The High Inclination Solar Mission (HISM): Observing the Sun from above Using Solar Sails
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Solar Sai, Solar Physics↗
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Solar photovoltaic waterless soiling monitoring systems and methods
A system for evaluation of soiling of solar photovoltaic (PV) modules may comprise a first pair of solar PV modules exposed to the elements, a second pair of solar PV modules enclosed within a protective housing having a glass cover; a component coupling the glass cover to the protective housing. The component may be configured to displace the glass cover for a limited period of time to temporarily expose the second pair of solar PV modules to the atmospheric elements.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
A subpolar-focused stratospheric aerosol injection deployment scenario
Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is a prospective climate intervention technology that would seek to abate climate change by deflecting back into space a small fraction of the incoming solar radiation. While most consideration given to SAI assumes a global intervention, this paper considers an alternative scenario whereby SAI might be deployed only in the subpolar regions. Subpolar deployment would quickly envelope the poles as well and could arrest or reverse ice and permafrost melt at high latitudes. This would yield global benefit by retarding sea level rise. Given that effective SAI deployment could be achieved at much lower altitudes in these regions than would be required in the tropics, it is commonly assumed that subpolar deployment would present fewer aeronautical challenges. An SAI deployment intended to reduce average surface temperatures in both the Arctic and Antarctic regions by 2 °C is deemed here to be feasible at relatively low cost with conventional technologies. However, we do not find that such a deployment could be undertaken with a small fleet of pre-existing aircraft, nor that relegating such a program to these sparsely populated regions would obviate the myriad governance challenges that would confront any such deployment. Nevertheless, given its feasibility and potential global benefit, the prospect of subpolar-focused SAI warrants greater attention.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Potential Non-Linearities in the High Latitude Circulation and Ozone Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection
The impacts of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) on the atmosphere and surface climate depend on when and where the sulfate aerosol precursors are injected, as well as on how much surface cooling is to be achieved. We use a set of CESM2(WACCM6) SAI simulations achieving three different levels of global mean surface cooling and demonstrate that unlike some direct surface climate impacts driven by the reflection of solar radiation by sulfate aerosols, the SAI-induced changes in the high latitude circulation and ozone are more complex and could be non-linear. This manifests in our simulations by disproportionally larger Antarctic springtime ozone loss, significantly larger intra-ensemble spread of the Arctic stratospheric jet and ozone responses, and non-linear impacts on the extratropical modes of surface climate variability under the strongest-cooling SAI scenario compared to the weakest one. These potential non-linearities may add to uncertainties in projections of regional surface impacts under SAI.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Emulating inconsistencies in stratospheric aerosol injection
Abstract Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) would involve the addition of sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere to reflect part of the incoming solar radiation, thereby cooling the climate. Studies trying to explore the impacts of SAI have often focused on idealized scenarios without explicitly introducing what we call ‘inconsistencies’ in a deployment. A concern often discussed is what would happen to the climate system after an abrupt termination of its deployment, whether inadvertent or deliberate. However, there is a much wider range of plausible inconsistencies in deployment than termination that should be evaluated to better understand associated risks. In this work, we simulate a few representative inconsistencies in a pre-existing SAI scenario: an abrupt termination, a decade-long gradual phase-out, and 1 year and 2 year temporary interruptions of deployment. After examining their climate impacts, we use these simulations to train an emulator, and use this to project global mean temperature response for a broader set of inconsistencies in deployment. Our work highlights the capacity of a finite set of explicitly simulated scenarios that include inconsistencies to inform an emulator that is capable of expanding the space of scenarios that one might want to explore far more quickly and efficiently.
Farley, Jared (ORCID:0000000322062272)↗
Indices of extremes: geographic patterns of change in extremes and associated vegetation impacts under climate intervention
Extreme weather events have been demonstrated to be increasing in frequency and intensity across the globe and are anticipated to increase further with projected changes in climate. Solar climate intervention strategies, specifically stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), have the potential to minimize some of the impacts of a changing climate while more robust reductions in greenhouse gas emissions take effect. However, to date little attention has been paid to the possible responses of extreme weather and climate events under climate intervention scenarios. We present an analysis of 16 extreme surface temperature and precipitation indices, as well as associated vegetation responses, applied to the Geoengineering Large Ensemble (GLENS). GLENS is an ensemble of simulations performed with the Community Earth System Model (CESM1) wherein SAI is simulated to offset the warming produced by a high-emission scenario throughout the 21st century, maintaining surface temperatures at 2020 levels. GLENS is generally successful at maintaining global mean temperature near 2020 levels; however, it does not completely offset some of the projected warming in northern latitudes. Some regions are also projected to cool substantially in comparison to the present day, with the greatest decreases in daytime temperatures. The differential warming–cooling also translates to fewer very hot days but more very hot nights during the summer and fewer very cold days or nights compared to the current day. Extreme precipitation patterns, for the most part, are projected to reduce in intensity in areas that are wet in the current climate and increase in intensity in dry areas. We also find that the distribution of daily precipitation becomes more consistent with more days with light rain and fewer very intense events than currently occur. In many regions there is a reduction in the persistence of long dry and wet spells compared to present day. However, asymmetry in the night and day temperatures, together with changes in cloud cover and vegetative responses, could exacerbate drying in regions that are already sensitive to drought. Overall, our results suggest that while SAI may ameliorate some of the extreme weather hazards produced by global warming, it would also present some significant differences in the distribution of climate extremes compared to the present day.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Optimizing kesterite solar cells from Cu 2 ZnSnS 4 to Cu 2 CdGe(S,Se) 4
We report the computational discovery of a chemical composition for kesterite-type solar cell absorbers, Cu 2 CdGeS 3 Se, that solves the key challenges associated with Cu 2 ZnSnS 4 defect thermodynamics while showing an optimal band gap and bulk stability.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Designing risk-free service for renewable wind and solar resources
Not provided.
Business & Economics↗
Robust and resilient coordination of feeders with uncertain distributed energy resources: from real-time control to long-term planning
To enable flexible demand and ensure reliable and economical operation of distribution systems, we present a novel hierarchical scheme that actively coordinates responsive behind-the-meter grid resources, including distributed energy resources (DERs), to reliably manage each unbalanced distribution feeder and exploits the available flexibility to economically optimize the entire network. Each layer of the scheme employs advanced optimization methods at different timescales to ensure that the system operates within both grid and device limits. The hierarchy is validated in a large-scale realistic simulation based on data from the industry. Simulation results show that coordination of flexibility improves both system reliability and economics, and enables greater penetration of solar PV. Discussion is also provided on the practical viability of the required communications and controls to implement the presented scheme within a large DSO.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Polymorphism and Optoelectronic Properties in Crystalline Supramolecular Polymers
Supramolecular polymers can emulate some of the physical properties of covalent polymers but offer new opportunities given the possibility of designing monomers that will form highly ordered assemblies with defined shapes. Internally ordered supramolecular polymers formed through nucleation–elongation self-assembly are well-known but highly crystalline examples which exhibit important properties such as light harvesting, charge transport, and ferroelectricity are not common. We report here on a detailed study of supramolecular polymers formed in water by carboxylated naphtho-p-quinodimethane amphiphiles. We found that supramolecular polymerization of these amphiphiles in aqueous media yields crystalline assemblies with morphologies that included ribbons, helically rolled ribbons, and twisted filaments. This polymorphism was found to be controlled exclusively by repulsive electrostatic interactions controlled by the degree of protonation of the carboxylic head groups which also dictates the nature of supramolecular packing. Substoichiometric amounts of base lead to highly crystalline ribbons due to a decreased surface charge density and less electrostatic repulsion. Increasing deprotonation results in helically rolled ribbons with a different polymorph crystal lattice, whereas excessive deprotonation leads to twisted filaments with maximum surface charge density. Ribbons, helical rolled ribbons, and twisted filaments revealed an increasing red shift in their visible absorption maxima. These crystalline assemblies could be potential candidates for solar energy materials and photocatalytic systems.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Superradiance and Directional Exciton Migration in Metal–Organic Frameworks
Crystalline metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) are promising synthetic analogues of photosynthetic light-harvesting complexes (LHCs). The precise assembly of linkers (organic chromophores) around the topology-defined pores offers the evolution of unique photophysical behaviors that are reminiscence of LHCs. These include MOF excited states with photoabsorbed energy that is spatially dispersed over multiple linkers defining the molecular excitons. The multilinker molecular excitons display superradiance–a hallmark of coupled oscillators seen in LHCs–with radiative rate constant (k rad ) exceeding that of a single linker. Our theoretical model and experimental results on three zirconium MOFs, namely, PCN-222(Zn), NU-1000, and SIU-100, with similar topology but varying linkers suggest that the size of such molecular excitons depends on the electronic symmetry of the linker. This multilinker exciton model effectively predicts the energy transfer rate constant; corresponding single-step exciton hopping time, ranging from a few picoseconds in SIU-100 and NU-1000 to a few hundreds of picoseconds in PCN-222(Zn), matches well with the experimental data. The model also predicts the anisotropy of exciton displacement with preferential migration along the crystallographic c-axis. Overall, these findings establish various missing links defining the exciton size and dynamics in MOF-assembled linkers. Furthermore, the understandings will provide design principles, especially, positioning the catalysts or electrode relative to the linker orientation for low-density solar energy conversion systems.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Exploring Ca–Ce–M–O (M = 3d Transition Metal) Oxide Perovskites for Solar Thermochemical Applications
Solar thermochemical (STC) processes hold promise as efficient ways to generate renewable fuels, fuel precursors, or chemical feedstocks using concentrated sunlight. Specifically, one actively researched approach is the two-step STC cycle, which uses a redox-active, off-stoichiometric, transition-metal oxide material to split water and/or CO 2 , generating H 2 and/or CO, respectively, or syngas (a combination of H 2 and CO). Identifying novel metal oxides that yield larger reduction extents (practically achievable off-stoichiometries) than the state-of-the-art CeO 2 is critical. Here, we explore the chemical space of Ca–Ce–M–O (M = 3d transition metal, except Cu and Zn) metal oxide perovskites, with Ca and/or Ce occupying the A site and M occupying the B site within an ABO 3 framework, as potential STC candidates. We use density functional theory (DFT)-based calculations and systematically evaluate the oxygen vacancy (VaO) formation energy (≈ enthalpy of reduction in an STC cycle), electronic properties, thermodynamic stability of CaMO 3 , CeMO 3 , and Ca 0.5 Ce 0.5 MO 3 perovskites, and the VaO formation energy within Ca 0.5 Ce 0.5 Ti 0.5 Mg 0.5 O 3 perovskite. We consider only Ca and/or Ce on the A site because of their similar size and the potential redox activity of Ce 4+ . If both Ce and M exhibit simultaneous reduction with Va O formation, the resulting perovskite could exhibit a larger entropy of reduction than a single cation reduction. The increased entropy produces increased reduction for fixed temperature, partial pressure of oxygen, and reduction enthalpy, and therefore increased STC efficiency. Importantly, we identify Ca 0.5 Ce 0.5 MnO 3 , Ca 0.5 Ce 0.5 FeO 3 , and Ca 0.5 Ce 0.5 VO 3 to be promising candidates based on their Va O formation energy and thermodynamic (meta)stability. Moreover, based on our calculated on-site magnetic moments, electron density of states, and electron density differences between pristine and defective structures, we find Ca 0.5 Ce 0.5 MnO 3 to exhibit simultaneous reduction of both Ce 4+ (A-site) and Mn 3+ (B-site), highlighting a particularly promising candidate for STC applications with a predicted higher entropy of reduction than CeO 2 . Lastly, we extract metrics that govern the trends in Va O formation energies, such as standard reduction potentials, and provide pointers for further experimental and theoretical studies, which will enable the design of improved materials for the STC cycle.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
A First–Principles–Based Sub–Lattice Formalism for Predicting Off–Stoichiometry in Materials for Solar Thermochemical Applications: The Example of Ceria
Theoretical models that reliably can predict off-stoichiometry in materials via accurate descriptions of underlying thermodynamics are crucial for energy applications. For example, transition-metal and rare-earth oxides that can tolerate a large number of oxygen vacancies, such as CeO 2 and doped CeO 2 , can split water and carbon dioxide via a two-step, oxide-based solar thermochemical (STC) cycle. The search for new STC materials with a performance superior to that of state-of-the-art CeO 2 can benefit from predictions accurately describing the thermodynamics of oxygen vacancies. The sub-lattice formalism, a common tool used to fit experimental data and build temperature-composition phase diagrams, can be useful in this context. Here, sub-lattice models are derived solely from zero-temperature quantum mechanics calculations to estimate fairly accurate temperature- and oxygen-partial-pressure-dependent off-stoichiometries in CeO 2 and Zr-doped CeO 2 . Physical motivations for deriving some of the “excess” sub-lattice model parameters directly from quantum mechanical calculations, instead of fitting to minimize deviations from experimental and/or theoretical data, are identified. As a result, important limitations and approximations of the approach used are specified and extensions to multi-cation oxides are also suggested to help identify novel candidates for water and carbon dioxide splitting and related applications.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Factors Governing Oxygen Vacancy Formation in Oxide Perovskites
The control of oxygen vacancy (V O ) formation is critical to advancing multiple metal-oxide-perovskite-based technologies. In this work, we report the construction of a compact linear model for the neutral V O formation energy in ABO 3 perovskites that reproduces, with reasonable fidelity, Hubbard-U-corrected density functional theory calculations based on the state-of-the-art, strongly constrained and appropriately normed exchange-correlation functional. We obtain a mean absolute error of 0.45 eV for perovskites stable at 298 K, an accuracy that holds across a large, electronically diverse set of ABO 3 perovskites. Our model considers perovskites containing alkaline-earth metals (Ca, Sr, and Ba) and lanthanides (La and Ce) on the A-site and 3d transition metals (Ti, V, Cr, Mn, Fe, Co, and Ni) on the B-site in six different crystal systems (cubic, tetragonal, orthorhombic, hexagonal, rhombohedral, and monoclinic) common to perovskites. Physically intuitive metrics easily extracted from existing experimental thermochemical data or via inexpensive quantum mechanical calculations, including crystal bond dissociation energies and (solid phase) reduction potentials, are key components of the model. Beyond validation of the model against known experimental trends in materials used in solid oxide fuel cells, the model yields new candidate perovskites not contained in our training data set, such as (Bi,Y)(Fe,Co)O 3 , which we predict may have favorable thermochemical water-splitting properties. The confluence of sufficient accuracy, efficiency, and interpretability afforded by our model not only facilitates high-throughput computational screening for any application that requires the precise control of V O concentrations but also provides a clear picture of the dominant physics governing V O formation in metal-oxide perovskites.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Reliability Evaluation of Bifacial and Monofacial Glass/Glass Modules with EVA and non-EVA Encapsulants
The market share for bifacial modules is projected to be doubled from 30% to 60% in the next ten years. For the monofacial crystalline silicon glass/backsheet (G/B) modules, extensive reliability data has been available for over 40 years. However, practically little/no long-term field or accelerated reliability test data is available for the new generation glass/glass (G/G) bifacial modules and glass/transparent (G/T) bifacial modules. Therefore, the primary motivation of this project was to identify the reliability strengths and weaknesses of new generation G/G modules compared to G/B modules. In this 3-year project, the goal was to objectively recommend the best construction materials for the new generation G/G (bifacial) modules through a systematic experimental approach with appropriate tasks including: Evaluation of field retrieved old-generation G/G modules; Inspection of new-generation G/G modules installed in the plants; Evaluation of new-generation G/G, G/B and G/T modules using EAST (Extended Accelerated Stress Testing), CAST (Combined Accelerated Stress Testing) and FAST (Field Accelerated Stress Testing); and, dynamic literature search and review. Major accomplishments and outcomes of this project are: Accomplishments: Evaluated more than 60 field retrieved modules and constructed and characterized more than 135 mini-modules with three substrate types (G, B, and T), two encapsulant types (EVA and POE), and two cell types (monofacial and bifacial) as well as evaluated more than 30 commercial G/G and G/B modules; Subjected all the modules to multitude characterization tests and various indoor and outdoor accelerated stress tests including FAST (Field Accelerated Stress Testing), EAST (Extended Accelerated Stress Testing), and CAST (Combined Accelerated Stress Testing) to identify and correlate the failure modes in both field and lab tests. Outcomes: Based on the accelerated test results and handling/mounting experience obtained in this project, the recommended best construction for the glass/glass modules is: “Framed GG modules with cut-cells and POE encapsulant (UVpass front; UVpass back).” However, from a statistical and manufacturing point of view (along with stakeholders surveys), the following cautionary notes are added to the above-mentioned recommendation: (i) Cut cells could introduce a higher level of manufacturing issues, including a higher number of cell interconnects; (ii) POE encapsulant is more expensive than EVA and could present a delamination risk and lower throughput during manufacturing due to lower adhesion strength. Other encapsulants, such as coextruded EPE (EVA/POE/EVA), are also recommended to be investigated. The potential public benefit of the proposed project is to present the strengths and weaknesses of glass/glass modules, so an informed procurement decision can be made.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Damp Heat Induced Degradation of Silicon Heterojunction Solar Cells With Cu-Plated Contacts
Damp heat exposure is one of the most stringent environments for testing the durability of solar cells in packaged modules. Damp heat stresses and induces a variety of degradation modes in solar cells and modules: for example, moisture-induced corrosion of electrodes and interconnections, deterioration of polymeric materials, and/or thermally activated diffusion processes. To screen for these and other potential degradation modes, we subject one-cell modules containing silicon heterojunction (SHJ) solar cells with Cu-plated contacts to extended damp heat tests at 85 °C/85% relative humidity. SHJ cells were laminated with two common encapsulants: ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) and polyolefin elastomer (POE), and two constructions: glass-backsheet and glass-glass. We observe degradation in all components of solar cell maximum power (PMP): current, voltage, and fill factor, and find evidence of increased carrier recombination and nonideal diode behavior with increasing stress. For glass-backsheet constructions, EVA samples generally degrade more than POE by a factor of approximately 1.5x PMP, and the different encapsulants produce different degradation patterns. Similar trends are observed in glass-glass modules, but to a lesser degree. In a different experiment, we observe a decrease in effective minority carrier lifetime of nonmetallized SHJ precursors measured after damp heat. This implies that some degradation unrelated to the contacts is to be expected and confirms the observation of increasing recombination.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗