DOE OSTI2019
This report documents the completion of the DOE study DE-EE0008103: Earth Source Heat: A Cascaded Systems Approach to DDU of Geothermal Energy on the Cornell Campus. This study involved a comprehensive evaluation of the potential for Earth Source Heat (ESH), Cornell’s specific application of Deep Direct Use (DDU) geothermal energy, to create a viable renewable source of thermal energy for its Ithaca, NY campus district heating system. The study included stochastic modeling that married each of two potential subsurface resources (two specific geological reservoirs) to documented campus heating operations based on hourly campus heating profiles and proposed integrated equipment controls (variable speed pumps and heat pumps). The outputs of the subsurface modeling were used as inputs for a Cornell-developed surface heat use Excel-based modeling program (the program was named “Modeled ENergy Use”, or “MEnU”). This allowed Cornell to compute realistic annual totals of extractable and useable heat for the campus, including details like heat losses, minimum summer demand, and controllable building temperature settings. The Cornell team then evaluated the costs and benefits of each modeled scenario. The primary evaluation was a standard “single bottom line” economic calculation for the Levelized Cost of Heat (LCOH). This represents the annualized cost (per unit heat) for Cornell. Additional valuations were also computed based on the benefit to the environment and to the regional economy (i.e., economic benefits external to campus). The results of this study demonstrate that if suitable reservoir flow can be attained, Earth Source Heat would be a viable technology to supply Cornell’s district heating system. This viability is based on the following criteria: (1) The modeled system produced a total useable heat output that exceeded the minimum annual campus heat load determined at the onset of the project (i.e., offsetting at least 20% of the annual campus thermal load). The output range is substantial depending on both the subsurface resource and the surface applications; at the high end, our modeled solutions produced up to ~70% of existing campus heat load with a single well pair producing 70 kg/s with integrated high-temperature heat pumps, and (2) Modeling demonstrated that multiple geothermal reservoirs could provide economically viable results when heat pumps were strategically integrated, a design that has been proven in at least one European installation already. In this context, “economically viable” means that the LCOH for the project is less than the regional commercial price of heat that would be generated using natural gas (the most common and cheapest fossil alternative in our area). Based on a single-bottom-line (LCOH) valuation, our results show that economic success is likely for any reservoir deeper than about 2.25 km where a sufficient permeability exists (or can be created with stimulation or similar engineering enhancement) and reasonable production temperatures sustained over time. The LCOH values of $\$ 4.77$ to $\$ 6.46$ per MMBtu are all lower than the comparable cost of providing heat energy with a natural gas boiler for a facility in the Northeast U.S. that obtains natural gas at commercial rates (Commercial heat costs would include at least $\$ 9.41$ in fuel costs, representing total boiler/transfer efficiency of 85% using gas at $\$ 8.00$ per MMBtu; LCOH would be higher if capital equipment and other operating costs were included). In addition to LCOH, Cornell’s scope also included evaluation of the Environmental value and Regional Economic value of each scenario. When considering the environmental and regional economic value of such a project, the overall “triple bottom line” cost (i.e., the LCOH less the LCOH ENV and LCOH REG values) is even lower and in some cases negative; i.e., in some cases a project achieving the listed performance would have higher value to the environment and to the regional economy than the total project costs over the 30-year project timeframe.