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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2019

Adaptive Learning for Concept Drift in Application Performance Modeling

Supervised learning is a promising approach for modeling the performance of applications running on large HPC systems. A key assumption in supervised learning is that the training and testing data are obtained under the same conditions. However, in production HPC systems these conditions might not hold because the conditions of the platform can change over time as a result of hardware degradation, hardware replacement, software upgrade, and configuration updates. These changes could alter the data distribution in a way that affects the accuracy of the predictive performance models and render them less useful; this phenomenon is referred to as concept drift. Ignoring concept drift can lead to suboptimal resource usage and decreased efficiency when those performance models are deployed for tuning and job scheduling in production systems. To address this issue, we propose a concept-drift-aware predictive modeling approach that comprises two components: (1) an online Bayesian changepoint detection method that can automatically identify the location of events that lead to concept drift in near-real time and (2) a moment-matching transformation inspired by transfer learning that converts the training data collected before the drift to be useful for retraining. We use application input/output performance data collected on Cori, a production supercomputing system at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center, to demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. The results show that concept-drift-aware models obtain significant improvement in accuracy; the median absolute error of the best-performing Gaussian process regression improved by 58.8% when the proposed approaches were used.

adaptive learning↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Data Quality-Aware Framework to Reliably Forecast Photovoltaic Generation and Consumer Load for an Improved Resilience of Microgrids

Photovoltaic (PV) power and consumer load forecasting plays a critical role to ensure operational resilience of the electric grid. Most data-driven forecasting algorithms rely heavily on the continuous availability of good quality data for periodic training and validation. When deployed at the grid’s edge, prolonged disruptions to communications during extreme events degrade data quality. Factors such as missing observations, epistemic uncertainties, data drift, and concept drift are manifestations of data quality that impact the generalization of such field-deployed forecasting models. Currently, there exists no mechanism in the literature to dynamically switch between models under varying degrees of data quality as quantified by certain metrics for each factor highlighted above. This paper addresses this shortcoming by conceptually introducing a data qualityaware framework for reliable PV generation and consumer load forecasting. The framework’s design incorporates components of missing values, divergence tests, and continuous monitoring of generalization performance to detect changes in data quality caused by communications disruptions and trigger specific classes of forecasting models grouped under three use cases (UC1- UC3). As a first step towards validating this framework, real data collected from an actual field microgrid system is used to demonstrate the viability of the three use cases. Results show that the performance is the best in UC1 with an unadjusted R-square value of 0.954, followed by 0.939 for UC2 and 0.757 for UC3.

Sundararajan, Aditya↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating Model Robustness for Defect Identification and Classification in a Composite Aerostructure Material

Aircraft structures are required to have a high level of quality to satisfy their need for light weight, efficient flight, and withstanding high loads over their lifespan. These aerostructures are typically made from a composite material due to their good tensile strength and resistance to compression. To ensure their structural integrity, the composite material requires inspection for common flaws such as porosity, delaminations, voids, foreign object debris, and other defects. Ultrasonic testing (UT) is a popular non-destructive inspection (NDI) technique used for effectively evaluating the composite material. Current inspection methods rely heavily on human experience and are extremely time consuming. Therefore, there is a need for the development of techniques to reduce the manual inspection time. This work compares the performance of different deep learning-based methods in the identification and classification of defects. Deep learning has shown great promise in numerous fields, and we show its effectiveness in the evaluation of the composite aerostructure material. The methods developed here are both highly reliable with a top recall value of 98.64% as well as extremely efficient requiring an average of 4 s during the inferencing stage to evaluate new composites. Lastly, we investigate model robustness to concept drift by measuring its performance over time.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

A LArTPC with Vertical Drift for the DUNE Far Detector

The Far Detector of the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) will be a large LArdetector located at a baseline of 1300 kilometers, 1.5 km deep underground. It is planned to bemade up of four modules, each with a total mass of 17 kt of LAr, at least the first two of which willconsist in Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers (LArTPCs). To prove the feasibility of theLArTPC technology at the kiloton scale, the ProtoDUNE Single and Dual-Phase detectors wereconstructed and operated at the CERN Neutrino facility.This document describes the Vertical Drift detector concept, which is proposed to instrument thesecond DUNE module. It consists of a TPC where the electrons drift vertically, with a cathodesuspended at mid-height, towards anodes placed at the bottom and top of the detector. The anodeswould be made out of printed PCBs instead of wires, and the new disposition would allow the topreadout electronics to be accessible during the lifetime of the experiment. An enhanced photo-detection system is also proposed, with the photo-sensors placed on the cryostat walls and thecathode, but posing a challenge in terms of power and signal transmission. Studies are ongoingboth to overcome the technical challenges of this new design and to finalize the concept.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2018

Experiments and Modeling to Support Field Test Design

Salt repositories continue to be a primary concept for disposal of heat-generating nuclear waste (HGNW). For the past several years, efforts have focused on the in-drift disposal concept (e.g. Hansen and Leigh 2011; Stauffer et al. 2013; Jordan et al. 2015a,b,c; Bourret et al. 2016; Hansen et al. 2016; Bourret et al. 2017; Johnson et al. 2017a,b; Kuhlman et al. 2017). Ongoing research efforts aim to improve understanding of the behavior of the salt backfill surrounding HGNW sources, the responses of drift walls to heat sources, and the chemistry and chemical evolution of brine in such environments.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty guided online ensemble for non-stationary data streams in fusion science

Machine Learning (ML) is poised to play a pivotal role in the development and operation of next-generation fusion devices. Fusion data shows non-stationary behavior with distribution drifts, resulted by both experimental evolution and machine wear-and-tear. ML models assume stationary distribution and fail to maintain performance when encountered with such non-stationary data streams. Online learning techniques have been leveraged in other domains, however it has been largely unexplored for fusion applications. In this paper, we investigate online learning for continuous adaptation to drifting data streams in the prediction of Toroidal Field (TF) coils deflection at the DIII-D fusion facility. We further address the short-term performance degradation inherent to standard online learning, which arises because ground truth is unavailable at prediction time. To mitigate this issue, we propose an uncertainty-guided online ensemble framework. The method leverages the Deep Gaussian Process Approximation (DGPA) for calibrated uncertainty estimation and uses these uncertainty measures to guide a meta-algorithm that aggregates predictions from learners trained over different historical horizons. Our results show that online learning reduces prediction error by 80% compared to a static model. The online ensemble and the proposed uncertainty-guided ensemble further reduce error by approximately 6%, and 10% respectively, relative to standard single-model online learning, while also providing calibrated uncertainty estimates to support operational decision-making.

AI↗
DOE OSTI2024

KOMPASS-II: Compaction of Crushed salt for Safe Containment – Phase 2

Long-term stable sealing elements are a basic component in the safety concept for a possible repository for heat-emitting radioactive waste in rock salt. The sealing elements will be part of the closure concept for drifts and shafts. They will be made from a welldefinied crushed salt in employ a specific manufacturing process. The use of crushed salt as geotechnical barrier as required by the German Site Selection Act from 2017 /STA 17/ represents a paradigm change in the safety function of crushed salt, since this material was formerly only considered as stabilizing backfill for the host rock. The demonstration of the long-term stability and impermeability of crushed salt is crucial for its use as a geotechnical barrier. The KOMPASS-II project, is a follow-up of the KOMPASS-I project and continues the work with focus on improving the understanding of the thermal-hydraulic-mechanical (THM) coupled processes in crushed salt compaction with the objective to enhance the scientific competence for using crushed salt for the long-term isolation of high-level nuclear waste within rock salt repositories. The project strives for an adequate characterization of the compaction process and the essential influencing parameters, as well as a robust and reliable long-term prognosis using validated constitutive models. For this purpose, experimental studies on long-term compaction tests are combined with microstructural investigations and numerical modeling. The long-term compaction tests in this project focused on the effect of mean stress, deviatoric stress and temperature on the compaction behavior of crushed salt. A laboratory benchmark was performed identifying a variability in compaction behavior. Microstructural investigations were executed with the objective to characterize the influence of pre-compaction procedure, humidity content and grain size/grain size distribution on the overall compaction process of crushed salt with respect to the deformation mechanisms. The created database was used for benchmark calculations aiming for improvement and optimization of a large number of constitutive models available for crushed salt. The models were calibrated, and the improvement process was made visible applying the virtual demonstrator.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2023

RF Power Estimates for LAMP Drift-Tube Linac

The LANSCE Modernization Project (LAMP) concept includes a drift-tube proton linac (DTL) from 3 MeV to 100 MeV consisting of 6 tanks. This technical note provides estimates of RF power required for the LAMP DTL tanks using DTLfish modeling.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Direct Acceleration: Cosmic and Exoplanet Synergies

Direct measurement of acceleration is a key scientific goal for both cosmology and exoplanets. For cosmology, the concept of redshift drift (more than 60 years old by the 2020s) could directly establish the Friedmann-Lemaitre-Robertson-Walker model. It would increase the dark energy figure of merit by a factor of 3 beyond Stage 4 experiments, in combination with cosmic microwave background measurements. For exoplanets, the same technology required provides unprecedented radial velocity accuracy, enabling detection of Earth mass planets in the habitable zone. Other science cases include mapping the Milky Way gravitational potential and testing its dark matter distribution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Implementation and optimization of the PTOLEMY transverse drift electromagnetic filter

The PTOLEMY transverse drift filter is a new concept to enable precision analysis of the energy spectrum of electrons near the tritium β-decay endpoint. Here, we detail the implementation and optimization methods for successful operation of the filter for electrons with a known pitch angle. We present the first demonstrator that produces the required magnetic field properties with an iron return-flux magnet. Two methods for the setting of filter electrode voltages are detailed. The challenges of low-energy electron transport in cases of low field are discussed, such as the growth of the cyclotron radius with decreasing magnetic field, which puts a ceiling on filter performance relative to fixed filter dimensions. Additionally, low pitch angle trajectories are dominated by motion parallel to the magnetic field lines and introduce non-adiabatic conditions and curvature drift. To minimize these effects and maximize electron acceptance into the filter, we present a three-potential-well design to simultaneously drain the parallel and transverse kinetic energies throughout the length of the filter. These optimizations are shown, in simulation, to achieve low-energy electron transport from a 1 T iron core (or 3 T superconducting) starting field with initial kinetic energy of 18.6 keV drained to < 10 eV (< 1 eV) in about 80 cm. This result for low field operation paves the way for the first demonstrator of the PTOLEMY spectrometer for measurement of electrons near the tritium endpoint to be constructed at the Gran Sasso National Laboratory (LNGS) in Italy.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Explicit time integration of the stiff chemical Langevin equations using computational singular perturbation

A stable explicit time-scale splitting algorithm for stiff chemical Langevin equations (CLEs) is developed, based on the concept of computational singular perturbation. The drift term of the CLE is projected onto basis vectors that span the fast and slow subdomains. The corresponding fast modes exhaust quickly, in the mean sense, and the system state then evolves, with a mean drift controlled by slow modes, on a random manifold. The drift-driven time evolution of the state due to fast exhausted modes is modeled algebraically as an exponential decay process, while that due to slow drift modes and diffusional processes is integrated explicitly. This enables time integration step sizes much larger than those required by typical explicit numerical methods for stiff stochastic differential equations. The algorithm is motivated and reported on, and extensive numerical experiments are conducted to illustrate its accuracy and stability with a number of model systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Potential vorticity conservation for plasma turbulence in an inhomogeneous magnetic field: Theory and implications

The concept and theory of potential vorticity in drift wave turbulence are extended to the case of an inhomogeneous magnetic field. A one-field magnetic potential vorticity conserving equation is derived via the use of conservative gyrokinetics. The similarity between the corresponding systems for drift wave turbulence and shallow water theory is discussed in detail. Zonal flow physics in an inhomogeneous magnetic field is discussed. In particular, a Charney–Drazin type nonacceleration theorem is derived from the novel system, which conserves magnetic potential vorticity. Extensions of the turbulent equipartition theory to the transport of magnetic potential vorticity are proposed.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Modeling ExB drift transport in conceptual slot divertor configurations

At DIII-D, a slot divertor concept, called small-angle-slot (SAS), is under development, aiming to enable detachment at relatively low plasma edge density. We report on simulations using the SOLPS-ITER two-dimensional edge code to examine the performance of conceptual “SAS 2” slot configurations. The focus of the analysis is on E × B drift effects on upstream density at detachment (UDD), with detachment marked by electron temperature T e ≤ 3 eV at the outer strike point (OSP). With toroidal field such that radial E × B drift carries particles from the OSP towards the private flux region (PFR), placing the OSP near the inner slot wall gives ≈20% lower UDD than having the OSP near the outer wall. The inner wall effectively traps the radial E × B drift flux, resulting in low T e and associated radial electric field in the PFR, and thus small losses from the slot to the inner target via poloidal E × B drift flux. With toroidal field reversed such that radial E × B drift is reversed, OSP placement near the inner wall gives ≈10% lower UDD than OSP placement near the outer wall. Although radial E × B flux is from the OSP towards the outer wall, this flux largely escapes the slot, raising the UDD. Finally, a change in the slot shaping is suggested with the goal of eliminating such E × B-driven particle losses from the slot.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Nonlinear phase bores in drift wave-zonal flow dynamics

A minimal model of nonlinear phase dynamics in drift waves is shown to support phase bore solutions. Coupled nonlinear equations for amplitude, phase, and zonal flow are derived for the Hasegawa-Mima system and specialized to the case of spatiotemporally constant amplitude. In that limit, phase curvature (finite second derivative of the phase with respect to the radius) alone generates propagating shear flows. The phase field evolves nonlinearly by a competition between phase steepening and dispersion. The analytical solution of the model reveals that the phase bore solutions so obtained realize the concept of a phase slip in a concrete dynamical model of drift wave dynamics. Here, the implications for phase turbulence are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗