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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Improved Representations of Longwave Surface Emissivity to Reduce Surface and Atmospheric Heating Biases in Earth System Models

Abstract Many Earth system models (ESMs) approximate surface emissivity as a broadband constant. This approximation reduces the computational burden, yet omits the spectral structure of emissivity and atmospheric absorption. Neglecting spectral variation in surface emission introduces biases in longwave (LW) atmospheric fluxes and heating. Biases are strongest over surfaces with strongly varying emissivity and minimal atmospheric opacity. We examine these biases over water, ice, and snow surfaces. We partition spectral emissivity into the 16 spectral bands utilized by a single‐column atmospheric radiative transfer model (RRTMG_LW) commonly used in ESMs. We quantify flux and heating biases introduced by broadband assumptions relative to the spectrally resolved case for standard atmospheric profiles over each surface type. Current assumptions tend to overestimate upwelling surface fluxes; for example, the greybody assumption overestimates flux by 1.6 W/m 2 (0.52%) at the bottom of a mid‐latitude winter atmosphere over ice, and by 2.33 (1.0%) at the top of atmosphere. The blackbody assumption tends to artificially cool Earth's surface, stabilizing the lower troposphere. Interestingly, the optimal broadband emissivity can deviate from the Planck‐weighted mean by up to 3% depending on surface type and atmospheric profile. We investigate bias sensitivity to surface temperature, cloud water path, and atmospheric water vapor. Bias is most sensitive to water vapor content, and least sensitive to cloud water path. Lastly, we show that a modified greybody method with updated broadband values can reduce total surface flux bias up to 1.69 , comparable to a five‐band approach and at a fraction of the computational cost.

Manzo, L. [Department of Earth System Science Univ

Operation at Reduced Atmospheric Pressure and Concept of Reliability Redundancy for Optimized Design of Insulation Systems

Electrified transportation is calling for insulation design criteria that is adequate to provide elevated levels of power density, power dynamics and reliability. Increasing voltage levels are expected to cause accelerated intrinsic and extrinsic aging effects which will not be easily predictable at the design stage due to a lack of suitable modeling. Designing reliable insulation systems would require finding solutions able to control accelerated aging due to an unpredictable increase of intrinsic stresses and the onset of extrinsic stresses as partial discharges. This paper proposes the concept of reliability redundancy for the insulation design of aerospace electrical asset components, which is also validated at lower-than-standard atmospheric pressure. The principle is that extrinsic-aging-free design might be achieved upon determining the aging stress or abnormal service stresses distribution and being sure that aging will not generate conditions that can incept extrinsic aging (partial discharges) during operation life. However, such information is never, in practice, fully available to insulation system designers. Hence, especially in critical applications such as electrified aircraft, aerospace, and combat ships a further level of reliability should be added to a partial-discharge-free design, which can consist of the use of corona-resistant materials and/or of life models able to consider the accelerated aging effect of partial discharges (or any other type of extrinsic-accelerated aging factor). Innovative life modeling considering both extrinsic and intrinsic aging stresses, insulating material testing to estimate model parameters, and a metric for quantifying the extent of corona (or partial discharge) resistance can lead to establishing feasibility and limit conditions for optimized or fully reliability-redundant design. It is shown in the paper that if an extrinsic-aging-free design is not feasible, and it is therefore replaced by a redundant design, a further level of reliability redundancy can be provided by effective condition monitoring plans.

Montanari, Gian Carlo

A Climatology and Life‐Cycle Characteristics of Atmospheric Fronts and Their Associated Precipitation

Abstract Atmospheric fronts are one of the main sources of mid‐latitude variability. We employ a novel method for identifying and tracking fronts and frontal precipitation. Thermal and dynamical variables are used to identify fronts as areal objects in space, which are tracked in time using the open‐source TempestExtremes software package. Precipitation objects are co‐located to identify frontal precipitation. The method is subjected to validation and sensitivity tests using manually curated data from the National Weather Service. Climatologies of fronts and frontal precipitation are computed from reanalysis and observations; fronts are present upwards of 14% of the time in the storm tracks, and represent the majority (up to 90%) of total and extreme precipitation. Novel aspects of the method are showcased through the lifetime characteristics of fronts across North America. Three sets of warm and cold fronts were discovered, and their duration, distance‐traveled, and translation velocity are examined. Plain Language Summary Mid‐latitude low‐pressure systems and weather fronts are important for our day‐to‐day experience of weather events, particularly in the mid‐latitudes. This work makes use of standardized atmospheric data and creates a method of automatically tracking these important atmospheric features and their precipitation to quantify their relative role in global precipitation. Weather fronts are persistent in the mid‐latitudes and are associated with the majority of precipitation–particularly the most intense precipitation. Trajectories of fronts over North America are categorized to create a set of archetypal fronts that occur in that region. The differences between these types of fronts are characterized. Key Points An automated, efficient, and skillful frontal detection algorithm is developed and validated Fronts contribute a larger fraction of extreme precipitation than all precipitation in mid‐latitude storm tracks Fronts across North America have substantial variation in characteristics depending on their origin location

extratropical cyclone

Accelerated oxidation of epoxy thermosets with increased O 2 pressure

Polymer oxidation is usually accelerated with temperature, which is therefore applied in nearly every experimental approach dealing with predictive materials aging. Because of this simple approach, we may tend to neglect that the effective concentration of oxygen also acts as a rate multiplier for oxidation. Increasing the oxygen partial pressure in an aging environment accelerates oxidation, and while there is often a near proportional increase initially, the effect of additional oxygen usually transitions to a saturation level at some elevated pressure. This has been theoretically described in the general autoxidation scheme and is well recognized. However, for many materials the exact rate behavior under moderately increased oxygen concentration remains to be established. We therefore review epoxy oxidation and offer a broader overview of its behavior under increased O 2 partial pressure. Experimental data are given for a few thermoset materials demonstrating their rate behavior under O 2 partial pressure up to 4 atm, meaning approximately 20 times more than under standard atmospheric conditions. Confirmative evidence suggests that epoxy materials will reach saturation oxidation rates only at significantly higher O 2 partial pressure. In such a high-pressure regime it is theoretically possible to not only accelerate oxidation, but to transition into a condition where O 2 diffusion can be increased without further accelerating the oxidation rate. Finally, this can reduce diffusion limited oxidation effects under specific accelerated aging conditions as a combination of temperature and O 2 partial pressure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Beyond standard model particles in the atmospheric flux: a long-lived stau example

We discuss fluxes of long-lived supersymmetric (SUSY) particles produced in the atmosphere from ultra-high energy cosmic-ray interactions with air nuclei. We consider long-lived particle production which proceeds first via the on-shell formation of heavier particles in the SUSY spectrum and then their decays. Specifically, we focus on the production of stau pairs from the decays of squarks produced in the initial cosmic ray-air collision under the purview of gauge-mediated symmetry breaking models that have the stau as the next-to-lightest SUSY particle. The calculation of the resulting stau flux schematically mirrors that of prompt atmospheric neutrino production, however, with the energy scale of initial hadronic collision set to EeV energy scales of the incident cosmic rays rather than the PeV energies where the prompt atmospheric neutrino fluxes dominate over neutrino fluxes from pions and kaons, and with the appropriate stau production cross section. We show the effect of accounting for the energy distribution of the staus relative to the squark energy distributions. We discuss the potential for future ultra-high energy detectors similar in scope to IceCube-Gen2 to detect atmospheric staus via tracks going through the detector volume. Current collider constraints on stau pair production within the SUSY framework considered here are more constraining than those from a detector like IceCube-Gen2 over ten years.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Repository of HydroSMADE: Hydropower Site-level Monthly Availability Data Ensemble for 1950-2100 at Existing and Potential Global Sites

This repository presents HydroSMADE—Hydropower Site-level Monthly Availability Data Ensemble, a new open dataset that provides monthly hydropower availability for 1,593 existing and 124,333 potential sites worldwide over the period 1950–2100. The dataset is generated by using a global hydrologic model (Xanthos) with explicit representation of hydropower operation. Specifically, HydroSMADE distinguishes between storage and diversion sites, applies optimized operating rules, and incorporates site-specific characteristics such as generation capacity, maximum turbine flow, and reservoir storage. Driven by bias-corrected meteorological inputs, the data is provided for 30 alternative future scenarios. The scenarios consist of the full factorial combination of three standard CMIP6 atmospheric forcing pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) and ten CMIP6 General Circulation Models (GCMs): GFDL-ESM4, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0, EC-Earth3, CanESM5, MIROC6, CNRM-ESM2-1, UKESM1-0-LL, and CNRM-CM6-1. The repository contains a total of 122 files: a text file (readme.txt) containing a brief description of the included data, a CSV file containing site attributes, and the remaining 120 files (in CSV) containing site-level monthly hydropower availability. Example Jupyter Notebooks to explore the HydroSMADE dataset are available on GitHub at https://github.com/kamal0013/HydroSMADE More details on the methods and technical validation of HydroSMADE are available in the following paper by the same authors: Chowdhury, A. K., Abeshu, G. W., Zhao, M., Wild, T. B., Hassan, N., Ying, Z., Kim, G. J., Matthew, B., Jonathan, L., & Li, H.-Y. (Submitted). Hydropower Site-level Monthly Availability Data Ensemble for 1950-2100 at Existing and Potential Global Sites.

Existing and Potential Sites

Event Log / Raw Data

The WFIP3 event log is a curated record spanning 578 days of meteorological phenomena and field observations that complements the campaign’s high-frequency measurements. The log combines manually documented daily weather discussions with automatically derived indicators of key atmospheric processes, providing standardized, publicly available context to support model evaluation, forecast verification, and case-study selection for offshore boundary-layer research.

17 WIND ENERGY

User Manual for BLADE main.py

This manual provides step-by-step instructions for installing, configuring, and using BLADE, an automated framework for analyzing and classifying bolide light curves from NASA CNEOS datasets. BLADE enables efficient, reproducible analysis of atmospheric entry phenomena, supporting planetary defense and atmospheric science research through standardized signal processing and event classification.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS

Weather and climate extremes in a changing Arctic

Weather and climate extremes are increasingly occurring in the Arctic. Here, in this Review, we evaluate historical and projected changes in rare Arctic extremes across the atmosphere, cryosphere and ocean and elucidate their driving mechanisms. Clear shifts occur in mean and extreme distributions after ~2000. For instance, pre-2000 to post-2000 observational probabilities of 1.5 standard deviation events increase by 20% for atmospheric heat waves, 76.7% for Atlantic layer warm events, 83.5% for Arctic sea ice loss and 62.9% for Greenland Ice Sheet melt extent — in many cases, low probability, rare extreme events in the early period become the norm in the latter period. These observed changes can be explained using a ‘pushing and triggering’ concept, representing interplay between external forcing and internal variability: long-term warming destabilizes the climate system and ‘pushes’ it to a new state, allowing subsequent variability associated with large-scale atmosphere–ocean–ice interactions and synoptic systems to ‘trigger’ extreme events over different timescales. Ongoing anthropogenic warming is expected to further increase the frequency and magnitude of extremes, such that simulated probabilities of 1.5 standard deviation events increase by 72.6% for atmospheric heat waves, 68.7% for Atlantic layer warm events and 93.3% for Greenland Ice Sheet melt rate between historic (1984–2014) and future (2069–2099) periods under a very high emission scenario. Future research should prioritize the development of physically based metrics, enhance high-resolution observation and modelling capabilities and improve understanding of multiscale Arctic climate drivers.

atmospheric dynamics

Field Study of Nighttime Leakage Currents in Bifacial PV Modules: Correlation with Atmospheric Electric Field Data

Leakage currents measured on PV modules in the field originate from a potential difference between the modules' frame and the cells. They can be a relative indicator of Potential-Induced Degradation (PID) severity, especially when comparing the same module design in a different environment. As modules are not operating at night, no leakage current should be observed but our team has reported several events of nighttime leakage currents on bifacial PV modules. These events have been firstly observed during a thunderstorm that are characterized by strong atmospheric electrical field values. This lead us to believe that nighttime leakage currents could originate from the atmospheric electric charges. In this paper, we correlate nighttime leakage currents measured on bifacial PV modules with field mill data to identify the origin of nighttime leakage currents. Our results show that so far, no leakage currents at night occur when the atmospheric electric field is between 0 and 150–200 V/m (standard value for fair weather). As soon as the atmospheric electric field is out of this range, leakage currents are observed with or without rain involved. This suggests a transport of charged particles from the atmosphere to the modules' frame. A combination of heavy rain with strong atmospheric electric field results into high nighttime leakage currents with a magnitude up to 8 times higher than what observed during the day with -1500V applied. This is explained by an easier transport of the charged particles through the water droplets. Based on these results, leakage currents observed during the day might not be only due to the inherent potential difference between the frame and the cells depending on the atmospheric electric field activity. We believe that it should be taken into account in PID studies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Neutron Reconstruction via Blips in Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers

Neutrons are important in the separation of neutrino and antineutrino in atmospheric neutrino oscillation and in reducing atmospheric-neutrino backgrounds in beyond-standard model searches, but they are not explicitly accounted for in most current LArTPC reconstruction. We present a phenomenological study of neutron activities in liquid argon time projection chamber using detector-response constraints from existing detectors. Leveraging energy deposits from neutron scattering, primarily low-energy localized ,blips, we demonstrate the capability to identify neutrons and to reconstruct neutron multiplicity in neutrino interactions. Including neutron information significantly improves neutrino-antineutrino separation and the identification of rare events against atmospheric-neutrino backgrounds, motivating neutron-aware reconstruction for future high-precision LArTPC analyses.

Hernandez Morquecho, Miguel Angel [Minnesota U.] (

ERF: Energy Research and Forecasting Model

High performance computing (HPC) architectures have undergone rapid development in recent years. As a result, established software suites face an ever increasing challenge to remain performant on and portable across modern systems. Many of the widely adopted atmospheric modeling codes cannot fully (or in some cases, at all) leverage the acceleration provided by General-Purpose Graphics Processing Units, leaving users of those codes constrained to increasingly limited HPC resources. Energy Research and Forecasting (ERF) is a regional atmospheric modeling code that leverages the latest HPC architectures, whether composed of only Central Processing Units (CPUs) or incorporating GPUs. ERF contains many of the standard discretizations and basic features needed to model general atmospheric dynamics. The modular design of ERF provides a flexible platform for exploring different physics parameterizations and numerical strategies. ERF is built on a state-of-the-art, well-supported, software framework (AMReX) that provides a performance portable interface and ensures ERF's long-term sustainability on next generation computing systems. This paper details the numerical methodology of ERF, presents results for a series of verification/validation cases, and documents ERF's performance on current HPC systems. The roughly 5× speed up of ERF (using GPUs) over Weather Research and Forecasting (CPUs only) for a 3D squall line test case highlights the significance of leveraging GPU acceleration.

17 WIND ENERGY

The Curious Case of [AnH(NR 2 ) 3 ] (An = Th, U; R = SiMe 3 ): Two Monomeric Actinide Hydrides Revisited

The reaction of AnCl 4 (DME) x (An = Th, x = 2; An = U, x = 0) with 4 equiv of NaNR 2 (R = SiMe 3 ) in THF at 65 °C results in the formation of [An{N(R)(SiMe 2 CH 2 )}(NR 2 ) 2 ] (An = U, 1; An = Th, 2), and not the reported monomeric actinide hydrides, [AnH(NR 2 ) 3 ], as expected. Furthermore, both complexes 1 and 2 were characterized by X-ray crystallography. Surprisingly, their unit cell parameters are remarkably close to those reported for [AnH(NR 2 ) 3 ], suggesting that the original crystals of [AnH(NR 2 ) 3 ] were, in fact, [An{N(R)(SiMe 2 CH 2 )}(NR 2 ) 2 ], but were misidentified. Reduction of 1 with 1.1 equiv of KC 8 in THF, in the presence of 1 equiv of 2.2.2-cryptand, results in the formation of [K(2.2.2-cryptand)][U{N(R)(SiMe 2 CH 2 )}(NR 2 ) 2 ] (3) in good yield. Likewise, the reaction of 1 with 1 equiv of bis(diisopropylamino)cyclopropenylidene (BAC) results in the formation of the BAC adduct, [(BAC)U{N(R)(SiMe 2 CH 2 )}(NR 2 ) 2 ] (4), in moderate yield. Finally, the addition of H 2 (10 bar) to 2 in C 6 D 6 at room temperature results in the formation of the targeted monomeric hydride, [ThH(NR 2 ) 3 ], in 32% yield, according to integrations against an internal standard. However, removal of the H 2 atmosphere results in rapid reformation of 2. In contrast, the addition of H 2 (10 bar) to 1 in C 6 D 6 at room temperature results in no apparent reaction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Demonstration of an Automated System for Vertical Profiles of Volatile Organic Compounds

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) play important roles throughout the atmosphere, many of which are altitude dependent. This highlights the need for easily deployable devices to sample VOCs across different atmospheric layers. To address this, we present the design and initial application of a Time Resolved Automated Volatile organIc compounds Sampling system (TRAVIS). VOCs are collected on sorbent tubes, which are subsequently analyzed by a thermal desorption gas chromatography mass spectrometry pipeline. TRAVIS leverages a piezoelectric pump with an integrated pressure sensor for precise (0.1% flow rate relative standard deviation) and accurate (−3 ± 2% error in VOC quantitation) measurements. Via deployment on a tethered balloon system over an agricultural area, TRAVIS is used to show consistent vertically resolved VOC concentrations in a well-mixed (i.e., turbulent) atmosphere (e.g., 5% relative standard deviation for isoprene) and vertically dependent concentrations for a stratified atmosphere (e.g., prior to boundary layer development). Furthermore, we also show VOC information from an intermittent plume via both targeted and untargeted analysis, highlighting future applications for spurious events in agriculture, air quality monitoring, and environmental impact. Overall, the development of TRAVIS represents a lightweight, accurate, sensitive, and precise VOC sampling module for the scientific community.

Aerosols

Corrosion of Rare-Earth Disilicate Environmental Barrier Coatings in Gas Turbine Environments—Part 2: Microstructure Model

A model for the volatization of ytterbium disilicate (YbDS) by water vapor is developed. The new model is based on the Deal & Grove theory of the thermal oxidation of silicon [1], generalized here to account for the multi-step, second-order chemical reactions for silica depletion, multi-component mixture effects, and the unsteady porous microstructural evolution of the corroded inner zone. With the new model, the fundamental kinetic rate and standard porous media parameters are determined using the atmospheric steam jet impingement experiment of Ridley & Opila [2] and compared to results from the original Deal & Grove model. Fixing the input parameters in each respective model, a validation study (blind prediction) is presented for the high Reynolds number (1 × 105) and high pressure (14.7 atm) burner rig experiment of Wan et al. [3].

Cha, Chong M [Rolls Royce]

Evidential Deep Learning: Enhancing Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Earth System Science Applications

Abstract Robust quantification of predictive uncertainty is a critical addition needed for machine learning applied to weather and climate problems to improve the understanding of what is driving prediction sensitivity. Ensembles of machine learning models provide predictive uncertainty estimates in a conceptually simple way but require multiple models for training and prediction, increasing computational cost and latency. Parametric deep learning can estimate uncertainty with one model by predicting the parameters of a probability distribution but does not account for epistemic uncertainty. Evidential deep learning, a technique that extends parametric deep learning to higher-order distributions, can account for both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties with one model. This study compares the uncertainty derived from evidential neural networks to that obtained from ensembles. Through applications of the classification of winter precipitation type and regression of surface-layer fluxes, we show evidential deep learning models attaining predictive accuracy rivaling standard methods while robustly quantifying both sources of uncertainty. We evaluate the uncertainty in terms of how well the predictions are calibrated and how well the uncertainty correlates with prediction error. Analyses of uncertainty in the context of the inputs reveal sensitivities to underlying meteorological processes, facilitating interpretation of the models. The conceptual simplicity, interpretability, and computational efficiency of evidential neural networks make them highly extensible, offering a promising approach for reliable and practical uncertainty quantification in Earth system science modeling. To encourage broader adoption of evidential deep learning, we have developed a new Python package, Machine Integration and Learning for Earth Systems (MILES) group Generalized Uncertainty for Earth System Science (GUESS) (MILES-GUESS) ( https://github.com/ai2es/miles-guess ), that enables users to train and evaluate both evidential and ensemble deep learning. Significance Statement This study demonstrates a new technique, evidential deep learning, for robust and computationally efficient uncertainty quantification in modeling the Earth system. The method integrates probabilistic principles into deep neural networks, enabling the estimation of both aleatoric uncertainty from noisy data and epistemic uncertainty from model limitations using a single model. Our analyses reveal how decomposing these uncertainties provides valuable insights into reliability, accuracy, and model shortcomings. We show that the approach can rival standard methods in classification and regression tasks within atmospheric science while offering practical advantages such as computational efficiency. With further advances, evidential networks have the potential to enhance risk assessment and decision-making across meteorology by improving uncertainty quantification, a longstanding challenge. This work establishes a strong foundation and motivation for the broader adoption of evidential learning, where properly quantifying uncertainties is critical yet lacking.

Schreck, John S.

SPRUCE Photosynthesis and Respiration of Picea mariana and Larix laricina in SPRUCE Experimental Plots, 2019

This dataset contains physiological, morphological, and chemical measurements of the two dominant coniferous species, Picea mariana and Larix laricina, in August 2019 (2019-08-20 to 2019-08-22) at the SPRUCE (Spruce and Peatland Responses under Changing Environments) experiment site in the Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Minnesota, USA. These observations help to assess the effects of whole ecosystem scale warming and elevated carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations on peatland ecosystems. Measurements include light-saturated photosynthesis and foliar dark respiration measurements under standard conditions and growth conditions involving varying temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations, as well as leaf morphology measurements (leaf mass per unit leaf area) and nitrogen content based on mass and leaf area. Net photosynthesis and dark respiration measurements were taken using portable photosynthesis systems (LI6400XT, LI6800, LI-COR Biosciences, USA). This dataset contains one data file in comma-separate values (*.csv) format. Additional metadata are provided: a data dictionary and a file-level metadata file in comma-separate values (.csv) format and a user guide in PDF (*.pdf) format.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Alaska Meteorology, Energy, and Transmission (MET) Toolkit

The Alaska MET (Meteorology, Energy, and Transmission) Toolkit is the National Laboratory of the Rockies' (NLR) new flagship atmospheric dataset, designed to support comprehensive long-term planning and operations across the entire power sector. Serving as the regional counterpart to CONUS-wide HRRR MET Toolkit, this dataset provides a comprehensive, high-fidelity meteorological record covering Alaska.The Alaska MET Toolkit is delivered at an hourly resolution on a standardized 2-km horizontal grid. This dataset is repackaged from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) operational High-Resolution Rapid Refresh for Alaska (HRRR-AK) forecasts. Spanning from 2019 to 2025, it overcomes the technical barriers of native weather models by providing spatial regridding from the native 3-km HRRR-AK horizontal resolution to a 2-km grid, temporal gap-filling, and vertical interpolation at key energy-relevant heights. By delivering highly accurate, validation-backed data across a comprehensive suite of atmospheric variables - including temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind characteristics - the Alaska MET Toolkit provides a highly accessible and strictly standardized foundation for modern power system modeling.

17 WIND ENERGY