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Results for “control-oriented models”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1990

Control-oriented modeling of combustion and flow processes in liquid propellant rocket engines

This paper presents a control-oriented model of the flow, reaction, and transport processes in liquid propellant rocket combustion chambers, based on the multicomponent conservation laws of gas dynamics. This model provides a framework for the inclusion of detailed chemical kinetic relations, viscous and other dissipative effects, a variety of actuators and sensors, as well as process and measurement disturbances. In addition to its potential usefulness to the designer in understanding the dynamical complexity of the system and the sources of model uncertainty, the model provides a rigorous basis for control system design. An appraisal of current and feasible actuators and sensors, and their mathematical representation are included.

Bentsman, Joseph↗
DOE OSTI2023

Physically-based control-oriented modeling for turbocharged stoichiometric spark-ignited engine with cooled EGR and flexible VVT systems

Accurate estimation and prediction of engine gas exchange system and in-cylinder conditions are critical for spark-ignited engine control and diagnostic algorithm development. In this paper, a physically-based, control-oriented model for a 2.8 l turbocharged, variable valve timing (VVT) and low pressure (LP) exhaust gas recirculation (EGR)-utilizing SI engine was developed. The model includes the impact of modulation to any combination of 10 actuators, including the throttle valve, compressor bypass valve, fueling rate, waste-gate, LP EGR valve, number of deactivated cylinders, intake valve open (IVO) timing, intake valve close (IVC) timing, exhaust valve open (EVO) timing and exhaust valve close (EVC) timing. The accuracy of the model in capturing engine dynamics was demonstrated by validating it against high-fidelity engine GT-Power simulation results for various drive cycles, particularly emphasizing elevated loads. In comparison to the open literature, novel contributions of the effort described in this paper includes in-cylinder gas composition modeling and turbine-out pressure estimation.

Zhang, Xu↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development of real-time density feedback control on MAST-U in L-mode

In this paper we report on the development and demonstration of density feedback control for MAST-U. Sinusoidal perturbations are used to measure the frequency response from a deuterium gas valve (actuator) to line-integrated core electron density measured by the interferometer (sensor). In the frequency range relevant for control design, only two system-identification experiments were needed to regress a first-order dynamic model. This control-oriented model informs the offline design of a proportional integral controller with the established loop-shaping controller design method. After offline verification of the controller implementation, control is demonstrated by experimentally tracking a staircase reference for the line-integrated electron density. This paper demonstrates the efficiency of controller design using system-identification and loop-shaping, providing reliable density control for MAST-U.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Identification and control of the exhaust using gas perturbations in the DIII-D tokamak

This paper presents perturbative experiments that enable the validation and development of control-oriented models for exhaust control. We identify the response of the divertor plasma and scrape-off layer in the DIII-D tokamak to deuterium and nitrogen multi-sine perturbations, in favorable and unfavorable field directions for H-mode access. We obtained good signal-to-noise ratios in the 1–10 Hz frequency range by measuring Balmer-alpha, Lyman-alpha, and N 4+ line emission, radiated power, and neutral pressure. We find a similar phase response across gas species and magnetic field directions, while the gain response is nonlinear. With these experiments, we identify a control-oriented model to design a divertor radiated power controller to track specified reference waveforms in conjunction with resonant magnetic perturbations. Although the physics basis for compatibility between detachment and resonant magnetic perturbation edge-localized mode suppression remains to be demonstrated, the present results provide a robust controller that represents a promising step toward future joint control strategies.

detachment control↗
DOE OSTI2025

Optimizing Control for Efficient Load Shifting with Thermal Energy Storage in Existing HVAC Systems

This project developed the integration of a direct-contact heat exchanger (DCHX) based thermal energy storage (TES) system with a chiller–air handling unit (AHU) plant to evaluate its potential for reducing building energy costs. Detailed physical models of the TES unit, building envelope, and HVAC components were developed alongside simplified control-oriented models to support both high-fidelity simulation and real-time optimization. Two control strategies were implemented and compared: a rule-based control (RBC) aligned with utility time-of-use (ToU) rates, and a model predictive control (MPC) framework leveraging forecasts of building load, weather, and internal gains.Simulation results show that the RBC strategy reduced daily electricity costs by around 30% by shifting cooling production from on-peak to off-peak hours. In contrast, the MPC strategy achieved significantly greater performance, reducing daily operating costs by up to 44% and peak-hour costs by more than 60%. Both strategies maintained indoor thermal comfort within acceptable limits, with MPC further improving load distribution and reducing equipment cycling.The outcomes confirm that TES integration, particularly when coordinated with advanced predictive control, can provide substantial cost savings and on-peak demand reduction. . These findings directly support the U.S. Department of Energy’s goals for grid-interactive efficient buildings and demonstrate the potential of TES-enabled HVAC systems for scalable deployment across the commercial building.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Optimizing Control for Efficient Load Shifting with Thermal Energy Storage in Existing HVAC Systems

This project developed the integration of a direct-contact heat exchanger (DCHX) based thermal energy storage (TES) system with a chiller–air handling unit (AHU) plant to evaluate its potential for reducing building energy costs. Detailed physical models of the TES unit, building envelope, and HVAC components were developed alongside simplified control-oriented models to support both high-fidelity simulation and real-time optimization. Two control strategies were implemented and compared: a rule-based control (RBC) aligned with utility time-of-use (ToU) rates, and a model predictive control (MPC) framework leveraging forecasts of building load, weather, and internal gains. Simulation results show that the RBC strategy reduced daily electricity costs by around 30% by shifting cooling production from on-peak to off-peak hours. In contrast, the MPC strategy achieved significantly greater performance, reducing daily operating costs by up to 44% and peak-hour costs by more than 60%. Both strategies maintained indoor thermal comfort within acceptable limits, with MPC further improving load distribution and reducing equipment cycling. The outcomes confirm that TES integration, particularly when coordinated with advanced predictive control, can provide substantial cost savings and on-peak demand reduction. . These findings directly support the U.S. Department of Energy’s goals for grid-interactive efficient buildings and demonstrate the potential of TES-enabled HVAC systems for scalable deployment across the commercial building.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Data-Driven Modeling of a High Capacity Cryogenic System for Control Optimization

The Cryogenic Moderator System (CMS) is responsible for maintaining a steady flow of cold neutrons for numerous physics experiments at the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) in Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). Sudden losses in beam power, known as beam trips, cause a major disturbance to the CMS due to large step changes in cooling demands. Ongoing efforts on upgrading the neutron beam power from 1.4 to 2.0MW are expected to generate larger transients that can further strain the CMS subsystems if they are not properly controlled. To manage such disturbances, four flow valves and one electric heater are adjusted by five decentralized proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controllers. However, the original PID gains were calibrated empirically based only on tracking performance and not based on disturbance rejection. To address this issue without compromising current CMS operations, a control-oriented model was developed to recalibrate the PID controllers offline. The zero-dimensional (0-D) model was based on simple physics-based principles and data-driven system identification techniques. The CMS was broken into several subsystems for analysis, each of which corresponds to a parametric model tied to the thermodynamic states of the working fluid. The model parameters were identified using the nonlinear least squares method where the residuals were calculated from available sensor data. Simulation results show that the proposed model can capture the dynamics of the CMS at steady state and during beam trips.

Maldonado Puente, Bryan↗
NASA NTRS2024

Influence of Ductility on the Performance of Lunar Habitat Structures Under Recurrent Disturbances

This research examines how ductility affects the durability of lunar surface structures against recurring disturbances like moonquakes, micrometeorite impacts, and thermal cycles over an extended period. The structural performance at various levels of ductility was determined by adjusting material parameters and the thickness of a reference multilayered dome structure. Moonquake and micrometeorite impact-induced lateral displacements were estimated using a reduced-order model under a control-oriented dynamic computational modeling framework. The study considered the degradation of the metallic dome’s strength properties over time due to thermal cycles. Fragility curves were generated by assessing the likelihood of reaching three predefined damage levels as a result of multiple hazards. Additionally, a discounted cash flow analysis was conducted to incorporate a financial aspect into the performance comparison. The findings revealed that structures with sufficient ductility capacity have a lower probability of sustaining severe damage or collapsing within a shorter time frame. Hence, having ductile structures in lunar environments is advantageous as it allows the postponement of maintenance and repair actions, thereby conserving scarce resources for more urgent tasks. Moreover, the financial analysis demonstrated that lunar habitats with higher ductile capacities result in larger net present values, offering a higher return on the initial investment.

Arsalan Majlesi↗
DOE OSTI2025

Self-consistent equilibrium and transport simulations for NSTX-U plasmas enhanced via machine learning surrogate models

The Control-Oriented Transport SIMulator (COTSIM) is an advanced equilibrium and transport code designed for simulating tokamak discharges at computational speeds suitable for control applications. COTSIM’s modular framework enables users to select models that balance accuracy with speed according to specific needs, allowing the code to operate from fast to faster-than-real-time performance levels. This work presents recent enhancements to COTSIM’s predictive accuracy for NSTX-U scenarios, achieved by integrating neural-network-based surrogate models and self-consistent equilibrium calculations. To improve source deposition predictions, a surrogate model for NUBEAM has been incorporated. Additionally, a surrogate model for the Multi-Mode Module (MMM) now supports predictions of anomalous thermal, momentum, and particle diffusivities—key factors for modeling the evolution of temperature and rotation. Each surrogate model was specifically trained for the NSTX-U operational regime to enhance COTSIM’s accuracy while maintaining computational efficiency. Moreover, COTSIM now couples fixed-boundary equilibrium solvers with its transport solvers, enabling self-consistent predictions of plasma profiles and equilibrium evolution over the discharge. Simulation results demonstrate strong agreement between COTSIM and TRANSP predictions for NSTX-U discharges. These substantial advancements expand COTSIM’s utility in model-based control applications for NSTX-U. Potential applications include simultaneous optimization of equilibrium and transport scenarios, integration into digital twins, real-time profile estimation (e.g., temperature and rotation) from limited or noisy measurements, and advanced feedback-based scenario control.

Equilibrium and transport modeling↗
DOE OSTI2026

Physics vs structure: A systematic benchmark of learning strategies for multi-zone building thermal dynamics

Recent advances in physics-informed and data-driven machine learning promise improved thermal models for advanced building control, yet there is limited quantitative evidence on when added physics structure and architectural complexity are beneficial. Here, this work presents a systematic benchmark of five representative system identification methods for modeling multi-zone building thermal dynamics: linear state-space models, multi-layer perceptrons, neural state-space models, neural ordinary differential equations, and physically-consistent neural networks. The methods are evaluated across multiple data regimes and zone coupling strategies. Using a high-fidelity multi-zone commercial building emulator, we examine short-term and long-term prediction accuracy, computational efficiency, and ease of development. Our results reveal critical trade-offs between prediction performance, model complexity, and physical consistency. We demonstrate that decoupled, nonlinear black-box models consistently outperform coupled physics-constrained architectures in both predictive accuracy and out-of-distribution robustness in majority of the test cases for the building type considered in the study. Our findings quantify the cost of complexity in building thermal modeling and provide concrete, actionable, scenario-based guidelines for selecting model classes for control-oriented applications.

Building thermal modeling↗
DOE OSTI2024

Comparative Evaluation of Control-Oriented Heavy Duty Vehicle Air Drag Coefficient Models

Heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) are a significant source of fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, prompting solutions such as HDV platooning to mitigate these negative impacts through air drag reduction. The intervehicle distance in an HDV platoon needs to be carefully selected, such that the platoon-level energy efficiency and safety considerations can be well balanced. Underlying this problem lies in accurately modeling the relationship between HDV air drag coefficient and intervehicle distance. Through comprehensive evaluation and comparison, we analyze five control-oriented HDV air drag coefficient models, including the polynomial model, rational polynomial model, rational model, semi-quadratic model, and ridge model. Leveraging Scipy Curve-Fit toolbox and our previously compiled air drag coefficient datasets, we optimally identify the parameters inside each model. The calibrated models are then thoroughly evaluated via five complementary metrics. The comparison results reveal that the semi-quadratic model has the highest overall performance, while the widely adopted rational model only exhibits suboptimal performance.

Best, Micah↗
NASA NTRS2024

A Computational Framework for Making Early Design Decisions in Deep Space Habitats

The dynamics of systems of systems often involve complex interactions among the individual systems, making the implications of design choices challenging to predict. Design features in such systems may trigger unexpected behaviors or result in large variations in safety, performance or resilience. To provide a means of simulating such systems for aiding in these decisions, we have developed a prototype tool, the control-oriented dynamic computational modeling tool (CDCM). The CDCM provides rapid simulation capabilities to perform trade studies in systems of systems. The general class of systems of systems that we aim to examine involve multiple hazards, damage, cascading consequences, repair and recovery. We especially focus on systems-of-systems that incorporate a health management system (HMS) that can monitor the state of the habitat and make decisions about actions to take. In this paper we describe the features of the CDCM, the architecture we devised for simulation of systems-of-systems, the unique functionalities of this tool, and we provide a demonstration of the capabilities by performing two illustrative examples. We articulate the use of this tool for making early design decisions and demonstrate its use for trade studies that consider a model of a deep space habitat. We also share some experiences and lessons that may be useful for others seeking to address similar problems.

Amir Behjat↗
NASA NTRS2024

A Koopman-based residual modeling approach for the control of a soft robot arm

Soft robots are challenging to model and control due to their poorly defined kinematics and nonlinear dynamics. Recently, Koopman operator theory has been shown capable of constructing control-oriented soft robot models from data. However, building these models requires extensive data collection and they do not necessarily generalize well outside of the training observations. This paper presents a more data-efficient and generalizable approach to soft robot modeling that first identifies a physics-based Koopman model then supplements it with a data-driven residual Koopman model. The resulting combined model is linear and thus compatible with real-time model-based control techniques such as Model Predictive Control (MPC). The efficacy of the approach is demonstrated on several simulated systems and on a real soft robot arm, where it is shown to generate models that are more accurate than purely physics-based models and require less data to construct than purely data-driven models. Using a model-based controller, the soft arm is able to successfully track end effector trajectories, perform a pick-and-place task, and write on a dry-erase board, showcasing the applicability of this framework to increase the capabilities of soft robotic systems.

Daniel Bruder↗
DOE OSTI2024

Divertor-safe nonlinear burn control based on a SOLPS parameterized core-edge model for ITER

Abstract For ITER operations, the range of desirable burning-plasma regimes with high fusion power output will be restricted by various operational constraints. These constraints include the saturation of ITER’s various heating and fueling actuators such as the neutral beam injectors, the ion and electron cyclotron heating systems, the gas puffing system, and the deuterium–tritium pellet injectors. In addition to these actuator constraints, the H-mode power threshold, divertor detachment, and the heat load on the divertor targets may apply limitations to ITER’s operational space. In this work, Plasma Operation Contour (POPCON) plots that map the aforementioned constraints to the temperature-density space are used to investigate which constraints are most limiting towards accessing regimes with high fusion power output. The presented POPCON plots are based on a control-oriented core-edge model that couples the nonlinear density and energy response models for the core-plasma region with SOLPS4.3 parameterizations for conditions in the edge-plasma regions (scrape-off-layer and divertor). Using this control-oriented core-edge model, a nonlinear burn controller, which aims to regulate the plasma temperature and density in the core-plasma region, is constructed in this work. This controller is augmented with an online optimization scheme that governs the control references such that the plasma can be guided towards regimes with high fusion powers while protecting the divertor targets from dangerously high heat loads. A closed-loop simulation study illustrates the capability of this burn control scheme.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Transient Optimization of the Cryogenic Moderator System Controller at the Spallation Neutron Source for Improved Performance

The high-energy neutron beam generated at the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is moderated to use cold (slow) neutrons for scientific discoveries. The Cryogenic Moderator System (CMS) removes heat from the neutron beam using cryogenic hydrogen (H 2 ) moderators connected via heat exchangers to a helium (He) refrigeration loop that dissipates heat using a compressor-brake system. However, the CMS is affected by sporadic losses in beam power, referred to as "beam trips," as these events generate significant disturbances in cooling requirements. To accommodate the heat load transients during beam trips, the CMS uses a decentralized control strategy consisting of four flow valves and one electric heater adjusted by independent proportional-integral (PI) controllers. During the CMS’s initial commissioning, the PI gains were calibrated based only on tracking performance, overlooking their effectiveness in disturbance rejection. A data-driven, control-oriented closed-loop model was developed to recalibrate the PI gains and minimize the transient disturbances caused by beam trips. The model consists of three main components: (1) a physics-based model of the He refrigeration loop, (2) a machine-learning model of the cryogenic H 2 cooling trains, and (3) the control logic used for feedback set-point tracking. Experimental results showed that the recalibrated gains obtained in this study improved the CMS’s transient response during beam trips.

Maldonado Puente, Bryan↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning-enhanced model-based scenario optimization for DIII-D

Abstract Scenario development in tokamaks is an open area of investigation that can be approached in a variety of different ways. Experimental trial and error has been the traditional method, but this required a massive amount of experimental time and resources. As high fidelity predictive models have become available, offline development and testing of proposed scenarios has become an option to reduce the required experimental resources. The use of predictive models also offers the possibility of using a numerical optimization process to find the controllable inputs that most closely achieve the desired plasma state. However, this type of optimization can require as many as hundreds or thousands of predictive simulation cases to converge to a solution; many of the commonly used high fidelity models have high computational burdens, so it is only reasonable to run a handful of predictive simulations. In order to make use of numerical optimization approaches, a compromise needs to be found between model fidelity and computational burden. This compromise can be achieved using neural networks surrogates of high fidelity models that retain nearly the same level of accuracy as the models they are trained to replicate while reducing the computation time by orders of magnitude. In this work, a model-based numerical optimization tool for scenario development is described. The predictive model used by the optimizer includes neural network surrogate models integrated into the fast Control-Oriented Transport simulation framework. This optimization scheme is able to converge to the optimal values of the controllable inputs that produce the target plasma scenario by running thousands of predictive simulations in under an hour without sacrificing too much prediction accuracy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Neural-Network-Enhanced COTSIM: Advancing Predictive Capabilities for Fast DIII-D Simulations

Sustaining fusion reactions in tokamaks requires heating plasma to thermonuclear temperatures while maintaining confinement and stability. Neutral beam injection (NBI) provides heating, current drive, torque, and fueling, while electron cyclotron (EC) waves are widely used for heating and current drive; together, these actuators shape the plasma current, temperature, and density profiles. The control-oriented tokamak simulator (COTSIM), a predictive, control-oriented code, has been enhanced with neural-network surrogates for transport and sources. Turbulent transport is predicted by MMMnet—a neural-network version of the updated multimode model (MMM 9.0.10)—with significantly reduced computation time relative to MMM; neoclassical transport follows the Chang–Hinton model. NUBEAMnet, a surrogate of the Monte Carlo NUBEAM module, predicts beam-driven heating, current, and torque. EC heating and current drive use a control-oriented, empirically scaled source model; plasma resistivity follows the Spitzer formulation; bootstrap current uses the Sauter model. Equilibrium is computed using both prescribed and fixed-boundary solvers (FBSs), and the pedestal structure is modeled with an empirical pedestal model. For a representative DIII-D discharge, COTSIM predicts electron and ion temperature and safety-factor profiles in close agreement with TRANSP predictive and interpretive simulations while extending predictions through the pedestal region to the plasma edge (versus 80% of the minor radius in TRANSP). Furthermore, the equivalent COTSIM simulation runs in under 3 min compared to about 2 h for TRANSP, enabling rapid scenario planning, optimization of tokamak operation, and between-pulse control design.

Control-oriented tokamak simulator (COTSIM)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Innovating the next generation of commercial smart building software

Nearly 30% of commercial building energy use is wasted due to equipment faults and HVAC controls problems. The result is increased emissions, compromised comfort and productivity, and less reliable coordination of building power needs with a clean grid. The energy impact alone represents $17 billion in potential savings. Today’s smart building software provides a robust solution to address these operational deficiencies. Energy management and information systems (EMIS) are saving up to 9% on average, with two-year paybacks. They are being incorporated into energy management processes, commissioning services, and utility programs. As effective as they are, two barriers prevent even deeper benefits; limited personnel to fix problems once they are identified, and the expense and time to manually implement changes in control systems. In partnership with the research community, the EMIS industry is developing new capabilities to overcome these barriers. Moving beyond siloed products for either fault detection and diagnostics, or optimal control, these new capabilities empower users to not only automatically identify faults, but also to push corrective action, and control improvements to their buildings. In this paper, several areas for enhancements are documented: ‘one-time’ correction of faults such as setpoints, schedules, and economizer lockouts; short-term active testing for automated proportional integral derivative (PID) loop tuning and functional testing; and continuous supervisory control for demand flexibility and year-round efficiency. Results are presented from a pair of partner implementations out of a dozen providers integrating these enhancements into their products, including field tests from across the country, and insights into operator acceptance and integration into operations and maintenance practices.

Casillas, Armando↗