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At least 19 records

LEISURE: Load-Balanced Network-Wide Traffic Measurement and Monitor Placement

We report that network-wide traffic measurement is of interest to network operators to uncover global network behavior for the management tasks of traffic accounting, debugging or troubleshooting, security, and traffic engineering. Increasingly, sophisticated network measurement tasks such as anomaly detection and security forensic analysis are requiring in-depth fine-grained flow-level measurements. However, performing in-depth per-flow measurements (e.g., detailed payload analysis) is often an expensive process. Given the fast-changing Internet traffic landscape and large traffic volume, a single monitor is not capable of accomplishing the measurement tasks for all applications of interest due to its resource constraint. Moreover, uncovering global network behavior requires network-wide traffic measurements at multiple monitors across the network since traffic measured at any single monitor only provides a partial view and may not be sufficient or accurate. These factors call for coordinated measurements among multiple distributed monitors. In this paper, we present a centralized optimization framework, LEISURE (Load- EqualIzed meaSUREment), for load-balancing network measurement workloads across distributed monitors. Specifically, we consider various load-balancing problems under different objectives and study their extensions to support both fixed and flexible monitor deployment scenarios. We formulate the latter flexible monitor deployment case as an MILP (Mixed Integer Linear Programming) problem and propose several heuristic algorithms to approximate the optimal solution and reduce the computation complexity. We evaluate LEISURE via detailed simulations on Abilene and GEANT network traces to show that LEISURE can achieve much better load-balanced performance (e.g., 4.75 × smaller peak workload and 70 × smaller variance in workloads) across all coordinated monitors in comparison to a naive solution (uniform assignment) to accomplish network-wide traffic measurement tasks under the fixed monitor deployment scenario. Lastly, we also show that under the flexible monitor deployment setting, our heuristic solutions can achieve almost the same load-balancing performance as the optimal solution while reducing the computation times by a factor up to 22.5 × in Abilene and 800 × in GEANT.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multivariate network traffic analysis using clustered patterns

Traffic analysis is a core element in network operations and management for various purposes including change detection, traffic prediction, and anomaly detection. In this paper, we introduce a new approach to online traffic analysis based on a pattern-based representation for high-level summarization of the traffic measurement data. Unlike the past online analysis techniques limited to a single variable to summarize (e.g., sketch), the focus of this study is on capturing the network state from the multivariate attributes under consideration. To this end, we employ clustering with its benefit of the aggregation of multidimensional variables. The clustered result represents the state of the network with regard to the monitored variables, which can also be compared with the observed patterns from previous time windows enabling intuitive analysis. Finally, we demonstrate the proposed method with two popular use cases, one for estimating state changes and the other for identifying anomalous states, to confirm its feasibility. Our extensive experimental results with public traces and collected monitoring measurements from ESnet traffic traces show that our pattern-based approach is effective for multivariate analysis of online network traffic with visual and quantitative tools.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Contextually aware roadside radiation measurement testbed

Here we demonstrate a contextually aware multimodal roadside radiation measurement detection testbed for traffic monitoring applications in nuclear nonproliferation. Many variables in traffic such as vehicle or cargo size, mass, speed, shape, and distance of closest approach can have significant impacts on the radiation measured from a vehicle-transported radiation source. These factors can lead to uncertainties in the analysis of the radiation source, especially for lower-strength radiation sources of interest. Our testbed, known as the Multimodal Measurement System (MMS) uses non-radiation sensors including magnetometers, geophones, radiofrequency receivers, cameras, and LiDAR to extract contextual information about vehicles passing by the system. These contextual data can then be fused with data from radiation measurements to increase the system’s sensitivity and accuracy in nuclear threat detection applications. This work describes the instrumentation of the MMS and its data acquisition pipeline. Furthermore, we describe the pre-analysis performed on the raw multimodal data streams for data fusion, and the high-level machine learning analyses for detection and characterization. The variety of sensors within the MMS provides a valuable testbed that can be used to identify the combinations of contextual sensors that provide the greatest improvements to radiation source detection and characterization within the restrictions for various proliferation detection applications. The MMS is also modular so that additional combinations of sensors can be explored in the future.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Real-Time Highly Resolved Spatial-Temporal Vehicle Energy Consumption Estimation Using Machine Learning and Probe Data

Real-time highly resolved spatial-temporal vehicle energy consumption is a key missing dimension in transportation data. Most roadway link-level vehicle energy consumption data are estimated using average annual daily traffic measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System; however, this method does not reflect day-to-day energy consumption fluctuations. As transportation planners and operators are becoming more environmentally attentive, they need accurate real-time link-level vehicle energy consumption data to assess energy and emissions; to incentivize energy-efficient routing; and to estimate energy impact caused by congestion, major events, and severe weather. This paper presents a computational workflow to automate the estimation of time-resolved vehicle energy consumption for each link in a road network of interest using vehicle probe speed and count data in conjunction with machine learning methods in real time. The real-time pipeline can deliver energy estimates within a couple seconds on query to its interface. The proposed method was evaluated on the transportation network of the metropolitan area of Chattanooga, Tennessee. The volume estimation results were validated with ground truth traffic volume data collected in the field. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, the energy consumption pipeline was applied to real-world data to quantify road transportation-related energy reduction because of mitigation policies to slow the spread of COVID-19 and to measure energy loss resulting from congestion.

Severino, Joseph↗

Automatic Calibration and Health Monitoring of Infrastructure Sensors

Smart transportation infrastructure relies on networks of heterogeneous sensors - cameras, radars, and lidars - continuously monitoring traffic conditions. However, executing the initial spatial calibration of multiple sensors and the subsequent health monitoring presents significant operational challenges. Environmental factors, mechanical vibrations, and gradual drift cause spatial misalignment, degrading fusion performance and tracking accuracy. Traditional calibration approaches require manual intervention with specialized targets or survey equipment, resulting in service interruptions and high maintenance costs. This work presents an automated framework for initial calibration and continuous health monitoring without human intervention or service disruption. Our approach addresses two critical problems: (1) detecting when sensors become miscalibrated during operation, and (2) automatically re-establishing spatial alignment using only operational traffic data. The health monitoring component analyzes measurement innovations - differences between sensor observations and predicted object states - to detect systematic biases indicative of calibration drift. By computing bias magnitude, directional consistency, and rejection rates, the system identifies miscalibrations as small as 0.5 meters. Unlike traditional methods requiring known calibration targets, our diagnostic operates continuously on live traffic observations, enabling early detection before fusion quality degrades. The automatic recalibration algorithm leverages overlapping sensor fields-of-view and temporal correlation of vehicle observations. Using graph-based optimization, the system automatically discovers which sensor pairs observe common regions, estimates pairwise spatial transformations using RANSAC-based robust estimation, and jointly optimizes all sensor poses through bundle adjustment. The framework handles practical deployment challenges, including different sensor sampling rates (1-10 Hz), varying installation positions, unknown orientations, and limited overlap regions (>10%). When approximate sensor positions are available from installation surveys (+/-1m accuracy), the algorithm additionally estimates sensor orientations, refining both position and rotation to sub-meter and sub-degree accuracy. We validate the framework on multi-hour traffic datasets from six heterogeneous sensors with sampling rates ranging from 1 Hz to 10 Hz. Results demonstrate successful calibration even with sparse overlap (<20%) and automatic detection of miscalibrations exceeding 0.8 meters. This work enables a "deploy-and-forget" sensor infrastructure that maintains calibration autonomously, reducing maintenance costs while improving tracking accuracy. The techniques generalize beyond transportation to any multi-sensor monitoring application requiring robust spatial alignment, including smart cities, industrial monitoring, and surveillance systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Privacy-aware contextual localization using network traffic analysis

The rise of location-based services has enabled many opportunities for content service providers to optimize the content delivery to user's wireless devices based on her location. Since the sharing precise location remains a major privacy concern among the users, certain location-based services rely on contextual location (e.g. residence, work, etc.) as opposed to acquiring user's exact physical location. In this paper, we present PACL (Privacy-Aware Contextual Localizer) model, which can learn user's contextual location just by passively monitoring user's network traffic. PACL can discern a set of vital attributes (statistical and application-based) from user's network traffic, and predict user's contextual location with a very high accuracy. We design and evaluate PACL using real-world network traces of over 1700 users with over 100GB of total data. Our results show that PACL, when built using the Bayesian Network machine learning algorithm, can predict user's contextual location with the accuracy of around 89%.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Network-Scale Ubiquitous Volume Estimation Using Tree-Based Ensemble Learning Methods

Currently ubiquitous volume data for roadway networks remains the key missing dimension in traffic operations. Most volume data are average annual daily traffic (AADT) measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS). Although methods to factor the AADT to hourly averages for typical day of week exist, actual volume data is limited to a sparse collection of locations in which volumes are continuously recorded. This paper/poster explores the use of state-of-art machine learning techniques to estimate accurate volume measures that span the highway network providing ubiquitous coverage in space, and point-in-time measures for a specific date and time. Three tree-based ensemble learning models, random forest (RF), gradient boost machine (GBM), and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost), were tested for volume estimation by learning from combined dataset of commercial probe data provided by TomTom, the FHWA's Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) data, and other infrastructure attributes such as number of lanes, speed limit, and weather. The methods were tested on major corridors and freeways in the metropolitan area of Denver. All three machine learning methods were able to provide hourly volume estimates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and 365 days a year with around 18% mean absolute error to true volume and about 5% of error with respect to roadway capacity. The low error measures allow the potential application by transportation agencies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Network Scale Ubiquitous Volume Estimation Using Tree-Based Ensemble Learning Methods

Currently real-time, ubiquitous volume data for roadway networks remains the key missing dimension in traffic operations. Most volume data are average annual daily traffic (AADT) measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS). Although methods to factor the AADT to hourly averages for typical day of week exist, actual volume data is limited to a sparse collection of locations in which volumes are continuously recorded. This paper explores the use of state-of-art machine learning techniques to estimate accurate real-time volume measures that span the highway network providing ubiquitous coverage in space, and point-in-time measures for a specific date and time. Three tree-based ensemble learning models, random forest (RF), gradient boost machine (GBM), and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost), were tested for volume estimation by learning from combined dataset of commercial probe data provided by TomTom, the FHWA's Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) data, and other infrastructure attributes such as number of lanes, speed limit, and weather. The methods were tested on major corridors and freeways in the metropolitan area of Denver. All three machine learning methods were able to provide hourly volume estimates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and 365 days a year with around 18% mean absolute error to true volume and about 5% of error with respect to roadway capacity. The low error measures allow the potential application by transportation agencies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Estimating Highway Volumes Using Vehicle Probe Data - Proof of Concept: Preprint

This paper examines the feasibility of using sampled commercial probe data in combination with validated continuous counter data to accurately estimate vehicle volume across the entire roadway network, for any hour during the year. Currently either real time or archived volume data for roadways at specific times are extremely sparse. Most volume data are average annual daily traffic (AADT) measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS). Although methods to factor the AADT to hourly averages for typical day of week exist, actual volume data is limited to a sparse collection of locations in which volumes are continuously recorded. This paper explores the use of commercial probe data to generate accurate volume measures that span the highway network providing ubiquitous coverage in space, and specific point-in-time measures for a specific date and time. The paper examines the need for the data, fundamental accuracy limitations based on a basic statistical model that take into account the sampling nature of probe data, and early results from a proof of concept exercise revealing the potential of probe type data calibrated with public continuous count data to meet end user expectations in terms of accuracy of volume estimates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Messaging for Impact: Behavioral Science-Based Communication Strategies to Advance Energy Efficiency

Currently, five legal authorities require U.S. federal agencies to purchase energy-efficient products. However, compliance with these requirements has consistently been low (~55%). Recent surveys indicate that energy efficiency requirements are not communicated properly within federal agencies and energy-efficiency is not a top priority. In the constantly evolving energy industry, with many solutions for a clean energy future, effective communication methods are vital for widespread adoption of energy efficiency. We have been conducting experiments within the U.S. federal sector that test the effectiveness of messaging strategies developed by using behavioral science principles like loss aversion, framing, and herd behavior. This will identify effective communications methods that encourage energy efficiency adoption. In this study, we measure the effectiveness of different communication strategies by monitoring the web traffic of hyperlinks placed within our digital communications and outreach materials. To determine effective strategies that influence federal buyer behavior, the web traffic from subjects that received the behavioral science-based messaging (treatment group) is compared to that from subjects that received regular messaging (control group) for each of the strategies. This paper provides an overview of the behavioral science principles that we applied, data collection methods, and results of our analysis. Since the lack of effective communication of energy-efficiency policies is also a common problem in the private sector, the messaging strategies developed in this study can be applicable to other large private sector institutions

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Securing Inverter Communication: Proactive Intrusion Detection and Mitigation System to Tap, Analyze, and Act

The electric grid has undergone rapid, revolutionary changes in recent years; from the addition of advanced smart technologies to the growing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) to increased interconnectivity and communications. However, these added communications, access interfaces, and third-party software to enable autonomous control schemes and interconnectivity also expand the attack surface of the grid. To address the gap of DER cybersecurity and secure the grid-edge to motivate a holistic, defense-in-depth approach, a proactive intrusion detection and mitigation system (PIDMS) device was developed to secure PV smart inverter communications. The PIDMS was developed as a distributed, flexible bump-in-the-wire (BITW) solution for protecting PV smart inverter communications. Both cyber (network traffic) and physical (power system measurements) are processed using network intrusion monitoring tools and custom machinelearning algorithms for deep packet analysis and cyber-physical event correlation. The PIDMS not only detects abnormal events but also deploys mitigations to limit or eliminate system impact; the PIDMS communicates with peer PIDMSs at different locations using the MQTT protocol for increased situational awareness and alerting. The details of the PIDMS methodology and prototype development are detailed in this report as well as the evaluation results within a cyber-physical emulation environment and subsequent industry feedback.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

"Traffic smoothing using explicit local controllers"

The dissipation of stop-and-go waves attracted recent attention as a traffic management problem, which can be efficiently addressed by automated driving. As part of the 100 automated vehicles experiment named MegaVanderTest, feedback controls were used to induce strong dissipation via velocity smoothing. More precisely, a single vehicle driving differently in one of the four lanes of I-24 in the Nashville area was able to regularize the velocity profile by reducing oscillations in time and velocity differences among vehicles. Quantitative measures of this effect were possible due to the innovative I-24 MOTION system capable of monitoring the traffic conditions for all vehicles on the roadway. This paper presents the control design, the technological aspects involved in its deployment, and, finally, the results achieved by the experiment.

Hayat, Amaury↗

ProgLIMI: Programmable LInk Metric Identification in Software-Defined Networks

In this paper, we propose the Programmable LInk Metric Identification (ProgLIMI) infrastructure for software-defined networking (SDN) networks. ProgLIMI identifies round-trip link metrics (RTLMs) from accumulated end-to-end metrics of selected measurement paths by leveraging the flexible routing control capability of SDN networks. ProgLIMI mainly solves three sub-problems: (1) monitor placement; (2) linearly independent measurement path construction; and (3) flow rule design. To reduce measurement cost, ProgLIMI tries to minimize the number of required monitors and flow rules. In this paper, we address the three sub-problems for both full and hybrid SDN networks. For full SDN networks, ProgLIMI can achieve full RTLM identification using only one monitor and two flow rules in each SDN switch. In contrast, the RTLM identification in hybrid SDN networks is more complicated due to the routing constraint of hybrid SDN networks. We first prove that the monitor placement problem in hybrid SDN networks is NP-hard. We then formulate the monitor placement and measurement path selection problem in hybrid SDN networks and propose a greedy heuristic algorithm to solve the problem efficiently. Our evaluations on both physical testbed and simulation platform reveal that ProgLIMI can accurately identify the RTLMs (delay and loss rate). Besides, ProgLIMI is also resource efficient, i.e., it only requires two flow rules in each SDN switch and a small number of monitors, and the extra probing traffic load incurred by ProgLIMI is also low.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Peeking Network States with Clustered Patterns

Network traffic monitoring has long been a core element for effec- tive network management and security. However, it is still a chal- lenging task with a high degree of complexity for comprehensive analysis when considering multiple variables and ever-increasing traffic volumes to monitor. For example, one of the widely con- sidered approaches is to scrutinize probabilistic distributions, but it poses a scalability concern and multivariate analysis is not gen- erally supported due to the exponential increase of the complexity. In this work, we propose a novel method for network traffic moni- toring based on clustering, one of the powerful deep-learning tech- niques. We show that the new approach enables us to recognize clustered results as patterns representing the network states, which can then be utilized to evaluate “similarity” of network states over time. In addition, we define a new quantitative measure for the similarity between two compared network states observed in dif- ferent time windows, as a supportive means for intuitive analysis. Finally, we demonstrate the clustering-based network monitoring with public traffic traces, and show that the proposed approach us- ing the clustering method has a great opportunity for feasible, cost- effective network monitoring.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Time-Series Forecast Modeling on High-Bandwidth Network Measurements

With the increasing number of geographically distributed scientific collaborations and the growing sizes of scientific data, it has become challenging for users to achieve the best possible network performance on a shared network. In this paper, we have developed a model to forecast expected bandwidth utilization on high-bandwidth wide area networks. The forecast model can improve the efficiency of the resource utilization and scheduling of data movements on high-bandwidth networks to accommodate ever increasing data volume for large-scale scientific data applications. A univariate time-series forecast model is developed with the Seasonal decomposition of Time series by Loess (STL) and the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) on Simple Network Management Protocol (SNMP) path utilization measurement data. Compared with the traditional approach such as Box-Jenkins methodology to train the ARIMA model, our forecast model reduces computation time up to 92.6 %. It also shows resilience against abrupt network usage changes. Finally, our forecast model conducts the large number of multi-step forecast, and the forecast errors are within the mean absolute deviation (MAD) of the monitored measurements.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Classification of background suppression profiles for low background RPM data

Suppression of the ambient gamma background radiation by traffic structure and cargo is a well-understood and studied effect for deployed radiation portal monitors (RPM). For effective analysis of measured RPM profiles with the objective of inferring the spatial characteristics of radiation sources, it is important to account for the effects of background suppression. In this report we analyze background suppression for a test dataset from vehicle RPMs at a sample port and estimate the distributions of suppression amplitudes and shapes. Cluster analysis of standardized and normalized profiles is used to obtain the dominant suppression shapes in the sample field data. We determine that a large fraction of non-alarm RPM occupancies are represented by a small number of suppression shapes. This fraction increases when the signal-to-noise ratio of an occupancy profile is improved by the addition of signals for multiple RPM detectors located at the same height. The calculated suppression shapes from RPM data can be used along with source models in the process of spatial profile analysis both in the field or offline. This background suppression analysis is an important step in improving the effectiveness of the RPM profile analysis methodology which is currently being investigated and may lead to methods that reduce the number of secondary inspections as well as to decision support tools that aid operators in evaluating RPM data that do not contain spectral information.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Noise Study for the Mexican Spotted Owl Sandia-Mortandad Area of Environmental Interest

One of the primary threats to Mexican Spotted Owls at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) is noise disturbance during the nesting season from vehicular traffic, construction activities, and explosives testing. The other primary threat is from habitat loss or alteration. Sigma Mesa is located between Sandia Canyon to the north and Mortandad Canyon to the south, and is within Technical Area 60. Since Sigma Mesa is within an Area of Environmental Interest (AEI) for the Mexican Spotted Owl, any increase in operational activities requires evaluation under the LANL Habitat Management Plan. This study was completed to support a biological assessment to analyze the effects of the installation of a new asphalt batch plant and additional vehicular traffic on Sigma Mesa. We conducted noise monitoring using calibrated noise level meters at various locations around the project site. This included daytime, nighttime, and weekend measurements. The noise cycle levels around Sigma Mesa vary throughout the week and by measurement location. In developed areas, current noise levels were significantly higher during the day due to daytime operations. In undeveloped areas, noise levels were significantly higher at night due to natural noise primarily from insects. Weekend noise was significantly lower in developed areas and was not significantly different in undeveloped areas. Weekday operations are reduced during the weekend resulting in less noise. Since most of the operational noise is attenuated during the week, noise levels in undeveloped areas are not significantly different during the weekend. In comparison to a noise study performed in 2005 in the same general area, current noise levels have increased in developed areas around Sigma Mesa, but have not increased in undeveloped areas that are lower in elevation. This is due to natural noise attenuation over distance and elevation gradients.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Noise Study for the Mexican Spotted Owl Sandia-Mortandad Area of Environmental Interest

One of the primary threats to Mexican Spotted Owls at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) is noise disturbance during the nesting season from vehicular traffic, construction activities, and explosives testing. The other primary threat is from habitat loss or alteration. Sigma Mesa is located between Sandia Canyon to the north and Mortandad Canyon to the south, and is within Technical Area 60. Since Sigma Mesa is within an Area of Environmental Interest (AEI) for the Mexican Spotted Owl, any increase in operational activities requires evaluation under the LANL Habitat Management Plan. This study was completed to support a biological assessment to analyze the effects of the installation of a new asphalt batch plant and additional vehicular traffic on Sigma Mesa. We conducted noise monitoring using calibrated noise level meters at various locations around the project site. This included daytime, nighttime, and weekend measurements. The noise cycle levels around Sigma Mesa vary throughout the week and by measurement location. In developed areas, current noise levels were significantly higher during the day due to daytime operations. In undeveloped areas, noise levels were significantly higher at night due to natural noise primarily from insects. Weekend noise was significantly lower in developed areas and was not significantly different in undeveloped areas. Weekday operations are reduced during the weekend resulting in less noise. Since most of the operational noise is attenuated during the week, noise levels in undeveloped areas are not significantly different during the weekend. In comparison to a noise study performed in 2005 in the same general area, current noise levels have increased in developed areas around Sigma Mesa, but have not increased in undeveloped areas that are lower in elevation. This is due to natural noise attenuation over distance and elevation gradients.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗