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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Systematic analysis on spectral statistics of odd-A nuclei

Level statistics for given spin and parity below 10 MeV within A≤71, 71≤A≤151, and 151≤A≤221 mass regions are systematically analyzed. We have taken 5316 level spacings from 266 odd-A nuclei in the light mass region, 6897 level spacings from 478 ones in the medium mass region, and 2768 level spacings from 143 ones in the heavy mass region for the statistics. In the analysis, the chaoticity parameter in the Berry–Robnik distribution is determined based on the method of maximum likelihood estimation. The results show a mass number A-dependence in the level statistics. The larger the mass number, the relatively stronger in chaoticity. In addition, with the level statistics in using data sequences classified according to the order of magnitude of half-lives, it is shown that the level energies to be more chaotic for longer lived light and heavy mass odd-A nuclei, and intermediate between regular and chaotic in medium mass odd-A nuclei. The level statistical analysis in concerning E2 transition strengths of E2 or mixed E2+M1 transitions in odd-A nuclei is also made, which shows chaos in level energies likely occurring in those with weaker E2 transition strengths. Therefore, it can be concluded that odd-A nuclei are, more often than not, chaotic. Chaos is likely emergent in level energies of stable light mass nuclei with weaker E2 transition strengths, while it is definitely emergent in level energies of heavy mass nuclei, and even stronger in comparatively stable ones and those with weaker E2 transition strengths.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Lithium-ion battery physics and statistics-based state of health model

A pseudo-2d model using COMSOL Multiphysics® software is developed to simulate performance and performance degradation of Li-ion batteries consisting of layered and olivine cathodes with graphite anode when subjected to peak shaving grid service. Multiple degradation pathways are considered, including solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) formation and breakdown at the anode, cathode dissolution and its synergistic effect on SEI formation at the anode. The model is validated by simulating commercial cylindrical cell performance. A global model is developed to simulate performance across all chemistries, along with individual chemistry models using global model parameters as initial values. There is good agreement between these models for various optimization parameters such as SEI equilibrium potential, cathode dissolution exchange current density, solvent diffusivity in the SEI and SEI ionic conductivity. To circumvent time constraints related to the COMSOL model, a 0d global model is developed which fits data well and provides more clarity on differences in cathode dissolution exchange current density. Again, good agreement for various optimization parameters is obtained among the COMSOL global & individual chemistry models and the 0-d model. The lessons learned from the physics-based model is used to develop a top down statistics-based model using current, voltage and anode volumetric change per mole lithium intercalated, along with their interactions as degradation predictors. This model predicts out of sample degradation for multiple grid services and electric vehicle drive cycle with high accuracy and provides the pathway to develop an efficient battery management system combining machine learning and findings from physics-based computationally intensive algorithms.

Crawford, Aladsair J.↗

How to optimally constrain galaxy assembly bias: supplement projected correlation functions with count-in-cells statistics

Most models for the statistical connection between galaxies and their haloes ignore the possibility that galaxy properties may be correlated with halo properties other than halo mass, a phenomenon known as galaxy assembly bias. And yet, it is known that such correlations can lead to systematic errors in the interpretation of survey data that are analysed using traditional halo occupation models. At present, the degree to which galaxy assembly bias may be present in the real Universe, and the best strategies for constraining it remain uncertain. We study the ability of several observables to constrain galaxy assembly bias from redshift survey data using the decorated halo occupation distribution (dHOD), an empirical model of the galaxy-halo connection that incorporates assembly bias. We cover an expansive set of observables, including the projected two-point correlation function w p ( r p ), the galaxy-galaxy lensing signal ΔΣ( r p ), the void probability function VPF( r ), the distributions of counts-in-cylinders P(NCIC), and counts-in-annuli P(NCIA), and the distribution of the ratio of counts in cylinders of different sizes P ( N 2 /N 5 ). We find that despite the frequent use of the combination w p ( r p ) + ΔΣ( r p ) in interpreting galaxy data, the count statistics, P ( N CIC ) and P ( N CIA ), are generally more efficient in constraining galaxy assembly bias when combined with w p ( r p ). Constraints based upon w p ( r p ) and ΔΣ(rp) share common degeneracy directions in the parameter space, while combinations of r p w p ( r p ) with the count statistics are more complementary. Therefore, we strongly suggest that count statistics should be used to complement the canonical observables in future studies of the galaxy-halo connection.

galaxies: evolution↗

Statistical detection of differentially abundant ions in mass spectrometry-based imaging experiments with complex designs

Mass Spectrometry Imaging (MSI) characterizes changes in chemical composition between regions of biological samples such as tissues. This translates into a statistical goal of class comparison, i.e. determining analytes that change in abundance between conditions more systematically than as expected by random variation. To reach accurate and reproducible conclusions, statistical analysis must appropriately reflect the initial research question, the design of the MSI experiment, and all the associated sources of variation. This manuscript highlights the importance of following these general statistical principles. Using the example of two case studies with complex experimental designs, and with dierent strategies of data acquisition, we demonstrate the extent to which choices made at key points of this workflow impact the results, and provide suggestions for appropriate design and analysis of MSI experiments that aim at detecting dierentially abundant analytes.

NanoDESI, mass spectrometry, MSIQuickView↗

Uncertainties in turbulent statistics and fluxes of CO2 associated with density effect corrections

Density effect corrections (DEC) are applied to adjust raw CO2 fluxes measured by eddy covariance (EC) systems with open-path gas analyzers. DEC is also required for adjusting the measured CO2 concentration fluctuations to obtain the adjusted CO2 for analyzing turbulent statistics or quantifying fluxes. However, our data show that the power spectra of the DEC-adjusted CO2 are distorted in the high frequency range, as compared with the corresponding spectra of temperature and water vapor density. This contradicts the similarity behavior of scalars, as suggested by Monin-Obukhov similarity theory. It is demonstrated that such a distortion is caused by the DEC-induced spikes in the DEC-adjusted CO2, altering turbulent statistics of CO2 and scalar similarity between CO2 and other scalars. Our results suggest that CO2 fluxes are overestimated by applying DEC especially under high Bowen ratio conditions, potentially leading to substantial uncertainties in long-term ecosystem carbon exchange in dry regions.

Gao, Zhongming↗

On reading Youden: Learning about the practice of statistics and applied statistical research from a master applied statistician

From reading William John “Jack” Youden’s books and articles, Youden (1900-1971), an analytical chemist, becomes an applied statistician by the time he joins the National Bureau of Standards (NBS) in 1948. Here, this article traces his transition from chemist to applied statistician and what his body of work mostly at NBS (1948-1965) demonstrates about his practice of statistics and the role that applied statistical research plays in it. There is much we can learn from a master applied statistician.

42 ENGINEERING↗

High-Level Reverse Intersystem Crossing and Molecular Rigidity Improve Spin Statistics for Triplet–Triplet Annihilation Upconversion

The structural factors affecting triplet−triplet annihilation (TTA) at the molecular level are not well-understood. Here, our steady-state photoluminescence and transient absorption results demonstrate that the spin statistical factor, η, decreases from 0.60 to 0.46 and 0.14 going from 9,10-diphenylanthracene (DPA) to the 1,5-DPA and 2,6-DPA isomers, respectively, during photon upconversion with a platinum octaethylporphyrin sensitizer. Density functional theory (DFT) shows that η depends on the energetics of hot triplet states and molecular rigidity. The significantly high conical intersection energy between the S 0 and T 1 states for 9,10-DPA gives its longer triplet lifetime. Time-dependent DFT calculations show that 9,10-DPA and 1,5-DPA can undergo high-level reverse intersystem crossing from their T 2 and T 3 states, respectively, to the bright S 1 state, increasing the limit of the spin statistical factor. Both factors ultimately serve to enhance the TTA efficiency. Furthermore, this work provides insight into designing molecules for efficient light-emitting and photon upconversion applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Quantitative Evaluation of MD/HD Vehicle Electrification using Statistical Data

This paper presents a wide-ranging analysis of Class 3-8 commercial vehicle electrification by means of developing a framework tool which uses a quantitative method of estimating electric vehicle energy consumption and appropriate charging considerations. The Fleet DNA composite statistics on real-world driving behavior is used to evaluate feasible or market-ready battery electric vehicle (BEV) technologies in medium- and heavy-duty (MD/HD) applications. In the paper, ten representative Class 3-8 commercial vehicle electrifications have been evaluated as a function of various service coverages, including applications in port drayage tractors, refuse trucks, delivery trucks, buses, and bucket trucks. The results indicate significant energy savings and fuel cost savings across all MD/HD vehicle electrifications. The majority of MD BEVs, with the exception of Class 3 bucket trucks, achieve better than a 5-year payback with 50–75% service coverage. For HD BEVs, with the exception of the Class 8 port drayage tractors, the 90% service coverage results in a 10-year or longer payback time, while the 50% service coverage yields a 7–8 year payback. Class 8 port drayage tractors should achieve payback in no more than a 3.5 years with 50–75% service coverage. Thus, the analysis indicates a highly feasible potential for Class 3-6 MD vehicles to be electrified, and feasible opportunities for electrification in Class 7-8 HD short-distance applications.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Statistical mechanics and pressure of composite multimoded weakly nonlinear optical systems

Statistical mechanics can provide a versatile theoretical framework for investigating the collective dynamics of weakly nonlinear-wave settings that can be utterly complex to describe otherwise. In optics, composite systems arise due to interactions between different frequencies and polarizations. The purpose of this work is to develop a thermodynamic theory that takes into account the synergistic action of multiple components. We find that the type of the nonlinearity involved can have important implications in the thermalization process and, hence, can lead to different thermal equilibrium conditions. Importantly, we derive closed-form expressions for the actual optomechanical pressure that is exerted on the system. In particular, the total optomechanical pressure is the sum of the partial pressures due to each component. Our results can be applied to a variety of weakly nonlinear optical settings such as multimode fibers, bulk waveguides, photonic lattices, and coupled microresonators. We present two specific examples, where two colors interact in a one-waveguide array with either a cubic or quadratic nonlinearity.

Efremidis, Nikolaos K. (ORCID:0000000298300268)↗

Median statistics estimate of the galactic rotational velocity

We compile a complete collection of 18 recent (from 2000 to 2017) measurements of Θ 0 , the rotational velocity of the Milky Way at R 0 (the radial distance of the Sun from the Galactic center). These measurements use tracers that are believed to more accurately reflect the systematic rotation of the Milky Way. Unlike other recent compilations of Θ 0 , our collection includes only independent measurements. We find that these 18 measurements are distributed in a mildly non-Gaussian fashion and a median statistics estimate indicates Θ 0 = 220 ± 10 kms –1 (2σ error) as the most reliable summary, at R 0 = 8.0 ± 0.3 kpc (2σ error).

(cosmology:) cosmological parameters↗

Quantifying the heterogeneity of shale through statistical combination of imaging across scales

Shale is a highly heterogeneous material across multiple scales. A typical shale consists of nanometer-scale pores and minerals mixed with macro-scale fractures and particles of varying size. High-resolution imaging is crucial for characterizing the composition and microstructure of this rock. Yet, it is generally not feasible to image a large sample of shale at a high resolution over a large field of view (FOV), thus limiting a full characterization of the microstructure of this material. We present a stochastic framework based on multiple-point statistics that uses high-resolution training images to enhance low-resolution images obtained over a large FOV. Here, we demonstrate the approach using X-ray micro-tomography images of organic-rich Woodford shale obtained at two different resolutions and FOV. Results show that the proposed technique can generate realistic high-resolution images of the microstructure of shale over a large FOV.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Experiments, Statistical Analysis, and Modeling to Evaluate the Porosity Influence in SPS Coatings

Suspension plasma spray (SPS) is far more complicated than conventional plasma spray and requires a deep knowledge about the influence of process parameters and their correlations. In this study, YSZ coatings were manufactured by SPS with six different process parameters such as plasma power, suspension mass load, original powder size, substrate surface topology, spray distance, and spray step. Then, the porosity of as-prepared coatings was investigated by image method and X-ray transmission technique. A multivariate analysis on the collected experimental data was carried out by employing mathematical statistics methods. The results showed that: 1) Coating porosity has a negative correlation with plasma power and suspension mass load and a positive correlation with the original powder size, spray distance, spray step, and substrate roughness; 2) Spraying distance is the main factor affecting to coating porosity, followed by suspension mass load and substrate surface roughness, respectively. A linear model for porosity prediction was developed and was verified by experiments. Furthermore, the mechanism by which process parameters influence coating porosity is additionally discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microstructural characterization of dendritic evolution using two-point statistics

Characterizing large four-dimensional materials datasets is difficult due to the presence of complex mi- crostructures and time-varying length scales. We showcase the use of two-point statistics as an efficient and un-biased way of extracting materials parameters from an Al-Cu alloy during solidification. The evo- lution of dendrite primary arm thickness, average secondary arm spacing, and average tip-to-tip spacing were tracked using two-point Pearson auto-correlations of scaled mean curvatures. Insights into compet- itive side-branching are also reported. We show both visually and quantitatively that most length scales change rapidly during early stages of dendritic growth, but slow as diffusion fields of dendrites overlap.

Aluminum alloys↗