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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2016

Technical Note: Introduction of variance component analysis to setup error analysis in radiotherapy

Purpose: The purpose of this technical note is to introduce variance component analysis to the estimation of systematic and random components in setup error of radiotherapy. Methods: Balanced data according to the one-factor random effect model were assumed. Results: Analysis-of-variance (ANOVA)-based computation was applied to estimate the values and their confidence intervals (CIs) for systematic and random errors and the population mean of setup errors. The conventional method overestimates systematic error, especially in hypofractionated settings. The CI for systematic error becomes much wider than that for random error. The ANOVA-based estimation can be extended to a multifactor model considering multiple causes of setup errors (e.g., interpatient, interfraction, and intrafraction). Conclusions: Variance component analysis may lead to novel applications to setup error analysis in radiotherapy.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Analysis of Variance of Functional Data (F-ANOVA) [Slides]

Goals: What is Analysis of Variance (ANOVA); Extending Analysis of Variance to Function Data (F-ANOVA); The role of stochastic processes in F-ANOVA; One and Two Sample Problems for F-ANOVA; One-Way F-ANOVA.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Allan Variance is Bootstrap Aggregation for Spectral Estimation

Characterization of clocks and inertial sensors, such as accelerometers and gyroscopes, typically includes Allan variance analysis. Allan variance is ubiquitous in timing and navigation communities which may appear niche compared with generalized spectral analysis. This note provides some motivation for Allan Variance for audiences more familiar with spectral analysis.

Walker, Michael Ray [Sandia National Laboratories ↗
DOE OSTI2014

SU-E-J-227: Breathing Pattern Consistency and Reproducibility: Comparative Analysis for Supine and Prone Body Positioning

Purpose: Evaluate and compare the cycle-to-cycle consistency of breathing patterns and their reproducibility over the course of treatment, for supine and prone positioning. Methods: Respiratory traces from 25 patients were recorded for sequential supine/prone 4DCT scans acquired prior to treatment, and during the course of the treatment (weekly or bi-weekly). For each breathing cycle, the average(AVE), end-of-exhale(EoE) and end-of-inhale( EoI) locations were identified using in-house developed software. In addition, the mean values and variations for the above quantities were computed for each breathing trace. F-tests were used to compare the cycle-to-cycle consistency of all pairs of sequential supine and prone scans. Analysis of variances was also performed using population means for AVE, EoE and EoI to quantify differences between the reproducibility of prone and supine respiration traces over the treatment course. Results: Consistency: Cycle-to-cycle variations are less in prone than supine in the pre-treatment and during-treatment scans for AVE, EoE and EoI points, for the majority of patients (differences significant at p<0.05). The few cases where the respiratory pattern had more variability in prone appeared to be random events. Reproducibility: The reproducibility of breathing patterns (supine and prone) improved as treatment progressed, perhaps due to patients becoming more comfortable with the procedure. However, variability in supine position continued to remain significantly larger than in prone (p<0.05), as indicated by the variance analysis of population means for the pretreatment and subsequent during-treatment scans. Conclusions: Prone positioning stabilizes breathing patterns in most subjects investigated in this study. Importantly, a parallel analysis of the same group of patients revealed a tendency towards increasing motion amplitude of tumor targets in prone position regardless of their size or location; thus, the choice for body positioning during radiation therapy will have to consider the clinical relevance of the two opposing trends - breathing consistency and motion amplitude.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2015

Structure analysis of simulated molecular clouds with the Δ-variance

Here, we employ the Δ-variance analysis and study the turbulent gas dynamics of simulated molecular clouds (MCs). Our models account for a simplified treatment of time-dependent chemistry and the non-isothermal nature of the gas. We investigate simulations using three different initial mean number densities of n 0 = 30, 100 and 300 cm -3 that span the range of values typical for MCs in the solar neighbourhood. Furthermore, we model the CO line emission in a post-processing step using a radiative transfer code. We evaluate Δ-variance spectra for centroid velocity (CV) maps as well as for integrated intensity and column density maps for various chemical components: the total, H 2 and 12 CO number density and the integrated intensity of both the 12 CO and 13 CO (J = 1 → 0) lines. The spectral slopes of the Δ-variance computed on the CV maps for the total and H 2 number density are significantly steeper compared to the different CO tracers. We find slopes for the linewidth–size relation ranging from 0.4 to 0.7 for the total and H 2 density models, while the slopes for the various CO tracers range from 0.2 to 0.4 and underestimate the values for the total and H 2 density by a factor of 1.5–3.0. We demonstrate that optical depth effects can significantly alter the Δ-variance spectra. Furthermore, we report a critical density threshold of 100 cm -3 at which the Δ-variance slopes of the various CO tracers change sign. We thus conclude that carbon monoxide traces the total cloud structure well only if the average cloud density lies above this limit.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2015

A general reconstruction of the recent expansion history of the universe

Distance measurements are currently the most powerful tool to study the expansion history of the universe without specifying its matter content nor any theory of gravitation. Assuming only an isotropic, homogeneous and flat universe, in this work we introduce a model-independent method to reconstruct directly the deceleration function via a piecewise function. Including a penalty factor, we are able to vary continuously the complexity of the deceleration function from a linear case to an arbitrary (n+1)-knots spline interpolation. We carry out a Monte Carlo (MC) analysis to determine the best penalty factor, evaluating the bias-variance trade-off, given the uncertainties of the SDSS-II and SNLS supernova combined sample (JLA), compilations of baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) and H(z) data. The bias-variance analysis is done for three fiducial models with different features in the deceleration curve. We perform the MC analysis generating mock catalogs and computing their best-fit. For each fiducial model, we test different reconstructions using, in each case, more than 10{sup 4} catalogs in a total of about 5× 10{sup 5}. This investigation proved to be essential in determining the best reconstruction to study these data. We show that, evaluating a single fiducial model, the conclusions about the bias-variance ratio are misleading. We determine the reconstruction method in which the bias represents at most 10% of the total uncertainty. In all statistical analyses, we fit the coefficients of the deceleration function along with four nuisance parameters of the supernova astrophysical model. For the full sample, we also fit H{sub 0} and the sound horizon r{sub s}(z{sub d}) at the drag redshift. The bias-variance trade-off analysis shows that, apart from the deceleration function, all other estimators are unbiased. Finally, we apply the Ensemble Sampler Markov Chain Monte Carlo (ESMCMC) method to explore the posterior of the deceleration function up to redshift 1.3 (using only JLA) and 2.3 (JLA+BAO+H(z)). We obtain that the standard cosmological model agrees within 3σ level with the reconstructed results in the whole studied redshift intervals. Since our method is calibrated to minimize the bias, the error bars of the reconstructed functions are a good approximation for the total uncertainty.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2013

SMALL-SCALE PRESSURE-BALANCED STRUCTURES DRIVEN BY MIRROR-MODE WAVES IN THE SOLAR WIND

Recently, small-scale pressure-balanced structures (PBSs) have been studied with regard to their dependence on the direction of the local mean magnetic field B{sub 0} . The present work continues these studies by investigating the compressive wave mode forming small PBSs, here for B{sub 0} quasi-perpendicular to the x-axis of Geocentric Solar Ecliptic coordinates (GSE-x). All the data used were measured by WIND in the quiet solar wind. From the distribution of PBSs on the plane determined by the temporal scale and angle θ{sub xB} between the GSE-x and B{sub 0} , we notice that at θ{sub xB} = 115° the PBSs appear at temporal scales ranging from 700 s to 60 s. In the corresponding temporal segment, the correlations between the plasma thermal pressure P{sub th} and the magnetic pressure P{sub B}, as well as that between the proton density N{sub p} and the magnetic field strength B, are investigated. In addition, we use the proton velocity distribution functions to calculate the proton temperatures T and T{sub ∥}. Minimum Variance Analysis is applied to find the magnetic field minimum variance vector B{sub N} . We also study the time variation of the cross-helicity σ{sub c} and the compressibility C{sub p} and compare these with values from numerical predictions for the mirror mode. In this way, we finally identify a short segment that has T > T{sub ∥}, proton β ≅ 1, both pairs of P{sub th}-P{sub B} and N{sub p}-B showing anti-correlation, and σ{sub c} ≈ 0 with C{sub p} > 0. Although the examination of σ{sub c} and C{sub p} is not conclusive, it provides helpful additional information for the wave mode identification. Additionally, B{sub N} is found to be highly oblique to B{sub 0} . Thus, this work suggests that a candidate mechanism for forming small-scale PBSs in the quiet solar wind is due to mirror-mode waves.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2018

Application of Variance-Based Sensitivity Analysis to a Large System Dynamics Model

Variance-based sensitivity methods can provide insights into large computational models. We present a novel application of sensitivity analysis to the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM) a large and complex system dynamics model of the developing biofuels industry in the United States. We apply a two-stage sensitivity approach consisting of an initial sensitivity screening, followed by a variance decomposition approach. Identifying key system levers and quantifying their strength is not straightforward in complex system dynamics models that have numerous feedbacks and nonlinear results. Variance-based sensitivity analysis (VBSA) offers a systematic, global approach to assessing system dynamics models because it addresses nonlinear responses and interactive effects. Especially when a large model's size makes manual exploration of the input space difficult and time-consuming, the approach can help to provide a comprehensive understanding of interactions that drive model behaviors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2014

Nuclear Analysis of ITER - Paper 129

The world record fusion power production is 16.1 MW (5.7x10{sup 18} n/s). This was achieved at JET in 1995. The neutron budget during that experimental campaign was 2.5x10{sup 20} neutrons. In the first few seconds of an ITER full power pulse, the neutron production will exceed that the total from the entire history of previous controlled fusion experiments. It is envisaged that ITER should produce as much as 700 MW of fusion power. (This is the maximum envisaged power production from the plasma and does not include power multiplication in the blankets or shielding). This equates to the production of 2.48x10{sup 20} 14-MeV neutrons/s which will give an uncollided flux at the first wall of approximately 4x10{sup 13} n/cm{sup 2}/s and a total with the addition of the collided flux of some 10{sup 14} n/cm{sup 2}/s. For safety and licensing purposes it is the responsibility of ITER to satisfy the host state regulations and must limit doses to the public and staff. Furthermore, sufficient shielding must be provided to ensure that all components function adequately; and for decommissioning, ITER has a responsibility to reduce the volume and radio-toxicity of waste. The construction, operational and decommissioning phases of ITER are expected to last in excess of 30 years and the nuclear issues will be of critical importance throughout this time. The huge leap in neutron production in fusion experiments means that extensive nuclear analysis is required for ITER and it is the thesis of this paper that it is required at an unprecedented level. This is because of the combination of the large physical size of the installation, the variety of radiation sources, the attenuation required, the complexity of the geometry and the complexity of the sources and level of detail required. As a result of this unprecedented challenge the latest techniques for analysis, variance reduction and data display are being employed and in some cases being specifically developed. In this paper a few of the many representative examples of nuclear analysis will illustrate the thesis. The paper includes an examination of areas where further development could be made in the areas of radiation shield and nuclear analysis. Extensive nuclear analysis is required at ITER and the combination of the large physical size of the installation, the variety of radiation sources, the attenuation required, the complexity of the geometry, and the complexity of the sources mean that analysis is required at an unprecedented level of detail and quality. The latest techniques for analysis, variation reduction and data display are being employed and in some cases being specifically developed. Developments are required in areas of analysis, data visualization and experimental verification. (author)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
DOE OSTI2013

SMALL-SCALE PRESSURE-BALANCED STRUCTURES DRIVEN BY OBLIQUE SLOW MODE WAVES MEASURED IN THE SOLAR WIND

Recently, small-scale pressure-balanced structures (PBSs) were identified in the solar wind, but their formation mechanism remains unclear. This work aims to reveal the dependence of the properties of small-scale PBSs on the background magnetic field (B{sub 0}) direction and thus to corroborate the in situ mechanism that forms them. We analyze the plasma and magnetic field data obtained by WIND in the quiet solar wind at 1 AU. First, we use a developed moving-average method to obtain B{sub 0}(s, t) for every temporal scale (s) at each time moment (t). By wavelet cross-coherence analysis, we obtain the correlation coefficients between the thermal pressure P{sub th} and the magnetic pressure P{sub B}, distributing against the temporal scale and the angle {theta}{sub xB} between B{sub 0}(s, t) and Geocentric Solar Ecliptic coordinates (GSE)-x. We note that the angle coverage of a PBS decreases with shorter temporal scale, but the occurrence of the PBSs is independent of {theta}{sub xB}. Suspecting that the isolated small PBSs are formed by compressive waves in situ, we continue this study by testing the wave modes forming a small-scale PBS with B{sub 0}(s, t) quasi-parallel to GSE-x. As a result, we identify that the cross-helicity and the compressibility attain values for a slow mode from theoretical calculations. The wave vector is derived from minimum variance analysis. Besides, the proton temperatures obey T < T{sub Parallel-To} derived from the velocity distribution functions, excluding a mirror mode, which is the other candidate for the formation of PBSs in situ. Thus, a small-scale PBS is shown to be driven by oblique, slow-mode waves in the solar wind.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Ppb-level mid-infrared ethane detection based on three measurement schemes using a 3.34-μm continuous-wave interband cascade laser

A ppb-level mid-infrared ethane (C 2 H 6 ) sensor was developed using a continuous-wave, thermoelectrically cooled, distributed feedback interband cascade laser emitting at 3.34 μm and a miniature dense patterned multipass gas cell with a 54.6-m optical path length. The performance of the sensor was investigated using two different techniques based on the tunable interband cascade laser: direct absorption spectroscopy (DAS) and second-harmonic wavelength modulation spectroscopy (2f-WMS). Three measurement schemes, DAS, WMS and quasi-simultaneous DAS and WMS, were realized based on the same optical sensor core. A detection limit of ~7.92 ppbv with a precision of ±30 ppbv for the separate DAS scheme with an averaging time of 1 s and a detection limit of ~1.19 ppbv with a precision of about ±4 ppbv for the separate WMS scheme with a 4-s averaging time were achieved. An Allan–Werle variance analysis indicated that the precisions can be further improved to 777 pptv @ 166 s for the separate DAS scheme and 269 pptv @ 108 s for the WMS scheme, respectively. For the quasi-simultaneous DAS and WMS scheme, both the 2f signal and the direct absorption signal were simultaneously extracted using a LabVIEW platform, and four C 2 H 6 samples (0, 30, 60 and 90 ppbv with nitrogen as the balance gas) were used as the target gases to assess the sensor performance. A detailed comparison of the three measurement schemes is reported. Here, atmospheric C 2 H 6 measurements on the Rice University campus and a field test at a compressed natural gas station in Houston, TX, were conducted to evaluate the performance of the sensor system as a robust and reliable field-deployable sensor system.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2018

A 3D-Printed Microresonator Based on the Quartz-Enhanced Photoacoustic Spectroscopy Sensor for Methane Detection

A 3D-printed microresonator based on a quartz tuning fork has been developed. The sensor performance is evaluated by detection of methane with a fiber-coupled distributed feedback diode laser. In combination with wavelength modulation spectroscopy, a minimum detectable concentration of 15.6 ppb by volume is achieved at atmospheric pressure with an 8-mW average optical excitation power and a lock-in amplifier time constant of 1 s, which corresponds to a 1σ normalized noise equivalent absorption coefficient of 5·10{sup –9} cm{sup –1}·W/Hz{sup 1/2}. An Allan variance analysis shows that the system has long-term stability and can serve as the basis for a portable gas analyzer. Approaches to improve the current sensor performance are also discussed. This design greatly reduces the time of manufacturing the microresonator.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Partitioning of Recombinant Pseudomonas putida POS-F84 Proline Dehydrogenase in Aqueous Two-Phase Systems: Optimization Using Response Surface Methodology

Empirical modeling the partition behavior and recovery of a recombinant Pseudomonas putida POS-F84 proline dehydrogenase (ProDH) in aqueous two-phase systems (ATPS) was carried out by response surface methodology (RSM). Polyethylene glycol 1000 (PEG-1000) concentration, sodium carbonate concentration, and pH, which were the most important factors, were chosen for modeling the partition feature of enzyme. The adequacy of the models was investigated by means of variance analysis. Also, to confirm the efficiency of the ATPS in partition and purification of recombinant ProDH, purity and enzymatic activity was studied. After numerical optimization, an optimal ATPS composed of 14.33% PEG-1000 and 11.79% sodium carbonate at pH 7.48 was achieved. Yield, purification factor, and recovery were 81.41%, 60.82, and 270.82%, respectively. Purified recombinant ProDH was found as a single protein band into the upper PEG-rich phase and the specific activity was calculated to be 46.23 ± 2.1 U/mg. Collectively, our data showed that the RSM could be an appropriate and powerful tool to define the best ATPS system for recovery and purification of P. putida ProDH.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2017

Developing methanogenic microbial consortia from diverse coal sources and environments

Biogenic gas production is a promising alternative or supplement to conventional methane extraction from coalbeds. Adsorbed and free gas, generated over geologic time, can be supplemented with biogenic gas during short-term engineering operations. There are two generic protocols for doing this. The first is to contact the coal with nutrients to support native bacterial development. The second approach is to inject appropriately cultured ex-situ consortia into subsurface coal accumulations. Research has mainly focused on the former: in-situ stimulation of native microbial communities with added nutrients. Relatively few studies have been conducted on the strategies for enriching ex-situ microbial populations under initial atmospheric exposure for subsequent injection into coal seams to stimulate biodegradation, and methanogenesis. In order to evaluate the feasibility of ex-situ cultivation, natural microbial populations were collected from various hydrocarbon-rich environments and locations characterized by natural methanogenesis. Different rank coals (i.e., lignite, sub-bituminous, bituminous), complex hydrocarbon sources (i.e., oil shale, waxy crude), hydrocarbon seeps, and natural biogenic environments were incorporated in the sampling. Three levels of screening (down-selection to high grade the most productive consortia) allowed selection of microbial populations, favorable nutrient amendments, sources of the microbial community, and quantification of methane produced from various coal types. Incubation periods of up to twenty-four weeks were evaluated at 23 °C. Headspace concentrations of CH 4 and CO 2 were analyzed by gas chromatography. After a two-week incubation period of the most promising microbes, generated headspace gas concentrations reached 873,400 ppm (154 sft 3 /ton or 4.8 scm 3 /g) for methane and 176,370 ppm (31 sft 3 /ton or 0.9 scm 3 /g) for carbon dioxide. Rudimentary statistical assessments – variance analysis (ANOVA) of a single factor - were used to identify trends and levels of significance or impact of the consortia enrichment. We then demonstrated that microbial communities from coal and lake sediments can be enriched and adapted to effectively generate methane under initial atmospheric exposure. The development and enrichment of these methanogenic consortia is described.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2015

Investigation and quantification of nonlinearity using surrogate data in a glow discharge plasma

Detection of nonlinearity has been carried out in periodic and aperiodic floating potential fluctuations of DC glow discharge plasma by generating surrogate data using iterative amplitude adjusted Fourier transform method. We introduce “delay vector variance” analysis (DVV) for the first time, which allows reliable detection of nonlinearity and provides some easy to interpret diagram conveying information about the nature of the experimental floating potential fluctuations (FPF). The method of false nearest neighbourhood is deployed on the FPF's to find a good embedding so as to be acquainted with the precise knowledge of m, which is desirable for carrying out DVV analysis. The emergence of nonlinearity with increase in discharge voltage has been ensured by taking into consideration the total energy present in different band of frequencies excited due to nonlinear processes. Rejection of null hypothesis has been verified by performing the rank test method that confirms the presence of nonlinearity quantitatively.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Inferring thermal ion temperature and residual kinetic energy from nuclear measurements in inertial confinement fusion implosions

In inertial con finement fusion implosion experiments, the presence of residual anisotropic fluid motion within the stagnating hot spot leads to signifi cant variations in ion-temperature measurements using neutron time- of-flight detectors along different lines of sight. The minimum ion-temperature measurement is typically used as representative of the thermal temperature. In the presence of isotropic flows, however, even the minimum DT neutron-inferred ion temperature can be well above the plasma thermal temperature. Using both DD and DT neutron-inferred ion-temperature measurements, we show that it is possible to determine the contribution of isotropic flows and infer the DT burn-averaged thermal ion temperature. The contribution of large isotropic flows on driving the ratio of DD to DT neutron-inferred ion temperatures well below unity and approaching the lower bound of 0.8 is demonstrated in multimode simulations. The minimum DD neutron- inferred ion temperature is determined from the velocity variance analysis, accounting for the presence of isotropic flows. Being close to the DT burn-averaged thermal ion temperature, the inferred DD minimum ion temperatures demonstrate a strong correlation with the experimental yields in the OMEGA implosion database. An analytical expression is also derived to explain the effect of mode ℓ = 1 ion-temperature measurement asymmetry on yield degradations caused by the anisotropic flows.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Solar Cell Metallization Wear is Sensitive to Loading Frequency

Here, we performed cyclic loading of photovoltaic laminates with precracked silicon cells to explore if and how loading frequency and contact pressure influence the ensuing gridline wear-out process. A measurement of parallel resistance across cracked gridlines on a laminated cell coupon was used as the metric for gridline electrical contact degradation. A statistical analysis of variance (ANOVA) analysis of the experimental results discerned that loading frequency is a more significant factor than contact pressure for gridline degradation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗