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NASA NTRS1985

Variational assimilation of VAS data into a mesoscale model Assimilation method and sensitivity experiments

The assimilation of temperature and moisture gradient information from the Visible IR Spin-Scan Radiometer's Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) into a mesoscale model is presently undertaken by means of a variational method and followed by tests of the sensitivity of both diabatic and adiabatic versions of the model to VAS data assimilations for the case of July 20-21, 1981. The synoptic scale effects of the assimilation of VAS data are noted to be negligible; the greatest impact was instead on mesoscale forecasts of convective instability patterns. The additional assimilation of relative humidity gradients did not significantly change the patterns of the forecast instabilities. The greatest improvements from assimilation resulted from the resolution of the strong mesoscale temperature gradients by the asynoptic VAS data.

Cram, J. M.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Variational mesoscale satellite data assimilation and initialization

The problems of mesoscale satellite data assimilation were examined. Assimilation of satellite data to improve the forecasts made by mesoscale forecast models was undertaken. Assimilation of high resolution satellite derived temperature data into a mesoscale model with horizontal resolution of 50 to 60 km is reported. Unlike global assimilation, in which a small portion of the forecast model domain is subject to data insertion at virtually every time step, the mesoscale assimilation virtually all of the forecast model domain is subject to data insertion at one time step. The mesoscale problem lends itself naturally to intermittent data assimilation and the forecast model is reinitialized whenever a new satellite pass covers its domain with data. The satellite data assimilation as an initialization problem are discussed.

Sasaki, Y. K.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Variational assimilation of VAS data into the mass model

Experiments are reported in which VAS data at 1200, 1500, and 1800 GMT 20 July 1981 were assimilated using both the adiabatic and full physics version of the Mesoscale Atmospheric Simulation System (MASS). A nonassimilation forecast is compared with forecasts assimilating temperature gradients only and forecasts assimilating both temperature and humidity gradients. The effects of successive vs single assimilations are also examined. It is noted that the greatest improvements to the forecast resulted when the VAS data resolved the mesoscale structure of the temperature and relative humidity fields. When this structure was assimilated into MASS, the ensuing simulations more clearly defined a mesoscale structure in the developing instabilities.

Cram, J. M.↗

NASA NTRS1984

VAS data assimilation into a mesoscale model

In numerical weather prediction, one of the arising problems has always been related to insufficient data, especially in cases involving scales smaller than the synoptic rawinsonde network. The Visible Infrared Spin-Scan Radiometer (VISSR) Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) instrument on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) can provide mesoscale vertical profiles of temperature and moisture several times over a twelve hour period. However, as this data is only available over a relatively small area at any one time, the VAS data is more suited to data assimilation. A variational method has been developed to assimilate VAS data into a mesoscale model. In the present paper, the assimilation method and VAS data from one case are discussed. It is found that the greatest improvements to the forecast resulted when the VAS data resolved the mesoscale structure of the temperature and relative humidity fields.

Cram, J. M.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Columbia River volcanism - The question of mantle heterogeneity or crustal contamination

It is found that, although crystal fractionation played an important role in producing the chemical characteristics of Columbia River Province basalts displaying a wide range of chemical and isotopic compositions, the isotopic variability calls for the involvement of at least two isotopically distinct components. The major and trace element characteristics of the main volume of the basalts are not consistent with a metasomatized mantle source region, and the presence of a primordial mantel component is not supported by the chemical data. Models of simple binary mixing between a primary magma and Precambrian sialic crustal materials, while satisfying the observed Nd and Sr isotopic variations, fail to account for major trace element abundances. The combination of crustal assimilation and fractional crystalization is found to give a superior fit to the compositional data.

Carlson, R. W.↗

NASA NTRS1977

A statistical method for time-continuous assimilation of remote sounding temperatures

A time-continuous statistical method is presented for the four-dimensional assimilation of remote sounding temperatures based on radiometric measurements from polar-orbiting satellites. This method is applied to DST-6 data from the NOAA-4 and Nimbus-6 satellites. Experiments are reported in which the state of the atmosphere throughout the test period was determined using a varying amount of satellite data and in which different methods were used for their assimilation. Data from the NOAA-4 satellite only, from Nimbus-6 only, and from both satellites together were used; the methods tested include different variations of the statistical method as well as more traditional methods. The conclusions are that: (1) satellite-derived temperature data can have a modest, but statistically significant positive impact on numerical weather prediction in the two-to-three day range; (2) this impact is highly sensitive to the quantity of data available; and (3) the assimilation method plays a major role in the magnitude of the impact for the same data.

Ghil, M.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Initialization of mesoscale models - The possible impact of remotely sensed data

Little or no improvement appears to have been achieved in mesoscale numerical prediction. This has been blamed on inherent unpredictability, insufficient spatial resolution, inadequate parameterization of important physical processes, and errors in the numerical discretization of the governing hydrodynamic equations. Attention is presently given to the more fundamental difficulty of forecasting when present conditions are not known with sufficient accuracy, and to the matching of remotely sensed sounding-capability satellite and all-weather Doppler radar data with mesoscale numerical models. This matching is not straightforward; simple and variational forms of four-dimensional assimilation, and Kalman filtering, are suggested approaches but their practical testing remains to be accomplished. The most severe problem faced is that of the temperature and humidity profiles' vertical resolution.

Gal-Chen, T.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Methodologies for initialization experiments with NWP mesoscale model and geostationary satellite data

An algorithm is developed for the initialization of a mesoscale NWP model with geostationary satellite data and conventional data. The algorithm is a blend of the four-dimensional assimilation technique (Charney, Jastrow and Halem, 1969) for large-scale NWP models and the variational techniques used in cloud models (Gal-Chen, 1978) and large-scale models (Sasaki, 1969). The model's generated winds are combined with rawinsonde measurements.

Gal-Chen, T.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Artificial stereo presentation of meteorological data fields

The innate capability to perceive three-dimensional stereo imagery has been exploited to present multidimensional meteorological data fields. Variations on an artificial stereo technique first discussed by Pichel et al. (1973) are used to display single and multispectral images in a vivid and easily assimilated manner. Examples of visible/infrared artificial stereo are given for Hurricane Allen and for severe thunderstorms on 10 April 1979. Three-dimensional output from a mesoscale model also is presented. The images may be viewed through the glasses inserted in the February 1981 issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, with the red lens over the right eye. The images have been produced on the interactive Atmospheric and Oceanographic Information Processing System (AOIPS) at Goddard Space Flight Center. Stereo presentation is an important aid in understanding meteorological phenomena for operational weather forecasting, research case studies, and model simulations.

Hasler, A. F.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Some experiments on the effect of remote sounding temperatures upon weather forecasting

A time-continuous statistical method is presented for the four dimensional assimilation of remote sounding temperatures based on radiance measurements from polar orbiting satellites. This method is applied to DST 6 data from the NOAA 4 and Nimbus 6 satellites. The state of the atmosphere throughout the test period was determined using a varying amount of satellite data from the NOAA 4 satellite only, from Nimbus 6 only, and from both satellites together. The methods tested included different variations of the statistical method, as well as more traditional methods. It is concluded that satellite derived temperature data can have a modest, but statistically significant positive impact on numerical weather prediction in the two to three day range, and that this impact is highly sensitive to the quantity of data available and to the assimilation method used.

Halem, M.↗

NASA NTRS1984

The influence of actual and apparent geoid error on ocean analysis and prediction

The radar altimeter is the only satellite remote sensor with a proven capability for synoptically measuring an integral property of the dynamic ocean on a near global, all weather basis. Because acquisition of global, in situ ocean data with space/time resolution adequate to describe dynamically important ocean features is practically impossible, any attempt to develop a global ocean monitoring and forecasting system will rely heavily on altimetric data for initialization and updating. Maximizing useful information from the altimeter while minimizing error sources and developing methods for assimilating altimeter data into dynamical models are, therefore, vital areas for research and development. The limits imposed on ocean prediction by errors in the geoid or apparent errors associated with ground track variations near strong geopotential gradients are examined.

Thompson, J. D.↗

NASA NTRS1985

A cool anomaly off northern California - An investigation using IR imagery and in situ data

The OPTOMA (Ocean Prediction Through Observation, Modeling and Analysis) program is developing an ocean descriptive-predictive system for four-dimensional data assimilation. It is presently concerned with the mesoscale variability in the California Current System (CCS). The present paper has the objective to assess the relationship of surface temperature structure to subsurface temperature structure and flow fields. Surface temperature anomalies are related to the mesoscale horizontal advective and subsurface mass fields. The cool anomaly off northern California in summer 1982 is discussed, taking into account the temperature structure along transects, T-S variations and inferred water masses, variation of horizontal temperature patterns with depth, and synoptic information from IR data.

Rienecker, M. M.↗

NASA NTRS1981

A four dimensional variational analysis experiment

A demonstration that the four dimensional variational analysis method using the governing equations as exact constraints can be successfully employed for a perfect model and for a simple, but nonlinear, system is presented. The method is stable in an assimilation cycle. The method reconstructs the unobservable variables; in the case demonstrated, no velocity data was observed. The analysis errors are much smaller than the observing system errors.

Hoffman, R.↗

NASA NTRS1974

Data correlation and analysis of arc tunnel and wind tunnel tests of RSI joints and gaps. Volume 1: Technical report

Heat transfer data measured in gaps typical of those under consideration for joints in space shuttle reusable surface insulation protection systems have been assimilated, analyzed and correlated. The data were obtained in four NASA facilities. Several types of gaps were investigated with emphasis on simple butt joints. Gap widths ranged from 0.07 to 0.7 cm and depths ranged from 1 to 6 cm. Laminar, transitional and turbulent boundary layer flows over the gap opening were investigated. Three-dimensional heating variations were observed within gaps in the absence of external flow pressure gradients. Heat transfer correlation equations were obtained for several of the tests. Thermal protection system performance with and without gaps was compared for a representative shuttle entry trajectory.

Christensen, H. E.↗

NASA NTRS1975

Data correlation and analysis of arc tunnel and wind tunnel tests of RSI joints and gaps, phase 2. Volume 1: Technical report

Heat transfer data measured in gaps representative of those being employed for joints in the space shuttle reusable surface insulation (RSI) thermal protection systems (TPS) were assimilated, analyzed, and correlated. Several types of gap were investigated with emphasis on simple butt joints. Gap widths ranged from 0.0 to 0.76 cm and depths ranged from 1 to 6 cm. Laminar, transitional, and turbulent boundary layer flows over the gap opening were investigated. The angle between gap axis and external flow was varied between 0 and pi/2 radians. The contoured cross section gap performed significantly better than all other wide gaps and slightly better than all other narrow gap geometries. Three dimensional heating variations were observed within gaps in the absence of external flow pressure gradients. Interactions between heating within gaps and heating of adjacent top tile surfaces were observed. Gaps aligned with the flow were observed to promote boundary layer transition. Heat transfer correlation equations were obtained for many of the tests. The TPS thickness requirements with and without gaps were computed for a current shuttle entry trajectory. Experimental data employed in the study are summarized. A description of each test facility, run schedule and test conditions, model descriptive information, and heat flux data are included.

Cristensen, H. E.↗

NASA NTRS1985

An initialization procedure for assimilating geostationary satellite data into numerical weather prediction models

An attempt was made to offset the limitations of GEO satellites for supplying timely initialization data for numerical weather prediction models (NWP). The NWP considered combined an isentropic representation of the free atmosphere with a sigma-coordinate model for the lower 200 mb. A flux form of the predictive equations described vertical transport interactions at the boundary of the two model domains, thereby accounting for the poor vertical temperature and wind field resolution of GEO satellite data. A variational analysis approach was employed to insert low resolution satellite-sensed temperature data at varying rates. The model vertical resolution was limited to that available from the satellite. Test simulations demonstrated that accuracy increases with the frequency of data updates, e.g., every 0.5-1 hr. The tests also showed that extensive cloud cover negates the capabilities of IR sensors and that microwave sensors will be needed for temperature estimations for 500-1000 mb levels.

Gal-Chen, T.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Pristine highland clasts in consortium breccia 14305 Petrology and geochemistry

Data are presented on the petrography and mineral chemistry of six pristine highland clasts chipped from the polymict lunar breccia 14305. Major and trace elements in the clasts were determined by instrumental neutron activation analysis, and mineral analyses were performed by electron microprobe. Mg-suite clasts have 'eastern' geochemical affinities, reaffirming the importance of local variations in geochemistry. These local variations are superimposed on the moon-wide, longitudinal variations noted by Warren and Wasson (1980). Alkali anorthosites and Mg-suite troctolites and anorthosites are not comagmatic, and cannot be related to a single parent magma by either fractional crystallization or variable assimilation of KREEP. Both magma suites may have assimilated varied amounts of KREEP into distinct parent magmas. Alternatively, alkali anorthosites may have crystallized directly from a KREEP-basalt parent magma. A thick crust of ferroan anorthosite probably never existed on the western lunar nearside, or was removed by basin-forming impacts prior to intrusion of later plutonic suites.

Shervais, J. W.↗

NASA NTRS1980

Iron and titanium distribution on the moon from orbital gamma ray spectrometry with implications for crustal evolutionary models

A set of Fe and Ti maps and regional values are obtained from the Apollo 15 and 16 orbital gamma ray data by energy band analysis. High-Ti basalts predominate the early and late stages of mare volcanism with high-Fe basaltic volcanism in the interim. The first evidence of a high-Ti-KREEP basalt association is found in the Aristarchus region. A N-S asymmetry for Fe and Ti in the east limb and farside highlands complicates the E-W asymmetry for Th but substantiates crustal inhomogeneity. The observed crustal inhomogeneity adds an additional objection to the primitive source model for crustal evolution. The high-Ti-KREEP basalt association and the general trend of decreasing mare basalt Ti with time lend support to the cumulate source model; however, this model cannot account for young, high-Ti maria. The dynamic assimilation model better accounts for chemical variations observed on the moon.

Davis, P. A., Jr.↗