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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

AI/ML-Enhanced Wind Forecasts for Reducing Uncertainty in Prescribed Fire Planning

Prescribed fire is a vital tool for ecosystem management and wildfire risk reduction but its escalation is constrained by overly conservative burn windows because of uncertainties, for instance, in wind forecasts. This review describes the state of the art in weather product use by fire/smoke models and identifies three priority research gaps that artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) is well positioned to address: (1) spatial and temporal downscaling to meter-scale, sub-hourly wind fields; (2) bias correction for systematic model errors in complex terrain; and (3) robust uncertainty quantification to inform ensemble-based simulations. Emerging AI/ML techniques offer promising frameworks to address all three challenges. By providing high-resolution, bias-corrected, and probabilistic wind fields, AI/ML-enhanced forecasts will allow for expanded burn windows, improved ignition strategy design and a reduced reliance on expert intuition, especially when a prescribed fire is introduced into new areas.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

How will future climate change impact prescribed fire across the contiguous United States?

As of 2023, the use of prescribed fire to manage ecosystems accounts for more than 50% of area burned annually across the United States. Prescribed fire is carried out when meteorological conditions, including temperature, humidity, and wind speed are appropriate for its safe and effective application. However, changes in these meteorological variables associated with future climate change may impact future opportunities to conduct prescribed fire. In this study, we combine climate projections with information on prescribed burning windows for ecoregions across the contiguous United States (CONUS) to compute the number of days when meteorological conditions allow for the safe and effective application of prescribed fire under present-day (2006–2015) and future climate (2051–2060) conditions. The resulting projections, which cover 57% of all vegetated area across the CONUS, indicate fewer days with conditions suitable for prescribed burning across ecoregions of the eastern United States due to rising maximum daily temperatures, but opportunities increase in the northern and northwestern United States, driven primarily by rising minimum temperatures and declining wind speeds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characterizing laser preheat for laser-driven magnetized liner inertial fusion using soft x-ray emission

Laser heating of a gas in a cylindrical liner held in by a thin foil window is a critical process in the MagLIF (magnetized liner inertial fusion) concept. Window burn-through and gas heating for OMEGA scale MagLIF cylinders as a function of time have been determined using spectrally integrated soft x-ray diagnostics. Window laser absorption is classified in terms of the emitted x-rays from the window plasma as a function of laser energy, and shows that laser energy absorbed is weakly dependent on incident intensity. Radiation-hydrodynamic simulations overestimate the amount of laser energy absorbed by the window as evidenced by the increase in x-ray radiation across several photon energy bands compared to experiments. Gas temperatures inferred from soft x-ray emission from the front 1 mm of the liner are shown to evolve in time in a similar manner to simulation predictions. In conclusion, soft x-ray emission from the gas within the region of the liner that is normally imploded is shown to meet the 100 eV requirements set by the initial point design for laser-driven MagLIF.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Constraints on key O 17 ( α , γ ) Ne 21 resonances and impact on the weak s process

The efficiency of the slow neutron-capture process in massive stars is strongly influenced by neutron-capture reactions on light elements. At low metallicity, 16 O is an important neutron absorber, but the effectiveness of 16 O as a light-element neutron poison is modified by competition between subsequent 17 O(α,n) 20 Ne and 17 O(α,γ) 21 Ne reactions. The strengths of key 17 O(α,γ) 21 Ne resonances within the Gamow window for core helium burning in massive stars are not well constrained by experiment. This work presents more precise measurements of resonances in the energy range E c.m. = 612–1319 keV. We extract resonance strengths of ωγ 638 = 4.85 ± 0.79 μeV, ωγ 721 =13.1$^{+3.2}_{-2.4}$ μeV, ωγ 814 = 7.72 ± 0.55 meV, and ωγ 1318 = 136 ±13 meV, for resonances at E c.m. = 638, 721, 814, and 1318 keV, respectively. We also report an upper limit for the 612 keV resonance of ωγ < 140 neV (95% c.l.), which effectively rules out any significant contribution from this resonance to the reaction rate. From this work, a new 17 O(α,γ) 21 Ne thermonuclear reaction rate is calculated and compared to the literature. The effect of present uncertainties in the 17 O(α,γ) 21 Ne reaction rate on weak s-process yields are then explored using postprocessing calculations based on a rotating 20M ⊙ low-metallicity massive star. The resulting 17 O(α,γ) 21 Ne reaction rate is lower with respect to the preexisting literature and found to enhance weak s-process yields in rotating massive star models.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Gamma-ray imaging of inertial confinement fusion implosions reveals remaining ablator carbon distribution

The joint LANL/LLNL nuclear imaging team has acquired the first gamma-ray images of inertial confinement fusion implosions at the National Ignition Facility. The gamma-ray image provides crucial information to help characterize the inertially confined fuel and ablator assembly at stagnation, information that would be difficult to acquire from neutron or x-ray observations. Gamma imaging visualizes both gamma radiation emitted directly in deuterium–tritium (DT) fusion reactions as well as gamma rays produced when DT fusion neutrons scatter inelastically on carbon nuclei in the remaining ablator of the fuel capsule. The resulting image provides valuable information on the position and density of the remaining ablator and potential contamination of the hot spot—a powerful diagnostic window into the capsule assembly during burn.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

FIRED (Fire Events Delineation): An Open, Flexible Algorithm and Database of US Fire Events Derived from the MODIS Burned Area Product (2001–2019)

Harnessing the fire data revolution, i.e., the abundance of information from satellites, government records, social media, and human health sources, now requires complex and challenging data integration approaches. Defining fire events is key to that effort. In order to understand the spatial and temporal characteristics of fire, or the classic fire regime concept, we need to critically define fire events from remote sensing data. Events, fundamentally a geographic concept with delineated spatial and temporal boundaries around a specific phenomenon that is homogenous in some property, are key to understanding fire regimes and more importantly how they are changing. Here, we describe Fire Events Delineation (FIRED), an event-delineation algorithm, that has been used to derive fire events (N = 51,871) from the MODIS MCD64 burned area product for the coterminous US (CONUS) from January 2001 to May 2019. The optimized spatial and temporal parameters to cluster burned area pixels into events were an 11-day window and a 5-pixel (2315 m) distance, when optimized against 13,741 wildfire perimeters in the CONUS from the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity record. The linear relationship between the size of individual FIRED and Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) events for the CONUS was strong (R2 = 0.92 for all events). Importantly, this algorithm is open-source and flexible, allowing the end user to modify the spatio-temporal threshold or even the underlying algorithm approach as they see fit. We expect the optimized criteria to vary across regions, based on regional distributions of fire event size and rate of spread. We describe the derived metrics provided in a new national database and how they can be used to better understand US fire regimes. The open, flexible FIRED algorithm could be utilized to derive events in any satellite product. We hope that this open science effort will help catalyze a community-driven, data-integration effort (termed OneFire) to build a more complete picture of fire.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Additive manufacturing process parameter determination for a new Fe-C-Cu alloy

As a potential replacement for stainless steel alloys commonly used to print parts with laser powder bed fusion, a new Cu precipitation strengthened ferrous alloy, with composition Fe-0.2C-6Cu (wt%), was recently developed. This material is Co- and Ni-free, printable, has mechanical properties comparable to that of high strength stainless steels (approximately 1300 MPa UTS), and is cost-advantaged relative to existing low-alloy steels for additive manufacturing of parts with complex shapes. To gain traction for broader application, optimal laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) processing conditions to produce nearly defect-free parts without compromising mechanical strength are needed. Here, an optimal processing window based upon laser speeds that achieve minimal porosity was quantified via comparisons of measured melt pool penetration, scan speeds, printed material density and laser beam energy density on a commercial LPBF unit operating at 350 W, 80 μm hatch spacing, and 50 μm layer thickness based upon optimal parameters for 17-4PH. Furthermore, the window is 300 to 500 mm/s to achieve >99.8 % dense Fe-0.2C-6Cu (wt%) specimens. Other defects such as burning, spatter, and lack of fusion were also avoided in this window. The window was validated with in-situ synchrotron X-ray imaging that enabled visualization of the vapor cavity, melting, and solidification during a single laser track scan on a miniature powder bed sample. In addition, in-situ infrared imaging provided temperature fields, cooling rate and solidification range, and confirmed minimal printing defects and spatter within the processing window.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Methanol mixing controlled combustion process enabled by methanol dehydration to dimethyl ether

This work demonstrates an initial proof-of-concept approach for operating a compression ignition off-road and marine relevant engine using neat methanol. The approach utilizes mixing controlled compression ignition (MCCI) of methanol that is enabled by a homogeneous charge compression ignition (HCCI) pre-burn of premixed dimethyl ether (DME). Although two fuels are used, this work explores and evaluates the opportunity and performance to generate the premixed fuel via. methanol catalytic dehydration over an alumina catalyst at engine relevant temperatures, pressures, and space velocities. Conversion purity and species output results from catalytic dehydration bench flow reactor studies were coupled with single cylinder experiments of the characterized output species for pre-burn HCCI performance. Subsequent initial methanol MCCI performance is also evaluated and compared relative to conventional diesel combustion. The detailed flow reactor results show that the catalytic dehydration conversion efficiency of methanol to DME is a function of system pressure, temperature, and space velocity. The engine results demonstrate that a 100% conversion of methanol to DME is not required for successful pre-burn HCCI, and the water formed during the dehydration process does not need to be removed to achieve the desired HCCI event from this pre-burn mixture. Subsequent methanol MCCI combustion results show that the level of methanol slip in the dehydration process affects the pre-burn HCCI phasing, low temperature heat release process, and magnitude of energy released, all of which can dictate the available window for direct injection of methanol for MCCI combustion.

Jatana, Gurneesh [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000288903225)↗

The drivers and predictability of wildfire re-burns in the western United States (US)

Evidence is mounting that the effectiveness of using prescribed burns as a management tactic may be diminishing due to the higher incidence of wildfire re-burns. The development of predictive models of re-burns is thus essential to better understand their primary drivers so that forest management practices can be updated to account for these events. First, we assess the potential for human activity as a driver of re-burns by evaluating re-burn trends both within and outside of the wildland–urban interface (WUI) of the western US. Next, we investigate the predictability of re-burns through the application of both random forest and the explanatory machine learning non-negative matrix factorization using k-means clustering (NMFk) algorithms to predict re-burn occurrence over California based on a number of climate factors. Our findings indicate that while most states showed increasing trends within the WUI when trends were conducted over longer moving windows (e.g. 20 years), California was the only state where the rate of increase was consistently higher in the WUI, indicating a stronger potential for human activity as a driver in that location. Furthermore, we find model performance was found to be robust over most of California (Testing F1 scores = 0.688), although results were highly variable based on EPA level III Ecoregion (F1 scores = 0.0–0.778). Insights provided from this study will lead to a better understanding of climate and human activity drivers of re-burns and how these vary at broad spatial scales so that improvements in forest management practices can be tuned according to the level of change that is expected for a given region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

First look at neutron emission shape characteristics of ignition hotspots at the National Ignition Facility (invited)

The nuclear imaging system has been capturing neutron images of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) driven implosions for over a decade at the National Ignition Facility. This imaging system has evolved from one to three nearly orthogonal lines-of-sight, allowing for the study of three-dimensional shape characteristics of ignition shots. Limited-view tomography algorithms help visualize the burning hotspot in 3D and assess neutron source geometry using Legendre mode parameters. With its neutron, gamma-ray, and x-ray image reconstruction capabilities, NIS has provided critical insight into mechanisms that have limited implosion performance, such as fill tube diameter for ignition-type targets. This comprehensive diagnostic suite opens a window into the shape characteristics of ignition shots and how symmetry affects ICF implosion performance. In more recent ignition shots, neutron yields have visibly increased. Analyzing the shape and size of the reconstructed neutron source has shown an expansion of the burn volume, which is indicative of more efficient alpha heating during the implosion process.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

High Field Side Launch of RF Waves: A New Approach to Reactor Actuators

Launching radio frequency (RF) waves from the high field side (HFS) of a tokamak offers significant advantages over low field side (LFS) launch with respect to both wave physics and plasma material interactions (PMI). For lower hybrid (LH) waves, the higher magnetic field opens the window between wave accessibility and the condition for strong electron Landau damping, allowing LH waves from the HFS to penetrate into the core of a burning plasma, while waves launched from the LFS are restricted to the periphery of the plasma. The lower of waves absorbed at higher yields a higher current drive efficiency as well. In the ion cyclotron range of frequencies (ICRF), HFS launch allows for direct access to the mode conversion layer where mode converted waves absorb strongly on thermal electrons and ions, thus avoiding the generation of energetic minority ion tails. The absence of turbulent heat and particle fluxes on the HFS, particularly in double null configuration, makes it the ideal location to minimize PMI damage to the antenna structure. The quiescent SOL also eliminates the need to couple LH waves across a long distance to the separatrix, as the antenna can be located close to plasma without risking damage to the structure. Improved impurity screening on the HFS will help eliminate the long-standing issues of high Z impurity accumulation with ICRF.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

High Field Side Launch of Lower Hybrid Waves: A Scoping Study for ADX

Launching lower hybrid (LH) waves from the high field side (HFS) of a tokamak offers significant advantages over low field side (LFS) launch with respect to both wave physics and plasma material interactions (PMI). The higher magnetic field opens the window between wave accessibility and the condition for strong electron Landau damping, allowing LH waves from the HFS to penetrate into the core of a burning plasma, while waves launched from the LFS are restricted to the periphery of the plasma. The lower parallel refractive index (n) of waves launched from the HFS yields a higher current drive efficiency as well. The absence of turbulent heat and particle fluxes on the HFS, particularly in double null configuration, makes it the ideal location to minimize PMI damage to the antenna structure. The quiescent SOL also eliminates the need to couple LH waves across a long distance to the separatrix, as the antenna can be located close to plasma without risking damage to the structure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Predictive binder jet additive manufacturing enabled by clean burn-off binder design

Binder jet additive manufacturing (BJAM) presents an avenue for advanced manufacturing of various high-value materials due to high deposition rates, scalability, and geometric flexibility. However, conventional organic binders in BJAM introduce residual carbon upon pyrolysis, often leading to imprecise alloy composition in the final sintered part. The undesirable residual carbon from binder burn-off limits the application of BJAM for high-performance alloys due to their high sensitivity to carbon addition. In this study, we have designed poly(vinylpyrrolidone-co-vinyl acetate) (PVP-VAc) as a clean burn-off binder for BJAM, where excess oxygen groups in VAc enable cleaner burn-off and reduce residual carbon retention. Compared to a widely used commercial binder, the optimized PVP-VAc binder reduced residual carbon retention by over 90% in H13 tool steel. The significant reduction in residual carbon enables predictable printing and subsequent sintering of complex H13 tool steel geometries, an alloy known to have substantial challenges around distortion due to the sintering window shifting from carbon addition. The design of a clean burnout binder provides a major path forward for BJAM by enabling new AM designs and applications for composition-sensitive high-performance alloys, such as nickel-based superalloys, titanium alloys, and high alloyed steels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Fabrication, oxidation, and combustion of nanoscale magnesium diboride and tetraboride

The difficult ignition of boron decreases the combustion efficiency of boron-loaded, fuel-rich propellants. One approach to solving this problem involves the use of magnesium diboride (MgB2), which ignites easier than boron. Magnesium tetraboride (MgB4) offers greater energy density owing to its higher boron content. However, the effect of B/Mg ratio on the ignition and combustion is unknown. Additionally, while nanoscale MgB₂ particles and quasi-2D structures were recently recognized as promising energetic additives, the oxidation and combustion properties of nanoscale MgB₄ have not been explored. The objectives of the present work included synthesis, purification, and high-energy ball milling of MgB2 and MgB4 powders as well as investigation of their thermal decomposition, oxidation, and combustion. The MgB2 and MgB4 powders were fabricated by combustion synthesis in the chemical oven mode and by heating Mg/B mixtures in a tube furnace. The latter method was superior in the synthesis of MgB4. Oxide impurities in the synthesized powders were removed by acid leaching. Nanoscale powders were obtained by high-energy ball milling. Thermal decomposition and oxidation of the obtained MgB₂ and MgB₄ powders were investigated by conducting non-isothermal thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) at temperatures up to 1550 °C in argon and oxygen flows. Combustion of B, MgB₂, and MgB₄ powders with oxygen at atmospheric pressure was studied in a windowed chamber using laser ignition and high-speed video recording. The TGA has shown multi-step decomposition of both magnesium borides in an argon environment. The maximum oxidation rate of MgB4 in oxygen was observed at a much lower temperature than in the case of MgB2. In the combustion experiments, both magnesium borides burned much faster than submicron boron. Ball milling of the borides further increased their burning rates. It has been concluded that nanoscale magnesium tetraboride is a promising ingredient for fuel-rich propellants owing to its high energy density, efficient oxidation, and rapid combustion.

Molina, Andre [The University of Texas at El Paso]↗

Power and particle exhaust in the ST-E1 fusion power plant

Power exhaust challenges and potential solutions for a 5 m major radius, low-aspect ratio burning tokamak have been explored. 1D edge plasma models have been used to screen for access to detachment using short and long outer divertor legs in double and single null configurations, using Ar as the primary impurity and assuming tungsten plasma-facing components (PFCs). These show that detachment access can be accessed for all but the most conservative assumptions on scrape-off layer (SOL) width and power, but that trade-offs will be required between magnet engineering and the size of the acceptable window of as-yet uncertain plasma parameters. SOLPS-ITER was used to further model selected plasma scenarios, confirming that Ar seeding can be used to achieve dissipative divertor scenarios with peak deposited heat fluxes below 15 MWm -2 . Initial scoping of first wall loads and positioning of limiters has been carried out, showing the feasibility of protecting the breeding blanket wall during steady state without impeding tritium breeding. Initial PFC technology selection is also presented, identifying this as a critical area where further work is needed to find an attractive solution for helium-cooled PFCs that can handle high heat fluxes without excessive power requirements. Key questions and trade-offs for concept development have been identified, including: how to achieve high radiation for reduction of SOL power without core performance degradation; whether power exhaust can be well-controlled in a double null plasma; mechanical design and materials challenges of high-heat flux PFCs; and control of material erosion, redeposition and tritium retention.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Prospects for silvicultural enhancement of fire resistance in mesic westside forests of the Pacific Northwest

Increasing wildfire activity in mesic, temperate Pacific Northwest forests west of the Cascade Range crest has stimulated interest in understanding whether alternative forest management practices could reduce risk of stand-replacing fire. To explore how management can enhance fire resistance in these forests and assess tradeoffs among resistance enhancement, carbon sequestration and storage, and economic returns, we conducted 40-year simulations of stand development with BioSum, a framework for conducting landscape analysis with the Forest Vegetation Simulator (FVS), utilizing a statistically representative and spatially balanced sample of Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) plots. Simulation outcomes under business-as-usual silviculture were contrasted with fire-aware silviculture, and treatment optimization logic was developed and applied to represent landscape-scale outcomes under business-as-usual and fire-focused management scenarios. Simulation results indicate that fire-aware prescriptions and fire-focused management can meaningfully enhance stand- and landscape-scale fire resistance of westside forests under less than extreme fire weather, but at the cost of lower economic returns and reduced net carbon storage and sequestration over the 40-year analysis window. Shifting from business-as-usual regeneration harvests with short rotations to fire-aware, episodic selection harvest improved fire resistance the most, especially in young privately-owned forests, and with only modest tradeoffs in carbon and economic outcomes. While fire-aware treatments generally reduced net present value from forest operations over business-as-usual, most treatments still generated positive net present value and could be implemented without subsidy. Fire-aware prescriptions that removed and utilized non-merchantable harvest residues instead of burning them, via either pile or broadcast burning, partially mitigated carbon emissions associated with fire-aware treatments, with about the same improvement in fire resistance. Given the currently limited institutional and financial capacity to implement fire resistance enhancing treatments at scale, the insights from this analysis may aid managers seeking to elevate fire resistance to prioritize where and how to manage.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Tank Waste Characterization: History, Challenges, and Success Stories

The preparation and chemical and radiochemical analysis of Hanford tank waste samples can be performed with standard laboratory equipment and instruments as relatively routine processes that are not particularly challenging. Rather, the main challenges of tank waste characterization are associated with radiological dose and sampling limitations. Accurate, representative and effective sampling techniques are difficult with the waste tanks because they were not designed for routine sampling. There are a finite number of sampling locations for each tank based on riser positioning, depth and the operational functionality of the sampling riser. For example, in one recently emptied SST, there was one riser that was found to have had concrete dumped down it, thereby eliminating that sampling port. Additionally, the waste within the tank; especially true for the saltcake and sludge, is not homogenous. The ability to adequately mix a million-gallon double shell tank (DST) is a concern for data reproducibility. Another real challenge that must be addressed for sampling single shell tanks, is how to dissolve the salt cake waste in a compromised (leaking) SST. These physical constraints mean that uncertainty in the representativeness of samples must be considered when applying analytical results to the bulk contents of the tank. The tank waste is highly radioactive and thus can only be handled initially by facilities that can receive samples into concrete-shielded hot cells with remote operation with an example provided in Figure 1. The shielding protects the worker from the radiological dose while mineral oil windows and remotely operated manipulators enables the samples to be handled. At Hanford, analytical laboratories with these hot cell capabilities are limited to the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and the main Hanford operations support laboratory, 222-S Laboratory. Because of their highly radioactive nature, samples must be sufficiently diluted to facilitate their analysis outside of a shielded cell. In some cases, this means some accuracy must be compromised to complete the analysis beyond that normally encountered for non-radioactive material.

Waste Characterization, BBI, PHOENIX: Tank Farms: ↗

Core performance predictions in projected SPARC first-campaign plasmas with nonlinear CGYRO

This work characterizes the core transport physics of SPARC early-campaign plasmas using the PORTALS-CGYRO framework. Empirical modeling of SPARC plasmas with L-mode confinement indicates an ample window of breakeven (Q > 1) without the need of H-mode operation. Extensive modeling of multi-channel (electron energy, ion energy, and electron particle) flux-matched conditions with the nonlinear CGYRO code for turbulent transport coupled to the macroscopic plasma evolution using PORTALS reveals that the maximum fusion performance to be attained will be highly dependent on the near-edge pressure. Stiff core transport conditions are found, particularly when fusion gain approaches unity, and predicted density peaking is found to be in line with empirical databases of particle source-free H-modes. Impurity optimization is identified as a potential avenue to increase fusion performance while enabling core-edge integration. Extensive validation of the quasilinear TGLF model builds confidence in reduced-model predictions. The implications of projecting L-mode performance to high-performance and burning-plasma devices is discussed, together with the importance of predicting edge conditions.

Rodriguez-Fernandez, P. (ORCID:0000000273611131)↗