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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Wind Gust Characterization at Wind Turbine Relevant Heights in Moderately Complex Terrain

Improved understanding of wind gusts in complex terrain is critically important to wind engineering and specifically the wind energy industry. Observational data from 3D sonic anemometers deployed at 3 and 65 m at a site in moderately complex terrain within the northeastern United States are used to calculate 10 descriptors of wind gusts and to determine the parent distributions that best describe these parameters. It is shown that the parent distributions exhibit consistency across different descriptors of the gust climate. Specifically, the parameters that describe the gust intensity (gust amplitude, rise magnitude, and lapse magnitude; i.e., properties that have units of length per time) fit the two-parameter Weibull distribution, those that are unitless ratios (gust factor and peak factor) are described by log-logistic distributions, and all other properties (peak gust, rise and lapse times, gust asymmetric factor, and gust length scale) are lognormally distributed. It is also shown that gust factors scale with turbulence intensity, but gusts are distinguishable in power spectra of the longitudinal wind component (i.e., they have demonstrably different length scales than the average eddy length scale). Gust periods at the lower measurement height (3 m) are consistent with shear production, whereas at 65 m they are not. At this site, there is only a weak directional dependence of gust properties on site terrain and land cover variability along sectorial transects, but large gust length scales and gust factors are more likely to be observed in unstable atmospheric conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Do Machine Learning Approaches Offer Skill Improvement for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Gust Occurrence and Magnitude?

Abstract Wind gusts, and in particular intense gusts, are societally relevant but extremely challenging to forecast. This study systematically assesses the skill enhancement that can be achieved using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting of wind gust occurrence and magnitude. Geophysical predictors from the ERA5 reanalysis are used in conjunction with an autoregressive term in regression and ANN models with different predictors, and varying model complexity. Models are derived and assessed for the warm (April–September) and cold (October–March) seasons for three high passenger volume airports in the United States. Model uncertainty is assessed by deriving models for 1000 different randomly selected training (70%) and testing (30%) subsets. Gust prediction fidelity in independent test samples is critically dependent on inclusion of an autoregressive term. Gust occurrence probabilities derived using five-layer ANNs exhibit consistently higher fidelity than those from regression models and shallower ANNs. Inclusion of the autoregressive term and increasing the number of hidden layers in ANNs from 1 to 5 also improve the model performance for gust magnitudes (lower RMSE, increased correlation, and model standard deviations that more closely approximate observed values). Deeper ANNs (e.g., 20 hidden layers) exhibit higher skill in forecasting strong (17–25.7 m s −1 ) and damaging (≥25.7 m s −1 ) wind gusts. However, such deep networks exhibit evidence of overfitting and still substantially underestimate (by 50%) the frequency of strong and damaging wind gusts at the three airports considered herein. Significance Statement Improved short-term forecasting of wind gusts will enhance aviation safety and logistics and may offer other societal benefits. Here we present a rigorous investigation of the relative skill of models of wind gust occurrence and magnitude that employ different statistical methods. It is shown that artificial neural networks (ANNs) offer considerable skill enhancement over regression methods, particularly for strong and damaging wind gusts. For wind gust magnitudes in particular, application of deeper learning networks (e.g., five or more hidden layers) offers tangible improvements in forecast accuracy. However, deeper networks are vulnerable to overfitting and exhibit substantial variability with the specific training and testing data subset used. Also, even deep ANNs reproduce only half of strong and damaging wind gusts. These results indicate the need for future work to elucidate the dynamical mechanisms of intense wind gusts and advance solutions to their prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characterizing wind gusts in complex terrain

Abstract. Wind gusts are a key driver of aerodynamic loading, especially for tall structures such a bridges and wind turbines. However, gust characteristics in complex terrain are not well understood and common approximations used to describe wind gust behavior may not be appropriate at heights relevant to wind turbines and other structures. Data collected in the Perdigão experiment are analyzed herein to provide a foundation for improved wind gust characterization and process-level understanding of flow intermittency in complex terrain. High-resolution observations from sonic anemometers and vertically pointing Doppler lidars are used to conduct a detailed study of gust characteristics with a specific focus on the parent distributions of nine gust parameters (that describe velocity, time, and length scales), their joint distributions, height variation, and coherence in the vertical and horizontal planes. Best-fit distributional forms for varying gust properties show good agreement with those from previous experiments in moderately complex terrain but generate nonconservative estimates of the gust properties that are of key importance to structural loading. Probability distributions of gust magnitude derived from vertically pointing Doppler lidars exhibit good agreement with estimates from sonic anemometers despite differences arising from volumetric averaging and the terrain complexity. Wind speed coherence functions during gusty periods (which are important to structural wind loading) are similar to less complex sites for small vertical displacements (10 to 40 m), but do not exhibit an exponential form for larger horizontal displacements (800 to 1500 m).

Letson, Frederick (ORCID:0000000192750359)↗

Short–Term Forecasting of Wind Gusts at Airports Across CONUS Using Machine Learning

Short–term forecasting of wind gusts, particularly those of higher intensity, is of great societal importance but is challenging due to the presence of multiple gust generation mechanisms. Wind gust observations from eight high–passenger–volume airports across the continental United States (CONUS) are summarized and used to develop predictive models of wind gust occurrence and magnitude. These short–term (same hour) forecast models are built using multiple logistic and linear regression, as well as artificial neural networks (ANNs) of varying complexity. A suite of 19 upper–air predictors drawn from the ERA5 reanalysis and an autoregressive (AR) term are used. Stepwise procedures instruct predictor selection, and resampling is used to quantify model stability. All models are developed separately for the warm (April–September) and cold (October–March) seasons. Results show that ANNs of 3–5 hidden layers (HLs) generally exhibit higher hit rates than logistic regression models and also improve skill with respect to wind gust magnitudes. However, deeper networks with more HLs increase false alarm rates in occurrence models and mean absolute error in magnitude models due to model overfitting. For model skill, inclusion of the AR term is critical while the majority of the remaining skill derives from wind speeds and lapse rates. A predictive ceiling is also clearly demonstrated, particularly for the strong and damaging gust magnitudes, which appears to be partially due to ERA5 predictor characteristics and the presence of mixed wind climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Seismic Noise Induced by Wind Turbine Operation and Wind Gusts

Improved seismic noise characterization, due to varied sources, may benefit traditional applications. Some examples are earthquake detection, Earth structure research, and nuclear testing. This improvement could also permit use of seismic data in transdisciplinary research such as wind gust detection and wind turbine (WT) condition monitoring. However, it is a challenging task to unambiguously quantify relationships between potential sources of seismic noise and the actual seismic response. In this article, we analyze seismic and meteorological data (wind speed and pressure), measured at a remote site in a complex terrain area in eastern Portugal, to examine seismic signatures from WT operational status and wind gusts. Results presented herein show the following: (1) WT signatures in seismic data can be used to accurately determine WT-operational status. Attenuation of WT signatures in seismic data exhibits an exponential decay with distance, with attenuation coefficients that scale with frequency. (2) After WT signatures are removed from seismic power spectra, wind gust signatures remain. Analyses of these data further indicate that it may be possible to extract quantitative wind gust estimates from seismic data and decompose them into pressure and shear stress drivers of this coupling.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

CFD Estimation of Truck Induced Wind Gusts on Variable Message Signs

Cantilevered highway Variable Message Signs (VMS, also referred to as CMS, Changeable Message Signs, in latest design specifications) are potentially vulnerable to vibration caused by gusts from wind or that from truck-induced air flow. An example of such a vibration scenario was a VMS on State Route 17 in northern New Jersey, which was reported to experience large amplitude vertical displacements at the end of the cantilever. Reported vibration displacements ranged from the neighborhood of one to two feet to approximately four feet at the tip of the cantilever. This prompted the New Jersey Department of Transportation to take down the VMS and to support the structure to protect the safety of motorists. At the time of the New Jersey State Route 17 VMS vibration episodes, the AASHTO Standard Specifications for Structural Supports for Highway Signs, Luminaires, and Traffic Signals (referred to as Standard Specifications hereinafter) did not offer much guidance in the design for fatigue. It was also limited in instructions for VMS supporting structures, which might have produced some faulty designs. The sixth edition of the Standard Specifications indicated that the vibration problem is commonly associated with a large projected area in the horizontal plane and a vertical gust pressure created by truck passage under the VMS. An equivalent static gust pressure from trucks, PTG, is given for design purpose. A drag coefficient of 1.7 associated with the truck velocity VT is used in the calculation of PTG with an indication that it is an interim value before more research is completed to obtain a better coefficient. The study presented in this report was done to gain a better understanding of the aerodynamic properties of VMS and supporting structures, the dynamic characteristics of truck-induced gust pressure, and the potential for wind-truck-structure interaction that may produce significant vibration episodes for the VMS structures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantifying the compound hazard of freezing rain and wind gusts across CONUS

Abstract The co-occurrence of freezing rain, ice accumulation and wind gusts (FZG) poses a significant hazard to infrastructure and transportation. However, quantification of the frequency and intensity of FZG is challenged by the lack of direct icing measurements. In this work, we evaluate and then apply an energy balance model to high-frequency data collected during 2005–2022 to derive hourly ice accumulation at 883 stations across the contiguous USA. These estimates are combined with wind gust observations to compute time series of hourly FZG hazard magnitude using the Sperry–Piltz Ice Accumulation (SPIA) index. Results are evaluated using Storm Reports of damage and economic disruption. The hourly SPIA estimates are also used to (i) derive a geospatial atlas of the hazard including the 50 yr return period event intensities for each US state derived using superstations, and (ii) describe storylines of significant events in terms of meteorological drivers and socioeconomic impacts. The highest values of SPIA during the 18 yr study period occur in a region extending from the Southern Great Plains over the Midwest into the densely populated Northeast. States in these regions also have high 50 yr return period maximum radial ice accumulation of 3–5 cm and co-occurring wind gusts >30 ms −1 . These values are comparable to past estimates for the 500 yr event which may imply this hazard has been previously underestimated. This atlas can be used to inform optimal FZG hazard mitigation strategies for each state/region.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Effect of Wind Gusts on Local Run-of-River Hydro Plants

In this work, we focus on the integration of wind farms in a hydro dominated power system, and analyze the challenges and solutions associated with this integration. Due to sudden increase in wind power, the system frequency can increase, causing excessive reduction in the run-of-river (ROR) system’s power. This can result in damage to the physical structure due to water level violations and cause issues for downstream customers. To prevent excessive and prolonged ROR power deviations, and to prevent tie-line deviations, we are proposing a wind-hydro centralized coordination scheme, which is not existing currently. The controller showed promising results by reducing the system frequency extrema by 0.8Hz.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Mitigating the Effect of Wind Gusts on Local Run-of-River Hydropower Plants Using Cooperative Control

This paper focuses on the challenges and solutions associated with the integration of wind farms in a hydro- dominated power system. Due to sudden increases in wind power, the system frequency can increase, causing excessive reduction in the run-of-river (ROR) system’s power. Considering their small pondage, this can result in damage to the physical structure due to water level violations which are also penalized by stakeholders. To prevent excessive ROR power deviations, ROR governor wear and tear, and to prevent tie-line deviations, a centralized, distributed, and hybrid scheme for coordinating the response from a cluster of ROR plants is examined. Both centralized and distributed control as well as their hybrids can reduce frequency peaks. However, the inclusion of decentralized cooperative controls leads to reduced governor actions from fast- acting plants while enhancing net response from the hydro unit cluster.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Wind Turbine Gust Load Alleviation with Active Flow Control

Large wind turbine rotors are becoming more common in utility-scale wind power, especially for offshore wind plants. However, the trend toward large rotors can be limited by their ability to manage dynamic and extreme loads. To provide a safety margin for the rotor design and avoid catastrophic events such as tower strikes, extreme loads need to be controlled. The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate a feedback control system to alleviate extreme loads and reduce blade deflections under gust events using active flow control devices. We also propose a modification in the turbine controller to achieve further reduction in extreme loads. The extreme load reductions are evaluated under gust wind conditions with direction changes according to the IEC standard. The effects of the gust alleviation controller on turbine performance and fatigue loads are investigated as well. With the deployment of the gust alleviation controller and modified turbine baseline controller, the extreme loads and deflections reduce by up to 23%. The energy captured by the turbine is not affected by the proposed gust alleviation controller. The fatigue loads of various wind turbine components are either reduced or remain unchanged.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

How well are hazards associated with derechos reproduced in regional climate simulations?

Abstract. A 15-member ensemble of convection-permitting regional simulations of the fast-moving and destructive derecho of 29–30 June 2012 that impacted the northeastern urban corridor of the USA is presented. This event generated 1100 reports of damaging winds, generated significant wind gusts over an extensive area of up to 500 000 km2, caused several fatalities, and resulted in widespread loss of electrical power. Extreme events such as this are increasingly being used within pseudo-global-warming experiments to examine the sensitivity of historical, societally important events to global climate non-stationarity and how they may evolve as a result of changing thermodynamic and dynamic contexts. As such it is important to examine the fidelity with which such events are described in hindcast experiments. The regional simulations presented herein are performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The resulting ensemble is used to explore simulation fidelity relative to observations for wind gust magnitudes, spatial scales of convection (as is manifest in high composite reflectivity, cREF), and both rainfall and hail production as a function of model configuration (microphysics parameterization, lateral boundary conditions (LBCs), start date, use of nudging, compiler choice, damping, and number of vertical levels). We also examine the degree to which each ensemble member differs with respect to key mesoscale drivers of convective systems (e.g., convective available potential energy and vertical wind shear) and critical manifestations of deep convection, e.g., vertical velocities, cold-pool generation, and how those properties relate to the correct characterization of the associated atmospheric hazards (wind gusts and hail). Use of a double-moment, seven-class scheme with number concentrations for all species (including hail and graupel) results in the greatest fidelity of model-simulated wind gusts and convective structure to the observations of this event. All ensemble members, however, fail to capture the intensity of the event in terms of the spatial extent of convection and the production of high near-surface wind gusts. We further show very high sensitivity to the LBCs employed and specifically that simulation fidelity is higher for simulations nested within ERA-Interim compared to ERA5. Excess convective available potential energy (CAPE) in all ensemble members after the derecho passage leads to excess production of convective cells, wind gusts, cREF > 40 dBZ, and precipitation during a frontal passage on the subsequent day. This event proved very challenging to forecast in real time and to reproduce in the 15-member hindcast simulation ensemble presented here. Future work could examine if simulations with other initial and lateral boundary conditions can achieve greater fidelity.

Shepherd, Tristan (ORCID:0000000186276419)↗

Modeling and observations of North Atlantic cyclones: Implications for U.S. Offshore wind energy

To meet the Biden-Harris administration's goal of deploying 30 GW of offshore wind power by 2030 and 110 GW by 2050, expansion of wind energy into U.S. territorial waters prone to tropical cyclones (TCs) and extratropical cyclones (ETCs) is essential. This requires a deeper understanding of cyclone-related risks and the development of robust, resilient offshore wind energy systems. Here, this paper provides a comprehensive review of state-of-the-science measurement and modeling capabilities for studying TCs and ETCs, and their impacts across various spatial and temporal scales. We explore measurement capabilities for environments influenced by TCs and ETCs, including near-surface and vertical profiles of critical variables that characterize these cyclones. The capabilities and limitations of Earth system and mesoscale models are assessed for their effectiveness in capturing atmosphere–ocean–wave interactions that influence TC/ETC-induced risks under a changing climate. Additionally, we discuss microscale modeling capabilities designed to bridge scale gaps from the weather scale (a few kilometers) to the turbine scale (dozens to a few meters). We also review machine learning (ML)-based, data-driven models for simulating TC/ETC events at both weather and wind turbine scales. Special attention is given to extreme metocean conditions like extreme wind gusts, rapid wind direction changes, and high waves, which pose threats to offshore wind energy infrastructure. Finally, the paper outlines the research challenges and future directions needed to enhance the resilience and design of next-generation offshore wind turbines against extreme weather conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Site A1 - Cup Anemometer / Reviewed Data

This dataset contains cup anemometer data deployed on tethered balloon system at AWAKEN site A1. The cup data include time stamp, wind speed, wind direction, gust wind speed, vertical wind speed, roll, pitch, latitude, longitude, and altitude. Z01 refers to the first height position of the cup anemometers mounted on the tethered balloon.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Site G - Cup Anemometer / Reviewed Data

This dataset contains cup anemometer data deployed on tethered balloon system at AWAKEN site G. The cup data include time stamp, wind speed, wind direction, gust wind speed, vertical wind speed, roll, pitch, latitude, longitude, and altitude. Z04 refers to the fourth height position of the cup anemometers mounted on the tethered balloon.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Site G - Cup Anemometer / Reviewed Data

This dataset contains cup anemometer data deployed on tethered balloon system at AWAKEN site G. The cup data include time stamp, wind speed, wind direction, gust wind speed, vertical wind speed, roll, pitch, latitude, longitude, and altitude. Z03 refers to the third height position of the cup anemometers mounted on the tethered balloon.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Site G - Cup Anemometer / Reviewed Data

This dataset contains cup anemometer data deployed on tethered balloon system at AWAKEN site G. The cup data include time stamp, wind speed, wind direction, gust wind speed, vertical wind speed, roll, pitch, latitude, longitude, and altitude. Z02 refers to the second height position of the cup anemometers mounted on the tethered balloon.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Site G - Cup Anemometer / Reviewed Data

This dataset contains cup anemometer data deployed on tethered balloon system at AWAKEN site G. The cup data include time stamp, wind speed, wind direction, gust wind speed, vertical wind speed, roll, pitch, latitude, longitude, and altitude. Z01 refers to the first height position of the cup anemometers mounted on the tethered balloon.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Site A1 - Cup Anemometer / Reviewed Data

This dataset contains cup anemometer data deployed on tethered balloon system at AWAKEN site A1. The cup data include time stamp, wind speed, wind direction, gust wind speed, vertical wind speed, roll, pitch, latitude, longitude, and altitude. Z05 refers to the fifth height position of the cup anemometers mounted on the tethered balloon.

17 WIND ENERGY↗