Decarbonizing Aviation with Electric Propulsion
NASA’s role in decarbonizing aviation includes the development of flight-weight, flight-ready, safe, and certifiable technologies for regional and single-aisle transport vehicles.
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NASA’s role in decarbonizing aviation includes the development of flight-weight, flight-ready, safe, and certifiable technologies for regional and single-aisle transport vehicles.
Climate researchers have examined many impacts of climate change on energy supply and demand under various scenarios. However, the effect of changing particulate deposition onto solar panel surfaces on solar power production efficiency (i.e., soiling) has not been studied. We therefore characterize probabilistic outcomes across multiple climate models and scenarios. We find large current regional losses (up to 40% without manual cleaning, up to 20% with monthly cleaning and rain removal) in generation that grow slightly under a high-emission scenario, largely due to regional increases in windblown dust. In contrast, under a low-emissions scenario, potential production increases significantly (2–8% interquartile range with only rain removal) due to reduced soiling, especially in regions of Asia and Africa where anthropogenic aerosols are major contributors to soiling. Projected changes vary widely across models in many dusty areas outside of the Sahara and Arabia. Differences can also be large in regions dominated by anthropogenic aerosols, such as Nigeria, eastern China, and northern India, where the full range across modeled potential power production changes extends from −1 to +11% for the end of the century (without manual cleaning), underscoring the need to consider multiple climate models. With large increases in projected solar power deployment, the relatively small potential production increases reported here could nevertheless represent a large dividend in additional energy production. Hence, reductions in air pollution attributable to decarbonization could provide positive feedback under which a greater deployment of solar power (or other renewables) increases the production of solar power, facilitating the transition to renewable energy.
An ongoing study is collecting and reviewing hydrogen and low/zero carbon aircraft and related studies. In addition to previous NASA studies, international and as well as other US sponsored hydrogen, other fuels and infrastructure efforts supporting aviation aircraft are included. These reports and presentations are summarized here to develop further insight as well as help identify potential research areas to support reduction or elimination of harmful emissions from aviation aircraft. Although not all possible studies have been identified and included here, it is believed that sufficient information has been collected to help guide subsequent efforts. Efforts pertaining to aircraft emissions and assessing climate impact have only just started to be included.
In a previous paper, results are presented of accurate investigations of the processes of titanium carbonization and the succeeding titanium carbide decarbonization as related to the phenomenon of the graphitization of soot by heating at a constant temperature in atmospheres of pure hydrogen and carbon monoxide. These tests showed that the processes of titanium carbonization-decarbonization in an atmosphere of pure gases without nitrogen proceed in the same direction as the analogous processes under the conditions of the production furnace. In this case, however, the presence of admixtures of nitrogen changes the quantitative results of the decarbonization process. Thermodynamic computations confirming the results of previous tests conducted at atmospheric pressure and additional tests of titanium carbonization at lowered pressures are presented herein.
Pressure-temperature equilibrium conditions for decarbonation reactions, which may control carbon dioxide pressure of venus atmosphere
Recovered samples from shock recovery experiments on single crystal calcite were subjected to thermogravimetric analysis to determine the amount of post-shock CO2, the decarbonization interval and the activation energy, for the removal of remaining CO2 in shock-loaded calcite. Comparison of post-shock CO2 with that initially present determines shock-induced CO2 loss as a function of shock pressure. Incipient to complete CO2 loss occurs over a pressure range of approximately 10 to approximately 70 GPa. Optical and scanning electron microscopy reveal structural changes, which are related to the shock-loading. The occurrence of dark, diffuse areas, which can be resolved as highly vesicular areas as observed with a scanning electron microscope are interpreted as representing quenched partial melts, into which shock-released CO2 was injected. The experimental results are used to constrain models of shock-produced, primary CO2 atmospheres on the accreting terrestrial planets.
Recovered samples from shock recovery experiments on single crystal calcite were subjected to thermogravimetric analysis to determine the amount of post-shock CO2, the decarbonization interval and the activation energy, for the removal of remaining CO2 in shock-loaded calcite. Comparison of post-shock CO2 with that initially present determines shock-induced CO2 loss as a function of shock pressure. Incipient to complete CO2 loss occurs over a pressure range of approximately 10 to approximately 70 GPa. Optical and scanning electron microscopy reveal structural changes which are related to the shock-loading. The occurrence of dark, diffuse areas, which can be resolved as highly vesticular areas as observed with a scanning electron microscope are interpreted as representing quenched partial melts, into which shock-released CO2 was injected. The experimental results are used to constrain models of shock-produced, primary CO2 atmospheres on the accreting terrestrial planets.
It is known that the release of volatiles on impact is an important controlling factor in cratering processes in carbonate terranes and in the mobility of chemical elements. In order to assess the nature and the role of carbon- and oxygen-bearing volatiles during impact-induced metamorphism of sedimentary rocks, the C-13/C-12 and O-18/O-16 ratios and carbonate contents were determined for 30 shocked clasts from the Haughton Crater polymict breccia as well as for some unshocked carbonates from the sedimentary cover adjacent to the crater. Shock-induced CO2 loss during decarbonation of calcite is known to be a function of peak pressure and ambient partial pressure of the volatile species. In our clast samples, shocked from 20 to 60 GPa, we expect about 20 to 100 percent CO2 loss and preferential depletion in C-13 and O-18 in the residual carbonate. Rayleigh model (progressive loss of CO2) and batch model (single-step loss of CO2) curves for this depletion are shown. The magnitudes of the C-13 and O-18 depletions increase with the increase of the CO2 loss. In addition, the isotopic depletions should be correlated with an enrichment in CaO and MgO in the residual solid.
Common rock-forming rhombohedral carbonates - calcite and dolomite - constitute a considerable fraction of terrestrial sediments that may be shocked during hypervelocity impacts, such as during the Cretaceous-Tertiary (K/T) event or at the Haughton structure. The relatively modest temperatures needed to decompose carbonates and to release their CO2 are easily attained during such impacts. However, detailed and quantitative understanding of the CO2 release of carbonates as a function of shock stress is still the subject of controversy, as are a number of other reactions and phase transitions that were suggested for carbonates. The first devolatilization studies of carbonates in the early 1980s suggested that incipient devolatilization of calcite and/or dolomite commences at modest pressures, in the range < 10-18 GPa (amounting to 0.03-0.3% CO2 loss), with massive decarbonation (30-40% CO2 loss) occurring at shock pressure of 20 GPa and above. However, most later studies revealed that both calcite and dolomite are unexpectedly stable under shock conditions and no significant outgassing has been observed at pressures as high as 40 GPa for calcite and 60 GPa for dolomite. Despite these uncertainties, the calculations of O'Keefe and Ahrens (and others) serve to illustrate that the K/T bolide liberated sufficient CO2 that a substantial temperature increase of the global atmosphere is possible due to CO2-triggered greenhouse effects. The quantitative understanding of the devolatilization of carbonates as a function of shock stress is obviously critical to refine such calculations. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.
Meeting the ambitions of the Paris Agreement will require rapid and massive decarbonization of cities, as well as adaptation. Capacity and requirement differs across cities, with challenges and opportunities for transformational action in both the Global North and South.
Terrestrial meteorite impacts have been directly linked with multiple mass extinction events throughout Earth’s history. Among these impacts, those that land in sedimentary target rocks are thought to generate large quantities of CO 2 via decarbonation. This injection of CO 2 into the atmosphere has the potential to alter the climate and threaten terrestrial habitability. The magnitude of this change depends upon the net amount of CO 2 released, which is controlled by how much CO 2 is produced by the impact, how much CO 2 is removed by back-reactions after the impact, and other post-impact CO 2 sinks. To interrogate the behavior of CO 2 release into the impact atmosphere, we present carbon (δ 13 C), oxygen (δ 18 O), and clumped (Δ 47 ) isotope results from carbonate clasts preserved within the impact breccia of the Steen River Impact Structure (SRIS) in Alberta, Canada. These clasts exhibit a ~65‰ range in δ 13 C and a ~5‰ variation in δ 18 O. However, while δ 13 C and δ 18 O are positively correlated, Δ 47 unexpectedly has a negative relationship with δ 13 C and δ 18 O. Based on prior assumptions, there would either be (1) no relationship with carbonate Δ 47 and the bulk ratios because Δ 47 would be reset at extreme impact temperatures, or (2) Δ 47 would have a positive correlation with the bulk ratios, reflecting gradual Δ 47 ‘resetting.’ To reconcile the SRIS result with these expectations, we conducted a series of in vacuo heating experiments at temperatures above calcite decomposition. As predicted by Rayleigh fractionation, these heating experiments generated depletions in δ 13 C and δ 18 O that increased with reaction time. Mimicking the SRIS results, these experiments also produced concomitant increases in Δ 47 . Using an adaptation of a mechanistic model for decomposition fractionation (Hayles & Killingsworth, 2022) we hypothesize that these exotic isotope trends are caused by Rayleigh fractionation and a Δ 47 kinetic isotope effect that results from the disproportionation of O to CaO and CO 2 during thermal decomposition. This high Δ 47 CO 2 subsequently exchanges with the residual CaCO 3 . This work highlights a potential pathway for identifying and quantifying CO 2 generation by impacts and builds on the relatively limited literature characterizing the behavior of carbonate clumped isotopes at very high geologic temperatures.
The dedicated air cargo and freight market has the potential to be a critical early pathway for emerging technologies in low to zero emission propulsion. This study analyzes the cargo aviation market to understand current market trends and future market viability of a mid-sized all-electric or hybrid-electric concept aircraft. While cargo aviation’s overall emissions footprint is small relative to commercial passenger aviation, it remains an important and challenging transportation sector to decarbonize. Past research has focused on small, less than 19-seat electrified aircraft propulsion concepts that could serve both passenger and air cargo markets This study extends the electrified market space into larger aircraft classes, considering if a purpose-built large hybrid electric turboprop freighter can compete in the market currently served primarily by conversion narrowbody freighters. Specifically, this paper focuses on the mid-sized cargo market with payload ranges of 40,000-50,000lbs, and an all-electric range potential up to 750 miles. The concept aircraft is based on a 4-engine turboprop configuration, with mounted wing battery packs and an aft cargo door to allow for standardized palletization. The market analysis indicates broad market coverage with 73% of the existing mid-sized cargo network within the range of 750 miles. A breakeven analysis of operating and capital costs shows potential for market competition, however, additional energy and acquisition cost savings from the concept aircraft are needed. Evidence from the breakeven analysis also points to higher rates of aircraft utilization being a critical path to lowering costs and increasing cost effectiveness.
The dedicated air cargo and freight market has the potential to be a critical early pathway for emerging technologies in low to zero emission propulsion. This study analyzes the cargo aviation market to understand current market trends and future market viability of a mid-sized all-electric or hybrid-electric concept aircraft. While cargo aviation’s overall emissions footprint is small relative to commercial passenger aviation, it remains an important and challenging transportation sector to decarbonize. Past research has focused on small, less than 19-seat electrified aircraft propulsion concepts that could serve both passenger and air cargo markets. This study extends the electrified market space into larger aircraft classes, considering if a purpose-built large hybrid electric turboprop freighter can compete in the market currently served primarily by conversion narrowbody freighters. Specifically, this paper focuses on the mid-sized cargo market with payload ranges of 40,000-50,000lbs, and an all-electric range potential up to 750 miles. The concept aircraft is based on a 4-engine turboprop configuration, with wing mounted battery packs and an aft cargo door to allow for standardized palletization. The market analysis indicates broad market coverage with 73% of the existing mid-sized cargo network within the range of 750 miles. A breakeven analysis of operating and capital costs shows potential for market competition; however, this would require additional energy and acquisition cost savings from the concept aircraft. Evidence from the breakeven analysis also points to higher rates of aircraft utilization being a critical path to lowering costs and increasing cost effectiveness.
Societal benefits from climate change mitigation accrue via multiple pathways. We examine the US impacts of emission changes on several factors that are affected by both climate and air quality responses. Nationwide benefits through midcentury stem primarily from air quality improvements, which are realized rapidly, and include human health, labor productivity, and crop yield benefits. Benefits from reduced heat exposure become large around 2060, thereafter often dominating over those from improved air quality. Monetized benefits are in the tens of trillions of dollars for avoided deaths and tens of billions for labor productivity and crop yield increases and reduced hospital expenditures. Total monetized benefits this century are dominated by health and are much larger than in previous analyses due to improved understanding of the human health impacts of exposure to both heat and air pollution. Benefit–cost ratios are therefore much larger than in prior studies, especially those that neglected clean air benefits. Specifically, benefits from clean air exceed costs in the first decade, whereas benefits from climate alone exceed costs in the latter half of the century. Furthermore, monetized US benefits largely stem from US emissions reductions. Increased emphasis on the localized, near-term air quality–related impacts would better align policies with societal benefits and, by reducing the mismatch between perception of climate as a risk distant in space and time and the need for rapid action to mitigate long-term climate change, might help increase acceptance of mitigation policies.