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16 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Application of multi-criteria decision analysis techniques and decision support framework for informing select agent designation for agricultural animal pathogens

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Division of Agricultural Select Agents and Toxins (DASAT) established a list of biological agents and toxins (Select Agent List) that potentially threaten agricultural health and safety, the procedures governing the transfer of those agents, and training requirements for entities working with them. Every 2 years the USDA DASAT reviews the Select Agent List, using subject matter experts (SMEs) to perform an assessment and rank the agents. To assist the USDA DASAT biennial review process, we explored the applicability of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques and a Decision Support Framework (DSF) in a logic tree format to identify pathogens for consideration as select agents, applying the approach broadly to include non-select agents to evaluate its robustness and generality. We conducted a literature review of 41 pathogens against 21 criteria for assessing agricultural threat, economic impact, and bioterrorism risk and documented the findings to support this assessment. The most prominent data gaps were those for aerosol stability and animal infectious dose by inhalation and ingestion routes. Technical review of published data and associated scoring recommendations by pathogen-specific SMEs was found to be critical for accuracy, particularly for pathogens with very few known cases, or where proxy data (e.g., from animal models or similar organisms) were used to address data gaps. The MCDA analysis supported the intuitive sense that select agents should rank high on the relative risk scale when considering agricultural health consequences of a bioterrorism attack. However, comparing select agents with non-select agents indicated that there was not a clean break in scores to suggest thresholds for designating select agents, requiring subject matter expertise collectively to establish which analytical results were in good agreement to support the intended purpose in designating select agents. The DSF utilized a logic tree approach to identify pathogens that are of sufficiently low concern that they can be ruled out from consideration as a select agent. In contrast to the MCDA approach, the DSF rules out a pathogen if it fails to meet even one criteria threshold. Both the MCDA and DSF approaches arrived at similar conclusions, suggesting the value of employing the two analytical approaches to add robustness for decision making.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Polyyne production is regulated by the transcriptional regulators PgnC and GacA in Pseudomonas protegens Pf-5

ABSTRACT Polyynes produced by bacteria have promising applications in agriculture and medicine due to their potent antimicrobial activities. Polyyne biosynthetic genes have been identified inPseudomonasandBurkholderia. However, the molecular mechanisms underlying the regulation of polyyne biosynthesis remain largely unknown. In this study, we used a soil bacteriumPseudomonas protegensPf-5, which was recently reported to produce polyyne called protegenin, as a model to investigate the regulation of bacterial polyyne production. Our results show that Pf-5 controls polyyne production at both the pathway-specific level and a higher global level. Mutation ofpgnC, a transcriptional regulatory gene located in the polyyne biosynthetic gene cluster, abolished polyyne production. Gene expression analysis revealed that PgnC directly activates the promoter of polyyne biosynthetic genes. The production of polyyne also requires a global regulator GacA. Mutation ofgacAdecreased the translation of PgnC, which is consistent with the result thatpgnCleader mRNA bound directly to RsmE, an RNA-binding protein negatively regulated by GacA. These results suggest that GacA induces the expression of the PgnC regulator, which in turn activates polyyne biosynthesis. Additionally, the polyyne-producing strain of Pf-5, but not the polyyne-nonproducing strain, could inhibit a broad spectrum of bacteria including both Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria. IMPORTANCE Antimicrobial metabolites produced by bacteria are widely used in agriculture and medicine to control plant, animal, and human pathogens. Although bacteria-derived polyynes have been identified as potent antimicrobials for decades, the molecular mechanisms by which bacteria regulate polyyne biosynthesis remain understudied. In this study, we found that polyyne biosynthesis is directly activated by a pathway-specific regulator PgnC, which is induced by a global regulator GacA through the RNA-binding protein RsmE inPseudomonas protegens. To our knowledge, this work is the first comprehensive study of the regulatory mechanisms of bacterial polyyne biosynthesis at both pathway-specific level and global level. The discovered molecular mechanisms can help us optimize polyyne production for agricultural or medical applications.

Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Host-specific adaptation in Fusarium oxysporum correlates with distinct accessory chromosome content in human and plant pathogenic strains

ABSTRACT Fusarium oxysporumis a cross-kingdom pathogen. While some strains cause disseminated fusariosis and blinding corneal infections in humans, others are responsible for devastating vascular wilt diseases in plants. To better understand the distinct adaptations ofF. oxysporumto animal or plant hosts, we conducted a comparative phenotypic and genetic analysis of two strains: MRL8996 (isolated from a keratitis patient) and Fol4287 (isolated from a wilted tomato [Solanum lycopersicum]). Infection of mouse corneas and tomato plants revealed that, while both strains cause symptoms in both hosts, MRL8996 caused more severe corneal disease in mice, whereas Fol4287 induced more pronounced wilting symptoms in tomato plants.In vitroassays using abiotic stress treatments revealed that the human pathogen MRL8996 was better adapted to elevated temperatures, whereas the plant pathogen Fol4287 was more tolerant to osmotic and cell wall stresses. Both strains displayed broad resistance to antifungal treatment, with MRL8996 exhibiting the paradoxical effect of increased tolerance to higher concentrations of the antifungal caspofungin. We identified a set of accessory chromosomes (ACs) that encode genes with different functions and have distinct transposon profiles between MRL8996 and Fol4287. Interestingly, ACs from both genomes also encode proteins with shared functions, such as chromatin remodeling and post-translational protein modifications. Our phenotypic assays and comparative genomics analyses lay the foundation for future studies correlating genotypes with phenotype and for developing targeted antifungals for agricultural and clinical uses. IMPORTANCE Fusarium oxysporumis a cross-kingdom fungal pathogen that infects both plants and animals. In addition to causing many devastating wilt diseases, this group of organisms was recently recognized by the World Health Organization as a high-priority threat to human health. Climate change has increased the risk ofFusariuminfections, asFusariumstrains are highly adaptable to changing environments. Deciphering fungal adaptation mechanisms is crucial to developing appropriate control strategies. We performed a comparative analysis ofFusariumstrains using an animal (mouse) and plant (tomato) host andin vitroconditions that mimic abiotic stress. We also performed comparative genomics analyses to highlight the genetic differences between human and plant pathogens and correlate their phenotypic and genotypic variations. We uncovered important functional hubs shared by plant and human pathogens, such as chromatin modification, transcriptional regulation, and signal transduction, which could be used to identify novel antifungal targets.

Microbiology↗
DOE OSTI2023

Chicken Production and Human Clinical Escherichia coli Isolates Differ in Their Carriage of Antimicrobial Resistance and Virulence Factors

Contamination of food animal products by Escherichia coli is a leading cause of foodborne disease outbreaks, hospitalizations, and deaths in humans. Chicken is the most consumed meat both in the United States and across the globe according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Although E. coli is a ubiquitous commensal bacterium of the guts of humans and animals, its ability to acquire antimicrobial resistance (AMR) genes and virulence factors (VFs) can lead to the emergence of pathogenic strains that are resistant to critically important antibiotics. Thus, it is important to identify the genetic factors that contribute to the virulence and AMR of E. coli. In this study, we performed in-depth genomic evaluation of AMR genes and VFs of E. coli genomes available through the National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System GenomeTrackr database. Our objective was to determine the genetic relatedness of chicken production isolates and human clinical isolates. To achieve this aim, we first developed a massively parallel analytical pipeline (Reads2Resistome) to accurately characterize the resistome of each E. coli genome, including the AMR genes and VFs harbored. We used random forests and hierarchical clustering to show that AMR genes and VFs are sufficient to classify isolates into different pathogenic phylogroups and host origin. We found that the presence of key type III secretion system and AMR genes differentiated human clinical isolates from chicken production isolates. These results further improve our understanding of the interconnected role AMR genes and VFs play in shaping the evolution of pathogenic E. coli strains.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Chapter 8: Agricultural Use

Biochar has potential to reduce the environmental footprint in nearly every aspect of agricultural production. The use of biochar has been proposed to manage agricultural biomass (reference), to process animal manure and poultry litter (reference), to improve the nutritive value of feed (reference), and to mitigate the offsite movement of pesticides (reference) and soil nutrients (reference). The coproducts of biochar production hold similar potential. For example, on farm production of biochar can provide bioenergy to heat greenhouses and barns and to power farm equipment (reference). Pyroligneous acid, a coproduct of pyrolysis, has the ability to control fungal pathogens and deter pathogenic insects (reference). Although these environmental benefits are potentially substantial, their on-farm use has not been widely studied. Furthermore, the on-farm installation of biochar production facilities presents challenges that reduce the feasibility of co-production scenarios (Phillips 2018). As such, this section primarily addresses the application of biochar to agricultural soils.

agriculture↗
NASA NTRS2013

Emerging and Reemeriging Human Bunyavirus Infections and Climate Change

The Bunyaviridae family includes a growing number of viruses that have contributed to the burden of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases around the globe. Many of these viruses cause severe clinical outcomes in human and animal populations, the results of which can be detrimental to public health and the economies of affected communities. The threat to endemic and non-native regions is particularly high, and national and international public health agencies are often on alert. Many of the bunyaviruses cause severe clinical disease including hemorrhage, organ failure, and death leading to their high-risk classification. Hantaviruses and Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) (genus Phlebovirus) are National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Category A priority pathogens in the United States. Viral hemorrhagic fevers, a classification that includes many bunyaviruses, are immediately notifiable in the European Union. The emergence of new and reemerging bunyaviruses has resulted in numerous human and animal fatalities. Outbreaks of Rift Valley fever (RVF) in East Africa (1997/1998, 2006/2007), Sudan (2007), Southern Africa (2008-2010), Kenya (1997/1998, 2006/2007) (Anyamba et al., 2009, 2010; Breiman et al., 2010; Grobbelaar et al., 2011; Woods et al., 2002) and Saudi Arabia & Yemen (2000, 2010) (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2000; Hjelle and Glass, 2000; Madani et al., 2003) and the emergence of Sin Nombre virus (1993) (Hjelle and Glass, 2000) and most recently Schmallenberg virus (2011) (DEFRA, 2012) are prime examples of the devastating and worldwide toll bunyaviruses have on health and economies. Climate variability (precipitation and temperature in particular) greatly influence the ecological conditions that drive arboviral disease outbreaks across the globe. Several human and animal disease outbreaks have been influenced by changes in climate associated with the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon including the bunyaviruses RVFV and Sin Nombre (an etiologic agent of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS)), as well as Murray Valley encephalitis, chikungunya, and malaria to name but a few (Anyamba et al., 2009; Bouma and Dye, 1997; Chretien et al., 2007; Engelthaler et al., 1999; Kovats et al., 2003; Linthicum et al., 1999; Nicholls, 1986). Most bunyaviruses exhibit episodic outbreak patterns with seasonal or annual trends dependent upon climate conditions, vector abundance, and the proximity of a susceptible population. The implications for continued climate change are dire, especially with regard to vector-borne diseases, many of which can cause severe morbidity, sequelae, and death. Increased rainfall and widening endemicity as a result of climate change, compounded by the emergence of new viruses, poses a serious threat to a greater geographic range beyond the regions of endemicity.

Bunyavirus↗
DOE OSTI2020

Taxonomy and Identification of Principal Foliar Nematode Species ( Aphelenchoides and Litylenchus )

Nematodes are Earth’s most numerous multicellular animals and include species that feed on bacteria, fungi, plants, insects, and animals. Foliar nematodes are mostly pathogens of ornamental crops in greenhouses, nurseries, forest trees, and field crops. Nematode identification has traditionally relied on morphological and anatomical characters using light microscopy and, in some cases, scanning electron microscopy (SEM). This review focuses on morphometrical and brief molecular details and key characteristics of some of the most widely distributed and economically important foliar nematodes that can aid in their identification. Aphelenchoides genus includes some of the most widely distributed nematodes that can cause crop damages and losses to agricultural, horticultural, and forestry crops. Morphological details of the most common species of Aphelenchoides (A. besseyi, A. bicaudatus, A. fragariae, A. ritzemabosi) are given with brief molecular details, including distribution, identification, conclusion, and future directions, as well as an updated list of the nominal species with its synonyms. Litylenchus is a relatively new genus described in 2011 and includes two species and one subspecies. Species included in the Litylenchus are important emerging foliar pathogens parasitizing trees and bushes, especially beech trees in the United States of America. Brief morphological details of all Litylenchus species are provided.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Restricted by A Historical Review of Strategies and Organization for Restricted Earth Return of Samples from NASA Planetary Missions

Return of samples from the Moon via the Apollo 11, 12 and 14 missions represented NASA's first attempts into conducting what is now known as Restricted Earth Return. When Apollo returned samples from the moon, there were few of the agencies, legal and organizational structures that exist now. A half a century later, the U.S system has seen changes in legal and organizational structures with the appearance of different agencies and legal requirements. During the Apollo era, U.S. legal and organizational structures, assessed threats to the Earth’s biosphere with a priority towards the risks of effects from extraterrestrial pathogens on humans, though the guiding document, the Baylor Protocol, also considered animal and plant models. This presentation focuses on a review of two main questions: Did the return of samples from the Moon happen at a “sweet spot” in time, where the number of requirements and conservatism was commensurate with the scientific knowns and unknowns? Could the emphasis of risk mitigation on human pathogens during the return of extraterrestrial samples be more about human solipsism, leaving us with a blind spot to sources of pathogens, such as fungi, which could lead to an impact to our biosphere, and we humans, via our food chains and agricultural pathways?

planetary protection↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multiscale Airborne Infectious Disease Transmission

Airborne disease transmission is central to many scientific disciplines, including agriculture, veterinary biosafety, medicine, and public health. Legal and regulatory standards are in place to prevent agricultural, nosocomial, and community airborne disease transmission. However, the overall importance of the airborne pathway is underappreciated; e.g., the U.S. National Library of Medicine’s Medical Subjects Headings (MESH) thesaurus lacks an airborne disease transmission indexing term. This has practical consequences, as airborne precautions to control epidemic disease spread may not be taken when airborne transmission is important but unrecognized. Publishing clearer practical methodological guidelines for surveillance studies and disease outbreak evaluations could help address this situation. To inform future work, this paper highlights selected, well-established airborne transmission events, largely cases replicated in multiple, independently conducted scientific studies. Methodologies include field experiments, modeling, epidemiology studies, disease outbreak investigations, and mitigation studies. Collectively, this literature demonstrates that airborne viruses, bacteria, and fungal pathogens have the ability to cause disease in plants, animals, and humans over multiple distances, from near range (<5 m) to continental (>500 km) in scale. The plausibility and implications of undetected airborne disease transmission are discussed, including the notable underreporting of disease burdens for several airborne-transmitted diseases.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Apple Bitter Rot: Biology, Ecology, Omics, Virulence Factors, and Management of Causal Colletotrichum Species

ABSTRACT Apple bitter rot is caused by various Colletotrichum spp. that threaten apple production globally resulting in millions of dollars in damage annually. The fungus causes a decline in fruit quality and yield, eventually rotting the fruit and rendering it inedible. The pathogen is difficult to keep out of orchards because of its broad host range and transmissibility by rain splash and insects. Once the disease manifests, pathogen identification is difficult due to evolving taxonomy and similar morphology between species. Current management strategies are threatened by an increase in fungicide resistance and regulations on many multisite fungicides, leading to a pressing need for new management options for control. This review aims to summarise the most current knowledge regarding the biology, virulence factors, ecology, omics and emerging management strategies for Colletotrichum species that cause apple bitter rot. Taxonomy Colletotrichum species—Domain Eukaryota, Kingdom Fungi, Phylum Ascomycota, Class Sordariomycetes, Order Glomerellales, Family Glomerellaceae, Genus Colletotrichum . Biology Hemibiotrophic pathogen with a wide host range that establishes a biotrophic interaction where it penetrates host plants using appressoria followed by a switch to necrotrophy causing rot symptoms. Toxins Cercosporin, colletotrichins, colletotric acid, ferricrocin. Host Range The host range varies by species but largely occurs on dicotyledonous plants and is less prevalent on monocots as well as gymnosperms, ferns, mosses and animals (e.g., insects). Disease Symptoms Symptoms often manifest as flat to sunken necrotic areas on fruit. Lesions on leaves and fruit can have concentric rings with abundant pathogen sporulation. Disease Control Colletotrichum spp. are primarily managed by single‐site quinone outside inhibitor (Qol), methyl benzimidazole carbamate (MBC), demethylation inhibitor (DMI) fungicides, and multisite dithiocarbamate and phthalimide fungicides. Susceptibility may vary with species, strain specificity, or geographic region. Other management options include clean stock production, cultural practices, resistance breeding, and biological control through the introduction of protective or competing microorganisms.

Boeckman, Nathanial J. [Plant Pathology Laboratory↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fungal endophytes

Organisms are commonly grouped into ecological guilds that reflect their shared resource use and similar ecological roles. The guild concept has been used to categorize the vast diversity of the fungal kingdom (estimated at 2.2–5 million species) into groups of fungi with common lifestyles, such as mycorrhizal symbionts, pathogens of animals and plants, and the group that is the focus of this primer — fungal endophytes of plants. Fungal endophytes have resisted scientists’ attempts to silo organisms into neat assemblages. In conclusion, scattered across the fungal tree of life and lacking few diagnostic characteristics, they are defined less by what they are than by what they are not.

Cosner, Julian [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORN↗
DOE OSTI2022

The future of fungi: threats and opportunities

The fungal kingdom represents an extraordinary diversity of organisms with profound impacts across animal, plant, and ecosystem health. Fungi simultaneously support life, by forming beneficial symbioses with plants and producing life-saving medicines, and bring death, by causing devastating diseases in humans, plants, and animals. With climate change, increased antimicrobial resistance, global trade, environmental degradation, and novel viruses altering the impact of fungi on health and disease, developing new approaches is now more crucial than ever to combat the threats posed by fungi and to harness their extraordinary potential for applications in human health, food supply, and environmental remediation. To address this aim, the Canadian Institute for Advanced Research (CIFAR) and the Burroughs Wellcome Fund convened a workshop to unite leading experts on fungal biology from academia and industry to strategize innovative solutions to global challenges and fungal threats. This report provides recommendations to accelerate fungal research and highlights the major research advances and ideas discussed at the meeting pertaining to 5 major topics: (1) Connections between fungi and climate change and ways to avert climate catastrophe; (2) Fungal threats to humans and ways to mitigate them; (3) Fungal threats to agriculture and food security and approaches to ensure a robust global food supply; (4) Fungal threats to animals and approaches to avoid species collapse and extinction; and (5) Opportunities presented by the fungal kingdom, including novel medicines and enzymes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Molecular Evolution of the H5 and H7 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus Haemagglutinin Cleavage Site Motif

ABSTRACT Avian influenza viruses are ubiquitous in the Anatinae subfamily of aquatic birds and occasionally spill over to poultry. Infection with low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses generally leads to subclinical or mild clinical disease. In contrast, highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses emerge from low pathogenic forms and can cause severe disease associated with extraordinarily high mortality rates. Here, we describe the natural history of avian influenza virus, with a focus on H5Nx and H7Nx subtypes, and the emergence of highly pathogenic forms; we review the biology of AIV; we examine cleavage of haemagglutinin by host cell enzymes with a particular emphasis on the biochemical properties of the proprotein convertases, and trypsin and trypsin‐like proteases; we describe mechanisms implicated in the functional evolution of the haemagglutinin cleavage site motif that leads to emergence of HPAIVs; and finally, we discuss the diversity of H5 and H7 haemagglutinin cleavage site sequence motifs. It is crucial to understand the molecular attributes that drive the emergence and evolution of HPAIVs with pandemic potential to inform risk assessments and mitigate the threat of HPAIVs to poultry and human populations.

Luczo, Jasmina M. [Australian Animal Health Labora↗
DOE OSTI2025

Volatiles from the necrophagous fly Cochliomyia macellaria (Diptera: Calliphoridae) as indicators of Salmonella exposure

Blow flies (Diptera: Calliphoridae) are crucial in forensic investigations due to their association with both living and dead humans and other animals. Additionally, their interactions with various resources and potential as vectors of pathogens of humans and other animals, thus, make them potential tools for biosurveillance. This study investigated the potential of monitoring volatile organic compounds (VOCs) emitted by blow flies exposed to Salmonella as a method for pathogen surveillance. Adult blow flies ( Cochliomyia macellaria ) were exposed, or not, to Salmonella enterica . Following exposure, VOCs released by the blow flies were collected and analyzed using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS). Results indicate a treatment by time interaction (P < 0.01). Indicator species analysis identified a single compound significantly associated with S. enterica exposure (P = 0.02), Nonane, 2,2,4,4,6,8,8-heptamethyl, potentially indicating an immune system response. Given a compound indicating exposure was detected, future research should determine if more replicates could detect more differences after Salmonella ingestion. This research highlights the potential of blow flies as biosurveillance tools and the potential value of volatiles for assessing their exposure to pathogens.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

National serosurvey and risk mapping reveal widespread distribution of Coxiella burnetii in Kenya

Coxiella burnetii, the causative agent of Q fever, is an emerging pathogen that has the potential to cause severe chronic infections in animals and humans worldwide. The detrimental impact on public health is projected to be higher in the low- and middle-income countries given their lower capacity to sustain effective surveillance and response measures. We implemented a national serosurvey of cattle in Kenya to map the spatial distribution of the pathogen. The study used serum samples that were collected from randomly selected cattle in different ago-ecological zones across the country. These samples were screened for the pathogen using PrioCHECK Ruminant Q Fever AB Plate ELISA kit. The laboratory findings were analyzed using INLA package to identify risk factors for C. burnetii exposure from herd- and animal-level factors, area, and bioclimatic datasets accessed from online databases. A total of 6,593 cattle were recruited for the study; of these, 7.9% (95% CI; 7.2–8.5) were seropositive. Outputs from the multivariable analysis revealed that the animal age and some of the geographical variables including wind speed, area under shrubs and “petric calcisols” type of soil were significantly associated with C. burnetii seropositivity. Being a calf, weaner or subadult was associated with lower odds of exposure compared to being an adult by 0.24 (credibility interval: 2.5% and 97.5%), 0.41 (0.30–0.55) and 0.51 (0.38–0.69), respectively. In addition, a unit increase in the wind speed increased the odds of C. burnetii seropositivity by 1.27 (1.05–1.52) while an increase on the land area under shrubs was associated with lower odds of exposure (0.67 [0.47–0.69]). The effect of petric calcisols was non-linear; an increase of the land area with this soil type was associated with an exponential increase in C. burnetii seropositivity. This study provides new data on C. burnetii seroprevalence, information of its risk factors and a prevalence map that can be used for C. burnetii risk surveillance and control. The identification of environmental risk factors for C. burnetii exposure, and the increasing awareness of the zoonotic potential of the pathogen, calls for the need to enhance the existing collaborations for the surveillance and control of C. burnetii in line with the One Health framework. The evidence generated on the potential role of environmental factors can also be used to design nature-based interventions, such as replacement of vegetation in denuded areas, to reduce potential for the aerosolization of the pathogen. Livestock vaccination in the hotspots would also reduce animal infections and hence the contamination of the environment.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the Genetic Basis of Wild Boar ( Sus scrofa ) and Its Connection to Classical Swine Fever Spread

Classical swine fever (CSF) is the one of the most devastating contagious diseases in domestic swine and wild boar/pigs (Sus scrofa). Population genetics is often used to estimate animal dispersal and can also help evaluate host population connectivity, which is crucial for understanding pathogen dispersal. We surveyed genetic population structure of boars using MIG-seq analysis to clarify the geographic barriers that influence boar dispersal in north-central Japan and to demonstrate the relationship between the spread of CSF infection among boars and their population structure. We obtained 382 single-nucleotide polymorphisms from 348 wild boar samples, and the results of STRUCTURE analysis indicated that the highest ΔK value was at K = 2, followed by K = 4. Based on these results, it is evident that the Abukuma river, a major river within north-central Japan, does not act as a barrier to the gene flow of boars, but rather that human infrastructure hinders their dispersal. Further, according to the time series change in the capture site of CSF-infected wild boar and the sum of the probability of belonging to each of the four clades in individual CSF-infected wild boar, our results indicated that the genetic structure of boar populations was correlated with the outbreak pathway of CSF across our study region. Our study suggests that predictions of disease spread, especially for widely distributed host species, is challenging because of the risk of cryptic breaks and changes in wide range connectivity; however, understanding the genetic population structure of wild boar can be a useful tool for predicting the spread of CSF. We concluded that genetic analysis of host population structure may have the possibility to improve predictions of the future dynamics of disease spread.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗