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At least 19 records

Assessment of Offshore Wind Energy Leasing Areas for the BOEM Massachusetts Wind Energy Area

The U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), under an interagency agreement with the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), is providing technical assistance to identify and delineate leasing areas for offshore wind energy development within the Atlantic Coast Wind Energy Areas (WEAs) established by BOEM. This report focuses on NREL's development of three delineated leasing area options for the Massachusetts (MA) WEA and the technical evaluation of these leasing areas. The overarching objective of this study is to develop a logical process by which the MA WEA can be subdivided into non-overlapping leasing areas for BOEM's use in developing an auction process in a renewable energy lease sale. NREL worked with BOEM to identify an appropriate number of leasing areas and proposed three delineation alternatives within the MA WEA based on the boundaries announced in May 2012. A primary output of the interagency agreement is this report, which documents the methodology, including key variables and assumptions, by which the leasing areas were identified and delineated.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Assessment of Offshore Wind Energy Leasing Areas for the BOEM New Jersey Wind Energy Area

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), under an interagency agreement with the U.S. Department of the Interior's Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), is providing technical assistance to identify and delineate leasing areas for offshore wind energy development within the Atlantic Coast Wind Energy Areas (WEAs) established by BOEM. This report focuses on NREL's development and evaluation of the delineations for the New Jersey (NJ) WEA. The overarching objective of this study is to develop a logical process by which the New Jersey WEA can be subdivided into non-overlapping leasing areas for BOEM's use in developing an auction process in a renewable energy lease sale. NREL identified a selection of leasing areas and proposed delineation boundaries within the established NJ WEA. The primary output of the interagency agreement is this report, which documents the methodology, including key variables and assumptions, by which the leasing areas were identified and delineated.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Assessment of Offshore Wind Energy Leasing Areas for the BOEM Maryland Wind Energy Area

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), under an interagency agreement with the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), is providing technical assistance to identify and delineate leasing areas for offshore wind energy development within the Atlantic Coast Wind Energy Areas (WEAs) established by BOEM. This report focuses on NREL's evaluation of the delineation proposed by the Maryland Energy Administration (MEA) for the Maryland (MD) WEA and two alternative delineations. The objectives of the NREL evaluation were to assess MEA's proposed delineation of the MD WEA, perform independent analysis, and recommend how the MD WEA should be delineated.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Offshore Storage Resource Assessment - Final Scientific/Technical Report

The DOE developed volumetric equation for estimating Prospective Resources (CO 2 storage) in oil and gas reservoirs was utilized on each depleted field in the Federal GOM. This required assessment of the in-situ hydrocarbon fluid volumes for the fields under evaluation in order to apply the DOE equation. This project utilized public data from the U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) Reserves database and from a well reputed, large database (250,000+ wells) of GOM well and production data marketed by IHS, Inc. IHS interpreted structure map files were also accessed for a limited number of fields. The databases were used along with geological and petrophysical software to identify depleted oil and gas fields in the Federal GOM region. BOEM arranged for access by the project team to proprietary reservoir level maps under an NDA. Review of the BOEM’s Reserves database as of December 31, 2013 indicated that 675 fields in the region were depleted. NITEC identified and rank these 675 fields containing 3,514 individual reservoirs based on BOEM’s estimated OOIP or OGIP values available in the Reserves database. The estimated BOEM OOIP or OGIP values for five fields were validated by an independent evaluation using available petrophysical, geologic and engineering data in the databases. Once this validation was successfully completed, the BOEM ranked list was used to calculate the estimated CO 2 storage volume for each field/reservoir using the DOE CO 2 Resource Estimate Equation. This calculation assumed a range for the CO 2 efficiency factor in the equation, as it was not known at that point in time. NITEC then utilize reservoir simulation to further enhance and refine the DOE equation estimated range of CO 2 storage volumes. NITEC used a purpose built, publically available, 4-component, compositional reservoir simulator developed under funding from DOE (DE-FE0006015) to assess CO 2 -EOR and CO 2 storage in 73 fields/461 reservoirs. This simulator was fast and easy to utilize and provided a valuable enhanced assessment and refinement of the estimated CO 2 storage volume for each reservoir simulated. The user interface was expanded to allow for calculation of a probability based assessment of the CO 2 storage volume based on typical uncertainties in operating conditions and reservoir properties during the CO 2 injection period. This modeling of the CO 2 storage estimates for the simulated reservoirs resulted in definition of correlations applicable to all reservoir types (a refined DOE equation) which can be used for predictive purposes using available public data. Application of the correlations to the 675 depleted fields yielded a total CO 2 storage capacity of 4,748 MM tons. The CO 2 storage assessments were supplemented with simulation modeling of eleven (11) oil reservoirs that quantified the change in the stored CO 2 storage volume with the addition of CO 2 -EOR (Enhanced Oil Recovery) production. Application of CO 2 -EOR to oil reservoirs resulted in higher volumes of CO 2 storage.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Analysis of Offshore Wind Energy Leasing Areas for the Rhode Island/Massachusetts Wind Energy Area

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), under an interagency agreement with the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), is providing technical assistance to BOEM on the identification and delineation of offshore leasing areas for offshore wind energy development within the Atlantic Coast Wind Energy Areas (WEAs) established by BOEM in 2012. This report focuses on NREL's evaluation of BOEM's Rhode Island/Massachusetts (RIMA) WEA leasing areas. The objective of the NREL evaluation was to assess the proposed delineation of the two leasing areas and determine if the division is reasonable and technically sound. Additionally, the evaluation aimed to identify any deficiencies in the delineation. As part of the review, NREL performed the following tasks: 1. Performed a limited review of relevant literature and RIMA call nominations. 2. Executed a quantitative analysis and comparison of the two proposed leasing areas 3. Conducted interviews with University of Rhode Island (URI) staff involved with the URI Special Area Management Plan (SAMP) 4. Prepared this draft report summarizing the key findings.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Risk Assessment for Marine Vessel Traffic and Wind Energy Development in the Atlantic

The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) is initiating leasing of the seabed for offshore wind energy development on the outer continental shelf (OCS) in the Atlantic from Maine to Florida, with initial development planned for a series of Wind Energy Areas (WEAs) designated by the Department of Interior. Additional wind areas are under development and are currently considered to be Wind Call Areas (WCAs), leasing areas, and other set asides. Some of the proposed sites are located at or near the entrances to major ports, others are located at the seaward terminus of existing Traffic Separation Schemes (TSS), and many of the wind areas occupy locations along historical shipping routes. The siting of offshore wind farms has the potential to affect existing shipping along the Atlantic Coast; modifications to safe-access routes may be required. The United States Coast Guard (USCG) has the authority to ensure navigational safety in U.S. waters. The USCG has undertaken the Atlantic Coast Port Access Study (ACPARS) to assess future port access and navigation needs for the Atlantic coast, at a time when the mix of shipping routes and vessels are likely to change due to factors such as the widening of the Panama Canal and opening of the Arctic Ocean to shipping. The presence of wind turbines off the Atlantic coast has the potential to affect shipping routes and activities. In order to safely incorporate the presence of offshore wind farms into ACPARS, the USCG requires information on the following: the effects of offshore renewable energy infrastructure on potential traffic density; the impacts of offshore wind infrastructure on shipping traffic including rerouting, funneling, and obstructions to navigation; and whether changes to safe access routes for vessels are needed with the installation of offshore wind farms, including modifications to fairways or TSSs. BOEM entered into an Interagency Agreement in August 2012 with the US Department of Energy (DOE) to provide risk assessment expertise to the USCG development of ACPARS and BOEM’s OCS leasing. DOE assigned Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to provide an assessment of navigational safety risks (including collision, contact, grounding, and stranding). PNNL structured the project around several activities: 1) acquisition and processing of Automated Identification System (AIS) data; 2) geospatial analysis to elucidate historical shipping routes; 3) development of a data-driven numerical model to predict vessel movements in the presence of offshore wind farms; 4) enlisting expertise in navigation from an experts’ panel; 5) assessment of navigational risks from the presence of offshore wind farms; and 6) recommendations for changes to the navigation system to accommodate those changes. This report focuses on the activities carried out by PNNL, in close coordination with BOEM and USCG, from August 2012 to November 2013, and indicates the priority actions for additional enhancement to the modeling system to be carried out from December 2013 through November 2014. The body of the report briefly introduces each step of the process, and reports on notable outcomes. Detailed descriptions, computations, and figures that represent each step are included in ten technical appendices.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Challenges and Opportunities for Floating Offshore Wind Energy in Ultradeep Waters of the Central Atlantic

This study, funded under an interagency agreement between the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), is intended to provide BOEM with key information to inform their decision making about current and future leasing in the Central Atlantic region of the United States. The report will also benefit state governments, developers, research institutions, and the public which are seeking technical and market-based information about the unique aspects of the offshore wind energy development along the outer continental shelf of the Central Atlantic region of the United States. The study provides a broad top-level assessment of the key challenges and opportunities that are unique to offshore wind energy development in the Central Atlantic region. It focuses on BOEM's Central-Atlantic region Call areas. The research is based on the most current technology, deployment, and stakeholder information available to NREL. The topics include assessments of the physical environment, current leasing status and major stakeholder issues, state and federal energy policy, an assessment of future leasing requirements based on state targets, status and limitations of the technology, and supply chain status. The primary intent is to inform the readers about the prospects for deploying offshore wind in the designated deep water Call areas, E and F, identified by BOEM. The report makes recommendations regarding development in these regions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Gulf of Mexico Health and Air Quality: Using NASA Earth Observations to Identify Potential Methane Sources for Improved Monitoring of Offshore Oil & Gas Activity in the Gulf of Mexico

The extraction, production, and transportation of oil and gas is a leading contributor to anthropogenic methane emissions via activities such as flaring and venting. The Bureau of Ocean and Energy Management (BOEM) has air quality jurisdiction offshore in the Gulf of Mexico and drafts regulations for criteria pollutants, while the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) enforces these regulations. Additionally, the non-profit organization SkyTruth monitors natural resources, including methane. BOEM, BSEE, and SkyTruth have partnered with NASA DEVELOP to use Earth observations to identify potential offshore methane sources in the Gulf of Mexico and to validate reported flaring activity. This information will allow BOEM and BSEE to make informed regulations regarding air pollution. Here, we cross-referenced BOEM infrastructure data with Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) Visible Infrared Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Nightfire data to validate operator-reported flaring. Sentinel-5p TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) pollutant concentrations were used to validate VIIRS-detected flaring outside of the Gulf of Mexico where operator-reported data is unavailable. Using these methods, we identified the locations of offshore oil and gas infrastructure with known episodic flaring and venting in 2017 in the Gulf of Mexico, as well as offshore of South America and West Africa in 2021. Drawing upon retrieval methods used to detect onshore methane emissions, we proposed an analogous method utilizing sunglint to illuminate methane plumes over the ocean using Sentinel-2 Multispectral Imager (MSI) imagery. We detected two potential methane plumes – one at the Constitution complex in the Gulf of Mexico in July 2017 and one off the Coast of Lagos, West Africa, in July 2021.

Kate Howell↗

Historic Submarine Landslides in the Northern Gulf of Mexico

This dataset provides a set of polygons representing the zone of depletion for historic submarine landslides (also referred to as mass transport deposits) within four regions of the US Exclusive Economic Zone in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Landslides were digitized by geologists and spatial scientists at the National Energy Technology Laboratory by visually interpreting landslide boundaries from a seismic-derived, high resolution bathymetric hillshade provided by the Bureau of Ocean and Energy Management (BOEM, 2017). A portion of the landslide features are derived from other spatial sources including the Seismic Water Anomalies dataset by BOEM (2016) as well as from McAdoo et al., 2000 and Twichell et al, 2005. The scale that landslides depletion areas can be interpreted at is limited by the spatial resolution of the gridded bathymetry, which is 12.192 meters (BOEM, 2017). For each landslide feature in the dataset, geometry metrics were calculated including geodesic area (km2) and geodesic perimeter (km) using the North America Albers Equal Area Conic projected coordinate system. The same geometry metrics were calculated for the four inventory regions.

DOE↗

Potential Offshore Wind Energy Areas in California: An Assessment of Locations, Technology, and Costs

This report summarizes a study of possible offshore wind energy locations, technologies, and levelized cost of energy in the state of California between 2015 and 2030. The study was funded by the U.S. Department of the Interior's Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), the federal agency responsible for regulating renewable energy development on the Outer Continental Shelf. It is based on reference wind energy areas where representative technology and performance characteristics were evaluated. These reference areas were identified as sites that were suitable to represent offshore wind cost and technology based on physical site conditions, wind resource quality, known existing site use, and proximity to necessary infrastructure. The purpose of this study is to assist energy policy decision-making by state utilities, independent system operators, state government officials and policymakers, BOEM, and its key stakeholders. The report is not intended to serve as a prescreening exercise for possible future offshore wind development.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Survey and Assessment of the Ocean Renewable Energy Resources in the US Gulf of Mexico

This study was conducted by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and funded by the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM). It provides a comprehensive feasibility assessment of multiple offshore renewable energy technologies in the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) to inform BOEM's strategic plans related to possible Outer Continental Shelf alternative energy leasing activities in the GoM. In coordination with Gulf Coast states, the study includes some information on offshore renewable energy potential in state waters for future energy planning. The goal of the study is to survey potential offshore renewable energy sources in the GoM and quantify their feasibility relating to resource adequacy, technology maturity, and the potential for competitive cost. The study provides a review of available technologies and concepts for generating offshore renewable energy, including a high-level assessment of the current state of each technology and its potential for future advances. It provides a breakdown of resource capacity for each renewable energy technology and a recommendation that offshore wind be pursued for future study as the most promising technology. The renewable technologies that were considered include offshore wind, wave energy, tidal energy, ocean current energy, offshore solar energy, ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC), cold water source cooling, and hydrogen (as a storage medium to utilize existing pipeline infrastructure). The resource capacity for each of these renewable energy sources was quantified for both the gross resource capacity potential (gross resource) and the technical resource capacity potential (technical resource) using the methodology described in an earlier NREL report. Many of these sources are very immature from a commercial perspective, which makes some of the comparisons difficult. In many cases, new methods were developed to estimate nominal power density for each technology type, which were necessary to convert the resource areas into deployable gross and technical resource capacity potentials.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Considerations for Floating Wind Energy Development in the Gulf of Maine

This report summarizes the primary considerations for developing floating offshore wind energy in the Gulf of Maine based on the current knowledge of the staff at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) as of June 2023. This work was performed as a supplement to information solicited by the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) in their Call for Information and Nominations announced in April 2023 (BOEM 2023b). The purpose of this report is to provide general information to the citizens of Maine, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire, and to inform decision makers and stakeholders about the unique challenges of developing floating offshore wind in the Gulf of Maine. This report intends to provide context to show the importance of the energy markets created by the states that floating offshore wind development in the Gulf of Maine will serve.

BOEM↗

CO 2 storage in depleted oil and gas fields in the Gulf of Mexico

Depleted oil and gas reservoirs are one of the prime-candidate formations for geologic CO 2 storage. Although both the geological structure and the physical properties of most of them have been extensively studied and characterized, there is limited data on the assessment of the CO 2 storage capacity, especially in the offshore fields. The purpose of this study is to develop a high-level quantitative assessment of the CO 2 volume that can be stored in depleted oil and gas fields in the Federal offshore regions of the Gulf of Mexico (GOM), both on a field-by-field and on a reservoir-by-reservoir basis. In this study, we simulated CO 2 storage in 461 of the depleted oil and gas reservoirs (73 fields) among 3514 reservoirs (675 fields) in the GOM (2013 BOEM Reserves database). Based on the simulation results, we improved the Department of Energy (DOE) CO 2 Storage Resource Estimate Equation to make more refined and accurate estimates of storable CO 2 volumes. Newly revised efficiency factor (ERoil/gas) correlates better with hydrocarbon recovery factor (HCRF), which is found to be a strong indicator of the CO 2 storage capacity of the reservoir. The higher HCRF results in higher ERoil/gas. The further investigations resulted in an improved, material balance-based correlation—which is called the Production-CO 2 Storage Correlation—between cumulative production (free gas, oil and water) at reservoir conditions and CO 2 storage volume at standard conditions. This relationship, which is unique for all three types of reservoirs (gas, oil and combination), allows for making direct estimates of CO 2 storage volume using only existing production data. Application of these correlations to all of the depleted fields (3514 reservoirs) yields CO 2 storage capacities of 4748 MMtons, and the CO 2 storage capacity in all 1295 depleted and active fields (13,289 reservoirs) in the GOM calculated to be 21.57 Billion tons. If a 5000 psia surface injection pressure constraint was applied, these volumes would be reduced to 4075 MMtons for all depleted fields only and to 15.80 Billion tons for all depleted and active fields in the GOM. Therefore, the production-CO 2 storage correlations can be used to make more accurate CO 2 storage volume estimates in all onshore and offshore depleted oil and gas fields.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

National Open-ocean Energy Laboratory (Final Technical Report)

Under the authorization provided by Section 634 of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (P.L. 110-140), in 2009 FAU was awarded U.S. Congressionally Directed Program (CDP) funding through the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) to investigate and develop technologies to harness the energy of the Florida Current as a source of clean, renewable, base-load power for Florida and the U.S. A second CDP award in 2010 provided additional funding in order to enhance and extend FAU’s activities. These two CDPs in 2009 and 2010 were combined into a single DOE grant, DE-EE0000319, and are the subject of this report. Subsequently, in July 2010 funding was made available under a separate contract, DE-EE0004200. Under that funding, DOE’s Wind and Water Power Program designated FAU’s state of Florida marine renewable energy (MRE) center as the Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center (SNMREC). This report discusses SNMREC activities funded by the DE-EE0000319 grant, but will make reference, as appropriate, to activities that require further investigation under the follow-on grant. The concept of extracting energy from the motions of the oceans has a long history. However, implementation on large scales of the technologies to effect renewable energy recovery from waves, tides, and open-ocean currents is relatively recent. DOE’s establishment of SNMREC recognizes a significant potential for ocean current energy recovery associated with the (relatively) high-speed Florida Current, the reach of the Gulf Stream System flowing through the Straits of Florida, between the Florida Peninsula and the Bahamas Archipelago. The proximity of the very large electrical load center of southeast Florida’s metropolitan area to the resource itself makes this potential all the more attractive. As attractive as this potential energy source is, it is not without its challenges. Although the technology is conceptually simple, its design and implementation in a commercially-viable fashion presents a variety of challenges. Beyond the technology itself (and, especially, the effects on the technology of the harsh oceanic environment), it is important to consider the possible environmental impacts of commercial-scale implementation of oceanic energy extraction. Further, because such implementation represents a completely new undertaking, the human resources required do not exist, so education and training programs are critical to eventual success. This project, establishing a national open-ocean energy laboratory, was designed to address each of these three challenges in a flexible framework allowing for adaptive management as the project proceeded. In particular: the technology challenge, including resource assessment, evolved during the project to recognize and address the need for a national testing facility in the ocean for small-scale prototype MRE systems developed by industry; the environmental challenge became formalized and expanded during the permitting process for such a testing facility; and the human resources/societal challenges, both in terms of the need for education and training and in terms of public acceptance of MRE, stimulated a robust outreach program far beyond that originally envisioned at SNMREC. While all of these activities at SNMREC are ongoing, a number of significant milestones (in addition to the contributions listed in the appendices) were achieved under the auspices of this award. These include: Planning and site selection for the first-phase test facility, offshore of Dania Beach, FL, including some equipment for the facility, submission of an Interim Policy Lease Application to the U.S. Department of Interior’s Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), and completion of an Environmental Assessment by BOEM and a positive Consistency Determination by the State of Florida; Measurements using acoustic profilers of the current structure and variability in the vicinity of the site under a variety of weather conditions, seasons and time durations; Design and implementation of instrumentation for the first phase of the offshore testing facility, the wet- and top-side data acquisition systems, and shore-based analysis systems; Implementation of a laboratory-scale dynamometer system to test generators of up to 25 kW capacity using real-world (simulated) forcing; Completion of 24 months of (airborne) marine vertebrate surveys and associated analysis of sea turtle offshore activity, marine mammal vocalization research, and ocean current turbine hydrodynamic noise characterization; Development of a secondary-school (nominally grade 10) curriculum about hydrokinetic MRE, “Energy from the Oceans: The New Renewable”, and training of over 200 high-school teachers in its use and in how to educate their colleagues in application of the material in the classroom; Presentations to over 50 interested civic groups in the region on various aspects of MRE in SE Florida A series of public lectures to over 600 residents of south Florida to provide broader education on MRE. Development of an interactive kiosk for installation in local science museums. These, and other accomplishments detailed in this report contribute to a comprehensive ongoing program at the SNMREC to support the affordable, responsible, and achievable commercialization of MRE. Many of the tasks of this award are continued or will be verified with follow-on funding DE-EE0004200, and its goal: the installation of the world’s first offshore ocean current turbine testing and validation capability.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Economic Impact of Large-Scale Deployment of Offshore Marine and Hydrokinetic Technology in Oregon Coastal Counties

To begin understanding the potential economic impacts of large-scale WEC technology, the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) commissioned the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to conduct an economic impact analysis of largescale WEC deployment for Oregon coastal counties. This report follows a previously published report by BOEM and NREL on the jobs and economic impacts of WEC technology for the entire state (Jimenez and Tegen 2015). As in Jimenez and Tegen (2015), this analysis examined two deployment scenarios in the 2026-2045 timeframe: the first scenario assumed 13,000 megawatts (MW) of WEC technology deployed during the analysis period, and the second assumed 18,000 MW of WEC technology deployed by 2045. Both scenarios require major technology and cost improvements in the WEC devices. The study is on very large-scale deployment so readers can examine and discuss the potential of a successful and very large WEC industry. The 13,000-MW is used as the basis for the county analysis as it is the smaller of the two scenarios. Sensitivity studies examined the effects of a robust in-state WEC supply chain. The region of analysis is comprised of the seven coastal counties in Oregon—Clatsop, Coos, Curry, Douglas, Lane, Lincoln, and Tillamook—so estimates of jobs and other economic impacts are specific to this coastal county area.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Assessment of Offshore Wind Energy Leasing Areas for Humboldt and Morro Bay Wind Energy Areas, California

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is providing scientific and technical services to the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) under an interagency agreement. The purpose of this report is to provide technical assistance in delineating potential lease areas from the California wind energy areas (WEAs) that can be competitively auctioned to wind energy developers. Each wind energy area is presumed to be technically and economically feasible for wind energy development based on the economic cost study performed by NREL in 2020. The subsequent analysis summarized in this report is intended to help BOEM maximize efficient offshore wind energy resource use and ensure fair return to the Government for use of the lease areas, by making recommendations for viable ways to divide the WEAs into auctionable commercial lease areas of approximately equal value. We considered several factors that affect the value of lease areas for wind energy development, including mean wind speeds, water depth, seafloor gradient, seismicity, hard substrate, and access to infrastructure. The largest impact to generating capacity came from the choice of mooring technology and the resulting setback from the lease area boundaries. Based on our setback assumptions, the generating capacity for a wind plant using catenary moorings could be nearly 30% less than with vertical moorings in Humboldt, or approximately 20% less in Morro Bay. The likely range of generating capacity is 1.5 to 3 GW in Humboldt and 3 to 5 GW in Morro Bay.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Causes of and Solutions to Wind Speed Bias in NREL's 2020 Offshore Wind Resource Assessment for the California Pacific Outer Continental Shelf

This report provides the results of a detailed analysis into the causes of high wind speed bias in the 20-year wind resource data set for offshore California the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) released in 2020, herein called CA20. The data set was developed using the state-of-the-art Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Notably, no floating lidars were available at the time in offshore California to validate offshore hub-height wind speeds. In late 2020, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) deployed two floating lidars in the California outer continental shelf (OCS), near the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) call areas of Humboldt and Morro Bay. Using these observations through 2021, NREL found considerable bias in modeled hub-height winds at both locations: up to +2 m/s at Humboldt over a 6-month period, and up to +1 m/s at Morro Bay over a one-year period. Upon the discovery of this bias, the Department of Energy (DOE) and BOEM funded NREL and PNNL to investigate the causes of, impacts of, and solutions to the bias in the CA20 data set. This report summarizes the findings of this research. We first investigated whether different WRF model setups could lead to reduced bias. We found that the choice of planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme - which controls the vertical turbulent mixing of momentum, heat, and moisture in the lowermost part of the atmosphere - greatly affected hub-height wind speeds in the region. Specifically, switching from the Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (MYNN) scheme used in CA20 (and widely used across a range of operational and research weather models) to the less common Yonsei University (YSU) scheme nearly eliminated the bias at both the Humboldt and Morro Bay lidar locations. The large discrepancy between the MYNN- and YSU-modeled hub-height winds pointed towards the role of atmospheric stability. In general, PBL schemes agree well in conditions of high turbulence and mixing, normally referred to as "unstable" conditions. By contrast, PBL schemes start to diverge in "stable" conditions, where turbulence is low and thermal stratification (i.e., higher temperature air sitting on top of colder air) greatly suppresses vertical mixing. Under such conditions, winds aloft can decouple from surface effects and greatly accelerate, causing high wind speeds at hub-height and frequent low-level jets (LLJs). We determined that these stable conditions are in fact dominant in offshore California. The region is characterized by moderate-to-extreme stable stratification with a LLJ on average around 200 meters above sea-level. To our knowledge, no wind energy area globally has as strongly stable stratification as offshore California. Under these extreme conditions, we determined that the MYNN scheme models higher stability than YSU, resulting in less vertical turbulent mixing than YSU, allowing for the acceleration of hub-height winds, more intense LLJs, and higher-amplitude inertial oscillations. Using surface observations, we found that MYNN overestimates near-surface stability, whereas YSU tends to model stability better. We then considered several short-term case studies to assess additional meteorological drivers of the bias at Humboldt. We found that during synoptic scale northerly flows driven by the North Pacific High and inland thermal low, a coastal warm bias in the MYNN case studies contributes to the modeled wind speed bias by altering the boundary layer thermodynamics via a thermal wind mechanism. Given the strong performance of the YSU-based runs in offshore California, NREL has produced and published an updated version of the CA20 data set with YSU as the PBL scheme. This updated data set is now part of NREL's 2023 National Offshore Wind (NOW-23) data set, which covers all the U.S. offshore waters. The development and final validation of the NOW-23 data set in offshore California is documented in this report.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

High Resolution Global Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology Simulations Using the NASA GEOS Composition Forecast System, GEOS-CF

We will give an overview of the NASA Global Earth Observing System Composition Forecast system (GEOS-CF), a high-resolution (0.25 degree) global composition model developed by the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO). This system combines the GEOS weather and aerosol model with the GEOS-Chem chemistry module (version 12) to provide a holistic view of atmospheric composition that captures a wide range of air pollutants such as ozone, nitrogen oxides, volatile organic compounds, and fine particulate matter. The spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees (approx. 25 km) is fine enough to resolve local features such as nighttime ozone titration previously resolved only by urban or regional models. Furthermore, since there are no boundary conditions for a global model, the GEOS-CF captures large-scale processes such as long-range transport of air pollutants from forest fires. Comparisons against surface observations highlight the model’s overall capability to reproduce the diurnal variability of air pollutants under a variety of meteorological conditions. In addition, we show how machine learning techniques can be used to correct for sub-grid variability, which further improves model estimates at a given surface observation site. The GEOS-CF system offers a new tool for scientists and the public health community alike and is being developed jointly with several government and non-profit partners. As an example, we will show the use of GEOS-CF during the Satellite Coastal and Oceanic Atmospheric Pollution Experiment (SCOAPE). The campaign, conducted in collaboration between NASA and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), aims to investigate the response of onshore air quality to Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) oil and gas exploration, development and production. Detailed gas-phase chemistry, as provided by GEOS-CF, is critical to understand the formation of air pollution related to hydrocarbon emissions from offshore oil and gas activities. The accuracy of GEOS-CF can be further improved by incorporating detailed offshore emissions compiled by BOEM.

Knowland, K. Emma↗