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Cyber Conservative Operations

In an era of increasingly sophisticated and pervasive cyber threats, robust cyber resilience strategies are more critical than ever. This paper introduces the concept of Cyber Conservative Operations, a proactive approach designed to assist critical infrastructure owners and operators in managing risk and maintaining resilience in the face of imminent, yet not occurring, cyber events. By leveraging the principles of Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) and the energy sector’s practice of conservative operations, Cyber Conservative Operations offer a framework for planning and executing coordinated active defense and resilience-oriented actions ahead of cyber events. This approach aims to minimize the consequences of digitally-enabled hazards and ensure swift recovery from anticipated cyber threats. Cyber Conservative Operations enhance the ability of owners and operators to execute pre-planned defense and resilience actions, thereby reducing the impact of digitally-enabled hazards. These operations are crucial for addressing impacts that cannot be precisely quantified or forecasted and for preparing organizations for rapid recovery from imminent digital threats. The paper begins with a discussion of conservative operations as applied to the bulk power system (BPS), a current mechanism allowing BPS entities to enact defensive operating plans to mitigate impending grid unreliability. Building on this model, we present a concept for implementing cyber conservative operations at asset owner facilities. The paper concludes with two case studies of cyber conservative operations drawn from high-profile cyber events, illustrating the practical application and benefits of this proactive approach.

42 - ENGINEERING

Swift BAT Thermal Recovery After Loop Heat Pipe #0 Secondary Heater Controller Failure in October 2015

The Swift BAT LHP #0 primary heater controller failed on March 31, 2010. It has been disabled. On October 31, 2015, the secondary heater controller of this LHP failed. On November 1, 2015, the LHP #0 CC temperature increased to as 18.6 C, despite that the secondary heater controller set point was 8.8 C. It caused the average DM XA1 temperature to increase to 25.9 C, which was 5 C warmer than nominal. As a result, the detectors became noisy. To solve this problem, the LHP #1 secondary heater controller set point was decreased in 0.5 C decrements to 2.2 C. The set-point decrease restored the average DM XA1 temperature to a nominal value of 19.7 C on November 21.

thermal recovery in orbit

Swift BAT Instrument Thermal Control System Recovery after Spacecraft Safehold in August 2007

The Swift mission Burst Alert Telescope (BAT) Detector Array thermal control system includes two propylene loop heat pipes (LHPs), eight ammonia constant conductance heat pipes (CCHPs), a radiator that has AZ-Tek's AZW-LA-II low alpha white paint, and precision heater controllers that have adjustable set points in flight. The Power Converter Box (PCB) and Image Processor Electronics (IPE) boxes (a primary and a redundant) of the BAT have Z93P white paint radiators. Swift was successfully launched into orbit on November 20, 2004. The spacecraft (S/C) was placed into a safehold mode on August 10, 2007 after an anomaly on inertial reference unit (IRU) #3. It was returned to inertial pointing on August 16 and instrument power up followed. This paper presents a thermal assessment of the BAT instrument thermal control system (TCS) shut down and recovery as a result of the S/C safehold mode. The recovery required starting up the LHPs manually.

Choi, Michael K.

Experiences with Extra-Vehicular Activities in Response to Critical ISS Contingencies

Initial "Big 14" work was put to the test for the first time in 2010. Deficiencies were found in some of the planning and approaches to that work; Failure Response Assessment Team created in 2010 to address deficiencies -Identify and perform engineering analysis in operations products prior to failure; incorporate results into operations products -Identify actions for protecting ISS against a Next Worse Failure after the first failure occurs -Better document not only EVA products but also planning products, assumptions, and open actions; Pre-failure investments against critical failures best postures ISS for swift response and recovery -A type of insurance policy -Has proven effective in a number of contingency EVA cases since 2010. Planning for MBSU R&R in 2012, Second PM R&R in 2013, EXT MDM R&R in 2014; Current FRAT schedule projects completion of all analysis in 2018

Van Cise, Edward A.

Recovering Swift-XRT Energy Resolution through CCD Charge Trap Mapping

The X-ray telescope on board the Swift satellite for gamma-ray burst astronomy has been exposed to the radiation of the space environment since launch in November 2004. Radiation causes damage to the detector, with the generation of dark current and charge trapping sites that result in the degradation of the spectral resolution and an increase of the instrumental background. The Swift team has a dedicated calibration program with the goal of recovering a significant proportion of the lost spectroscopic performance. Calibration observations of supernova remnants with strong emission lines are analysed to map the detector charge traps and to derive position-dependent corrections to the measured photon energies. We have achieved a substantial recovery in the XRT resolution by implementing these corrections in an updated version of the Swift XRT gain file and in corresponding improvements to the Swift XRT HEAsoft software. We provide illustrations of the impact of the enhanced energy resolution, and show that we have recovered most of the spectral resolution lost since launch

Pagani, C.

Discovery of the Optical Afterglow and Host Galaxy of Short GRB 181123B at z = 1.754: Implications for Delay Time Distributions

We present the discovery of the optical afterglow and host galaxy of the Swift short-duration gamma-ray burst (SGRB) GRB 181123B. Observations with Gemini-North starting ≈9.1 hr after the burst reveal a faint optical afterglow with i ≈ 25.1 mag at an angular offset of 0 59 ± 0." 16 from its host galaxy. Using grizYJHK observations, we measure a photometric redshift of the host galaxy of z = 1.77+0.30-0.17. From a combination of Gemini and Keck spectroscopy of the host galaxy spanning 4500–18000 Å, we detect a single emission line at 13390 Å, inferred as Hβ at z = 1.754 ± 0.001 and corroborating the photometric redshift. The host galaxy properties of GRB 181123B are typical of those of other SGRB hosts, with an inferred stellar mass of ≈9.1 × 109Msun, a mass-weighted age of ≈0.9 Gyr, and an optical luminosity of ≈0.9L*. At z = 1.754, GRB 181123B is the most distant secure SGRB with an optical afterglow detection and one of only three at z > 1.5. Motivated by a growing number of high-z SGRBs, we explore the effects of a missing z > 1.5 SGRB population among the current Swift sample on delay time distribution (DTD) models. We find that lognormal models with mean delay times of ≈4–6 Gyr are consistent with the observed distribution but can be ruled out to 95% confidence, with an additional ≈one to five Swift SGRBs recovered at z > 1.5. In contrast, power-law models with ∝t−1 are consistent with the redshift distribution and can accommodate up to ≈30 SGRBs at these redshifts. Under this model, we predict that ≈1/3 of the current Swift population of SGRBs is at z > 1. The future discovery or recovery of existing high-z SGRBs will provide significant discriminating power on their DTDs and thus their formation channels.

K Paterson

Radiance-ratio algorithm wavelengths for remote oceanic chlorophyll determination

Two-band radiance-ratio in-water algorithms in the visible spectrum have been evaluated for remote oceanic chlorophyll determination. Airborne active-passive (laser-solar) data from coastal, shelf-slope, and blue-water regions were used to generate two-dimensional chlorophyll-fluorescence and radiance-ratio statistical correlation matrices containing all possible two-band ratio combinations from the thirty-two available contiguous 11.25-nm passive bands. The principal finding was that closely spaced radiance-ratio bands yield chlorophyll estimates which are highly correlated with laser-induced chlorophyll fluorescence within several distinct regions of the ocean color spectrum. Band combinations in the yellow, orange-red, spectral regions showed considerable promise for satisfactory chlorophyll pigment estimation in near-coastal Case II waters. Pigment recovery in Case I waters was best accomplished using blue-green radiance ratios in the 490/500-nm region.

Hoge, Frank E.

Concept definition study for an extremely large aerophysics range facility

A conceptual design of a very large aeroballistic range is presented, as are its operational characteristics and procedures. The proposed model launcher is a two-stage light-gas gun, having a launch tube diameter of 254 mm, and the capability of accelerating a 14 kg launch mass to 6.1 km/sec. The gun's 91.4 cm diameter piston is driven by pressurized helium. High pressures in the central breech are contained by a multiple disk arrangement. The blast tank and sabot separation tank are described, as are methods for arresting sabot segments. The conceptual design of the range itself includes a 3.3 m diameter test or flight chamber some 330 m in length. Provisions are made for testing of free flight models and tests in which the model is confined by a track system. Methods for model deceleration and recovery are described. Provisions required for future addition of advanced model launchers such as an electromagnetic launcher or ram accelerator are addressed. Siting and safety issues are also addressed.

Swift, Hallock F.

Chlorophyll pigment concentration using spectral curvature algorithms - An evaluation of present and proposed satellite ocean color sensor bands

During the past several years symmetric three-band (460-, 490-, 520-nm) spectral curvature algorithm (SCA) has demonstrated rather accurate determination of chlorophyll pigment concentration using low-altitude airborne ocean color data. It is shown herein that the in-water asymmetric SCA, when applied to certain recently proposed OCI (NOAA-K and SPOT-3) and OCM (ERS-1) satellite ocean color bands, can adequately recover chlorophyll-like pigments. These airborne findings suggest that the proposed new ocean color sensor bands are in general satisfactorily, but not necessarily optimally, positioned to allow space evaluation of the SCA using high-precision atmospherically corrected satellite radiances. The pigment concentration recovery is not as good when existing Coastal Zone Color Scanner bands are used in the SCA. The in-water asymmetric SCA chlorophyll pigment recovery evaluations were performed using (1) airborne laser-induced chlorophyll fluorescence and (2) concurrent passive upwelled radiances. Data from a separate ocean color sensor aboard the aircraft were further used to validate the findings.

Hoge, Frank E.

Coupled Analysis of an Inlet and Fan for a Quiet Supersonic Jet

A computational analysis of a Gulfstream isentropic external compression supersonic inlet coupled to a Rolls-Royce fan has been completed. The inlet was designed for a small, low sonic boom supersonic vehicle with a design cruise condition of M = 1.6 at 45,000 ft. The inlet design included an annular bypass duct that routed flow subsonically around an engine-mounted gearbox and diverted flow with high shock losses away from the fan tip. Two Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes codes were used for the analysis: an axisymmetric code called AVCS for the inlet and a three dimensional (3-D) code called SWIFT for the fan. The codes were coupled at a mixing plane boundary using a separate code for data exchange. The codes were used to determine the performance of the inlet/fan system at the design point and to predict the performance and operability of the system over the flight profile. At the design point the core inlet had a recovery of 96 percent, and the fan operated near its peak efficiency and pressure ratio. A large hub radial distortion generated in the inlet was not eliminated by the fan and could pose a challenge for subsequent booster stages. The system operated stably at all points along the flight profile. Reduced stall margin was seen at low altitude and Mach number where flow separated on the interior lips of the cowl and bypass ducts. The coupled analysis gave consistent solutions at all points on the flight profile that would be difficult or impossible to predict by analysis of isolated components.

Chima, Rodrick V.

Coupled Analysis of an Inlet and Fan for a Quiet Supersonic Aircraft

A computational analysis of a Gulfstream isentropic external compression supersonic inlet coupled to a Rolls-Royce fan was completed. The inlet was designed for a small, low sonic boom supersonic vehicle with a design cruise condition of M = 1.6 at 45,000 feet. The inlet design included an annular bypass duct that routed flow subsonically around an engine-mounted gearbox and diverted flow with high shock losses away from the fan tip. Two Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes codes were used for the analysis: an axisymmetric code called AVCS for the inlet and a 3-D code called SWIFT for the fan. The codes were coupled at a mixing plane boundary using a separate code for data exchange. The codes were used to determine the performance of the inlet/fan system at the design point and to predict the performance and operability of the system over the flight profile. At the design point the core inlet had a recovery of 96 percent, and the fan operated near its peak efficiency and pressure ratio. A large hub radial distortion generated in the inlet was not eliminated by the fan and could pose a challenge for subsequent booster stages. The system operated stably at all points along the flight profile. Reduced stall margin was seen at low altitude and Mach number where flow separated on the interior lips of the cowl and bypass ducts. The coupled analysis gave consistent solutions at all points on the flight profile that would be difficult or impossible to predict by analysis of isolated components.

Chima, Rodrick V.

Analysis of Auroral Morphology: Substorm Precursor and Onset on January 10, 1997

The solar wind interaction with the geomagnetic field is studied using global auroral images obtained by the Ultraviolet Imager (UVI) on Polar. We study the dynam,cs of the poleward and equatorward boundaries of the auroral oval in response to the solar wind IMF on January 10, 1997 using a neural network algorithm to perform an automated morphological analysis. Poleward and equatorward boundaries identified by the algorithm demonstrate a clear growth motion with the southward turning of the IMF and growth and poleward expansion at substorm onset. The area poleward of the oval (polar cap) is found to increase in size coincident with the'southward turning of the IMF Bz component at 0220 UT and peaks at substorm onset at 0334 UT. The area of the oval, however, decreases continuously throughout the period of the polar cap area increase with a slight recovery observed during the substorm onset. These observations are consistent with the concept that magnetospheric dynamics are directly driven by the solar wind-geomagnetic field interactions.

Germany, G. A.

Gamma-Ray Urgent Archiver for Novel Opportunities (GUANO): Swift/BAT Event Data Dumps on Demand to Enable Sensitive Subthreshold GRB Searches

We introduce a new capability of the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory to provide event-level data from the Burst Alert Telescope (BAT) on demand in response to transients detected by other instruments. We show that the availability of these data can effectively increase the rate of detections and arcminute localizations of gamma-ray bursts (GRB) like GRB 170817 by >400%. We describe an autonomous spacecraft-commanding pipeline purpose built to enable this science; to our knowledge, this is the first fully autonomous extremely low-latency commanding of a space telescope for scientific purposes. This pipeline has been successfully run in its complete form since 2020 January, and has resulted in the recovery of BAT event data for >800 externally triggered events to date (gravitational waves, GWs; neutrinos; GRBs triggered by other facilities; fast radio bursts; and very high-energy detections), now running with a success rate of ∼90%. We exemplify the utility of this new capability by using the resultant data to (1) set the most sensitive upper limits on prompt 1 s duration short GRB-like emission within ±15 s around the unmodeled GW burst candidate S200114f, and (2) provide an arcminute localization for short GRB 200325A and other bursts. We also show that using data from GUANO to localize GRBs discovered by other instruments, we can increase the net rate of arcminute-localized GRBs by 10%–20% per year. Along with the scientific yield of more sensitive searches for subthreshold GRBs, the new capabilities designed for this project will serve as the foundation for further automation and rapid target of opportunity capabilities for the Swift mission, and have implications for the design of future rapid-response space telescopes.

Aaron Tohuvavohu

Preliminary subsystem designs for the Assured Crew Return Vehicle (ACRV)

Described herein is a series of design studies concerning the Assured Crew Return Vehicle (ACRV). Study topics include a braking and landing system for the ACRV, ACRV growth options, and the design impacts of ACRV's role as a medical emergency vehicle. Four alternate designs are presented for the ACRV braking and landing system. Options presented include ballistic and lifting body reentries; the use of high-lift, high-payload aerodynamic decelerators, as well as conventional parachutes; landing systems designed for water landings, land landings or both; and an aerial recovery system. Uses of the ACRV or a similarly designed vehicle in several roles for possible future space missions are discussed, along with the required changes to the ACRV to allow it to perform these missions optimally. The impacts on the design of the ACRV due to its role as an emergency vehicle were studied and are presented here. This study included the design of a stretcher-like system to transport an ill or injured crewmember safely within the ACRV; a compilation of necessary medical equipment and decisions on how or where to store it; and recommendations about internal and external vehicle characteristics that will ease the transport of the ill or injured crewmember and allow for swift and easy ingress/egress of the vehicle.

Source record

Uneven Inflation Load Share Trends in Clusters

The use of parachute clusters for payload recovery is still seeing widespread use ever since the early days of WWII. By involving the (near) simultaneous deployment of several smaller and identical canopies connected to the payload, cluster systems offer flexibility in tailoring to needed descent rates and load management, as well as providing robustness against individual canopy deployment or opening failure. Their downside, of course, resides in the possibility of differing inflation rates by each cluster member as caused by deployment variability, canopy-to-canopy interference, etc. Such variability leads to the lead-lag phenomenon, which causes uneven loading among the parachutes, often times leaving a single canopy to take up a significant portion of the system’s inflation loads. Herein we investigate how serious such an effect can be in terms of the number N of cluster members, underinflation drag of the lagging canopies, inflation swiftness of the leader in comparison to the laggards’, disreefing cutter activation staggering and pre-disreefing drag area. Two new metrics are used to highlight load share unevenness, namely, the peak and average leader canopy riser load in comparison to the leader’s drag during no-lead-lag; and leader peak load, as compared to total peak load. Results are calculated from data collected in NASA’s Orion/CPAS test program, as well as from simple algebraic expressions informing leader drag as sustained in different cluster systems (i.e., of different N) and varying leader inflation time relative to the laggards. Generally, using large-N cluster systems confers better load sharing among canopies. However, and in deployments where significant lead-lag occur, large-N systems may feature greater leader overload excursions, oftentimes in excess of 50% the no-lead-lag levels. These excursions are particularly made worse when cutter activation among the members are far from simultaneous and the laggards’ pre-disreefing drag area is small in comparison to the leader’s.

parachutes