the spontaneous mutation rate (µ), defined as the number of mutations per base per generation, thus determines the adaptive potential of a species. Through a mutation accumulation experiment, we estimate the mutation rate and spectrum in Prasinoderma coloniale, a phytoplankton species from an early-branching lineage within the Archaeplastida, characterized by an unusually high genomic guanine-cytosine (GC) content (69.8%). We find that P. coloniale has a very low total mutation rate of µ = 2.00 × 10 -10 . The insertion–deletion mutation rate is almost 5 times lesser than the single nucleotide mutation rate with µ ID = 3.40 × 10 -11 and µ SNM = 1.62 × 10 -10 . Prasinoderma coloniale also exhibits an atypical mutational spectrum: While essentially all other eukaryotes show a bias toward GC to AT mutations, no evidence of this AT-bias is observed in P. coloniale. Since cytosine methylation is known to be mutagenic, we hypothesized that this may result from an absence of C-methylation. Surprisingly, we found high levels of C-methylation (14% in 5mC, 25% in 5mCG contexts). Methylated cytosines did not show increased mutation rates compared with unmethylated ones, not supporting the prevailing notion that C-methylation universally leads to higher mutation rates. Overall, P. coloniale combines a GC-rich genome with a low mutation rate and original mutation spectrum, suggesting the almost universal AT-bias may not have been present in the ancestor of the green lineage.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Detector Response and Battery Reliability

The Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) Material Control and Accountability (MC&A) measurements team performs confirmation measurements of Special Nuclear Material (SNM) at different locations around Sandia. The measurement team has access to two High purity Germanium (HPGe) detectors, the AEGIS (Model: AEGIS-BEGE5030), and the ORTEC (Model: trans-SPEC-DX-100). These two can operate purely on battery power, but the response of the detectors while on battery power is not well documented. To enhance our knowledge with these detectors the team wants to investigate the detectors response to changes in battery range, wall charging, and mid operation battery swaps (Hot Swaps).

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND

Control Boundary Analysis for Liquid-Fueled Molten Salt Reactors

The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) will likely require license applicants for liquid-fueled molten salt reactors (MSRs) with circulating fuel to submit a nuclear material control and accounting (MC&A) plan or provide a detailed MC&A program description for the facility. In liquid-fueled MSRs with special nuclear material (SNM) in bulk form (i.e., not in discrete items) and with rapidly changing quantities due to fuel transmutation and depletion, a novel MC&A approach is needed because traditional nuclear material accounting methods with material balance evaluations will not be sufficient. This report details the continued efforts carried out at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) during FY 2025 to develop a distinct MC&A approach suitable specifically for domestic safeguards of the first-of-a-kind MSRs. These efforts are built on previous ORNL efforts reported in ORNL/SPR-2023/3181 and ORNL/SPR-2024/3555.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS

Baseline Hypothetical Facility for the Production of 131 I and 99 Mo using Activation Targets

This report describes a hypothetical facility for production of medical radioisotopes via activation under the Proliferation Resistance and Optimization (PRO-X) program. The facility uses neutron activation of non-special nuclear material (SNM) to produce the medical isotopes 131 I and 99 Mo at a throughput of 60 Ci/week of 131 I and 5 Ci/week of 99 Mo. The hypothetical design was carried out using a 10 MWt research reactor. The precursors used for the activation process were TeO2 for 131 I and MoO 3 for 99 Mo. The processes are performed in 3 hot cells used for target receipt, extraction, purification low specific activity (LSA) generator introduction, and packaging. A fourth hotcell is used for waste processing. The hot cell processing area takes up a footprint of 15.4 m 2 with the total footprint of the facility, including space for administrative offices, non-rad labs, quality assurance, and radiation buffer areas set at 763 m 2 . Waste is produced at a weekly rate of 257.8 g low activity solid waste and 8032.7 mL of low activity liquid waste, 8032 mL of which is water. This baseline hypothetical facility for production of medical isotopes via activation was then compared and contrasted to the hypothetical facility for production of medical isotopes via fission products to show the differences in approach for the two production modes. The two production modes had several highlighted differences including the overall facility and hot cell layout, the type and amount of waste produced by the respective facilities, and economic factors impacting production mode. Finally, a decision tree for which production mode might be more beneficial for an entrant into medical isotope production was developed based on the differences examined and the desired output of medical isotopes desired by the entrant.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W

Field Testing of Safeguards Technologies in the Hot Fuel Examination Facility

Recent developments in nuclear fuel reprocessing techniques have yielded more efficient processes and fuel cycle options that strengthen the nuclear industry and production of clean energy. One such area of interest is pyroprocessing of used oxide fuel. However, with these advances in the back end of the nuclear fuel cycle, advances in safeguards instrumentation, measurements, and approaches are needed to ensure special nuclear material (SNM) is accounted for according to regulatory requirements. As a high-level overview of a nominal pyroprocessing approach, used oxide fuel from commercial light water reactors (LWR) is mechanically removed from the metallic cladding. Then the fuel is crushed and randomized representative samples are taken and sent to an analytical lab for analysis. The analytical results of the feed material are used for input accountancy into the rest of the process. The crushed oxide fuel is then moved to the oxide reduction (OR) furnace where it is reduced from an oxide to metallic form. The OR product is distilled to remove salt and then moved to an electrorefiner (ER), where it is immersed in a eutectic mixture of lithium chloride potassium chloride (LiCl-KCl) that typically ranges between 450-550 ?. Within the ER, the usable uranium is electrochemically transported through the molten salt from the anode to the cathode, and then subsequently removed as a relatively pure U product.. A simplified model of pyroprocessing techniques with added emphasis on the safeguards can be seen below in Fig. 1

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS

FRAM Version 7.1’s Bias

The Fixed-Energy Response-Function Analysis with Multiple Efficiency (FRAM) code was developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory to measure the gamma-ray spectrometry of the isotopic composition of plutonium, uranium, and other actinides. For FRAM versions 4 and earlier, the reported uncertainties of the results come from the propagation of the statistics in the peak areas only. No systematic error components are included in the reported uncertainties. For FRAM versions 5 and 6, we examined the FRAM analytical results of both the archival plutonium data and the data specifically acquired for the isotopic uncertainty analysis project and found the relationship between the bias and other parameters. We worked out the equations representing the biases of the measured isotopes from each measurement using internal spectral parameters, such as peak resolution and shape, region of analysis, and burnup (for plutonium) or enrichment (for uranium). The resulting biases were included in the reported uncertainties of FRAM v.5 and v.6.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS