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Favorable tectonic and structural settings of geothermal systems in the Great Basin region, western USA: Proxies for discovering blind geothermal systems

We recently completed a comprehensive inventory of the structural settings of known geothermal systems (426 total, ≥37°C) in the extensional to transtensional terrane of the Great Basin region in the western USA. Of the known systems, ~39% are blind (no surface hot springs or fumaroles), but estimates suggest that as much as 75% of the geothermal resources in the region are blind. The density of geothermal systems and capacity of power plants correlate generally with tectonic strain rates. However, highenthalpy geothermal activity is restricted to regions of extensional to transtensional strain, particularly the northwestern part of the Great Basin directly northeast of the dextral shear zone of the Walker Lane and pull-apart zones within both the Walker Lane and San Andreas fault system. We catalogued systems into eight major groups, based on the dominant pattern of faulting. Of the nearly 250 categorized geothermal fields, we found that step-overs or relay ramps in normal fault zones are the most favorable setting, hosting ~32% of the systems. Such areas are characterized by multiple, commonly overlapping fault strands, increased fracture density, and thus enhanced permeability. Other common settings include a) normal fault terminations (25%), where horse-tailing generates a myriad of closely-spaced faults and thus increased permeability; and b) fault intersections between two normal faults or between normal faults and transverse oblique-slip faults (22%), where multiple minor faults typically connect major structures and fluids can flow readily through highly fractured, dilational quadrants. Less common settings include: a) accommodation zones (9%); b) displacement transfer zones (5%); c) pull-aparts in strike-slip faults (3%); d) bends in normal faults (2%); and e) major range-front normal faults (1%). Pull-aparts and displacement transfer zones are more abundant in the transtensional western part of the Great Basin. Quaternary faults typically lie within or near most of the geothermal systems. Geothermal systems are rare along major range-front faults, possibly due to both reduced permeability in thick zones of clay gouge and periodic release of stress in major earthquakes. Step-overs, terminations, intersections, and accommodation zones correspond to long-term, critically stressed areas, where fluid pathways would more likely remain open in networks of closely-spaced, breccia-dominated fractures. Notably, many higher enthalpy systems are hybrids and contain more than one type of favorable setting (e.g. fault intersection within broad accommodation zone). These data can guide exploration strategies, especially for blind or hidden systems.

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Discovery and analysis of a blind geothermal system in southeastern Gabbs Valley, Western Nevada

This study assessed the potential for high-temperature (≥130°C) blind geothermal systems in southeastern Gabbs Valley by employing a geothermal play fairway analysis approach involving integration of geologic, geophysical, and geochemical datasets. Gabbs Valley is a complex, tectonically active basin within the Great Basin on the boundary between the transtensional central Walker Lane domain and extensional Basin and Range province. The termination of the Petrified Springs fault, a major dextral fault of the central Walker Lane, in an array of normal faults indicates that southeastern Gabbs Valley occupies a displacement transfer zone, which is a favorable structural setting for geothermal activity. The displacement transfer zone is a structurally complicated area with many faults of varying geometries, kinematics, and ages. A substantial northwest-trending gravity high within the south-central part of southeastern Gabbs Valley is produced from offsets along concealed northwest-striking dextral-normal faults that intersect strands of north-northeast-to east-northeast-striking normal faults. This area of tightly spaced faults and fault intersections is a particularly favorable structural setting within the broader-scale displacement transfer zone. Multiple lines of direct and indirect evidence suggest the presence of a relatively high-temperature (≥130°C) blind geothermal system in this area, including collocated intersecting gravity gradients, magnetic-low, low-resistivity, and 2-m temperature anomaly. Potentially related, water samples from agricultural wells ~7 km northwest of the 2-m anomaly yield geothermometers indicating subsurface fluid temperatures of 130-140°C. Six temperature-gradient holes were drilled to target the extent of the shallow-temperature and geophysical anomalies to define the geothermal system in southeastern Gabbs Valley. Two wells contained high temperatures exceeding boiling with bottom-hole temperatures ii of 114.5°C and 124.9°C, respectively, and the remaining wells displayed elevated to background temperatures ranging from 79.2°C to 28.7°C. The observed temperature gradients for the two hottest drill holes necessitate drill-hole intercepts of convecting hydrothermal fluids. The 2-m survey is spatially and thermally consistent with the temperature-gradient holes and constrains the core of upflow at a shallow depth interval (<250m) to an area <0.5-1 km west-southwest of the hottest drill hole. The zone of inferred upwelling occupies the area corresponding to the center of the magnetic-low. This project has several significant implications. The newly discovered blind geothermal system in southeastern Gabbs Valley may be capable of supporting a binary-type geothermal power plant. This detailed study provides an initial validation of the play fairway approach to geothermal exploration. It also demonstrates both the broad applicability of the play fairway exploration strategy and the large untapped potential for commercial-grade blind geothermal systems in many of the basins in the Great Basin region.

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Geophysical Investigations of a Blind Geothermal System in Southern Gabbs Valley, Nevada

Southern Gabbs Valley in west-central Nevada, is a blind geothermal system located 5 km north of the Gabbs Valley Range and ~15 km southeast of the Don A. Campbell geothermal power plant. Previous geologic, geophysical, and geochemical studies in the Nevada play fairway project had identified a favorable setting for a blind geothermal system, documented elevated subsurface temperatures, and established the structural framework of the area. Further high resolution geophysical surveys were therefore conducted to aid in characterizing both the intrabasinal structure of the area and potential geothermal system. A total of 480 gravity stations, 300 km of ground magnetic data, and 24 magnetotelluric (MT) stations were collected. These data support the previous interpretation that the thermal anomaly occurs at the intersection of two faults bounding an intra-basin gravity high, and also show that a conductive zone (potential cap) and magnetic low coincide with this anomaly. If the magnetic low is a result of hydrothermal alteration that has demagnetized the surrounding rock, this would suggest that this is a relatively long lived geothermal system, adding to the viability of the resource.

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Discovering Blind Geothermal Systems in the Great Basin Region: An Integrated Geologic and Geophysical Approach for Establishing Geothermal Play Fairways: All Phases

Most geothermal resources in the Great Basin region of the western USA are blind, and thus the discovery of new commercial-grade systems requires synthesis of favorable characteristics for geothermal activity. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. This project integrated multiple datasets to apply the play fairway concept and assess geothermal potential in a large region of the Great Basin in Nevada. It is therefore referred to as the Nevada play fairway project. This project was a strong collaborative effort between several organizations, led by the Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology at the University of Nevada, Reno, but with key support from the U.S. Geological Survey, ATLAS Geosciences, Inc,, Hi-Q Geophysical, Inc., Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Utah Geological Survey, and Innovative Geothermal Ltd. In Budget Period 1 of this project, available data for nine geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new detailed geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2 from west-central to eastern Nevada. These parameters were grouped into subsets and individually weighted to delineate rankings for local permeability, intermediate permeability, regional permeability, and thermal potential, which collectively defined geothermal play fairways (i.e., most likely locations for significant geothermal fluid flow). This initial work was aimed at reducing the risks in regional exploration and therefore facilitating discovery of new commercial-grade systems in blind settings, as well as in areas with surface expressions of geothermal activity. Budget Period 2 of the project involved detailed analysis of some of the most promising areas identified in Phase 1. Twenty-four highly prospective areas, including both known undeveloped systems and previously undiscovered potential blind systems, were identified for further analysis. After reconnaissance of these areas, five of the most promising sites were selected for detailed studies. Multiple techniques were employed in the detailed studies, including geologic mapping, shallow temperature surveys, gravity surveys, Lidar, geochemical studies, seismic reflection analysis, and 3D modeling. The goal of the detailed studies was to identify specific areas with the highest likelihood for high permeability and thermal fluids, such that drill sites could be targeted. Three main sets of predictive maps were generated for each detailed study area: 1) play fairway maps, 2) play fairway error maps, and 3) direct evidence maps. Local- and intermediate-scale permeability models were revised to reflect results of the detailed geologic, geophysical, and geochemical analyses. Budget Period 3 of the project involved more detailed geophysical analyses and temperature-gradient (TG) drilling in southeastern Gabbs Valley and northern Granite Springs Valley, deemed the two most promising sites, with the goal of providing preliminary validation of the play fairway methodology. In southeastern Gabbs Valley, the collocation of a favorable structural setting (displacement transfer zone and fault intersections), Quaternary faults, intersecting and terminating gravity gradients, magnetic low, shallow (2 m) temperature anomaly, low resistivity anomaly, and promising geothermometry from nearby water wells provided evidence for a blind system. Drilling of six TG holes defines an apparent geothermal system at this locality with temperatures as high as 124°C at 152 m. This system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. For northern Granite Springs Valley, a favorable structural setting (termination of a major Quaternary normal fault), terminating gravity gradient, magnetic gradient, newly discovered sinter deposits, nearby warm water wells, previously drilled TG holes in the vicinity, and promising geothermometry suggest a hidden system. Drilling of six new TG holes yields temperatures of ~96°C at ~250 m, suggesting the presence of a geothermal system. Major lessons learned in the course of this project include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable structural settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis should be refined as the exploration program vectors into the most promising sites and finer-scale data are acquired. In addition to producing copious amounts of data, this project resulted in 16 published papers, 10 abstracts, more than 40 presentations across the U.S. and abroad (including several keynote addresses), 2 Masters theses, and 7 media reports.

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Discovery and analysis of a potential blind geothermal system in southern Gabbs Valley, western Nevada

The southern Gabbs Valley geothermal prospect is a blind thermal anomaly located 5 km north of the Gabbs Valley Range and ~15 km southeast of the Don A. Campbell geothermal power plant in west-central Nevada. The discovery of this blind thermal anomaly was initiated from the development of a detailed geothermal potential map covering 96,000 km2 of the Great Basin region. This map synthesized about 9 geologic and geophysical parameters and showed high geothermal potential in southern Gabbs Valley. Subsequent geologic reconnaissance identified areas of favorable structure for hosting a blind geothermal system. Areas displaying complex fault relationships were then targeted for further exploration utilizing a shallow 2-meter thermal survey. The first 2-meter survey incorporated 60 data points in the basin, with one anomalously high temperature point located in the southern portion of the basin. Water samples were taken from the Diamond A ranch 6 km northwest of the thermal anomaly. These samples yielded a geothermometer of 130-140°C. Additional shallow temperature survey work has been completed constraining the extent of the thermal anomaly and establishing a 7 km2 area with elevated 2-meter temperatures. Subsurface data generated from a new gravity survey show that the 2-meter thermal anomaly corresponds to a significant gravity gradient that probably reflects a subsurface fault and possible fault intersection. Exploration of the system is ongoing, and further detailed mapping of bedrock and Quaternary exposures in the area will aid in understanding the structural controls of this potential geothermal system. The integration of geochemical, geophysical, and geologic datasets in this area will elucidate the probability of a commercial-grade geothermal system and produce a conceptual model to be used in the selection of possible drill targets.

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Machine learning for natural resource assessment: An application to the blind geothermal systems of Nevada

A study is underway to apply machine learning methods to evaluate natural resource potential. In particular, we are considering the search for blind geothermal systems in Nevada. Beginning with the data and experience from the previous Nevada play fairway analysis project, we are building models in TensorFlow/Keras and gaining experience toward predicting the geothermal resource potential as a probability map. During the first year of this project we have encountered several issues particular to using geological and geophysical data sets with these tools. Through an illustrative example we develop a promising workflow for future use as more data become available and are analyzed.

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Searching for Blind Geothermal Systems Utilizing Play Fairway Analysis, Western Nevada

Geothermal play fairway analysis is a concept adopted from the oil industry aimed at improving the efficiency and success rate of geothermal exploration and drilling. It involves integration of multiple geologic and geophysical parameters indicative of geothermal activity as a means of identifying the most promising areas for new geothermal development. This includes the evaluation of the relative favorability of known, undeveloped geothermal systems, as well as assessing the probability of a particular area for hosting a relatively robust blind system (>~130°C). Finally, blind systems lack surface hot springs and steam vents and are thought to comprise the majority of geothermal systems in the Great Basin region.

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Discovery of a Blind Geothermal System in Southern Gabbs Valley, Western Nevada, through Application of the Play Fairway Analysis at Multiple Scales

The Great Basin region is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Southern Gabbs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains favorable structural settings, including Quaternary fault intersections and a displacement transfer zone. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select targets for temperature-gradient holes. Permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps. The most promising site lies in an area of multiple fault intersections in a broader displacement transfer zone directly north of the Petrified Springs dextral fault, as revealed by gravity, magnetic, and MT data. A 2-m temperature anomaly and warm temperature gradient wells (~120oC at ~150 m depth) confirm the presence of a geothermal system and provide initial validation of the play fairway methodology. The system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. Lessons learned in the detailed studies include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales.

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Integrated Geologic and Geophysical Approach for Establishing Geothermal Play Fairways and Discovering Blind Geothermal Systems in the Great Basin Region, Western USA: A Progress Report

We have undertaken an integrated geologic, geochemical, and geophysical study of a broad 240-km-wide, 400-kmlong transect stretching from west-central to eastern Nevada in the Great Basin region of the western USA. The main goal of this study is to produce a comprehensive geothermal potential map that incorporates up to 11 parameters and identifies geothermal play fairways that represent potential blind or hidden geothermal systems. Our new geothermal potential map incorporates: 1) heat flow; 2) geochemistry from springs and wells; 3) structural setting; 4) recency of faulting; 5) slip rates on Quaternary faults; 6) regional strain rate; 7) slip and dilation tendency on Quaternary faults; 8) seismologic data; 9) gravity data; 10) magnetotelluric data (where available); and 11) seismic reflection data (primarily from the Carson Sink and Steptoe basins). The transect is respectively anchored on its western and eastern ends by regional 3D modeling of the Carson Sink and Steptoe basins, which will provide more detailed geothermal potential maps of these two promising areas. To date, geological, geochemical, and geophysical data sets have been assembled into an ArcGIS platform and combined into a preliminary predictive geothermal play fairway model using various statistical techniques. The fairway model consists of the following components, each of which are represented in grid-cell format in ArcGIS and combined using specified weights and mathematical operators: 1) structural component of permeability; 2) regional-scale component of permeability; 3) combined permeability, and 4) heat source model. The preliminary model demonstrates that the multiple data sets can be successfully combined into a comprehensive favorability map. An initial evaluation using known geothermal systems as benchmarks to test interpretations indicates that the preliminary modeling has done a good job assigning relative ranks of geothermal potential. However, a major challenge is defining logical relative rankings of each parameter and how best to combine the multiple data sets into the geothermal potential/permeability map. Ongoing feedback and data analysis are in use to revise the grouping and weighting of some parameters in order to develop a more robust, optimized, final model. The final product will incorporate more parameters into a geothermal potential map than any previous effort in the region and may serve as a prototype to develop comprehensive geothermal potential maps for other regions.

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Integrated Geologic and Geophysical Approach for Establishing Geothermal Play Fairways and Discovering Blind Geothermal Systems in the Great Basin Region, Western USA: A Progress Report

We have undertaken an integrated geologic, geochemical, and geophysical study of a broad 240-km-wide, 400-km-long transect stretching from west-central to eastern Nevada in the Great Basin region of the western USA. The main goal of this study is to produce a comprehensive geothermal potential map that incorporates up to 11 parameters and identifies geothermal play fairways that represent potential blind or hidden geothermal systems. Our new geothermal potential map incorporates: 1) heat flow; 2) geochemistry from springs and wells; 3) structural setting; 4) recency of faulting; 5) slip rates on Quaternary faults; 6) regional strain rate; 7) slip and dilation tendency on Quaternary faults; 8) seismologic data; 9) gravity data; 10) magnetotelluric data (where available); and 11) seismic reflection data (primarily from the Carson Sink and Steptoe basins). The transect is respectively anchored on its western and eastern ends by regional 3D modeling of the Carson Sink and Steptoe basins, which will provide more detailed geothermal potential maps of these two promising areas. To date, geological, geochemical, and geophysical data sets have been assembled into an ArcGIS platform and combined into a preliminary predictive geothermal play fairway model using various statistical techniques. The fairway model consists of the following components, each of which are represented in grid-cell format in ArcGIS and combined using specified weights and mathematical operators: 1) structural component of permeability; 2) regional-scale component of permeability; 3) combined permeability, and 4) heat source model. The preliminary model demonstrates that the multiple data sets can be successfully combined into a comprehensive favorability map. An initial evaluation using known geothermal systems as benchmarks to test interpretations indicates that the preliminary modeling has done a good job assigning relative ranks of geothermal potential. However, a major challenge is defining logical relative rankings of each parameter and how best to combine the multiple data sets into the geothermal potential/ permeability map. Ongoing feedback and data analysis are in use to revise the grouping and weighting of some parameters in order to develop a more robust, optimized, final model. The final product will incorporate more parameters into a geothermal potential map than any previous effort in the region and may serve as a prototype to develop comprehensive geothermal potential maps for other regions.

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Vectoring into Potential Blind Geothermal Systems in the Granite Springs Valley Area, Western Nevada: Application of the Play Fairway Analysis at Multiple Scales

The Great Basin region of the western USA is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus the favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity as a means of identifying promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, nine geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Granite Springs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains several favorable structural settings, including terminations of major Quaternary normal faults and fault intersections. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select drilling targets for temperature-gradient holes. Local and intermediate permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps of the area. The most promising site lies in the northeastern part of the basin directly east of Adobe Flat, where the horse-tailing termination of a major normal fault (as revealed by new gravity data), opaline sinter deposits, warm shallow wells, and a low-resistivity anomaly are collocated. Geothermometry suggests a blind system with temperatures as high as ~130°C in this area. Four new temperature-gradient holes document temperatures of ~80°C at ~150 m depth. Lessons learned in the detailed studies of this project include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be well defined without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales, providing a means to select regional prospects as well as vectoring into drilling targets at individual sites.

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Blind Geothermal System Exploration in Active Volcanic Environments; Multi-phase Geophysical and Geochemical Surveys in Overt and Subtle Volcanic Systems, Hawai’i and Maui

Suites of new geophysical and geochemical exploration surveys were conducted to provide evidence for geothermal resource at the Haleakala Southwest Rift Zone (HSWRZ) on Maui Island, Hawai’i. Ground-based gravity (~400 stations) coupled with heli-bourne magnetics (~1500 line kilometers) define both deep and shallow fractures/faults, while also delineating potentially widespread subsurface hydrothermal alteration on the lower flanks (below approximately 1800 feet a.s.l.). Multi-level, upward continuation calculations and 2-D gravity and magnetic modeling provide information on source depths, but lack of lithologic information leaves ambiguity in the estimates. Additionally, several well-defined gravity lows (possibly vent zones) lie coincident with magnetic highs suggesting the presence of dike intrusions at depth which may represent a potentially young source of heat. Soil CO2 fluxes were measured along transects across geophysically-defined faults and fractures as well as young cinder cones along the HSWRZ. This survey generally did not detect CO2 levels above background, with the exception of a weak anomalous flux signal over one young cinder cone. The general lack of observed CO2 flux signals on the HSWRZ is likely due to a combination of lower magmatic CO2 fluxes and relatively high biogenic surface CO2 fluxes which mix with the magmatic signal. Similar surveys at the Puna geothermal field on the Kilauea Lower East Rift Zone (KLERZ) also showed a lack of surface CO2 flux signals, however aqueous geochemistry indicated contribution of magmatic CO2 and He to shallow groundwater here. As magma has been intercepted in geothermal drilling at the Puna field, the lack of measured surface CO2 flux indicative of upflow of magmatic fluids here is likely due to effective “scrubbing” by high groundwater and a mature hydrothermal system. Dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) concentrations, δ13C compositions and 3He/4He values were sampled at Maui from several shallow groundwater samples indicating only minor additions of magmatic CO2 and He to the groundwater system, although much less than observed near Puna. The much reduced DIC and He abundances at Maui, along with a lack of hotsprings and hydrothermal alteration, as observed near Puna, does not strongly support a deeper hydrothermal system within the HSWRZ.

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Three-Dimensional Geologic Characterization of Geothermal Systems: Astor Pass, Nevada, USA

Geothermal systems in the Great Basin, USA, are controlled by a variety of fault intersection and fault interaction areas. Understanding the specific geometry of the structures most conducive to geothermal circulation is crucial in order to both mitigate the costs of geothermal exploration (especially drilling) and to identify blind geothermal systems (no surface expression). Astor Pass, Nevada, one such blind geothermal system, lies near the boundary between two distinct structural domains, the Walker Lane and the Basin and Range, and exhibits characteristics of each setting. Both northwest-striking, left-stepping dextral faults of the Walker Lane and kinematically linked northerly striking normal faults associated with the Basin and Range are present at Astor Pass. Previous studies identified a blind geothermal system controlled by the intersection of northwest-striking dextral and north-northwest-striking normal faults. Wells drilled into the southwestern quadrant of the fault intersection yielded 94°C fluids, with geothermometers suggesting significantly higher maximum temperatures. Additional data, including reprocessed 2D seismic data and petrologic analysis of well cuttings, were integrated with existing and reinterpreted geologic maps and cross-sections to aid construction of a 3D geologic model. This comprehensive 3D integration of multiple data sets allows characterization of the structural setting of the Astor Pass blind geothermal system at a level of detail beyond what independent data interpretation can provide. Our analysis indicates that the blind geothermal system is controlled by two north- to northwest-plunging fault intersections.

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