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Interface shape in Czochralski grown crystals - Effect of conduction and radiation
A sequential modular computational scheme has been proposed for the calculation of temperature profiles in the melt and crystal including the melt-crystal interface shape and the crystal pulling rate for a fixed crystal radius. The heat transfer in the melt is assumed to occur by conduction only. The shape of melt-gas meniscus, described by Laplace-Young equation, is incorporated in the model and its effects on interface shape and pulling rate are examined. Further, the model incorporates the detailed radiation interaction among the various surfaces in the puller using the Gebhart enclosure theory which accounts for both direct and reflected radiation. The effects of various process parameters on the interface shape and the pulling rate have been investigated. The results of this study indicate that the shape of the melt-gas meniscus has a significant effect on the pulling rate and the interface shape in conformity with earlier studies. Further, it is shown that a simple radiation model (Stefan's model) is inadequate to model the radiation heat exchange in the Czochralski puller apparatus and the detailed Gebhart analysis is necessary for accurate calculation of both the temperature profile in the crystal as well as the interface shape.
Machine learning and process-based modeling of spatiotemporal changes in active layer thickness across Alaska
Permafrost degradation poses a growing threat to infrastructure stability and ecosystem resilience in the rapidly warming Arctic. We investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics of active layer thickness (ALT) across Alaska by integrating field observations, environmental datasets, a physically based Stefan model, and machine learning (ML) techniques. Using weather projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP 2-4.5 and SSP 5-8.5), we assessed ALT sensitivity to projected future weather conditions. The random forest (RF) model outperformed the Stefan approach in predicting ALT on the training dataset (R² = 0.84 vs. 0.53) but demonstrated lower generalizability on the test dataset (R² = 0.24 vs. 0.54). The root mean square error (RMSE) for the RF model for training and testing ranged from 14 to 22 cm, compared to 17 and 18 cm for the Stefan model. Variable importance analysis revealed that mean annual temperature and slope angle were the strongest predictors of ALT, accounting for 19% and 18% of the variance, respectively, followed by sediment transport index (14%) and stream power index (11%). Comparative analysis of baseline ALT predictions showed the Stefan model tended to project a thicker active layer (mean ± SD: 65 ± 16 cm), compared to the RF model (mean ± SD: 59 ± 8.8) cm). Both models indicated a latitudinal gradient in ALT, with shallower depths at higher latitudes. Projected ALT increases by 2100 were estimated at 3.3 ± 2.2 cm under SSP 2-4.5 and 5.9 ± 4.0 cm under SSP 5-8.5 for the ML model, whereas the Stefan model projected substantially larger increases of 13 ± 2.6 cm (SSP 2-4.5) and 28 ± 4.4 cm (SSP5-8.5). Spatial analysis showed the greatest ALT increases in northern Alaska, with relatively smaller changes in southern regions. These findings highlight the complex, multifactorial nature of ALT dynamics and the value of hybrid modeling approaches. As rising temperatures accelerate permafrost thaw, changes in ALT can disrupt ecosystems, damage infrastructures, and enhance the release of stored soil carbon, highlighting the urgent need for improved predictive capabilities to inform adaptation strategies in the Arctic.
Multilayer interface tracking model of pure tungsten oxidation
Here, we present a numerical model to predict oxide scale growth on tungsten surfaces under exposure to oxygen at high temperatures. The model captures the formation of four thermodynamically-compatible oxide sublayers, WO 2 , WO 2.72 , WO 2.9 , and WO 3 , on top of the metal substrate. Oxide layer growth is simulated by tracking the oxide/oxide and oxide/metal interfaces using a sharp-interface Stefan model coupled to diffusion kinetics. The model is parameterized using selected experimental measurements and electronic structure calculations of the diffusivities of all the oxide subphases involved. We simulate oxide growth at temperatures of 600°C and above, extracting the power law growth exponents in each case, which we find to deviate from classical parabolic growth in several cases. We conduct a comparison of the model predictions with an extensive experimental data set, with reasonable agreement at most temperatures. While many gaps in our understanding still exist, this work is a first attempt at embedding the thermodynamic and kinetic complexity of tungsten oxide growth into a comprehensive mesoscale kinetic model that attempts to capture the essential features of tungsten oxidation to fill existing knowledge gaps and guide and enhance future tungsten oxidation models.
Thermophysical properties of Almahata Sitta meteorites (asteroid 2008 TC 3 ) for high‐fidelity entry modeling
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On the Modeling of Urban Air Mobility Vehicle Takeoff and Landing Operations in the FAA Aviation Environmental Design Tool
Urban air mobility (UAM) vehicles are anticipated to operate in close proximity to the public. A possible barrier to the introduction of UAM vehicles as a transit solution is their community noise impact, particularly around vertiports. The Federal Aviation Administration Aviation Environmental Design Tool (AEDT) is the mandated tool to assess aircraft noise and other environmental impacts due to federal actions at civilian airports, vertiports, or in U.S. airspace for commercial flight operations. However, AEDT was designed to model fixed-wing aircraft and conventional helicopter operations, not UAM vehicles. Prior work by the authors showed significant differences in noise contours of UAM departures and approaches when modeling operations as fixed-wing and helicopter types in AEDT. This paper identifies the sources of those differences. Additionally, a NASA time-marching simulation tool is used to generate noise exposure predictions for equivalent operations to help identify differences associated with the noise model implemented in AEDT and offer possible changes to assess UAM community noise impact more consistently with simulation-based modeling.
On the Modeling of Urban Air Mobility Vehicle Takeoff and Landing Operations in the FAA Aviation Environmental Design Tool
Urban air mobility (UAM) vehicles are anticipated to operate in close proximity to the public. A possible barrier to the introduction of UAM vehicles as a transit solution is their community noise impact, particularly around vertiports. The Federal Aviation Administration Aviation Environmental Design Tool (AEDT) is the mandated tool to assess aircraft noise and other environmental impacts due to federal actions at civilian airports, vertiports, or in U.S. airspace for commercial flight operations. However, AEDT was designed to model fixed-wing aircraft and conventional helicopter operations, not UAM vehicles. Prior work by the authors showed significant differences in noise contours of UAM departures and approaches when modeling operations as fixed-wing and helicopter types in AEDT. This paper identifies the sources of those differences. Additionally, a NASA time-marching simulation tool is used to generate noise exposure predictions for equivalent operations to help identify differences associated with the noise model implemented in AEDT and offer possible changes to assess UAM community noise impact more consistently with simulation-based modeling.
Measuring and modeling near-surface reflected and emitted radiation fluxes at the FIFE site
Information is presented pertaining to the measurement and estimation of reflected and emitted components of the radiation balance. Information is included about reflectance and transmittance of solar radiation from and through the leaves of some grass and forb prairie species, bidirectional reflectance from a prairie canopy is discussed and measured and estimated fluxes are described of incoming and outgoing longwave and shortwave radiation. Results of the study showed only very small differences in reflectances and transmittances for the adaxial and abaxial surfaces of grass species in the visible and infrared wavebands, but some differences in the infrared wavebands were noted for the forbs. Reflectance from the prairie canopy changed as a function of solar and view zenith angles in the solar principal plane with definite asymmetry about nadir. The surface temperature of prairie canopies was found to vary by as much as 5 C depending on view zenith and azimuth position and on the solar azimuth. Aerodynamic temperature calculated from measured sensible heat fluxes ranged from 0 to 3 C higher than nadir-viewed temperatures. Models were developed to estimate incoming and reflected shortwave radiation from data collected with a Barnes Modular Multiband Radiometer. Several algorithms for estimating incoming longwave radiation were evaluated and compared to actual measures of that parameter. Net radiation was calculated using the estimated components of the shortwave radiation streams, determined from the algorithms developed, and from the longwave radiation streams provided by the Brunt, modified Deacon, and the Stefan-Boltzmann models. Estimates of net radiation were compared to measured values and found to be within the measurement error of the net radiometers used in the study.
Multi-scale model based design of membrane reactor/separator processes for intensified hydrogen production through the water gas shift reaction
This paper aims to first quantify the impact of various diffusion models (Maxwell-Stefan, Wilke, Dusty-Gas) on the predictions of a multi-scale membrane reactor/separator mathematical model, and to then demonstrate this model's use for the design and process intensification of membrane reactor/separator systems for hydrogen production. This multi-scale model captures velocity, temperature and species' concentration profiles along the catalyst pellet's radial direction, and along the reactor's axial direction, by solving the momentum, energy, and species transport equations, accounting for convection, conduction, reaction, and diffusion mechanisms. In the first part of work, the effect of pellet-scale design parameters (mean pore diameter, volumetric porosity, tortuosity factor, etc.) and various species' flux models on the model predictions is studied. In the second part, the study focuses on the comparison, in terms of their process intensification characteristics, of various hydrogen production processes. These include a conventional high-temperature shift reactor (HTSR)/low-temperature shift reactor (LTSR) sequence, a novel HTSR/membrane separator (MS)/LTSR/MS sequence, and a process that involves low-temperature shift membrane reactors-LTSMR in a series.
A general non-Fourier Stefan problem formulation that accounts for memory effects
The Stefan problem is the classical model of a melting phase change. In heterogeneous systems, such phase changes can exhibit non-Fourier (anomalous) behaviors, where the advance of the melt interface does not follow the expected time scaling. These situations can be modeled by replacing the derivatives, in the governing partial differential equations, with fractional order derivatives. In particular, replacing the time derivatives leads to non-Fourier models that account for memory effects in the system. In this work, by using appropriate time convolution integrals, a general thermodynamic balance statement for melting phase problems, explicitly accounting for memory effects, is developed. From this balance, a general model formulation applicable to problems involving melting over a temperature range (i.e., a mushy region) is derived. A key component in this model is the representation of memory effects through the use of fractional derivative based constitutive models of the enthalpy and heat flux. Further, on shrinking the mushy region to a single isotherm, a general sharp interface melting model is obtained. Here, in contrast to the classic Stefan problem, the fractional derivatives induce a natural regularization, such that the constitutive models for enthalpy and heat flux are continuous at the melt interface; a result confirmed through numerical simulation. To further support the theoretical findings, a physical example of a non-Fourier Stefan problem is presented. Overall the development and results in this paper underscore the importance of explicitly relating the development of fractional calculus models to the appropriate thermodynamic balance statements.
An implementation of the phase-field model based on coupled thermomechanical finite element solvers for large-strain twinning, explicit dynamic fracture and the classical Stefan problem
The implementation of a phase-field model in finite elements usually requires significant expertise and involves the development of a user element with additional degrees of freedom. An alternative implementation of the phase-field model within a thermo-mechanical finite element simulation package was presented in (Cho et al 2012 Int. J. Solids Struct. 49 1973–1992), where the phase-field variable is treated as the temperature degree of freedom. However, this approach has only been used for small strain phase-field modelling of martensitic transformations and quasistatic phase-field modelling of fracture. Here, we present a phase-field finite element implementation via the temperature degree of freedom for several additional cases from the literature: (i) the large-strain phase-field description of deformation twinning presented in (Clayton and Knap 2011 Physica D 240 841–858), (ii) phase-field description of brittle fracture with inertial effects based on the theory from (Molnár and Gravouil 2017, Finite Elem. Anal. Des. 130 27–38) and (Miehe et al 2010 Int. J. Numer. Methods Eng. 83 1273–1311) and (iii) the classical Stefan problem of solidification presented in (Mackenzie and Robertson 2002 J. Comput. Phys. 181 526–544). The last problem involves the temperature and phase-field variables as unknowns.
A numerical analysis of Stefan problems for generalized multi-dimensional phase-change structures using the enthalpy transforming model
An enthalpy transforming scheme is proposed to convert the energy equation into a nonlinear equation with the enthalpy, E, being the single dependent variable. The existing control-volume finite-difference approach is modified so it can be applied to the numerical performance of Stefan problems. The model is tested by applying it to a three-dimensional freezing problem. The numerical results are in agreement with those existing in the literature. The model and its algorithm are further applied to a three-dimensional moving heat source problem showing that the methodology is capable of handling complicated phase-change problems with fixed grids.
Aerodynamic features of flames in premixed gases
A variety of experimentally established flame phenomena in premixed gases are interpreted by relating them to basic aerodynamic properties of the flow field. On this basis the essential mechanism of some well known characteristic features of flames stabilized in the wake of a bluff-body or propagating in ducts are revealed. Elementary components of the flame propagation process are shown to be: rotary motion, self-advancement, and expansion. Their consequences are analyzed under a most strict set of idealizations that permit the flow field to be treated as potential in character, while the flame is modelled as a Stefan-like interface capable of exerting a feed-back effect upon the flow field. The results provide an insight into the fundamental fluid-mechanical reasons for the experimentally observed distortions of the flame front, rationalizing in particular its ability to sustain relatively high flow velocities at amazingly low normal burning speeds.
A Nonlinear Dynamic Inversion Predictor-Based Model Reference Adaptive Controller for a Generic Transport Model
Presented here is a Predictor-Based Model Reference Adaptive Control (PMRAC) architecture for a generic transport aircraft. At its core, this architecture features a three-axis, non-linear, dynamic-inversion controller. Command inputs for this baseline controller are provided by pilot roll-rate, pitch-rate, and sideslip commands. This paper will first thoroughly present the baseline controller followed by a description of the PMRAC adaptive augmentation to this control system. Results are presented via a full-scale, nonlinear simulation of NASA s Generic Transport Model (GTM).
Electrochemical Measurement of Water Transport Numbers in Anion-Exchange Membranes
Anion-exchange membranes (AEMs) are a possible replacement for perfluorosulfonic-acid membranes in energy-conversion devices, primarily due to the hydroxide mobile ion allowing the devices to operate in alkaline conditions with less expensive electrocatalysts. However, the transport properties of AEMs remain understudied, especially electro-osmosis. In this work, an electrochemical technique, where the open-circuit voltage is measured between two ends of a membrane maintained at different relative humidities, is used to determine the water transport number of various ionomers, including Versogen and Sustainion AEMs and Nafion cation-exchange membrane (CEM), as a function of water content and temperature. In addition, the CEMs and AEMs are examined in differing single-ion forms, specifically proton and sodium (CEM) and hydroxide and carbonate (AEM). Carbonate-form AEMs have the highest transport number (∼11), followed by sodium-form CEMs (∼8), hydroxide-form AEMs (∼6), and proton-form CEMs (∼3). Finally, a multicomponent transport model based on the Stefan-Maxwell-Onsager framework of binary interactions is used to develop a link between water transport number and water-transport properties, extracting a range for the unmeasured membrane water permeability of Versogen as a function of water content.
Framework for predicting the fractionation of complex liquid feeds via polymer membranes
The separation of complex liquid hydrocarbon mixtures was recently demonstrated using the glassy polymer SBAD-1, showing that small molecule fractionation is possible by such organic membrane materials. Here, in this work, we develop a framework that will enable workable predictions of permeate flux and composition in complex hydrocarbon liquids through intrinsically porous glassy polymers. The predictions are made by incorporating experimentally-derived unary sorption and diffusion parameters in a Maxwell-Stefan framework coupled with multicomponent sorption models and various distinct diffusion phenomena. Across the range of sorption and diffusion phenomena considered, both the conventional Flory-Huggins model and the proposed Langmuir + Flory-Huggins sorption model combined with a simple average guest diffusivity or a more complex free-volume theory-based transport resulted in the lowest prediction error for three chosen multicomponent separations. The proposed Maxwell-Stefan framework simply requires pure component transport parameters to allow a fast approximation of the separation of multicomponent liquid hydrocarbon feeds that can potentially be extended to more complex feeds such as crude oil fractions.
Modeling polymer crystallisation induced by a moving heat sink
Recent experimental work has shown that polymer crystallisation can be used to “move” and organize nanoparticles (NP). As a first effort at modeling this situation, we consider the classical Stefan problem but with the modification that polymer crystallisation does not occur at a single temperature. Rather, the rate of crystallisation is proportional to its subcooling, and here we employ a form inspired by the classical Avrami model to describe this functional form. Our results for the movement of the polymer crystallisation front, as defined as the point where the crystallinity is 50%, closely track the results of the classical Stefan problem. Thus, at this level of approximation, the crystallisation kinetics of the polymer do not cause qualitative changes to the physics of this situation. Inspired by this fact we study the more interesting situation where the directional recrystallisation of a polymer melt is considered, e.g. , through the application of a moving heat sink over an initially molten polymer, reminiscent of a processing technique termed zone annealing. The polymer crystallisation shows that a steady state exists for a range of sink velocities. The solid–melt interface moves slightly ahead of the sink but at the same velocity. The steady-state distance between the sink and the interface decreases with increasing sink velocity – this is a consequence of the excess cooling provided by the sink over what is required to crystallise the melt. The most interesting new result is that the temperature of the crystal–melt interface decreases with increasing sink velocity. This is in line with the ansatz of Lovinger and Gryte who suggested that larger zone annealing velocities correspond to progressively larger effective undercoolings at which polymer crystallisation occurs.
Scalable statistical inference of photometric redshift via data subsampling
Handling big data has largely been a major bottleneck in traditional statistical models. Consequently, when accurate point prediction is the primary target, machine learning models are often preferred over their statistical counterparts for bigger problems. But full probabilistic statistical models often outperform other models in quantifying uncertainties associated with model predictions. We develop a data-driven statistical modeling framework that combines the uncertainties from an ensemble of statistical models learned on smaller subsets of data carefully chosen to account for imbalances in the input space. We demonstrate this method on a photometric redshift estimation problem in cosmology, which seeks to infer a distribution of the redshift—the stretching effect in observing the light of far-away galaxies—given multivariate color information observed for an object in the sky. Our proposed method performs balanced partitioning, graph-based data subsampling across the partitions, and training of an ensemble of Gaussian process models.