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At least 19 records

Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?

Historical increases in agricultural production were achieved predominantly by large increases in agricultural productivity. Intensification of crop and livestock production also plays a key role in future projections of agricultural land use. Here, we assess and discuss projections of crop yields by global agricultural land-use and integrated assessment models. To evaluate these crop yield projections, we compare them to empirical data on attainable yields by employing a linear and plateauing continuation of observed attainable yield trends. While keeping in mind the uncertainties of attainable yields projections and future climate change impacts, we find that, on average for all cereals on the global level, global projected yields by 2050 remain below the attainable yields. Additionally, this is also true for future pathways with high technological progress and mitigation efforts, indicating that projected yield increases are not overly optimistic, even under systemic transformations. Furthermore, on a regional scale, we find that for developing regions, specifically for sub-Saharan Africa, projected yields stay well below attainable yields, indicating that the large yield gaps which could be closed through improved crop management, may also persist in the future. In OECD countries, in contrast, current yields are already close to attainable yields, and the projections approach or, for some models, even exceed attainable yields by 2050. This observation parallels research suggesting that future progress in attainable yields in developed regions will mainly have to be achieved through new crop varieties or genetic improvements. The models included in this study vary widely in their implementation of yield progress, which are often split into endogenous (crop management) improvements and exogenous (technological) trends. More detail and transparency are needed in these important elements of global yields and land use projections, and this paper discusses possibilities of better aligning agronomic understanding of yield gaps and yield potentials with modelling approaches.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The relation of the yield stress of high-pressure anvils to the pressure attained at yielding and the ultimate attainable pressure

A sensitive microprofilometer was used to determine the onset of yielding in the anvils of a supported opposed anvil device for the case of 3% cobalt-cemented tungsten carbide as the anvil material. In addition, it is shown how the commencement of yielding in boron carbide pistons, the yield strength being known, can be used to obtain the transition pressure to a conducting phase in gallium phosphide. The transition pressures of bismuth and gallium phosphide are obtained and it is found that these transitions are extremely close to the maximum attainable pressure in, respectively, a maraging steel and a 3% cobalt-cemented tungsten carbide.

Panda, P. C.↗

Climate Analogues Suggest Limited Potential for Intensification of Production on Current Croplands Under Climate Change

Climate change could pose a major challenge to efforts towards strongly increase food production over the coming decades. However, model simulations of future climate-impacts on crop yields differ substantially in the magnitude and even direction of the projected change. Combining observations of current maximum-attainable yield with climate analogues, we provide a complementary method of assessing the effect of climate change on crop yields. Strong reductions in attainable yields of major cereal crops are found across a large fraction of current cropland by 2050. These areas are vulnerable to climate change and have greatly reduced opportunity for agricultural intensification. However, the total land area, including regions not currently used for crops, climatically suitable for high attainable yields of maize, wheat and rice is similar by 2050 to the present-day. Large shifts in land-use patterns and crop choice will likely be necessary to sustain production growth rates and keep pace with demand.

land-use patterns↗

Georgia’s Potentials for Sustainable Intensification, Increasing Food Security and Rural Incomes

Increasing global demand for agricultural commodities spurs conversions of natural ecosystems. Sustainable intensification in areas of high yield gaps can contribute to reducing the impact of commodity production, while also supporting development, food security, and livelihoods. Following the dissolution of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), Georgia experienced one the highest losses of agricultural productivity among all former USSR countries and is now highly dependent on food imports. Closing yield gaps in Georgia through sustainable intensification has the potential to increase food self-sufficiency, support rural livelihoods, and strengthen food security and sovereignty. We estimated it’s potential for sustainable intensification on current agricultural areas to achieve self-sufficiency for wheat, maize, and barley. We found that crop yields can be doubled to tripled under high input production systems, using high-yielding varieties, optimized inputs, fertilizers, and pest control. Yet, self-sufficiency in wheat can only be reached if at least 60-80% of the potentially attainable yields are achieved and if land is optimally allocated between crops. To achieve such increases, farmers need access to and training for using different crop varieties, fertilizers, and pest and disease control practices and products. Intensification increases the risks to ecosystem services health and livelihoods, particularly raising equity concern. Yet, intensifying very low input systems is often found to be more sustainable, with high yield increases compared to limited impacts on the environment. The high employment in the agricultural sector in Georgia particularly provides opportunities to reduce poverty and increase livelihoods through increasing incomes and food security.

Florian Gollnow↗

Reaching a burning plasma and ignition using smaller capsules/ Hohlraums , higher radiation temperatures, and thicker ablator/ice on the national ignition facility

In indirect-drive implosions, the final core hot spot energy and pressure and, hence, neutron yield attainable in 1D increase with increasing laser peak power and, hence, radiation drive temperature at the fixed capsule and Hohlraum size. Here we present simple analytic scalings validated by 1D simulations that quantify the improvement in performance and use this to explain existing data and simulation trends. Extrapolating to the 500 TW National Ignition Facility peak power limit in a low gas-fill 5.4 mm diameter Hohlraum based on existing high adiabat implosion data at 400 TW, 1.3 MJ and 1 × 10 16 yield, we find that a 2–3 × 10 17 yield (0.5–0.7 MJ) is plausible using only 1.8 MJ of laser energy. Based on existing data varying deuterium–tritium (DT) fuel thickness and dopant areal density, further improvements should be possible by increasing DT fuel areal density, and hence confinement time and yield amplification.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Milestone 1.2.11: H 2 Production from Surrogate Non-Native Corrosion Plumes on Aluminum 6061-T6 Fuel Cladding Surrogates

Thick, localized, “non-native” corrosion plumes have been identified on Advanced Test Reactor fuel elements, raising concern on their impact on the radiolytic formation of molecular hydrogen gas (H 2 ) from aluminum-clad spent nuclear fuel (ASNF) under proposed extended (> 50 years) dry storage conditions. Here, we report our findings on H 2 generation from the gamma irradiation (up to 52 MGy) of surrogate “non-native” corrosion plume coupons: ambient-temperature-corroded (~350 days in water) aluminum alloy 6061 (AA6061) coupons in helium gas environments with ~0% added relative humidity. Additionally, we provide a comparison of proposed ASNF drying techniques— vacuum drying only, vacuum drying + 100 °C for 4 hr, and vacuum drying + 220 °C for 4 hr—on the yield of H 2 from these surrogate systems. The presented data indicates that similar amounts of H 2 (~2 × 10–3 µmol J–1) are formed from gamma irradiated AA6061 coupons corroded under different temperature regimes, i.e., ambient/350 days vs. 90 C/30 days. These findings validate current, complimentary modelling predictions based on high-temperature-corrosion irradiation data only. Further, the application of a heat treatment procedure (100 and 220 °C), in conjunction with vacuum drying, accelerated the rate at which a steady-state H 2 yield was attained, in comparison to vacuum only, due to the removal of H 2 precursors in the form of adsorbed waters. Interestingly, within the confidence limits of our measurements, negligible difference in total H 2 yield was found between the two investigated heat treatment procedures.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Production and purification of 43Sc and 47Sc from enriched [46Ti]TiO2 and [50Ti]TiO2 targets

Abstract The radioscandium isotopes, 43 Sc and 47 Sc, compose a promising elementally matched theranostic pair that can be used for the development of imaging and therapeutic radiopharmaceuticals with identical structures. This study aimed to investigate the production of high radionuclidic purity 43 Sc from enriched [ 46 Ti]TiO 2 targets and 47 Sc from enriched [ 50 Ti]TiO 2 targets and establish a target recycling technique. Enriched [ 46 Ti]TiO 2 targets were irradiated with 18 MeV protons, and enriched [ 50 Ti]TiO 2 targets were bombarded with 24 MeV protons. 43 Sc and 47 Sc were purified using ion chromatography attaining recovery yields of 91.7 ± 7.4% and 89.9 ± 3.9%, respectively. The average radionuclidic purity for 43 Sc was 98.8 ± 0.3% and for 47 Sc 91.5 ± 0.6%, while the average recovery of enriched titanium target material was 96 ± 4.0%. The highest apparent molar activity for [ 43 Sc]Sc-DOTA was 23.2 GBq/µmol and 3.39 GBq/µmol for [ 47 Sc]Sc-DOTA. This work demonstrates the feasibility of using enriched recycled [ 46 Ti]TiO 2 and [ 50 Ti]TiO 2 targets to produce high purity 43 Sc and 47 Sc as an elementally matched theranostic isotope pair.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

The effect of H2O and pretreatment on the activity of a Pt/SnO2 catalyst

CO oxidation catalysts with high activity at 25 C to 100 C are important for long-life, closed-cycle operation of pulsed CO2 lasers. A reductive pretreatment with either CO or H2 has been shown to significantly enhance the activity of a commercially available platinum on tin (IV) oxide (Pt/SnO2) catalyst relative to an oxidative or inert pretreatment or no pretreatment. Pretreatment at temperatures of 175 C and above causes an initial dip in the observed CO2 yield before the steady-state yield is attained. This dip has been found to be caused by dehydration of the catalyst during pretreatment and is readily eliminated by humidifying the catalyst or the reaction gas mixture. It is hypothesized that the effect of humidification is to increase the concentration of OH groups on the catalyst surface which play a role in the reaction mechanism.

Vannorman, John D.↗

The effects of pretreatment conditions on a Pt/SnO2 catalyst for the oxidation of CO in CO2 lasers

CO oxidation catalysts with high activity at 25 to 100 C are important for long life, closed cycle operation of pulsed CO2 lasers. A reductive pretreatment with either CO or H2 was shown to significantly enhance the activity of a commercially available platinum on tin (IV) oxide (Pt/SnO2) catalyst relative to an oxidative or inert pretreatment of no pretreatment. Pretreatment at temperatures of 175 C and above causes an initial dip in the observed CO2 yield before the steady state yield is attained. This dip was found to be caused by dehydration of the catalyst during pretreatment and is readily eliminated by humidifying the catalyst or the reaction gas mixture. It is hypothesized that the effect of humidification is to increase the concentration of OH groups on the catalyst surface which play a role in the reaction mechanism.

Schryer, David R.↗

Motion sickness and development of synergy within the spatial orientation system. A hypothetical unifying concept

Adaptation to research paradigms such as rotating rooms and optical alteration of visual feedback during movement results in development of perceptual-motor programs that provide the reflexive assistance that is necessary to skilled control of movement and balance. The discomfort and stomach awareness that occur during the adaptation process has been attributed to conflicting sensory information about the state of motion. Vestibular signals depend on the kinematics of head movements irrespective of the presence or absence of signals from other senses. We propose that sensory conflict when vestibular signals are at least one component of the conflict are innately disturbing and unpleasant. This innate reaction is part of a continuum that operates early in life to prevent development of inefficient perceptual-motor programs. This reaction operates irrespective of and in addition to reward and punishment from parental guidance or goal attainment to yield efficient control of whole body movement in the operating environment of the individual. The same mechanism is involved in adapting the spatial orientation system to strange environments. This conceptual model "explains" why motion sickness is associated with adaptation to novel environments and is in general consistent with motion sickness literature.

Review, Tutorial↗

Spatial patterns of historical crop yields reveal soil health attributes in US Midwest fields

Abstract Attaining high crop yields and increasing carbon storage in agricultural soils, while avoiding negative environmental impacts on water quality, soil erosion, and biodiversity, requires accurate and precise management of crop inputs and management practices. The long-term analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of crop yields provides insights on how yields vary in a field, with parts of field constantly producing either high yields or low yields and other parts that fluctuate from one year to the next. The concept of yield stability has shown to be informative on how plants translate the effects of environmental conditions (e.g., soil, climate, topography) across the field and over the years in the final yield, and as a valuable layer in developing prescription maps of variable fertilizer rate inputs. Using known relationships between soil health and crop yields, we hypothesize that areas with measured constantly low yield will return low carbon to the soil affecting its heath. On this premises, yield stability zones (YSZ) provide an effective and practical integrative measure of the small-scale variability of soil health on a field relative basis. We tested this hypothesis by measuring various metrics of soil health from commercial farmers’ fields in the north central Midwest of the USA in samples replicated across YSZ, using a soil test suite commonly used by producers and stakeholders active in agricultural carbon credits markets. We found that the use of YSZ allowed us to successfully partition field-relative soil organic carbon (SOC) and soil health metrics into statistically distinct regions. Low and stable (LS) yield zones were statistically lower in normalized SOC when compared to high and stable (HS) and unstable (US) yield zones. The drivers of the yield differences within a field are a series of factors ranging from climate, topography and soil. LS zones occur in areas of compacted soil layers or shallow soils (edge of the field) on steeper slopes. The US zones occurring with high water flow accumulation, were more dependent on topography and rainfall. The differences in the components of the overall soil health score (SHS) between these YSZ increased with sample depth suggesting a deeper topsoil in the US and HS zones, driven by the accumulation of water, nutrients, and carbon downslope. Comparison of the field management provided initial evidence that zero tillage reduces the magnitude of the variance in SOC and soil health metrics between the YSZ.

Fowler, Ames↗

Intensified biogas to liquid (IBGTL) Process: Experimental validation and modeling analysis

The Intensified Biogas to Liquid (IBGTL) process aims to overcome traditional economy-of-scale barriers in biogas-to-liquid fuel production by integrating bi-reforming and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis (FTS) in a single IBGTL reactor. This reactor operates at uniform pressure with different optimized temperatures across two zones for efficient conversion, utilizing multifunctional bi-reforming catalysts and high-temperature FTS catalysts. Bench scale experiments were carried out using landfill gas (LFG) in a single pass process, and the yield data from these experiments were fed into process scale-up design and techno-economic analysis (TEA) across four scenarios: (1) a single pass process, (2) a process with material recycling, (3) a process with liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) co-product recovery, and (4) a process with electricity generation from the fuel gas produced. TEA identified Scenario 2 as the most cost-effective, achieving a Minimum Fuel Selling Price (MFSP) of $\$4.59$ per gallon, competitive with the current national diesel price of $\$4.7$ per gallon. However, comparison with the conventional two-reactor system highlights the need for catalyst performance improvements. Sensitivity analysis emphasized the importance of manufacturing cost, liquid fuel yield, and biogas flow rate. Further analysis determined that the IBGTL process must achieve a diesel mass yield beyond 11.7% to surpass the economic viability of the conventional TriFTS (Tri-reforming followed by Fischer-Tropsch Synthesis) process. If the IBGTL process attains the TriFTS yield of up to 17%, the resulting MFSP could be approximately 31% lower than the current TriFTS MFSP. Furthermore, renewable energy credits and carbon credits can further enhance the economic viability of BGTL processes.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Post heat treatment effects on double layer metal structures for VLSI applications

The realization of high yield double layer metal systems using wet chemistry processes and the ability to extend yields beyond that attainable with wet chemistry by means of post sintering processes at temperatures below 500 C for potential applications in very large scale integration structures were studied. Yields in excess of 98% and average total contact resistance of less than 150 ohms and 200 ohms were realized for a series of 560 vias of 0.5 X 0.5 mils and 0.2 X 0.2 mils in size, respectively.

Wade, T. E.↗

Oxygen extraction from lunar soil by fluorination

Mining and processing of lunar material could possibly lead to more cost-efficient scenarios for permanent presence of man in space and on the Moon. Production of oxygen for use as propellant seems especially important. Different candidate processes for oxygen-extraction from lunar soil were proposed, of which the reduction of ilmenite by hydrogen was studied most. This process, however, needs the concentration of ilmenite from lunar regolith to a large extent and releases oxygen only with low efficiency. Another possibility - the fluorination method - which works with lunar bulk material as feedstock is discussed. Liberation of oxygen from silicate or oxide materials by fluorination methods has been applied in geoscience since the early sixties. The fact that even at moderate temperatures 98 to 100 percent yields can be attained, suggests that fluorination of lunar regolith could be an effective way of propellant production. Lunar soil contains about 50 percent oxygen by weight which is gained nearly completely through this process as O2 gas. The second-most element Si is liberated as gaseous SiF4. It could be used for production of Si-metal and fluorine-recycling. All other main elements of lunar soil will be converted into solid fluorides which also can be used for metal-production and fluorine-recycling. Preliminary results of small scale experiments with different materials are discussed, giving information on specific oxygen-yields and amounts of by-products as functions of temperature. These experiments were performed with an already existing fluorine extraction and collection device at the University of Bonn, normally used for determination of oxygen-isotopic abundances. Optimum conditions, especially concerning energy consumption, are investigated. Extrapolation of the experimental results to large industrial-type plants on the Moon is tried and seems to be promising at first sight. The recycling of the fluorine is, however, crucial for the process. It might be achieved by means of electrolysis. This needs further investigation. The technical problem of transport and handling of the toxic and corrosive fluorine seems to be solvable and could be done by inert storage vessels.

Seboldt, W.↗

Respiratory Vinyl Chloride Reductive Dechlorination to Ethene in TceA-Expressing Dehalococcoides mccartyi

Bioremediation of chlorinated ethenes in anoxic aquifers hinges on organohalide-respiring Dehalococcoidia expressing vinyl chloride (VC) reductive dehalogenase (RDase). The tceA gene encoding the trichloroethene-dechlorinating RDase TceA is frequently detected in contaminated groundwater but not recognized as a biomarker for VC detoxification. We demonstrate that tceA-carrying Dehalococcoides mccartyi (Dhc) strains FL2 and 195 grow with VC as an electron acceptor when sufficient vitamin B 12 (B 12 ) is provided. Strain FL2 cultures that received 50 μg L –1 B 12 completely dechlorinated VC to ethene at rates of 14.80 ± 1.30 μM day –1 and attained 1.64 ± 0.11 × 10 8 cells per μmol of VC consumed. Strain 195 attained similar growth yields of 1.80 ± 1.00 × 10 8 cells per μmol of VC consumed, and both strains could be consecutively transferred with VC as the electron acceptor. Proteomic analysis demonstrated TceA expression in VC-grown strain FL2 cultures. Resequencing of the strain FL2 and strain 195 tceA genes identified non-synonymous substitutions, although their consequences for TceA function are currently unknown. The finding that Dhc strains expressing TceA respire VC can explain ethene formation at chlorinated solvent sites, where quantitative polymerase chain reaction analysis indicates that tceA dominates the RDase gene pool.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Geobacter sp. Strain IAE Dihaloeliminates 1,1,2-Trichloroethane and 1,2-Dichloroethane

We report that chlorinated ethanes, including 1,2-dichloroethane (1,2-DCA) and 1,1,2-trichloroethane (1,1,2-TCA), are widespread groundwater contaminants. Enrichment cultures XR DCA and XR TCA derived from river sediment dihaloeliminated 1,2-DCA to ethene and 1,1,2-TCA to vinyl chloride (VC), respectively. The XR TCA culture subsequently converted VC to ethene via hydrogenolysis. Microbial community profiling demonstrated the enrichment of Geobacter 16S rRNA gene sequences in both the XR DCA and XR TCA cultures, and Dehalococcoides mccartyi (Dhc) sequences were only detected in the ethene-producing XR TCA culture. The presence of a novel Geobacter population, designated as Geobacter sp. strain IAE, was identified by the 16S rRNA gene-targeted polymerase chain reaction and Sanger sequencing. Time-resolved population dynamics attributed the dihaloelimination activity to strain IAE, which attained the growth yields of 0.93 ± 0.06 x 10 7 and 1.18 ± 0.14 x 10 7 cells per μmol Cl -1 released with 1,2-DCA and 1,1,2-TCA as electron acceptors, respectively. In contrast, Dhc growth only occurred during VC-to-ethene hydrogenolysis. Our findings discover a Geobacter sp. strain capable of respiring multiple chlorinated ethanes and demonstrate the involvement of a broader diversity of organohalide-respiring bacteria in the detoxification of 1,2-DCA and 1,1,2-TCA.

1,1,2-trichloroethane↗

Monolithic short wave infrared (SWIR) detector array

A monolithic self-scanned linear detector array was developed for remote sensing in the 1.1- 2.4-micron spectral region. A high-density IRCCD test chip was fabricated to verify new design approaches required for the detector array. The driving factors in the Schottky barrier IRCCD (Pdsub2Si) process development are the attainment of detector yield, uniformity, adequate quantum efficiency, and lowest possible dark current consistent with radiometric accuracy. A dual-band module was designed that consists of two linear detector arrays. The sensor architecture places the floating diffusion output structure in the middle of the chip, away from the butt edges. A focal plane package was conceptualized and includes a polycrystalline silicon substrate carrying a two-layer, thick-film interconnecting conductor pattern and five epoxy-mounted modules. A polycrystalline silicon cover encloses the modules and bond wires, and serves as a radiation and EMI shield, thermal conductor, and contamination seal.

Source record↗

Characterization of D-T Generator Neutron Flux Spectrum for Cyclic Neutron Activation Analysis Experiments

Improving nuclear data for short-lived fission product yields will further our fundamental understanding of fission, which is needed across various scientific fields and applications. One method of attaining the needed product yield data is through cyclic neutron activation, which allows a target to be irradiated in a neutron environment and then transported for counting of the radionuclides produced, typically via g spectroscopy. Recently, such a system has been constructed and commissioned at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Targets are shuttled between the head of a D-T neutron generator and a counting station with a transit time of 2 seconds. As part of the characterization of this system, the neutron flux was studied using two activation targets. The neutron flux from the deuterium-tritium fusion generator was determined to be 9.95(33) x10^8 n/cm2-s with a peak energy of 14.9 MeV and a spread of approximately 4 decades between the epithermal and 14 MeV peak group flux.

cyclic neutron activation, gamma-ray spectroscopy,↗